2. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
2
Contents
1. Executive summary .................................................................................................. 4
2. Review of HUS market for households .................................................................... 5
2.1. Estimation of HUS market capacity for households ........................................ 5
2.2. Payment for utility services by the population ................................................ 5
2.3. HUS payment by subsidies ............................................................................... 7
2.4. Reforming the gas payment system (commitments to the IMF) .................. 10
3. Impact of heating efficiency on energy balance and macroeconomic indicators 12
3.1. Energy balance and consumption efficiency ................................................ 12
3.2. Heat production, supply and consumption ................................................... 13
3.3. Economic evaluation of losses. Costs of inaction ......................................... 13
3.4. Assessment of overall investment needs and gas consumption reduction
potential ..................................................................................................................... 14
4. Individual heating ................................................................................................... 15
4.1. Energy resources for individual heating ........................................................ 15
4.2. Centralized gas supply system (Oblgazes) ..................................................... 16
4.3. Tariffs for centralized gas supply and market capacity ................................ 19
4.4. The system of payments for centralized gas supplies ................................... 23
5. Centralized heating ................................................................................................ 24
5.1. Heat energy production ................................................................................. 24
5.2. Heat energy transportation ........................................................................... 28
5.3. Heat energy consumption .............................................................................. 29
5.4. Tariffs for centralized heating and hot water supply .................................... 31
5.5. Commercial metering and heat consumption norms ................................... 34
6. Analysis of the scheme of payments for centralized heating for the population . 38
6.1. Analysis of deadline to pay for centralized heat consumed by the population
and Naftogaz gas supplies to DHP ............................................................................. 38
6.2. Scheme of payments for centralized heating for households ...................... 40
6.3. Algorithm for mutual payments with HUS subsidies ..................................... 41
6.4. Debt to DHC for compensation in the difference of tariffs ........................... 41
6.5. Analysis of accumulated debts in the sector ................................................. 42
6.6. Suggested approach to debt restructuring .................................................... 42
7. DHC investment needs and expected effect ......................................................... 43
7.1. Assessment of overall investment needs ...................................................... 43
7.2. Assessment of minimal investment needs to modernize heat networks .... 43
7.3. Assessment of first prioirity investments in the replacement of boilers ...... 44
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8. The current state of DHP investment projects and barriers to their
implementation .............................................................................................................. 45
8.1. Analysis of completed investment works at heat production in 2015 ......... 45
8.2. Analysis of programmes on energy efficiency of heat production,
distribution and consumption ................................................................................... 47
8.3. IBRD programme effeciency .......................................................................... 52
8.4. The introduction of procurements for project implemenation on the
example of Sweden .................................................................................................... 53
8.5. Barriers to the implementation of DHP modernization projects .................. 54
9. Legal regulation of HUS market ............................................................................. 57
9.1. Legislative framework .................................................................................... 57
9.2. Licensing and control of companies (NEURC) ............................................... 58
10. Glossary .............................................................................................................. 60
11. Sources ............................................................................................................... 62
12. Annexes .............................................................................................................. 63
12.1. Annex 1. HUS bill for an individual house heated by gas .......................... 63
12.2. Annex 2 Scheme of gas purchase financing till 2015 ................................ 64
12.3. Annex 3. Reference on HUS key indicators ............................................... 65
12.4. Annex 4. Change in total HUS bill for a multistory building appartment in
the month of heating season ..................................................................................... 66
12.5. Annex 5. Formulas for shares of received funds under the CMU No 217 67
12.6. Annex 6. Reference on reduced natural gas consumption at the heat
supply objects of all forms of ownership as of December 2015 ............................... 70
12.7. Annex 7. Reference on the replacement of natural gas consumption at
the heat supply objects of all forms of ownership as of December 2015 ................ 72
12.8. Annex 8. Supply with heating and/ or hot water using alternative fuels . 74
12.9. Annex 9. Reference on key energy efficiency investment programmes .. 75
12.10. Annex 10. Reference on technical assistance programmes in energy
efficiency area ............................................................................................................ 78
12.11. Annex 11. UDHEEP expected results for 2021 .......................................... 80
12.12. Annex 12. Basic legislation regulating housing and utility sector ............. 82
12.13. Annex 13. Composition of the Working Group ......................................... 85
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1. Executive summary
• Residential and public sector accounts for 60% of the total natural gas
consumption in Ukraine
• The dependency on natural gas imports (19.5 billion m³ in 2014 and 16.4
billion m³ in 2015) is the biggest challenge to Ukraine's energy security
• Centralized heating sector is one of the biggest natural gas consumers - 7.2
billion m³ in 2015)
• The sector has huge inefficiencies in terms of heat production and
transmission (outdated DHP and TEP facilities) and in terms of consumption
(large losses in buildings). According to our estimates, gas consumption could
be reduced by 5.0 billion m³ annually
• In terms of investment efficiency exaclty the modernization of supplies
(isolation of networks and upgrading of boiler houses) has the greatest
potential, thus, having invested about USD 6.0 billion, the reduction in gas
consumption may be about 2.4 billion m³
• As of today the international financial institutions and donors are ready to
invest greately in DHP (about USD 0.8 billion), but to ensure the effective use
of the funds and attract new ones it's needed to solve a number of industry
problems:
− To restructure debts throughout the supply chain (population / DHP /
Naftogaz)
− To review the payment system, which is largely controlled by the state
and creates significant "liquidity" gaps for market players
− To review the tariff-making system that currently does not motivate
businesses to invest in facilities
− To streamline the sectoral legislative framework and align it with the
EU standards
− To review the governmental procedures for selecting and approving
projects, which significantly slow down the implementation of
investments
• The main positive industry trends are the fulfillment of Government
commitments to the IMF, namely:
− A significant progress in installation of commercial metering devices
(about 50% of buildings as of the end of 2015)
− A gradual increase in tariffs for population to economically justified
level based on gas import price and reduced deficit of the JSC
"Naftogaz"
− Transfer to a target public subsidy system, which, on the one hand,
reduces the State Budget expenditures and, from the other hand,
motivates people to save energy
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2. Review of HUS market for households
The population is the main housing and utilities services (HUS) consumer and target
group aimed by the state policy in this sector. The state and legal entities are also HUS
consumers, but their share in total consumption is much lower and, for example, for
central heating it makes up about 30%.
The HUS sector in Ukraine is characterized by a significant state intervention in
economic relations, including the service price setting. This applies particularly to
energy services (heating, gas and electricity supplies) for which the final household
prices are much lower than an economically justified level.
2.1. Estimation of HUS market capacity for households
As of today, the HUS market capacity is far from the economic realities in terms of
prices for end users. But Ukraine is actively reforming this sector and the main
objective is to transfer to the market principles of tariff setting. Thus, according to the
commitments to the IMF, since April 2017 the household price for natural gas and
heating should be based on natural gas import price (for more details see Parts 5 and
6).
In 2015, in the final prices the HUS market capacity for households made up UAH 82.7
billion, but in 2017 the capacity may raise up to UAH 136 billion (mainly due to the
increase in heating and gas tariffs).
Diagram 2.1.The structure of HUS charges, billion UAH
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine, Working group analysis
2.2. Payment for utility services by the population
The amount of HUS bill is characterized by considerable seasonality that explains the
need for building heating. In the winter months the HUS bills may be twice more than
HUS bills in the summer months.
65,0
(79%)
17,6
(21%)
population
budget
Sources
28%
12%
23%
17%
11%
8%
1% Gas for individual heating
Gas for other purposes
heating
electricity
Building maintenance
Water
Waste
Total UAH 83 billion in 2015
26%
11%
31%
17%
8%
6% 1%
Total UAH 136 billion in 2017
The HUS sector in
Ukraine is
characterized by a
significant state
intervention in
economic relations
and service price
formation
The HUS market
capacity for
households in prices
will raise from UAH
82.7 billion to UAH
136 billion (mainly
due to the increase
in heating and gas
tariffs)
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As for the HUS charging and household payments in 2014-2015 there are two factors
that should be noted:
1) a significant increase in tariffs (mainly for energy resources) resulted in bigger
charged amounts and affected the possibility of households to pay the bills.
2) a significant increase in HUS subsidies, in particular, the budget for subsidies
and loans for the population raised from 6 to 25 billion hryvnia. It reduced the
charged amounts and positively influenced the level of payments (as far as the
subsidies are provided to the least solvent households).
Approximation of economically reasonable rates and increased social support are
generally positive for the HUS market. The negative point is that in the current system
the most subsidies are clearing payments, which in turn is a barrier to finance the
operating activities of the industry (for more details see Part 7).
The level of HUS payment by the population largely depends on the regions. The worst
indexes are in Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk regions, where the period outstanding
exceeds 5 months. For comparison, a significant number of regions (mostly in Western
Ukraine) have much better payment discipline.
Diagram 2.5. Population debts for HUS by regions as of 31.12.2015 (excluding
electricity)
Remark: A negative debt means that the region has an overpayment for HUS, which was mainly
formed due to "excessive" subsidies (see Part 3.3).
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine, Working group analysis
2.3. HUS payment by subsidies
Despite the fact that the beneficiaries are households, the most subsidies are
transferred to the accounts of enterprises as payments for services and are not "real"
money (used as clearing payments, see Part 7). Moreover, the Budget fulfills its
payment obligations with delay that leads to the formation of debts to HUS
companies.
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizhia
Kirovograd
Dnipropetrovsk
Kyiv region
Vinnytsia
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk
-217
- 2 370
5,2 1 309
5,7
-174
-
245
2,9
732
3,4
130
0,6
-18
-
-63
-
356
4,9
551
2,1
Kyiv city
Chermigiv
Sumy
Poltava
Kharkiv
KhersonOdesa
Mykolvaiv
Cherkasy
Khmelnytsk
Rivne
Ternopil
Chernivtsi
942
3,4
163
1,6
396
2,0
-282
-
-77
-
216
2,6
-190
-
1 903
3,5
-124
-
-368
-
1 564
3,7
-274
-
-88
-
-173
-
8 829 mln. hrn.
Total debt for HUS
2.1 month
Average term of debt for HUS in
Ukraine
In 2015 the State
Budget covered 17.0
billion for HUS benefits
and subsidies
A real need in subsidies
considering excessive
gas subsidies is UAH
17.7 billion
9. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 2.7. The number of households that receive subsidies in the respective
month, million households
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine, Working group analysis
Thus, 4.6 million households received HUS subsidies and about 0.7 million citizens
received benefits in December 2015. The HUS subsidies in the amount of UAH 19.9
billion and benefits in the amount of UAH 5.5 billion were totally charged in 2015.
Diagram 2.8. HUS subsidies charged in 2014-2015, million UAH
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine
Diagram 2.9. Average amount of HUS subsidies, UAH
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine
1,1 1,1 1,2 1,0
0,3 0,4 0,4 0,5
0,1
0,4 0,7
1,11,1 1,2 1,3 1,2
0,4 0,9
1,4
2,0
2,7
3,4
3,9
4,6
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014
2015
262 257 253 126 6 25 34 31 30 45 253 528561 528 510
864
197 244 386 424 455
2 800
5 390
7 521
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014
2015
354,2 326,4 273,9 335,2 267,6 205,2 212,8 190,9 143,8
321,3
771,5
1090,9
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
UAH 25.4 billion
subsidies and
benefits charged to
the population in
2015
In December 2015
the average amount
of charged public
subsidy was UAH
1091
4.6 million
households received
subsidies in
December 2015
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2.4. Reforming the gas payment system (commitments to the IMF)
On July 21, 2015 Ukraine signed a Memorandum that envisages a number of reforms.
The Memorandum implementation is a key factor to stabilize and improve the
economic and political situation in the country as well as to attract funds from the IMF
and other IFIs.
According to the commitments, the main focus of reforms in energy sector is to
reduce the deficit of "Naftogaz" and increase the liquidity of its cash flows. First of all,
it will be done in two ways:
• Reform of Naftogaz funding system;
• Increase in heating and gas tariffs to the justified world market prices.
Reform of Naftogaz funding system
The formula for distribution of payments for centralized heating that come to the DHP
accounts shall be reviewed. It will enable Naftogas to collect gradually the debts of
companies.
Historically the Government directly supported Naftogas by replenishing the
authorized capital (in 2010 – 2015 the authorized capital was replenished to the
amount of UAH 160 billion). The replenishment was financed by issuing domestic
treasury bonds.
Diagram 2.10. Financing the deficit of Naftogaz in 2010-2015 (USD 160 billion)
Source: Working group analysis
Since 2017 any state support to companies shall be in the form of subsidies to the
population, rather than through direct subsidies.
Contribution of government bonds
in the authorized capital
Sale of government bonds
Government Naftogaz
NBU State banks
Funding secured by
government bonds
Naftogas deficit in
2010-15 is the
government debt
(DSB)
11. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 2.11. Overall budget expenditures for Naftogaz funding and HUS payment
social support, USD billion
Source: actual data of IMF, data of Ministry of Social Policy; IMF forecast (under the current
subsidy system)
As a first but important step towards the introduction of subsidies, the CMU
Resolution No 106 of May 1 abolished all restrictions on the right to receive public
subsidies, other than the purchase to the amount of UAH 50 thousand during the
previous 12 months. In addition, consultants were engaged to work on
recommendations to reduce the receivables of Naftogaz.
Increase in heating and gas tariffs to the justified world market prices.
To fulfill the commitments to the IMF in April 2016 the tariff rates for gas and heating
should be at the levels that cover 75% of the costs and 100% till April 2017 on the
basis of world prices.
Diagram 2.12. Ukraine's historical commitments to bring gas prices to the
economically justified level
Source: Memorandum with IMF, Working group analysis
In April 2015 the gas and centralized heating tariffs for end consumers raised by 285%
and 67% respectively.
Government commitment:
Market price for 3 years
till the end of 2011
Government commitment:
Market price for 2,5 years
till May 2013
Government commitment:
Market price for 2 years
till May 2017
0
100
200
300
400
500
01.2007 11.2008 09.2010 03.2015 05.2017
Actual price The Government obligations to the IMF
IMF programme
worth $16,4 bln
IMF programme
worth $15,5 bln
IMF programme
worth $17,5 bln
Gas price for households,$ per thous.m3
In 2015 the prices for
gas and centralized
heating increased by
285 % and 67%
respectively
Since 2017 any state
support to Naftogaz
will be provided only
through public
subsidies
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Most of the natural gas is consumed by residential and public buildings sector.
Industrial sector consumes only ~40% of gas.
Diagram 3.6. Natural gas consumption and progress toward market relations
Source: Working group analysis
3.2. Heat production, supply and consumption
The sector of residential and public buildings heating has one of the largest potentials
for improving energy efficiency in Ukraine. The annual consumption of natural gas for
heating purposes is estimated at 18.6 billion m³ with the reduction potential (when
reaching the current level of losses in the EU) of 11.4 billion m³ of gas (~58% of
Ukrainian imports):
Diagram 3.7. Estimation of possible reduce in natural gas consumption by directions,
billion m³.
Source: Working Group analysis
3.3. Economic evaluation of losses. Costs of inaction
Excessive energy consumption to heat residential and public buildings has permanent
negative consequences that re-occur every year.
Table 3.1. Economic evaluation of annual losses caused by excessive energy
consumption for heating.
~ USD 3.0 billion (~3% GDP)
excessive consumption without a real economic stimulus
7,3
1,7
1,1 1,3
Building thermal
insulation
Individual boilers
change
District boilers
modernization
Insulation of networks
11,4 bln m³ - total potential
~ USD 3 billion (or~3%
GDP) is excessively
consumed annually
without the stimulus for
economy, of which ~USD
2.5 billion spent on gas
imports
The highest potential
possessed by measures
von the level of buildings
(thermal rehabilitation
and replacement of
individual boilers)
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4.2. Centralized gas supply system (Oblgazes)
The natural gas is provided to consumers, DHP and enterprises in the regions by
regional gas companies (Oblgazes). "UkrGazEnergy" company controls about 70% of
gas supply territory in Ukraine.
Diagram 4.4. Group impact zones by regions
UkrGazEnergo KES-Holding
Naftogaz Others
Source: Working group analysis
The gas network consists of main pipelines and distribution networks:
• In case of large industrial consumers that have direct branches on the main
pipeline, gas goes directly to the consumers and Oblgaz is not involved at all
• In case of most medium and large industrial consumers, other companies are
suppliers, they pay to Oblgaz only for transportation
• In case of small enterprises, households and government institutions, gas is
supplied via a local network of pipelines, which is controlled by one of
Oblgazes that also acts as a supplier
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Diagram 4.9. Scheme of cash flows in the gas supply system
Source: Working group analysis
4.3. Tariffs for centralized gas supply and market capacity
Gas tariffs are controlled by the NEURC that has a bilateral nature. On the one hand,
the Commission's tariff policy acts more in the interests of energy companies and
sometimes at the expense of gas companies. On the other hand, the Commission
controls the gas sector less strictly that allows the Oblgazes to operate more
independently.
Although, the NEURC sets the household gas tariffs, according to the CMU No 758 the
Cabinet of Ministers sets marginal retail prices for natural gas for the population and
religious institutions in the transition period (from April, 1 2016 till March 31, 2017).
Also this Resolution sets the maximum retail margin for natural gas for suppliers.
At the tariff as of the end of 2015 the individual house of 80 m2, which is heated with
gas, pays for gas used for heating about UAH 2736 a month that is 84% of the total
HUS bill amount. In 2017 considering market prices the payment for gas may reach
UAH 3696 (80% of the total HUS bill amount). A detailed description is given in Annex
1.
The tariff for gas supply is calculated according to the methodology stipulated in the
"Procedure for setting tariffs for natural gas transportation via distribution pipelines
on the basis of a long-term incentive regulation".
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5. Centralized heating
5.1. Heat energy production
Centralized heat supply covers 40% of the population. Heat energy is produced on
the plants of two types: central heating plants (CHP) and thermoelectric plants (TEP).
Diagram 5.1. Number of households by
different types of heating, million
Source: Minregion data
Diagram 5.2. Breakdown of production at
CHP and TEP, mln tonnes of oil equivalent
Source: data of the State Statistics Service of
Ukraine
Ukrainian heat energy market in recent years tends to decrease. Given the dynamics
of production change (decline in the crisis years), the reduction is explained by
decreased demand of industrial enterprises. During the period 2005 - 2009 the market
has shrunk by 29%. Drop in 2014 was driven by exclusion of AR of Crimea and "ATO"
zone.
Diagram 5.3. Heat energy production, million Gcal*
* data for 2014 excluding the AR of Crimea and "ATO" zone
Source: data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
The population is the largest heat energy consumer each year. The share of energy
supplied to the population is ~ 65%. In addition, the energy market is inefficient. It is
proved by heat losses, which are about 15% of served energy. It should be noted that
data on losses is normative. The real losses, according to experts, can be up to 50%.
Thus, improving the efficiency of transport and use of heat energy by population
should be the first priority task.
5,49
6,59
2,26 Centralized
heating
Gas heating
Other
3,8
6,1
Thermoelectric
plants
Central heating
plants
127,2 124,6
112,1
104,7
98,0
104,1 104,7 104,1
96,5
73,0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
For 4 years the
heat production
market has
decreased by 29%.
The population is the
largest heat energy
consumer (~65%)
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Diagram 5.4. Heat energy released by segments (TEP and DHP), million Gcal
* data for 2014 excluding the AR of Crimea and "ATO" zone
Source: data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
The main role at heat energy market is played by the biggest boiler houses that
produce heat energy for consumers in big cities. Thus, reforming the DHP sector the
the biggest boiler houses should be of first priority.
Diagram 5.5. Breakdown of heat
production by boiler houses with
different capacities in2014 (total
62.6mln Gcal)
Source: data of the State Statistics Service
of Ukraine
Table 5.1. Number of boiler houses with
different capacities
Capacity Number (%)
<3 Gcal/h 27 772 (89,6%)
3-20 Gcal/h 2616 (8,4%)
20-100 Gcal/h 443 (1,4%)
>100 Gcal/h 161 (0,5%)
Total 30 992 (100%)
Source: data of the State Statistics Service of
Ukraine
Ukrainian DHP are dependent on gas. Gas takes the largest share in the structure of
heat energy sources, although this proportion tends to decrease. However, gas is
replaced by less efficient and more environmentally harmful sources: coal and peat.
63%
25%
13% Population
Public and commercial buildings
For production need
12%
16%
18%
54%
Up to 3 Gcal/h 3-20 Gcal/h
20 - 100 Gcal/h >100 Gcal/h
> 50% of heat energy
is produced by 161
boiler houses
Gas is replaced by
more
environmentally
harmful sources: coal
and peat
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According to the NEURC Resolution No1171 dated May 1, 2015 the centralized
heating tariffs were increased. These tariffs are determined for each heat
organization.
It is worth noting that in recent years the tariffs did not cover the cost of heat energy
production for DHP, the difference between the cost and tariff was covered with local
or state Budget in the form of grants.
Diagram 5.21. Dynamic pattern of average weighted tariff and the cost of 1 Gcal of
heat energy, UAH/Gcal
Source: Minregiona data, Working group analysis
Diagram 5.22. Calculation of market heating tariff, UAH/Gcal
Source: Budget of Ukraine 2016, NEURC Resolution No 3159, 1888, Working group analysis
The tariff is segmented by consumers. Budgetary and commercial consumers actually
pay the market price for heat. The tariffs for the population and religious
organizations are 2.3 times less.
Diagram 5.23. Imbalance of tariffs for different consumers as in the case of
"Kyivenergo" in 2015, UAH/ Gcal
Source: Kyivenergo data
In result of tariff segmentation some consumers have to overpay for others, especially
it is relevant to the understated heating energy tariff for the population.
358,2 389,8
654,2
1134,7
1513,0
475,5 509,2
708,8
2013 2014 2015 2016О 2017О
Tariff (with VAT)
1 Gcal cost
657,2 709,5
1 503,4 1 503,4
Population Religious Budgetary Other consumers
Market heating tariff
is about UAH 1513
Residential tariff is
less than for
budgetary
institutions 2.3 times
less
+8,5%
+68%
+33%
+73%
33. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 5.24. Comparison of DHP revenues and the volume of supplied heat energy
by consumers in 2014
Source: Minregion data
The tariff can be calculated in two ways: for customers with metering devices - for
consumed hihakalori, and for consumers metering devices - per square meter
calculated at the rate of 0.0245 Gcal /month for Kyiv.
The price of centralized heating for the population remains one of the lowest in
Europe.
Diagram 5.25. Comparison of tariffs for centralized heating, Euro/Gcal
Source: the IMF Report #15/218(August2015)
Heat energy tariffs are non marketable and do not solve the problem of DHP financial
security. Despite the increase in the average weighted tariff, the level of cost
reimbursement by the tariff remains at about the same level - 75%.
Hot water supply tariff
In most cases the heat producing companies provide the population with heat and hot
water simultaneously. For this reason, hot water tariffs are adopted in parallel with
heat tariffs individually for each company.
80,3%
54.8%
4,4%
8,9%
9,5%
22,9%
5,8% 13,3%
Heat energy supplied Revenue from sales
population state budgetary institutions
local budgetary institutions other consumers
96.3
77.8 75.0
55.6
24.1
Lithuania Estonia Romania Poland Ukraine
Tariff covers only
75% of heat energy
cost
35. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 5.29. Equipment of buildings with heat metering devices
Source: Minregion data
The introduction of commercial metering solves the following problems:
• Obtaining accurate data on service consumption that will give NEURC the
possibility to set reasonable rates.
• Households will pay the reasonable cost of consumed services rather than
under the rates established by the state.
• Cash flows coming from the population to service providers will become
transparent.
• The population will be stimulated to reduce energy consumption and improve
energy efficiency in buildings and homes.
Also, increasing energy efficiency by introducing heat metering is one of the
conditions for granting Ukraine the third tranche from the IMF. The national energy
efficiency action plan till 2020 envisages to reach 100% of heat and water metering by
2019.
For better efficiency of funds use it is reasonable to install IHPs, since in addition to
heat metering it saves about 15-20% of heat.
About 64% of hot water is consumed throught meters and only ~50% of residential
buildings, which are connected to centralized heating, have metering devices.
38%
51%
80%
2014 2015 2016F
By the end of 2016 it is
planned to reach 80%
of heat energy
metering.
IHPs allow to save
about 15-20% of
consumed heat
36. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 5.30. Equipment of buildings with the devices to meter heat (01.01.2016) and
hot water consumption (30.03.2015)
Source: Minregion data
The Rules for provision of centralized heat and hot water supply are regulated by the
NEURC Resolution No 630. Thus, if the building is equipped with heat metering
devices, its dwellers pay on the basis of meter readings. In case the metering devices
are not available the payment for consumed services is charged:
• from centralized heating – under rates (norms) per 1 square meter and
considering the actual outdoor temperature and actual number of days of the
service provision;
• from centralized water supply – under rates (norms) based on per capita and
homesteading.
The norms for utilities are unreasonably high, consequently, the majority of people
without metering devices have to pay more than they consume.
Diagram 5.31. Average heat supply norms in Ukraine, Gcal / m2
Source: KTM 204 Ukraine 244-94. Report on the research work "Development of scientific-
based proposals on setting of social consumption rates"
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
Kirovohrad
Dnipropetrovsk
Kyiv region
Vinnytsya
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya
Ivano-Frankivsk
Kyiv city Chernigiv Summy
Poltava
Charkiv
Cherson
Odessa
Mykolaiv
Cherkassy
Khmelnytsk
Rivne
Ternopil
Chernivtsi
51%
64%
Heat supply Hot water
67% 64%
34% 61%
41% 54%
37%
71%
31%
100%
60% 67%
46%
84%
46%
79%
40%
100%
14% 23%
73% 85%
68% 98%
32% 19%
24%
51%
45% 41%
41% 52%
7%
57%
56%
31%
50%
32%
62% 65%
27%
44%
31%
66% 62%70% 62%
Aviability of metering devices
-
0.140
0.129
Consumption norm Evaluation of real
consumption
Heat supply rates have
not been changed
since 1993
A person that lives in
the building without
heat meter overpays
about 10%
People without
metering devices
have to pay under
unreasonably high
rates of
consumption
38. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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6. Analysis of the scheme of payments for centralized heating
for the population
The system of mutual settlements for heat consumed by the population and relevant
gas supplies has significant "gaps" in liquidity due to fail of the state to fulfill its
commitments on HUS subsidy payment and difference in tariffs. By this, the burden of
liquidity "gaps" falls on DHP:
• As of 01.01.2016 the state debt on HUS subsidy is UAH 7.7 billion, including
UAH 1.1 billion debt to DHP.
• As of 01.01.2016 the state debt for difference in tariffs is UAH 4.7 billion,
including UAH 1.8 billion debt to DHP. The Budget 2016 does not envisage
subsidies for the difference in tariffs, so the debt will grow.
• According to Naftogaz the DHP and TEP debt for gas in 2015 is UAH 4.0
billion, thus it can be paid by 73% (UAH 2.9 billion) due to the debts for
subsidies and difference in tariffs.
The existing regulations additionally "punish" DHP for debts caused by the state's
failure to fulfill its commitments inter alia.
• New procedure under reviewed CMU Resolution No 217, which comes into
force from February 2016, introduces corrective coefficients depending on
DHP debts for gas that arise due to the state debts for HUS subsidies and
difference in tariffs. These coefficients reduce the share of "real" money
received by DHP.
These correction coefficients actually leave DHP without funds for operating
activities - in some cases DHP receive only a minimal share (Sm) in payments
for taxes and wages.
• The reviewed CMU Resolution No 217 envisages the mechanism to
"transform" the share of subsidies to "real" cash flow for DHP. But the
mechanism has significant implementation risks, so it is unknown whether it
will function effectively.
6.1. Analysis of deadline to pay for centralized heat consumed by the
population and Naftogaz gas supplies to DHP
• DHP have to pay for gas before (till the 14th day) they receive payments from
customers (mostly on the 15th-25th day) and mutual settlement for gas with
subsidies (before the 24th day) is made that "washes out" the current assets
of DHP.
• There is an imbalance in charging penalties for non-payment, i.e. Naftogaz
charges a penalty for the delay in payments for gas, but the penalty is not
charged to the population for failure to pay for consumed heat.
Mutual settlements for HUS subsidies on the basis of Common Decision Protocol
(CDP) (CMU Resolution 20, Order of the Minenergy and Minfin No 493/688)
• Frequency and time framework for mutual settlements are not regulated. Any
of the parties (Treasury, Naftogaz or business) can not sign CDP, then the
mutual payments will not be made.
The existing system of
payments for heat
leads to decrease in
system liquidity
DHP have to pay for gas
before getting
payments from
customers and mutual
settlement for gas with
subsidies is made that
"washes out" the
current assets of DHP
Mutual settlements for
subsidies are carried
out with 1 month delay
40. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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6.2. Scheme of payments for centralized heating for households
There are two sources of payments for centralized heating and gas for households:
• Household payments come to special accounts in Oschadbank, and then they
are distributed between DHP, RGC and Naftogaz (CMU Resolution No 217)
• HUS subsidies, which are, actually, the mutual settlements between the
supply chain and State Budget (CMU Resolution No 20 and joint Order of the
Minenergy and Minfin No 493/688)
In 2015 there was a mechanism to pay the difference in tariffs, but in 2016 it does not
work, because the Budget for 2016 does not provide the appropriate funds (see Part
7.4).
Diagram 6.3. Simplified scheme of central heating settlements
Source: CMU Resolution No 217, CMU Resolution No 20, Order of the Minenergy and Minfin No
493/688, Minregion data, Working group analysis
• DHP may carry out mutual settlements on HUS subsidies with expenditures for
gas or electricity.
• The State Budget carries out mutual settlements on HUS subsidies with taxes
from Naftogaz and Ukrgazvydobuvannya.
• Since February 2016 (after the introductioin of amendments to the CMU
Resolution No 217 in December 2015) the mutual settlements for HUS
subsidies also influence the share of "real" money received by DHP from a
special account - the more Budget debt for subsidies to the DHP, the less
share of "real" money received by DHP from consumers (see Annex 5).
• The chain of mutual settlements may have more parties, but it starts with DHP
and ends with Naftogaz or Ukrgazvydobuvannya.
• The scheme of mutual settlements for household gas supplies differs with the
absence of DHP - the Budget carries out a mutual settlement with Oblgaz (gas
supplier).
Mutual settlements
occur only if there are
liabilities
41. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
41
6.3. Algorithm for mutual payments with HUS subsidies
• All the parties are obliged to have open accounts at the State Treasury of Ukraine
for mutual settlements.
• If at any stage of the chain there are no corresponding liabilities, the mutual
settlements do not take place that causes the delays in HUS subsidy payment
• Before the Treasury "issues" funds for subsidies it receives commitments from all
the parties to carry out mutual settlements in the form of Common Protocol
Decision.
• Maximum term of "transfer" from one party to another is 1 business day.
Diagram 6.4. Algorithm of mutual payments (on the example of DHP settlement
payments for gas)
Source: CMU Resolution No 20, Order of the Minenergy and Minfin No 493/688, Minregion
data, Working group analysis
6.4. Debt to DHC for compensation in the difference of tariffs
Tariffs for heat and other utility services are generally lower than real expenditures of
utility enterprises:
• NEURC is happen to review tariffs with a delay after the increase in the cost
of electricity, wages and other components. Moreover, the review
procedure may last up to 2 months;
• The volume of heat generation may be less than it is planned in tariff that
entails the increase in heat unit cost;
Therefore, according to the LU "On HUS" and the LU "On Heat Supply" the state has to
compensate the difference in tariffs. In 2015 there was a mechanism (CMU
Resolution No 375) that envisaged subventions from the State Budget for these
purposes and a relevant mutual settlement of subventions with DHP taxes and/ or
settlement for gas with Naftogaz. For 2015 the State Budget allocated UAH 5600
million for subventions (the Minregion is an administrator of these subventions), in
fact the mutual payments were made to the amount of UAH 4800 million.
Budget
DHC
Gas supplier
Naftogaz
Ukrgazvydobu-
vannya
The subsidy to the
account in the Treasury
Treasury
Signed by each party
Common protocol
decision with the
obligation to perform a
certain amount of
settlement
12
The order to
transfer subsidies
3
4
5
6
7
Taxes
“Payment” for gas in the
Treasury account
“Payment” for gas in the
Treasury account
“Payment” for gas in the
Treasury account
The Budget for 2016
does not envisages
funds to reimburse
difference in tariffs to
DHP
The state debt for
reimbursement of
difference in tariffs to
DHP as of 01.01.2016
is about UAH 1.8 billion
Mutual payments are
made through the
Treasury accounts
42. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
42
As of 01.01.2016 the state debt for reimbursement of difference in tariffs amounted
to UAH 4 762 million, including UAH 1 760 million debt to DHP.
The budget for 2016 does not envisage subventions to pay debts for difference in
tariffs, thus for 2016 there is no any mechanism to pay the debts that will continue
growing in the future.
6.5. Analysis of accumulated debts in the sector
The result of non-market regulated relations in the sector was a significant
accumulation of debts for heat and gas for its production:
Diagram 6.5. Debts in the sectof as of 01.02.2016
Source: data of Naftogas, Minregion data, State Statistics Service of Ukraine
6.6. Suggested approach to debt restructuring
Restructuring of existing debt is one of the necessary steps to financial recovery of the
sector, which is a prerequisite for industry modernization. But to avoid the
accumulation of new debts in the future, the system to regulate relations in the
sector has to be adapted to market realities:
Diagram 6.6. Suggested approach to financial recovery of the sector
Source: Working group analysis
A comprehensive
approach will allow to
avoid the accomulation
of debts in the future
43. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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7. DHC investment needs and expected effect
7.1. Assessment of overall investment needs
The possible reduction of natural gas consumption provided the rehabilitation of
buildings and modernization of DHC is 5 billion m³ per year.
First of all, it is necessary to carry out the measures that will have the greatest effect
and help to avoid the biggest expenditures in the network.
Table 7.1. Preliminary assessment of overall investment needs
Sector
Investment
needs
Gas consumption
reduction
potential
Reduction in gas
consumption by
USD 1 billion
Rehabilitation of
multistory buildings
USD 17 billion 2.3 billion m³ 135 mln m³
Rehabilitation of public
buildings
USD 2 billion 0.3 billion m³ 150 mln m³
Modernization of heat
production system and
networks
USD 3 billion 1.1 billion m³ 366 mln m³
Modernization and
replacement of heat
networks
USD 3 billion 1.3 billion m³ 433 mln m³
Total ~USD 25 billion 5.0 billion m³ 200 mln m³
Source: Working group analysis
The most efficient use of funds can be achieved with the help of modernized heat
production systems and heat networks. Therefore, DHP modernization shall be of first
priority to improve the efficiency of gas consumption.
7.2. Assessment of minimal investment needs to modernize heat networks
According to preliminary assessments the total number of heat networks in need of
repair or replacement is 60%. The minimum investment amount for these purposes is
up to USD 1 billion, the effect of which could reach annual gas savings of more than
500 million m³.
The minimum
investment amount for
modernization of heat
networks is about USD
1 billion
Overall investment
need is about EUR 25
billion
47. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
47
8.2. Analysis of programmes on energy efficiency of heat production,
distribution and consumption
A few national, donor and IMF programmes on funding the energy efficiency
measures are being implemented or developed in Ukraine. The key institutions that
manage these programmes are the following:
• SAEE and NEURC from the side of state
• EBRD, IBRD, EIB, KfW, NEFKO, Е5Р, SIDA from the side of IMF and donors
Despite the fact that the greatest investment need is in the residential sector, the
most programmes are focused on upgrading of district heating providers.
Diagram 8.7. Assessment of investment potential of existing programmes, million
USD
Source: official information, Working group analysis
In practice from the existing USD 1 billion for the projects aimed at DHC
modernization or rehabilitation of public buildings in the active phase there is not
more than 30% of this amount (see Parts 9.2 and 9.3).
The list of investment programmes is given in Annex 9. The list of technical assistance
programmes is given in Annex 10.
Programmes for DHC moderniation and rehabilitation of public buildings
The overall financial potential for upgrading district heating providers and renovation
of public buildings in the framework of current programmes is USD 1 billion that is
about 12.5% of total investment needs in this sector.
These programmes are managed by IFI and donors (EBRD, IBRD, EIB, KfW, NEFKO,
Е5Р, SIDA) and are usually structured in one of two ways:
1. Financing programmes against the state guarantees and with the involvement
of central executive authorities (Minfin, Minregion, CMU, etc.). Examples of
such programmes are "Improving energy efficiency in the sector of centralized
heat supply" (IBRD) and "Municipal Infrastructure Development Programme"
(EIB).
2. Financing the projects against municipal guarantees without the involvement
of central executive authorities. For example, EBRD projects on financing the
upgrading of district heating providers.
75
250
750
Rehabilitation of residential
buildings
Rehabilitation of public
buildings
Modernization of DHCs
Programmes for DHP
modernization and
rehabilitation of public
buildings are financed
against the state or
municipal guarantees
Potentional funding of
existing programmes is
USD 1 billion
The projects are
financed against the
state and/or municipal
guarantees
Most programmes are
focused on modernization
of district heating
companies or
rehabilitation of public
buildings
48. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 8.8. Scheme to provide state guarantees
Source: Working group analysis
Financing against the state guarantees requires complicated and long-term
procedures determined by both Ukrainian legislation and IFI rules:
Diagram 8.9. The process of project selection (using the example of IBRD financing
programme)
Source: Minregion data
Minregion as responsible ministry announces
the selection of projects
Utility company (UC) develops project
justification following the IBRD elements, which
is approved by the municipal council session
Minfin provides the conclusion on
UC financial status (on the basis of
credit terms)
Expert Working group (Minregion, Minfin, MEDT,
NERC, public council) considers projects
CMU approves the list of projects and authorizes to
sign the Loan Agreement
Minfin, Minregion and IBRD sign the Loan Agreement
UC, Minfin, Minregion and NERC sign sub-loan
agreements
1
2 3
4
5
6
7
Potential of existing
investment
programmes is used
by ~ 30%
The process of project
selection takes more
than 1 year
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49
The project selection process may take more than one year, depending on the quality
of existing DHP covered by the projects. Also, if it is necessary to undergo the
procedure under the CMU Resolution No 1027 (it is optional provided the Verkhovna
Rada of Ukraine ratified the agreement with the IMF), the procedure period is about 1
year more.
Diagram 8.10. Project initiation (selection and approval) according to the CMU
Resolution No 1027
Source: Working group analysis
Moreover, the process of tenders and preparation for payments to contractors may
take about 1.5 year.
Implementation of the
procedure under the
CMU Resolution No
1027 complicates the
process and increases
the period of project
selection and approval
for about 1 year
The process of tenders
and preparation for
payments to
contractors may take
about 1.5 year
50. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 8.11. Duration of the procedure for tenders and contract payments (7-18
months)
Source: Minregion data
Also according to the CMU Resolution No 560 the approval period depends on the
project cost and it is 2 months more, if the cost exceeds UAH 100 million:
Diagram 8.12. Project justification approval under the CMU Resolution No 560
Source: Minregion data
The efficiency of project implementation depends on the teamwork of all parties
involved to the process. The important role is played by the Central Project
Management Group (CPMG) and the Regional Project Management Groups (RPMG)
but the activities of CPMG are financed by the program (it is 1-2% of the total program
amount), and the RPMG - by own funds of utility companies (UC). Therefore, as a rule,
the RPMG competence is much lower compared to CPMG.
54. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
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Diagram 8.18. General data of the Swedish Procurement Agency “Värmek”
Source: Värmek data
The process of such Agency launching in Ukraine may take about 1 year.
8.5. Barriers to the implementation of DHP modernization projects
The key barriers to project funding and implementation of a full potential of existing
programmes of IFO and donors are:
Lack of expertise at the local level to draft project documents and implement projects
following the IFO requirements.
The IFOs require organizaional and technical specifications to the project and
borrower, including the project registration. Unfortunately, only a few DHP have
appropriate competence and experience of coopeation with international
organizations. This causes delays in project implementation and significantly reduces
the number of DHP participating in such programmes.
Debts of utility companies and new legislation on DHC account blocking by Naftogaz
The new Law No 423-VIII was adopted on May 14, 2015 to stabilize the financial state
of Naftogaz. Under this Law Naftogaz can automatically collect payments from central
heat providers and block their accounts if they have overdue liabilities. Consequently,
Naftogaz has blocked the bank accounts of some central heat provides (including
Zhytomyr, Lutsk and Lviv). This new legislation will affect more or less all the central
heat providers in Ukraine and significantly limit their running costs. In addition, the
new Law allows Naftogaz to sell the DHP debts and assets to third parties that may
lead to the DHP shadow privatization.
One the consequences of this Law is that IFOs or donors will not provide loans and / or
grants to DHP if there is a risk that these funds will be used to repay old debts to
Naftogaz.The CMU Resolution "On amending the Resoluton of the Cabinet of
Ministers of Ukraine No 217" dated December 29, 2015 significantly increases the
liquidity of Naftogaz and reduces the level of current assets remaining at the disposal
of heat generating / heat supply companies, using the mechanism of consideratoin of
"calculaiton level" rate when calculating the ratio of funds transferring from the
accounts with a special use mode of heat generating / heat supply companies.
The basis for approval of any investment programme is the procedure for aproving by
joint Order of the Minregion No 630 and regulator Resoluton No 381. There are a few
problems with the current procedure:
• The procedure directly contradicts the IFO procurement rules because it
requires a detailed project documentation and prices (even the names of
specific manufacturers) before a tender is announced.
• The procedure requires to provide detailed calculations and project
documents for each object, such as a boiler house, pipeline section or
individual heating unit (IHU) that takes a lot of time.
Draft documents shall
comply with the
international standards
The blockings of DHP
accounts by Naftogaz
does not allow to
finance projects
The introduction of
accounts with “special”
use mode and certain
priorities in calculations
decreases the DHP
liquidity
55. Heat energy in housing and utilities sector: Status and Prospects (DOCUMENT FOR DISCUSSION)
55
• Despite the merger of two regulators over a year ago, the DHP still have to
provide and protect two separate investment projects: one project is for gas
boiler houses, pipelines, etc., and another one is for cogeneration plants and
alternative sources of heat supply, such as boiler houses using biomass. It is
not convenient and demotivates DHP to develop the alternative sources of
heat supply.
• Applying procedural provisions, the regulator also objects to the inclusion of
individual heating units (IHU) to the DHP investment projects saying that this
measure does not provide direct financial benefits. It means that DHP do not
want to co-finance the IHU, since they can not recover the costs through
tariffs.
• To approve investments the Minregon is still using the outdated building
standards. Moreover, the International agreements shall be aligned with the
European standards (for instance, FIDIC) to facilitate the implementation of
projects.
Adoption of central heat tariffs by the regulator and hryvnia devaluation against USD
and EUR
Timely and reasonable tariff amendments remain a key regulatory risks for all DHP
implementing the projects at the expense of IFO loan funds. The NEURC rarely adopts
tariffs in time that would allow to service the DHP debts. This problem is exacerbated
in the conditions of national currency devaluation, as far as the IFO loans are in USD or
euro.
VAT and customs exemptions for the grant financial component
Exemption from taxes and customs duties on grants and loans has been officially
enacted, but several obstacles still remain. Article 3.2 of the Tax Code of Ukraine and
the relevant international treaties ratified by the Ukrainian parliament allow the
exemption from taxes and duties on the purchase of goods, materials, works and
services with the use of grant funds. However, this exception is only at the level of
general contractor and does not penetrate to the level of subcontractors. There is no
mechanism to reclaim VAT paid by Ukrainian subcontractors. Thus, the current
legislation discriminates Ukrainian subcontractors and provides a competitive
advantage to international contractors or service providers.
Approval of municipal guarantees
The process of approving municipal guarantees has been greatly improved thanks to
cooperation with the Ministry of Finance. However, it should be more rational. For
example, the Ministry of Finance has recently begun to require the utility companies
to provide: (I) mortgages in municipalities and (II) meetings of the special tender
committees, which preliminary selected the investment projects following the
procedure approved by the CMU before the municipal guarantees are provided.
In fact, both requirements are unnecessary. As to the first requirement, utilities are
owned by respective municipalities and in most cases they only manage municipal
property, so utilities can not pledge the property of their owner, in addition, this
requirement is beyond the binding norms of the Budget Code of Ukraine. As to the
second requirement, it was initially intended for investment projects supported by
Hryvnia devaluation
creates additional risks
Current legislation
discriminates Ukrainian
subcontractors
The procedure for
approving municipal
guarantees contains
extra requirements
The investment
programme approval
procedure needs some
improvals
Sometimes MFI loan
funds are blocked in the
accounts of the
Treasury