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COMBATTING THE DEBT
ADDICTION
Ulf Dahlsten
At the Stockholm School of Economics
22 March 2014
MUCH MORE NEEDS TO BE DONE
TO STABILIZE THE FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
 Extreme pro-cyclicality
 Endogenous risks are underestimated
 Excessive money creation
 Growing private debts
 Asset inflation
 The system has become extremely complex and
inter-connected
 Lack of transparency, uncontrolled third-party-risks
 Maturity mismatches
 Too many incentives in favour of risk-taking
 Global imbalances are not addressed
THE FOCUS TODAY IS ON
 Extreme pro-cyclicality
 Endogenous risks are underestimated
 Excessive money creation
 Growing private debts
 Asset inflation
 The system has become extremely complex and
inter-connected
 Lack of transparency, uncontrolled third-party-risks
 Maturity mismatches
 Too many incentives in favour of risk-taking
 Global imbalances are not addressed
QUESTIONS
Do we have an excessive money
creation?
How dangerous is the build-up of
private debt?
How to curb asset inflation without
depressing the economy?
What can the central bank, the macro-
prudential regulator
Finansinspektionen and the political
level do?

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Combating the Debt Addiction

  • 1. COMBATTING THE DEBT ADDICTION Ulf Dahlsten At the Stockholm School of Economics 22 March 2014
  • 2. MUCH MORE NEEDS TO BE DONE TO STABILIZE THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM  Extreme pro-cyclicality  Endogenous risks are underestimated  Excessive money creation  Growing private debts  Asset inflation  The system has become extremely complex and inter-connected  Lack of transparency, uncontrolled third-party-risks  Maturity mismatches  Too many incentives in favour of risk-taking  Global imbalances are not addressed
  • 3. THE FOCUS TODAY IS ON  Extreme pro-cyclicality  Endogenous risks are underestimated  Excessive money creation  Growing private debts  Asset inflation  The system has become extremely complex and inter-connected  Lack of transparency, uncontrolled third-party-risks  Maturity mismatches  Too many incentives in favour of risk-taking  Global imbalances are not addressed
  • 4. QUESTIONS Do we have an excessive money creation? How dangerous is the build-up of private debt? How to curb asset inflation without depressing the economy? What can the central bank, the macro- prudential regulator Finansinspektionen and the political level do?