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Free Slides from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ How Successful is China’s Currency Manipulation?  Post prepared  October 15 , 2010 Terms of Use:  These slides are made available under Creative Commons License  Attribution—Share Alike 3.0  . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook,  Introduction to Economics ,  from BVT Publishers.
Is China a Currency Manipulator? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Headquarters of the People’s Bank of China Photo source: Yongxinge, http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:People%27s_Bank_of_China.jpg
How does China manipulate its exchange rate? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Chinese currency c. 1955. The Chinese currency, popularly called the yuan, is known officially as the renminbi . The picture shown here is an old version of the renmenbi. It is technically illegal to provide an image of the current version.  Photo source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:RMB2-5jao-A.gif
Why does China manipulate its exchange rate? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Currency exchange machine, Beijing international airport.  Photo source: Zhanyanguange,  http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:BJ_%E5%8C%97%E4%BA%AC%E9%A6%96%E9%83%BD%E5%9C%8B%E9%9A%9B%E6%A9%9F%E5%A0%B4_Beijing_Capital_International_Airport_BCIA_FX_Currency_Exchange_self-service_machine_Aug-2010.JPG
Has China changed its currency policy? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Notice:  Because the vertical axis shows the exchange rate in yuan per dollar, a movement  down  on this graph indicates an  appreciation  of the yuan (The purchasing power of the yuan getting stronger relative to dollar)
Is China doing enough? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ On a trip to China in October 2010, Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) Pressed China’s Leaders on undervaluation of the yuan Photo :http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Max_Baucus.jpg
Watch the real exchange rate, not the nominal rate! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Let— H = nominal exchange rate in yuan per dollar h = the  real exchange rate PUS = US price level PCN = Chinese price level Then h = H (PUS/PCN) This is the simplest of several ways to calculate the real exchange rate. For some other examples, see this post by Menzie Chin on Enconbrowser.com: http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2010/09/the_yuans_cours_1.html
How fast is China’s real exchange rate changing? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ China’s inflation rate is faster than that of the United States, and it is rising month by month
Caution—can we be sure China’s policy won’t change again? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bottom Line: Manipulation Not Completely Successful ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Post P101015 from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ Photo source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:CE_Made_in_China.jpg

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How successful is chinas currency manipulation

  • 1. Free Slides from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ How Successful is China’s Currency Manipulation? Post prepared October 15 , 2010 Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics , from BVT Publishers.
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