LinkedIn is recommended as a buy with a target price of $129.64 per share. Key points:
- LinkedIn continues to grow revenues at a high rate and is expected to maintain strong revenue growth of 49% over the next 4 years.
- Increased monetization of its large user base through sales and marketing focus should improve profitability.
- Valued using DCF and comparable company multiples, LinkedIn is undervalued relative to its growth potential and the target price represents a 17.5% upside from current price.
The document provides an investor presentation for 7 Days Group Holdings Limited from March 2013. It contains the following key points in 3 sentences:
1) 7 Days Group is a major economy hotel chain in China that has experienced rapid growth, opening over 400 new hotels in 2012 alone to reach over 1,300 hotels total.
2) The presentation outlines 7 Days Group's strategy of focusing on managed hotels to drive long-term profitable growth at lower risk and higher margins compared to leased-and-operated hotels.
3) Financial highlights show that 7 Days Group has achieved twelve consecutive profitable quarters since 2010 and increasing economies of scale are supporting ongoing profit and cash flow growth.
1) Alibaba reported 1Q12 results that beat consensus estimates, with revenue down 4% quarter-over-quarter due to seasonal effects. However, paying membership continued to decline across platforms such as China Gold Suppliers.
2) The analyst maintains a target price of HK$13.5 per share, matching the proposed privatization deal price, expecting the deal to succeed given a lack of near-term revenue catalysts.
3) Further details of the privatization proposal will be released on April 24th, with lower revenue forecasts for 2012-2013 reflecting an investment in improving quality and attracting traffic away from membership growth.
Presentation at Logility Conference 2012Lora Cecere
This document discusses supply chain trends and challenges. It contains the following key points:
1) Retail is experiencing major shifts with power moving to shoppers, Amazon expanding into new categories, and expectations of anytime, anywhere shopping. This is pushing more costs backwards in supply chains.
2) Commodity price volatility significantly impacted company profits over the past 12 months and is expected to continue affecting profits
The document outlines the agenda for a company meeting, including welcome remarks, introductions, a presentation on China division growth strategy, and tours. It then provides details on the company's performance, including consistent double-digit earnings growth, share buybacks, same-store sales growth, and new unit growth. The remainder discusses strategies for growing brands in China across various restaurant categories to capitalize on the large market opportunity.
This annual report summarizes Lockheed Martin's financial and operational performance in 2010. Some key highlights include:
- Net sales of $45.8 billion, segment operating profit of $5.1 billion, and earnings per share of $7.94.
- Backlog increased to over $78 billion in orders at the end of 2010.
- Progress made on programs such as the F-35, C-5M, missile defense technologies, and GPS III.
- Challenges around managing costs and improving the F-35 program were acknowledged.
A global revolution is in full swing, and the Sustainable Brands Conference is where sustainability, brand and innovation leaders gather to learn, share and strategize to shape the future. SB'12 was the largest gathering to date, a kinetic convergence of innovators from more than 150 companies from around the world finding new ways to create monumental disruption in traditional models of commerce and consumption.
The document provides an investor presentation for 7 Days Group Holdings Limited from March 2013. It contains the following key points in 3 sentences:
1) 7 Days Group is a major economy hotel chain in China that has experienced rapid growth, opening over 400 new hotels in 2012 alone to reach over 1,300 hotels total.
2) The presentation outlines 7 Days Group's strategy of focusing on managed hotels to drive long-term profitable growth at lower risk and higher margins compared to leased-and-operated hotels.
3) Financial highlights show that 7 Days Group has achieved twelve consecutive profitable quarters since 2010 and increasing economies of scale are supporting ongoing profit and cash flow growth.
1) Alibaba reported 1Q12 results that beat consensus estimates, with revenue down 4% quarter-over-quarter due to seasonal effects. However, paying membership continued to decline across platforms such as China Gold Suppliers.
2) The analyst maintains a target price of HK$13.5 per share, matching the proposed privatization deal price, expecting the deal to succeed given a lack of near-term revenue catalysts.
3) Further details of the privatization proposal will be released on April 24th, with lower revenue forecasts for 2012-2013 reflecting an investment in improving quality and attracting traffic away from membership growth.
Presentation at Logility Conference 2012Lora Cecere
This document discusses supply chain trends and challenges. It contains the following key points:
1) Retail is experiencing major shifts with power moving to shoppers, Amazon expanding into new categories, and expectations of anytime, anywhere shopping. This is pushing more costs backwards in supply chains.
2) Commodity price volatility significantly impacted company profits over the past 12 months and is expected to continue affecting profits
The document outlines the agenda for a company meeting, including welcome remarks, introductions, a presentation on China division growth strategy, and tours. It then provides details on the company's performance, including consistent double-digit earnings growth, share buybacks, same-store sales growth, and new unit growth. The remainder discusses strategies for growing brands in China across various restaurant categories to capitalize on the large market opportunity.
This annual report summarizes Lockheed Martin's financial and operational performance in 2010. Some key highlights include:
- Net sales of $45.8 billion, segment operating profit of $5.1 billion, and earnings per share of $7.94.
- Backlog increased to over $78 billion in orders at the end of 2010.
- Progress made on programs such as the F-35, C-5M, missile defense technologies, and GPS III.
- Challenges around managing costs and improving the F-35 program were acknowledged.
A global revolution is in full swing, and the Sustainable Brands Conference is where sustainability, brand and innovation leaders gather to learn, share and strategize to shape the future. SB'12 was the largest gathering to date, a kinetic convergence of innovators from more than 150 companies from around the world finding new ways to create monumental disruption in traditional models of commerce and consumption.
My valuation of Cognizant both intrinsic valuation and pricing models with some regression built in; as Cognizant rotates to digital the question becomes can they maintain there very high growth standards. Currently I find them to be a buy. Many experts don't.
This report recommends buying Insight Enterprises (NSIT) stock with a price target of $36.52. It summarizes Insight's business as a leading global provider of IT solutions and products for commercial and government clients. Financially, Insight has strong free cash flow, revenue growth, and acquires companies to expand its offerings. A discounted cash flow valuation implies the stock is undervalued with a fair value estimate of $47.41 per share.
Genesis Equity Research initiates coverage of LinkedIn with a buy rating and $608 price target. LinkedIn is expanding its online recruiting business through growing its member base and expanding services. It faces no strong direct competitors, giving it pricing power. The premium valuation reflects LinkedIn's strength in connecting all professionals on one platform and creating a social network for business. Revenues are expected to grow at 51% annually through 2018, driven by increased customers and higher prices for Talent Solutions. Registered members are projected to reach 837 million by 2018, making LinkedIn the largest professional social network. Risks include competition, pricing strategy, poor mobile experience, and lack of user engagement.
The document discusses a case study examining the potential return on investment of implementing a web-based customer portal for B&K Distributors. It finds the projected 5-year internal rate of return would be 40.6%, significantly higher than the 12% without the portal. However, the analysis notes many assumptions around growth projections and recommends conducting sensitivity analysis on factors like market share increases, technical issues, and technological advancements that could impact returns. While carrying risks, the group recommends moving forward with the portal due to significant upside potential if managed correctly after implementation.
Hear how Kelly Battles, CFO of Host Analytics, works with her finance team to track key financial and operating metrics data to drive performance and keep the company on track to deliver growth in 2011. In addition, Lauren Kelley, CEO of OPEXEngine will present key software industry benchmarks from OPEXEngine’s comprehensive financial and operating benchmarking report, developed in partnership with the SIIA. Join us for this informative webinar to learn more about how the benefits of metrics-driven, fact based decision making can help you drive better performance and efficiency within your own organization.
Presenters:
Lauren Kelley, CEO & Founder, OPEXEngine
Kelly Battles, CFO, Host Analytics
About the presenters:
Lauren Kelley is CEO and founder of OPEXEngine, the leading publisher of software financial and operating benchmarks. Ms. Kelley brings 25 years of successful experience in tech company management to OPEXEngine, as well as 6 years as an international economist at the US Department of Commerce’s Office of Computers early in her career, after entering Federal service through the prestigious Presidential Management Intern program. Prior to building OPEXEngine, she worked 2 years as an executive-in-residence at Grand Banks Capital, a venture fund focused on East Coast technology companies, evaluating potential investments. She has worked and lived extensively in Europe. She was previously Senior VP of WW Sales at ATG, including establishing field operations throughout Europe and Asia/Pacific, and was a General Manager for approximately 20 countries at Borland out of Paris in the early ’90s. Ms. Kelley also helped build Compaq’s Central and East European operations, based in Munich. Ms. Kelley is currently based in London, where she lives with her husband and two children.
Kelly Bodnar Battles is the CFO of Host Analytics, inc., the only provider of a CPM (Corporate Performance Management) suite of products delivered via software as a service.
Prior to Host Analytics, Kelly was VP, Finance at IronPort Systems where she was the first finance hire and was responsible for building and leading the finance, accounting, administrative and various operational functions during her six years there. During her tenure at IronPort, the company grew from $2M to $250M in annual bookings and was sold to Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO).
Before IronPort, Kelly was a Director in HP’s Strategy and Corporate Development group, a Strategy Consultant with McKinsey and Company, and a Corporate Finance Associate at J.P. Morgan. Kelly graduated with a B.S.E. from Princeton and M.B.A. from Harvard, both with honors. Kelly lives in the Bay Area with her husband, and their 2 children, labrador retriever and rescue cat.
Now in its ninth year, the Supply Chains to Admire analysis is a study of the progress of each industry sector on the balanced scorecard of growth, operating margin, inventory turns, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). Twenty-two companies outperform their peer group, defining and exemplifying supply chain excellence.
Valuetronics reported strong financial results for FY2014, with revenue increasing 10.1% and net profit rising 24.9%. The company has a large cash position of $478M and generated $303M in operating cash flow. The analyst upgrades their rating to "Buy" and sets a target price of $0.605, citing earnings outperformance, excess cash, and an attractive 8% dividend yield. The analyst expects continued revenue growth from the consumer electronics and industrial/commercial segments as those industries benefit from trends like LED lighting adoption and manufacturing outsourcing.
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business.
Based on the Microsoft Corporation stock forecasts from 19 analysts, the average analyst target price for Microsoft Corporation is USD 347.83 over the next 12 months. Microsoft Corporation’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Microsoft Corporation is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 9 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, Microsoft Corporation’s stock price was USD 252.99. Microsoft Corporation’s stock price has changed by -6.31% over the past week, -0.92% over the past month and -1.90% over the last year.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and the target price to Rs 3,200, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating given macro concerns.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5.0% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance remained unchanged.
3) The brokerage firm revised down its target price for Infosys to INR 3,200 per share and recommended accumulating the stock.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst expects challenges in meeting the upper end of annual guidance given macro concerns and lowered 2Q guidance. Estimates were cut and the target price was revised downwards to Rs 3,200.
This document provides an overview of Supply Chain Insights LLC, a company focused on delivering independent supply chain research and insights. It highlights the company's past reports and planned reports for 2012-2013. Key metrics and industry data on areas like inventory, cash-to-cash cycle, and gross margin are presented for various industries. The document also discusses trends in supply chain like sustainability, analytics, and the supply chain of the future, emphasizing the need for collaboration and data-driven decision making. Contact and background information is given for Lora Cecere, the founder of Supply Chain Insights.
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business. Based on the Microsoft Corporation stock forecasts from 18 analysts, the average analyst target price for Microsoft Corporation is USD 349.33 over the next 12 months. Microsoft Corporation’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Microsoft Corporation is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 9 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, Microsoft Corporation’s stock price was USD 260.65. Microsoft Corporation’s stock price has changed by -0.33% over the past week, -4.88% over the past month and +6.31% over the last year.
This report provides a detailed analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock. It finds the stock to be slightly bullish overall, rating it 6.7 out of 10. Strengths include its large market capitalization, superior risk-adjusted returns, and strong financial ratios. However, the stock is also considered overpriced relative to some valuation metrics. Recent analyst ratings are mixed, with most setting price targets between $150-210.
The Affiliate Marketing Council held its assembly meeting on July 26th 2012. The agenda included reviewing the council's 2012 activities and looking ahead to 2013. Key discussions were around upcoming legislation, standards, and a major new performance marketing industry study. The meeting notes indicate affiliate spending is increasing, with many advertisers expecting commission payments to rise in 2013.
1) The document analyzes Sina, a Chinese company that leads the micro-blogging market in China, and recommends buying its stock.
2) It predicts Sina is in the early stages of a 3-5 year revaluation as micro-blogging becomes more popular and profitable.
3) Sina has a sustainable competitive advantage in China's micro-blogging market due to its large user base and the potential for multiple monetization models as the platform scales.
How Customers Choose Solutions Providers 2009ITSMA
ITSMA, in partnership with Pierre Audoin Consultants (PAC), conducted the 2009 version of its acclaimed How Customers Choose research across three continents.
My valuation of Cognizant both intrinsic valuation and pricing models with some regression built in; as Cognizant rotates to digital the question becomes can they maintain there very high growth standards. Currently I find them to be a buy. Many experts don't.
This report recommends buying Insight Enterprises (NSIT) stock with a price target of $36.52. It summarizes Insight's business as a leading global provider of IT solutions and products for commercial and government clients. Financially, Insight has strong free cash flow, revenue growth, and acquires companies to expand its offerings. A discounted cash flow valuation implies the stock is undervalued with a fair value estimate of $47.41 per share.
Genesis Equity Research initiates coverage of LinkedIn with a buy rating and $608 price target. LinkedIn is expanding its online recruiting business through growing its member base and expanding services. It faces no strong direct competitors, giving it pricing power. The premium valuation reflects LinkedIn's strength in connecting all professionals on one platform and creating a social network for business. Revenues are expected to grow at 51% annually through 2018, driven by increased customers and higher prices for Talent Solutions. Registered members are projected to reach 837 million by 2018, making LinkedIn the largest professional social network. Risks include competition, pricing strategy, poor mobile experience, and lack of user engagement.
The document discusses a case study examining the potential return on investment of implementing a web-based customer portal for B&K Distributors. It finds the projected 5-year internal rate of return would be 40.6%, significantly higher than the 12% without the portal. However, the analysis notes many assumptions around growth projections and recommends conducting sensitivity analysis on factors like market share increases, technical issues, and technological advancements that could impact returns. While carrying risks, the group recommends moving forward with the portal due to significant upside potential if managed correctly after implementation.
Hear how Kelly Battles, CFO of Host Analytics, works with her finance team to track key financial and operating metrics data to drive performance and keep the company on track to deliver growth in 2011. In addition, Lauren Kelley, CEO of OPEXEngine will present key software industry benchmarks from OPEXEngine’s comprehensive financial and operating benchmarking report, developed in partnership with the SIIA. Join us for this informative webinar to learn more about how the benefits of metrics-driven, fact based decision making can help you drive better performance and efficiency within your own organization.
Presenters:
Lauren Kelley, CEO & Founder, OPEXEngine
Kelly Battles, CFO, Host Analytics
About the presenters:
Lauren Kelley is CEO and founder of OPEXEngine, the leading publisher of software financial and operating benchmarks. Ms. Kelley brings 25 years of successful experience in tech company management to OPEXEngine, as well as 6 years as an international economist at the US Department of Commerce’s Office of Computers early in her career, after entering Federal service through the prestigious Presidential Management Intern program. Prior to building OPEXEngine, she worked 2 years as an executive-in-residence at Grand Banks Capital, a venture fund focused on East Coast technology companies, evaluating potential investments. She has worked and lived extensively in Europe. She was previously Senior VP of WW Sales at ATG, including establishing field operations throughout Europe and Asia/Pacific, and was a General Manager for approximately 20 countries at Borland out of Paris in the early ’90s. Ms. Kelley also helped build Compaq’s Central and East European operations, based in Munich. Ms. Kelley is currently based in London, where she lives with her husband and two children.
Kelly Bodnar Battles is the CFO of Host Analytics, inc., the only provider of a CPM (Corporate Performance Management) suite of products delivered via software as a service.
Prior to Host Analytics, Kelly was VP, Finance at IronPort Systems where she was the first finance hire and was responsible for building and leading the finance, accounting, administrative and various operational functions during her six years there. During her tenure at IronPort, the company grew from $2M to $250M in annual bookings and was sold to Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO).
Before IronPort, Kelly was a Director in HP’s Strategy and Corporate Development group, a Strategy Consultant with McKinsey and Company, and a Corporate Finance Associate at J.P. Morgan. Kelly graduated with a B.S.E. from Princeton and M.B.A. from Harvard, both with honors. Kelly lives in the Bay Area with her husband, and their 2 children, labrador retriever and rescue cat.
Now in its ninth year, the Supply Chains to Admire analysis is a study of the progress of each industry sector on the balanced scorecard of growth, operating margin, inventory turns, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). Twenty-two companies outperform their peer group, defining and exemplifying supply chain excellence.
Valuetronics reported strong financial results for FY2014, with revenue increasing 10.1% and net profit rising 24.9%. The company has a large cash position of $478M and generated $303M in operating cash flow. The analyst upgrades their rating to "Buy" and sets a target price of $0.605, citing earnings outperformance, excess cash, and an attractive 8% dividend yield. The analyst expects continued revenue growth from the consumer electronics and industrial/commercial segments as those industries benefit from trends like LED lighting adoption and manufacturing outsourcing.
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business.
Based on the Microsoft Corporation stock forecasts from 19 analysts, the average analyst target price for Microsoft Corporation is USD 347.83 over the next 12 months. Microsoft Corporation’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Microsoft Corporation is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 9 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, Microsoft Corporation’s stock price was USD 252.99. Microsoft Corporation’s stock price has changed by -6.31% over the past week, -0.92% over the past month and -1.90% over the last year.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and the target price to Rs 3,200, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating given macro concerns.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5.0% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance remained unchanged.
3) The brokerage firm revised down its target price for Infosys to INR 3,200 per share and recommended accumulating the stock.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst expects challenges in meeting the upper end of annual guidance given macro concerns and lowered 2Q guidance. Estimates were cut and the target price was revised downwards to Rs 3,200.
This document provides an overview of Supply Chain Insights LLC, a company focused on delivering independent supply chain research and insights. It highlights the company's past reports and planned reports for 2012-2013. Key metrics and industry data on areas like inventory, cash-to-cash cycle, and gross margin are presented for various industries. The document also discusses trends in supply chain like sustainability, analytics, and the supply chain of the future, emphasizing the need for collaboration and data-driven decision making. Contact and background information is given for Lora Cecere, the founder of Supply Chain Insights.
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business. Based on the Microsoft Corporation stock forecasts from 18 analysts, the average analyst target price for Microsoft Corporation is USD 349.33 over the next 12 months. Microsoft Corporation’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Microsoft Corporation is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 9 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, Microsoft Corporation’s stock price was USD 260.65. Microsoft Corporation’s stock price has changed by -0.33% over the past week, -4.88% over the past month and +6.31% over the last year.
This report provides a detailed analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock. It finds the stock to be slightly bullish overall, rating it 6.7 out of 10. Strengths include its large market capitalization, superior risk-adjusted returns, and strong financial ratios. However, the stock is also considered overpriced relative to some valuation metrics. Recent analyst ratings are mixed, with most setting price targets between $150-210.
The Affiliate Marketing Council held its assembly meeting on July 26th 2012. The agenda included reviewing the council's 2012 activities and looking ahead to 2013. Key discussions were around upcoming legislation, standards, and a major new performance marketing industry study. The meeting notes indicate affiliate spending is increasing, with many advertisers expecting commission payments to rise in 2013.
1) The document analyzes Sina, a Chinese company that leads the micro-blogging market in China, and recommends buying its stock.
2) It predicts Sina is in the early stages of a 3-5 year revaluation as micro-blogging becomes more popular and profitable.
3) Sina has a sustainable competitive advantage in China's micro-blogging market due to its large user base and the potential for multiple monetization models as the platform scales.
How Customers Choose Solutions Providers 2009ITSMA
ITSMA, in partnership with Pierre Audoin Consultants (PAC), conducted the 2009 version of its acclaimed How Customers Choose research across three continents.
1. Jan 5th, 2013
LinkedIn Corporation Naveen Garg
NYSE: LNKD Portfolio Manager (Tech & Telecom), RSIF
CFA Level III Candidate, CFA Institute, VA, USA
Recommendation: Buy MBA Candidate, Rotman School of Management, UofT
Target Price: $129.64 naveen.garg13@rotman.utoronto.ca
Last Close Price: $110.30 Cell: +1 (416) 671 6440
Stock Price 110.30 Industry/Sector Internet/ Tech TTM P/E 735.65
52 Week Price Range 61.90 - 125.50 Market Cap. 12.16B Current Ratio 2.61
3-Month Avg. Vol. 2,012,160 Enterprise Value 12.04B Price/Sales 12.03
Shares Outstanding 107.45M Debt/ Equity 0
Basis of recommendation
Summary: LinkedIn continues to grow at a high growth rate (2008-
2011 Revenue CAGR 87.5%) and we expect the revenue CAGR to be
49% over next 4 years. In our opinion with increased monetization of
its user base and technology through a focus on sales and marketing,
LinkedIn will be able to improve its profitability going further.
Considering its revenue and earnings growth potential we believe
Volume
that LinkedIn is an undervalued stock.
Revenue:
Increasing enterprise customer base is expected to provide steady
and predictable revenue stream
New features like New Profile Page, Endorsements and Influencers Source: Yahoo Finance
have improved user engagement and page views which in our
opinion might result in stronger performance by marketing
segment
We expect that the high growth rate in the user base in the
emerging markets could lead to continuing high revenue growth
Improved economic outlook and recent trend in employment are
expected to drive up recruitment
Earnings:
We expect the net income and EPS growth to be consistently high
in the coming years as a result of higher profit margins and
growing revenues Source: LinkedIn
Threat: 2011 2010 2009 2008
Revenue 522.0 243.0 120.0 79.0
Poor performance by Monster Worldwide had a significant
Gross Profit 440.7 198.3 94.3 60.2
negative impact on LinkedIn’s share price even though LinkedIn’s
Operating Income 25.84 19.58 -3.35 -5.51
numbers were stellar. In our opinion the two companies are very
Net Income 11.91 3.43 -3.97 -4.52
different and in completely different stages of life cycles
EPS 0.13 0.04 -0.04 -0.05
Valuation: (In millions of USD except EPS)
We value LinkedIn with a DCF to arrive at a price target of $129.64 Source: LinkedIn
per share, 17.5% higher than the current market price of $110.30
Our target price is an equal weighted average (50:50) of DCF value
using 3% terminal growth rate and 17.1x exit EV/EBITDA multiple
based DCF value
2. Valuation Summary
LinkedIn continues to grow at a significantly high rate in all of its three product categories: Talent Solutions, Marketing
Solutions and Premium Subscriptions; however as the base increases, the growth rate is expected to come down in the
coming years. Following chart shows revenue growth forecast and the adjacent table shows some key projected
numbers through 2016.
2011 A 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 522,189 964,065 1,640,592 2,533,070 3,518,288 4,820,415
EBITDA 68,945 101,227 246,089 455,953 703,658 1,012,287
EBIT 25,845 20,496 92,321 240,665 418,967 634,311
Net Income 11,912 14,074 71,535 190,210 332,851 505,127
FCFF 1,667 99,212 191,315 401,655 553,458
Source: LinkedIn, Research Forecast
Note: All numbers in thousands of USD
Source: LinkedIn, Research Forecasts
Current Enterprise Value (EV) of LinkedIn is $12.04B. Forward 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
EV/EBITDA for the forecasted EBITDA is shown in the adjacent EV / EBITDA 135.4x 55.7x 30.1x 19.5x 13.5x
table. Considering the current and future high growth rate of the company, forward EV/EBITDA indicates headroom for
the stock price.
Target Price Calculation: Using DCF method, with terminal growth rate of 3%, the calculated per share value is $119.37.
Considering terminal value using exit EV/EBITDA multiple of 17.1x1, the target price per share is $139.91. The suggested
target price of $129.64 is average of target price given by the two methods. At current market price of $110.30/share,
the expected upside is close to 17.5%.
Comparable Company Analysis
LinkedIn has three very distinct revenue streams and a very unique underlying business model based on professional
connections. We believe not one single company is truly comparable to LinkedIn. Below is a snapshot of some
comparable companies in the three revenue streams based on the closest match of the revenue model. In our opinion
taking average or median multiples to value LinkedIn might not be a practical approach as these companies are at
different stages in their growth cycles and have different business models. Overall, LinkedIn is priced at higher multiples
in all three revenue categories. These higher multiples can be attributed to the significantly higher growth rate of
LinkedIn’s user base and revenue as compared to the competitors.
Comparable companies' valuation ratios
Last Close No. of
Mkt Cap EV Sales EBITDA P/E EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA P/Sales
(Jan 05, 13) Shares
Marketing Solutions
LinkedIn NYSE:LNKD 113.15 12,160 107.5 11,481 964 206 735.65 11.91 55.73 12.61
Facebook NASDAQ:FB 28.76 62,310 2,170.0 52,756 5,024 2,805 267.34 10.50 18.81 12.42
Renren NYSE:RENN 3.76 1,390 370.2 588.02 174 -82 -0.03 3.38 - 8.00
Google NASDAQ: GOOG 737.97 242,490 328.6 202,975 41,548 18,536 23.12 4.89 10.95 5.84
Yahoo! NASDAQ: YHOO 19.86 23,490 1,180.0 15,157 4,457 1,656 6.02 3.40 9.15 5.26
Talent Solutions
LinkedIn NYSE:LNKD 113.15 12,160 107.5 11,481 964 206 735.65 11.91 55.73 12.61
51Job NASDAQ: JOBS 53.02 1,530 28.8 1,150 1,434 510 21 0.80 2.26 1.07
Monster Worldwide NYSE:MWW 5.97 699.1 117.1 720 896 126 9.38 0.80 5.71 0.78
Dice Holdings NYSE:DHX 9.52 567.7 59.6 560 194 76 15.91 2.89 7.36 2.93
Premium Subscriptions
LinkedIn NYSE:LNKD 113.15 12,160 107.5 11,481 964 206 735.65 11.91 55.73 12.61
NetFlix NASDAQ: NFLX 95.98 5,330 55.6 4,933 3,599 142 121 1.37 34.74 1.48
Monster Worldwide NYSE:MWW 5.97 699.1 117.1 720 896 126 9.38 0.80 5.71 0.78
51Job NASDAQ: JOBS 53.02 1,530 28.8 1,150 1,434 510 21 0.80 2.26 1.07
Note: Market Cap, No. of Shares, EV, Revenue and EBITDA numbers are millions. Sales and EBITDA are analyst consensus forecast for FY 2012.
Source: Thomson Reuters
1
EV/EBITDA multiple for internet industry as per NYU-Stern publication
3. Business Overview
LinkedIn is world’s largest online professional network with more than 200 million members across the world. Its
members manage professional identity and stay connected with their network through the website. Additionally,
LinkedIn is also used by the corporations for marketing and recruitment purposes. LinkedIn has adapted to various
platforms such as desktop computers, smartphones and tablet computers. There are three main product lines:
Talent Solutions: Offerings in this product line provide an effective way for enterprises and professional organizations to
efficiently identify and acquire the right talent for their needs.
Marketing Solutions: Through offerings in this product line, LinkedIn enables marketers and advertisers to reach and
engage with the audience and connect them to relevant products and services.
Premium Subscriptions: Premium subscription services target small- and medium-sized enterprises and professional
organizations, individual members and business groups in larger enterprises. Offerings in this product line are designed
to manage their professional identity, grow their business and connect with talent.
Source: LinkedIn
All three revenue streams are growing at a high rate with the largest segment – Talent Solutions, growing at the highest
rate. LinkedIn’s revenue share from Talent Solutions is increasing while from Marketing is decreasing. Increasing use of
smartphones and tablets is posing a challenge in growing revenue from marketing stream. Smaller size of screen in these
devices provides less or no space to show advertisements. However, as LinkedIn’s business model is relatively less
dependent on online advertising, in our opinion this is not as big threat for the company as it is for other players like
Facebook and Google.
Geographic Diversification: Revenue Growth (2012Q3 YoY)
117% 108%
125%
Along with well-established diversified revenue streams, other 89%
100% 73%
important aspect of LinkedIn’s business model is geographic 75%
diversification of revenue. The user base in countries outside the 50%
United States is growing at a significantly higher pace. Adjacent 25%
figure shows regional revenue growth in Q3-2012. 0%
USA Other EMEA APAC
Americas
Company Strategy
A large and connected user base is the key to the success for LinkedIn. To increase the user base quickly, company
focuses on multiple things such as registration optimization, seamless integration with other applications and suggested
connections. LinkedIn aspires to be the professional profile of every professional in the world. To achieve this, the
company emphasizes to gain trust of its members and continuously develops features which appeal to a broader base of
professionals. In the recent times, LinkedIn has launched new features using which members can share information with
4. each other. This initiative is increasing the engagement of its existing user base. We believe this can be useful in
generating more revenue from the marketing segment as this revenue is dependent on page views.
Another key aspect of LinkedIn’s strategy is to adapt to the need of its workforce, customers and partners. It has
released application libraries using which developers can create new applications. The company has opened offices
across the world and increasing number of sales personnel is driving the monetization of investments in technology.
Recognizing changing market landscape, LinkedIn has put conscious efforts to adapt to tablet and mobile platforms as a
significant number of users are accessing LinkedIn through these devices.
Recent Business Highlights:
200 Million Milestone: Last week LinkedIn crossed 200 million users. This reinforces LinkedIn’s consistent high growth
rate of the user base. This is approximately 35% growth during 2012.
Acquisitions: In May, 2012 LinkedIn paid $74.1M to acquire Slideshare, Inc., a privately held provider of a professional
and educational content platform that allows users to upload documents to share ideas, conduct research and connect
with others. Offerings of Slideshare are already integrated with LinkedIn by Q3-2012. In first nine months of 2012,
LinkedIn also acquired 5 other smaller companies for a total of $58.2M.
Growth in international markets: Following are key milestones in terms of the user base achieved by the company in
recent months: 10 million in UK, 2 million in South Africa, 1 million in Denmark, 1 million in Malaysia among others. This
shows that the company is able to consistently broaden its user base globally. We believe this larger user base will pave
a way for future business development in international markets.
Industry Overview
LinkedIn’s industry can be broadly described as online networking; however the company has focused itself in the
professional networking space. The market for online professional networks is new and rapidly evolving. In this new
market LinkedIn is an undisputed industry leader.
Competition
LinkedIn faces significant competition in all aspects of its business. Other companies such as Facebook, Google,
Microsoft and Twitter are developing or could develop competing solutions. Further, some of these companies are
partnering with third parties to offer products and services that could compete with LinkedIn’s offerings.
LinkedIn also faces competition from a number of smaller companies in the international markets, such as Xing in
Germany and Viadeo in France provide online professional networking solutions, as well as Internet companies in the
customer relationship management market, such as salesforce.com (Chatter and Jigsaw).
LinkedIn also competes with established online recruiting companies such as Monster, CareerBuilder and Indeed.com,
talent management companies, such as Taleo (acquired by Oracle), and traditional recruiting firms. Additionally, other
companies, including newcomers to the recruiting industry, may partner with internet companies, including social
networking companies, to provide services that compete with our solutions, either on their own or as third party
applications, such as BranchOut. Additionally, LinkedIn competes with online and offline outlets that generate revenue
from advertisers and marketers.
In this challenging market space LinkedIn has been able to redefine the business model by building a huge user base and
providing them an ability to connect with others in a professional capacity. This value proposition has not been
replicated by others at the large scale as done by LinkedIn. Taking example from Orkut and Facebook we can argue that
a larger user base is critical in engaging people and the survival is also dependent on this. We think that this aspect put
LinkedIn in an advantageous position as compared to others.
5. Facebook Threat
Facebook does have a much larger use base than LinkedIn; however, a large part of that user base is not a target
segment for the company. LinkedIn primarily targets recruiters, professionals and business owners. In many studies it
has been shown that people generally prefer not to mix their personal and professional networks. This provides further
support to the belief that LinkedIn will be able to maintain its niche market.
Risk Factors
LinkedIn faces multiple business risks. Some of the main risks which could affect company’s financial performance and
hence valuations are as follows:
Competition: Competitors are developing features which overlap with the functionality provided by LinkedIn. For
example, recently Facebook revamped its search feature to allow users to find connections and content more easily. If
competitors find a better way to allow the users to build a professional network or find professional connections, it can
be a significant challenge for the company.
Monetization of platform and products: In last two years LinkedIn has increased its workforce by twofold and has
invested heavily in revamping the platform and developing new features. Going further, the focus will be monetization
of these investments. If company fails to realize the expected benefits, there can be significant downside risk in terms of
valuation. In particular, there are concerns around advertisement revenue as more and more people are using handheld
devices to access LinkedIn.
Information Security: LinkedIn stores and transmits member and customer information some of which is private and
sensitive in nature. Security breach might expose the company to litigation or business disruption. In June, 2012
password information of 6.5 million LinkedIn users was compromised.
Acquisitions: Lately, LinkedIn has been very aggressive in terms of acquisitions. In May 2012, it acquired Slideshare Inc.
for $74.1M, LinkedIn’s largest acquisition so far. Additionally, the company also acquired five other companies for
$58.2M in 2012. 78% of the transaction value of these acquisitions is recognized as goodwill which might result in
impairment charges in the future. These acquisitions will also have dilutive effect on LinkedIn’s existing shareholders as
both cash and equity component is being used for these deals. One of the prime motives behind these acquisitions is to
get access to the talent of these smaller companies; however, if these people leave the company in large numbers, this
motive might not be fulfilled.
Low number of active users: Number of registered members in LinkedIn network is higher than the number of actual
members due to multiple registrations, dead people and fictitious profiles. Additionally, substantial majority of page
views are generated by a minority of members who use LinkedIn regularly.
Corporate Governance: As of Sep 30, 2012, 63% of the voting rights are held by Mr. Reid Hoffman, the founder of the
company. This type of situation might generate corporate governance issues as shareholders, apart from the founder,
are always in minority from voting right perspective.
Foreign Currency Risk: LinkedIn is generating increasing share of revenue from international markets which exposes the
company to foreign currency risk.
Cyclicality of business: LinkedIn considers first quarter of the year a lull period for talent solutions business and third
quarter for Marketing Solutions. Currently, as the growth is significantly high, these lull periods do not show significant
effect in the numbers; however, as the growth rate is expected to go down in the coming years, the cyclicality of the
business might be more pronounced.
6. Valuation
Revenue Forecast
LinkedIn is witnessing a significant growth rate in all of its revenue segments over past some years. As the base grows,
the growth rate is expected to go down but still it will maintain a high level for next some years. Marketing segment
growth rate is expected to be the slowest as the increased usage of mobile devices provides limited opportunity to show
advertisements.
As the user base builds up in the international markets, the revenue growth is expected to in general remain high.
Additionally, LinkedIn has started focusing on building a strong and international field presence through sales and
marketing personnel. This could further support revenue growth from the enterprise customers in Talent Solutions and
Marketing Solutions revenue streams. In the recently reported numbers LinkedIn also showed increase in user
engagement trends due to recently launched features. Following are the estimated revenue growth forecast:
Sales Forecast ------------------ Actuals ------------------ ------------------------------ Forecast ------------------------------------
Projected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 31
Unit Type 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Segm ented sales
Hiring Solutions [#] [input] 36,136.0 101,884.0 260,885.0 521,770.0 939,186.0 1,502,697.6 2,103,776.6 2,945,287.3
[%] [calc], [input] 181.9% 156.1% 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Marketing Solutions [#] [input] 38,278.0 79,309.0 155,848.0 252,473.8 378,710.6 530,194.9 689,253.4 896,029.4
[%] [calc], [input] 107.2% 96.5% 62.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Premium Subscriptions [#] [input] 45,713.0 61,906.0 105,456.0 189,820.8 322,695.4 500,177.8 725,257.8 979,098.1
[%] [calc], [input] 35.4% 70.3% 80.0% 70.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0%
TOTAL [#] [calc] 120,127.0 243,099.0 522,189.0 964,064.6 1,640,592.0 2,533,070.3 3,518,287.8 4,820,414.7
[%] [calc] 102.4% 114.8% 84.6% 70.2% 54.4% 38.9% 37.0%
Forecasted Income Statement
As the monetization of investments in platform and features is expected to improve in the coming years, we estimate
some further improvements in the profit margins. The future addition to the workforce is expected to be focused on
sales and marketing staff which cost relatively less than the recent large number of newly hired software engineers.
Income Statement ------- Actuals ------- ---------------------------- Forecast ------------------------------------
Projected Fiscal Years Ending Dec 31
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Revenues 243,099.0 522,189.0 964,064.6 1,640,592.0 2,533,070.3 3,518,287.8 4,820,414.7
Cost of goods sold (44,826.0) (81,448.0) (125,328.4) (213,277.0) (303,968.4) (422,194.5) (530,245.6)
Gross profit 198,273.0 440,741.0 838,736.2 1,427,315.0 2,229,101.9 3,096,093.3 4,290,169.1
SG&A (159,146.0) (371,796.0) (737,509.4) (1,181,226.2) (1,773,149.2) (2,392,435.7) (3,277,882.0)
EBITDA 39,127.0 68,945.0 101,226.8 246,088.8 455,952.7 703,657.6 1,012,287.1
Depreciation & amortization (19,551.0) (43,100.0) (80,731.0) (153,767.4) (215,287.5) (284,691.0) (377,975.9)
EBIT 19,576.0 25,845.0 20,495.7 92,321.4 240,665.2 418,966.5 634,311.2
Other Non- operating Income (expense) (610.0) (2,903.0) (2,903.0) (2,903.0) (2,903.0) (2,903.0) (2,903.0)
Earnings before taxes 18,966.0 22,942.0 17,592.7 89,418.4 237,762.2 416,063.5 631,408.2
Tax expense (3,581.0) (11,030.0) (3,518.5) (17,883.7) (47,552.4) (83,212.7) (126,281.6)
Net earnings(loss) from continuing item s 15,385.0 11,912.0 14,074.2 71,534.7 190,209.8 332,850.8 505,126.6
Extraordinary gains / losses (11,956.0)
Minority interest
Net income 3,429.0 11,912.0 14,074.2 71,534.7 190,209.8 332,850.8 505,126.6
7. Forecasted Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Statement ------- Actuals ------- ---------------------------- Forecast ------------------------------------
Projected Fiscal Years Ending May 31
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Funds From Operating Activities
Net income 15,385.0 11,912.0 14,074.2 71,534.7 190,209.8 332,850.8 505,126.6
Depreciation of PP&E 19,551.0 43,100.0 80,731.0 153,767.4 215,287.5 284,691.0 377,975.9
Provision for doubtful accounts and sales returns 1,811.0 3,109.0 2,892.2 6,562.4 10,132.3 14,073.2 19,281.7
Stock based compensation 8,832.0 29,768.0 86,283.8 97,615.2 145,398.2 185,765.6 251,336.4
Excess Income tax benefit from exercise of stock options (129.0) (1,600.0) (4,314.2) (4,880.8) (7,269.9) (9,288.3) (12,566.8)
Funds from operations 45,450.0 86,289.0 179,667.0 324,598.9 553,757.8 808,092.3 1,141,153.7
(Increase) / decrease in accounts receivable (35,677.0) (54,908.0) (52,519.0) (82,197.8) (133,871.7) (77,416.9) (169,276.5)
(Increase) / decrease in deferred comission (5,798.0) (5,271.0) (3,759.2) (12,177.5) (13,531.5) (16,748.7) (17,315.7)
(Increase) / decrease in other currents assets (4,259.0) (14,111.0) (15,105.6) (22,139.3) (33,021.7) (22,379.9) (42,970.2)
Increase / (decrease) in accounts payable 15,595.0 36,950.0 23,842.5 36,532.5 48,193.8 53,201.7 70,314.9
Increase / (decrease) in accrued liabilities 39,535.0 84,475.0 28,121.8 60,887.5 80,323.0 88,669.6 117,191.4
Increase / (decrease) in Deferred Revenue 72,296.2 148,836.0 196,345.2 216,747.9 286,467.9
Change in w orking capital 9,396.0 47,135.0 52,876.8 129,741.3 144,437.1 242,073.7 244,411.8
Cash flow from operating activities 54,846.0 133,424.0 232,543.8 454,340.3 698,194.9 1,050,166.0 1,385,565.5
Funds From Investing Activities
Acquisitions (4,467.0) (7,404.0)
Net (increase) decrease in Investments - (239,419.0) (243,576.3) (10,145.3) (141,090.0) (70,390.0) (19,404.6)
(increase) decrease in restricted cash and deposits (1,140.0) (2,681.0)
Increase/Decrease to PP&E (50,026.0) (88,978.0) (65,556.4) (95,154.3) (121,587.4) (133,694.9) (134,971.6)
Cash flow from investing activities (55,633.0) (338,482.0) (309,132.7) (105,299.7) (262,677.4) (204,084.9) (154,376.3)
Cash available for principal debt service after paying interest (787.0) (205,058.0) (76,588.9) 349,040.6 435,517.6 846,081.1 1,231,189.2
Funds From Financing Activities
Issuance (purchase) of Equity Shares 910.0 439,627.0
Issuance (repayment) of Stock Options 3,590.0 12,882.0
Repurchase of common stock (175.0) (44.0)
Cash flow from financing activities 4,325.0 452,465.0 - - - - -
Effect of exchange rate changes (73.0) (1,310.0)
Beginning cash balance 89,979.0 93,444.0 339,541.0 262,952.1 611,992.8 1,047,510.4 1,893,591.5
Change in cash & equivalents 3,465.0 246,097.0 (76,588.9) 349,040.6 435,517.6 846,081.1 1,231,189.2
Ending cash balance 93,444.0 339,541.0 262,952.1 611,992.8 1,047,510.4 1,893,591.5 3,124,780.7
8. Forecasted Balance Sheet
LinkedIn has not recognized any impairment of goodwill in past many quarters even when it has been consistently
acquiring smaller companies. In 2012, 78% of the transaction value was recognized as Goodwill. Taking conservative
estimates, we believe that there can be some impairment (20% yearly) of goodwill in the coming years.
As a result of its IPO in 2011, LinkedIn currently has high level of cash and cash equivalents. we estimate this to go down
in the future. In past some quarters, this has already shown a downward trend as a result of a series of acquisitions.
Balance Sheet Statement ------- Actuals ------- ---------------------------- Forecast ------------------------------------
Projected Fiscal Years Ending May 31
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Assets
Cash & equivalents 92,951.0 339,048.0 262,952.1 611,992.8 1,047,510.4 1,893,591.5 3,124,780.7
Short Term Investments - 238,456.0 482,032.3 492,177.6 633,267.6 703,657.6 723,062.2
Accounts receivable 58,263.0 111,372.0 163,891.0 246,088.8 379,960.5 457,377.4 626,653.9
Deffered Commisions 8,684.0 13,594.0 17,353.2 29,530.7 43,062.2 59,810.9 77,126.6
Other current assets and prepaid expenses 12,308.0 23,457.0 38,562.6 60,701.9 93,723.6 116,103.5 159,073.7
Total current assets 172,206.0 725,927.0 964,791.1 1,440,491.7 2,197,524.3 3,230,540.8 4,710,697.1
Property Plant and Equipm ent
Net PP&E 56,743.0 114,850.0 180,406.4 275,560.7 397,148.1 530,843.0 665,814.7
Net goodw ill - 12,249.0 115,501.0 92,400.8 73,920.6 59,136.5 47,309.2
Intangible Assets 5,232.0 8,095.0 35,841.6 41,217.8 47,400.5 54,510.6 62,687.2
Other non-current assets 4,007.0 12,576.0 31,440.0 62,880.0 106,896.0 160,344.0 240,516.0
Total assets 238,188.0 873,697.0 1,327,980.1 1,912,551.1 2,822,889.5 4,035,375.0 5,727,024.2
Liabilities & Shareholders Equity
Accounts payable 12,886.0 28,217.0 52,059.5 88,592.0 136,785.8 189,987.5 260,302.4
Accrued Liabilities 27,601.0 58,644.0 86,765.8 147,653.3 227,976.3 316,645.9 433,837.3
Deferred Revenue 64,985.0 139,798.0 212,094.2 360,930.2 557,275.5 774,023.3 1,060,491.2
Short term debt - - - - - - -
Total current liabilities 105,472.0 226,659.0 350,919.5 597,175.5 922,037.6 1,280,656.8 1,754,631.0
Long-term debt/liabilities - - - - - - -
Deferred Tax Liabilities 6,625.0 18,551.0 50,087.7 100,175.4 170,298.2 255,447.3 383,170.9
Other non-current liabilities 1,861.0 3,508.0 21,048.0 42,096.0 71,563.2 107,344.8 161,017.2
Total Liabilities 113,958.0 248,718.0 422,055.2 739,446.9 1,163,899.0 1,643,448.8 2,298,819.1
Total common equity 4.0 10.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
Additional paid-in capital 25,074.0 617,629.0 884,602.7 1,080,247.3 1,375,923.9 1,776,008.7 2,307,161.0
Retained earnings (4,675.0) 7,340.0 21,311.2 92,845.9 283,055.7 615,906.5 1,121,033.1
Other equity 103,827.0 - - - - - -
Total Shareholders' Equity 124,230.0 624,979.0 905,924.9 1,173,104.2 1,658,990.6 2,391,926.1 3,428,205.1
Total Liabilities & Shareholders Equity 238,188.0 873,697.0 1,327,980.1 1,912,551.1 2,822,889.5 4,035,375.0 5,727,024.2
Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis on the average price given by Terminal Growth Rate based target price and EV/EBITDA exit multiple
based target price produces following results.
EV/ EBITDA for Terminal Value
Terminal Growth Rate
16.0x 16.5x 17.1x 17.5x 18.0x
2.50% 119.66 121.47 123.64 125.08 126.89
2.75% 122.49 124.29 126.46 127.90 129.71
3.00% 125.67 127.47 129.64 131.08 132.89
3.25% 129.28 131.09 133.26 134.70 136.51
3.50% 133.42 135.22 137.39 138.83 140.64
Disclaimer
Information used in this report and underlying analysis is public information and is gathered from sources like
Bloomberg, Google Finance, Thomson Reuters’ Investext, EDGAR, Company websites etc. we do not hold any securities
related to the companies mentioned in this report.