1. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment Of District
Headquarters Dantewara And Jagdalpur Sites Of
Chhattisgarh State
Ashish Kumar Parashar*, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya,**, Dr. S.S. Rathore
***
*(Department of Civil Engineering, IT, Central University, Bilaspur, C.G., India)
** (Department of Civil Engineering, K.I.T.S. Ramtek, Maharashtra, India)
***(Principal, M.I.E.T. Kudwa, Gondia, Maharashtra, India)
under estimation or over estimation of seismic
ABSTRACT hazard will prove dangerous or costly in the end
Seismic Hazard is a regional property. It Earthquakes present a threat to people and the
can neither be prevented nor reduced. The only facilities they design and build. Seismic hazard
alternative is to quantify the Hazard and analysis (SHA) is the evaluation of potentially
minimize the possible damages to the structures damaging earthquake related phenomenon to which
due to possible strong Ground Motion. a facility may be subjected during its useful lifetime.
Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites are two District Seismic hazard analysis is done for some practical
Headquarters of the state of Chhattisgarh. In the purpose, typically seismic-resistant design or
present study the technique of Deterministic retrofitting. Although strong vibratory ground
Seismic Hazard Assessment (DSHA) has been motion is not the only hazardous effect of
applied to these District Headquarters to asses the earthquakes (landslides, fault offsets and
maximum Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at liquefaction are others), it is the cause of much wide
these sites. Beauro of Indian Standard has spread damage and is the measure of earthquake
specified these sites in seismic Zone. This fact hazard that has been accepted as most significant for
has been established in the present study. hazard resistance planning. Earthquake-resistant
design seeks to produce structures that can
Keywords- Deterministic Seismic Hazard, withstand a certain level of shaking without
Earthquake, Peak Ground Acceleration, District excessive damage. That level of shaking is
Headquarters. described by a design ground motion, which is
usually determined with the aid of a seismic hazard
analysis. Deterministic seismic hazard analyses
I. INTRODUCTION involve the assumption of some scenario, viz (i) the
A spate of Earthquakes in recent past, occurrence of an earthquake of a particular size at a
causing extensive damage has heightened the particular location, (ii) for which ground motion
sensitivity of Engineers and Planners to the looming characteristics are determined.
seismic risk in densely populated cities, major dams In practice, DSHAs often assume that earthquakes
important & historical places. Earthquakes are a of the largest possible magnitude occur at the
universal phenomenon and a global problem. shortest possible distance to the site within each
Occurrence of one or more earthquakes at a project source zone. The earthquake that produces the most
site is known as Seismic Hazard. This is a property severe site motion is then used to compute site
of the region and hence, can neither be prevented specific ground motion parameters. Deterministic
nor reduced. The only alternate is to quantify the method is the technique in which a single estimate
hazard and take steps to minimize the vulnerability of parameters is used to perform each analysis. To
of the structures to damage arising out of the account for uncertainty, several analyses may be
ensuing strong ground motion. conducted with different parameters. For assessment
The Earthquakes in India occur in the plate of PGA, of District Headquarters Dantewara and
boundary of the Himalayas region2 as well as in the Jagdalpur sites have been considered for this study.
intra-plate region of peninsular India (P I). The present study details of these District
Devastating events have occurred in P I in the recent Headquarters sites are as follows:
past, which must be considered as a severe warning
about the possibility of such Earthquake in the
future. Engineering approaches to Earthquake S. Location Dantewara Jagdalpur
resistant design will be successful to the extent that No.
the forces due to future shocks are accurately 1 Latitude 18º 54' N 19º 05' N
estimated at location of a given structure.
Earthquakes are low probability events, but with Longitude 81º 21' E 82º 04' E
very high levels of risks to the society. Hence, either
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2. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
6. The „b‟ value of any fault is to be same as the
II DETERMINISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD regional „b‟ value.
ASSESSMENT (DSHA) 7. The value of mmax for each fault is to be fixed up
The DSHA2 can estimate in the following steps: by finding the most probable magnitude of the
Seismic Sources largest past event that can be associated with the
Earthquake- recurrence- frequency. fault. This value is increased by 0.5 and taken as
mmax. In case, only the highest intensity value is
Deaggregation of Seismic Hazard.
known, the event magnitude is taken as m=2/3( I0
Ground motion attenuation.
)+1.
Estimation of PGA
2.1 Seismic Sources 2.4. Ground Motion Attenuation
A circular region of 300 km radius has to Attenuation5 may be described as the way
be assumed around the site. in which strong motion parameters decay
Seismicity information has to be collected with distance from the source.
(i.e Epicenter, Magnitude) inside the 300 This depends on the source properties (M,
km radius. focal depth, fault type and size), as well as
Different faults in this 300 Km. radius on the regional properties (frequency
region have to be identified, length of the dependent damping, layering, anisotropy
fault and their shortest distances from the etc.).
site have to be worked out. The property of the site (hard rock, soft
A historical record of past Earthquake, in the soil, valley and mountain) also influences
region, is the one of the most important tool. the ground motion attenuation.
Because, these records are useful to assess the For the present study attenuation
region seismicity. It has been observed that relationship5 suggested by R N Iyengar & S T G
Earthquake of less then 3.0 magnitudes is not posing Raghukant, (Applicable for peninsular India, under
any serious problems to the civil Engineering bed rock condition) has been used.
structures, and it also very difficult to recognize
their occurrence by human beings. Hence, for In (PGA/g) = C1+C2 (m-6)+C3 (m-6) 2-ln(R)-
DSHA is it good enough to collect the information
C4(R) +ln
of past Earthquakes ≥ 3 magnitude.
Where,
2.2. Earthquake Recurrence Frequency
C1= 1.6858,
Earthquake Recurrence relationship has to
C2= 0.9241,
be worked in the following steps: C3= 0.0760,
Earthquake information for region has to be C4= 0.0057,
collected over a long period from various R= Hypo central distance, m= magnitude,
historical records.
ln = 0(for DSHA).
All the data has to be arranged as per the
number of Earthquakes that exceeded 2.5. Estimation of Peak Ground Acceleration
various magnitude values (m=0, 1, 2, 3,) (PGA).
Suitable Earthquake Recurrence Relation The PGA, which can be exceeded with 50
has to be used, which appropriately % probability, is to be calculated from the
characterize the seismicity of the region. attenuation equation.
In DSHA, the maximum among these
2.3. Deaggregation of Seismic Hazard values is to be taken as the design basis acceleration
1. In DSHA, the basic idea is to foreshadow on each depending on the acceptability of this value based
of the causative fault, the magnitude of an on other seismological considerations.
Earthquake, which may be exceeded in say 100 This PGA value could be a reference value for
years or 1000 years. further work.
2. M100 has to be worked out for each fault.
3. Using the Regional Recurrence Relation, it is III APPLICATION OF DSHA
easy to find the above magnitudes for the region, but Deterministic seismic hazard analysis
not for individual faults. (DSHA) has been applied to Dantewara and
4. The potential of a fault to produce an Earthquake
Jagdalpur sites using the following steps:
of a particular magnitude would depend on the A region of 300 km radius around both
length of the fault itself. Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites were considered and
5. Ni (m0) on any individual fault may be to be
all the faults having 25 km length has been
proportional to the length of the fault itself.
marked. This region is shown in Figure 3.1 and
Weightage Wi=Li / Li. Figure 3.2 respectively.
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3. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
have been presented in Table 3.1 and Table 3.2
(Appendix III) respectively. From the data of
magnitude and frequency, construct a recurrence
relation between magnitude and frequency of
Earthquakes for a seismic source and obtained the
values of “a and b”.
MAGNITUDE RECURRENCE RELATIONSHIP FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER DANTEWARA
0
10
b=0.51
No. of Earthquake>=Mw per year
-1
10
-2
10
Figure 3.1 Fault considered for Deterministic
Seismic Hazard Analysis of District Headquarter
Dantewada
-3
10
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7
With the help of different literature
Mw
available and websites 79 and 69 Nos. of
Earthquakes in the magnitude range 3< Mw <6.5 for Figure 3.3 Magnitude-Recurrence Relationship for
Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites over the period from District Headquarter Dantewara site
1827 to 2012 (185) years have been collected. 0
MAGNITUDE RECURRENCE RELATIONSHIP FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER JAGDALPUR
10
b=0.50
No. of Earthquake>= Mw per year
-1
10
-2
10
-3
10
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7
Mw
Figure 3.4 Magnitude-Recurrence Relationship for
District Headquarter Jagdalpur site
The above relationship for Dantewara and
Figure 3.2 Fault considered for Deterministic Jagdalpur sites have been shown in Figure 3.3 and
Seismic Hazard Analysis of District Headquart Figure 3.4 respectively. In the Figure, the values of
Jagdalpur „b‟ are showing steep slopes, therefore
„completeness analysis‟ have been performed.
The same is presented at Appendix I and Earthquakes data for completeness test for
Appendix II respectively. From these collected 79 Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites have been presented
and 69 numbers data of Earthquakes with magnitude in Table 3.2 and Table 3.3 (Appendix III)
3 < Mw < 6.5 for Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites respectively.
over the period from 1827 to 2012 (185) years has Completeness test of Earthquakes data for
been arranged as per the number of Earthquakes that Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites has been shown in
exceeded various magnitude values. Magnitude- Figure 3.5 and Figure 3.6 respectively.
frequency data for Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites
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4. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
0
COMPLETENESS TEST OF EARTHQUAKE DATA FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER DANTEWARA Table 3.2 Activity Rate and Interval of
10
Completeness at District Headquarter Jagdalpur
50 Years 60 Years N1(3-3.9)
120 Years N2(4-4.9)
No. of
1/sqrt T,sqrt(N.1/T)/sqrt T,sqrt((N.2/T)/sqrt T............
N3(5-5.9)
-1 N4(6-6.9)
No. of Complete
10 Magnitude Events per
1/sqrt T Events ≥ in interval
Mw year ≥
Mw (year)
Mw
10
-2 3.0 69 40 1.7250
180 Years
4.0 38 70 0.5428
5.0 12 100 0.1200
10
-3 6.5 2 180 0.0112
Using completeness analysis, Regional Recurrence
-4
Relationship has been obtained as for:
10
1 2 3
10 10
Time Interval T in Years
10 District Headquarter Dantewara
Figure 3.5 Completeness Test of Earthquake data Log 10 (N) = 1.9800 - 0.6483 Mw…(3.1)
for District Headquarter Dantewara
District Headquarter Jagdalpur
COMPLETENESS TEST OF EARTHQUAKE DATA FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER JAGDALPUR
0
10
40 Years
1/sqrt T Log 10 (N) = 1.7250– 0.5800 Mw.…(3.2)
1/sqrt T,sqrt(N.1/T)/sqrt T,sqrt((N.2/T)/sqrt T............
N.1 (3-3.9)
70 Years
N.2 (4-4.9)
The same is shown in Figure 3.7 and Figure 3.8 for
-1 N.3 (5-5.9)
10 District Headquarter Dantewara and Jagdalpur
N.4 (6-6.9)
respectively.
-2
MAGNITUDE-RECURRENCE RELATIONSHIP FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER DANTEWARA
1
10 100 Years 10
a =1.9800
b = 0.6483
Log 10 N = 1.9800 - 0.6483 Mw
N (No. of events per year >= Mw)
0
180 Years 10
-3
10
-1
10
-4
10
1 2 3
10 10 10 -2
Time Interval T in Years 10
Figure 3.6 Completeness Test of Earthquake Data
for District Headquarter Jagdalpur -3
10
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7
Mw
It has been observed for Dantewara (from
Figure 3.7 Regional Recurrence Relationship for
the Table 3.1 below) that 3.0 magnitude will be
District Headquarter Dantewara
completed in 50 years time interval while 6.5
magnitude will complete in 180 years, and for REGIONAL RECURRENCE RELATIONSHIP FOR DISTRACT HEADQUARTER JAGDALPUR
1
Jagdalpur, it has been observed (from the Table 3.2 10
Log 10 N = 1.7250 - 0.58 Mw a=1.7250
below) that 3.0 magnitude will be completed in 40 b=0.58
years time interval while 6.5 magnitude will
N (No. of events per year >= Mw)
0
10
complete in 180 years.
Table 3.1 Activity Rate and Interval of -1
10
Completeness at District Headquarter Dantewara
No. of 10
-2
No. of Complete
Magnitude Events per
Events ≥ in interval
Mw year ≥
Mw (year)
Mw 10
-3
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7
3.0 79 50 1.5800
Mw
4.0 43 60 0.717 Figure 3.8 Regional Recurrence Relationship for
5.0 12 120 0.1000 District Headquarter Jagdalpur
6.5 2 180 0.0112
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5. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
Lengths of all the 13 numbers faults, around the presented in Equation No 3.1 & 3.2 Obtained “b”
Dantewara and 12 numbers around the Jagdalpur values are 0.6483 and 0.58 respectively. Hence, the
having length of 25 km or more are considered for both the sites are situated in less seismic active
Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis (DSHA), zone.
were measured. Hypo-central distance (by Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis has
considering the focal depth as 10 km), weightage been applied to the District Headquarters Dantewara
and maximum potential magnitude (Mu) is obtained and Jagdalpur sites, Values of P.G.A. for M100
for each fault and has been presented in Table 3.7 Earthquakes have been presented in Table No.3,9 &
for Dantewara and in Table 3.8 (Appendix III) for Table No.3.10 ( Appendix III) respectively.
Jagdalpur respectively. Maximum values of Peak Ground
Acceleration (P.G.A.) for Dantewara Site has been
Deaggregation of Regional Hazards in terms of Fault Recurrence at
Distract Headquarter Dantewara
obtained due to fault No. 5 (length 180 km, Distance
0
10 81.831 km) is equal to 0.01145g. As per IS
Number in the
1893:2002(Part-1) Maximum value of Peak Ground
Annual Rate of Events of Magnitude
10
-1 Figure Indicating Acceleration (P. G. A.) for Jagdalpur Site has been
Fault Number
obtained due to fault No. 10 (length 121 km,
-2 Distance 147.031 km) is equal to 0.0033g. As per IS
10
1893:2002(Part-1) the District Headquarters region
F13
-3
F7
have been categorized as zone and corresponding
10 F11 F4 F12
F8 P.G.A. is equal to 0.1g. Hence, this fact has also
F10 F3 F9 F5
F6
been verified from the present study.
-4
10 F1
F2
REFERENCES
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5
[1] Attenuation of Strong Ground Motion in
Maximum Potential Magnitude Peninsular India. R N Iyenger and S T G
Figure 3.9 Deaggregation of Regional Hazards in Raghukant. Seismological Research
terms of Fault Recurrence at Distract Headquarter Letters. Volume 75, Number 4,
Dantewara July/August 2004, pp530-539.
[2] AERB Technical Document, Catalogue of
Deaggregation of Regional Hazards in terms of Fault Recurrence at Earthquakes ( M 3.0) in Peninsular India,
Distract Headquarter Jagdalpur
10
0 Atomic Energy Regulatory Board,
Number in the Government of India-1993.
Figure Indicating
[3] Benjamin J.R. and Associates “A criterion
Annual Rate of Events of Magnitude
-1 Fault Number
10 for determining exceedance of the
Operating Basis Earthquake,” EPRI Report
F11
10
-2 NP-5930, Electric Power Research
F10
F7 Institute, Palo Alto, California (1988).
F8 F5
[4] Catalogue of Earthquakes in India and
-3
10 F9 F4
F6 Neighborhood, (From Historical period up
F12
F3
F1
to 1979) Indian Society of Earthquake
10
-4 Technology, Roorkee-1993.
F2 [5] Criteria for Earthquake Resistant Design of
Structures (Part, General Provisions and
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5
Buildings, IS-1893:2002.
Maximum Potential Magnitude [5] Microzonation of Earthquake Hazard in
Figure 3.10 Deaggregation of Regional Hazards in Greater Delhi Area. R N Iyenger and S
terms of Fault Recurrence at District Headquarter Ghose. Current Science. Vol. 87, No. 9, 10,
Jagdalpur November 2004, pp 1193-1201.
[6] Newmark, N.M. and Hall, W.J. Earthquake
M100 has been obtained by generating the Spectra and Design, EERI Monograph,
fault deaggregation record. In this study all the Earthquake Engineering research Institute
faults having 25 km lengths are considered. Fault Berkeley, California, 103 pp (1982).
deaggregation for Dantewara and Jagdalpur have [7] Nuttli, O.W. “The relation of sustained
been shown in Figure 3.9 and Figure 3.10 maximum ground acceleration and
respectively. velocity to earthquake intensity and
magnitude,” Miscellaneous Paper S-73-1,
IV RESULT & CONCLUSION Report 16, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
Regional Recurrence Relationship obtained Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg,
for Dantewara and Jagdalpur sites have been Mississippi, 74 pp. (1979).
1393 | P a g e
13. Ashish Kumar Parashar, Dr. Sohanlal Atmapoojya, Dr. S.S. Rathore / International Journal of
Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) ISSN: 2248-9622 www.ijera.com
Vol. 2, Issue 5, September- October 2012, pp.1389-1402
Table 3.7 Faults Considered for Hazard Analysis around the District Headquarter Dantewara
Fault Fault length Minimum map Focal depth Hypo-central Weightage Maximum
No. Li in km distance to the site F in km Distance R in km of potential
D in km fault Wi magnitude Mu
F1 58 242.902 10 243.11 0.0431 6.4
F2 25 247.537 10 247.74 0.0186 6.4
F3 45 251.168 10 251.37 0.0334 6.4
F4 125 275.917 10 276.1 0.0930 6.4
F5 180 81.831 10 82.44 0.1339 6.4
F6 174 170.930 10 171.23 0.1294 7.4
F7 228 170.725 10 171.02 0.1696 5.4
F8 130 204.843 10 205.09 0.0967 6.4
F9 129 80.540 10 81.16 0.0959 6.4
F10 32 265.137 10 265.33 0.0238 5.4
F11 121 257.837 10 258.04 0.0900 6.4
F12 46 291.190 10 291.37 0.0342 5.4
F13 51 290.698 10 290.87 0.0379 5.4
1344
Table 3.8 Faults Considered for Hazard Analysis around the District Headquarter Jagdalpur
Fault Fault Minimum map Focal depth Hypo- Weightage Maximum
No. Length L in distance to the F in km central of fault potential
km site D in km distance R Wi magnitude Mu
F1 58 255.303 10 in km
255.5 0.0476 6.4
F2 25 279.778 10 279.96 0.0206 6.4
F3 45 289.365 10 289.54 0.0370 6.4
F4 180 193.089 10 193.35 0.1477 6.4
F5 174 281.809 10 281.99 0.1428 6.4
F6 228 221.100 10 221.33 0.1871 7.4
F7 129 179.975 10 180.26 0.1059 5.4
F8 130 246.804 10 247.01 0.1067 6.4
F9 32 171.603 10 171.9 0.0263 6.4
F10 121 147.031 10 147.38 0.0993 5.4
F11 46 187.611 10 187.88 0.0378 6.4
F12 51 181.202 10 181.48 0.0419 5.4
Total = 1219
Table 3.9 PGA for M100 Earthquakes at District Headquarter Dantewara
Fault Fault length Li Minimum map distance Focal depth Hypo central 100 years PGA *
No. in km to the site D in km F in km distance R in km Recurrence M100 of Site
F1 58 242.902 10 243.11 4.0 0.00065
F2 25 247.537 10 247.74 3.5 0.00033
F3 45 251.168 10 251.37 3.75 0.00044
F4 125 275.917 10 276.1 4.50 0.00085
F5 180 81.831 10 82.44 4.75 0.01145
F6 174 170.930 10 171.23 4.75 0.00332
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