- The document discusses barriers to technology adoption in the Caribbean region and Peru, focusing on standard economic explanations like access to credit and inputs as well as behavioral factors like risk attitudes.
- A survey of over 600 farming households in Guyana, St. Lucia, St. Kitts, and Trinidad found low rates of technology adoption and that standard factors did not fully explain patterns of adoption. Behavioral factors like risk aversion positively influenced adoption in some cases.
- Experiments in Guyana and Peru further explored how social learning and uncertainty about technologies influenced adoption decisions. The research aims to better understand behavioral determinants of technology adoption in these regions.
This document summarizes a study that uses numerical models to investigate how different dimensions of financial development, such as access to credit, savings deposits, credit rationing, and financial deepening, can help overcome poverty traps by influencing the adoption of advanced production technologies. The models explore technology choice decisions under various scenarios. The results show that the influence of credit versus savings deposits is not uniform, and that deposits are generally better than credit at boosting technology adoption rates, unless credit limits are very loose. Adoption rates are also more sensitive to interest rates on deposits than on loans. Overall, greater financial development leads to significantly higher rates of sustained technology adoption.
How do households balance risk and return when new economic opportunities arise? Can nancial-services interventions help households cope with the increased risk that often accompanies new, high-return opportunities? We randomly assigned rural households in Mozambique to subsidies for modern agricultural inputs, formal savings facilitation programs (either a \basic" or a \matched" savings program), or both sub-
sidy and savings programs. Households receiving only subsidies raised their subsequent consumption levels, but also faced greater risk (higher consumption variability). Households receiving both programs saw simi-
lar increases in consumption, but a much smaller increase in variability. This risk-reduction occurs alongside (and is possibly partly the result of) adjustments in broad \portfolios" of intertemporal activities (asset hold-
ings, borrowing, and investments). A program oering generous savings matches (without input subsidies) has similar impacts as the combination of basic savings and subsidies. While households appear willing to take
on the increased risk associated with high-return opportunities, facilitating formal savings can help households oset a substantial part of the increased risk.
Information Technology Peru S.A.C. ofrece servicios de recuperación de datos, incluyendo cambios de cabezales, recuperación de datos en casos extremos con daños físicos complejos, cambio de platos para discos duros dañados y prevención de pérdida de información a través de seguridad y consultoría con profesionales experimentados con estándares de calidad europeos, siendo la garantía y seguridad que los clientes buscan para la solución de sus necesidades.
Marco Kamiya in Medellin World Urban Forum Productive Transformation in Quito...Marco Kamiya
This networking event at the World Urbam Forum in Medellin discussed productive development policies related with Productive Transformation and Equity in six different cities of Asia, Africa and Latin America, and plus the Case of Bogota. The event was organized by CAF in coordination with UN Habitat and UN ESCAP. The main focus was on policies, and the discussion and subsequent publication of the proceedings seeks to strengthen cities’ approach to productive transformation as well as contribute to CAF´s Competitive Cities and Cities with Future programs in progress in Latin America.
An overview of the situation of Peru about Globalization. Include an actual situation of the different sectors and recommendations (2007). References included.
Microfinance and financial inclusion conference @ ucspLuis Garate
Peru constitutes a paradigm in microfinance at world level. The Peruvian experience is being replicated in several countries; this process constitutes a successful experience in the development area.
The objective of this presentation is convey the knowledge about the role of the microfinance and understand the progress and challenges that this sector is facing.
The presentation includes:
1. Importance
2. What Financial Inclusion means?
3. How is going on in Peru?
• Financial System
• Microfinance Institutions
4. What else to do?
5. Opportunities
6. Final notes: Thoughts
This document discusses the AWS Cloud Adoption Framework (CAF) and provides guidance for developing a cloud adoption roadmap. It begins by outlining common mistakes made during cloud migrations and what to expect from the presentation. The CAF is then introduced, including its 7 perspectives and how it can be used as a guide. Key elements of a successful cloud journey are identified, such as executive sponsorship, cloud-first strategy, and experimentation. The presentation emphasizes that cloud adoption is as much an organizational change as a technological one. It concludes by stating that the objective of IT has changed to help, manage, and optimize business processes through innovation and communication aligned with business objectives.
This document summarizes a study that uses numerical models to investigate how different dimensions of financial development, such as access to credit, savings deposits, credit rationing, and financial deepening, can help overcome poverty traps by influencing the adoption of advanced production technologies. The models explore technology choice decisions under various scenarios. The results show that the influence of credit versus savings deposits is not uniform, and that deposits are generally better than credit at boosting technology adoption rates, unless credit limits are very loose. Adoption rates are also more sensitive to interest rates on deposits than on loans. Overall, greater financial development leads to significantly higher rates of sustained technology adoption.
How do households balance risk and return when new economic opportunities arise? Can nancial-services interventions help households cope with the increased risk that often accompanies new, high-return opportunities? We randomly assigned rural households in Mozambique to subsidies for modern agricultural inputs, formal savings facilitation programs (either a \basic" or a \matched" savings program), or both sub-
sidy and savings programs. Households receiving only subsidies raised their subsequent consumption levels, but also faced greater risk (higher consumption variability). Households receiving both programs saw simi-
lar increases in consumption, but a much smaller increase in variability. This risk-reduction occurs alongside (and is possibly partly the result of) adjustments in broad \portfolios" of intertemporal activities (asset hold-
ings, borrowing, and investments). A program oering generous savings matches (without input subsidies) has similar impacts as the combination of basic savings and subsidies. While households appear willing to take
on the increased risk associated with high-return opportunities, facilitating formal savings can help households oset a substantial part of the increased risk.
Information Technology Peru S.A.C. ofrece servicios de recuperación de datos, incluyendo cambios de cabezales, recuperación de datos en casos extremos con daños físicos complejos, cambio de platos para discos duros dañados y prevención de pérdida de información a través de seguridad y consultoría con profesionales experimentados con estándares de calidad europeos, siendo la garantía y seguridad que los clientes buscan para la solución de sus necesidades.
Marco Kamiya in Medellin World Urban Forum Productive Transformation in Quito...Marco Kamiya
This networking event at the World Urbam Forum in Medellin discussed productive development policies related with Productive Transformation and Equity in six different cities of Asia, Africa and Latin America, and plus the Case of Bogota. The event was organized by CAF in coordination with UN Habitat and UN ESCAP. The main focus was on policies, and the discussion and subsequent publication of the proceedings seeks to strengthen cities’ approach to productive transformation as well as contribute to CAF´s Competitive Cities and Cities with Future programs in progress in Latin America.
An overview of the situation of Peru about Globalization. Include an actual situation of the different sectors and recommendations (2007). References included.
Microfinance and financial inclusion conference @ ucspLuis Garate
Peru constitutes a paradigm in microfinance at world level. The Peruvian experience is being replicated in several countries; this process constitutes a successful experience in the development area.
The objective of this presentation is convey the knowledge about the role of the microfinance and understand the progress and challenges that this sector is facing.
The presentation includes:
1. Importance
2. What Financial Inclusion means?
3. How is going on in Peru?
• Financial System
• Microfinance Institutions
4. What else to do?
5. Opportunities
6. Final notes: Thoughts
This document discusses the AWS Cloud Adoption Framework (CAF) and provides guidance for developing a cloud adoption roadmap. It begins by outlining common mistakes made during cloud migrations and what to expect from the presentation. The CAF is then introduced, including its 7 perspectives and how it can be used as a guide. Key elements of a successful cloud journey are identified, such as executive sponsorship, cloud-first strategy, and experimentation. The presentation emphasizes that cloud adoption is as much an organizational change as a technological one. It concludes by stating that the objective of IT has changed to help, manage, and optimize business processes through innovation and communication aligned with business objectives.
This presentation was made by Dr. Ndeye Seynabou Diouf, M&E Manager-CINSERE/USAID project, at the WASCAL Science Symposium, 19-21 June 2018, Tang Palace Hotel, Accra, Ghana
Does microfinance reduce rural poverty? Evidence based on long term household...guest9970726
1) The study evaluates the long-term impact of microfinance loans on rural poverty in Ethiopia using a panel dataset over 1997-2006.
2) Results show microfinance loans modestly increased annual household consumption by $23-48 and likelihood of housing improvements by 0.27, but impact is smaller when controlling for time-varying factors.
3) Higher frequency and longer duration of borrowing is associated with larger impacts on consumption and improvements become significant only after several years of borrowing.
Influence of the Event Rate on Discrimination Abilities of Bankruptcy Predict...Lili Zhang
In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First the statistical association and significance of public records and firmographics indicators with the bankruptcy were explored. Then the event rate was oversampled from 0.12% to 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, and 50%, respectively. Seven models were developed, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, Bayesian Network, and Neural Network. Under different event rates, models were comprehensively evaluated and compared based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic, accuracy, F1 score, Type I error, Type II error, and ROC curve on the hold-out dataset with their best probability cut-offs. Results show that Bayesian Network is the most insensitive to the event rate, while Support Vector Machine is the most sensitive.
Determinants and Impact of Household's Out-Of–Pocket Healthcare Expenditure i...Economic Research Forum
Ebaidalla Mahjoub Ebaidalla - University of Khartoum
Mohammed Elhaj Mustafa - University of Kassala
ERF Workshop on The Economics of Healthcare in the ERF Region
Cairo, Egypt - May 23, 2016
www.erf.org.eg
1) The study examines the impact of the 2004 tsunami on different economic sectors in Sri Lanka using difference-in-differences analysis and panel vector autoregression.
2) The results show the agriculture sector was negatively impacted in 2005 and 2006, while the industry sector was negatively impacted in 2005 but positively impacted in 2006 and 2007. The services sector was positively impacted after 2005.
3) Regionally, the eastern province showed negative impacts on agriculture, the southern province showed positive impacts on industry, and the western province showed positive impacts on industry and services.
Pay-for-Performance and Distributional Effects in Tanzania: A Supply-side Ass...resyst
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The document discusses the value of analytics in healthcare and provides examples of analytics projects at the Institute for Healthcare Business Intelligence (IHBI) at Central Michigan University. It summarizes an admissions forecasting model developed for a hospital that helped predict weekly admission rates by specialty and unit occupancy. It also discusses IHBI's contextual dataset and rules-based approach to linking patient encounters over time based on their specialty and procedures. Finally, it briefly introduces the Michigan Health Information Network and its role in managing the legal and technical framework for health information exchange statewide.
The document provides an overview of the Analytics Opportunity in Healthcare. It discusses the value of analytics in healthcare, shares examples of best and worst analytics projects, and introduces the Michigan Health Information Network (MiHIN) and how it is adding intelligence to its network. The document contains information on the Institute for Healthcare Business Intelligence (IHBI) at Carnegie Mellon University, including its customers and partners, contextual datasets, and research focus areas like data science and predictive modeling.
The document provides an overview of the Analytics Opportunity in Healthcare. It discusses the value of analytics in healthcare, shares examples of best and worst analytics projects, and introduces the Michigan Health Information Network (MiHIN) and how it is adding intelligence to its network. The document contains details about the Institute for Healthcare Business Intelligence (IHBI) at Carnegie Mellon University, including its customers, partners, datasets, and research focus areas like data science and predictive modeling.
"Can organisational restructuring of hospitals improve quality and safety"Glen Farrow
The presentation "Can organisational restructuring of hospitals improve quality and safety" from the 21st IHI Annual Scientific Symposium 7 December 2015
The ESRI, in collaboration with Pobal, have launched a report examining the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on people living in disadvantaged areas in Ireland, as defined by the Pobal Haase Pratschke Deprivation Index. The report, titled ‘Pandemic Unemployment and Social Disadvantage in Ireland’, shows that people living in deprived areas, when compared to those living in more affluent areas, experienced greater disruption to their employment.
The Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) was a social welfare payment for employees and self-employed people who lost all their employment due to the COVID-19 public health emergency and the resulting economic impact of lockdowns and restrictions. The payment was designed as income replacement to mitigate the short-term impact on financial wellbeing that pandemic-related job interruption would cause. This research examines the economic repercussions of the pandemic and the extent to which the proportion and duration of Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) are related to area-level deprivation.
Read more key findings: https://www.esri.ie/news/people-in-disadvantaged-areas-experienced-greater-employment-disruption-during-the-covid-19
Read the report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/pandemic-unemployment-and-social-disadvantage-in-ireland
OMT Distinguished Scholar 2016 - John MeyerOMT Division
This document discusses the institutionalization of organizations and prospects for the future. It begins with an introduction by John Meyer from Stanford University's sociology department. It then provides several charts and tables analyzing data on topics like world higher education enrollment, occupational structures, the expansion of professions and organizations, and the effects of education on economic development. Finally, it outlines the administrative structure of Stanford University with the various deans, vice provosts, and other administrators that report to the Provost.
Mr Đuro KUTLAČA - "Mihajlo Pupin" Institute, Science and Technology Policy R...UNESCO Venice Office
This document summarizes statistics related to science, technology, and innovation in South East Europe and Western Balkan countries from 2008 to 2012. It includes data on research and development inputs like public R&D expenditure and human resources, firm activities like business R&D expenditure and intellectual property outputs, and economic outputs such as employment in knowledge industries and innovation among small and medium enterprises. The statistics are clustered by country and compare the regions to EU averages. Challenges for improving R&D data quality and statistical capabilities in the regions are also summarized.
Communities and testing for COVID-19 - Mirco ToninOECD CFE
Presentation by Mirco Tonin, Professor of Economic Policy, Free University of Bolzano-Bozen at the 15th Spatial Productivity Lab meeting of the OECD Trento Centre on 14 December 2021, Trento, Italy.
More info https://oe.cd/SPL
This document contains supplemental tables related to a study on personal malaria protection in India. Table S3 summarizes the reported use of various malaria protections like repellents, nets, and insecticide-treated nets across three study sites in India from 2012-2015 based on census, survey, and clinic reported data. Factors associated with reported repellent use are analyzed for each site, with some associations found between repellent use and socioeconomic factors, education levels, and presence of young children.
Nutrition: Biochemical correlates of anemia in Cambodian women of reproducti...IFSD14
1) The study examined biochemical correlates of anemia in Cambodian women of reproductive age, finding over 40% had a genetic hemoglobin disorder like heterozygous E trait or homozygous E.
2) Nearly 30% of women had anemia, most cases being microcytic, but few had biochemical evidence of iron, vitamin B12, folate, or vitamin A deficiencies. Iron deficiency was less than 1% based on ferritin and transferrin receptor.
3) Having a genetic hemoglobin disorder was associated with higher rates of anemia and tissue iron deficiency compared to those without a disorder, though iron deficiency anemia was still less than 1%.
Policy: Land Ownership as a Social Determinant of Health and Well-being in R...IFSD14
This document summarizes a study on the relationship between land ownership and health/well-being in rural India. The study explored how land ownership impacts income/food security and access to social policies. It found that lack of land ownership was linked to greater marginalization. Landless households had less access to agriculture subsidies, loans, and some welfare schemes. Overall, land ownership enabled better food security and access to employment/development programs, while landlessness contributed to poorer living standards and social exclusion in rural communities.
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This presentation was made by Dr. Ndeye Seynabou Diouf, M&E Manager-CINSERE/USAID project, at the WASCAL Science Symposium, 19-21 June 2018, Tang Palace Hotel, Accra, Ghana
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1) The study evaluates the long-term impact of microfinance loans on rural poverty in Ethiopia using a panel dataset over 1997-2006.
2) Results show microfinance loans modestly increased annual household consumption by $23-48 and likelihood of housing improvements by 0.27, but impact is smaller when controlling for time-varying factors.
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1) The study examines the impact of the 2004 tsunami on different economic sectors in Sri Lanka using difference-in-differences analysis and panel vector autoregression.
2) The results show the agriculture sector was negatively impacted in 2005 and 2006, while the industry sector was negatively impacted in 2005 but positively impacted in 2006 and 2007. The services sector was positively impacted after 2005.
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This document analyzes the distributional effects of a pay-for-performance (P4P) program in Tanzania. Initial results showed higher payouts going to higher socioeconomic status (SES) facilities, but this inequality decreased over time. The main contributors to initial unequal payouts were facility SES, level of care, baseline performance, and ownership. While there were no significant differences found, utilization effects like facility deliveries and antimalarial treatment during pregnancy seemed to increase more for lower SES facilities and dispensaries. The strongest utilization effects were seen for deliveries in lower SES facilities and dispensaries, and for antimalarial treatment in better resourced facilities.
The document discusses the value of analytics in healthcare and provides examples of analytics projects at the Institute for Healthcare Business Intelligence (IHBI) at Central Michigan University. It summarizes an admissions forecasting model developed for a hospital that helped predict weekly admission rates by specialty and unit occupancy. It also discusses IHBI's contextual dataset and rules-based approach to linking patient encounters over time based on their specialty and procedures. Finally, it briefly introduces the Michigan Health Information Network and its role in managing the legal and technical framework for health information exchange statewide.
The document provides an overview of the Analytics Opportunity in Healthcare. It discusses the value of analytics in healthcare, shares examples of best and worst analytics projects, and introduces the Michigan Health Information Network (MiHIN) and how it is adding intelligence to its network. The document contains information on the Institute for Healthcare Business Intelligence (IHBI) at Carnegie Mellon University, including its customers and partners, contextual datasets, and research focus areas like data science and predictive modeling.
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Read more key findings: https://www.esri.ie/news/people-in-disadvantaged-areas-experienced-greater-employment-disruption-during-the-covid-19
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1. Barriers to Technology Adoption in
the CARICOM and Peru
International Food Security Dialogue 2014
Edmonton May 2, 2014
Enhancing Food Production, Gender Equality and Nutritional Security in a Changing World
Engle-Warnicka,b, J., Escobalc, J., Laszloa,b,c, S. and Raeburna, K.
a: Department of Economics, McGill; b:CIRANO; c:GRADE, Peru
Presented by Sonia Laszlo
Associate Director, ISID, McGill University
Associate Professor, Economics, McGill University
2. Motivation
§ Low rate of technology adoption in developing countries
§ Standard & conventional explanations (Feder et al., 1985)
• Market (inputs, outputs) & liquidity (credit) constraints
• Inappropriate technologies
• Lack of know-how…
§ Non-standard & behavioural explanations
• Attitudes towards risk and uncertainty (Engle-Warnick et al., 2011)
• Inconsistent time preferences & impatience (Duflo et al., 2011)
• Social networks & learning (Conley & Udry, 2010; Bandiera & Rasul,
2006)
3. CARICOM Food Security Project
§ CIFSRF1 project, joint venture McGill & UWI and number of Third Party
Partners (Guyana, St Kitts, St Lucia, Trinidad & Peru)
§ Main goals:
• Improve health & nutrition in CARICOM population (high rates of overweight
and obesity)
• Develop food production systems based on agricultural diversification, water
conservation and efficient use of land
§ “Farm to Fork” approach:
• Interventions in farming practices (GUY, SKN, SLA, TTO)
• Nutritional interventions in schools (SKN & TTO)
§ Great opportunity to study these issues in a context where technology
adoption in agriculture matters
1 Canadian International Food Security Research Fund, IDRC & DFATD
4. Technology adoption – research questions
§ What are the existing barriers to technology
adoption in GUY, SKN, SLA & TTO?
• What is the degree of adoption?
• Do standard explanations go far in explaining these patterns?
§ What are the behavioural determinants of
technology adoption in these countries?
• Do risk and uncertainty aversion matter?
• What can we learn about beliefs about the technology and peer
effects?
5. Overview of multi-method approach
Producer Household Surveys
(PHS)
§ Multi-purpose modular design
• Demogs & farm practices & tech
adopt
• Risk and uncertainty attitudes
• …
§ Directly comparable questionnaire
§ Data collection: Oct 2011- Mar 2012
§ Partnership with local partners
Economics Experiments (EXP)
N hhlds Local partner
GUY 304 NAREI
SKN 91 MARM & ind. cons.
STL 118 MALFF
TTO 93 UWI & ind. cons.
§ Technology adoption decision-
making under uncertainty
§ Peru (Feb 2012, GRADE)
• Does social learning play a role in
forming beliefs about relative riskiness
and ambiguity of different
technologies?
• Known v unknown probability
distributions
• 305 farmers in 3 regions participated
§ Guyana (Nov 2012, NAREI)
• Tech adoption modeled as a public good
• Experimentation with a technology provides
information about unknown distributions
• 136 farmers from 1 region participated
6. PHS Results
Table 1: Socio-demographic characteristics of household heads in the samples of
farming households from Guyana, St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Trinidad
Characteristics
GUY
SLA
St. Kitts
Trinidad
Pooled
Age (Mean)+
44.4 (12.5)
51.8 (10.8)
49.2(9.6)
49.0(11.3)
47.2 (12.1)
Female
14.1%
23.7%
20.1%
10.0%
16%
Married
84.9%
55.1%
50.5%
72.0%
72%
Education
Primary
38.6%
66.7%
12.7%
26.5%
38%
Secondary
54.1%
18.9%
67.6%
45.8%
48%
College/Univ.
4.3%
7.8%
9.9%
21.7%
9%
Total N
304
118
91
93
606
Source: PHS Baseline 2012. Reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 2.
+ Standard deviation in parenthesis.
7. PHS Results
Table 2: Use and Adoption of New Technology by Farmers Surveyed in Guyana,
St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Trinidad
Country
Crop
Tool or
Equipment
Irrigation
Technique
Fertilizer
Pesticide
Record-
keeping
Technique
N
GUY
2.7%
1.0%
0.7%
28.2%
47.6%
0.3%
298
SLA
13.0%
0.9%
3.4%
0.9%
14.7%
0.0%
116
SKN
17.5%
14.8%
1.6%
3.2%
3.2%
1.9%
63
TTO
10.8%
10.5%
3.9%
19.2%
11.4%
3.9%
78
Total
7.62%
3.68%
1.81%
18.38%
30.36%
0.92%
555
N
551
543
554
555
550
542
Source: PHS Baseline 2012. Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 12
8. PHS Results
Table 3: Probit estimates for predicting the use of new technology (last 12 months)
is an adopter
new crop
new fertilizer
new pesticide
Age
-0.0028
-0.0004
-0.0022
-0.0028
[0.003]
[0.001]
[0.002]
[0.003]
Female
0.2108***
-0.0022
0.1103*
0.1874**
[0.076]
[0.005]
[0.063]
[0.080]
Educ – primary
0.1409
0.5570**
0.9792***
0.2601
[0.235]
[0.243]
[0.033]
[0.301]
Educ - secondary
0.3917*
0.5251**
0.9858***
0.4934**
[0.200]
[0.252]
[0.022]
[0.241]
Educ – post-secondary
0.0742
0.9875***
0.9361***
-0.1636
[0.257]
[0.030]
[0.022]
[0.342]
Unmet Basic Needs
0.0324
-0.0018
-0.0234
0.1099**
[0.053]
[0.004]
[0.030]
[0.054]
Risk Aversion
0.0652*
0.0001
0.0378*
0.0744*
[0.033]
[0.002]
[0.022]
[0.042]
Ambiguity Aversion
-0.0160
-0.0005
-0.0146
-0.0119
[0.027]
[0.002]
[0.018]
[0.031]
Distance to daily mkt
-0.0011***
-0.0002*
-0.0007*
-0.0009**
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
Observations
328
286
317
300
Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 16. Controls for ethnicity, Household size, marital status, country dummies,
Robust standard errors in brackets*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
9. PHS Results
Table 3: Probit estimates for predicting the use of new technology (last 12 months)
is an adopter
new crop
new fertilizer
new pesticide
Age
-0.0028
-0.0004
-0.0022
-0.0028
[0.003]
[0.001]
[0.002]
[0.003]
Female
0.2108***
-0.0022
0.1103*
0.1874**
[0.076]
[0.005]
[0.063]
[0.080]
Educ – primary
0.1409
0.5570**
0.9792***
0.2601
[0.235]
[0.243]
[0.033]
[0.301]
Educ - secondary
0.3917*
0.5251**
0.9858***
0.4934**
[0.200]
[0.252]
[0.022]
[0.241]
Educ – post-secondary
0.0742
0.9875***
0.9361***
-0.1636
[0.257]
[0.030]
[0.022]
[0.342]
Unmet Basic Needs
0.0324
-0.0018
-0.0234
0.1099**
[0.053]
[0.004]
[0.030]
[0.054]
Risk Aversion
0.0652*
0.0001
0.0378*
0.0744*
[0.033]
[0.002]
[0.022]
[0.042]
Ambiguity Aversion
-0.0160
-0.0005
-0.0146
-0.0119
[0.027]
[0.002]
[0.018]
[0.031]
Distance to daily mkt
-0.0011***
-0.0002*
-0.0007*
-0.0009**
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
Observations
328
286
317
300
Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 16. Controls for ethnicity, Household size, marital status, country dummies,
Robust standard errors in brackets*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
10. PHS Results
Table 3: Probit estimates for predicting the use of new technology (last 12 months)
is an adopter
new crop
new fertilizer
new pesticide
Age
-0.0028
-0.0004
-0.0022
-0.0028
[0.003]
[0.001]
[0.002]
[0.003]
Female
0.2108***
-0.0022
0.1103*
0.1874**
[0.076]
[0.005]
[0.063]
[0.080]
Educ – primary
0.1409
0.5570**
0.9792***
0.2601
[0.235]
[0.243]
[0.033]
[0.301]
Educ - secondary
0.3917*
0.5251**
0.9858***
0.4934**
[0.200]
[0.252]
[0.022]
[0.241]
Educ – post-secondary
0.0742
0.9875***
0.9361***
-0.1636
[0.257]
[0.030]
[0.022]
[0.342]
Unmet Basic Needs
0.0324
-0.0018
-0.0234
0.1099**
[0.053]
[0.004]
[0.030]
[0.054]
Risk Aversion
0.0652*
0.0001
0.0378*
0.0744*
[0.033]
[0.002]
[0.022]
[0.042]
Ambiguity Aversion
-0.0160
-0.0005
-0.0146
-0.0119
[0.027]
[0.002]
[0.018]
[0.031]
Distance to daily mkt
-0.0011***
-0.0002*
-0.0007*
-0.0009**
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
Observations
328
286
317
300
Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 16. Controls for ethnicity, Household size, marital status, country dummies,
Robust standard errors in brackets*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
11. PHS Results
Table 3: Probit estimates for predicting the use of new technology (last 12 months)
is an adopter
new crop
new fertilizer
new pesticide
Age
-0.0028
-0.0004
-0.0022
-0.0028
[0.003]
[0.001]
[0.002]
[0.003]
Female
0.2108***
-0.0022
0.1103*
0.1874**
[0.076]
[0.005]
[0.063]
[0.080]
Educ – primary
0.1409
0.5570**
0.9792***
0.2601
[0.235]
[0.243]
[0.033]
[0.301]
Educ - secondary
0.3917*
0.5251**
0.9858***
0.4934**
[0.200]
[0.252]
[0.022]
[0.241]
Educ – post-secondary
0.0742
0.9875***
0.9361***
-0.1636
[0.257]
[0.030]
[0.022]
[0.342]
Unmet Basic Needs
0.0324
-0.0018
-0.0234
0.1099**
[0.053]
[0.004]
[0.030]
[0.054]
Risk Aversion
0.0652*
0.0001
0.0378*
0.0744*
[0.033]
[0.002]
[0.022]
[0.042]
Ambiguity Aversion
-0.0160
-0.0005
-0.0146
-0.0119
[0.027]
[0.002]
[0.018]
[0.031]
Distance to daily mkt
-0.0011***
-0.0002*
-0.0007*
-0.0009**
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
Observations
328
286
317
300
Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 16. Controls for ethnicity, Household size, marital status, country dummies,
Robust standard errors in brackets*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
12. PHS Results
Table 3: Probit estimates for predicting the use of new technology (last 12 months)
is an adopter
new crop
new fertilizer
new pesticide
Age
-0.0028
-0.0004
-0.0022
-0.0028
[0.003]
[0.001]
[0.002]
[0.003]
Female
0.2108***
-0.0022
0.1103*
0.1874**
[0.076]
[0.005]
[0.063]
[0.080]
Educ – primary
0.1409
0.5570**
0.9792***
0.2601
[0.235]
[0.243]
[0.033]
[0.301]
Educ - secondary
0.3917*
0.5251**
0.9858***
0.4934**
[0.200]
[0.252]
[0.022]
[0.241]
Educ – post-secondary
0.0742
0.9875***
0.9361***
-0.1636
[0.257]
[0.030]
[0.022]
[0.342]
Unmet Basic Needs
0.0324
-0.0018
-0.0234
0.1099**
[0.053]
[0.004]
[0.030]
[0.054]
Risk Aversion
0.0652*
0.0001
0.0378*
0.0744*
[0.033]
[0.002]
[0.022]
[0.042]
Ambiguity Aversion
-0.0160
-0.0005
-0.0146
-0.0119
[0.027]
[0.002]
[0.018]
[0.031]
Distance to daily mkt
-0.0011***
-0.0002*
-0.0007*
-0.0009**
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
[0.000]
Observations
328
286
317
300
Table reproduced from Laszlo et al. (2013), Table 16. Controls for ethnicity, Household size, marital status, country dummies,
Robust standard errors in brackets*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
13. Peru EXP: Beliefs about potato late blight loss
probability depending on technology/strategy?
§ Design:
• Stage 1: Elicit beliefs (MCQ) about
probability of crop loss depending on
different technologies & strategies
• Stage 2: Group discussion (random
assignment to participate/observe)
• Stage 3: Coordination game on
beliefs (same MCQ as in Stage 1)
§ Coordination game incentivized
(earn for each matched answer)
14. Peru EXP: Beliefs about potato late blight loss
probability depending on technology/strategy?
§ More educated farmers:
• Stronger beliefs about probability distributions of technologies
• Less likely to change beliefs after participating in discussion
• Important peer effects: less educated farmers may benefit
disproportionately from group discussions about technologies (may
be enhanced by grouping them with educated farmers)
§ Women:
• Less likely to use modern technologies to protect against blight
• Less likely to change their belief about probability distributions after a
chat
• Gender composition of peer groups matter
15. Guyana EXP: Social learning & technology
adoption as public good
§ Basic idea:
• Experimentation allows realization of ambiguous outcome
• The more farmers who experiment, the more outcomes are realized.
§ Design:
• Farmers choose between relatively risky and relatively ambiguous
gambles (simulating technologies).
• Step 1: Elicit their preference between the two gambles.
• Step 2: Revise their decision knowing that other participants in the
group would observe the realization of their choice
• Step 3: Allow them to revisit their decision after having uncovered
partial information about the ambiguous probability distribution.
16. Guyana EXP: Social learning & technology
adoption as public good
§ Women are less likely to change their
decisions following discussion.
§ They were also more likely to choose
the ambiguous gamble once they
receive more information about the
probability distribution.
§ Participants who tend to observe other
farmers’ farming practices in the real
world were also more likely to provide
the public good in the experiment.
§ Risk averse participants are less likely
to provide the public good, consistent
with Public Economics theory.
17. Conclusions – Policy Considerations
1. Policies which foster access to markets should
improve technology adoption.
• Given the geographical constraints, one possible avenue for policy
intervention is extending the road network to improve transportation
between producing areas and markets.
2. CARICOM farmers face binding credit and
financing constraints. Policy makers should
consider options to facilitate access to financing
(credit and insurance).
18. Conclusions – Policy Considerations
3. Increase information exchange about the yield
probability distribution functions of different:
• Technical assistance through agricultural extension services.
• Peer groups and social networks can be instrumental in facilitating
this sort of information, and at relatively low cost.
4. Women farmers have a larger propensity to adopt
new technologies than men:
• Most responsive to receiving new info & more likely to choose
ambiguous options with new info on probability distributions.
• Technical assistance particularly effective if targeted to women, and
allowing the diffusion process within their social networks.
19.
20. References
§ Conley, T. and C. Udry. 2010. “Learning about a New Technology: Pineapple in Ghana” American
Economic Review 100 (1): 35-69.
§ Dulfo, E., M. Kremer and J. Robinson. 2011. “Nudging farmers to use fertilizer: Theory and
Experimental Evidence from Kenya.” American Economic Review 101 (6): 2350-90.
§ Engle-Warnick, J., J. Escobal and S. Laszlo. 2011. “Ambiguity Aversion and Portfolio Choice in Small-
Scale Peruvian Farming” B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy 11(1):1-56.
§ Engle-Warnick, J., J. Escobal and S. Laszlo. 2014. Technical report: Technology adoption in Peruvian
potato farming: Evidence from a Coordination Game experiment on farmer beliefs about strategies to
combat Late Blight. Technical report for CARICOM Food Security Project, McGill University, Quebec,
Canada.
§ Engle-Warnick, J., S. Laszlo and K. Raeburn. 2014. Technical report: Technology adoption as a public
good: evidence from an economics experiment in Guyana. Technical report for CARICOM Food
Security Project, McGill University, Quebec, Canada.
§ Laszlo, S., T. Thompson-Colon and L. Sjolander. 2013. Producer Household Survey: Report on
General Baseline Findings for Guyana, St Lucia, Trinidad-Tobago and St Kitts-Nevis. CARICOM Food
Security Project, McGill University, Quebec, Canada.
§ Thompson-Colón, T. and S. Laszlo. 2013. Producer Household Survey Methodology Report for the
Baseline Survey Data Collection in Guyana, St. Lucia, Trinidad-Tobago, and St. Kitts-Nevis.
CARICOM Food Security Project, McGill University, Quebec, Canada.