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Market Cycle Forecast
- 1. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Cycles are everywhere • Cycles are natural phenomenal • We know the causes for some cycles • We don’t know the causes for market cycles • Our goal is to observe the market cycles • Isolate the market noises • Buy the bottom and sell the top
- 2. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Major cycles in the stock market – Four-year cycle – Two-year cycle – Seasonal cycle – Primary cycle measured in weeks – Daily cycle measured in days
- 3. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Why Cycles? – Cycles provide the time element in trading – Time is more important than price – Cycles are the missing piece that glue the markets together – Price patterns don’t work all the time because the patterns only work in certain cycle locations
- 4. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Four-year cycle – The 4-Year Cycle in the U.S. Stock Market can be traced back to 1789, and is the dominant longer- term cycle affecting the stock market, setting trends that often last for three or more years – Averaged 48 months from low-to-low, 37 months from low-to high, and 12 months from high-to-low
- 5. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Two-year cycle – Is the half cycle of the 4-year cycle – It may or may not show up
- 6. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Seasonal Cycle – Affect us the most – The long-term cycles always top and bottom with a seasonal cycle – Sets the trend for a large part of the year – A bull out of a seasonal low, a rise of 7 months or more is not uncommon – A bear out of a seasonal high, a selloff of 7 months or more is not uncommon
- 7. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Weekly Cycle – Is of primary importance to trade with trend – Sets the trend for most trades – Measure in weeks
- 8. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Two types of weekly cycles – Simple form with three components – Complex form with seven components
- 9. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Daily Cycle – Measured in days – This is the swing trade cycle – Pin point trade signals
- 10. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Analytical Tools – Cycle strength calculation, long or short term – Cycle top and bottom forecast, long or short term – Cycle price projection, long or short term – Intraday tools
- 11. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Intraday Tools – Open range breakout – Daily pivot range – 3-day rolling pivot range
- 12. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Intraday Tools – Intraday behavior has certain characteristics for certain cycle locations – Intraday tools help pin point the cycle turning point sooner than without it
- 13. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Cycle trading advantage – It always provides a point of reference – You’ll know when you are wrong with a price and time stop – Always trade with a measured risk
- 14. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •Cycles’ Predicative Value – Cycles enable us to forecast – We always have price and time expectations for any given markets – Avoid herd mentality – Stay ahead of the trading game
- 15. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •PricenTime.com Advantage – We provide long term forecast for general market conditions for major markets – Serious investors can benefit from the unbiased forecast – Short term traders receive real time trading signals via email – Every trade carries a price and time stop loss – You choose the signals by your own risk/reward
- 16. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •PricenTime.com Advantage – Cycle trading is more of an art than science. – Cycles are difficult to identify because cycles are not sine waves – Cycles contract, expand and sometimes even miss a beat – But cycles can provide timing – Timing is everything
- 17. PricenTime.com Market Cycle Forecast •PricenTime.com Advantage – Let us do the analytical heavy lifting – You take the clear trading signals without the long learning curve – We don’t mince words when we issue trade alerts – Never place a trade without a trading plan – Stay ahead of the herd