Cybersecurity is primarily a strategic issue in today´s societies and businesses. Or should we just say security since cybersecurity must be understood as integral part of security. It is very important - in order to succeed - to understand what is security in 2016 and what the future of strategic security looks like - and what kind of solutions are needed?

1. Strategic Trends in
Cybersecurity – and Security
Jarno Limnéll
Professor, Cybersecurity, Aalto University
Adjunct Professor, Tampere University of Technology
VP, Cybersecurity, Insta Group Ltd.
Doctor of Military Science
@JarnoLim

3. Security is an Enabler

4. Five Strategic Trends in Cybersecurity

5. The human source is the most
valuable resource in
cybersecurity and the value of
talented individuals is increasing.

6. “If you’re interested in the opportunity to make a
difference in defending your nation, if you’re interested
in the opportunity to work with a bunch of motivated
men and women...”

7. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu:
Ministry had started a “big headhunt.”
Alternative to prison Russia
sometimes offer to hackers convicted
of cybercrimes working for FSB

9. MIT Technology Review
Custom conducted an online
survey of IT and business
executives and managers
across a broad range of
industries in February 2016.

11. The most valuable skills for
cybersecurity career in next
years may not be a focus in
specific technology, but ability to
understand the big picture as
strategic thinkers.

12. Trend 1:
Cyber arms race for
talented people.

13. “An artificial intelligence president could be truly
altruistic. It wouldn’t be susceptible to lobbyists,
special interest groups or personal desires.”

15. Smart = Exploitable, Vulnerable
Security by Design
The Culture of Responsibility

16. …weapons that can identify
targets and make decisions.”

17. Advances in technology pose difficult
moral questions for humanity.
It is not clear who is responsible for
providing answers.

18. The ethical implications,
The importance of Digital Ethics
We also need consider
what better not to digitize.

19. How much control of our lives do
we want to give over to machines
– and to the corporations that
build and operate them?

20. Trend 2:
The new era in
technology needs strong
emphasis on ethics,
integral part of security.

21. “Cyberattack on German steel plant
caused significant damage”
KINETIC CYBER
“A cyber attack on the French
television network TV5 Monde”
FALSE FLAG ATTACKS
“The Dukes: 7 Years of Russian Cyber-
Espionage”
STRATEGIC CYBER ESPIONAGE “Hackers breach the Warsaw Stock
Exchange”
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
States are testing the
boundaries of the
cyberbattlefield.

22. Coordinated December 2015 attack on the Ukrainian electrical
grid was clearly an attack on critical national infrastructure.
Cybersabotage emerging
Cyber component in all wars and crisis

24. New ways to utilize cyberspace appearing fast.
What next is the real question.
Increasing importance to understand cyberspace
as a political domain.
Issues related to cyberspace and its uses have vaulted
into the highest realm of high politics.

25. “Proportional
response”

26. Cyber operations suit well to the
political-military hybrid environment
The adversary is usually difficult to locate
Less political risks, cyberpolitics on early stage
Cyber op´s in international law still a grey area
Often conducted by non-state actors, deniability
The role of non-kinetic actions in today´s war

27. GUIDANCE
POLITICS
Cyber should not be separated from
the political and strategic context.

28. Trend 3:
The world is moving towards a
greater strategic use of
cyber capabilities.
Cyberpolitics needed.

29. New Normal in Security:
Speed of Change
Unpredictable Instability
Digital-Physical Integration

30. How to integrate
cybersecurity to security.

31. Impact
Likelihood

33. There are relatively few “cyber only” operations

35. Trend 4:
The line between
physical and digital
security is blurring.

36. TODAY WE CONCENTRATE TOO MUCH WHAT
WE KNOW AND OBSERVE.
WE SHOULD THINK MORE CYBER METHODS
WHICH HAVE NOT BEEN USED YET – OR
WHICH WE DO NOT EVEN KNOW.

37. Trend 5:
?

38. jarno.limnell@aalto.fi
Twitter: @JarnoLim