Analysis of Indian telecom sector, A thorough look at the journey of Indian telecom industry from its inception in the 80's to its humongous boom in the 2000's and the what the future holds.
3. • 1991-92 – PRIVATE PLAYERS ALLOWED IN
TELECOM
• 1994 - NATIONAL TELECOM POLICY FORMULATED
• 1997 – TRAI FORMULATED
• 1st OCT 2000 – BSNL CREATED AS PSU TO
PROVIDE SERVICES ACROSS INDIA `
THE JOURNEY SO FAR
4. NTP 1999
• Revenue Generation not main Objective
• Importance assigned to TRAI (Telecom Regulatory
Authority Of India)
• Revenue sharing arrangement (15% of Adjusted gross
revenue [AGR]) instead of fixed license fee, with effect
from August 01, 1999.
• Migration package offered to existing licensees (42
CMTS(Cellular Mobile Telecom Service, 6 Basic)
18. SPECTRUM POLICY
• ALL FUTURE SPECTRUM ALLOCATIONS TO BE DONE ON
MARKET PRICES.
• SPECTRUM POOLING, SHARING AND TRADING TO BE
ALLOWED.
• PREPARE A ROADMAP FOR SPECTRUM AVAILABILITY
FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS.
• FREE 300 MHZ OF AIRWAVES FOR COMMERCIAL
TELEPHONY BY 2017.
19. CONTD…
• RESERVATION OF SPECTRUM FOR
INDIGENEOUS DEVELOPMENT OF PRODUCTS
AND TECHNOLOGIES.
• ENACTMENT OF THE SPECTRUM ACT TO DEAL
WITH ALL THE ISSUES RELATED TO SPECTRUM
TRADING AND SPECTRUM IN GENERAL.
• LICENSE TO BE DELINKED FROM SPECTRUM.
20. MOBILE PERMITS
• FRAMING OF AN EXIT POLICY TO ALLOW NEW
ENTRANTS TO SURRENDER THEIR MOBILE PERMITS
AND AIRWAVES.
• ALLOWING SHARING OF NETWORKS AND REGULATE
VALUE ADDED SERVICES.
• TO PROVIDE CLEAR RULES FOR RENEWAL OF MOBILE
PERMITS.
• MOBILE PERMITS TO BE TECHNOLOGY NEUTRAL.
21. CONTD….
• TO INCREASE RURAL TELE-DENSITY TO FROM 35% TO
60% BY 2017 AND TO 100% BY 2020.
• TO MANUFACTURE 80% OF TELECOM NETWORKS
DOMESTICALLY.
• REDUCING CARBON FOOTPRINT OF TELECOM SECTOR.
• FACILITATING USE OF GREEN TECHNOLOGY TO POWER
TOWERS.
22. Broaaaad band
WHAT IT AIMS:
TO PROVIDE BROADBAND ON DEMAND BY 2015.
TO ACHIEVE A TARGET OF 175 MILLION BROADBAND
USERS BY 2017.
TO PROMOTE R&D & PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT IN
TELECOM.
BROADBAND SPEEDS TO BE REVISED TO 512 KBPS AND
FURTHER TO 2MBPS BY 2015.
23. FOR THE AAM AADMI…
• ROAMING CHARGES TO BE ABOLISHED.
• CONSUMERS CAN NOW USE MNP SERVICE EVEN
WHEN THEY SHIFT TO A NEW CITY WITHOUT PAYING
ROAMING CHARGES.
• STRENGTHENING OF GRIEVANCE REDRESSAL
MECHANISM.
• REGULATOR TO ENHANCE CONSUMER AWARENESS ON
SERVICES AND TARIFFS.
24. ETC….
• TO PUT IN PLACE LEGAL,REGULATORY AND
LICENSING FRAMEWORK FOR CONVERGENCE OF
SERVICES, NETWORKS AND DEVICES.
• MOVE TOWARDS AN UNIFIED LICENSE REGIME
THAT ALLOWS OPERATORS TO OFFER ANY
SERVICES.
• RELXATION OF M&A NORMS TO ALLOW
CONSOLIDATION.
25. CONTD……..
• PROMOTION OF TRAINING INSTITUTES IN RURAL
AND URBAN AREAS & COLLABORATION WITH
IIT’S.
• DoT TO LOOK AFTER LICENSING AND SPECTRUM
ALLOCATION AND MINISTRY TO FOCUS ON
POLICY MAKING.
• CREATION OF TELECOM FINANCE CORPORATION
TO FACILITATE INVESTMENT IN THE SECTOR.
26. To Gain Not to Gain
• THE BIGGEST BENEFIT TO THE CONSUMERS IS
THE REMOVAL OF ROAMING CHARGES AND
NATIONWIDE MNP.
• HOWEVER THIS MOVE ADVERSELY AFFECTS THE
OPERATORS WHO GAIN 5-7%OF THEIR REVENUES
FROM ROAMING CHARGES.
• IN THE LONG RUN THOUGH THEY STAND TO GAIN
FROM INCREASED VOICE AND DATA USAGE.
27. CONTD…
• FOR OPERATORS DE-LINKING OF NETWORKS
FROM SERVICE DELIVERY WILL ENABLE QUICKER
ROLL OUT OF SERVICES.
• NETWORK SHARING WILL REDUCE ENTRY
BARRIERS AS NEW PLAYERS NEED NOT INVEST IN
NETWORK BUILDING.
• EXISTING OPERATORS CAN ENHANCE REVENUE
BY UTLISING THEIR NETWORK ASSETS.
28. CONTD….
• THE PROPOSAL OF SPECTRUM BEING TRADED ON
MARKET PRICE MIGHT DRIVE UP THE COST OF
SPECTRUM.
• THIS COST COULD BE PASSED ON TO THE
CONSUMERS IN TERMS OF INCREASED TARIFFS.
• SPECTRUM SHARING HOLDS WELL FOR THE
ENTIRE INDUSTRY AND ENSURES OPTIMAL
UTILIZATION OF THE SPECTRUM.
29. CONTD…
• DESPITE BEING A HIGH GROWTH MARKET, TELECOM LAGS
BEHIND IN CREATION OF IPR.
• BY PROMOTING DOMESTIC MANUFACTURING SECTOR THIS
SCENARIO MIGHT CHANGE.
• ACCORDING TO TRAI ESTIMATE IN LAST 5 YEARS TELECOM
IMPORT GREW BY 24TIMES WHILE EXPORTS BY ONLY 7
TIMES.
• INCREASING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION CAN HELP CHANGE
THE TREND AND ALSO GENERATE EMPLOYMENT.
30. CONTD…
• CONVERGED SERVICES WILL BRING NEW USERS
ACROSS URBAN AND RURAL AREAS.
• THIS IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE END USER DEVICE
DEVELOPMENT AND REDUCE PRICES.
• SUBSCRIBERS CAN LOOK FORWARD TO QUALITY
VERNACULAR CONTENT.
• MOBILE DEVICE WILL BRIDGE THE DIVIDE IN ACCESS TO
EDUCATION, HEALTH & GOVERNANCE.
31. PuLLing Down….
• HOWEVER THE PROPOSED SPECTRUM ACT
HASN’T BEEN ELABORATED IN THE DRAFT.
• IMPLEMENTATION OF KEY REGULATION
CONTROLS DEPEND UPON THE SPECTRUM ACT.
• THE DRAFT IS ALSO SILENT ON THE EXISTING 2G
SPECTRUM AND HOW IT WLL BE TREATED UNDER
THE NEW LICENSE FRAMEWORK.
32. CONTD…
• THE DETAILS REGARDING THE M&A POLICY IS
STILL UNCLEAR.
• THE DRAFT POLICY ENSURES EASY EXIT
POINTS FOR NEW PLAYERS.
• M&A CAN HELP CONSOLIDATE THE CROWDED
TELECOM MARKET BUT WITH MORE DEFINITE
GUIDELINES.
33. Wake up Bodyguard lovely singh…
• THE DRAFT HIGHLIGHTS THE IDEA OF
CONVERGENCE OF TECHNOLOGIES.
• HOWEVER SECURITY CONCERNS RELATED TO
EXISTING PUBLIC SWITCHED TELECOM NETWORK
HAS NOT BEEN PROPERLY ADDRESSED.
• THE DRAFT ALSO NEEDS TO FOCUS MORE ON
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES.
34. The Household fight…
• THE POLICY SHOULD LAY DOWN ROLES AND
RESPONSIBILITIES OF VARIOUS REGULATORY AGENCIES.
• A STRONG COMPILANCE AND MONITORING AGENCY IS
REQUIRED TO CONSTANTLY PERCEIVE THREATS.
• WAR BETWEEN DOT, TRAI & MR. OUTSIDER- TDSAT.
• THE TELECOM POLICY SHOULD ALSO CONSIDER
IMPLEMENTING A REGULATORY BODY TO MANAGE
COMMUNICATION INFRASTRUCTURE DURING
EMERGENCIES.
35. Election speeches & promises…
• THE PROPOSAL OF 80% OF TELECOM’S SECTOR
DEMAND TO BE MET DOMESTICALLY IS DIFFICULT TO
BE IMPLEMENTED IN ABSENCE OF A SUPPLY CHAIN.
• NEW BROADBAND SPEEDS THOUGH PROMISING BUT
STILL LOW WHEN COMPARED TO OTHER NATIONS.
• MORE CLARITY IS REQUIRED TO MAINTAIN THE
PRESENT TAX STRUCTURE ON MOBILE HANDSETS
UNDER THE UPCOMING GST REGIME.