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Lecture 16
Macroeconomics
Exam 2
Friday March 8
Testing Center
Chapters 10-15
Chapter 10
Stock Market and Personal
Finance
Indexes
DJIA
S&P 500
NASDAQ
Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
30 leading companies
Investment
GDP:
purchases of new capital
Stocks and Bonds
Firm
An organization that
organizes capitals
Types of Firms
Proprietorships
Partnerships
Corporations
Issues
Complexity
Liability
Taxes
Raising Money
Control
Dividends
portion of profits paid to
shareholders
Raising Money
Retained Earnings
Sell Ownership Shares
Borrow
Financial Statements
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Revenue
- Expenses
= Net Income
What happened between two dates?
Balance Sheet
What I own
What is the status on a specific date?
What I owe
What I am worth
=
Assets
Liabilities
Net Worth
Must balance
Valuation
Stock Price x Number of Shares
$50 a share
1,000,000 shares
$50,000,000 value
Valuation
Share Price: $175
Share Outstanding: 4.915 billion
Value ?
$856 billion
Finance
Time
Risk
Finance
Time - t or n
Risk - r or i
Foundation Finance
Formula
(1 + r )
n
r = risk rate
n = time periods
Finance
Unknown - Present Value or Future Value?
Must know rate and number of periods
Compute Factor with formula
(1+r)n
If FV multiply
If PV divide
Present Future
x Factor ?
÷ Factor ?
Factor Formula = (1 + r )
n
Chapter 11
Unemployment
Unemployment Rate
Labor Force
Participation Rate
Rates are Ratios
Not in Labor Force
not employed
discouraged workers
full-time student
homemaker
military
retiree
Discouraged Worker
Discouraged Worker
People who would like
to work but have given
up looking for a job
Labor Force
Adults 16+ who have jobs
or are looking for jobs.
Employed + Unemployed
Labor Force
Participation Rate
The percent of the Adult
Population that is in the
Labor Force
millions
%
Population
%
Adults
% Labor
Force
Population 320 100%
Age under 16 66 20%
Age 16+ 254 80% 100%
Not in Labor Force 94 30% 37%
In Labor Force 160 50% 63% 100%
Employed 152.3 47.6% 60% 95.2%
Unemployed 7.7 2.4% 3% 4.8%
Problems
Overstate - Above actual
Cash workers
Understate - Below actual
Discouraged workers
Three Types of
Unemployment
Frictional
Seasonal
Structural
Frictional
Unemployment
Time to find a new
job
Seasonal
Unemployment
Demand changes
with the season
Structural
Unemployment
Too many workers
Change in Demand
Minimum Wage Laws
Government sets a
minimum wage that can
legally be paid
Price Floor
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Supply
Demand
Wage
Workers
Equilibrium
Wage
30 workers
30 jobs
no
unemployment
Minimum Wage
40 workers
20 jobs
20 unemployed
workers
Minimum Wage
20 workers
get a raise
10 workers
lose job
10 new
unemployed
workers
Minimum
Wage
Efficiency Wages
Higher wages make more
productive employees
Efficiency Wages
More Healthy
Lower Turnover
Higher Quality
More Effort
Chapter 12
Inflation and the Quality
Theory of Money
100+ Currencies
Good Money
Bad Money
What is Money?
Trust
If money loses trust
It loses its value
What is Money?
Medium of Exchange
Store ofValue
Unit of Account
Prices
Current
Constant
Inflation
Cause:
Printing money faster than
making goods and services
Effect:
Rising prices
Nominal
vs.
Real
P2 - P1
P1
x 100
Inflation Rate
Price Level
Average of
prices
Inflation Indexes
GDP Deflator
CPI
PPI
Quantity Theory of
Money
M = Money Supply
v = velocity
P = Price Level
YR = Real GDP
v = velocity
The average number of
times a dollar is used to
purchase final goods and
services within a year
Mv = PYR
Assume v andYR are
constant
M = P
M = P
Inflation is
everywhere and
always a monetary
phenomenon
- Milton Friedman
Costs of Inflation
uncertainty
illusion
redistribution
tax bracket creep
Who wins?
Inflation Winners Losers
Lower than
Expected
Lenders Borrowers
Higher than
Expected
Borrowers Lenders
Chapter 13
Aggregate Demand
and
Aggregate Supply
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Price
Level
AS
Adam Smith
Classical Model
AD
100
Price
Level
AS
Adam Smith
Classical Model
Recession
Unemployment
Real GDP
$6.50
$4.00
50
Father of
Macroeconomics
John Maynard Keynes
(1883 - 1946)
The GeneralTheory of
Employment,
Interest and Money
The ideas of economists and
political philosophers are more
powerful than commonly
understood; indeed the world is
ruled by little else.
AD
Price
Level
LRAS
Adam Smith
Neo-Classical Model
Real GDP
SRAS
John Keynes
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
Recession
Inflation
Negative Positive
Shift Left Shift Right
Aggregate
Supply
Curve
Bad weather Good weather
Higher oil price Lower Oil Price
Tech slump Tech boom
Higher business taxes or
regulations
Lower business taxes or regulation
War, Earthquake, Pandemic Smooth production
Aggregate
Demand
Curve
Slower Money Supply Growth Faster money Supply Growth
Fear Confidence
Reduced Wealth Increased Wealth
Higher Personal Taxes Lower Personal Taxes
Lower Government Spending Higher Government Spending
Decreased Export Growth Increased Export Growth
Increased Import Growth Decreased Import Growth
AD
Price
Level
LRAS
Real GDP
SRAS
Graphing Quiz
Total Spending Growth Rate is 12%
Inflation Rate is 8%
Growth Rate?
Reduce Money Growth Rate to 4%
Graph the Process
Explain
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
Total Spending Rate = Inflation Rate + Real GDP Growth Rate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Real GDP Growth Rate %
Inflation
Rate
%
AD1
LRAS SRAS
AD2
8% Inflation
4% Growth
12% Total Spending
7% Inflation
1% Growth
8% Total Spending
4% Inflation
4% Growth
8% Total Spending
Short
Run
Long
Run
Mv = PYR
Rates
M + v = P +YR
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6%
Aggregate Demand
AD = M +V = 5%P
Inflation
Rate
Y - Real GDP Growth Rate
5% = P +Y
AD = 7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6%
Aggregate Demand
P
Inflation
Rate
Y - Real GDP Growth Rate
Short-Run Supply Curve
Adrenaline
Give 110%
Push to exceed normal
capacity
Long Run
Run out of Adrenaline
Fall back to normal
Cannot do 110% forever
unless.....
Chapter 14
Transmission and
Amplification Functions
Transmission and Amplifications
Intertemporal Substitution
Uncertainty and Irreversible Investments
Labor Adjustment Costs
Time Bunching
Collateral Damage
Little things can
cause big things
Life is not linear
Good
Bad
Chapter 15
The Federal Reserve
Two Problems
Unemployment
Inflation
Negative Positive
Shift Left Shift Right
Aggregate
Supply
Curve
Bad weather Good weather
Higher oil price Lower Oil Price
Tech slump Tech boom
Higher business taxes or
regulations
Lower business taxes or regulation
War, Earthquake, Pandemic Smooth production
Aggregate
Demand
Curve
Slower Money Supply Growth Faster money Supply Growth
Fear Confidence
Reduced Wealth Increased Wealth
Higher Personal Taxes Lower Personal Taxes
Lower Government Spending Higher Government Spending
Decreased Export Growth Increased Export Growth
Increased Import Growth Decreased Import Growth
Chapter 15
Central Banks
Money Supplies
Fractional Reserve Banking
Reserve Ratio - Money Multiplier
Monetary Tools
Systemic Risks
Control
AD-AS Model
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
Recession
Inflation
Money Supply Tools
Excess
Reserves
Rate
Open
Market
Operations
Discount
Rate
Reserve
Ratio
Problem
Recession
Shift AD to
Right
Inflation
Shift AD to Left
Tools
Increase
Money Supply
Decrease
Money Supply
Reserve Ratio Lower Raise
Discount Rate Lower Raise
Open Market
Operations
Buy Bonds
from the Banks
Sell Bonds
to the Banks
Excess Reserves
Interest Rate
Lower Raise
Illiquid
No cash
Net worth to pay debt, but can’t
sell quick and without loss
Insolvent
No cash
No net worth to pay debt

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