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SEGMENT FOCUS
Mutual Funds 2015
Q1: Mutual Funds
Q2: Traditional Asset Managers
Q3: Alternative Asset Managers
Q4: Trust Banks
VALUE FOCUS
Asset Management Industry
Overview	 1
Market Overview	 2
MA Review 3
Simmons First National Corporation
Acquisition of Ozark Trust and
Investment Corporation	 5
Asset Manager Multiples by Sector	 6
About Mercer Capital	 7
Asset Management Industry
Segment Focus
Mutual Funds
Despite modest appreciation over the last year, most publicly traded
mutual fund providers underperformed the SP 500 in an upward
trending market. According to Morningstar, active US equity funds
endured $138 billion in net outflows over this period while their
passive counterparts gained $178 billion in client assets. These
dynamics are problematic for many mutual fund companies that rely
on active equity products with higher revenue yields and are part of
a decade-long trend that has seen active funds lose ground to ETFs
and other indexing strategies.
Still, some active managers have been able to buck this trend in
recent quarters. Most notably, Janus Capital gained nearly a billion
dollars in market capitalization on its gamble to hire famed bond
investor Bill Gross and become a more prominent player in the fixed
income arena. JNS seemingly hedged this bet by acquiring ETF
and exchange-traded note provider Velocity Shares the following
month. Whatever the rationale, the dual wagers appeared to have
paid off with Janus’s stock up almost 60% over the last year.
Such bold moves may be what it takes for mutual funds moving for-
ward with multiple headwinds across the sector. The rising tide of
ETFs and relative underperformance could precipitate asset flows
out of mutual funds until alpha returns or fees are cut. Still, the
Value Focus
Stock Price Performance for the Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2015
First Quarter 2015
Mercer Capital | 5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600, Memphis, Tennessee 38137 » 901.685.2120 (P) » 901.685.2199 (F) » www.mercercapital.com
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
AB BEN CLMS CNS DHIL EV FII GBL GROW IVZ JNS TROW WDR
Mutual Funds SP 500
Source: SNL Financial
mutual fund providers that have been effective in maintaining client
assets, like Hennessy and Diamond Hill, have benefited greatly from
the current bull market and resulting margin expansion.
So, as always, the outlook for these businesses hinges on market
performance and asset flows. Any continuation of the recent market
momentum would certainly be a boon for mutual fund providers
whose net-of-fee performances are competitive with comparable
ETF products. Another market downturn, on the other hand, would
likely hasten asset flows out of equities and into fixed income or
money market funds with lower fees to their sponsors.
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015
© 2015 Mercer Capital 2 www.mercercapital.com
Although the first quarter is typically the strongest of the
year due to retirement contributions, asset flows for Q1
of 2015 was underwhelming in comparison to the final
quarters of 2014, particularly for active domestic equity
funds, according to Sandler O’Neill analyst Michael Kim
and data from Morningstar. Goldman Sachs analyst
Marc Irizarry notes that the median active manager fell
short of its benchmark by 1.3% in 2014, marking the
worst relative performance in 25 years, which could
explain part of the basis for the outflows.
Moving forward, many analysts anticipate a continua-
tion of this trend if active managers (mutual funds and
alternative asset managers) don’t justify their higher
fees with better returns, and the market seems to agree
with them of late. Still, Gabelli analyst Macrae Sykes
notes that active managers tend to flourish in choppier
times and stumble during stability, so this trend may just
be a bi-product of recent market conditions.
Conversely, the persistence of demand for lower cost,
passively managed funds is good news for ETF pro-
viders like BlackRock and WisdomTree Investments.
BlackRock has secured the #1 share of industry ETF
flows in the world, according to CEO Larry Fink, and
individual investors have begun to follow the larger
institutions in their pursuit of lower cost strategies.
Other more traditional asset managers are starting to
take notice. Legg Mason recently added a team to
head its strategy ETF products, and companies such as
Janus Capital Group have made acquisitions in order to
capitalize on the rising demand for ETFs. There is also
vast room for growth in active ETF strategies, which
hold a mere $14 billion in assets in comparison to the
1.8 trillion ETF market as a whole, though there is con-
siderable difficulty in charging higher fees for what is
traditionally viewed as a low-fee product.
Market Overview
First Quarter 2015
Asset Managers Index
Breakdown by Type
80.00 !
90.00 !
100.00 !
110.00 !
120.00 !
Mutual Funds! Traditional Asset Managers! Alternative Asset Managers! Trust Banks! SP 500!
Source: SNL Financial!
90.00 !
100.00 !
110.00 !
120.00 !
130.00 !
140.00 !
150.00 !
160.00 !
170.00 !
AUM  $10 B! AUM $10 B - $100 B! AUM $100 B - $500 B! AUM  $500 B! SP 500!
Source: SNL Financial!
Asset Managers Index
Breakdown by Size
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015
© 2015 Mercer Capital 3 www.mercercapital.com
Asset manager MA highlights from the
first quarter include:
•	 Fiera Capital intends to acquire $7.6
billion fixed income manager Samson
Capital Advisors for $33.5 million or
0.44% of AUM.
•	 On February 23, 2015, Stifel Financial
entered into a merger agreement to
acquire Sterne Agee Group for $150
million or 0.6% of SA’s $26 billion in
client assets.
•	 On March 25, 2015, Genstar Capital
agreed to acquire a majority interest in
$6 billion manager Mercer Advisors
from Lovell Minnick Partners.
•	 Simmons First National Corporation
(ticker: SFNC) intends to acquire Ozark
Trust and Investment Company for
$20.7 million or 10.2x LTM EBITDA and 1.9% of AUM (just over
$1 billion). Please see the next section for more detail on this
transaction.
•	 Raymond James announced it will acquire Cougar Global
Investments Ltd., a Toronto-based ETF strategist with over
$1 billion in AUM.
Community banks are increasingly looking to RIAs for growth,
according to Saabira Chaudhuri of The Wall Street Journal. The
number of community banks who expect asset management to be
among the biggest drivers of revenue growth more than doubled
over the past year, as these banks turn away from revenue streams
purely driven by net interest margins. The same report also showed
an increase in the number of community banks that believe they are
likely to be involved in an MA as a buyer. The next section of this
newsletter discusses a recent example of this trend.
According to a PWC report titled Asset Management MA Insights,
deal activity in 2015 is expected to increase, particularly in transac-
tions involving alternative managers and ETFs. According to PWC,
the sellers are expected to be independent managers and banks
that are divesting their asset management businesses in light of
pending regulations, while US buyers are likely to be asset man-
agers seeking to take advantage of the convergence trend. Several
key themes are driving asset management activity in early 2015,
including the stabilization of valuations, increased use of earn-outs,
and the attractiveness of minority investments. Still, concerns about
a potential bubble in equity markets and varying opinions regarding
future growth rates could derail the recent momentum.
MA Review
First Quarter 2015
Asset Manager MA Since 2002
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
DealCount
Volume(inBillions)
Volume Deal Count
Source: Bloomberg
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015
© 2015 Mercer Capital 4 www.mercercapital.com
What We’re Reading
Asset Management MA insights: In Pursuit of Growth
PWC
http://mer.cr/1MS2F5t
2015 Mutual Fund Outlook
Deloitte
http://mer.cr/1SQH7Kk
Community Banks Increasingly Look to
Wealth Management for Growth
The Wall Street Journal’s Money Beat: Saabira Chaudhuri
http://mer.cr/1Bpli01
Asset Managers Could Feel Pinch as Investors Dial
Back on Risk in Q1
SNL: Zaeem Shoaib
http://mer.cr/1TSl9Z1
(subscription required)
Poor Active Manager Performance Pushing investors Toward ETFs, Passive Strategies
SNL: Matt Blumenfeld
http://mer.cr/1Gy94Pq
(subscription required)
MERCER CAPITAL’S
Financial Institutions Industry Newsletters
Asset Management FinTechInsuranceBanks
Portfolio Valuation
Private Equity Marks  Trends
First Quarter 2015
Overview 1
What is Fair Value? 1
Equity Valuation 2
Debt Investments 4
Stock Performance for
Publicly Traded PE Sponsors 6
About Mercer Capital 7
www.mercercapital.com
Portfolio Valuation
Mercer Capital’s Financial Institutions industry publications are featured below. Having built a substantial client base in various
industries, we have formalized our research efforts to provide a regular, detailed overview of pertinent issues and relevant current
events in each covered industry. These industry newsletters also offer a regular perspective on valuation issues pertinent to various
industry groups and sectors.
To subscribe, www.mercercapital.com/subscribe
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015
© 2015 Mercer Capital 5 www.mercercapital.com
On April 29th, 2015, Pine Bluff-based
Simmons First National Corporation
(NASDAQ ticker: SFNC), announced it
had entered into a definitive agreement
and plan of merger with Ozark Trust and
Investment Corporation (OTIC) and its
wholly owned subsidiary, the Trust Com-
pany of the Ozarks (TCO), a Registered
Investment Advisor (RIA) headquartered
in Springfield, Missouri. The Trust Com-
pany of the Ozarks manages over $1 bil-
lion in client assets for 1,300 clients and
has enjoyed a 16% compound annual
growth rate in AUM since 2009. Simmons
First National Corporation has agreed to
a purchase price of $20.7 million with a
combination of cash and stock at closing,
expected to take place in the third quarter
of this year. Similar to the Boston Pri-
vate/Banyan Partners and Tri-State/
Chartwell deals last year, the terms of the
transaction were disclosed via an investor
presentation and outlined below.
All of these deals involve bank acqui-
sitions of closely held RIAs. In a low
interest rate environment coupled with
rising capital requirements, many banks
are turning their attention to asset managers and trust companies
for a multitude of reasons:
•	 Exposure to fee income that is uncorrelated to interest rates
•	 Minimal capital requirements to grow AUM and AUA
•	 Higher margins and ROEs relative to traditional banking
activities
•	 Greater degree of operating leverage – gains in profitability
with management fees
•	 Largely recurring revenue with monthly or quarterly billing cycles
These recent deals are particularly instructive to other industry par-
ticipants since, of the nearly 11,000 RIAs nationwide, approximately
80 (1%) transact in a given year, and the terms of these deals are
rarely disclosed to the public. Contemporary transactions at these
valuations suggest growing interest in businesses with recurring rev-
enue streams and high EBITDA margins.
For more information or if we can assist you in any way, please feel
free to contact us.
Simmons First National Corporation Acquisition of
Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation
SFNC /
TCO
Tri-State /
Chartwell
BPFH /
Banyan
Announcement Date 4/19/15 1/7/14 7/16/14
AUM $1,100 $7,500 $4,317
Realized Average Fee 0.60% 0.34% 0.58%
Revenue $5.9 $25.9 $25.0
Operating Expense (Excl. Depr.) 3.9 19.9 18.0
EBITDA $2.0 $6.0 $7.0
EBITDA Margin 34.5% 23.2% 28.0%
Initial Consideration $20.7 $45.0 $65.0
Earn-out - 15.0 20.0
Total Purchase Price $20.7 $60.0 $85.0
Implied % of AUM (Excl. Earn-out) 1.9% 0.6% 1.5%
Multiple of Revenue (Excl. Earn-out) 3.5x 1.7x 2.6x
Multiple of EBITDA (Excl. Earn-out) 10.2x 7.5x 9.3x
Deal Analysis (in $ Mil.)
Matthew R. Crow, ASA, CFA
crowm@mercercapital.com
Brooks K. Hamner, CFA
hamnerb@mercercapital.com
Source: Company Presentation and Previously Disclosed Information
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015
© 2015 Mercer Capital // Data Source: SNL Financial 6 www.mercercapital.com
Pricing as of March 31, 2015
Ticker
3/31/15
Stock Price
% of
52 Week
High
Price /
Trailing EPS
Price /
Forward
EPS
Total
Capital /
AUM
Total
Capital /
EBITDA
TRADITIONAL ASSET MANAGERS
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. AMG $214.78 96.98% 26.81x 13.72x 2.20% 10.98x
BlackRock, Inc. BLK 365.84 95.56% 19.00x 15.77x 1.49% 14.15x
Legg Mason, Inc. LM 55.20 93.26% 19.00x 16.68x 1.03% 14.15x
Pzena Investment Management, Inc. PZN 9.17 72.32% 17.30x 12.65x 2.18% 10.58x
Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. WHG 60.30 26.53% 17.48x nm 2.47% 11.66x
Group Median 93.26% 19.00x 14.74x 2.18% 11.66x
MUTUAL FUNDS
AllianceBerstein Investments, Inc. AB $30.87 99.58% 16.60x 13.25x nm 15.29x
Calamos Asset Management, Inc. CLMS 13.45 93.14% 18.94x 22.80x 1.22% nm
Cohen  Steers, Inc. CNS 40.95 86.83% 24.82x 14.57x 3.45% 14.48x
GAMCO Investors, Inc. GBL 78.51 86.99% 18.34x 14.30x 4.52% 12.18x
INVESCO Ltd. IVZ 39.69 94.55% 17.41x 12.97x 3.00% 14.07x
Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN 51.32 86.35% 13.72x 12.96x 3.87% 9.66x
Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. DHIL 160.00 97.02% 16.55x nm 3.39% 10.48x
Eaton Vance Corp. EV 41.64 89.07% 19.64x 14.41x 1.91% 11.32x
Hennessy Advisors, Inc, HNNA 20.25 81.16% 14.40x nm 2.49% 9.80x
Manning  Napier, Inc. MN 13.01 68.95% nm 11.22x 0.37% nm
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW 80.98 91.36% 17.80x 15.00x 2.83% 10.00x
U.S. Global Investors, Inc. GROW 3.20 79.88% nm nm 5.86% nm
Waddell  Reed Financial, Inc. WDR 49.54 64.79% 13.35x 13.41x 3.51% 8.40x
Federated Investors, Inc. FII 33.89 95.20% 23.87x 15.22x 1.05% 14.63x
Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. VRTS 130.77 57.53% 21.22x nm 5.86% 11.49x
Janus Capital Group Inc. JNS 16.13 85.75% 21.22x 13.50x 1.98% nm
Group Median 86.91% 18.07x 13.90x 3.00% 11.40x
ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGERS
Apollo Global Management, LLC APO $21.60 66.58% 34.84x 9.54x 11.69% 19.77x
Brookfield Asset Management, Inc. BAM.A NA nm 14.51x 28.98x 48.48% 9.34x
Blackstone Group L.P. BX 38.89 98.16% 15.07x 9.92x 7.98% nm
Carlye Group, L.P, CG 27.10 75.30% 22.03x 9.59x 0.94% 8.27x
Fortress Investment Group LLC FIG 8.07 96.65% 18.77x 8.73x 3.84% 11.81x
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts  Co. KKR 22.81 89.17% 19.66x 8.10x 21.01% nm
Oaktree Capital Group, LLC OAK 51.66 88.37% 17.39x 11.23x 16.57% 6.45x
Och-Ziff Capital Mgmt Group LLC OZM 12.64 87.47% 15.80x 7.57x 25.28% 13.88x
Group Median 88.37% 18.08x 9.57x 14.13% 10.57x
TRUST BANKS
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $69.65 95.78% 20.98x 15.90x nm nm
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK 40.24 96.29% 18.72x 13.06x nm nm
State Street Corporation STT 73.53 90.87% 16.09x 12.48x nm nm
Group Median 95.78% 18.72x 13.06x nm nm
OVERALL MEDIAN 89.07% 18.53x 13.25x 3.20% 11.49x
Asset Manager Multiples by Sector
5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600
Memphis, Tennessee 38137
Segment Focus: Mutual Funds
Market Overview: First Quarter 2015
MA Review: First Quarter 2015
Simmons First National Corporation Acquisition of
Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation
In This Issue
Copyright © 2015 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s
permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120.
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those
interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name
to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
As one of the largest valuation firms in the United States, Mercer Capital provides asset managers, trust companies, and investment consultants
with corporate valuation, financial reporting valuation, transaction advisory, portfolio valuation, and related services.
Matt Crow, ASA, CFA
President
901.322.9728
crowm@mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital is a business valuation and financial advisory firm serving a global client base. Business valuation services are provided for a
wide variety of needs, including but not limited to corporate valuation services, tax compliance, litigation support, financial statement reporting
compliance, and employee stock ownership plans. Our clients range from public to private, from smaller companies to large multi-nationals in a
broad range of industries, as well as numerous governmental agencies. In addition, Mercer Capital provides investment banking and corporate
advisory services including sell-side and buy-side merger  acquisition representation, fairness opinions, solvency opinions, business interest
and securities valuation, among others.
Brooks Hamner, CFA
Vice President
901.322.9714
hamnerb@mercercapital.com
About Value Focus Asset Management Industry
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is a quarterly publication providing perspective on valuation issues pertinent to asset managers, trust companies,
and investment consultants. Each issue highlights a market segment: 1st quarter: Mutual Fund Companies, 2nd quarter: Traditional Asset
Managers, 3rd quarter: Alternative Asset Managers, and 4th quarter: Trust Banks. View past issues at www.mercercapital.com.
About Mercer Capital

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Mercer Capital's Asset Management Industry Newsletter | Q1 2015 | Focus: Mutual Funds

  • 1. www.mercercapital.com SEGMENT FOCUS Mutual Funds 2015 Q1: Mutual Funds Q2: Traditional Asset Managers Q3: Alternative Asset Managers Q4: Trust Banks VALUE FOCUS Asset Management Industry Overview 1 Market Overview 2 MA Review 3 Simmons First National Corporation Acquisition of Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation 5 Asset Manager Multiples by Sector 6 About Mercer Capital 7
  • 2. Asset Management Industry Segment Focus Mutual Funds Despite modest appreciation over the last year, most publicly traded mutual fund providers underperformed the SP 500 in an upward trending market. According to Morningstar, active US equity funds endured $138 billion in net outflows over this period while their passive counterparts gained $178 billion in client assets. These dynamics are problematic for many mutual fund companies that rely on active equity products with higher revenue yields and are part of a decade-long trend that has seen active funds lose ground to ETFs and other indexing strategies. Still, some active managers have been able to buck this trend in recent quarters. Most notably, Janus Capital gained nearly a billion dollars in market capitalization on its gamble to hire famed bond investor Bill Gross and become a more prominent player in the fixed income arena. JNS seemingly hedged this bet by acquiring ETF and exchange-traded note provider Velocity Shares the following month. Whatever the rationale, the dual wagers appeared to have paid off with Janus’s stock up almost 60% over the last year. Such bold moves may be what it takes for mutual funds moving for- ward with multiple headwinds across the sector. The rising tide of ETFs and relative underperformance could precipitate asset flows out of mutual funds until alpha returns or fees are cut. Still, the Value Focus Stock Price Performance for the Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2015 First Quarter 2015 Mercer Capital | 5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600, Memphis, Tennessee 38137 » 901.685.2120 (P) » 901.685.2199 (F) » www.mercercapital.com -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% AB BEN CLMS CNS DHIL EV FII GBL GROW IVZ JNS TROW WDR Mutual Funds SP 500 Source: SNL Financial mutual fund providers that have been effective in maintaining client assets, like Hennessy and Diamond Hill, have benefited greatly from the current bull market and resulting margin expansion. So, as always, the outlook for these businesses hinges on market performance and asset flows. Any continuation of the recent market momentum would certainly be a boon for mutual fund providers whose net-of-fee performances are competitive with comparable ETF products. Another market downturn, on the other hand, would likely hasten asset flows out of equities and into fixed income or money market funds with lower fees to their sponsors.
  • 3. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015 © 2015 Mercer Capital 2 www.mercercapital.com Although the first quarter is typically the strongest of the year due to retirement contributions, asset flows for Q1 of 2015 was underwhelming in comparison to the final quarters of 2014, particularly for active domestic equity funds, according to Sandler O’Neill analyst Michael Kim and data from Morningstar. Goldman Sachs analyst Marc Irizarry notes that the median active manager fell short of its benchmark by 1.3% in 2014, marking the worst relative performance in 25 years, which could explain part of the basis for the outflows. Moving forward, many analysts anticipate a continua- tion of this trend if active managers (mutual funds and alternative asset managers) don’t justify their higher fees with better returns, and the market seems to agree with them of late. Still, Gabelli analyst Macrae Sykes notes that active managers tend to flourish in choppier times and stumble during stability, so this trend may just be a bi-product of recent market conditions. Conversely, the persistence of demand for lower cost, passively managed funds is good news for ETF pro- viders like BlackRock and WisdomTree Investments. BlackRock has secured the #1 share of industry ETF flows in the world, according to CEO Larry Fink, and individual investors have begun to follow the larger institutions in their pursuit of lower cost strategies. Other more traditional asset managers are starting to take notice. Legg Mason recently added a team to head its strategy ETF products, and companies such as Janus Capital Group have made acquisitions in order to capitalize on the rising demand for ETFs. There is also vast room for growth in active ETF strategies, which hold a mere $14 billion in assets in comparison to the 1.8 trillion ETF market as a whole, though there is con- siderable difficulty in charging higher fees for what is traditionally viewed as a low-fee product. Market Overview First Quarter 2015 Asset Managers Index Breakdown by Type 80.00 ! 90.00 ! 100.00 ! 110.00 ! 120.00 ! Mutual Funds! Traditional Asset Managers! Alternative Asset Managers! Trust Banks! SP 500! Source: SNL Financial! 90.00 ! 100.00 ! 110.00 ! 120.00 ! 130.00 ! 140.00 ! 150.00 ! 160.00 ! 170.00 ! AUM $10 B! AUM $10 B - $100 B! AUM $100 B - $500 B! AUM $500 B! SP 500! Source: SNL Financial! Asset Managers Index Breakdown by Size
  • 4. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015 © 2015 Mercer Capital 3 www.mercercapital.com Asset manager MA highlights from the first quarter include: • Fiera Capital intends to acquire $7.6 billion fixed income manager Samson Capital Advisors for $33.5 million or 0.44% of AUM. • On February 23, 2015, Stifel Financial entered into a merger agreement to acquire Sterne Agee Group for $150 million or 0.6% of SA’s $26 billion in client assets. • On March 25, 2015, Genstar Capital agreed to acquire a majority interest in $6 billion manager Mercer Advisors from Lovell Minnick Partners. • Simmons First National Corporation (ticker: SFNC) intends to acquire Ozark Trust and Investment Company for $20.7 million or 10.2x LTM EBITDA and 1.9% of AUM (just over $1 billion). Please see the next section for more detail on this transaction. • Raymond James announced it will acquire Cougar Global Investments Ltd., a Toronto-based ETF strategist with over $1 billion in AUM. Community banks are increasingly looking to RIAs for growth, according to Saabira Chaudhuri of The Wall Street Journal. The number of community banks who expect asset management to be among the biggest drivers of revenue growth more than doubled over the past year, as these banks turn away from revenue streams purely driven by net interest margins. The same report also showed an increase in the number of community banks that believe they are likely to be involved in an MA as a buyer. The next section of this newsletter discusses a recent example of this trend. According to a PWC report titled Asset Management MA Insights, deal activity in 2015 is expected to increase, particularly in transac- tions involving alternative managers and ETFs. According to PWC, the sellers are expected to be independent managers and banks that are divesting their asset management businesses in light of pending regulations, while US buyers are likely to be asset man- agers seeking to take advantage of the convergence trend. Several key themes are driving asset management activity in early 2015, including the stabilization of valuations, increased use of earn-outs, and the attractiveness of minority investments. Still, concerns about a potential bubble in equity markets and varying opinions regarding future growth rates could derail the recent momentum. MA Review First Quarter 2015 Asset Manager MA Since 2002 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 $- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 DealCount Volume(inBillions) Volume Deal Count Source: Bloomberg
  • 5. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015 © 2015 Mercer Capital 4 www.mercercapital.com What We’re Reading Asset Management MA insights: In Pursuit of Growth PWC http://mer.cr/1MS2F5t 2015 Mutual Fund Outlook Deloitte http://mer.cr/1SQH7Kk Community Banks Increasingly Look to Wealth Management for Growth The Wall Street Journal’s Money Beat: Saabira Chaudhuri http://mer.cr/1Bpli01 Asset Managers Could Feel Pinch as Investors Dial Back on Risk in Q1 SNL: Zaeem Shoaib http://mer.cr/1TSl9Z1 (subscription required) Poor Active Manager Performance Pushing investors Toward ETFs, Passive Strategies SNL: Matt Blumenfeld http://mer.cr/1Gy94Pq (subscription required) MERCER CAPITAL’S Financial Institutions Industry Newsletters Asset Management FinTechInsuranceBanks Portfolio Valuation Private Equity Marks Trends First Quarter 2015 Overview 1 What is Fair Value? 1 Equity Valuation 2 Debt Investments 4 Stock Performance for Publicly Traded PE Sponsors 6 About Mercer Capital 7 www.mercercapital.com Portfolio Valuation Mercer Capital’s Financial Institutions industry publications are featured below. Having built a substantial client base in various industries, we have formalized our research efforts to provide a regular, detailed overview of pertinent issues and relevant current events in each covered industry. These industry newsletters also offer a regular perspective on valuation issues pertinent to various industry groups and sectors. To subscribe, www.mercercapital.com/subscribe
  • 6. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015 © 2015 Mercer Capital 5 www.mercercapital.com On April 29th, 2015, Pine Bluff-based Simmons First National Corporation (NASDAQ ticker: SFNC), announced it had entered into a definitive agreement and plan of merger with Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation (OTIC) and its wholly owned subsidiary, the Trust Com- pany of the Ozarks (TCO), a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) headquartered in Springfield, Missouri. The Trust Com- pany of the Ozarks manages over $1 bil- lion in client assets for 1,300 clients and has enjoyed a 16% compound annual growth rate in AUM since 2009. Simmons First National Corporation has agreed to a purchase price of $20.7 million with a combination of cash and stock at closing, expected to take place in the third quarter of this year. Similar to the Boston Pri- vate/Banyan Partners and Tri-State/ Chartwell deals last year, the terms of the transaction were disclosed via an investor presentation and outlined below. All of these deals involve bank acqui- sitions of closely held RIAs. In a low interest rate environment coupled with rising capital requirements, many banks are turning their attention to asset managers and trust companies for a multitude of reasons: • Exposure to fee income that is uncorrelated to interest rates • Minimal capital requirements to grow AUM and AUA • Higher margins and ROEs relative to traditional banking activities • Greater degree of operating leverage – gains in profitability with management fees • Largely recurring revenue with monthly or quarterly billing cycles These recent deals are particularly instructive to other industry par- ticipants since, of the nearly 11,000 RIAs nationwide, approximately 80 (1%) transact in a given year, and the terms of these deals are rarely disclosed to the public. Contemporary transactions at these valuations suggest growing interest in businesses with recurring rev- enue streams and high EBITDA margins. For more information or if we can assist you in any way, please feel free to contact us. Simmons First National Corporation Acquisition of Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation SFNC / TCO Tri-State / Chartwell BPFH / Banyan Announcement Date 4/19/15 1/7/14 7/16/14 AUM $1,100 $7,500 $4,317 Realized Average Fee 0.60% 0.34% 0.58% Revenue $5.9 $25.9 $25.0 Operating Expense (Excl. Depr.) 3.9 19.9 18.0 EBITDA $2.0 $6.0 $7.0 EBITDA Margin 34.5% 23.2% 28.0% Initial Consideration $20.7 $45.0 $65.0 Earn-out - 15.0 20.0 Total Purchase Price $20.7 $60.0 $85.0 Implied % of AUM (Excl. Earn-out) 1.9% 0.6% 1.5% Multiple of Revenue (Excl. Earn-out) 3.5x 1.7x 2.6x Multiple of EBITDA (Excl. Earn-out) 10.2x 7.5x 9.3x Deal Analysis (in $ Mil.) Matthew R. Crow, ASA, CFA crowm@mercercapital.com Brooks K. Hamner, CFA hamnerb@mercercapital.com Source: Company Presentation and Previously Disclosed Information
  • 7. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Asset Management Industry First Quarter 2015 © 2015 Mercer Capital // Data Source: SNL Financial 6 www.mercercapital.com Pricing as of March 31, 2015 Ticker 3/31/15 Stock Price % of 52 Week High Price / Trailing EPS Price / Forward EPS Total Capital / AUM Total Capital / EBITDA TRADITIONAL ASSET MANAGERS Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. AMG $214.78 96.98% 26.81x 13.72x 2.20% 10.98x BlackRock, Inc. BLK 365.84 95.56% 19.00x 15.77x 1.49% 14.15x Legg Mason, Inc. LM 55.20 93.26% 19.00x 16.68x 1.03% 14.15x Pzena Investment Management, Inc. PZN 9.17 72.32% 17.30x 12.65x 2.18% 10.58x Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. WHG 60.30 26.53% 17.48x nm 2.47% 11.66x Group Median 93.26% 19.00x 14.74x 2.18% 11.66x MUTUAL FUNDS AllianceBerstein Investments, Inc. AB $30.87 99.58% 16.60x 13.25x nm 15.29x Calamos Asset Management, Inc. CLMS 13.45 93.14% 18.94x 22.80x 1.22% nm Cohen Steers, Inc. CNS 40.95 86.83% 24.82x 14.57x 3.45% 14.48x GAMCO Investors, Inc. GBL 78.51 86.99% 18.34x 14.30x 4.52% 12.18x INVESCO Ltd. IVZ 39.69 94.55% 17.41x 12.97x 3.00% 14.07x Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN 51.32 86.35% 13.72x 12.96x 3.87% 9.66x Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. DHIL 160.00 97.02% 16.55x nm 3.39% 10.48x Eaton Vance Corp. EV 41.64 89.07% 19.64x 14.41x 1.91% 11.32x Hennessy Advisors, Inc, HNNA 20.25 81.16% 14.40x nm 2.49% 9.80x Manning Napier, Inc. MN 13.01 68.95% nm 11.22x 0.37% nm T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW 80.98 91.36% 17.80x 15.00x 2.83% 10.00x U.S. Global Investors, Inc. GROW 3.20 79.88% nm nm 5.86% nm Waddell Reed Financial, Inc. WDR 49.54 64.79% 13.35x 13.41x 3.51% 8.40x Federated Investors, Inc. FII 33.89 95.20% 23.87x 15.22x 1.05% 14.63x Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. VRTS 130.77 57.53% 21.22x nm 5.86% 11.49x Janus Capital Group Inc. JNS 16.13 85.75% 21.22x 13.50x 1.98% nm Group Median 86.91% 18.07x 13.90x 3.00% 11.40x ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGERS Apollo Global Management, LLC APO $21.60 66.58% 34.84x 9.54x 11.69% 19.77x Brookfield Asset Management, Inc. BAM.A NA nm 14.51x 28.98x 48.48% 9.34x Blackstone Group L.P. BX 38.89 98.16% 15.07x 9.92x 7.98% nm Carlye Group, L.P, CG 27.10 75.30% 22.03x 9.59x 0.94% 8.27x Fortress Investment Group LLC FIG 8.07 96.65% 18.77x 8.73x 3.84% 11.81x Kohlberg Kravis Roberts Co. KKR 22.81 89.17% 19.66x 8.10x 21.01% nm Oaktree Capital Group, LLC OAK 51.66 88.37% 17.39x 11.23x 16.57% 6.45x Och-Ziff Capital Mgmt Group LLC OZM 12.64 87.47% 15.80x 7.57x 25.28% 13.88x Group Median 88.37% 18.08x 9.57x 14.13% 10.57x TRUST BANKS Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $69.65 95.78% 20.98x 15.90x nm nm Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK 40.24 96.29% 18.72x 13.06x nm nm State Street Corporation STT 73.53 90.87% 16.09x 12.48x nm nm Group Median 95.78% 18.72x 13.06x nm nm OVERALL MEDIAN 89.07% 18.53x 13.25x 3.20% 11.49x Asset Manager Multiples by Sector
  • 8. 5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600 Memphis, Tennessee 38137 Segment Focus: Mutual Funds Market Overview: First Quarter 2015 MA Review: First Quarter 2015 Simmons First National Corporation Acquisition of Ozark Trust and Investment Corporation In This Issue Copyright © 2015 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. As one of the largest valuation firms in the United States, Mercer Capital provides asset managers, trust companies, and investment consultants with corporate valuation, financial reporting valuation, transaction advisory, portfolio valuation, and related services. Matt Crow, ASA, CFA President 901.322.9728 crowm@mercercapital.com Mercer Capital is a business valuation and financial advisory firm serving a global client base. Business valuation services are provided for a wide variety of needs, including but not limited to corporate valuation services, tax compliance, litigation support, financial statement reporting compliance, and employee stock ownership plans. Our clients range from public to private, from smaller companies to large multi-nationals in a broad range of industries, as well as numerous governmental agencies. In addition, Mercer Capital provides investment banking and corporate advisory services including sell-side and buy-side merger acquisition representation, fairness opinions, solvency opinions, business interest and securities valuation, among others. Brooks Hamner, CFA Vice President 901.322.9714 hamnerb@mercercapital.com About Value Focus Asset Management Industry Mercer Capital’s Value Focus is a quarterly publication providing perspective on valuation issues pertinent to asset managers, trust companies, and investment consultants. Each issue highlights a market segment: 1st quarter: Mutual Fund Companies, 2nd quarter: Traditional Asset Managers, 3rd quarter: Alternative Asset Managers, and 4th quarter: Trust Banks. View past issues at www.mercercapital.com. About Mercer Capital