SlideShare a Scribd company logo
www.slideshare.net/ppis
Who are we?
Karim Adatia, CPA
Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016)
Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present)
Financial Educator (2016 - Present)
www.ppis.ca
TRADING INC.
Canada Revenue Agency
1. Who are we?
2. What are Options?
3. A Practice Trade
- Break-
4. Success Record
AGENDA
This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only.
Prosperis Passive Income Strategies (PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered
broker-dealers or investment advisors.
We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates
for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we
are telling you to trade these exact strategies or securities.
Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or
personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing
is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a
recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is
suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are
discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.
PPIS is not subject to trading restrictions. We could have a position in a security or
initiate a position in a security we mention at any time.
Disclaimer
What is Securities Trading?
A security is a tradable financial asset.
Securities Trading is the buying and selling of these financial assets
5 Major Types of Securities Trading in the world:
1. STOCKS (Including Mutual Funds, ETFs and Bonds)
2. FOREX (or FOReign EXchange or Currency Trading)
3. FUTURES
4. COMMODITIES (Oil, Gold, Coffee, Bitcoin)
5. OPTIONS
What are Equity Options?
An option is a contract that to buy or sell
a certain amount of stock.
allows you
BUYING an option gives the owner a RIGHT
SELLING an option gives the seller an OBLIGATION
RIGHT or OBLIGATION
Why trade Equity Options?
Leverage.
An option contract controls 100 shares of the underlying stock
but costs a lot less!
Bullish Stock Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
100 shares would cost = $10,000.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit.
Bullish Options Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
The Option contract goes to $6.80.
Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.
SELLBUY
(SHORT/WRITE)(LONG)
THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO:
THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO:
Buy Stock Sell Stock
Sell Stock Buy Stock
PUTCALL
WHEN WE DO ALL FOUR – WE ARE NON-DIRECTIONAL!
Non-Directional Trade
No opinion on whether market goes up or down.
The Iron Condor Options Strategy
2610 2710 2810
Iron Condor Trade Characteristics
1. Option Writing Write: To Sell an Option
2. Range-bound Confidence Interval: 95%
3. Index-linked Ticker: SPX
4. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value
5. Average Return Goal of 8% in 3 weeks
6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay
The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay
$$$
Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days)
Option
Time
Value
($)
SELL
BUY
BACK
90 60 30 0
THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX
18
SPX (S&P 500)
SHORT CALL:
= 2810
2710 28102610
95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under Normal Volatility Conditions
TRADING RANGE: 2610 – 2810
SHORT PUT:
= 2610
LONG PUT as
protection 5
points away
LONG CALL as
protection 5
points away
28152605
IRON CONDOR EXPLAINER VIDEO
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg8IyTPoaQY
Trading
Range
we talked
about
Put
Spread
Call
Spread
T
Practice Trade
https://www.td.com/ca/products-services/investing/td-direct-
investing/trading-platforms/thinkorswim/getting-started.jsp
Practice Trade
Success Record
WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2017
2400 24652335
2.6% away
(Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert)
2.6% away
WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2018
2740 28052675
2.4% away
(Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert)
2.4% away
Our Track Record (2017- Mar 2018)
*Average Invested
= $5,000/week
Our Track Record (> Apr 2018)
* Average Invested
= $5,000/week
Determining Expectancy
Steps for calculation expectancy:
1. Calculate your win and loss ratio
2. Calculate your reward to risk ratio
3. Combine those two ratios into an expectancy ratio
SPX Trade Expectancy
1. Win and loss ratio:
Win ratio = Wins/Total Trades
Loss ratio = Losses/Total Trades
2. Reward to risk ratio:
Avg. Winner / Avg. Loser
3. Expectancy ratio:
(Reward to Risk ratio x Win ratio) – Loss ratio
Before Apr 2018 After Apr 2018
55/60 = 92% 12/13 = 92%
5/60 = 8% 1/13 = 8%
$242.86/$1,520 = 16% $683/$100 = 683%
(16% x 92%) – 8%=
+6.72%
(683% x 92%) – 8%
+620.36%
Win Ratio:
Loss Ratio:
R2R Ratio:
Exp Ratio:
How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+ 66
How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+ 50
How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data- 16
The Volatility Factor
Trading Range = 2270-2030
= 240
Distance on either side
= 120/2150 = 5.58%
Return = 8% After Commissions
2030 2150 2270
1990 2150 2300
Trading Range = 2300-1990
= 310
Distance on either side
= 155/2150 = 7.21%
Return = 8% After Commissions
1
2
The
Volatility is
Higher
Full Workshop
Every 3rd Wednesday of the Month
SFU Harbour Centre (Downtown)
Register at :
www.ppis.ca
Workshop (2.5 hours)
+ Workbook
+ 1-1 Coaching (1 hour)
+ Weekly support via VDTHub Meetup
Next Workshop: July 18, 2018
Methodology in Detail
Adjustment / Stops
Entry Criteria & Risk management
Taking Advantage of Volatility
SUNDAY 6:00PM CEDAR COTTAGE
PUB, VANCOUVER
www.meetup.com/vdthub
karim@ppis.ca
US ON FACEBOOK
www.facebook.com/ppistrategies
If you Liked the Presentation,
Write us a review!
www.ppis.ca
Backup Slides
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
BUY A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP
• The person you sell the call to is betting the price will go DOWN or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
3
YOU LOSE
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
SELL A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go DOWN
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WIN
3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
BUY A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
SELL A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WINYOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe
VIX During the 2008 Financial Crisis
Takeaway: When VIX is > 18, Don’t Trade This Strategy!

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July 4 2018 - Private Group Session (Sandy's) Slides

  • 2. Who are we? Karim Adatia, CPA Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016) Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present) Financial Educator (2016 - Present) www.ppis.ca TRADING INC. Canada Revenue Agency
  • 3. 1. Who are we? 2. What are Options? 3. A Practice Trade - Break- 4. Success Record AGENDA
  • 4. This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only. Prosperis Passive Income Strategies (PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisors. We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we are telling you to trade these exact strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. PPIS is not subject to trading restrictions. We could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security we mention at any time. Disclaimer
  • 5. What is Securities Trading? A security is a tradable financial asset. Securities Trading is the buying and selling of these financial assets 5 Major Types of Securities Trading in the world: 1. STOCKS (Including Mutual Funds, ETFs and Bonds) 2. FOREX (or FOReign EXchange or Currency Trading) 3. FUTURES 4. COMMODITIES (Oil, Gold, Coffee, Bitcoin) 5. OPTIONS
  • 6. What are Equity Options? An option is a contract that to buy or sell a certain amount of stock. allows you BUYING an option gives the owner a RIGHT SELLING an option gives the seller an OBLIGATION RIGHT or OBLIGATION
  • 7. Why trade Equity Options? Leverage. An option contract controls 100 shares of the underlying stock but costs a lot less! Bullish Stock Trader Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share 100 shares would cost = $10,000. Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit. Bullish Options Trader Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share 1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500. Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share The Option contract goes to $6.80. Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.
  • 8. SELLBUY (SHORT/WRITE)(LONG) THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO: THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO: Buy Stock Sell Stock Sell Stock Buy Stock PUTCALL WHEN WE DO ALL FOUR – WE ARE NON-DIRECTIONAL!
  • 9. Non-Directional Trade No opinion on whether market goes up or down.
  • 10. The Iron Condor Options Strategy 2610 2710 2810
  • 11. Iron Condor Trade Characteristics 1. Option Writing Write: To Sell an Option 2. Range-bound Confidence Interval: 95% 3. Index-linked Ticker: SPX 4. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value 5. Average Return Goal of 8% in 3 weeks 6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay
  • 12. The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay $$$ Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days) Option Time Value ($) SELL BUY BACK 90 60 30 0
  • 13. THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX 18
  • 14. SPX (S&P 500) SHORT CALL: = 2810 2710 28102610 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under Normal Volatility Conditions TRADING RANGE: 2610 – 2810 SHORT PUT: = 2610 LONG PUT as protection 5 points away LONG CALL as protection 5 points away 28152605
  • 15. IRON CONDOR EXPLAINER VIDEO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg8IyTPoaQY Trading Range we talked about Put Spread Call Spread T
  • 18.
  • 20. WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2017 2400 24652335 2.6% away (Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert) 2.6% away
  • 21. WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2018 2740 28052675 2.4% away (Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert) 2.4% away
  • 22. Our Track Record (2017- Mar 2018) *Average Invested = $5,000/week
  • 23. Our Track Record (> Apr 2018) * Average Invested = $5,000/week
  • 24. Determining Expectancy Steps for calculation expectancy: 1. Calculate your win and loss ratio 2. Calculate your reward to risk ratio 3. Combine those two ratios into an expectancy ratio SPX Trade Expectancy 1. Win and loss ratio: Win ratio = Wins/Total Trades Loss ratio = Losses/Total Trades 2. Reward to risk ratio: Avg. Winner / Avg. Loser 3. Expectancy ratio: (Reward to Risk ratio x Win ratio) – Loss ratio Before Apr 2018 After Apr 2018 55/60 = 92% 12/13 = 92% 5/60 = 8% 1/13 = 8% $242.86/$1,520 = 16% $683/$100 = 683% (16% x 92%) – 8%= +6.72% (683% x 92%) – 8% +620.36% Win Ratio: Loss Ratio: R2R Ratio: Exp Ratio:
  • 25. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis? www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+ 66
  • 26. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis? www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+ 50
  • 27. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis? www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data- 16
  • 28. The Volatility Factor Trading Range = 2270-2030 = 240 Distance on either side = 120/2150 = 5.58% Return = 8% After Commissions 2030 2150 2270 1990 2150 2300 Trading Range = 2300-1990 = 310 Distance on either side = 155/2150 = 7.21% Return = 8% After Commissions 1 2 The Volatility is Higher
  • 29. Full Workshop Every 3rd Wednesday of the Month SFU Harbour Centre (Downtown) Register at : www.ppis.ca Workshop (2.5 hours) + Workbook + 1-1 Coaching (1 hour) + Weekly support via VDTHub Meetup Next Workshop: July 18, 2018 Methodology in Detail Adjustment / Stops Entry Criteria & Risk management Taking Advantage of Volatility
  • 30. SUNDAY 6:00PM CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER www.meetup.com/vdthub
  • 32. US ON FACEBOOK www.facebook.com/ppistrategies If you Liked the Presentation, Write us a review! www.ppis.ca
  • 34. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go UP: BUY A CALL • You are betting the price of the stock will go UP • The person you sell the call to is betting the price will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 NEUTRAL 2 YOU LOSE 3 YOU LOSE
  • 35. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go UP: SELL A PUT • You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME • The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go DOWN When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 NEUTRAL 2 YOU WIN 3 YOU LOSE … Maybe
  • 36. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go DOWN: BUY A PUT • You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN • The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP or STAY THE SAME When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 3 YOU LOSE NEUTRAL 2 YOU LOSE
  • 37. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go DOWN: SELL A CALL • You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME • The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways NEUTRAL 2 YOU WINYOU WIN 1 3 YOU LOSE … Maybe
  • 38. VIX During the 2008 Financial Crisis Takeaway: When VIX is > 18, Don’t Trade This Strategy!