The document discusses various futuristic concepts, including hybrid floating apartment systems and sustainable pathways for society. It highlights the role of scenario planning as a tool for making decisions amid uncertainty, emphasizing that the pace of change in technology is accelerating. Additionally, it illustrates the importance of understanding potential future scenarios to navigate personal and professional choices.

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Control Panel Thread: SHELTER Posted Date: September
Post: SHELTER 9, 2010
Course Tools 1:54 PM
Author: Jordan Wyss
Course Links Status: Published
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Flying Apartment Systems: The Future of Mobile
Residences
Utilities
Help What is the future of air travel? Imagine being in Shanghi and then just
twenty short minutes later stepping off the plane in New York. Dennus
Ingemansson has visualized the future of air travel and apartment living
combining the two into a hybrid floating apartment system. The exterior
of the air ship has morphing capabilities that allow the ship to easily battle
through the harshness of our atmosphere and allows residents to get back
and forth from continent to continent in extremely short amounts of time.
Forecast made in: 2009
Predicted time of arrival: 2060
STEEPA
(T)echnological - It is going to take advanced technology to
build something like this.
(A)rt (& Design)- Design is key in making this work.
http://www.thedesignblog.org/entry/flying-apartments-
systems-the-future-of-mobile-residences/
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Thread:
1 of 3 9/12/10 4:22 PM

20. ”Riddley Walker“ Acceptable
(sustainable)
”Ecotopia”
worlds
“Star Trek”
b1
a1
b
a2
“Nature”
“Blade Runner”
“Technology” a3
Present a
Figure 5, Pathways to sustainable future worlds
Path (a) is unsustainable, and may lead to ecological collapse (a1) , or it may be deflected towards
sustainability (a2) and (a3). Path (b) is sustainable, but may be fine-tuned (b1).

32. The
TRENDMASTER’S
Guide
G E T A J U M P O N W H AT
Y O U R C U S T O M E R WA N T S N E X T
Robyn Waters
Illustrated by Lindsay Van De Weghe
Portfolio

33. A
Is for
ANTENNAE

41. ___LOVE ___KINDNESS ___FRIENDSHIP ___TENDERNESS ___AFFECTION ___
___RECOGNITION ___HONOR ___COURTESY ___ADMIRATION ___RESPECT ___
___ABILITY ___TALENT ___INGENUITY ___CAPABILITY ___SKILL ___
___KNOWLEDGE ___EDUCATION ___WISDOM ___UNDERSTANDING ___ENLIGHTENMENT ___
___LEADERSHIP ___AUTHORITY ___INFLUENCE ___DECISION-MAKING ___POWER ___
___MONEY ___PROPERTY ___INCOME ___FOOD ___WEALTH ___
___HEALTH ___HAPPINESS ___CONTENTMENT ___RELAXATION ___WELL-BEING ___
___HONESTY ___JUSTICE ___TRUST ___FAIRPLAY ___RECTITUDE ___
Remember: please don't
Overview rate the above list for
Here are words that hold now — wait for your
some sort of meaning to facilitator to help.
most people. As such
these words embody
something we call
values. Please ponder
them. We'd like to find
out which ones you think
are important to you.
Instructions
To do this we're asking
you to rate the
importance of values on
a scale of 1 to 8. 1 is the
most important, 8 is least
important. Assign one
rating (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or
8) for each slot that
precedes a word. Work
one list at a time, starting
with the left-most list
first. Once you're done
rating each list move on;
please avoid going back
to revise previous lists.
Please do not rate the
last list (the one boxed
in). Your facilitator will This values survey
guide you through a final courtesy Ann Blocker
phase pertaining to this
list. MI2002/1/07ValSurv.doc

47. Envision scenarios that might affect your future
Posted 8/2/2010 4:04 AM | Comment | Recommend 2 E-mail | S
By Andrea Kay, Gannett
I just spent three days listening to people from across the planet talk about how we might live, work
and think in 2025 and beyond.
It seems eons away, and you may be so focused on getting or keeping your job today that you don't
give the future much thought. But the choices you make now can help you discover how things could
pan out later.
Mind you, no one can predict the future with certainty. One after the other, these researchers,
inventors, professors, consultants and futurists at the World Future Conference who covered everything from the most highly valued future professions to
simulating the human brain always added this caveat: Of course, no one knows for sure.
So how do you plan for your future if you don't know what's around the corner? How do you know whether your industry will even exist by 2025?
One thing we do know is that the pace of change is accelerating because of "exponential growth of information technology," says Ray Kurzweil, one of
the speakers.
Dubbed by Inc. magazine as the "rightful heir to Thomas Edison," this inventor and author demonstrated just how fast.
"The first steps in technology — fire, stone tools, the wheel — took tens of thousands of years to take hold," he says. "Guttenberg's invention of the printing
about 400 years to reach a mass audience. The telephone reached a quarter of the U.S. population in 50 years, the cellphone did that in seven years. Soci
wikis and blogs took about three years."
So how do you decide whether to go into this or that career when things change so quickly? Research, right?
But "it's simply impossible to research away the uncertainties on which the success of a key decision will hang," Lawrence Wilkinson, co-founder of the thin
Business Network, says in Wired.
The tool of choice for making decisions in the midst of uncertainty is scenario planning. The military began using it after Word War II to imagine what enemi
to plan alternative strategies.
Shell Oil, which in the 1970s was looking for events that might affect the price of oil, has used it extensively. When the energy crisis burst upon the world in
major oil companies, only Shell was prepared emotionally for the change" and responded quickly, says Peter Schwartz, author of The Art of the Long View.
Scenario thinking is an organized way to "dream effectively about our own future," he says. It helps you present "alternative images of the future, not just ex
trends of the present" and make choices today with an understanding of how they might turn out.

48. Scenarios versus forecasts
The Present The Path The Future
FORECAST
Current Multiple Alternative
Realities Paths Future Images
(mental maps)
SCENARIOS
6

49. 15

50. Energy Demand
Predetermineds
Overall Demand
Coal % Fossil fuels in demand
2025 range
of possible
outcomes
Renewables % Oil in Transport
2005
Power/Transport Diesel demand position and
magnitude
Developing countries of change
demand relative to
28 developed

51. Which signposts?
32