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Successful Business
Analysis in the era
of Artificial
Intelligence
June 2019
Community Event
2
Thank you to our
Branch Sponsors!
3
About the IIBA
Uniting a community of professionals to
create better business outcomes.
• International Institute of Business Analysis (IIBA) is an
independent non-profit professional association serving the
growing field of business analysis.
• Promote professional standards and practices at the local level.
• Defines standards for business analysis through the Business
Analysis Body of Knowledge (BABOK)
4
Member Benefits
• Receive BABOK v3, Agile Extension, access to the Online
Library of 300+ books and large range/variety of IIBA Webinars
• Discounted fees for the ECBA, CCBA and CBAP certification
exams.
• Access to the Business Analysis Competency Model.
• Job search capabilities using the Career Centre and view the
Business Analyst Salary Survey results.
• Attend Member Driven events for free, including joint events,
workshops, Professional Forum, and more…
5
Community Benefits
• Networking events like this one
• Direct access to our sponsors and IIBA mentoring volunteers
• Latest information on BA relevant events around town
• Potential to become a volunteer and help grow the community
• Access to member driven events at a small charge (members get
them free!)
6
Opportunities
Branch is always open to interest in volunteering
• Guide the events and services we offer
• Meet decision makers across similar associations
• Meet employers, recruiters, leaders from service providers
Register your interest online via the link available on the Chapter
Website
7
What's On:
• This year is the 10 Year Anniversary
• Studygroups are coming back this year – Please let us know how
to make them great for you
• Online CBAP exam Pilot.
• You tell us! – we’re always keen to get your feedback
8
What's On:
• BAPD Update!
• Early Bird Tickets available Tomorrow:
• https://www.Eventbrite.com.au/e/iiba-canberra-business-analysts-
professional-day-2019-tickets-4098185748
• What’s it all about?
• Uplifting the role of BA’s and the capabilities of BA’s
• Connecting our members and other business analysts with the
organisations that need their skills most
Our Speaker
Dr Tasneem Memon
June 2019
Successful Business Analysis
in the Era of Artificial
Intelligence
IIBA® AUSTRALIA – 12 JUNE 2019
Some insights..
What does being BA mean to you?
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 11
Are you driven by the Business Context or the Technology?
Do you feel less confident for not knowing enough about AI algorithms?
Do you feel that you know enough about workings of AI?
Human
Instinct
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 12
Imagine…
Human
Instinct
OUR INSTINCT DECIDES IF
THE RISK IS WORTH
TAKING!
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 13
Human Intuition, Creativity
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 14
Luck is just the presence of factors our System 2 fails to notice! Our System 1 (instinct) however, may pick up on them!
Technology
fails without
humanistic
approach
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 15
Business
Analyst vs
AI
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 16
Business Analyst Strengths
(What AI Can’t Do!)
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 17
COMMUNICATION INTERACTION &
NEGOTIATION
COMPROMISES ON
REQUIREMENTS,
RESOURCES, ETC
EMOTIONAL
INTELLIGENCE &
UNDERSTANDING
INSPIRATION,
CREATIVITY
MANAGEMENT OF
PEOPLE, RESOURCES,
EXPECTATIONS
What can AI do for Business Analysis?
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 18
Requirements gathering:
Conversational AI
(https://www.modernrequireme
nts.com/blogs/meet-alice-
cognitive-assistant-business-
analysis/)
Information synthesis: automatic
summarization (Pointer
Generator Networks (DL)),
specifications, user stories
Complex Analysis: big data
processing
Reporting: Graphs, dashboards
Recommendation &
Personalisation (e.g.
collaborative or content-based
filtering)
Business process modelling =
Automated/AI planning
Must have
Knowledge
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 19
Black-box level of understanding of algorithms i.e. where to
apply the technology, how it is applied, and its basic
concepts
Big Picture
how to get value from AI to solve problems previously
addressed with defined rulesVision of Automation
Understand context enough to ask the right questions from
ML teams on algorithms, feature vector, outputs and/or
models.
Context (Data &
Business)
People, licensing, specialised hardware (GPUs etc) cost vs
business outcomes
Resource/Effort
Estimation
Skills
1. Understanding the Tech
 Teams rely on the BA to choose & help label the input (relevant, clean, unbiased,
meaningful ), output and/or reward.
 Bad input data = Wrong output
 Know when to apply AI: ML can find out the product isn’t doing well.. But how to find
the underlying problem?
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2013/06/2019 20
Skills
2. Design Thinking
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 21
EMPATHY (TAKE THE
HUMANISTIC APPROACH)
COMMUNICATION HUMAN INTERACTION
(BEING AWARE OF OTHERS
NEEDS)
GATHER THICK DATA
(SUBJECTIVE DATA,
ASPIRATIONS, OPINIONS,
EXPERIENCES)
DRIVEN BY CONTEXT VS
TECHNOLOGY
Skills
3. Use everything at your disposal
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 22
Relationship estimation among
variables. Forecasting
Add info to ill-posed
problems. Prevents overfitting
Behaviour training based on
cumulative reward. Complex systems
Model generation through weight
adjustment. Supervised
Deep NNs. No training data needed.
Utilizes all data
Continuous probability update with
more data. Dynamic analysis
Probability based, predictive tool.
Clearly defined decision alternatives
and their consequences
Set of algorithms put together
for specific problems
Get rid of irrelevant input variables
Memory-based. Situation similarity calc
Unsupervised grouping. When
outputs unknown
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 24
ML Cheat sheet
https://www.dropbox.com/s/wmdguw5dfoaasuc/BecomingHumanCheatSheets.pdf?dl=0
Skills
3. Use everything at your disposal
Skills
3. Use everything at your disposal
ML/DL Frameworks and
Libraries
◦ Pandas
◦ Numpy
◦ Scikit-learn
◦ Matplotlib
◦ TensorFlow
◦ Keras
◦ Seaborn
◦ Pytorch & Torch
◦ AWS Deep Learning AMI
◦ Google Cloud ML Engine
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 26
AI Risks
Feeding extreme/wrong behaviours
Personalization of online content based on user preferences
◦ Shopping
◦ News
◦ Contacts
◦ Entertainment
•Are you personalising your business solutions too much?
Feeding Confirmation Bias
•Preventing beliefs from being challenged
•Bias bubbles / Information blindness
What interests public, and what’s in public’s interest are two different things. (Titus Plattner @ Medium)
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 27
AI Risks
The Hype
The COMPAS recidivism algorithm –
False positive rate (people labeled “high risk” but weren’t):
• White defendants: 24%
• Black defendants: 45%
137 input variables
Blackbox algorithm
Later research found (Julia Dressel and Hany Farid, 2018):
• COMPAS no more accurate than a simple linear
equation with two input variables
• Age
• Number of offences
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 28
AI Risks
Bias
Facial Recognition
3 of the biggest commercially available gender classification systems
(facial analysis) were:
◦ 99% accurate for white men
◦ 65% accurate for darker-skinned women.
Spreadsheets
◦ Used to reinforce/justify your working style or bias (top or bottom few
rows). Align it with your mind’s picture.
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 29
In times of change, learners inherit the earth,
while the learned find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with a world that no longer exists.
-Eric Hoffer
12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 30
Successful Business Analysis
in the Era of Artificial
Intelligence
Thanks to
Our Speaker!
June 2019
32
Employment
Marketplace
IIBA Canberra Branch is committed to ensuring our
Members connect with
• Employers of Business Analysts
• Customers
• Recruiters and Service Providers offering Business Analysis
Services
33
Thank you to our
Branch Sponsors!
Thanks for Viewing!
See you at the joint event
in July and
BA Professional Day
2019

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IIBA Presents Tasneem Memon - June 2019

  • 1. Successful Business Analysis in the era of Artificial Intelligence June 2019 Community Event
  • 2. 2 Thank you to our Branch Sponsors!
  • 3. 3 About the IIBA Uniting a community of professionals to create better business outcomes. • International Institute of Business Analysis (IIBA) is an independent non-profit professional association serving the growing field of business analysis. • Promote professional standards and practices at the local level. • Defines standards for business analysis through the Business Analysis Body of Knowledge (BABOK)
  • 4. 4 Member Benefits • Receive BABOK v3, Agile Extension, access to the Online Library of 300+ books and large range/variety of IIBA Webinars • Discounted fees for the ECBA, CCBA and CBAP certification exams. • Access to the Business Analysis Competency Model. • Job search capabilities using the Career Centre and view the Business Analyst Salary Survey results. • Attend Member Driven events for free, including joint events, workshops, Professional Forum, and more…
  • 5. 5 Community Benefits • Networking events like this one • Direct access to our sponsors and IIBA mentoring volunteers • Latest information on BA relevant events around town • Potential to become a volunteer and help grow the community • Access to member driven events at a small charge (members get them free!)
  • 6. 6 Opportunities Branch is always open to interest in volunteering • Guide the events and services we offer • Meet decision makers across similar associations • Meet employers, recruiters, leaders from service providers Register your interest online via the link available on the Chapter Website
  • 7. 7 What's On: • This year is the 10 Year Anniversary • Studygroups are coming back this year – Please let us know how to make them great for you • Online CBAP exam Pilot. • You tell us! – we’re always keen to get your feedback
  • 8. 8 What's On: • BAPD Update! • Early Bird Tickets available Tomorrow: • https://www.Eventbrite.com.au/e/iiba-canberra-business-analysts- professional-day-2019-tickets-4098185748 • What’s it all about? • Uplifting the role of BA’s and the capabilities of BA’s • Connecting our members and other business analysts with the organisations that need their skills most
  • 9. Our Speaker Dr Tasneem Memon June 2019
  • 10. Successful Business Analysis in the Era of Artificial Intelligence IIBA® AUSTRALIA – 12 JUNE 2019
  • 11. Some insights.. What does being BA mean to you? 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 11 Are you driven by the Business Context or the Technology? Do you feel less confident for not knowing enough about AI algorithms? Do you feel that you know enough about workings of AI?
  • 12. Human Instinct 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 12 Imagine…
  • 13. Human Instinct OUR INSTINCT DECIDES IF THE RISK IS WORTH TAKING! 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 13
  • 14. Human Intuition, Creativity 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 14 Luck is just the presence of factors our System 2 fails to notice! Our System 1 (instinct) however, may pick up on them!
  • 15. Technology fails without humanistic approach 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 15
  • 16. Business Analyst vs AI 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 16
  • 17. Business Analyst Strengths (What AI Can’t Do!) 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 17 COMMUNICATION INTERACTION & NEGOTIATION COMPROMISES ON REQUIREMENTS, RESOURCES, ETC EMOTIONAL INTELLIGENCE & UNDERSTANDING INSPIRATION, CREATIVITY MANAGEMENT OF PEOPLE, RESOURCES, EXPECTATIONS
  • 18. What can AI do for Business Analysis? 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 18 Requirements gathering: Conversational AI (https://www.modernrequireme nts.com/blogs/meet-alice- cognitive-assistant-business- analysis/) Information synthesis: automatic summarization (Pointer Generator Networks (DL)), specifications, user stories Complex Analysis: big data processing Reporting: Graphs, dashboards Recommendation & Personalisation (e.g. collaborative or content-based filtering) Business process modelling = Automated/AI planning
  • 19. Must have Knowledge 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 19 Black-box level of understanding of algorithms i.e. where to apply the technology, how it is applied, and its basic concepts Big Picture how to get value from AI to solve problems previously addressed with defined rulesVision of Automation Understand context enough to ask the right questions from ML teams on algorithms, feature vector, outputs and/or models. Context (Data & Business) People, licensing, specialised hardware (GPUs etc) cost vs business outcomes Resource/Effort Estimation
  • 20. Skills 1. Understanding the Tech  Teams rely on the BA to choose & help label the input (relevant, clean, unbiased, meaningful ), output and/or reward.  Bad input data = Wrong output  Know when to apply AI: ML can find out the product isn’t doing well.. But how to find the underlying problem? 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2013/06/2019 20
  • 21. Skills 2. Design Thinking 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 21 EMPATHY (TAKE THE HUMANISTIC APPROACH) COMMUNICATION HUMAN INTERACTION (BEING AWARE OF OTHERS NEEDS) GATHER THICK DATA (SUBJECTIVE DATA, ASPIRATIONS, OPINIONS, EXPERIENCES) DRIVEN BY CONTEXT VS TECHNOLOGY
  • 22. Skills 3. Use everything at your disposal 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 22 Relationship estimation among variables. Forecasting Add info to ill-posed problems. Prevents overfitting Behaviour training based on cumulative reward. Complex systems Model generation through weight adjustment. Supervised Deep NNs. No training data needed. Utilizes all data Continuous probability update with more data. Dynamic analysis Probability based, predictive tool. Clearly defined decision alternatives and their consequences Set of algorithms put together for specific problems Get rid of irrelevant input variables Memory-based. Situation similarity calc Unsupervised grouping. When outputs unknown
  • 23. 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 24 ML Cheat sheet https://www.dropbox.com/s/wmdguw5dfoaasuc/BecomingHumanCheatSheets.pdf?dl=0 Skills 3. Use everything at your disposal
  • 24. Skills 3. Use everything at your disposal ML/DL Frameworks and Libraries ◦ Pandas ◦ Numpy ◦ Scikit-learn ◦ Matplotlib ◦ TensorFlow ◦ Keras ◦ Seaborn ◦ Pytorch & Torch ◦ AWS Deep Learning AMI ◦ Google Cloud ML Engine 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 26
  • 25. AI Risks Feeding extreme/wrong behaviours Personalization of online content based on user preferences ◦ Shopping ◦ News ◦ Contacts ◦ Entertainment •Are you personalising your business solutions too much? Feeding Confirmation Bias •Preventing beliefs from being challenged •Bias bubbles / Information blindness What interests public, and what’s in public’s interest are two different things. (Titus Plattner @ Medium) 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 27
  • 26. AI Risks The Hype The COMPAS recidivism algorithm – False positive rate (people labeled “high risk” but weren’t): • White defendants: 24% • Black defendants: 45% 137 input variables Blackbox algorithm Later research found (Julia Dressel and Hany Farid, 2018): • COMPAS no more accurate than a simple linear equation with two input variables • Age • Number of offences 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 28
  • 27. AI Risks Bias Facial Recognition 3 of the biggest commercially available gender classification systems (facial analysis) were: ◦ 99% accurate for white men ◦ 65% accurate for darker-skinned women. Spreadsheets ◦ Used to reinforce/justify your working style or bias (top or bottom few rows). Align it with your mind’s picture. 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 29
  • 28. In times of change, learners inherit the earth, while the learned find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with a world that no longer exists. -Eric Hoffer 12/06/12 SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS ANALYSIS IN THE ERA OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 30 Successful Business Analysis in the Era of Artificial Intelligence
  • 30. 32 Employment Marketplace IIBA Canberra Branch is committed to ensuring our Members connect with • Employers of Business Analysts • Customers • Recruiters and Service Providers offering Business Analysis Services
  • 31. 33 Thank you to our Branch Sponsors!
  • 32. Thanks for Viewing! See you at the joint event in July and BA Professional Day 2019

Editor's Notes

  1. Slide stays up while people network and find seats
  2. at the end of the evenings presentation each of these sponsors is invited to present a prize or other wise disclose their reason for sponsorship/immediate needs from the community
  3. DON’T READ FROM THE SLIDE, but do mention if/when a copy will be available
  4. Current as at October 2018
  5. Current as at October 2018
  6. Current as at October 2018
  7. Visual = triggers system 1-- instinct --- experience of past generation is triggered Data triggers logical mind – system 2
  8. Introduce System 1 and 2 before playing the video. All the data and experience… but then system 1 kicked in .. Which = creativity System 1 = we are goin to end up in Hudson.. Fast, creative…. Data crunching is slow Masterpiece happens once! Due to human’s stroke of brilliance In the moment, you cant measure the accuracy of the decision… but somewhere your instinct knows whats right… it has measured everything… you only can measure in the hindsight.
  9. We try to predict future with the best information that we have on hand...  Specially in case of technology, we start being impressed with the technology that is the most different... and throw our best guess  for example Google Glass. It was said to be one of the technologies that will change the world!!! but it didn't... It might still take off (although I doubt it due to the reasons I will talk about in a minute).... but it failed miserably when launched.. Why?  Apart from the health concerns... the biggest concern was the privacy of people around the wearer... people wearing these glasses were being attacked because of the privacy concerns.  I wonder.... wasn't there anyone on the Google Glass team who could raise this concern? who understood the big picture? who could challenge the blind enthusiasm with reality and psychological factors involved in the usage?
  10. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_summarization
  11. Note: The algorithm doesn't UNDERSTAND what a dog is, it just identifies it! Understanding is where the business analyst comes into the picture!
  12. Summarisation with Pointer Generator Networks (DL) https://arxiv.org/abs/1704.04368 Get out of the same old repetitive tasks of requirements gathers, sitation analysis, identifying constraints, assumptions, gaps, and issues, and try to fill those gaps and solve those issues under identified constraints and assumptions… and try to look at the people, get their needs figured out… people in the business, executives, customers of the business, competition, etc.
  13. Ideally all different types of BA work.
  14. at the end of the evenings presentation each of these sponsors is invited to present a prize or other wise disclose their reason for sponsorship/immediate needs from the community
  15. Leave up until room empties if possible