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Globalisation,
decentralisation, and
inclusive growth
Sean M. Dougherty
Senior Advisor
13th Annual Meeting of the Fiscal Network
Joint Session with the Inclusive Growth
Initiative
23 November 2017
Background
• Why globalisation?
– Dani Rodrik (JPE, 1998): government size and
openness interact, as a larger government size
helps to offset risks (i.e. terms-of-trade shocks)
– Alberto Alesina (early 2000s): gov’t size and
openness interact, with decentralisation
addressing greater heterogeneity of preferences
– Much less work looking at globalisation and
fiscal decentralisation, especially as they affect
inclusive growth
2
Globalisation changes the picture
3
Central and local government spending responds to
globalisation (openness) in opposite ways
Source: Akgun and Dougherty (2017)
Marginal effect of globalisation on growth
4
Expenditure decentralisation Revenue decentralisation
Marginal effect of globalisation on inequality
5
Index of globalisation Index of globalisation
Expenditure decentralisation Revenue decentralisation
Main results
• Tradeoffs between growth and equity,
once globalisation is taken into account
• Broadly, decentralisation tends to be
better for growth than for equity
• Many results are country-specific, with
no “easy answers” – it depends where
you are at on the policy topology (i.e. how
centralised or decentralised you are)
6
7Twitter @econecho
Forthcoming in the next edition of
the Fiscal Federalism Studies
• Fiscal Decentralisation and
Inclusive Growth
• Based on Workshop in May 2017
• To be launched in early 2018
• Preview on Clearspace very soon
•Website: http://oe.cd/fiscalnetwork

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Globalisation, decentralisation, and inclusive growth: How policies interact

  • 1. Globalisation, decentralisation, and inclusive growth Sean M. Dougherty Senior Advisor 13th Annual Meeting of the Fiscal Network Joint Session with the Inclusive Growth Initiative 23 November 2017
  • 2. Background • Why globalisation? – Dani Rodrik (JPE, 1998): government size and openness interact, as a larger government size helps to offset risks (i.e. terms-of-trade shocks) – Alberto Alesina (early 2000s): gov’t size and openness interact, with decentralisation addressing greater heterogeneity of preferences – Much less work looking at globalisation and fiscal decentralisation, especially as they affect inclusive growth 2
  • 3. Globalisation changes the picture 3 Central and local government spending responds to globalisation (openness) in opposite ways Source: Akgun and Dougherty (2017)
  • 4. Marginal effect of globalisation on growth 4 Expenditure decentralisation Revenue decentralisation
  • 5. Marginal effect of globalisation on inequality 5 Index of globalisation Index of globalisation Expenditure decentralisation Revenue decentralisation
  • 6. Main results • Tradeoffs between growth and equity, once globalisation is taken into account • Broadly, decentralisation tends to be better for growth than for equity • Many results are country-specific, with no “easy answers” – it depends where you are at on the policy topology (i.e. how centralised or decentralised you are) 6
  • 7. 7Twitter @econecho Forthcoming in the next edition of the Fiscal Federalism Studies • Fiscal Decentralisation and Inclusive Growth • Based on Workshop in May 2017 • To be launched in early 2018 • Preview on Clearspace very soon •Website: http://oe.cd/fiscalnetwork