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Integration of multiple data
  sources into a resource
 estimate – analysis of the
          options

Geovariances Geostats Rendezvous
         Perth February 26-27, 2013



   Presented by Alastair Cornah
        Quantitative Group, Fremantle
             ac@qgroup.net.au
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                         Introduction


     Multiple overlapping sources of ‘hard’ data in
     brownfields projects.
          For example diamond, sonic, reverse circulation,
          and percussion drilling.
          Channel samples, blasthole samples

     How should these various data sources be
     handled in resource estimation?
          Support?
          Precision?
          Bias?
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                    Treatment of lower precision or
                  biased data in resource estimation

     Does including the lower precision (or biased) data help to
     minimise estimation error?

     Additional data reduces the information effect, but is this
     outweighed by increased estimation error as a result of
     that data’s poor precision (or bias)?

     The answer is partly dependent upon the choice of
     estimation method.

     Various geostatistical approaches exist which can be
     used to maximise the value of low precision (or biased)
     data in a resource estimate.
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                                      Testwork

     Generation of a ‘ground truth’ within a two dimensional test area
     using conditional simulation of diamond drillhole data.

     Extraction of seven channel sample datasets
        Uniform error distributions applied to channel locations to
        iregularise the sampling pattern, avoid colocation of channels and
        drillholes.
        Gaussian error distributions (unbiassed) with increasing variance
        applied to extracted grades.

     Various estimation methods trailed using the drillholes and the
     various channel sample datasets (including and excluding channel
     samples).
         Estimations compared against the ground truth.
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                      Estimation options evaluated

     Estimation of drillholes only (ignoring channels) using Ordinary
     Kriging

     Integration of drillholes and channels estimation using Ordinary
     Kriging

     Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Cokriging

     Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Colocated
     Cokriging

     Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Ordinary
     Kriging with Variance of Measurement Error
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                  Conditional Simulation of Ground
                                Truth
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                  Extraction of ‘virtual’ channel
                            samples
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                  Estimated Fe (baseline) vs Ground
                                Truth
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  OK – drillholes only (baseline)
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  OK – drillholes only (baseline)
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  OK – drillholes and channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  OK – drillholes and channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  Cokriging – drillholes and channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah

                  Cokriging – drillholes and channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                  Colocated cokriging – drillholes and
                              channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                  Colocated cokriging – drillholes and
                              channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                       Ordinary Kriging with Variance of
                             Measurement Error

                                           Ordinary Kriging with Variance of
Ordinary Kriging (channels & drillholes)
                                           Measurement Error (channels & drillholes)

                     Drillhole                                    Drillhole
   Channel                                       Channel
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                   Ordinary Kriging with Variance of
                  Measurement Error – drillholes and
                               channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                   Ordinary Kriging with Variance of
                  Measurement Error – drillholes and
                               channels
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah


                  OKVME – analysis of weights
Presented by :
Alastair Cornah
                     Conclusions under the testwork
                              assumptions
     If OK estimation is used, channel samples influence the estimation
     significantly more than drillholes.
         In spite of this, benefit is gained by including the channels, as long
         as less than 2SD of sampling / measurement errors associated
         with the channels; beyond this using drillholes only is preferable.

     If CK, CCK, OKVME estimation is used, benefit is gained by
     incorporating the channels regardless of the level of sampling and
     measurement error (upto 3SD which was tested)

     OKVME rebalances kriging weights from channels to drillholes,
     depending upon the sampling / measurement error variance
     associated with the channels. Where channels contain any
     (unbiassed) error distribution it outperforms CK, CCK and OK.

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Integration of multiple data sources into a resource estimate analysis of the options

  • 1. Integration of multiple data sources into a resource estimate – analysis of the options Geovariances Geostats Rendezvous Perth February 26-27, 2013 Presented by Alastair Cornah Quantitative Group, Fremantle ac@qgroup.net.au
  • 2. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Introduction Multiple overlapping sources of ‘hard’ data in brownfields projects. For example diamond, sonic, reverse circulation, and percussion drilling. Channel samples, blasthole samples How should these various data sources be handled in resource estimation? Support? Precision? Bias?
  • 3. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Treatment of lower precision or biased data in resource estimation Does including the lower precision (or biased) data help to minimise estimation error? Additional data reduces the information effect, but is this outweighed by increased estimation error as a result of that data’s poor precision (or bias)? The answer is partly dependent upon the choice of estimation method. Various geostatistical approaches exist which can be used to maximise the value of low precision (or biased) data in a resource estimate.
  • 4. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Testwork Generation of a ‘ground truth’ within a two dimensional test area using conditional simulation of diamond drillhole data. Extraction of seven channel sample datasets Uniform error distributions applied to channel locations to iregularise the sampling pattern, avoid colocation of channels and drillholes. Gaussian error distributions (unbiassed) with increasing variance applied to extracted grades. Various estimation methods trailed using the drillholes and the various channel sample datasets (including and excluding channel samples). Estimations compared against the ground truth.
  • 5. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Estimation options evaluated Estimation of drillholes only (ignoring channels) using Ordinary Kriging Integration of drillholes and channels estimation using Ordinary Kriging Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Cokriging Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Colocated Cokriging Integration of drillholes and channels, estimation using Ordinary Kriging with Variance of Measurement Error
  • 6. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Conditional Simulation of Ground Truth
  • 7. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Extraction of ‘virtual’ channel samples
  • 8. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Estimated Fe (baseline) vs Ground Truth
  • 9. Presented by : Alastair Cornah OK – drillholes only (baseline)
  • 10. Presented by : Alastair Cornah OK – drillholes only (baseline)
  • 11. Presented by : Alastair Cornah OK – drillholes and channels
  • 12. Presented by : Alastair Cornah OK – drillholes and channels
  • 13. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Cokriging – drillholes and channels
  • 14. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Cokriging – drillholes and channels
  • 15. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Colocated cokriging – drillholes and channels
  • 16. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Colocated cokriging – drillholes and channels
  • 17. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Ordinary Kriging with Variance of Measurement Error Ordinary Kriging with Variance of Ordinary Kriging (channels & drillholes) Measurement Error (channels & drillholes) Drillhole Drillhole Channel Channel
  • 18. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Ordinary Kriging with Variance of Measurement Error – drillholes and channels
  • 19. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Ordinary Kriging with Variance of Measurement Error – drillholes and channels
  • 20. Presented by : Alastair Cornah OKVME – analysis of weights
  • 21. Presented by : Alastair Cornah Conclusions under the testwork assumptions If OK estimation is used, channel samples influence the estimation significantly more than drillholes. In spite of this, benefit is gained by including the channels, as long as less than 2SD of sampling / measurement errors associated with the channels; beyond this using drillholes only is preferable. If CK, CCK, OKVME estimation is used, benefit is gained by incorporating the channels regardless of the level of sampling and measurement error (upto 3SD which was tested) OKVME rebalances kriging weights from channels to drillholes, depending upon the sampling / measurement error variance associated with the channels. Where channels contain any (unbiassed) error distribution it outperforms CK, CCK and OK.