The presentation details the analytical results of the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on the number of cases and number of deaths due to COVID-19 in India and at the global level. The presentation also discussed the ways to control the COVID-19 and the role of Herd-Immunity.

1. Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination on
Reduction of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
During 14-27 September 2021
Bhoj R Singh
Principal Scientist & Head
Division of Epidemiology, ICAR-Indian Veterinary Research Institute,
Izatnagar-243 122, India
DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.11049.31845

2. Global impact (expressed as correlation) of COVID-19 Vaccination
In the last 14 days (14-27 September 2021)
• Analysis of data available online for COVID-19 cases & deaths (Source:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table), and percent
vaccination (Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deployment_of_COVID-19_vaccines) for
countries having more than 10 million people indicated a highly
significant positive correlation i.e., more vaccination was associated
with more disease & more deaths.
• On analyzing matching data available for all 193 countries also
indicated a very strong positive correlation with the number of
COVID-19 cases.
• There is no positive indication that COVID-19 vaccines are protecting
the vaccinated populations of different countries in the world.

3. Analysis for 88 Countries having population >10
millions
Cases per million
Deaths per
million
%
Vaccinated r=0.419 (p, 0.00005) r= 0.319 (p, 0.002)
Analysis for 193 countries for which matching data
is available
%
Vaccinated r= 0.194 (p, 0.007) 0.038 (p, >05)
Global impact (expressed as correlation) of COVID-19 Vaccination
In the last 14 days (14-27 September 2021)

4. Impact (expressed as correlation) of COVID-19 Vaccination in India
Cases and deaths due to COVID-19 in the last 14 days (14-27 September 2021)
Analysis of data available online for COVID-19 cases & deaths, & % vaccination (Source:
Source: http://data.covid19india.org) for 28 states and 8 Union territories of India using a
variable number of dosages of three different vaccines of COVID-19 revealed that:
• 1. More vaccination was linked with more deaths.
• 2. The first dose of vaccine was associated with a significantly higher number of Adverse
Events Following Immunization (AEFI), after 2nd dose, adverse events were less.
• 3. Adverse events were more often associated with CoviShield and less often with Covaxin
and Sputnik V.
• 4. COVID cases and deaths were more in regions using more CoviShield (positive
correlation) than those using Covaxin and Sputnik V (negative correlation).

5. Impacts Dosages administered (% population) by 7th
September 2021
Adverse
Events
Following
Immunization
(AEFI)
First Second Covaxin CoviShiel
d
Sputnik
V
AEFI r= 0.417
(p, 0.01)
r= 0.397
(p, 0.016)
r= -0.356
(p, 0.03)
R= 0.448
(p, 0.006)
r= -
0.197
(p, 0.28)
1.000
Cases/
million
0.070 0.119 -0.106 0.096 -0.040 r= 0.732
(p, 0.00001)
Deaths/
million
r= 0.182
(p, 0.29)
r= 0.22
(p, 0.2)
-0.101 0.20
(p, 0.25)
-0.028 r= 0.616
(p, 0.0001)
Impact (expressed as correlation) of COVID-19 Vaccination in India
Cases and deaths due to COVID-19 in the last 14 days (14-27 September 2021)

6. What to Do?
• 1. The immediate stoppage of the use of leaky, largely
ineffective, and reactive COVID-19 Vaccines.
• 2. Promoting the development & use of whole virus vaccines
either inactivated (like Sinopharm and Covaxin) or attenuated
live (yet to be developed).
• 3. Promoting the judicious use of COVID-19 vaccines
(https://azad-azadindia.blogspot.com/2021/03/how-judicious-is-
covid-19-vaccination.html).

7. Herd-Immunity
• A false notion for airborne and aerosol infections
• Not work well with the population moving and mixing with
different groups frequently (Human population).
• After all, we are not herds of cattle or flocks of sheep to get
advantages of herd immunity.
• It is a spoof floated by pharmacopoliticians to earn the money
and bluff the people through creating panic and fear.

8. The Most vaccinated Nations The least Vaccinated Nations
Countries Cases/
million
Deaths/
million
% Vaccinated Countries Cases/
million
Deaths/
million
% Vaccinated
Australia 916.58 5.68 62.1 Guinea 23.36 0.74 0
Turkey 4491.18 38.09 62.8 Haiti 32.49 1.21 0.4
USA 5306.86 72.72 63.5 South Sudan 29.15 0.70 0.6
Argentina 549.32 28.75 64.6 Yemen 17.50 3.23 1
Saudi Arabia 25.87 2.14 65.8 Burkina Faso 10.78 0.46 1.1
Sri Lanka 1213.04 60.40 66.8 Benin 249.06 1.04 1.2
Germany 1375.49 9.33 67.1 Sudan 11.13 1.40 1.4
Japan 431.78 5.44 69 Cameroon 44.00 0.40 1.4
Malaysia 6491.20 139.03 69.7 Mali 8.63 0.19 1.5
Brazil 1252.26 35.27 69.8 Somalia 85.89 4.81 1.5
Sweden 757.67 3.54 70.1 Niger 2.41 0.04 1.6
Netherlands 1468.53 4.71 70.6 Zambia 47.69 0.74 1.6
UK 6530.46 28.50 71.4 Syria 203.88 7.32 1.6
Belgium 2401.98 8.41 73.6 Afghanistan 22.82 0.75 1.9
France 1352.05 14.27 74.1 Nigeria 24.54 0.33 2.1
S. Korea 567.73 1.87 74.2 Ethiopia 156.91 3.98 2.4
Italy 876.43 12.11 74.3 Ghana 98.58 1.63 2.7
China 0.55 0.00 76.2 Chad 1.00 0.00 2.9
Canada 1608.29 12.06 76.3 Uganda 34.89 0.99 3.5
Cambodia 575.89 12.47 77.5 Malawi 19.25 1.82 4
Chile 404.98 9.94 78.1 Ivory Coast 67.28 3.20 4.4
Cuba 9476.45 80.05 78.5 Kenya 83.03 3.37 5
Spain 777.62 19.35 80.4 Angola 141.97 4.92 5.4
Portugal 1095.78 8.76 87.8 Mozambique 39.62 0.49 5.9
UAE 564.05 2.99 92.5 Senegal 14.29 1.27 7.1
Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination on Cases and deaths
in 25 the most and the least vaccinated population (>10 million)

9. State Percent population vaccinated with Adverse Events
Following Immunization
Per million
One dose Two doses Covaxin CoviShield Sputnik V Cases Deaths
India 38.98 11.94 6.04 44.58 0.06 0.00 291.90 3.00
Andaman & Nicobar 66.22 27.60 0.00 93.81 0.00 0.00 87.72 0.00
Andhra Pradesh 24.81 10.30 5.43 29.63 0.06 0.00 181.13 1.44
Arunachal Pradesh 42.91 15.62 0.00 58.54 0.00 0.02 343.47 2.34
Assam 43.42 9.62 5.65 47.37 0.01 0.00 148.95 2.58
Bihar 27.20 5.64 3.58 29.26 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.02
Chandigarh 72.14 29.11 0.43 100.83 0.00 0.02 49.22 1.73
Chhattisgarh 32.45 10.94 5.10 38.27 0.02 0.00 11.40 0.19
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
Daman Diu
137.75 36.97 0.01 174.71 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
Delhi 53.18 21.63 17.13 57.37 0.31 0.01 25.70 0.10
Goa 77.54 30.56 1.92 106.18 0.00 0.04 823.92 56.50
Gujarat 52.67 18.81 7.67 63.79 0.03 0.00 3.45 0.00
Haryana 44.74 15.55 7.84 52.23 0.21 0.00 5.74 0.10
Himachal Pradesh 74.06 24.58 0.05 98.55 0.04 0.01 350.53 4.00
Jammu & Kashmir 43.83 13.67 2.56 54.95 0.00 0.00 142.34 0.53
Jharkhand 28.28 7.33 5.34 30.27 0.01 0.00 2.97 0.00
Karnataka 49.48 16.76 7.93 58.18 0.12 0.00 165.10 3.29
Kerala 63.57 24.14 8.92 78.66 0.13 0.01 7236.49 57.96
Ladakh 66.04 38.57 0.00 104.61 0.00 0.00 599.33 0.00
Lakshadweep 80.43 41.66 0.00 122.09 0.00 0.01 121.21 0.00
Madhya Pradesh 47.46 10.80 6.32 51.92 0.02 0.00 1.78 0.01
Maharashtra 37.17 14.13 6.52 44.66 0.12 0.00 329.41 5.87
Manipur 35.02 10.86 0.00 45.87 0.00 0.00 805.95 10.18
Meghalaya 27.54 8.79 0.00 36.33 0.00 0.01 672.83 9.54
Mizoram 51.59 20.31 0.00 71.90 0.00 0.09 13225.70 45.84
Nagaland 31.96 11.14 0.00 42.88 0.21 0.00 246.01 8.68
Odisha 38.97 12.75 6.99 44.72 0.01 0.00 168.39 1.61
Puducherry 39.65 12.37 0.00 52.02 0.00 0.00 784.30 9.11
Punjab 37.47 12.00 5.74 43.69 0.03 0.00 15.28 1.64
Rajasthan 44.79 14.77 7.20 52.35 0.02 0.00 1.48 0.00
Sikkim 77.41 30.70 0.00 108.10 0.00 0.05 974.14 15.20
Tamil Nadu 34.36 8.66 5.77 37.19 0.07 0.00 280.82 3.81
Telangana 36.53 13.29 9.00 40.52 0.31 0.00 89.58 0.45
Tripura 58.96 21.81 1.71 79.07 0.00 0.00 106.57 1.43
Uttar Pradesh 29.80 5.82 4.17 31.45 0.01 0.00 0.96 0.03
Uttarakhand 58.42 19.02 5.23 72.20 0.01 0.00 22.39 0.34
West Bengal 31.74 12.54 5.44 38.78 0.06 0.00 93.67 1.63
Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination (as on 7th September 2021) on Cases and deaths
in 28 states and 8 Union territories of India (14-27 September 2021)

10. References
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