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DJIA Companies and Unemployment

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Gale Pooley
Gale Pooley

Macro 11

Economy & Finance
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Lecture 11 Macroeconomics
Quiz Name two companies in the DJIA.
Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA 30 leading companies
Finance Time Risk
Finance Time - t or n Risk - r or i
Foundation Finance Formula (1 + r ) n r = risk rate n = time periods
FutureValue? Future Value = Amount Today x Factor Factor is the Growth Formula (1 + r ) n r = rate n = time periods
FutureValue? (1 + r ) n r = 10% or 0.10 n = 5 years (1 + 0.10)5 (1.10)5 1.61
FutureValue? Future Value = Amount Today x Factor $161 = $100 x 1.61 Future Value is compounding Future Value is multiplying
PresentValue? Present Value = Future Amount ÷ Factor Present Value = $100 ÷ 1.61 $62.11 = $100 ÷ 1.61 Present Value is discounting Present Value is dividing
Finance Unknown - Present Value or Future Value? Must know rate and number of periods Compute Factor with formula (1+r)n If FV multiply If PV divide
Present Future x Factor ? ÷ Factor ? Factor Formula = (1 + r ) n
Chapter 11 Unemployment
Unemployment Who measures it? How is it measured?
Who Measures? Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics
Two Surveys The Current Population Survey (CPS) "household survey" Sample of 60,000 households. The Current Employment Statistics Survey (CES): "payroll survey" sample of 160,000 businesses and government agencies that represent 400,000 individual employees.
Adults 16+ Everybody 320 100% 16+ 254 80% Under 16 66 20%
Adult Category 16+ 254 100% Not in Labor Force 94 37% In Labor Force 160 63%
Not in Labor Force not employed discouraged workers full-time student homemaker military retiree
Discouraged Worker
Discouraged Worker People who would like to work but have given up looking for a job
Labor Force Adults 16+ who have jobs or are looking for jobs. Employed + Unemployed
Labor Force Participation Rate The percent of the Adult Population that is in the Labor Force
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year 0N 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year 0 20 40 60 Shareofthecivilianlaborforce(%) Men Women
Labor Force Total 160 100% Employed 152.3 95.2% Unemployed 7.7 4.8%
Employed paid employees work in own business unpaid workers in family business full-time and part-time jobs but temporary absence
Unemployed not employed available tried to find a job in the last four weeks waiting to be recalled from layoff
Unemployment Rate Unemployed ÷ Labor Force
16+ 79% Under 16 21% U.S Population millions % Under 16 66 21% 16+ 254 79% Total 320 100%
Unemployed 7.7 million 3% Employed 152.3 million 60% Not in Labor Force 94 million 37% Adult Population
Unemployed 7.7 million 5% Employed 152.3 million 95% Labor Force
millions % Population % Adults % Labor Force Population 320 100% Age under 16 66 20% Age 16+ 254 80% 100% Not in Labor Force 94 30% 37% In Labor Force 160 50% 63% 100% Employed 152.3 47.6% 60% 95.2% Unemployed 7.7 2.4% 3% 4.8%
U1: the percentage of labor force unemployed for 15 weeks or longer. U2: the percentage of labor force who lost jobs or completed temporary work. U3: the official unemployment rate that occurs when people are without jobs and they have actively looked for work within the past four weeks. U4: the individuals described in U3 plus "discouraged workers," those who have stopped looking for work because current economic conditions make them think that no work is available for them. U5: the individuals described in U4 plus other "marginally attached workers," "loosely attached workers," or those who "would like" and are able to work, but have not looked for work recently. U6: the individuals described in U5 plus part-time workers who want to work full-time, but cannot due to economic reasons, primarily underemployment. Six Measures of Unemployment
Problems Overstate - Above actual Cash workers Understate - Below actual Discouraged workers
Natural Rate of Unemployment The normal rate of unemployment around which the unemployment rate fluctuates

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