This document is for private circulation and information purposes only and should not be regarded as an investment, taxation or legal advice. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this publication and should under-stand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. In no circumstances it be used or considered as an offer to sale or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned in it. We and our affiliates, officers, directors and employees including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) dis-cussed herein or act as an advisor or lender or borrower to such company or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and re-lated information and opinions. The information contained in this publication may have been taken from trade and statistical services and other sources, which we believe are reliable. We does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Any opinion ex-pressed reflects judgments at this date and are subject to change without notice. Caution: Risk of loss in trading & investment can be substantial. You should carefully consider whether trading & investment is appropriate for you in light of your experience, objectives, financial resources and other relevant circumstances.
Yes Bank profit growth was higher than expectation due and CMC remains a strong with excellent earning visibility led by joint effort of market strategy by TCS in its product and solutions. We recommend Neutral rating on both and buy stock of NIIT Tech which expect good growth from Travel & Tourism vertical in FY'14
At the CMP of Rs 33, the stock is trading at an Adj P/BV of 1.3x and 1.1x for FY15E and FY16E, respectively. With the new government stepping-up reforms and making efforts to remove the bottlenecks in the economy, we expect the economic growth to pick up going forward. Consequently, we expect the strong growth momentum seen in SIB over past few years to continue. We expect advances and deposits to grow at a CAGR of ~19% each over the forecasted period of FY14-16E.
With business further expected to grow at CAGR of 19.5% over FY14-16E; NIMs remaining stable at ~3.0% and cost-to-income ratio improving to ~45% (currently ~50%), we expect a robust PAT growth of 22.6% CAGR over FY14-16E to Rs 763 crore.
Asset quality of SIB has improved in FY14 with GNPA and Net NPA standing at 1.2% and 0.8% in FY14 against 1.4% and 0.8% in FY13, respectively (which compares favourably with peers).
On the capital adequacy front, SIB is comfortably placed to support the future business needs of the bank over the period FY14-16E. The management has stated that it does not require any Tier-I capital funding during the current year. However, it plans to raise Tier-II capital of Rs 200 crore in FY15 to fund future growth.
Narnolia Securities Limited initiated Swaraj Engines Ltd stock CMP of INR 61, the stock discounts its FY14E EPS of Rs. 54.20 by 12.0x and FY15E EPS of Rs. 61.7 We advice to book profit on the stock and BUY rating to the stock of Hindustan Zinc LTD with a target price of Rs. 148
Yes Bank profit growth was higher than expectation due and CMC remains a strong with excellent earning visibility led by joint effort of market strategy by TCS in its product and solutions. We recommend Neutral rating on both and buy stock of NIIT Tech which expect good growth from Travel & Tourism vertical in FY'14
At the CMP of Rs 33, the stock is trading at an Adj P/BV of 1.3x and 1.1x for FY15E and FY16E, respectively. With the new government stepping-up reforms and making efforts to remove the bottlenecks in the economy, we expect the economic growth to pick up going forward. Consequently, we expect the strong growth momentum seen in SIB over past few years to continue. We expect advances and deposits to grow at a CAGR of ~19% each over the forecasted period of FY14-16E.
With business further expected to grow at CAGR of 19.5% over FY14-16E; NIMs remaining stable at ~3.0% and cost-to-income ratio improving to ~45% (currently ~50%), we expect a robust PAT growth of 22.6% CAGR over FY14-16E to Rs 763 crore.
Asset quality of SIB has improved in FY14 with GNPA and Net NPA standing at 1.2% and 0.8% in FY14 against 1.4% and 0.8% in FY13, respectively (which compares favourably with peers).
On the capital adequacy front, SIB is comfortably placed to support the future business needs of the bank over the period FY14-16E. The management has stated that it does not require any Tier-I capital funding during the current year. However, it plans to raise Tier-II capital of Rs 200 crore in FY15 to fund future growth.
Narnolia Securities Limited initiated Swaraj Engines Ltd stock CMP of INR 61, the stock discounts its FY14E EPS of Rs. 54.20 by 12.0x and FY15E EPS of Rs. 61.7 We advice to book profit on the stock and BUY rating to the stock of Hindustan Zinc LTD with a target price of Rs. 148
Narnolia Securities Limited positive to buy stocks of UltraTech Cement Ltd, DB Corp and Infosys with target price of Rs 1846,Rs 340 and Rs 400 to Rs 440 respectively
On this ocassion of Diwali, we at Jainam Share Consultants have identified a few good fundamental and technical Diwali Muhurat pics which we are delighted to share with you .
Narnolia Securities Limited expect that the KPIT Tech company would report better earnings with margin ramp up and signing of larger deals in next couple of quarters. Now, we upgrade our view on the stock from “Neutral” to “Buy” with a price target of Rs 185. At a CMP of Rs 160, stock trades at 9.5x FY15E EPS.
Hindalco Industries Ltd has expanded its aluminium capacity recently which expected to face cost pressures, resulting in lower return ratios over FY2013-15. We recommend to BUY stock with target price of Rs 2330
Ride the Short Duration Wave - June 2019iciciprumf
Triggers to watch out for -
Current situation in the Fixed Income space
Our Outlook on what lies ahead
Segment of the yield curve, which stands to benefit
Read the full document to know more.
Reliance Industries Limited registered a turnover of Rs 197112 Cr which is healthy operating profits of half year. we recommend to BUY the stock with target price of Rs 1040 as well as hold Jammu and Kashmir Bank due to trading at lower valuation in comparison to private sector banks.
The Prestige Estate has moved up form starting of CY12, peaked in May13, then went down gradulally. Narnolia Securities Limited do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the current period.
Narnolia Securities Limited positive to buy stocks of UltraTech Cement Ltd, DB Corp and Infosys with target price of Rs 1846,Rs 340 and Rs 400 to Rs 440 respectively
On this ocassion of Diwali, we at Jainam Share Consultants have identified a few good fundamental and technical Diwali Muhurat pics which we are delighted to share with you .
Narnolia Securities Limited expect that the KPIT Tech company would report better earnings with margin ramp up and signing of larger deals in next couple of quarters. Now, we upgrade our view on the stock from “Neutral” to “Buy” with a price target of Rs 185. At a CMP of Rs 160, stock trades at 9.5x FY15E EPS.
Hindalco Industries Ltd has expanded its aluminium capacity recently which expected to face cost pressures, resulting in lower return ratios over FY2013-15. We recommend to BUY stock with target price of Rs 2330
Ride the Short Duration Wave - June 2019iciciprumf
Triggers to watch out for -
Current situation in the Fixed Income space
Our Outlook on what lies ahead
Segment of the yield curve, which stands to benefit
Read the full document to know more.
Reliance Industries Limited registered a turnover of Rs 197112 Cr which is healthy operating profits of half year. we recommend to BUY the stock with target price of Rs 1040 as well as hold Jammu and Kashmir Bank due to trading at lower valuation in comparison to private sector banks.
The Prestige Estate has moved up form starting of CY12, peaked in May13, then went down gradulally. Narnolia Securities Limited do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the current period.
Bank’s management continued to guide loan growth of 20% in FY14 but we lower our loan growth assumption to 15% for FY14 . We recommend ”BUY”view on the stock with a target price of Rs 1525
Narnolia Securities Limited recommend on Dabur India Ltd “Buy” view on the stock with a target price of Rs206 as well as CAN FIN HOME stock with price target of Rs.220. Neutral view on DB CORP Share
Expecting growth rate by 21.5%. Its large market share and aggressive promotions in its pillar brand (Sugar Free, Everyuth) would energize its
revenue growth in near future. We retain “Buy” on the stock with target price from Rs725 to Rs 610.
Narnolia Securities Limited natural view on the KPIT stock could be change after favorable update on stock and healthy earning guidance for FY15E. At a CMP of Rs 151, stock trades at 9x FY15E EPS. Also today buy UCO bank stock due to net profit growth of 207% YoY
Narnolia Securities Limited expect that eClerx Services organic revenue growth remains soft in near term, and company is very focussed on inorganic growth and expect to see growth from cable business . we recommend ”BUY”view on the stock with a target price of Rs 1410 (revised from Rs 1350) .
Asset quality was better among peers but in tight liquidity situation it would remain challenging. Margin was compressed slightly in sequential basis but management continued to guided domestic NIM at 3% level from present of 2.95%. NSL value bank at Rs.634/share which is 0.75 times of FY14E’s book value.
Tata Motors stock at its CMP of Rs 364 is trading at 7.34 x of one year forward FY14E EPS of Rs50.The robust 3QFY14 results, Strong cash flows by JLR and better demand outlook, Narnolia Securities limited Maintain BUY for the stock with Target Price Rs 425
Narnolia Securities Limited positive to buy stocks of Sobha Developers Ltd and Suprajit Engineering Ltd with target price of Rs 1420 and Rs. 350 respectively. Also book profit on DIVISLAB stock which has achieved our recommended Target price of Rs 1350.
Emami’s Ltd focus on increasing rural penetration, favorable monsoon, continuous strengthening of its brand equity. Narnolia Securities Limited recommend “Buy” on the stock with a target price of Rs 635
Narnolia Securities Limited believe for the current market scenario the price is fare enough to trade.But looking at future capex plans and sluggish demand we belive the earnings and profitability of Shree cement may fall for the next two consecutive quarters.Also Value of Axis bank at Rs.1217/share implying 1.5 times of FY14E’s book value which is quite reasonable as per our view
Narnolia Securities Limited positive to buy stocks of Coal India LTD and Cipla Limited with target price of Rs 440 and Rs.307 respectively and neutral view on the stock of Canara bank.
Mr. Narayan Murthy expressed its view regarding senior level exits from the company. In near term, non-performers in Infosys could be asked to leave or may hand over layoff notices. Infosys will retain its revenue acceleration and margin expansion. We retain our “BUY” view on the stock with a target price of target price of Rs 3910 .
Shree Cement very good strategy for capacity expansion. We are positive to buy stocks with Target Price Rs.4791. Also why positive outlook in sector 2014 and earning guidance for FY15E on IT industry
Most of banking stocks reported moderate revenue and profit growth owing to multiple headwinds. In near term we are not seeing improvement in economic condition and asset quality pressure are expected to remain in the system due to tight liquidity situation and rising interest rate. Post result we like SBI, Union Bank and UCO Bank due to their structural improvement in balance sheet, operating and financial metrics.
Narnolia Securities Limited positive to buy stocks of TCS, HDFC Bank, FEDERAL BANK, DB CORP and ITC Stock with target price of Rs 2360 ,Rs 760/share, 98/share, Rs 340, and Rs 380 respectively
India Equity Analytics today by Narnolia Securities Limited. We recommended Kajaria Ceremics and Zensar Tech to BUY the stock with target price of Rs 350 and Rs 440 respectively. Also book profit on HDFC LTD stock.
Narnolia Securities Limited initiated KPIT stock at a CMP of Rs 115 (14 Jan 2013) and now, it achieved its target of Rs 177. We advice to book profit on the stock because of its premium valuation. For information visit our website http://www.narnolia.com/
Narnolia Securities Limited expect performance Public Sector Banks (PSBs) to remain muted on the back of slower pace of loan growth and deteriorating asset quality led by ongoing restructure assets and stress in economy. For more information contact us on http://www.narnolia.com/index.php/contact-us/
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
where can I find a legit pi merchant onlineDOT TECH
Yes. This is very easy what you need is a recommendation from someone who has successfully traded pi coins before with a merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
J&k bank ltd.
1. Date - 25th Sep 2013Date - 25th Sep 2013Date - 25 Sep 2013
Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd - BUYJammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd - BUYJammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd - BUYJammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd - BUYJammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd - BUY
CMP - INR 1101.00 TP - INR 1453.00 RiskCMP - INR 1101.00 TP - INR 1453.00 RiskCMP - INR 1101.00 TP - INR 1453.00 Risk
TH - 12 to 15 Months Up Side - 32.12 % ReturnTH - 12 to 15 Months Up Side - 32.12 % ReturnTH - 12 to 15 Months Up Side - 32.12 % ReturnTH - 12 to 15 Months Up Side - 32.12 % Return
We initiate coverage on Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. (J&K BankWe initiate coverage on Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. (J&K BankWe initiate coverage on Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. (J&K Bank
a price target of Rs 1453 (1.22x FY14 P/BV) over a perioda price target of Rs 1453 (1.22x FY14 P/BV) over a perioda price target of Rs 1453 (1.22x FY14 P/BV) over a period
representing a potential upside of 32.12%. At CMP of Rs 1101representing a potential upside of 32.12%. At CMP of Rs 1101representing a potential upside of 32.12%. At CMP of Rs 1101representing a potential upside of 32.12%. At CMP of Rs 1101
at 0.9x and 0.8x its P/BV for FY14E & FY15E, respectively. J&Kat 0.9x and 0.8x its P/BV for FY14E & FY15E, respectively. J&Kat 0.9x and 0.8x its P/BV for FY14E & FY15E, respectively. J&K
focusing on the high margin loan book in the J&K state,focusing on the high margin loan book in the J&K state,focusing on the high margin loan book in the J&K state,
Potential in horticultural lending, high operating efficiencyPotential in horticultural lending, high operating efficiencyPotential in horticultural lending, high operating efficiencyPotential in horticultural lending, high operating efficiency
quality should lead to an impressive growth in top and bottomquality should lead to an impressive growth in top and bottomquality should lead to an impressive growth in top and bottom
a CAGR of 23% and 20%, respectively over the period of FYa CAGR of 23% and 20%, respectively over the period of FYa CAGR of 23% and 20%, respectively over the period of FY
constant dividend paying history of past several years and bestconstant dividend paying history of past several years and bestconstant dividend paying history of past several years and best
return ratios, we rate this stock as a potential investment opportunity
constant dividend paying history of past several years and best
return ratios, we rate this stock as a potential investment opportunityreturn ratios, we rate this stock as a potential investment opportunityreturn ratios, we rate this stock as a potential investment opportunity
Investment rationaleInvestment rationaleInvestment rationale
Healthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continue
Loan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last fiveLoan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last fiveLoan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last five
deposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, over thedeposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, over thedeposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, over the
FY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectively
to FY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity alongto FY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity alongto FY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity along
infrastructure spending by the central government , we expectinfrastructure spending by the central government , we expectinfrastructure spending by the central government , we expect
growth for J&K in the near future.growth for J&K in the near future.growth for J&K in the near future.
Strong geographic presence in J&K state create the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state create the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state create the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state create the dominions
J&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&KJ&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&KJ&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&K
behalf of the RBI to carry on the general banking business of thebehalf of the RBI to carry on the general banking business of thebehalf of the RBI to carry on the general banking business of the
It has the leadership in the state with a network of 455 branchesIt has the leadership in the state with a network of 455 branchesIt has the leadership in the state with a network of 455 branchesIt has the leadership in the state with a network of 455 branches
80% of total branches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates80% of total branches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates80% of total branches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates
market share in total advances and 65% market share in total depositsmarket share in total advances and 65% market share in total depositsmarket share in total advances and 65% market share in total deposits
Focus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIM
With strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towardsWith strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towardsWith strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towards
bank will support margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6bank will support margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6bank will support margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6
and 2.50% outside the state. As per our financial model we stronglyand 2.50% outside the state. As per our financial model we stronglyand 2.50% outside the state. As per our financial model we strongly
bank will maintain the NIM in the range of 3.90% to 4.20% for FYbank will maintain the NIM in the range of 3.90% to 4.20% for FYbank will maintain the NIM in the range of 3.90% to 4.20% for FYbank will maintain the NIM in the range of 3.90% to 4.20% for FY
BUYBUYBUYBUYBUY
Risk - MediumRisk - MediumRisk - Medium
Return - High “> 25%”Return - High “> 25%”Return - High “> 25%”Return - High “> 25%”
Bank Ltd.) as a BUY withBank Ltd.) as a BUY withBank Ltd.) as a BUY with
period of 12 to 15 months Market Dataperiod of 12 to 15 months Market Dataperiod of 12 to 15 months
1101, the stock is trading
Market Data
Sensex / Nifty 19856/58741101, the stock is trading Sensex / Nifty 19856/58741101, the stock is trading Sensex / Nifty 19856/5874
Equity Shares (Cr) 4.84
1101, the stock is trading
J&K Bank’s strategy of Equity Shares (Cr) 4.84J&K Bank’s strategy of Equity Shares (Cr) 4.84
Face Value (INR) 10.00
J&K Bank’s strategy of
has observed a huge
Face Value (INR) 10.00
has observed a huge
Face Value (INR) 10.00
Avg 12m Vol (‘000) 11.54
has observed a huge
and improving asset
Avg 12m Vol (‘000) 11.54
and improving asset
Avg 12m Vol (‘000) 11.54
52-wk HI/LO (INR) 937/1473and improving asset 52-wk HI/LO (INR) 937/1473and improving asset
bottom line numbers at
52-wk HI/LO (INR) 937/1473
Free Float (Cr) 2610.00bottom line numbers at Free Float (Cr) 2610.00bottom line numbers at
FY13A to FY16E. With a
Free Float (Cr) 2610.00
O/S shares (Cr) 48.49FY13A to FY16E. With a O/S shares (Cr) 48.49FY13A to FY16E. With a
best in class share holder
O/S shares (Cr) 48.49
Market Cap (Cr) 5333.90best in class share holder Market Cap (Cr) 5333.90best in class share holder
opportunity.
Market Cap (Cr) 5333.90best in class share holder
opportunity.opportunity.
Y/E Mar (Cr) FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
opportunity.
Y/E Mar (Cr) FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EY/E Mar (Cr) FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
NII 2316 2803 3315 3978NII 2316 2803 3315 3978NII 2316 2803 3315 3978
OP 1811 2247 2699 3294OP 1811 2247 2699 3294OP 1811 2247 2699 3294
NP 1055 1253 1496 1823NP 1055 1253 1496 1823
five years (loan book and
NP 1055 1253 1496 1823
EPS (INR) 218 258 309 376five years (loan book and EPS (INR) 218 258 309 376five years (loan book and
the period of FY09A to
EPS (INR) 218 258 309 376
DPS (INR) 50 59 71 86the period of FY09A to DPS (INR) 50 59 71 86the period of FY09A to
respectively over FY13A
DPS (INR) 50 59 71 86
NIM (%) 4% 4% 4% 4%
respectively over FY13A NIM (%) 4% 4% 4% 4%
respectively over FY13A NIM (%) 4% 4% 4% 4%
Div Yield (%) 4.5% 5.4% 6.5% 7.9%
respectively over FY13A
along with the focus on
Div Yield (%) 4.5% 5.4% 6.5% 7.9%
along with the focus on
Div Yield (%) 4.5% 5.4% 6.5% 7.9%
ROE (%) 21.7% 21.7% 21.8% 22.2%along with the focus on
expect an increase in the
ROE (%) 21.7% 21.7% 21.8% 22.2%
expect an increase in the
ROE (%) 21.7% 21.7% 21.8% 22.2%
ROA (%) 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 3.5%expect an increase in the ROA (%) 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 3.5%
P/E (X) 5.1 4.3 3.6 2.9P/E (X) 5.1 4.3 3.6 2.9
dominions
P/E (X) 5.1 4.3 3.6 2.9
P/BV (X) 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7dominions P/BV (X) 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7dominions P/BV (X) 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7dominions
J&K . It has right to act ofJ&K . It has right to act of
Holding Q1FY14 Q4FY13 Q3FY13 Q2FY13
J&K . It has right to act of
the central government.
Holding Q1FY14 Q4FY13 Q3FY13 Q2FY13
the central government.
Holding Q1FY14 Q4FY13 Q3FY13 Q2FY13
Promoter 53.17% 53.17% 53.17% 53.17%
the central government.
branches which comprises
Promoter 53.17% 53.17% 53.17% 53.17%
branches which comprises
Promoter 53.17% 53.17% 53.17% 53.17%
FII 24.75% 24.54% 24.28% 24.76%branches which comprises FII 24.75% 24.54% 24.28% 24.76%branches which comprises
dominates the region with 70%
FII 24.75% 24.54% 24.28% 24.76%
DII 4.95% 4.91% 4.89% 3.90%dominates the region with 70% DII 4.95% 4.91% 4.89% 3.90%dominates the region with 70%
deposits in the state.
DII 4.95% 4.91% 4.89% 3.90%
Non Institutions 17.13% 17.38% 17.66% 18.17%deposits in the state. Non Institutions 17.13% 17.38% 17.66% 18.17%deposits in the state. Non Institutions 17.13% 17.38% 17.66% 18.17%
Analyst Details
towards J&K state, J&K Analyst Details
towards J&K state, J&K Analyst Details
Pushkaraj Jamsandekar
towards J&K state, J&K
6.20% within the state
Pushkaraj Jamsandekar
6.20% within the state
Pushkaraj Jamsandekar
Contact - +098691395076.20% within the state
strongly expect that J&K
Contact - +09869139507
strongly expect that J&K
Contact - +09869139507
Mail ID - pushkarajjamsandekar@yahoo.comstrongly expect that J&K
FY14E.
Mail ID - pushkarajjamsandekar@yahoo.com
FY14E.
Mail ID - pushkarajjamsandekar@yahoo.com
Perception Research & AdvisoryFY14E. Perception Research & AdvisoryFY14E. Perception Research & Advisory
2. Huge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural LendingHuge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural LendingHuge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural Lending
J&K State produces 77 % of India’s total apple output andJ&K State produces 77 % of India’s total apple output andJ&K State produces 77 % of India’s total apple output andJ&K State produces 77 % of India’s total apple output and
dedicated to apple cultivation. Out of a total of more than 283000dedicated to apple cultivation. Out of a total of more than 283000dedicated to apple cultivation. Out of a total of more than 283000
State, Bank’s finance has been extended to about 17300 growersState, Bank’s finance has been extended to about 17300 growersState, Bank’s finance has been extended to about 17300 growers
remaining growers will generate credit of about Rs.7000 Cr moreremaining growers will generate credit of about Rs.7000 Cr moreremaining growers will generate credit of about Rs.7000 Cr moreremaining growers will generate credit of about Rs.7000 Cr more
Apple growers get their financing from traders and are unawareApple growers get their financing from traders and are unawareApple growers get their financing from traders and are unaware
cost works out to 36% to 54%, against the Bank’s interest rangingcost works out to 36% to 54%, against the Bank’s interest rangingcost works out to 36% to 54%, against the Bank’s interest ranging
Current shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335Current shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335Current shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335Current shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335
incremental Agricultural Advances at Base Rate of 10.25 %incremental Agricultural Advances at Base Rate of 10.25 %incremental Agricultural Advances at Base Rate of 10.25 %
(10.25% –4%) would generate an incremental revenue of about(10.25% –4%) would generate an incremental revenue of about(10.25% –4%) would generate an incremental revenue of about
lending Rs. 2335 Cr to agricultural sector.lending Rs. 2335 Cr to agricultural sector.lending Rs. 2335 Cr to agricultural sector.
Massive expansion in networkMassive expansion in networkMassive expansion in networkMassive expansion in network
To improve the geographic presence and to obtain the moreTo improve the geographic presence and to obtain the moreTo improve the geographic presence and to obtain the more
business J&K bank planned massive expansion in their networkbusiness J&K bank planned massive expansion in their networkbusiness J&K bank planned massive expansion in their network
impressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalent
of FY15.of FY15.of FY15.
Cheap Valuation and High Dividend yieldCheap Valuation and High Dividend yieldCheap Valuation and High Dividend yield
At current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E PriceAt current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E PriceAt current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E Price
times. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividend
At current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E Price
times. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividendtimes. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividendtimes. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividend
comfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading atcomfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading atcomfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading at
for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.
and controls 49 % of landand controls 49 % of landand controls 49 % of landand controls 49 % of land
283000 apple growers in the283000 apple growers in the283000 apple growers in the
growers so far. Tapping thegrowers so far. Tapping thegrowers so far. Tapping the
more. In J&K state’s 75% ofmore. In J&K state’s 75% ofmore. In J&K state’s 75% ofmore. In J&K state’s 75% of
unaware that its effective interestunaware that its effective interestunaware that its effective interest
ranging from 4% to 11%.ranging from 4% to 11%.ranging from 4% to 11%.
2335 cr. Assuming yield on2335 cr. Assuming yield on2335 cr. Assuming yield on2335 cr. Assuming yield on
%, the incremental yield%, the incremental yield%, the incremental yield
about Rs. 146 Cr per year onabout Rs. 146 Cr per year onabout Rs. 146 Cr per year on
opportunities in bankingopportunities in bankingopportunities in banking
network. The bank hasnetwork. The bank hasnetwork. The bank has
equivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the end
Price to book value of 0.9Price to book value of 0.9Price to book value of 0.9
dividend yield provides with a
Price to book value of 0.9
dividend yield provides with adividend yield provides with adividend yield provides with a
at 4.3x and 3.5x to its PEat 4.3x and 3.5x to its PEat 4.3x and 3.5x to its PE
3. ConcernsConcernsConcerns
Change in political environmentChange in political environmentChange in political environmentChange in political environment
Instable geopolitical uncertainty in the J&K State would hamperInstable geopolitical uncertainty in the J&K State would hamperInstable geopolitical uncertainty in the J&K State would hamper
sentiment.sentiment.sentiment.
Rupee depreciationRupee depreciationRupee depreciationRupee depreciation
The rupee has depreciated about 25 % this year and touchedThe rupee has depreciated about 25 % this year and touchedThe rupee has depreciated about 25 % this year and touched
lower rupee value is the major concern for Indian economiclower rupee value is the major concern for Indian economiclower rupee value is the major concern for Indian economic
adverse impact on Indian banking sector.adverse impact on Indian banking sector.adverse impact on Indian banking sector.adverse impact on Indian banking sector.
Higher inflation rateHigher inflation rateHigher inflation rate
Higher inflation rate is another major concern in India. Bank lendingHigher inflation rate is another major concern in India. Bank lendingHigher inflation rate is another major concern in India. Bank lending
an inverse relation, observing the past trend it was absolutelyan inverse relation, observing the past trend it was absolutelyan inverse relation, observing the past trend it was absolutely
inflation rate moves up it starts pulling down the bank lending rateinflation rate moves up it starts pulling down the bank lending rateinflation rate moves up it starts pulling down the bank lending rateinflation rate moves up it starts pulling down the bank lending rate
Negative investor sentimentNegative investor sentimentNegative investor sentiment
Higher inflation rate, unexpected rupee depreciation, lowerHigher inflation rate, unexpected rupee depreciation, lowerHigher inflation rate, unexpected rupee depreciation, lower
uncertainty in political environment may hamper investor (FII &uncertainty in political environment may hamper investor (FII &uncertainty in political environment may hamper investor (FII &uncertainty in political environment may hamper investor (FII &
Low GDP growth or below expectationLow GDP growth or below expectationLow GDP growth or below expectation
For the current fiscal, India is targeting 4 to 5 percent GDP growthFor the current fiscal, India is targeting 4 to 5 percent GDP growthFor the current fiscal, India is targeting 4 to 5 percent GDP growth
negatively impact on Indian banking sector.negatively impact on Indian banking sector.negatively impact on Indian banking sector.negatively impact on Indian banking sector.
hamper the overall businesshamper the overall businesshamper the overall business
touched a record low of 68.80.touched a record low of 68.80.touched a record low of 68.80.
economic growth, along with aneconomic growth, along with aneconomic growth, along with an
lending and inflation havelending and inflation havelending and inflation have
absolutely clear that once theabsolutely clear that once theabsolutely clear that once the
rate.rate.rate.rate.
lower capital expenditure andlower capital expenditure andlower capital expenditure and
& DII) sentiment.& DII) sentiment.& DII) sentiment.& DII) sentiment.
growth. Lower in GDP maygrowth. Lower in GDP maygrowth. Lower in GDP may
4. Company backgroundCompany backgroundCompany background
The Bank, incorporated in 1938, as a universal bank in JammuThe Bank, incorporated in 1938, as a universal bank in JammuThe Bank, incorporated in 1938, as a universal bank in JammuThe Bank, incorporated in 1938, as a universal bank in Jammu
specialized bank in the rest of the country. It is also thespecialized bank in the rest of the country. It is also thespecialized bank in the rest of the country. It is also the
designated as RBI’s agent for banking business, and carries outdesignated as RBI’s agent for banking business, and carries outdesignated as RBI’s agent for banking business, and carries out
the Central Government, besides collecting central taxes for CBDTthe Central Government, besides collecting central taxes for CBDTthe Central Government, besides collecting central taxes for CBDTthe Central Government, besides collecting central taxes for CBDT
two-legged business model whereby it seeks to increase lendingtwo-legged business model whereby it seeks to increase lendingtwo-legged business model whereby it seeks to increase lending
results in higher margins despite modest volumes, and at theresults in higher margins despite modest volumes, and at theresults in higher margins despite modest volumes, and at the
capture niche lending opportunities on a pan-India basis to buildcapture niche lending opportunities on a pan-India basis to buildcapture niche lending opportunities on a pan-India basis to buildcapture niche lending opportunities on a pan-India basis to build
margins.margins.margins.
Share holding patternShare holding patternShare holding pattern
Exhibit 01 : Change in holding by No. of sharesExhibit 01 : Change in holding by No. of sharesExhibit 01 : Change in holding by No. of shares
Y/E March 31 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13Y/E March 31 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13Y/E March 31 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13
(A) Promoter & Group 53.2% 53.2% 53.2% 53.2%(A) Promoter & Group 53.2% 53.2% 53.2% 53.2%(A) Promoter & Group 53.2% 53.2% 53.2% 53.2%
Chief Secretary, Gov of J & K 50.2% 50.2% 50.2% 50.2%Chief Secretary, Gov of J & K 50.2% 50.2% 50.2% 50.2%Chief Secretary, Gov of J & K 50.2% 50.2% 50.2% 50.2%
Secretary Fin Dept, Gov, of J & K 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%Secretary Fin Dept, Gov, of J & K 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
(B) Public Shareholding 46.8% 46.8% 46.8% 46.8%(B) Public Shareholding 46.8% 46.8% 46.8% 46.8%(B) Public Shareholding 46.8% 46.8% 46.8% 46.8%
(1) Institutions 29.5% 28.7% 29.2% 29.4%(1) Institutions 29.5% 28.7% 29.2% 29.4%(1) Institutions 29.5% 28.7% 29.2% 29.4%
Mutual Funds / UTI 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4%Mutual Funds / UTI 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4%Mutual Funds / UTI 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4%
Financial Institutions / Banks 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Financial Institutions / Banks 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Financial Institutions / Banks 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Insurance Companies 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%Insurance Companies 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%Insurance Companies 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Foreign Institutional Investors 26.5% 24.8% 24.3% 24.5%Foreign Institutional Investors 26.5% 24.8% 24.3% 24.5%Foreign Institutional Investors 26.5% 24.8% 24.3% 24.5%
(2) Non-Institutions 6.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4%(2) Non-Institutions 6.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4%(2) Non-Institutions 6.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4%
(3) Individuals 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 11.4%(3) Individuals 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 11.4%(3) Individuals 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 11.4%
Any Others (Specify) 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%Any Others (Specify) 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%Any Others (Specify) 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
Total share holding 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%Total share holding 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%Total share holding 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Private sector bank, despite government’s majority holdingPrivate sector bank, despite government’s majority holdingPrivate sector bank, despite government’s majority holding
J&K Bank is the only bank which has 53.2% of governmentJ&K Bank is the only bank which has 53.2% of governmentJ&K Bank is the only bank which has 53.2% of governmentJ&K Bank is the only bank which has 53.2% of government
banks. Out of the total promoter holding, 94% of shares are heldbanks. Out of the total promoter holding, 94% of shares are heldbanks. Out of the total promoter holding, 94% of shares are held
government of J&K and balance 6% is held in strong handsgovernment of J&K and balance 6% is held in strong handsgovernment of J&K and balance 6% is held in strong hands
department of government of J&K.department of government of J&K.department of government of J&K.department of government of J&K.
Jammu & Kashmir and as aJammu & Kashmir and as aJammu & Kashmir and as aJammu & Kashmir and as a
only private sector bankonly private sector bankonly private sector bank
out the banking business ofout the banking business ofout the banking business of
CBDT. J&K Bank follows aCBDT. J&K Bank follows aCBDT. J&K Bank follows aCBDT. J&K Bank follows a
lending in its home state whichlending in its home state whichlending in its home state which
the same time, seeks tothe same time, seeks tothe same time, seeks to
build volumes and improvebuild volumes and improvebuild volumes and improvebuild volumes and improve
Q4FY13 Q1FY14 % QOQ % SPLY Share Holding Pattern Q1FY14Q4FY13 Q1FY14 % QOQ % SPLY Share Holding Pattern Q1FY14Q4FY13 Q1FY14 % QOQ % SPLY Share Holding Pattern Q1FY14
53.2% 53.2% 0.0% 0.0%53.2% 53.2% 0.0% 0.0%53.2% 53.2% 0.0% 0.0%
50.2% 50.2% 0.0% 0.0%50.2% 50.2% 0.0% 0.0%50.2% 50.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% Promoter3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0%
46.8% 46.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Promoter
46.8% 46.8% 0.0% 0.0% 17%46.8% 46.8% 0.0% 0.0%
29.4% 29.7% 0.9% 0.7%
17%
29.4% 29.7% 0.9% 0.7%29.4% 29.7% 0.9% 0.7%
4.4% 4.5% 1.0% 78.7% 5%
FII
4.4% 4.5% 1.0% 78.7% 5%
FII
4.4% 4.5% 1.0% 78.7%
0.0% 0.0% -15.7% 0.0%
5%
0.0% 0.0% -15.7% 0.0% 53%
0.0% 0.0% -15.7% 0.0%
0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
53%
DII0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
53%
DII0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
24.5% 24.8% 0.9% -6.7% 25%
DII
24.5% 24.8% 0.9% -6.7% 25%24.5% 24.8% 0.9% -6.7%
5.4% 5.0% -6.2% -17.4%
25%
5.4% 5.0% -6.2% -17.4% Non Institutions5.4% 5.0% -6.2% -17.4%
11.4% 11.4% 0.3% 6.3%
Non Institutions
11.4% 11.4% 0.3% 6.3%11.4% 11.4% 0.3% 6.3%
0.6% 0.7% 7.5% 33.4%0.6% 0.7% 7.5% 33.4%0.6% 0.7% 7.5% 33.4%
100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
holding in private sectorholding in private sectorholding in private sectorholding in private sector
held by the chief secretaryheld by the chief secretaryheld by the chief secretary
hands of secretary financehands of secretary financehands of secretary finance
5. Investment rationaleInvestment rationaleInvestment rationale
Healthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continueHealthy performance to continue
Loan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last fiveLoan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last fiveLoan book and deposits grew at moderate pace over last five
deposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, overdeposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, overdeposits grew at a CAGR of 17% and 18% respectively, over
FY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectivelyFY13A) instead of an expected CAGR growth of 19% and 16% respectively
FY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity alongFY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity alongFY16E. Due to increased commercial and tourism activity along
infrastructure spending by the central government , we expectinfrastructure spending by the central government , we expectinfrastructure spending by the central government , we expect
for J&K in the near future.for J&K in the near future.for J&K in the near future.for J&K in the near future.
Exhibit 02 : Growth in depositsExhibit 02 : Growth in depositsExhibit 02 : Growth in deposits
66605
30%80000
66605
26%
30%80000
56445
66605
26%
47432
56445
26%
60000 47432
56445
21%
19% 20%
60000
39200
47432
19%
21%
19% 18%
20%
33077
3920019% 19% 18%
40000 3307740000
10%
40000
10%
20000
10%
2000020000
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Advances Growth %Advances Growth %Advances Growth %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
J&K bank has strong deposit franchise and focus towards J&KJ&K bank has strong deposit franchise and focus towards J&KJ&K bank has strong deposit franchise and focus towards J&KJ&K bank has strong deposit franchise and focus towards J&K
to deposits and 39% to loan book respectively. The managementto deposits and 39% to loan book respectively. The managementto deposits and 39% to loan book respectively. The management
confident to maintain their market share in J&K state for the currentconfident to maintain their market share in J&K state for the currentconfident to maintain their market share in J&K state for the current
DepositsDepositsDeposits
Y/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOYY/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOYY/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOY
Within J&K 34920 40867 39681 -3% 14% 35308 40867 16%Within J&K 34920 40867 39681 -3% 14% 35308 40867 16%Within J&K 34920 40867 39681 -3% 14% 35308 40867 16%
Rest of India 18197 23354 18920 -19% 4% 13803 23354 69%Rest of India 18197 23354 18920 -19% 4% 13803 23354 69%Rest of India 18197 23354 18920 -19% 4% 13803 23354 69%
Whole Bank 53117 64221 58601 -9% 10% 49111 64221 31%Whole Bank 53117 64221 58601 -9% 10% 49111 64221 31%Whole Bank 53117 64221 58601 -9% 10% 49111 64221 31%
Within J&K 66% 64% 68% - - 72% 64%Within J&K 66% 64% 68% - - 72% 64%Within J&K 66% 64% 68% - - 72% 64%
Rest of India 34% 36% 32% - - 28% 36%Rest of India 34% 36% 32% - - 28% 36%Rest of India 34% 36% 32% - - 28% 36%
five years (loan book andfive years (loan book andfive years (loan book and
over the period of FY09A toover the period of FY09A toover the period of FY09A to
respectively over FY13A torespectively over FY13A torespectively over FY13A torespectively over FY13A to
along with the focus onalong with the focus onalong with the focus on
an increase in the growthan increase in the growthan increase in the growth
Exhibit 03 : Growth in advancesExhibit 03 : Growth in advancesExhibit 03 : Growth in advances
66605
30%80000
66605
26%
30%80000
56445
66605
26%
47432
56445
26%
60000 47432
56445
21%
19% 20%
60000
39200
47432
19%
21%
19% 18%
20%
33077
3920019% 19% 18%
40000 3307740000
10%
40000
10%
20000
10%
2000020000
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Advances Growth %Advances Growth %Advances Growth %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
state would support 64%state would support 64%state would support 64%state would support 64%
management of J&K bank is prettymanagement of J&K bank is prettymanagement of J&K bank is pretty
current fiscal.current fiscal.current fiscal.
Gross AdvancesGross AdvancesGross Advances
YOY Y/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOYYOY Y/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOYYOY Y/E 31 March 1QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 QOQ SPLY FY12A FY13A YOY
16% Within J&K 13525 15839 16940 7% 25% 12574 15839 26%16% Within J&K 13525 15839 16940 7% 25% 12574 15839 26%16% Within J&K 13525 15839 16940 7% 25% 12574 15839 26%
69% Rest of India 20544 24293 23294 -4% 13% 20556 24293 18%69% Rest of India 20544 24293 23294 -4% 13% 20556 24293 18%69% Rest of India 20544 24293 23294 -4% 13% 20556 24293 18%
31% Whole Bank 34069 40132 40234 0% 18% 33130 40132 21%31% Whole Bank 34069 40132 40234 0% 18% 33130 40132 21%31% Whole Bank 34069 40132 40234 0% 18% 33130 40132 21%
- Within J&K 40% 39% 42% - - 38% 39% -- Within J&K 40% 39% 42% - - 38% 39% -- Within J&K 40% 39% 42% - - 38% 39% -
- Rest of India 60% 61% 58% - - 62% 61% -- Rest of India 60% 61% 58% - - 62% 61% -- Rest of India 60% 61% 58% - - 62% 61% -
6. Strong geographic presence in J&K state creates the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state creates the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state creates the dominionsStrong geographic presence in J&K state creates the dominions
J&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&K . ItJ&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&K . ItJ&K bank is the only a private sector bank in the state of J&K . It
of the RBI to carry on the general banking business of the centralof the RBI to carry on the general banking business of the centralof the RBI to carry on the general banking business of the central
leadership in the state with a network of 455 branches whichleadership in the state with a network of 455 branches whichleadership in the state with a network of 455 branches which
branches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates the region withbranches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates the region withbranches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates the region withbranches and 399 ATMs. J&K bank also dominates the region with
total advances and 65% market share in total deposits in the statetotal advances and 65% market share in total deposits in the statetotal advances and 65% market share in total deposits in the state
Exhibit 04: Branches Total – J&K StateExhibit 04: Branches Total – J&K State
100%2000 100%2000
82% 85% 87% 87%
100%2000
82% 85% 87% 87%
80%
1500
85769%
82% 85% 80%
1500
715
85769%
60%
1500
715
69%
60%
579
715 60%
1000
380
496
579
40%
1000
380
496 40%
985
380
500
548 603 685 821 985 20%
500
548 603 685 821 985 20%
548 603 685
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E
Total Branches J&K Branches J&K Branches % to toatlTotal Branches J&K Branches J&K Branches % to toatlTotal Branches J&K Branches J&K Branches % to toatl
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Massive expansion in networkMassive expansion in networkMassive expansion in network
To improve the geographic presence and to obtain the moreTo improve the geographic presence and to obtain the moreTo improve the geographic presence and to obtain the more
business J&K bank planned massive expansion in their networkbusiness J&K bank planned massive expansion in their networkbusiness J&K bank planned massive expansion in their network
impressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalentimpressive expansion plan of 300 new branches and almost equivalent
of FY15.of FY15.of FY15.
Exhibit 06: Expansion plan in Branches & ATMExhibit 06: Expansion plan in Branches & ATMExhibit 06: Expansion plan in Branches & ATM
50%2000 50%2000 50%2000
41% 40%
1500
837
41% 40%
1500
837
30%
1500
698
837
30%
613
698
25%
30%
1000
508
613
20% 20%
25%
21% 20% 20%
1000
246 288 361
508 20% 20%
17%
21% 20% 20%
985
246 288 361
14%
20% 20%
17%
21%
14%
20% 20%
500
603 685 821 985
246
10%
14%
10%
14%
10%
500
530 536 548 603 685 821 98510%10% 10%
500
530 536 548 603 685
1% 1% 2% 0%0 1% 1% 2% 0%0 1% 1% 0%0
FY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E
Branches ATM Growth % Growth %Branches ATM Growth % Growth %Branches ATM Growth % Growth %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
dominionsdominionsdominionsdominions
It has right to act of behalfIt has right to act of behalfIt has right to act of behalf
central government. It has thecentral government. It has thecentral government. It has the
which comprises 80% of totalwhich comprises 80% of totalwhich comprises 80% of total
with 70% market share inwith 70% market share inwith 70% market share inwith 70% market share in
state.state.state.
Exhibit 05: ATM Total – J&K StateExhibit 05: ATM Total – J&K State
100%2000
90% 90%
100%2000
89% 90% 90%
100%2000
89% 90% 90%
80%
1500
68%
80%
1500
75461%
68%
60%
1500
628
75461%
68%
60%
1000
544
628
75461% 60%
1000
544
628
40%
1000
345
544 40%
837220
345
20%
500
508 613 698 837220 20%
500
361 508 613 698 837220 20%
361 508 613
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E
Total ATM J&K ATM J&K ATM % to toatl
FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E
Total ATM J&K ATM J&K ATM % to toatlTotal ATM J&K ATM J&K ATM % to toatl
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
opportunities in bankingopportunities in bankingopportunities in banking
network. The bank hasnetwork. The bank hasnetwork. The bank has
equivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the endequivalent ATMs by the end
Exhibit 07: Branches in Metro, Urban, Semi – Urban & RuralExhibit 07: Branches in Metro, Urban, Semi – Urban & RuralExhibit 07: Branches in Metro, Urban, Semi – Urban & Rural
120012001200
10001000
453800 453800
378
453
600
332
378600
197204 206 223 273 332
400
600
164
197204 206 223 273 332
400
119 121 118 123 136
164
197204 206 223400
222 266
119 121 118 123 136
164
200
166 168 168 168 178 222 266
119 121 118 123
200
41 41 39 39 39 57 69
166 168 168 168 178 222
0 41 41 39 39 39 57 6900
FY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E
Metro Urban Semi-Urban RuralMetro Urban Semi-Urban Rural
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
7. Focus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIMFocus towards J&K state will lead to improvement in NIM
With strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towardsWith strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towardsWith strong deposit franchise and focus (increase lending) towards
support margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6.20% withinsupport margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6.20% withinsupport margins going ahead. Bank earns NIMs of 6.20% within
outside the state. We expected NIM to sustain at current levelsoutside the state. We expected NIM to sustain at current levelsoutside the state. We expected NIM to sustain at current levels
the range of 61 to 65 percent, going ahead, and credit growththe range of 61 to 65 percent, going ahead, and credit growththe range of 61 to 65 percent, going ahead, and credit growththe range of 61 to 65 percent, going ahead, and credit growth
portfolio) is expected to grow at a faster pace. J&K Bank hasportfolio) is expected to grow at a faster pace. J&K Bank hasportfolio) is expected to grow at a faster pace. J&K Bank has
FY13, which we expect to improve to 63% in FY14E andFY13, which we expect to improve to 63% in FY14E andFY13, which we expect to improve to 63% in FY14E and
management has guided credit growth (22-25%) will outpacemanagement has guided credit growth (22-25%) will outpacemanagement has guided credit growth (22-25%) will outpacemanagement has guided credit growth (22-25%) will outpace
We have factored in 21% credit growth and 16.5% deposit growthWe have factored in 21% credit growth and 16.5% deposit growthWe have factored in 21% credit growth and 16.5% deposit growth
Exhibit 08:Loan Book - J&K stats and Rest of IndiaExhibit 08:Loan Book - J&K stats and Rest of IndiaExhibit 08:Loan Book - J&K stats and Rest of India
30%80000
26%
30%80000
26% 25%
23%
26%
23% 23%
25%
60000 23% 23% 23%
21% 20%
60000
38620
21%
18% 18%
20%
33298
3862018% 18%
16% 16% 15%
20%
40000
28701
33298
13%
16% 16% 15%40000
24293
28701
33298
13%
10%
15%40000
20556
24293
2870113%
10%
20000
29135
20556
24293 10%
20000
19536 24113 29135
20556
5%
20000
12574 15839 19536 24113 29135 5%
12574 15839 19536
0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 10:NIM - J&K stateExhibit 10:NIM - J&K stateExhibit 10:NIM - J&K state
FY15E, 6.2% FY16E, 6.2%FY15E, 6.2% FY16E, 6.2%
FY13A, 6.2%
FY15E, 6.2% FY16E, 6.2%
FY13A, 6.2%FY13A, 6.2%
FY14E, 6.1%FY14E, 6.1%FY14E, 6.1%
FY12A, 6.0%FY12A, 6.0%FY12A, 6.0%
0 1 2 3 4 5 60 1 2 3 4 5 6
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
towards J&K state wouldtowards J&K state wouldtowards J&K state would
within the state and 2.5%within the state and 2.5%within the state and 2.5%
levels of 4%+ as its CD ratio inlevels of 4%+ as its CD ratio inlevels of 4%+ as its CD ratio in
growth with J&K (higher yieldinggrowth with J&K (higher yieldinggrowth with J&K (higher yieldinggrowth with J&K (higher yielding
has a CD ratio of 61% as onhas a CD ratio of 61% as onhas a CD ratio of 61% as on
64% in FY15E. Even the64% in FY15E. Even the64% in FY15E. Even the
deposit growth (17-18%).deposit growth (17-18%).deposit growth (17-18%).deposit growth (17-18%).
growth in FY14E.growth in FY14E.growth in FY14E.
Exhibit 09: Deposits - J&K stats and Rest of IndiaExhibit 09: Deposits - J&K stats and Rest of IndiaExhibit 09: Deposits - J&K stats and Rest of India
80%120000
69%
80%120000
69%100000 69%
60%
100000
41097
60%
80000
34865
4109780000
28430
34865
41097
40%60000
80000
23354
28430
34865
40%60000
13803
23354
28430 40%
40000
60000
59139
13803
23354
24% 22% 23% 20%
40000
40867 46387 52297 59139
13803
16% 14%
24% 22% 23%
18% 20%
20000
40000
35308 40867 46387 52297 59139
12% 16% 14% 13% 13%
22% 23%
18% 20%
20000 35308 40867 4638712% 16% 14% 13% 13%20000
0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)J&K State Rest of India Growth (%) Growth (%)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 11:NIM - Rest of IndiaExhibit 11:NIM - Rest of IndiaExhibit 11:NIM - Rest of India
FY15E, 2.6%FY15E, 2.6%
FY16E, 2.6%
FY15E, 2.6%
FY16E, 2.6%FY16E, 2.6%
FY13A, 2.6%FY13A, 2.6%
FY12A, 2.5% FY14E, 2.5%FY12A, 2.5% FY14E, 2.5%FY12A, 2.5% FY14E, 2.5%
0 1 2 3 4 5 60 1 2 3 4 5 60 1 2 3 4 5 6
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
8. Huge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural LendingHuge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural LendingHuge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural LendingHuge Potential in J&K state for Horticultural Lending
Agriculture involves about 70% of the population and contributesAgriculture involves about 70% of the population and contributesAgriculture involves about 70% of the population and contributes
only 16 % of J&K Bank’s lending is to this sector. Horticulturalonly 16 % of J&K Bank’s lending is to this sector. Horticulturalonly 16 % of J&K Bank’s lending is to this sector. Horticultural
about 45 % to Agricultural production and involves 30 lac peopleabout 45 % to Agricultural production and involves 30 lac peopleabout 45 % to Agricultural production and involves 30 lac people
% by value of the State’s Horticultural output. J&K State produces% by value of the State’s Horticultural output. J&K State produces% by value of the State’s Horticultural output. J&K State produces% by value of the State’s Horticultural output. J&K State produces
apple output and controls 49 % of land dedicated to apple cultivationapple output and controls 49 % of land dedicated to apple cultivationapple output and controls 49 % of land dedicated to apple cultivation
Out of a total of more than 283000 apple growers in the State,Out of a total of more than 283000 apple growers in the State,Out of a total of more than 283000 apple growers in the State,
extended to about 17300 growers so far. Tapping the remaining
Out of a total of more than 283000 apple growers in the State,
extended to about 17300 growers so far. Tapping the remainingextended to about 17300 growers so far. Tapping the remainingextended to about 17300 growers so far. Tapping the remaining
credit of about Rs.7000 Cr more. In J&K 75 % of Apple growerscredit of about Rs.7000 Cr more. In J&K 75 % of Apple growerscredit of about Rs.7000 Cr more. In J&K 75 % of Apple growers
traders and are unaware that its effective interest cost thattraders and are unaware that its effective interest cost thattraders and are unaware that its effective interest cost that
54%, against the Bank’s interest ranging from 4% to11%.54%, against the Bank’s interest ranging from 4% to11%.54%, against the Bank’s interest ranging from 4% to11%.54%, against the Bank’s interest ranging from 4% to11%.
Current shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335 Cr, whichCurrent shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335 Cr, whichCurrent shortfall in Agriculture Sector Lending is Rs. 2335 Cr, which
RIDF/MSME Bonds/RHF @ 3 to 5 % for 3-7 years. Interest SubventionRIDF/MSME Bonds/RHF @ 3 to 5 % for 3-7 years. Interest SubventionRIDF/MSME Bonds/RHF @ 3 to 5 % for 3-7 years. Interest Subvention
to J&K Bank recently providing a level playing field vis-à-vis Publicto J&K Bank recently providing a level playing field vis-à-vis Publicto J&K Bank recently providing a level playing field vis-à-vis Publicto J&K Bank recently providing a level playing field vis-à-vis Public
of pricing of agricultural loans and improve the flow of creditof pricing of agricultural loans and improve the flow of creditof pricing of agricultural loans and improve the flow of credit
particularly in J&K State. Assuming yield on incremental Agriculturalparticularly in J&K State. Assuming yield on incremental Agriculturalparticularly in J&K State. Assuming yield on incremental Agricultural
Rate of 10.25 %, the incremental yield (10.25% - 4 %) wouldRate of 10.25 %, the incremental yield (10.25% - 4 %) wouldRate of 10.25 %, the incremental yield (10.25% - 4 %) wouldRate of 10.25 %, the incremental yield (10.25% - 4 %) would
revenue of about Rs. 146 Cr per year on lending Rs.revenue of about Rs. 146 Cr per year on lending Rs.revenue of about Rs. 146 Cr per year on lending Rs.
sector, increasing agricultural advances which will improvesector, increasing agricultural advances which will improvesector, increasing agricultural advances which will improve
helping in financial inclusion, widening customer base andhelping in financial inclusion, widening customer base andhelping in financial inclusion, widening customer base andhelping in financial inclusion, widening customer base and
remote rural areas.remote rural areas.remote rural areas.
Exhibit 12: Apple Grower in J&K StateExhibit 12: Apple Grower in J&K StateExhibit 12: Apple Grower in J&K State
Total GrowerTotal GrowerTotal Grower
, 283000, 283000, 283000
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
contributes 23 % to the GDP, yetcontributes 23 % to the GDP, yetcontributes 23 % to the GDP, yet
Horticultural production contributesHorticultural production contributesHorticultural production contributes
people. Apples account for 86people. Apples account for 86people. Apples account for 86
produces 77 % of India’s totalproduces 77 % of India’s totalproduces 77 % of India’s totalproduces 77 % of India’s total
cultivation.cultivation.cultivation.
State, Bank’s finance has beenState, Bank’s finance has beenState, Bank’s finance has been
remaining growers will generate
State, Bank’s finance has been
remaining growers will generateremaining growers will generateremaining growers will generate
growers get their financing fromgrowers get their financing fromgrowers get their financing from
that works out to 36% tothat works out to 36% tothat works out to 36% to
which has to be invested inwhich has to be invested inwhich has to be invested in
Subvention Scheme extendedSubvention Scheme extendedSubvention Scheme extended
Public Sector Banks in termsPublic Sector Banks in termsPublic Sector Banks in termsPublic Sector Banks in terms
credit to agricultural sectorcredit to agricultural sectorcredit to agricultural sector
Agricultural Advances at BaseAgricultural Advances at BaseAgricultural Advances at Base
would generate an incrementalwould generate an incrementalwould generate an incrementalwould generate an incremental
2335 Cr to agricultural2335 Cr to agricultural2335 Cr to agricultural
core advances portfoliocore advances portfoliocore advances portfolio
and enhancing outreach inand enhancing outreach inand enhancing outreach inand enhancing outreach in
Potential ForPotential ForPotential For
Lending, 265700Lending, 265700Lending, 265700
J&K'sJ&K's
Borrower,17300Borrower,17300Borrower,17300
9. Cheap Valuation and High Dividend yieldCheap Valuation and High Dividend yieldCheap Valuation and High Dividend yield
At current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E Price
Cheap Valuation and High Dividend yield
At current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E PriceAt current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E PriceAt current market price, J&K bank is still available at FY14E Price
times. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividendtimes. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividendtimes. The estimated dividend yield for FY14 is 5.4%. High dividend
comfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading atcomfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading atcomfortable cushion. At CMP of Rs 1101, the stock is trading at
for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.for FY14E & FY15E, respectively.
Exhibit 13: P/E (x) & P/BV (x)Exhibit 13: P/E (x) & P/BV (x)
1.51.2 1.5
1.1 1.2 1.5
1.1 1.2
0.90.9 1.10.9 1.1
0.9
7.3 7.8 0.9
0.86.8 7.3 7.8
0.8
0.66.8 7.3
5.3
0.8
0.6
5.3
5.1 4.3
0.6
5.3
5.1 4.34.3
3.53.5
2.92.9
FY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
P/E (X) P/BV (X)P/E (X) P/BV (X)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Price to book value of 0.9Price to book value of 0.9Price to book value of 0.9Price to book value of 0.9
dividend yield provides with adividend yield provides with adividend yield provides with a
at 4.3x and 3.5x to its PEat 4.3x and 3.5x to its PEat 4.3x and 3.5x to its PE
Exhibit 14: DPS & Dividend yieldExhibit 14: DPS & Dividend yield
88 10%100 88 10%100
72
88 10%100
728% 8% 8%80
59
728% 8% 8%80
50
59
7% 6%60 50
5%
7% 6%60
33
50
5% 5%
5%
6%60
26
334% 4%
5% 5%
5%
4%40
17
22 26
334% 4%
5% 4%40
17
22 26
2%20
17
2%20 2%20
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY9A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
DPS Dividend yield (%)DPS Dividend yield (%)DPS Dividend yield (%)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
10. Asset qualityAsset qualityAsset qualityAsset quality
GNPA is slightly higher during FY13….and expecting to be sameGNPA is slightly higher during FY13….and expecting to be sameGNPA is slightly higher during FY13….and expecting to be same
On the YOY basis J&K bank posted a slightly higher GNPA (Rs 39200On the YOY basis J&K bank posted a slightly higher GNPA (Rs 39200On the YOY basis J&K bank posted a slightly higher GNPA (Rs 39200
compared to previous year of FY12 (Rs 33077, 1.56 % to advance)compared to previous year of FY12 (Rs 33077, 1.56 % to advance)compared to previous year of FY12 (Rs 33077, 1.56 % to advance)
from management of J&K bank and our financial model we stronglyfrom management of J&K bank and our financial model we stronglyfrom management of J&K bank and our financial model we stronglyfrom management of J&K bank and our financial model we strongly
Bank will maintain there GNPA in the range of 1.65% to 1.70% forBank will maintain there GNPA in the range of 1.65% to 1.70% forBank will maintain there GNPA in the range of 1.65% to 1.70% for
Well position PCR (Provision coverage ration)Well position PCR (Provision coverage ration)Well position PCR (Provision coverage ration)
The bank consistently maintained the PCR at 90% in past threeThe bank consistently maintained the PCR at 90% in past threeThe bank consistently maintained the PCR at 90% in past threeThe bank consistently maintained the PCR at 90% in past three
from management we expect that bank will maintain the PCR atfrom management we expect that bank will maintain the PCR atfrom management we expect that bank will maintain the PCR at
Exhibit 15: Gross NPAExhibit 15: Gross NPAExhibit 15: Gross NPA
11041104 1.70%1200
958
1104
1.67% 1.68% 1.67%
1.70%1200
9581.67% 1.68% 1.67%
1.65%1000
809
9581.67% 1.68% 1.67%
1.65%1000
809
1.62%
1.65%
800
1000
644 1.62%
1.60%
800
517
644 1.62%
1.60%
800
517
1.60%
600 517
1.55%
600
1.54% 1.55%
400 1.54%400
1.50%200 1.50%200
1.45%0
200
1.45%0 1.45%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
GNPA (Rs In Cr) GNPA (%)GNPA (Rs In Cr) GNPA (%)GNPA (Rs In Cr) GNPA (%)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 17: NPA - Substandard, Doubtful & LossExhibit 17: NPA - Substandard, Doubtful & LossExhibit 17: NPA - Substandard, Doubtful & Loss
12001200
77
1200
77
1000
72
77
1000
65
72
800
640
65800
556
640
57
65
600
469
556
640
57600
378
469
556
93
57
400
600
378
46993
400
247
378400
275 331 386
247
200
176 209 275 331 386200
176 209 275 331
00
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Substandard Doubtful LossSubstandard Doubtful Loss
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
same for FY14Esame for FY14Esame for FY14E
39200, 1.64% to advance)39200, 1.64% to advance)39200, 1.64% to advance)
advance). As per the guidanceadvance). As per the guidanceadvance). As per the guidance
strongly expect that, the J&Kstrongly expect that, the J&Kstrongly expect that, the J&Kstrongly expect that, the J&K
for the fiscal of FY14.for the fiscal of FY14.for the fiscal of FY14.
year. As per the guidanceyear. As per the guidanceyear. As per the guidanceyear. As per the guidance
at 91% for FY14E.at 91% for FY14E.at 91% for FY14E.
Exhibit 16: Net NPAExhibit 16: Net NPAExhibit 16: Net NPA
9494 0.15%100
81
94 0.15%100
81
0.15%
69
0.15%
0.15%
80 69 0.15%
80
49
55 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%
0.15%
60 49
55 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%60 49 0.14% 0.14%
0.14%
60
0.14%
0.14%
40 0.14%40
0.14%
40
0.14%
20
0.14%
20
0.13%0 0.13%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
NNPA (Rs In Cr) NNPA (%)NNPA (Rs In Cr) NNPA (%)NNPA (Rs In Cr) NNPA (%)
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 18: PCRExhibit 18: PCRExhibit 18: PCR
91% 92% 92% 92%
92%1500
1150
91% 92% 92% 92%
92%1500
1150
105290%
91% 92% 92% 92%
90%966
1150
884
105290%
90% 90%
805
966
884
105290% 90%
1000
644
805737
884
88%
1000
519 517
644
805
589
737 88%
462 519 517
644
398 466 467
589
86% 86%462 519 517
398 466 46786% 86%
500
46239886% 86%
500
84%
500
84%
82%0 82%0 82%0
FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY10A FY11A FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
GNPA Provisions on BS Provisions coverage %GNPA Provisions on BS Provisions coverage %GNPA Provisions on BS Provisions coverage %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
11. Slippages on a marginal increaseSlippages on a marginal increaseSlippages on a marginal increase
Slippages are marginally increasing during the FY13. On yoy
Slippages on a marginal increase
Slippages are marginally increasing during the FY13. On yoySlippages are marginally increasing during the FY13. On yoySlippages are marginally increasing during the FY13. On yoy
bank posted the slippage ratio of 1.16 for the period of FY13 againstbank posted the slippage ratio of 1.16 for the period of FY13 againstbank posted the slippage ratio of 1.16 for the period of FY13 against
the 0.95 of FY12. Even for the Q1FY14 slippage is 0.88 whichthe 0.95 of FY12. Even for the Q1FY14 slippage is 0.88 whichthe 0.95 of FY12. Even for the Q1FY14 slippage is 0.88 which
slightly higher on qoq basis. We have assumed 1.15 slippageslightly higher on qoq basis. We have assumed 1.15 slippageslightly higher on qoq basis. We have assumed 1.15 slippageslightly higher on qoq basis. We have assumed 1.15 slippage
on for FY14E and expecting that it will gradually reduce in FY15on for FY14E and expecting that it will gradually reduce in FY15on for FY14E and expecting that it will gradually reduce in FY15
FY16EFY16EFY16E
Consistency in CASAConsistency in CASAConsistency in CASAConsistency in CASA
CASA ratio of J&K Bank is 40% against the industry average ofCASA ratio of J&K Bank is 40% against the industry average ofCASA ratio of J&K Bank is 40% against the industry average of
Healthy CASA is one of the advantage of J&K bank. We stronglyHealthy CASA is one of the advantage of J&K bank. We stronglyHealthy CASA is one of the advantage of J&K bank. We strongly
expect that bank will maintain this position in the coming twoexpect that bank will maintain this position in the coming twoexpect that bank will maintain this position in the coming twoexpect that bank will maintain this position in the coming two
three years.three years.three years.
Restructure assets % to total advanceRestructure assets % to total advanceRestructure assets % to total advance
As restructure assets are technical in nature, there are marginalAs restructure assets are technical in nature, there are marginalAs restructure assets are technical in nature, there are marginalAs restructure assets are technical in nature, there are marginal
decreases in restructure assets in advance for FY13. On yoy basisdecreases in restructure assets in advance for FY13. On yoy basisdecreases in restructure assets in advance for FY13. On yoy basis
restructure assets in advance for FY 13 is 1490 Cr (3.84%) againstrestructure assets in advance for FY 13 is 1490 Cr (3.84%) againstrestructure assets in advance for FY 13 is 1490 Cr (3.84%) against
1366 Cr (4.13%) of FY12 and simultaneously for Q1FY14 it is 13671366 Cr (4.13%) of FY12 and simultaneously for Q1FY14 it is 13671366 Cr (4.13%) of FY12 and simultaneously for Q1FY14 it is 1367
(3.48%) against the same period last year of Q1FY13 was 1688
1366 Cr (4.13%) of FY12 and simultaneously for Q1FY14 it is 1367
(3.48%) against the same period last year of Q1FY13 was 1688(3.48%) against the same period last year of Q1FY13 was 1688(3.48%) against the same period last year of Q1FY13 was 1688
(5.08%).(5.08%).(5.08%).
Exhibit 19 : SlippageExhibit 19 : Slippage
yoy basis
Exhibit 19 : Slippage
yoy basisyoy basisyoy basis
against 1.50%80000
against
599
1.50%80000
against
which is
599
1.16% 1.15%60000which is 564
599
1.16% 1.15%
1.00% 1.00%
60000which is
slippage ratio 545
564
0.95%
1.16% 1.15%
1.00%
0.90%
1.00%
60000
slippage ratio 455
545
564
0.95% 1.00%
0.90%
1.00%
40000slippage ratio
66605315
455
545 0.90%
40000slippage ratio
15E and 56445
66605315
455
0.50%
40000
15E and
39200 47432
56445
66605315
0.50%
20000
15E and
33077 39200 47432
56445 0.50%
20000 33077 3920020000
0.00%0 0.00%0 0.00%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Standard assets NPA Addition Slippage ratioStandard assets NPA Addition Slippage ratio
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 20 : CASAExhibit 20 : CASA
of 34%.
Exhibit 20 : CASA
of 34%.of 34%.
strongly 41%150000strongly 41%150000strongly
two to
41%
41%
41%150000
two to 40094
41%
41%two to
34865
40094
40%
41%
100000
two to
29927
3486540% 40% 40% 40%100000
25191
29927
3486540% 40% 40% 40%100000
21715
25191
29927
40%
21715
25191
39%
40%
87162 100236
21715 39%
39%50000
53347 64221 74817 87162 100236 39%50000
53347 64221 74817 87162
39%53347 64221 39%
38%0 38%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
total Deposits Demand + saving CASAtotal Deposits Demand + saving CASA
Source: Perception Research
total Deposits Demand + saving CASA
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 21 : Movement in Restructured AssetsExhibit 21 : Movement in Restructured AssetsExhibit 21 : Movement in Restructured Assets
marginalmarginal 6.00%50000marginal
5.55%
6.00%50000marginal
basis the 5.08%
5.55%
6.00%50000
basis the 1490 1490 13675.08%
5.55%
40000basis the
against the 1366 1688 1367 1978
1490 1490 1367
4.13%
5.08%
3.99% 4.00%
40000
against the 1366 1688 1367 19784.13% 3.99% 3.80% 3.80%
3.48%
4.00%
30000against the
1367 Cr
1366 1688 13674.13% 3.99% 3.80% 3.80%
3.48%
4.00%
30000
1367 Cr
3.48%
20000
30000
1367 Cr
1688 Cr 33077 33225 34272 35657 39200 39200 39282
2.00%
20000
1367 Cr
1688 Cr 33077 33225 34272 35657 39200 39200 39282
2.00%
20000
1688 Cr 33077 33225 34272 35657 2.00%
10000
1688 Cr 10000
0.00%0 0.00%0 0.00%0
FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 FY13 Q1FY14FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 FY13 Q1FY14FY12 Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 FY13 Q1FY14
Advances Restructured Assets RA % to total advanceAdvances Restructured Assets RA % to total advance
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
12. Capital adequacyCapital adequacyCapital adequacy
The bank is well capitalized with total capital adequacy ratio
Capital adequacy
The bank is well capitalized with total capital adequacy ratioThe bank is well capitalized with total capital adequacy ratioThe bank is well capitalized with total capital adequacy ratio
10.44% and Tier 2 at 1.90% by the end of FY13. The risk weighted10.44% and Tier 2 at 1.90% by the end of FY13. The risk weighted10.44% and Tier 2 at 1.90% by the end of FY13. The risk weighted
stood at 46597 Cr, 56% to total assets.stood at 46597 Cr, 56% to total assets.stood at 46597 Cr, 56% to total assets.
Exhibit 22 : Tier I & II & Capital AdequacyExhibit 22 : Tier I & II & Capital Adequacy
13.50%15.00%
11.88% 11.72% 11.75%
13.50%15.00%
10.43% 10.44%
11.88% 11.72% 11.75%
13.11%
13.50%15.00%
10.43% 10.44%
11.88% 11.72% 11.75%
13.11% 13.00%
10.43% 10.44% 13.11% 13.00%
10.00% 12.74%
12.61%
13.00%
10.00%
12.53%
12.74%
12.61%12.50%
10.00%
12.53%
12.34%
12.61%12.50%12.53%
12.34%
12.50%
5.00%
2.10% 1.90%
12.34%
12.00%
5.00%
2.10% 1.90% 1.23% 1.02% 0.86%
12.00%
5.00%
1.90% 1.23% 1.02% 0.86%
12.00%
11.50%0.00% 11.50%0.00% 11.50%0.00%
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Tier 1 Tier 2 Capital adequacyTier 1 Tier 2 Capital adequacy
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion
The bank’s asset quality remained stable sequentially, with a marginalThe bank’s asset quality remained stable sequentially, with a marginalThe bank’s asset quality remained stable sequentially, with a marginal
gross NPA ratio to 1.62% and 1bp decline in the net NPA ratiogross NPA ratio to 1.62% and 1bp decline in the net NPA ratiogross NPA ratio to 1.62% and 1bp decline in the net NPA ratio
levels were slightly higher at 140cr (for FY13 annualized slippagelevels were slightly higher at 140cr (for FY13 annualized slippagelevels were slightly higher at 140cr (for FY13 annualized slippage
for FY12). The bank’s PCR which is the highest in the industryfor FY12). The bank’s PCR which is the highest in the industryfor FY12). The bank’s PCR which is the highest in the industryfor FY12). The bank’s PCR which is the highest in the industry
sequential basis (yoy) by 97bp to 91.41%.sequential basis (yoy) by 97bp to 91.41%.sequential basis (yoy) by 97bp to 91.41%.
of 12.35% with Tier 1 atof 12.35% with Tier 1 atof 12.35% with Tier 1 atof 12.35% with Tier 1 at
weighted assets for FY13 isweighted assets for FY13 isweighted assets for FY13 is
Exhibit 23 : RWA, RWA to total assetsExhibit 23 : RWA, RWA to total assets
69783 65%80000 69783 65%80000
58634
69783 65%80000
48652
58634
62%60000 46597 48652
60%
62%
60%
60000
39244
46597 48652
60% 60%
60000
39244
58%
60% 60%
40000 58%40000
55%
56% 55%
40000
55%
56% 55%
20000
55% 55%
2000020000
50%0 50%0 50%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Risk weighted assets RWA / Total assetsRisk weighted assets RWA / Total assets
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
marginal increase of 8bp inmarginal increase of 8bp inmarginal increase of 8bp in
ratio to 0.14%. The slippageratio to 0.14%. The slippageratio to 0.14%. The slippage
slippage ratio of 1.16% v/s 0.95slippage ratio of 1.16% v/s 0.95slippage ratio of 1.16% v/s 0.95
industry by FY13, improved on aindustry by FY13, improved on aindustry by FY13, improved on aindustry by FY13, improved on a
13. J&K State EconomyJ&K State EconomyJ&K State Economy
GDP Size and GrowthGDP Size and GrowthGDP Size and GrowthGDP Size and Growth
Economy or GDP in J&K State is accelerating and is poised forEconomy or GDP in J&K State is accelerating and is poised forEconomy or GDP in J&K State is accelerating and is poised for
Government spending and Private Investment on the rise. RecordGovernment spending and Private Investment on the rise. RecordGovernment spending and Private Investment on the rise. Record
last two years, more expected this year. Increased investmentlast two years, more expected this year. Increased investmentlast two years, more expected this year. Increased investmentlast two years, more expected this year. Increased investment
pushing up credit demand. The demand for financing private sectorpushing up credit demand. The demand for financing private sectorpushing up credit demand. The demand for financing private sector
ancillaries on the rise. Trickle down impact of all this will leadancillaries on the rise. Trickle down impact of all this will leadancillaries on the rise. Trickle down impact of all this will lead
income and savings, increasing capacity for servicing personal loansincome and savings, increasing capacity for servicing personal loansincome and savings, increasing capacity for servicing personal loansincome and savings, increasing capacity for servicing personal loans
Exhibit 24 : Sector wise contribution to GDPExhibit 24 : Sector wise contribution to GDPExhibit 24 : Sector wise contribution to GDP
5000050000
6.2240000
5.96 6.2240000
5.96 6.22
220164.8030000
18662 20344 220164.8030000
18662 20344 220164.80
2000020000
9871 9980 10600
20000
9871 9980 10600
10000
9871 9980 10600
10000
7796 8061 8154
10000
7796 8061 8154
0
7796 8061 8154
00
FY10 FY11 FY12FY10 FY11 FY12
Primary Sector Secondary Sector Tertiary SectorPrimary Sector Secondary Sector Tertiary Sector
Source: Perception Research
Primary Sector Secondary Sector Tertiary Sector
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
J&K State Credit GapJ&K State Credit GapJ&K State Credit GapJ&K State Credit Gap
J&K accounts for 0.6% of India’s GDP, for FY13 and absorbs onlyJ&K accounts for 0.6% of India’s GDP, for FY13 and absorbs onlyJ&K accounts for 0.6% of India’s GDP, for FY13 and absorbs only
credit. J&K accounts for 1% of India’s population and yet accountscredit. J&K accounts for 1% of India’s population and yet accountscredit. J&K accounts for 1% of India’s population and yet accounts
India’s personal credit. Credit in J&K needs to increase five-foldIndia’s personal credit. Credit in J&K needs to increase five-foldIndia’s personal credit. Credit in J&K needs to increase five-fold
J&K has to triple to catch up with the national average.J&K has to triple to catch up with the national average.J&K has to triple to catch up with the national average.J&K has to triple to catch up with the national average.
for further growth in future.for further growth in future.for further growth in future.
Record tourist inflow duringRecord tourist inflow duringRecord tourist inflow during
investment in tourist infrastructureinvestment in tourist infrastructureinvestment in tourist infrastructureinvestment in tourist infrastructure
sector projects, SME’s andsector projects, SME’s andsector projects, SME’s and
lead to increase in per capitalead to increase in per capitalead to increase in per capita
loans.loans.loans.loans.
FY13 - J&K State’s Economy J&K StateFY13 - J&K State’s Economy J&K StateFY13 - J&K State’s Economy J&K State
Population (In Cr) 1.25Population (In Cr) 1.25Population (In Cr) 1.25
Area (in Sq Km) 2222368.00 Area (in Sq Km) 2222368.00 Area (in Sq Km) 222236
Density (Per/Sq Km) 1247.01 7.00 Density (Per/Sq Km) 124
Per Capita Income 30889
7.01 7.00
Per Capita Income 308896.00 Per Capita Income 30889
Population BPL (%) 21.63%23947
6.00
Population BPL (%) 21.63%23947 5.00 Population BPL (%) 21.63%
Literacy 68.74%
23947
4.00
5.00
Literacy 68.74%4.00 Literacy 68.74%
Unemployment Rate 4.90%
3.00
4.00
Unemployment Rate 4.90%
FY13 - Indian Economy All India
3.00
FY13 - Indian Economy All India10711 2.00
3.00
FY13 - Indian Economy All India
Population (In Cr) 121.02
10711 2.00
Population (In Cr) 121.02
1.00
2.00
Population (In Cr) 121.02
Area (in Sq Kms) 32872408970 1.00 Area (in Sq Kms) 3287240
Density (Per/Sq Km) 382
8970
0.00
1.00
Density (Per/Sq Km) 382
8970
0.00 Density (Per/Sq Km) 382
Per Capita Income 39143
0.00
Per Capita Income 39143FY13 Per Capita Income 39143
Population BPL (%) 27.50%
FY13
Population BPL (%) 27.50%
J&K GDP Growth Rate
Population BPL (%) 27.50%
Literacy 74.04%J&K GDP Growth Rate Literacy 74.04%
Unemployment Rate 9.40%
J&K GDP Growth Rate
Unemployment Rate 9.40%Unemployment Rate 9.40%
only 0.30% of total nationalonly 0.30% of total nationalonly 0.30% of total national
accounts for only 0.2% ofaccounts for only 0.2% ofaccounts for only 0.2% of
fold and Personal Credit infold and Personal Credit infold and Personal Credit in
14. Financials & ProjectionsFinancials & ProjectionsFinancials & Projections
Exhibit 25: Profit and Loss A/C (Rs In Cr)Exhibit 25: Profit and Loss A/C (Rs In Cr)Exhibit 25: Profit and Loss A/C (Rs In Cr)
Y/E 31 March FY9A FY10A FY11AY/E 31 March FY9A FY10A FY11AY/E 31 March FY9A FY10A FY11A
Interest IncomeInterest IncomeInterest Income
Yield on Advances 2295 2342 2630Yield on Advances 2295 2342 2630Yield on Advances 2295 2342 2630
Yield on Investments 646 705 1066Yield on Investments 646 705 1066
Yield on RBI & Inter Bank 31 11 17Yield on RBI & Inter Bank 31 11 17Yield on RBI & Inter Bank 31 11 17
Yield on Others 0 0 0Yield on Others 0 0 0Yield on Others 0 0 0
Total Interest Income 2972 3057 3713Total Interest Income 2972 3057 3713Total Interest Income 2972 3057 3713
Interest ExpenditureInterest ExpenditureInterest Expenditure
Cost of Deposits 1915 1841 2069Cost of Deposits 1915 1841 2069Cost of Deposits 1915 1841 2069
Cost of RBI - Inter-Bank Borrowings 73 83 46Cost of RBI - Inter-Bank Borrowings 73 83 46Cost of RBI - Inter-Bank Borrowings 73 83 46
Cost of Subordinate Debt - Other 0 14 54Cost of Subordinate Debt - Other 0 14 54Cost of Subordinate Debt - Other 0 14 54
Total Interest Expenditure 1988 1938 2169Total Interest Expenditure 1988 1938 2169Total Interest Expenditure 1988 1938 2169
Net Interest Income 984 1119 1544Net Interest Income 984 1119 1544Net Interest Income 984 1119 1544
Non-Interest Income 261 416 365Non-Interest Income 261 416 365Non-Interest Income 261 416 365
Total Income 1245 1536 1908Total Income 1245 1536 1908Total Income 1245 1536 1908
Salaries/Wages 279 366 524Salaries/Wages 279 366 524
Depreciation 33 37 38Depreciation 33 37 38Depreciation 33 37 38
Other operating expenses 160 174 197Other operating expenses 160 174 197Other operating expenses 160 174 197
Pre Provision Profits 774 958 1149Pre Provision Profits 774 958 1149Pre Provision Profits 774 958 1149
Loan loss provisions 56 150 130Loan loss provisions 56 150 130Loan loss provisions 56 150 130
Investment provisions 42 -39 41Investment provisions 42 -39 41Investment provisions 42 -39 41
Other provisions 44 55 44Other provisions 44 55 44Other provisions 44 55 44
Provisions 142 167 215Provisions 142 167 215Provisions 142 167 215
Net Profit before tax 632 792 934Net Profit before tax 632 792 934Net Profit before tax 632 792 934
Income tax 222 279 319Income tax 222 279 319Income tax 222 279 319
Net Profit After Tax 410 513 615Net Profit After Tax 410 513 615Net Profit After Tax 410 513 615
AppropriationsAppropriations
Transfer to Statutory Reserve 102 129 154
Appropriations
Transfer to Statutory Reserve 102 129 154Transfer to Statutory Reserve 102 129 154
Transfer to Other Reserves 212 259 314Transfer to Other Reserves 212 259 314Transfer to Other Reserves 212 259 314
Equity Dividend 82 107 126Equity Dividend 82 107 126Equity Dividend 82 107 126
Dividend Tax 14 18 21Dividend Tax 14 18 21Dividend Tax 14 18 21
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
3394 4318 5763 6830 80593394 4318 5763 6830 80593394 4318 5763 6830 8059
1403 1723 1893 2143 24261403 1723 1893 2143 2426
39 97 95 96 9739 97 95 96 9739 97 95 96 97
0 0 0 0 00 0 0 0 00 0 0 0 0
4836 6137 7751 9069 105834836 6137 7751 9069 105834836 6137 7751 9069 10583
2902 3741 4863 5666 65152902 3741 4863 5666 65152902 3741 4863 5666 6515
41 26 31 34 3641 26 31 34 3641 26 31 34 36
54 54 54 54 5454 54 54 54 5454 54 54 54 54
2997 3821 4948 5753 66052997 3821 4948 5753 66052997 3821 4948 5753 6605
1838 2316 2803 3315 39781838 2316 2803 3315 39781838 2316 2803 3315 3978
334 484 526 571 621334 484 526 571 621334 484 526 571 621
2172 2800 3329 3886 45992172 2800 3329 3886 45992172 2800 3329 3886 4599
521 652 731 818 916521 652 731 818 916
44 50 50 54 5944 50 50 54 5944 50 50 54 59
237 287 301 315 330237 287 301 315 330237 287 301 315 330
1370 1811 2247 2699 32941370 1811 2247 2699 32941370 1811 2247 2699 3294
90 158 217 260 30890 158 217 260 30890 158 217 260 308
12 15 16 19 2112 15 16 19 2112 15 16 19 21
67 111 144 187 24467 111 144 187 24467 111 144 187 244
169 284 377 466 572169 284 377 466 572169 284 377 466 572
1201 1527 1870 2233 27221201 1527 1870 2233 27221201 1527 1870 2233 2722
398 471 617 737 898398 471 617 737 898398 471 617 737 898
803 1055 1253 1496 1823803 1055 1253 1496 1823803 1055 1253 1496 1823
201 264 313 374 456201 264 313 374 456201 264 313 374 456
414 508 601 718 875414 508 601 718 875414 508 601 718 875
162 242 288 344 419162 242 288 344 419162 242 288 344 419
26 41 50 60 7326 41 50 60 7326 41 50 60 73
15. Exhibit 26 : Yield on AdvancesExhibit 26 : Yield on AdvancesExhibit 26 : Yield on Advances
40%10000
8059
40%10000
6830
8059
33%8000 6830
29%
33%
30%8000
5763
6830
29% 27%
30%8000
576329% 27%
30%
6000
4318 20%
6000
3394
4318
19% 18%
20%
4000
3394 19% 18%
20%
4000
10.3% 11.0% 12.2% 12.1% 12.1% 10%
4000
10.3% 11.0% 12.2% 12.1% 12.1% 10%2000
10.3% 11.0% 10%2000
0%0
2000
0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Yield on Advances Growth % Yield on Advances %Yield on Advances Growth % Yield on Advances %
Source: Perception Research
Yield on Advances Growth % Yield on Advances %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 28 : Total Interest Income & NIMExhibit 28 : Total Interest Income & NIMExhibit 28 : Total Interest Income & NIM
40%15000 40%15000
10583
9069
10583
30% 30%
7751
906930%
27% 26%
30%
10000 7751
906927% 26%10000
6137
7751 26%
20%
4836
6137
17% 17%
20%
4836 17% 17%
5000
17% 17%
10%
5000
10%
5000
3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
10%
3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
0%0
3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Interest Income Growth % NIM %Interest Income Growth % NIM %
Source: Perception Research
Interest Income Growth % NIM %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 30 : Deposits & Cost of depositedExhibit 30 : Deposits & Cost of deposited
7.0%8000
6515
7.0%8000
6515
7.0%8000
5666
6515
6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
4863
56666.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%6000 4863
6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%6000
3741
4863
5.8%
6.0%
2902
3741
5.8%
6.0%
4000 2902
5.4%
5.8%
5.5%
4000 2902
5.4% 5.5%5.4% 5.5%
2000 5.0%2000 5.0%
4.5%0 4.5%0 4.5%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Deposits Cost of deposits %Deposits Cost of deposits %
Source: Perception Research
Deposits Cost of deposits %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 27 : Yield on InvestmentExhibit 27 : Yield on InvestmentExhibit 27 : Yield on Investment
40%3000
2426
40%3000
2143
2426
32% 1893
214332% 30%
1723
189332% 30%
2000
1403
1723
23%
2000
1403 23%
20%
23%
20%
13% 13%
20%
1000
10%
13% 13%
10%
1000
10%
13% 13%
6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
10%
1000
10%
6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
10%
6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Yield on Investment Growth % Yield on Investment %Yield on Investment Growth % Yield on Investment %
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 29 : NII & % to Interest IncomeExhibit 29 : NII & % to Interest IncomeExhibit 29 : NII & % to Interest Income
39%5000
3978
39%5000
3315
3978
4000 331538% 38%4000
2803
331538%
38% 38%
38%4000
2316
280338% 38%3000
1838
2316
38%
37%
3000
1838
2316
37%
37%
2000
1838
37%2000
36%
37%
36%
2000
36% 36%1000 36%1000
35%0 35%0 35%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Net Interest Income NII % to Interest IncomeNet Interest Income NII % to Interest Income
Source: Perception Research
Net Interest Income NII % to Interest Income
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research
Exhibit 31 : Operating Expenses & % to total incomeExhibit 31 : Operating Expenses & % to total income
40%1500 40%1500
37% 35%
40%1500
37% 35%
32%
330
35%
32% 31%
28% 30%
59301
315
33031%
28% 30%
1000
54
59
287
301
315 28%1000
50
54
59
237
287
301
20%
50
50
54
237
287
20%
916
44
50237
500
652 731 818 916
44
10%
500
521 652 731 818 916 10%
500
521 652 731 10%
521
0%0 0%0 0%0
FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16EFY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Salaries Depreciation Otexpenses Op Exp % to total incomeSalaries Depreciation Otexpenses Op Exp % to total income
Source: Perception ResearchSource: Perception ResearchSource: Perception Research