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GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
UNCLASSIFIED
GES presentation
•Economics of Government intervention
•What economists in government do
•Application process
We won’t duplicate the information online:
https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/civil-service-government-economic-service
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/2017-government-economic-fast-stream-scheme
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Faith Bannier Josh Lidmila Alex Shirvani
Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy
Economics of Government Intervention
Government intervenes in the market for two reasons
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Efficiency Equity
Making the optimum use of
scarce resources
Addressing market failures to
create Pareto improvements
Non-political: doesn’t make value
judgement on what is right
An ‘efficient’ distribution may
involve considerable inequalities
Redistributing resources to offset
inequality
Political: involves democratic
judgement on what is ‘fair’
Efficiency interventions
First rule of welfare economics:
A perfectly functioning market will lead to a Pareto efficient outcome:
•The right factor mix of inputs is used in production
•The right things are produced, given existing inputs
•Things are consumed by people that value them most
We can’t usually get a ‘Pareto optimum’ but we can make Pareto
improvements when we make markets work better
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Efficiency interventions
When markets work better the UK is better off
•We produce more with the resources we have
– GDP is higher
•We make sure our input factors are utilised better
– More people have jobs, and jobs better suited to their skills
•We produce the right things (comparative advantage)
– We can sell more exports
•Consumers have greater choice
– People buy things that improve their personal welfare
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Efficiency
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Market failures
Sometimes free markets won’t achieve Pareto efficiency
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Imperfect competition Natural monopolies, transport,
energy markets
Externalities Negative: pollution, things with
bad health impacts
Positive: spillovers from R&D,
social benefits from education
Asymmetric information Healthcare, credit markets,
insurance, quality/safety of goods
Public goods National defence, street lighting,
national justice system
Tackling market failures
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Information, education
and advice
Publishing league tables, crime
stats, public education campaigns
(‘talk to Frank’), labelling,
advisory services
Direct provision Government directly providing
policing, armed forces, bird flu
vaccine
Economic instruments Taxes, user charges, subsidies,
grants, tax credits, tradable
permits, loan guarantees
Regulation and
legislation
Regulation of rail fares/utility
prices, compulsory motor
insurance, trading standards,
health & safety laws, banning
tobacco advertising
Tackling market failures
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
For further information read the
Home Office document
“Understanding policy options”
Equity interventions
A Pareto efficient outcome might not be seen as ‘fair’
It is Pareto efficient if one person has everything!
Government may also intervene for reasons of ‘equity’ (ie
redistribution of wealth) to tackle social deprivation
•Free prescriptions
•Extra money for schools in deprived areas
•Fee incentives to encourage access to HE to students from less well
off background
Equity interventions depend on political/moral viewpoints
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
What economists in government do
There are two main types of government intervention
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Regulatory Spending
Westminster/devolved
government/EU brings in,
changes or scraps a regulation
Economists look at the impact of
the regulatory change (costs v
benefits)
This is called an Impact
Assessment
The Treasury allocates money at
fiscal events (Autumn Statement,
Budget, Spending Review)
Departments bid for money from
the Treasury to finance their
spending projects
Economists help put together
Business Cases for these bids
Impact Assessments
A regulatory change has benefits and costs
Example: proposal to introduce minimum alcohol unit price
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/157763/ia-minimum-unit-pricing.pdf
Benefits: improved health, reduced
NHS costs, reduced alcohol-related
crime, reduced lost productivity due to
alcohol (total: £21bn per year), some
businesses will gain (eg pubs if people
substitute from cheap supermarket
alcohol)
Costs: higher prices to consumers, low
income consumers especially affected,
businesses face familiarisation,
transition costs, exchequer may face
reduced tax receipts
Business cases
Establish the rationale for the spending (market failure)
Build an NPV model of the expected value to the economy
This will involve several assumptions – these must be underpinned by evidence
(academic research/evaluations of similar policies)
•Total economic costs: exchequer cost plus leveraged private spending
•Expected returns on the investment
•How much of the returns are additional (not displacement, deadweight,
leakage, substitution)
•Wider benefits: including spillovers, positive externalities
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Policy evaluation
Impact assessments and Business cases are examples of policy
appraisal – done before the policy is brought in
After the policy is brought in evaluation tells you how well it worked/is
working
Various evaluation techniques: randomised control trials, quasi-
experimental methods, difference in differences
Key point is establish the counterfactual (what would have happened
if the policy wasn’t brought in) and estimate the difference, eg
increased output, jobs, improved health
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
The Green Book
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
For further information on appraisal and
evaluation techniques
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-green-book-appra
Parts to read before the Economic
Assessment Centre:
-Chapter 3: Justifying action
-Annex 1: Government intervention
(explains efficiency/equity and gives you
definitions of all the market failures)
-Annex 4: Risk and uncertainty
-Annex 6: Discount rate
Other things economists do
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Writing evidence papers Writing a published/unpublished
paper on the evidence base for a
particular theme
Managing external projects Develop a research theme/evaluation,
draw up an invitation to tender,
assess bidders, award contract and
manage the contractor up to
publication
Economic support for
Ministers
Written and oral Parliamentary
Questions, briefings and submissions,
briefing on pre-release statistics
Career path
Assistant Economist (£28k-32k basic, some depts +£2k for MSc)
- Rotate jobs every year in your department
- After 2 years can move department
- After 2 years may be opportunities for funded MSc
Economic Adviser (Grade 7; £45k -£55k)
- No longer rotate jobs
- Significant responsibility, lots of economics
Grade 6
- Still an economist but more ‘strategic’ role
Senior Civil Service
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Application process
https://www.faststream.gov.uk/
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Application process
https://www.faststream.gov.uk/
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Fast Stream Assessment Centre
UNCLASSIFIED
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Economic Assessment Centre
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Economic Assessment Centre
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Go to the EAC Open Day
Technical report 30 mins to type answer on pre-released question
written for economists
Plain English report 30 mins to type answer on pre-released question
written for non-economists
Short Answer Q’s 30 mins: 10 questions on variety of micro and macro
Interview 20 mins: short presentation on answer to pre-released
question (with follow-up questions from interviewers)
20 mins: questions on SAQs (to help you gain marks)
20 mins: question on your chosen specialised topic
You will be given a pre-released question a few weeks before the EAC date
Student placements
The GES provides year-long sandwich student placements and 6 to 12 week
summer internships.
Applications for 2018/19 sandwich scheme close 12pm Thurs 12th October!
To be eligible 50 per cent of your course must be in economics and you must
be on track for a 1st
or 2:1.
Sandwich students who complete their placement successfully and pass the
Economic Assessment Centre at the end of placement will now be offered an
initial 2 year contract on graduation: they can make this permanent through
successfully applying to the Fast Stream.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/how-to-apply-for-a-government-economic-service-sandwich-stud
Summer placement applications open February – check the website.
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES
Find out more
1.Check out the GES and Fast Stream websites
www.ges.gov.uk www.faststream.gov.uk/government-economic-service/
www.facebook.com/GovernmentEconomicService/
Twitter: @GES_UK
1.Check out the Green Book and Understanding Policy Options
•If you can’t access them online, email us for the pdfs
1.Look at the Economy part of the ONS website
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy https://www.facebook.com/ONS
Twitter: @ONS
1.Look for Nicholas Barr’s book The Economics of the Welfare State
And our contact emails!
faith.bannier@beis.gov.uk
joshua.lidmila@beis.gov.uk
alex.shirvani@beis.gov.uk
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE
Making economists better
Making better use of economics
GES

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Government Economic Service

  • 1. GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES UNCLASSIFIED
  • 2. GES presentation •Economics of Government intervention •What economists in government do •Application process We won’t duplicate the information online: https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/civil-service-government-economic-service https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/2017-government-economic-fast-stream-scheme GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Faith Bannier Josh Lidmila Alex Shirvani Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy
  • 3. Economics of Government Intervention Government intervenes in the market for two reasons GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Efficiency Equity Making the optimum use of scarce resources Addressing market failures to create Pareto improvements Non-political: doesn’t make value judgement on what is right An ‘efficient’ distribution may involve considerable inequalities Redistributing resources to offset inequality Political: involves democratic judgement on what is ‘fair’
  • 4. Efficiency interventions First rule of welfare economics: A perfectly functioning market will lead to a Pareto efficient outcome: •The right factor mix of inputs is used in production •The right things are produced, given existing inputs •Things are consumed by people that value them most We can’t usually get a ‘Pareto optimum’ but we can make Pareto improvements when we make markets work better GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 5. Efficiency interventions When markets work better the UK is better off •We produce more with the resources we have – GDP is higher •We make sure our input factors are utilised better – More people have jobs, and jobs better suited to their skills •We produce the right things (comparative advantage) – We can sell more exports •Consumers have greater choice – People buy things that improve their personal welfare GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 6. Efficiency GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 7. Market failures Sometimes free markets won’t achieve Pareto efficiency GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Imperfect competition Natural monopolies, transport, energy markets Externalities Negative: pollution, things with bad health impacts Positive: spillovers from R&D, social benefits from education Asymmetric information Healthcare, credit markets, insurance, quality/safety of goods Public goods National defence, street lighting, national justice system
  • 8. Tackling market failures GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Information, education and advice Publishing league tables, crime stats, public education campaigns (‘talk to Frank’), labelling, advisory services Direct provision Government directly providing policing, armed forces, bird flu vaccine Economic instruments Taxes, user charges, subsidies, grants, tax credits, tradable permits, loan guarantees Regulation and legislation Regulation of rail fares/utility prices, compulsory motor insurance, trading standards, health & safety laws, banning tobacco advertising
  • 9. Tackling market failures GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES For further information read the Home Office document “Understanding policy options”
  • 10. Equity interventions A Pareto efficient outcome might not be seen as ‘fair’ It is Pareto efficient if one person has everything! Government may also intervene for reasons of ‘equity’ (ie redistribution of wealth) to tackle social deprivation •Free prescriptions •Extra money for schools in deprived areas •Fee incentives to encourage access to HE to students from less well off background Equity interventions depend on political/moral viewpoints GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 11. What economists in government do There are two main types of government intervention GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Regulatory Spending Westminster/devolved government/EU brings in, changes or scraps a regulation Economists look at the impact of the regulatory change (costs v benefits) This is called an Impact Assessment The Treasury allocates money at fiscal events (Autumn Statement, Budget, Spending Review) Departments bid for money from the Treasury to finance their spending projects Economists help put together Business Cases for these bids
  • 12. Impact Assessments A regulatory change has benefits and costs Example: proposal to introduce minimum alcohol unit price GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/157763/ia-minimum-unit-pricing.pdf Benefits: improved health, reduced NHS costs, reduced alcohol-related crime, reduced lost productivity due to alcohol (total: £21bn per year), some businesses will gain (eg pubs if people substitute from cheap supermarket alcohol) Costs: higher prices to consumers, low income consumers especially affected, businesses face familiarisation, transition costs, exchequer may face reduced tax receipts
  • 13. Business cases Establish the rationale for the spending (market failure) Build an NPV model of the expected value to the economy This will involve several assumptions – these must be underpinned by evidence (academic research/evaluations of similar policies) •Total economic costs: exchequer cost plus leveraged private spending •Expected returns on the investment •How much of the returns are additional (not displacement, deadweight, leakage, substitution) •Wider benefits: including spillovers, positive externalities GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 14. Policy evaluation Impact assessments and Business cases are examples of policy appraisal – done before the policy is brought in After the policy is brought in evaluation tells you how well it worked/is working Various evaluation techniques: randomised control trials, quasi- experimental methods, difference in differences Key point is establish the counterfactual (what would have happened if the policy wasn’t brought in) and estimate the difference, eg increased output, jobs, improved health GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 15. The Green Book GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES For further information on appraisal and evaluation techniques https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-green-book-appra Parts to read before the Economic Assessment Centre: -Chapter 3: Justifying action -Annex 1: Government intervention (explains efficiency/equity and gives you definitions of all the market failures) -Annex 4: Risk and uncertainty -Annex 6: Discount rate
  • 16. Other things economists do GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Writing evidence papers Writing a published/unpublished paper on the evidence base for a particular theme Managing external projects Develop a research theme/evaluation, draw up an invitation to tender, assess bidders, award contract and manage the contractor up to publication Economic support for Ministers Written and oral Parliamentary Questions, briefings and submissions, briefing on pre-release statistics
  • 17. Career path Assistant Economist (£28k-32k basic, some depts +£2k for MSc) - Rotate jobs every year in your department - After 2 years can move department - After 2 years may be opportunities for funded MSc Economic Adviser (Grade 7; £45k -£55k) - No longer rotate jobs - Significant responsibility, lots of economics Grade 6 - Still an economist but more ‘strategic’ role Senior Civil Service GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 18. Application process https://www.faststream.gov.uk/ GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 19. Application process https://www.faststream.gov.uk/ GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 20. Fast Stream Assessment Centre UNCLASSIFIED GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 21. Economic Assessment Centre GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 22. Economic Assessment Centre GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES Go to the EAC Open Day Technical report 30 mins to type answer on pre-released question written for economists Plain English report 30 mins to type answer on pre-released question written for non-economists Short Answer Q’s 30 mins: 10 questions on variety of micro and macro Interview 20 mins: short presentation on answer to pre-released question (with follow-up questions from interviewers) 20 mins: questions on SAQs (to help you gain marks) 20 mins: question on your chosen specialised topic You will be given a pre-released question a few weeks before the EAC date
  • 23. Student placements The GES provides year-long sandwich student placements and 6 to 12 week summer internships. Applications for 2018/19 sandwich scheme close 12pm Thurs 12th October! To be eligible 50 per cent of your course must be in economics and you must be on track for a 1st or 2:1. Sandwich students who complete their placement successfully and pass the Economic Assessment Centre at the end of placement will now be offered an initial 2 year contract on graduation: they can make this permanent through successfully applying to the Fast Stream. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/how-to-apply-for-a-government-economic-service-sandwich-stud Summer placement applications open February – check the website. GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES
  • 24. Find out more 1.Check out the GES and Fast Stream websites www.ges.gov.uk www.faststream.gov.uk/government-economic-service/ www.facebook.com/GovernmentEconomicService/ Twitter: @GES_UK 1.Check out the Green Book and Understanding Policy Options •If you can’t access them online, email us for the pdfs 1.Look at the Economy part of the ONS website https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy https://www.facebook.com/ONS Twitter: @ONS 1.Look for Nicholas Barr’s book The Economics of the Welfare State And our contact emails! faith.bannier@beis.gov.uk joshua.lidmila@beis.gov.uk alex.shirvani@beis.gov.uk GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC SERVICE Making economists better Making better use of economics GES