The Outlook for 2020 Mega Trends for the Aluminium Industry in Middle East.
What would drive growth for the Aluminium Industry in 2020 in the Middle East Region.
2. Aluminium
Downstream
Outlook for the
Middle East
ME Aluminium Downstream Mapping
Aluminium Potential Products for Investments
Middle East Al – A Macro Perspective
Growth Workshop Prelude
Strategic Conclusion
3. The Aluminum Industry in the Middle East: Where it Stands
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Production Consumption Extrusion Construction
Middle East Aluminium: Metal Value Chain
23%
70% 90%
The values in red are percentage
contribution of a of the previous bar
000,oftons,2008
0000,TonnesofAlProduction
From
6.2%
in 2007
to 15%
in 2015
Aluminium Production Forecast
• The alumnium production in the Middle East is
expected to grow significantly in the short to medium
term
• The region is expected to contribute about 15% of the
total global production of aluminium by 2015
• Middle East traditionally has been exporting a major
portion of their production in primary aluminium form
• There are no significant downstream development
companies in the Middle East apart from the
exception of extrusion which are heavily focused
towards construction industry
Al. Production Consumption Downstream End-user
4. 76% of the aluminium produced in ME is
exported in the primary form.
85% is percentage of aluminium expected to
be exported by 2030
542 Billion USD is the money value of
pure energy exported every year
1266 Billion USD is the money value
expected by 2030
20 Billion USD worth of competitive
edge is being exported purely from a power
perspective
46 Billion USD is the competitive edge
expected to be exported, which is almost
2 times the GDP of Bahrain
Aluminium industry in the Middle East is
challenged by three interlocking crises:
Pure Energy Being Exported
Minimal Existence of Downstream
No Economic Value-add
Is Middle East Exporting Pure Energy?
The Middle East Region is Currently Challenged by the Minimal Existence of the
Aluminium Downstream Industries
The GDP of Bahrain is a comparison with the 2008 real GDP
Energy
Exported
No
Downstream
No Economic
Value-add
5. Frost & Sullivan’s Research Approach
Tier 1
Aluminium
Products
Tier 2
Aluminium
Products
Tier 3
Aluminium
Products
Red Ocean
Market Place
Blue Ocean
Market Place
Products /
Markets
Products /
Markets
Competitiveness of the Market
Low High
Low
High
GrowthPotential
6. Short Listing of the Viable Aluminium Product for Middle East
List of Potential
Downstream Products
List of Potential
Downstream Products
Blue Ocean Market
Place
Blue Ocean Market
Place
Demand Vs Supply Gap
Export Potential
Feed stock & Raw Materials
IRR
Availability of Talent Pools
Customer Demand
Investment Cost
Utilities
Supply Chain Understanding
Distribution Value Chain
Selling Price
Demand Vs Supply Gap
Export Potential
Feed stock & Raw Materials
IRR
Availability of Talent Pools
Customer Demand
Investment Cost
Utilities
Supply Chain Understanding
Distribution Value Chain
Selling Price
Filtering CriteriaFiltering Criteria
Microsoft Excel
Worksheet