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Times Talk: Kansas Speaks
DR. GARY BRINKER
DIRECTOR, DOCKING INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS
PROFESSOR OF SOCIOLOGY, FHSU
DR. CHAPMAN RACKAWAY
POLICY FELLOW, DOCKING INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS
PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, FHSU
What is the
Docking Institute of Public Affairs?
 Social Research Center
 Campus of Fort Hays State University
 Mission: Assist non-profit and
government entities in accomplishing
their goals.
 Staff: Academics in sociology and
political science (4)
 Administrative Specialist
 Student Research Assistants (5)
 Student supervisors and interviewers
for telephone survey center (100)
 Policy Fellows (20)
What is Kansas Speaks?
 Statewide Public Opinion Survey
 Conducted every fall
 Large representative sample
 Interviews conduced by telephone by
trained FHSU students
 Measures Kansans’ ratings of
government officials and preferences for
laws and social policies.
 Has exposed many differences between
what Kansans want and what their State
government is giving them.
 Measured widespread dissatisfaction with
Kansas government since 2013
1%
1%
2%
1%
9%
11%
12%
5%
3%
8%
37%
42%
36%
32%
22%
32%
34%
33%
35%
38%
38%
32%
15%
13%
12%
17%
23%
20%
4%
1%
3%
9%
14%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
October
2012
October
2013
October
2014
October
2015
July 2016
October
2016
Rating of the Kansas Economy
Excellent Very good Good Fair Poor Very Poor
19%
31%
23%
18%
20%
20%
23%
23%
30%
33%
36%
35%
35%
36%
42%
31%
45%
29%
33%
32%
32%
29%
27%
13%
19%
12%
9%
9%
9%
10%
7%
5%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Rate Kansas as a place to live
Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor
27%
19%
32%
33%
35%
40%
40%
29%
30%
32%
29%
29%
35%
31%
28%
33%
24%
27%
20%
24%
19%
19%
21%
23%
19%
22%
19%
15%
12%
10%
11%
15%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Do you feel the economy will seriously threaten
you or your family's welfare?
Very Concerned Moderately Concerned Slightly Concerned Not Concerned at all
30% 70%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Generally speaking, do you feel Kansas is on the right track or
wrong track?
Right Track Wrong Track
Generally speaking, do you feel Kansas is on the right track or wrong track?
5%
4%
21%
12%
15%
14%
25%
19%
32%
38%
7%
15%
7%
21%
21%
12%
25%
11%
18%
15%
62%
32%
43%
16%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Governor Sam Brownback
The Kansas Legislature
President Barack Obama
U.S. Senator Jerry Moran
The Kansas Supreme Court
Level of Satisfaction with Elected Officials
Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
11%
11%
10%
12%
31%
27%
32%
32%
24%
29%
23%
21%
20%
22%
20%
18%
15%
11%
16%
16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
October
2015
February
2016
July 2016
October
2016
Satisfaction with Senator Jerry Moran's Performance
Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
11%
13%
15%
21%
17%
21%
17%
19%
8%
7%
9%
7%
15%
17%
12%
11%
48%
43%
48%
43%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
October
2015
February
2016
July 2016
October
2016
Satisfaction with President Barack Obama's Performance
Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
3%
4%
4%
4%
3%
2%
4%
27%
23%
21%
25%
22%
23%
25%
27%
32%
33%
21%
15%
15%
15%
20%
20%
22%
27%
31%
25%
25%
22%
21%
21%
24%
30%
35%
32%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
October 2012
October 2013
October 2014
October 2015
February 2016
July 2016
October 2016
Satisfaction with the Kansas Legislature in General
Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
12%
10%
5%
6%
4%
5%
28%
25%
13%
15%
11%
14%
20%
24%
13%
10%
9%
7%
13%
14%
21%
16%
17%
12%
28%
28%
48%
53%
60%
62%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
October 2012
October 2013
October 2015
February 2016
July 2016
October 2016
Satisfaction with Governor Brownback's Performance
Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
47% 39% 9%
1%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
If the Presidential election were held today, who would you be most
likely to vote for? *Among Likely Voters (n=892)
Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson Jill Stein Some Other Candidate
33% 33% 15% 19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Retain All Retain Some Retain None Don't Know
In the upcoming general election in November, six justices of the Kansas Supreme
Court will be up for retention. Do you plan to vote to retain all, some, or none of the
Kansas Supreme Court Justices up for retention? *Among Likely Voters (n=887)
7%
21%
59%
62%
48%
32%
31%
26%
45%
48%
9%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The Middle Class
Small Businesses
Top Income Earners
Large Corporations
Increase Remain the Same Decrease
What is your opinion of whether taxes should increase, remain the same, or
decrease for each of the following groups?
37% 28% 36%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Cut Spending Cut Spending AND Increase Taxes Increase Taxes
The State of Kansas cannot spend more money than it takes in, Kansas government is
currently experiencing problems balancing the State budget. Do you believe the
problem can be solved by either cutting spending, increasing taxes, or both?
36% 26% 17% 21%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Preference for Expanding Medicaid Under the Affordable Care Act
Strongly Support Somewhat Support Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose
26% 38% 8% 29%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
What best matches your opinion on abortion?
I am opposed to abortion in all situations. I favor abortion under certain situations.
I favor abortion under most situations. Abortion should be permitted for any woman who chooses it.
14%
65%
86%
86%
96%
86%
35%
15%
14%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
When the mother cannot afford to have a baby
When there is evidence that the fetus
will have serious future health problems
In instances of incest
In instances of rape
When the mother's life is in danger
In which of the following situations would you support allowing abortion?
Yes No
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Trustworthiness
Shares My Values
Managing the National Debt
National Security
The Economy
Ability to Lead Others
Opinion of Hillary Clinton's Abilities *Among Likely Voters
(n=892)
-5 (Highly Negative) -4 -3 -2 -1 0 (Neutral) 1 2 3 4 5 (Highly Positive)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Trustworthiness
Shares My Values
National Security
Managing the National Debt
Ability to Lead Others
The Economy
Opinion of Donald Trump's Abilities *Among Likely Voters
(n=892)
-5 (Highly Negative) -4 -3 -2 -1 0 (Neutral) 1 2 3 4 5 (Highly Positive)

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Kansas Speaks 2016

  • 1. Times Talk: Kansas Speaks DR. GARY BRINKER DIRECTOR, DOCKING INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS PROFESSOR OF SOCIOLOGY, FHSU DR. CHAPMAN RACKAWAY POLICY FELLOW, DOCKING INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, FHSU
  • 2. What is the Docking Institute of Public Affairs?  Social Research Center  Campus of Fort Hays State University  Mission: Assist non-profit and government entities in accomplishing their goals.  Staff: Academics in sociology and political science (4)  Administrative Specialist  Student Research Assistants (5)  Student supervisors and interviewers for telephone survey center (100)  Policy Fellows (20)
  • 3. What is Kansas Speaks?  Statewide Public Opinion Survey  Conducted every fall  Large representative sample  Interviews conduced by telephone by trained FHSU students  Measures Kansans’ ratings of government officials and preferences for laws and social policies.  Has exposed many differences between what Kansans want and what their State government is giving them.  Measured widespread dissatisfaction with Kansas government since 2013
  • 4. 1% 1% 2% 1% 9% 11% 12% 5% 3% 8% 37% 42% 36% 32% 22% 32% 34% 33% 35% 38% 38% 32% 15% 13% 12% 17% 23% 20% 4% 1% 3% 9% 14% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% October 2012 October 2013 October 2014 October 2015 July 2016 October 2016 Rating of the Kansas Economy Excellent Very good Good Fair Poor Very Poor
  • 5. 19% 31% 23% 18% 20% 20% 23% 23% 30% 33% 36% 35% 35% 36% 42% 31% 45% 29% 33% 32% 32% 29% 27% 13% 19% 12% 9% 9% 9% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Rate Kansas as a place to live Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor
  • 6. 27% 19% 32% 33% 35% 40% 40% 29% 30% 32% 29% 29% 35% 31% 28% 33% 24% 27% 20% 24% 19% 19% 21% 23% 19% 22% 19% 15% 12% 10% 11% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Do you feel the economy will seriously threaten you or your family's welfare? Very Concerned Moderately Concerned Slightly Concerned Not Concerned at all
  • 7. 30% 70% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Generally speaking, do you feel Kansas is on the right track or wrong track? Right Track Wrong Track Generally speaking, do you feel Kansas is on the right track or wrong track?
  • 8. 5% 4% 21% 12% 15% 14% 25% 19% 32% 38% 7% 15% 7% 21% 21% 12% 25% 11% 18% 15% 62% 32% 43% 16% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Governor Sam Brownback The Kansas Legislature President Barack Obama U.S. Senator Jerry Moran The Kansas Supreme Court Level of Satisfaction with Elected Officials Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
  • 9. 11% 11% 10% 12% 31% 27% 32% 32% 24% 29% 23% 21% 20% 22% 20% 18% 15% 11% 16% 16% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% October 2015 February 2016 July 2016 October 2016 Satisfaction with Senator Jerry Moran's Performance Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
  • 10. 11% 13% 15% 21% 17% 21% 17% 19% 8% 7% 9% 7% 15% 17% 12% 11% 48% 43% 48% 43% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% October 2015 February 2016 July 2016 October 2016 Satisfaction with President Barack Obama's Performance Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
  • 11. 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4% 27% 23% 21% 25% 22% 23% 25% 27% 32% 33% 21% 15% 15% 15% 20% 20% 22% 27% 31% 25% 25% 22% 21% 21% 24% 30% 35% 32% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% October 2012 October 2013 October 2014 October 2015 February 2016 July 2016 October 2016 Satisfaction with the Kansas Legislature in General Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
  • 12. 12% 10% 5% 6% 4% 5% 28% 25% 13% 15% 11% 14% 20% 24% 13% 10% 9% 7% 13% 14% 21% 16% 17% 12% 28% 28% 48% 53% 60% 62% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% October 2012 October 2013 October 2015 February 2016 July 2016 October 2016 Satisfaction with Governor Brownback's Performance Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Neutral Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied
  • 13. 47% 39% 9% 1% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% If the Presidential election were held today, who would you be most likely to vote for? *Among Likely Voters (n=892) Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson Jill Stein Some Other Candidate
  • 14. 33% 33% 15% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Retain All Retain Some Retain None Don't Know In the upcoming general election in November, six justices of the Kansas Supreme Court will be up for retention. Do you plan to vote to retain all, some, or none of the Kansas Supreme Court Justices up for retention? *Among Likely Voters (n=887)
  • 15.
  • 16. 7% 21% 59% 62% 48% 32% 31% 26% 45% 48% 9% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% The Middle Class Small Businesses Top Income Earners Large Corporations Increase Remain the Same Decrease What is your opinion of whether taxes should increase, remain the same, or decrease for each of the following groups?
  • 17. 37% 28% 36% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Cut Spending Cut Spending AND Increase Taxes Increase Taxes The State of Kansas cannot spend more money than it takes in, Kansas government is currently experiencing problems balancing the State budget. Do you believe the problem can be solved by either cutting spending, increasing taxes, or both?
  • 18. 36% 26% 17% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Preference for Expanding Medicaid Under the Affordable Care Act Strongly Support Somewhat Support Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. 26% 38% 8% 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% What best matches your opinion on abortion? I am opposed to abortion in all situations. I favor abortion under certain situations. I favor abortion under most situations. Abortion should be permitted for any woman who chooses it.
  • 22. 14% 65% 86% 86% 96% 86% 35% 15% 14% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% When the mother cannot afford to have a baby When there is evidence that the fetus will have serious future health problems In instances of incest In instances of rape When the mother's life is in danger In which of the following situations would you support allowing abortion? Yes No
  • 23. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Trustworthiness Shares My Values Managing the National Debt National Security The Economy Ability to Lead Others Opinion of Hillary Clinton's Abilities *Among Likely Voters (n=892) -5 (Highly Negative) -4 -3 -2 -1 0 (Neutral) 1 2 3 4 5 (Highly Positive)
  • 24. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Trustworthiness Shares My Values National Security Managing the National Debt Ability to Lead Others The Economy Opinion of Donald Trump's Abilities *Among Likely Voters (n=892) -5 (Highly Negative) -4 -3 -2 -1 0 (Neutral) 1 2 3 4 5 (Highly Positive)