ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
Hypothesis:
From driving innovation, Apple has been reduced to a
company that churns out incrementally improved iPhones
every year. But their marketing blurb is more and more
clichéd by the version.
While the iPhone is a beautiful and impressive piece of
technology, it is hardly innovative anymore, and has been
overtaken by other competitive brands.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
PS! This informal analysis is based on the iPhone and competing brands at the time of the 5S-launch in 2013.
theiPhoneevolution
First, let’s take a look at the launch slogans of each iPhone.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«This changes everything.»
The slogan for the
original iPhone in 2007
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«The first phone to beat
the iPhone.»
The slogan for the
iPhone 3G, 2008.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«The fastest, most powerful
iPhone yet.»
The slogan for the
iPhone 3GS, 2009.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«This changes everything...
again.»
The slogan for the
iPhone 4, 2010.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«The most amazing
iPhone yet.»
The slogan for the
iPhone 4S, 2011.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«The biggest thing to happen
to iPhone since iPhone.»
The slogan for the
iPhone 5, 2012.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«Forward thinking.»
The slogan for the upcoming
iPhone 5S, 2013.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
It appears that the slogans for any upcoming iPhone are as
incremental in their creativity as the level of innovation
of the phones themselves.
Also, most slogans for the S-versions end with «yet».
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
Second, let’s compare the different iPhone models.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2
iPhone 3G
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
1
iPhone
128MB RAM
3.5”
480x320
163DPI
135g
D: 11.6mm
L:115mm
2MP
Newdesign
128MB RAM
3.5”
480x320
163DPI
133g
D: 12.3mm
L: 115.5mm
2MP
Newdesign
3
iPhone 3GS
256MB RAM
3.5”
480x320
163DPI
135g
D: 12.3mm
L: 115.5mm
3MP
4
iPhone 4
A4chip
512MB RAM
3.5”
960x640
326DPI
137g
D:9.3mm
L: 115.2mm
5MP
Newdesign
5
iPhone 4S
A5chip
512MB
3.5”
960x640
326DPI
140g
D:9.3mm
L: 115.2mm
8MP
6
iPhone 5
A6chip
1GBRAM
4”
1136x640
326DPI
112g
D:7.6mm
L: 123.8mm
8MP
Newdesign
7
iPhone 5C
A6chip
1GBRAM
4”
1136x640
326DPI
132g
D: 8.97mm
L: 124.4mm
8MP
8
iPhone 5S
A7chip
1GBRAM
4”
1136x640
326DPI
112g
D:7.6mm
L: 123.8mm
8MP
theiPhoneevolution
Third, to illustrate the incrementality of the features,
let’s put the numbers in graphs.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
0 MB
512 MB
1024 MB
iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S
Memory
4.1
4
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.3
3.2
Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag
4rippa ©2014
iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S
Screen size
in
theiPhoneevolution
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S
DPI
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag
4rippa ©2014
iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S
Weight
g
theiPhoneevolution
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S
Thickness
122
120
118
116
114
112
110
Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag
4rippa ©2014
iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S
Height
mm
14
mm
126
124
theiPhoneevolution
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S
Camera
No
Yes
iPhone 3G Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel A4
grippa©2014 4S 5 5S
New design
MPX
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
theiPhoneevolution
Fourth, let’s compare the current iPhone 5S
to a couple of leading competitor brands
at the time of launch.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
iPhone5S
A7chip
1GB RAM
4'
1136x640
326DPI
112g
D:7.6mm
L:123.8mm
8MP
iOS7.0
GalaxyS4
Snapdragon600
2GB RAM
5.0’
1920x1080
441DPI
130g
D:7.9mm
L:136.6mm
13MP
Android4.2.2
Comparable advantages
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
HTCOne
Snapdragon 600
2GB RAM
4.7’
1920x1080
468DPI
143g
D:9.3mm
L:137.4mm
4MP
Android4.2.2
Where Apple once (copied LG and) became a world
innovative leader in smartphones with the launch of the
original iPhone in 2007, they now offer only incremental
improvements to the iPhone range.
It has long ago been bypassed by competitors.
theiPhoneevolution
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
Fifth, based on the trends seen in the previous feature
timeline graphs, and current media speculation (or leaks)
we can now present the iPhone 6 as it will be launched.
This prediction has an accuracy of 96%.
We can therefore also with a certainty greater than
a hunch predict the coming iPhone specs
of the next 6-7 years.
Let’s start with the slogan for the upcoming version 6.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
«Again, this changes
everything. Again.»
The slogan for the upcoming
iPhone 6, 2014.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
And now for the actual upcoming iPhone 6…
theiPhoneevolution
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
iPhone6
A8chip
2GBRAM
4.7‘(+5.5’)
1136x640
326DPI
117g
D:7.7mm
L:123.6mm
10MP
iOS8.0
Thisis
nothingshort of
revolutionary!!!!
…althoughyouknowitwillsellinthemillions,
andyou’llwantone too.Sowill I.
Thedesignmightactuallynotbeasradicallydifferentfromthecurrentmodel5Sorthemockupdepictedabove.
(MockupbyThe TechBlock)
This really makes you wonder if Apple is on autopilot, on a
course set by the late Jobs, which is only a business model
that might actually work for ten more years.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
So, what if we apply the trends from the graphs and
predict the iPhones for the next few years?
Sixth, let’s have a peek!
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
theiPhoneevolution
2014 2015 2017 2018 2019
9
iPhone 6
A8chip
2GBRAM
4.7”
1136x640
326DPI
117g
D:7.7mm
L: 123.6mm
10MP
Newdesign*
10
iPhone 6S
A9chip
2GBRAM
4.7”
1136x640
326DPI
119g
D:7.7mm
L: 123.6mm
12MP
11
iPhone 7
A10chip
3GBRAM
4.7”
1280x720
349DPI
115g
D: 7.5mm
L: 123.2mm
12MP
Newdesign
12
iPhone 7S
A11chip
3GBRAM
4.7”
1280x720
349DPI
115g
D:7.5mm
L: 123.3mm
12MP
13
iPhone 8
A12chip
4GB
4.7”
1280x720
349DPI
112g
D:7.2mm
L:124mm
15MP
Newdesign
14
iPhone 8S
A13chip
4GBRAM
4.7”
1280x720
349DPI
112g
D:7.2mm
L:124mm
15MP
15
iPhone 9
A14chip
8GB RAM **
5”
1590x720
349DPI
105g
D:6.9mm
L:126mm
16MP
Newdesign
16
iPhone 9S
A15chip
8GBRAM
5”
1590x720
349DPI
105g
D:6.9mm
L:126mm
19MP
2016 2020 2021
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
*Newdesign, as before, means slightly new design.
**Atonepoint, perhaps around iPhone 9,memorywill besocheap thatevenApplewill have toclose thegap toits’ competitors and double theRAM.
theiPhoneevolution
This has been a highly informal analysis and wild
speculation about the future evolution of the iPhone,
based on statistical data found on the internets.
ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
How delighted we will all be if
Apple has a new idea again.
Meanwhile we’re waiting for the iPhone revolution.
theiPhoneevolution
All sources Wikipedia, unless otherwisestated.

iphone-evolution2-140906164528-phpapp01.pptx

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Hypothesis: From driving innovation,Apple has been reduced to a company that churns out incrementally improved iPhones every year. But their marketing blurb is more and more clichéd by the version. While the iPhone is a beautiful and impressive piece of technology, it is hardly innovative anymore, and has been overtaken by other competitive brands. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 PS! This informal analysis is based on the iPhone and competing brands at the time of the 5S-launch in 2013. theiPhoneevolution
  • 3.
    First, let’s takea look at the launch slogans of each iPhone. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 4.
    «This changes everything.» Theslogan for the original iPhone in 2007 ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 5.
    «The first phoneto beat the iPhone.» The slogan for the iPhone 3G, 2008. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 6.
    «The fastest, mostpowerful iPhone yet.» The slogan for the iPhone 3GS, 2009. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 7.
    «This changes everything... again.» Theslogan for the iPhone 4, 2010. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 8.
    «The most amazing iPhoneyet.» The slogan for the iPhone 4S, 2011. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 9.
    «The biggest thingto happen to iPhone since iPhone.» The slogan for the iPhone 5, 2012. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 10.
    «Forward thinking.» The sloganfor the upcoming iPhone 5S, 2013. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 11.
    It appears thatthe slogans for any upcoming iPhone are as incremental in their creativity as the level of innovation of the phones themselves. Also, most slogans for the S-versions end with «yet». ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 12.
    Second, let’s comparethe different iPhone models. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 13.
    2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 2 iPhone 3G ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 1 iPhone 128MB RAM 3.5” 480x320 163DPI 135g D: 11.6mm L:115mm 2MP Newdesign 128MB RAM 3.5” 480x320 163DPI 133g D: 12.3mm L: 115.5mm 2MP Newdesign 3 iPhone 3GS 256MB RAM 3.5” 480x320 163DPI 135g D: 12.3mm L: 115.5mm 3MP 4 iPhone 4 A4chip 512MB RAM 3.5” 960x640 326DPI 137g D:9.3mm L: 115.2mm 5MP Newdesign 5 iPhone 4S A5chip 512MB 3.5” 960x640 326DPI 140g D:9.3mm L: 115.2mm 8MP 6 iPhone 5 A6chip 1GBRAM 4” 1136x640 326DPI 112g D:7.6mm L: 123.8mm 8MP Newdesign 7 iPhone 5C A6chip 1GBRAM 4” 1136x640 326DPI 132g D: 8.97mm L: 124.4mm 8MP 8 iPhone 5S A7chip 1GBRAM 4” 1136x640 326DPI 112g D:7.6mm L: 123.8mm 8MP theiPhoneevolution
  • 14.
    Third, to illustratethe incrementality of the features, let’s put the numbers in graphs. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 15.
    2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 0 MB 512 MB 1024 MB iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S Memory 4.1 4 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag 4rippa ©2014 iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S Screen size in theiPhoneevolution
  • 16.
    2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S DPI 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag 4rippa ©2014 iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S Weight g theiPhoneevolution
  • 17.
    2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S Thickness 122 120 118 116 114 112 110 Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel Ag 4rippa ©2014 iPhone 3G 4S 5 5S Height mm 14 mm 126 124 theiPhoneevolution
  • 18.
    2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 iPhone 3G 3GS 4 4S 5 5S Camera No Yes iPhone 3G Pr3oGdSucedby Cassiel A4 grippa©2014 4S 5 5S New design MPX 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 theiPhoneevolution
  • 19.
    Fourth, let’s comparethe current iPhone 5S to a couple of leading competitor brands at the time of launch. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 20.
    iPhone5S A7chip 1GB RAM 4' 1136x640 326DPI 112g D:7.6mm L:123.8mm 8MP iOS7.0 GalaxyS4 Snapdragon600 2GB RAM 5.0’ 1920x1080 441DPI 130g D:7.9mm L:136.6mm 13MP Android4.2.2 Comparableadvantages ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution HTCOne Snapdragon 600 2GB RAM 4.7’ 1920x1080 468DPI 143g D:9.3mm L:137.4mm 4MP Android4.2.2
  • 21.
    Where Apple once(copied LG and) became a world innovative leader in smartphones with the launch of the original iPhone in 2007, they now offer only incremental improvements to the iPhone range. It has long ago been bypassed by competitors. theiPhoneevolution ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014
  • 22.
    Fifth, based onthe trends seen in the previous feature timeline graphs, and current media speculation (or leaks) we can now present the iPhone 6 as it will be launched. This prediction has an accuracy of 96%. We can therefore also with a certainty greater than a hunch predict the coming iPhone specs of the next 6-7 years. Let’s start with the slogan for the upcoming version 6. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 23.
    «Again, this changes everything.Again.» The slogan for the upcoming iPhone 6, 2014. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution And now for the actual upcoming iPhone 6…
  • 24.
  • 25.
    This really makesyou wonder if Apple is on autopilot, on a course set by the late Jobs, which is only a business model that might actually work for ten more years. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 26.
    So, what ifwe apply the trends from the graphs and predict the iPhones for the next few years? Sixth, let’s have a peek! ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 theiPhoneevolution
  • 27.
    2014 2015 20172018 2019 9 iPhone 6 A8chip 2GBRAM 4.7” 1136x640 326DPI 117g D:7.7mm L: 123.6mm 10MP Newdesign* 10 iPhone 6S A9chip 2GBRAM 4.7” 1136x640 326DPI 119g D:7.7mm L: 123.6mm 12MP 11 iPhone 7 A10chip 3GBRAM 4.7” 1280x720 349DPI 115g D: 7.5mm L: 123.2mm 12MP Newdesign 12 iPhone 7S A11chip 3GBRAM 4.7” 1280x720 349DPI 115g D:7.5mm L: 123.3mm 12MP 13 iPhone 8 A12chip 4GB 4.7” 1280x720 349DPI 112g D:7.2mm L:124mm 15MP Newdesign 14 iPhone 8S A13chip 4GBRAM 4.7” 1280x720 349DPI 112g D:7.2mm L:124mm 15MP 15 iPhone 9 A14chip 8GB RAM ** 5” 1590x720 349DPI 105g D:6.9mm L:126mm 16MP Newdesign 16 iPhone 9S A15chip 8GBRAM 5” 1590x720 349DPI 105g D:6.9mm L:126mm 19MP 2016 2020 2021 ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 *Newdesign, as before, means slightly new design. **Atonepoint, perhaps around iPhone 9,memorywill besocheap thatevenApplewill have toclose thegap toits’ competitors and double theRAM. theiPhoneevolution
  • 28.
    This has beena highly informal analysis and wild speculation about the future evolution of the iPhone, based on statistical data found on the internets. ProducedbyCassiel Agrippa©2014 How delighted we will all be if Apple has a new idea again. Meanwhile we’re waiting for the iPhone revolution. theiPhoneevolution All sources Wikipedia, unless otherwisestated.