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This draft paper can be cited as a forthcoming chapter
in Plaatijes, D. (ed.)(2020), Making Institutions Work,
HSRC Press, Cape Town.
Independent Oversight Bodies: Lessons from Fiscal,
Productivity and Regulatory Institutions
Sean Doughertya, Andrea Rendab and Lisa von Trappa
Affiliations: a OECD; b CEPS
Introduction
There is a growing global trend to set up independent, non-partisan institutions to
provide oversight and analysis which can inform public decision-making. The
underlying motivation is that in areas of high policy complexity, such as fiscal or
regulatory policy, or policies to promote productivity, the oversight provided by such
bodies may strengthen government commitments to various policy decisions or may
enhance the credibility of government policies. Moreover, such institutions can help
address the political economy difficulties in electoral democracies of grappling with
long-term challenges, which are often beyond the horizon of many elected policy-
makers. At the same time, this tendency is seen by some commentators as marking
the rise of technocratic solutions that end up partly replacing or side-stepping the
democratic process. For example, Youscha Mounk (2018) highlighted the rise of
‘undemocratic liberalism’, and Dani Rodrik (2018) recently echoed this view by arguing
‘our political regimes have long stopped functioning like liberal democracies and
increasingly look like undemocratic liberalism … bureaucratic bodies, autonomous
regulators, and independent courts set policies, or they are imposed from outside by
the rules of the global economy’. The rise of technocratic structures with a mandate to
recommend or even implement structural and regulatory reforms became even more
evident with the Greek crisis, as well as with the strengthening of the European
Semester during the financial and economic crisis of the past decade. And the current
success of populist movements around the world is interpreted by some as a reaction
to this trend.
In this chapter, we focus on three types of institutions which have been created in
multiple legal systems with varying governance arrangements. The first are
independent fiscal institutions (IFIs). These independent public bodies are mandated
to provide non-partisan analysis of fiscal policy and performance through various
functions, including monitoring compliance with fiscal rules, production or
endorsement of macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts, and analysis of fiscal policy
matters (OECD 2019). Many of these were set up in the aftermath of the global
financial crisis, particularly in Europe where most European Union (EU) member states
are now required to assign specific monitoring tasks to independent bodies. Examples
of this diverse group of bodies include the US Congressional Budget Office, the UK
Office for Budget Responsibility, the Spanish Independent Authority for Fiscal
Responsibility, and the Swedish Fiscal Policy Council.
The second type of body are independent productivity commissions (IPCs), such as
the Australian Productivity Commission (APC), which were followed by similar
institutions created in New Zealand, Chile and Mexico, and the new productivity
boards in the EU. The third type are regulatory oversight bodies (ROBs), such as the
Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs in the US, the Federal Commission for
Regulatory Improvement in Mexico, and the Regulatory Policy Committee of the UK.
Recent regulatory policy surveys at the level of the Organisation for Economic Co-
operation and Development (OECD) have shown an increase in the number of ROBs
appointed in OECD member countries, for the purpose of ensuring a more effective
coordination of the regulatory process.
Most recently, a multi-level governance dimension seems to have emerged, with some
countries seeing the need for intergovernmental or subnational institutions, covering
one or more of these three substantive areas. Examples include the Council of
Australian Governments (COAG) fiscal and regulatory processes, based on the
existence of oversight bodies at the federal and state levels (e.g. the Victorian
Competition and Efficiency Commission), the Finnish Council of Regulatory Impact
Analysis, and the Fiscal and Financial Commission of South Africa.
In all of these areas, the landscape of new institutions and institutional forms has
evolved rapidly in recent decades, often with the strong encouragement of supra-
national entities such as the European Commission. The OECD has also played a key
role in helping to foster their development and advocate for best practices.
Yet important normative questions merit further explanation. In particular, what are the
key underlying motivations for setting up these institutions? Are there common
features of independent bodies across countries, and across the three fields
considered? What is the scope of these entities across levels of government, and
particularly, how common and how useful are subnational entities? And finally, are
these institutions, typically oriented towards more evidence-based policy-making, an
attempt to replace democracy with technocracy?
The following sections describe the evolution and main features of IFIs, IPCs and
ROBs with examples from various countries. The last section concludes by drawing
lessons, offering some avenues for further research, and providing comments on the
ongoing trends towards technocratic approaches to government policy.
Independent fiscal institutions
IFIs are mandated to provide non-partisan analysis of fiscal policy and performance.
Drawing on the experience of early IFIs, the idea to adapt some of the positive
experiences of independent central banking to the fiscal sphere gathered impetus with
the surge of government deficits and debts brought on by the 2008/09 financial crisis.
However, while IFIs may constrain policy discretion, unlike central banks, they do not
control any policy levers.
Within the OECD, the number of IFIs has more than tripled, with the largest growth in
Europe, as shown in Figure 1. Today, IFIs are considered part of good-practice fiscal
frameworks.
Figure 1: Growth of IFIs in the OECD
Source: OECD (2019)
While fiscal decision-making is ultimately the responsibility of democratically elected officials,
IFIs serve – often in combination with credible fiscal rules – to promote sound fiscal policy and
sustainable public finances. Most institutions perform specific forms of ex ante analysis, such
as checking the consistency of proposed fiscal measures with more general policy objectives,
as well as providing forecast assessments (Beetsma and Debrun 2018). Core IFI functions
make it harder for governments to fool the public with optimistic forecasts or biased estimates
of the cyclical position, helping to address biases towards spending and deficits. Analysis by
IFIs fosters greater transparency and accountability and enriches the public debate. The work
of IFIs can empower legislatures in their debates on the performance of the economy and on
the impact of the budget and in holding government to account. IFIs can also help the public
to make more informed electoral choices, raising reputational and electoral costs for
governments that choose to pursue imprudent fiscal policies or break key commitments (von
Trapp and Nicol 2017). In the longer term, the check provided by an IFI incentivises the
executive’s budget office to continually improve the quality of their work and may help protect
technical staff in that office from pressures to produce politically motivated numbers.
IFIs within the OECD are an extremely diverse set of bodies, with great variation in terms of
their institutional models, mandates, tasks, governance arrangements and resources. Their
characteristics are informed by country-specific circumstances and, in the case of European
IFIs, by supra-national commitments. Despite their differences, there is broad agreement on
critical factors to ensure independence and good functioning of IFIs, as outlined in the OECD
Recommendation of the Council on Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions (2014a), and
in literature concerning independence for other independent bodies (OECD 2017).
One of the lessons that newer institutions have taken on board, deriving particularly from the
experience of the US Congressional Budget Office, is that independence and non-partisanship
– real and perceived – are essential to an IFI’s success. Independence should be underpinned
by a clear legal framework which puts the IFI on a statutory footing. Legislation gives the
institution legal separation from the executive or Parliament (and other public institutions) and
typically contains provisions relating to the leadership appointment and dismissal process, the
institution’s resources, and rights to access information, among other things (von Trapp 2018).
However, that de jure independence does not always translate into de facto independence
and may not capture the relationship culture of the IFI, government and other public
institutions. Most IFIs work to gain de facto independence over time through their actions and
analysis. To gain respectability and protection from threats to its existence, the institution’s
non-partisanship may need to be tested over two or more electoral cycles, ideally covering
governments of different political orientation (Kopits 2011).
The OECD IFI Database (OECD 2019) collects information on the key characteristics of IFIs
within the OECD. Over 40 variables provide information on their context for establishment,
legal basis, institutional model, relationship with the legislature, independence, leadership,
resources, mandate and functions, publications, access to information, transparency, advisory
support and evaluation arrangements. These data have allowed the OECD to build a fairly
comprehensive first measure of IFI independence, as illustrated in Figure 2.
Figure 2: Index of IFI independence
Source: von Trapp and Nicol (2018)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Independence
score
Access to information and transparency Operational independence Legal and financial independence Leadership independence
The index of IFI independence shows that the majority of OECD IFIs have been designed to
be highly independent and that most score particularly well on variables related to leadership
independence and transparency (von Trapp and Nicol 2018). However, local context remains
an important factor when discussing IFI independence. Even where they have been well
designed from a legal standpoint, IFIs may lack the necessary information and resources they
need to carry out their functions freely. Indeed, institutions tended to score less well on
variables related to access to information, financial independence and operational
independence.
Work to demonstrate the impact of IFIs is still in its early stages. As a largely young group of
institutions, with a small absolute number and considerable heterogeneity, any empirical
assessment is complicated. Nevertheless, research indicates several key features of effective
fiscal councils, including strict operational independence, a strong presence in the public
debate, and a role in fiscal rule monitoring and production or assessment of forecasts (e.g.
Debrun and Kinda 2014; IMF 2013; OECD 2012). The principle of local ownership was also
identified as a potentially important factor in explaining the extent to which EU IFIs have
sufficient resources to deliver effective oversight (Horvath 2017). Beetsma and Debrun (2018)
find suggestive evidence that the presence of fiscal councils seems to eliminate optimistic
biases in budgetary forecasts and to improve their accuracy. All else being equal, IFIs also
appear to foster compliance with budget-balance and expenditure rules, in part through their
influence on the accuracy of budget plans.
Independent productivity commissions
Despite being widely acknowledged as an intermediate, rather than final, goal of economic
policy, productivity is considered as a key driver of long-run economic prosperity. Against this
background, economic data since the mid-1990s, and particularly since the Great Recession,
show a slowdown in productivity growth that reflects a mix of cyclical and structural factors,
which prevent rapid technological change from propelling aggregate productivity growth as it
has done in the past (OECD 2016b). Dougherty and Renda (2017) analyse ten emerging
institutions, including six productivity commissions established in Australia, Chile, Denmark,
Mexico, New Zealand and Norway. Table 1 summarises some of the key features of the
selected institutions. As shown, the degree of diversity is remarkable. However, these
institutions all strive to place productivity at the centre of the debate, with different resources,
strategies, tools and instruments. A review of what has proven to work and what might have
been done differently could prove useful for all those countries wishing to set up similar
institutions in the future.
Table 1: Comparison of selected productivity commissions
Institution Type of
institution
Date
create
d
Staff Mission Location
Australian
Productivity
Commission
Standing inquiry
body
1998 163 + 12
commissioners
Promoting productivity-
enhancing reforms
Independent,
reports to executive
and Parliament
Chilean
Productivity
Commission
Standing inquiry
body
2015 7 + board of 8 Increase productivity to
improve long-term well-
being
Independent,
reports to the prime
minister
Danish
Productivity
Commission
Ad hoc task
force
2012 9 members
14 secretariat
Issue recommendations on
how to improve productivity
in the private and public
sectors
Independent,
reports to the prime
minister
Mexican
Productivity
Committee
Government
advisory council
2013 21 members
3 secretariat
Propose reforms and public
policies that improve
productivity
Government body,
chaired by the
head of
government
New Zealand
Productivity
Commission
Standing inquiry
body
2010 15 researchers
5 admin
Improved well-being,
improved productivity
Independent,
reports to
Parliament
Norwegian
Productivity
Commission
Ad hoc task
force
2014 10 members
5 secretariat
Enhancing productivity and
improving resource
utilisation
Independent,
reports to the prime
minister
Source: Dougherty and Renda (2017)
Our research revealed the growing importance and perceived usefulness of productivity
commissions. This is due to their ability to incorporate inputs and evidence from various
sectors of the economy, and from a variety of sources including civil society, business,
academia and other institutions. At the same time, these institutions feature a growing need
to communicate effectively the institution’s findings to the general public, which poses different
challenges depending on whether the body in charge is a standing inquiry body, fully
independent of government, or a functionally autonomous body located within the centre of
government. Communicating the expected impacts of proposed reforms is essential for
stakeholders to understand the relevance of recommendations issued by the institution. This
led several institutions to enter the evaluation space and also to become more visible in the
media.1
Periodic reporting on productivity, and the creation of one or more landmark reports,
can also help keep proposed reforms under the spotlight. Finally, a strong political commitment
to follow up on the recommendations issued by the institution is essential, and can take various
forms: providing a strong legal basis and both de jure and de facto independence to the
institution;2
chairing a multi-stakeholder body at the highest political level (Mexico3
); appointing
highly reputed academics to be in charge of or lead standing inquiry bodies or advisory
councils at the centre of government (Chile, Denmark); mandating research on specific
pressing policy issues, to be analysed by the institution in a transparent and in-depth manner
(Australia, New Zealand); committing to explicitly discuss or even to formally adopt and
implement the institution’s recommendations (Mexico4
); involving the institution in the design
and/or evaluation of policies (Chile); and providing the institution with capacity to start its own
research projects, in addition to responding to government requests (Australia, New Zealand).
In terms of institutional design, there seems to be no one-size-fits-all solution: institutions that
can be considered as ‘success stories’, such as the APC, are not easy to transplant from one
legal system to another (Banks 2015). There is a strong need to adapt institutional and
governance arrangements to national legal and political culture, as well as available
resources. There also seems to be a strong link between the effectiveness of productivity
commissions and the extent to which good governance and better regulation principles are
embedded in the legal system. In this respect, IPCs and ROBs (discussed below) are to be
considered as complementary and mutually reinforcing. A well-designed IPC surrounded by
government administrations that lack transparency and accountability arrangements, good
public management practices, and skills, may remain a ‘preacher in the desert’, and not offer
good value for money. Depending on the design of the pro-productivity institution, the legal
arrangements that can promote further involvement in the policy process may vary. For
example, IPCs can help governments by coupling policy recommendations with a preliminary
impact analysis which incorporates an assessment of the distributional impacts of proposed
reforms; they can carry out early stakeholder consultation on proposed reforms; assist ROBs
in validating the quality of economic analysis of proposed new regulations; assist government
departments and ministries in the retrospective review of existing rules, or clusters of rules; or
evaluate the functioning of the whole regulatory system.
Pro-productivity institutions can play a valuable role in securing what the OECD (2015)
recently defined as the objective of ‘aligning policies’ for the long term. On the one hand, the
link between daily policy-making and long-term goals is increasingly felt, especially with
respect to the sustainable development goals and the need to restore productivity growth
through ambitious socioeconomic transformations. On the other hand, in many countries
better regulation is limited to public sector activities, and the evaluation function is located
inside of government, which makes it difficult to evaluate the impact of structural reforms on
long-term well-being.
The need for autonomy and independence is also reflected in the need for sufficient budget
and resources to organise the institution’s research work, as well as to adequately engage
with stakeholders, for example through extensive public consultation. One aspect relates to
whether budgets are determined annually or on a multi-year basis, which can help to shield
the institutions from undue influence (OECD 2014b). While certain institutions only led to the
compilation of relevant research with little ambition to produce new findings based on original
data or inquiries (e.g. in Denmark and Norway, where the productivity commissions were more
academic in orientation), most other institutions have the ambition to be active in research and
in the production of new findings, whether through inquiries or empirical research. However,
the budgetary and human resources these institutions are endowed with are not always
compatible with this ambition.5
As a consequence, it is important to point out that, if the role
of a pro-productivity institution is to be taken seriously, not only the work of the institution has
to be performed independently, but the resources made available should also be sufficient to
attract a good number of high-quality researchers, as well as to allow for peer review, public
consultation, and quality control of research methodologies and results.6
For example, the
Norwegian Commission was supported by competent staff from the relevant economic
ministries and also drew on analytical work by Norwegian academic experts and consultants.
The Danish Commission had a relatively small secretariat (considering its very broad
mandate) and could have benefited from having more resources, although its members tried
to draw as much as possible on outside expertise and relevant academic research.
Regulatory oversight bodies
Over the past two decades, many countries have emphasised the importance of regulatory
policy and governance as means to achieve high-quality regulation, and better outcomes in
terms of economic growth and well-being. The OECD (2014b) was among the first to
recognise the importance of the so-called ‘regulatory governance cycle’ whereby governments
exercise control over the design, implementation, delivery and evaluation of regulations over
time, managing at once the flow and the stock of regulation to the benefit of society as a whole.
Within the regulatory governance cycle, one of the key functions is regulatory oversight and
coordination. The need to carry out this key function (and others that cannot be qualified per
se as coordination and oversight) has, in many countries, also led to the belief that at least
one dedicated body would be needed. Since the late 1990s, the OECD has repeatedly stated
the importance of linking impact assessment to an oversight body as a key enabler of the
success of regulatory impact analysis (RIA) models, and of regulatory reform more generally.7
The growing trend in setting up ROBs is confirmed by the recent OECD survey on regulatory
policy (see OECD 2018). The OECD Secretariat proposes that ‘regulatory oversight’ be
defined along the broad lines of the 2012 Recommendation as the variety of functions and
tasks carried out by bodies/entities in the executive or at arm’s length from the government in
order to promote high-quality evidence-based regulatory decision-making. These functions
have been categorised in five areas, which can be addressed by a single institution/body, or
by a plurality of institutions/bodies (Table 2).
Table 2: Areas and key tasks of regulatory oversight
Areas of regulatory
oversight
Key tasks (core versus non-core)
Quality control
(scrutiny of the flow of new
regulations)
Core functions
Scrutinise ex ante impact assessments and/or ex post evaluations of legislation
Scrutinise the use of regulatory management tools (including stakeholder
consultation) and challenge if deemed unsatisfactory
Monitor compliance with better regulation guidelines
Non-core functions
Carry out ex ante impact assessments and/or ex post evaluations
Advise on specific tests (e.g. competition test)
Scrutinise the quality of the legal drafting
Advocate the adoption of specific new regulatory interventions (e.g. prompt letters)
Scrutinise and coordinate international regulatory cooperation
Identifying areas of policy
where regulation can be
made more effective
(scrutiny of the stock of
existing regulations)
Core functions
Coordinate the programming and execution of reviews of entire policy areas across
government
Oversee the introduction and application of review and sunset clauses
Coordinate baseline measurements of administrative burdens
Coordinate and evaluate the application of stock-flow linkage rules
Monitor and enforce cost reduction targets (regulatory budgeting)
Non-core functions
Gather opinions from stakeholders on areas in which regulatory costs are excessive
and/or regulations fail to achieve their objectives
Carry out reviews of regulations and regulatory stock
Advocate for particular areas of reform
Systematic improvement of
regulatory policy
(scrutiny of the system)
Core functions
Monitoring and reporting, including reporting progress to Parliament/government to
help track success of implementation of regulatory policy/governance
Coordinate with other oversight bodies (if any)
Non-core functions
Evaluate the regulatory governance framework and propose changes
Institutional relations, e.g. cooperation with international fora
Coordination
(coherence of the approach
in the administration)
Core functions
Promote a whole-of-government, coordinated approach to regulatory quality
Coordinate specific aspects of the regulatory governance cycle (e.g. ‘delivery’,
implementation/enforcement)
Encourage the smooth adoption of the different aspects of regulatory policy at every
stage of the policy cycle
Facilitate and ensure internal coordination across ministries/departments in the
application of regulatory management tools
Non-core functions
Engage in regulatory planning
Coordinate the work of institutions in charge of providing advice or otherwise
intervene in the policy cycle
Promote international regulatory cooperation across the whole of government, and
coordinate formal regulatory cooperation agreements and arrangements
Guidance, advice and
support
(capacity-building in the
administration)
Core functions
Issue guidelines and guidance
Non-core functions
Provide assistance and training to regulators/administrations for managing
regulatory policy tools (i.e. impacts assessments and stakeholder engagement)
Source: Castro and Renda (2019)
Castro and Renda (2019) reveal a fragmented landscape for regulatory oversight and
coordination across selected OECD countries. They find that most jurisdictions have decided
to appoint dedicated bodies in charge of regulatory oversight and coordination. Even when
this has not led to the creation of separate institutions, the units in charge of regulatory
oversight are clearly identified within the administration. Moreover, most countries locate the
bodies at or close to the centre of government, with some exceptions, such as jurisdictions
that locate their ROBs in economic departments to ensure stronger cooperation with
businesses (e.g. Mexico, UK); jurisdictions that rely mostly on independent ROBs in charge of
scrutinising regulation mostly to ensure the achievement of burden reduction targets (France,
Germany and the Netherlands); and one jurisdiction in which the Ministry of Justice, not
without major problems, is coordinating the use of smart regulation tools (Estonia).
In terms of functions, in many countries there is a clear tendency towards closing the
regulatory policy cycle through systematic ex post evaluation. Many jurisdictions have
introduced an obligation to perform ex post evaluations (often coordinated by a ROB) in the
past three to four years. However, in some jurisdictions, it is still too early to judge the quality
of such evaluations. There is also a clear tendency towards following and assessing rules in
their implementation phase, in order to track the regulatory costs generated by the ineffective
implementation and enforcement of legal rules. However, few jurisdictions have an explicit
mechanism for the evaluation of the performance of ROBs. In most jurisdictions, ROBs are
evaluated as part of the whole regulatory policy (or RIA) system; in most cases, they self-
evaluate with the publication of periodic reports, or by commissioning occasional, voluntary
third-party evaluations.
Past research allows us to draw some lessons from the existing experience with ROBs. In
order for a ROB to fully achieve its mission, it needs to be given a consistent mandate, which
entails a full range of powers to control, supervise and influence the activity of the
administrations in charge of policy portfolios. A ROB’s mandate must also be accompanied by
suitable instruments, including the power to scrutinise and oversee ex ante RIAs and ex post
evaluations, and the power to request the opinion of other institutions (e.g. competition
authorities, anti-corruption and tax authorities). Different roles, mandates and instruments call
for different degrees of independence of the ROB. The more regulatory reform is aimed at
regulatory coherence and the realisation of the government’s agenda for the electoral period,
the more likely and appropriate it will be that the oversight body is located inside government.
Finally, the role, mandate, degree of independence and location of a ROB determine its
accountability and the mode of evaluation of its performance. ROBs located at the centre of
government and in charge of overseeing full-fledged RIA systems would normally be
accountable to the prime minister (or equivalent) and can be subject to ex post evaluation by
audit offices (government or judiciary). Ad hoc external bodies that represent specific
stakeholders would normally be accountable to their specific constituencies.
Following an OECD conference in Sydney (OECD 2016a), the merits of different approaches
to oversight were synthesised (Table 3). Overall, the recent discussion seems to favour a
comprehensive, integrated approach to evaluation across the administration that feeds into
political decision-making, while at the same time ensuring independence from political
pressures.
Table 3: Merits and challenges of different oversight models for ex ante and ex
post evaluation
Body in charge of
regulatory oversight Merits Challenges
Line ministry • performs RIA for a particular
type of impact
• no integrated approach to regulatory
oversight
• may lack authority/credibility
Central government • can take on a bird’s-eye view
• access to information from
different parts of government
• may face more pressure for exemptions
Independent body • provides an independent view to
Parliament and the general
public
• may be too far from decision-making
processes
Parliament • independent from government • actor that is involved in the development
of regulations at a late stage
• not all regulations pass through
Parliament
Source: OECD (2016a)
Conclusions and main lessons learnt
Our brief description of the main findings from research on three main types of independent
institutions shows the difficulty and importance of this type of institutional reform and design.
Getting governance and institutional design right is essential to avoid the creation of
technocratic structures that end up clashing with the legitimate stances of those that would
want to see a more shared, bottom-up definition of priorities and actions of governments. The
main lessons that can be drawn from the previous sections are summarised below.
First, for concerns about their scope of activity, independent bodies with a broad mandate can
benefit from a whole-of-government approach in formulating recommendations and interacting
with other institutions. Productivity institutions typically prefer to adopt a broad approach to
productivity, focused on the improvement of living standards over time and even bordering on
sustainable development, rather that sticking to the textbook, supply-side definition of
productivity (Dougherty and Renda 2017). And ROBs are expanding their remit to cover the
stock of regulation in several sectors, and increasingly provide recommendations for reform
(e.g. so-called ‘prompt letters’). When they manage cost reduction agendas or regulatory
budgets, they also increasingly adopt a whole-of-government approach, which is considered
as the most effective to trigger a change of mindset in the administration (Renda 2017). The
scope of these institutions has already created inevitable overlaps between them, both with
fiscal and productivity (e.g. the Danish Economic Council) and with productivity institutions
becoming active in regulatory oversight (e.g. France Stratégie; the Chilean Productivity
Commission; the Australian and New Zealand productivity commissions).
In terms of governance, a common trait is the functional autonomy of the surveyed institutions,
with varying degrees of institutional independence. In the case of IFIs, independence is
typically stronger, as these institutions are set up also with the aim to monitor government
activity and its impact on budgets and fiscal policy. Productivity institutions are independent,
but sometimes nested in government (France and Mexico). ROBs are internal whenever they
play a role of coordination of the regulatory agenda, and become more external, independent
watchdogs when they focus on specific government impacts (such as the reduction of
administrative burdens). Overall, guaranteeing at least functional independence seems to be
important to secure the effectiveness of these institutions. The ability to abstract from the day-
to-day constraints that many governments face allows these institutions to more freely observe
the medium to long-term consequences of government action, as well as structural problems
in the functioning of the government ‘machine’. Another emerging trend is the multi-
stakeholder nature of these bodies. In particular, productivity commissions and ROBs are
increasingly composed of a mix of public officials and private sector representatives. On the
other hand, this would be seen as undermining the independence of IFIs, which nevertheless
interact with a range of stakeholders.
While a handful of IFIs have conducted external evaluations, more needs to be done in terms
of evaluation of the performance of independent bodies, once there is a sufficient track record.
Distance from civil society seems to be one of the most problematic aspects of these
institutions.
Another important trend, fuelled also by the intense scepticism voiced by many political
movements on the emergence of technocratic structures, is the need for effective outreach
and communication. This was recognised in the OECD Council Recommendation on
Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions (OECD 2014). Even internal bodies such as the
US Council of Economic Advisers reported the need to communicate in more innovative ways,
explaining to the general public why, and how, they conducted their analyses and reached
their findings. Productivity commissions in Australia and New Zealand meticulously consult
stakeholders during their inquiries, and widely disseminate their findings. ROBs still struggle,
due to their very technical nature, and in some cases suffer from an ‘invisibility syndrome’ that
limits the legitimacy, authoritativeness and effectiveness of their activity (e.g. the EU
Regulatory Scrutiny Board).
In terms of skills and budget, many of the surveyed bodies seem to have insufficient resources
and budgets to fully carry out their functions. This may be due to tight budgetary constraints,
but also to the fact that the creation of these authorities was de facto recommended (if not
imposed) from the outside, so that governments have an intention to moderate their scale to
avoid them becoming too powerful a voice. In Australia, the Productivity Commission counts
on more than 160 researchers and is so well established that its staff, salary levels and
reputation among civil servants rival that of the central bank. In Chile, the Productivity
Commission lives with no more than six researchers. It is very important to ensure that in
terms of budget and skills, these bodies are adequately endowed. Otherwise, the quality of
their work and recommendations will only fuel the protest of those that see in their creation a
move away from democracy.
Finally, these bodies seem to be increasingly active in multi-level cooperation, by liaising with
their international counterparts (in a structured way for IFIs, in a more informal way for
oversight bodies and productivity commissions, such as through OECD networks). In the EU,
both fiscal councils and productivity boards are now coordinated (to some extent) at the EU
level, but no coordination exists for ROBs (if not through informal networks, such as the
Directors and Experts of Better Regulation, and bottom-up initiatives such as RegWatch,
which only group a subset of member states). In countries like Australia and Canada, and
partly in Germany, coordination between the national and subnational ROBs is officially in
place (e.g. via COAG).
Against this background, our overall conclusion is that the jury is still out on the effectiveness
and efficiency of creating technocratic structures in key, horizontal areas such as fiscal policy,
productivity-oriented reforms and regulatory oversight and coordination. While future research
should shed light on the actual impact of these institutions on the economic performance of
these countries, our preliminary findings point at positive impacts whenever the institutions at
hand are provided with adequate staff and budget; they have a sufficient degree of
independence; they are plugged into the policy process; and reach out and communicate well
to stakeholders and the general public to motivate, credibly, the process and result of their
activities. This due process requirement seems to be the only solution to the growing divide
between the need to strengthen the technical dimension of policy advice and implementation,
and the need to reach out to the general public to show that experts, most often, are not the
enemy of ordinary people.
References
Banks, G. (2015) Institutions to promote pro-productivity policies: Logic and lessons.
OECD Productivity Working Papers, No. 1.
Beetsma, R. and Debrun, X. (eds.) (2018) Independent fiscal councils: Watchdogs or lapdogs?
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institutions. In I. Aninat and S. Razmilic (eds.), Un Estado para la Ciudadanía: Estudios
para su modernización. Santiago: Centro de Estudios Públicos. www.cepchile.cl/un-
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07/093931.html (accessed 2 August 2020).
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(accessed 2 August 2020).
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IFI database. In R. Beetsma, and X. Debrun (eds.), Independent fiscal councils:
Watchdogs or lapdogs? VoxEU and CEPR. https://voxeu.org/content/independent-
fiscal-councils-watchdogs-or-lapdogs (accessed 2 August 2020).
von Trapp, L., Lienert, I. and Wehner, J. (2016) Principles for independent fiscal institutions
and case studies. OECD Journal on Budgeting 15(2). http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/budget-
15-5jm2795tv625 (accessed 2 August 2020).
Notes
1. See, e.g., www.pc.gov.au/news-media/media-releases; http://www.productivity.govt.nz/inquiry-content/2032?stage=4;
http://igps.victoria.ac.nz/publications/files/7339ad6aae2.pdf; http://www.businesspost.ie/work-harder-cut-costs-competitiveness-
council-to-irish-business/.
2. For example, the APC was created as an independent authority by an Act of Parliament in 1998, whereas the New Zealand Productivity
Commission was set up as an independent crown entity. In Chile, the legal basis of the Productivity Commission is now being
strengthened in an attempt to consolidate the standing and legitimacy of the institution.
3. The fact that the president of Mexico participates in one of the sessions of the Productivity Commission reportedly motivates the
involvement and participation of all stakeholders. The president’s presence is limited to one meeting to avoid the discussion becoming
too formal and the debate being less open.
4. Recommendations are being made binding for government administrations in Mexico. Some administrations mandatorily report on their
adoption on a regular basis (e.g. in Ireland, limited to the Jobs Action Plan), or the government responds to the recommendations with a
communication or a motivated statement (e.g. often in Australia and New Zealand).
5. In Mexico there are three staff members in the Economic Productivity Unit of the Ministry of Finance, only one of whom is dedicated
full time to the agenda and operations of the Productivity Commission. In Chile, seven researchers bear the burden of at least two
parallel inquiries per year, and are often involved with short-term problems in addition. In Australia and New Zealand, the productivity
commissions conduct parallel in-depth inquiries, which entail, for instance, travelling throughout the country to meet with stakeholders.
6. For example, in Australia the Productivity Commission competes with the most highly reputed institutions (e.g. the central bank) in
attracting the best graduate students. Moreover, the chairman of the Productivity Commission observed that the body is able to retain
graduates for an average 10 to 12 years, which is remarkably more than what happens in other parts of government. Graduate students
thus remain, develop, learn and pass on their experience – this is one of the advantages of independence, and also of stability and
institutionalisation.
7. Among the many OECD publications on this issue, see in particular OECD (2005).

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Independent oversight bodies lessons from fiscal productivity and regulatory institutions 2018

  • 1. This draft paper can be cited as a forthcoming chapter in Plaatijes, D. (ed.)(2020), Making Institutions Work, HSRC Press, Cape Town. Independent Oversight Bodies: Lessons from Fiscal, Productivity and Regulatory Institutions Sean Doughertya, Andrea Rendab and Lisa von Trappa Affiliations: a OECD; b CEPS Introduction There is a growing global trend to set up independent, non-partisan institutions to provide oversight and analysis which can inform public decision-making. The underlying motivation is that in areas of high policy complexity, such as fiscal or regulatory policy, or policies to promote productivity, the oversight provided by such bodies may strengthen government commitments to various policy decisions or may enhance the credibility of government policies. Moreover, such institutions can help address the political economy difficulties in electoral democracies of grappling with long-term challenges, which are often beyond the horizon of many elected policy- makers. At the same time, this tendency is seen by some commentators as marking the rise of technocratic solutions that end up partly replacing or side-stepping the democratic process. For example, Youscha Mounk (2018) highlighted the rise of ‘undemocratic liberalism’, and Dani Rodrik (2018) recently echoed this view by arguing ‘our political regimes have long stopped functioning like liberal democracies and increasingly look like undemocratic liberalism … bureaucratic bodies, autonomous regulators, and independent courts set policies, or they are imposed from outside by the rules of the global economy’. The rise of technocratic structures with a mandate to recommend or even implement structural and regulatory reforms became even more
  • 2. evident with the Greek crisis, as well as with the strengthening of the European Semester during the financial and economic crisis of the past decade. And the current success of populist movements around the world is interpreted by some as a reaction to this trend. In this chapter, we focus on three types of institutions which have been created in multiple legal systems with varying governance arrangements. The first are independent fiscal institutions (IFIs). These independent public bodies are mandated to provide non-partisan analysis of fiscal policy and performance through various functions, including monitoring compliance with fiscal rules, production or endorsement of macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts, and analysis of fiscal policy matters (OECD 2019). Many of these were set up in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, particularly in Europe where most European Union (EU) member states are now required to assign specific monitoring tasks to independent bodies. Examples of this diverse group of bodies include the US Congressional Budget Office, the UK Office for Budget Responsibility, the Spanish Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, and the Swedish Fiscal Policy Council. The second type of body are independent productivity commissions (IPCs), such as the Australian Productivity Commission (APC), which were followed by similar institutions created in New Zealand, Chile and Mexico, and the new productivity boards in the EU. The third type are regulatory oversight bodies (ROBs), such as the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs in the US, the Federal Commission for Regulatory Improvement in Mexico, and the Regulatory Policy Committee of the UK. Recent regulatory policy surveys at the level of the Organisation for Economic Co- operation and Development (OECD) have shown an increase in the number of ROBs
  • 3. appointed in OECD member countries, for the purpose of ensuring a more effective coordination of the regulatory process. Most recently, a multi-level governance dimension seems to have emerged, with some countries seeing the need for intergovernmental or subnational institutions, covering one or more of these three substantive areas. Examples include the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) fiscal and regulatory processes, based on the existence of oversight bodies at the federal and state levels (e.g. the Victorian Competition and Efficiency Commission), the Finnish Council of Regulatory Impact Analysis, and the Fiscal and Financial Commission of South Africa. In all of these areas, the landscape of new institutions and institutional forms has evolved rapidly in recent decades, often with the strong encouragement of supra- national entities such as the European Commission. The OECD has also played a key role in helping to foster their development and advocate for best practices. Yet important normative questions merit further explanation. In particular, what are the key underlying motivations for setting up these institutions? Are there common features of independent bodies across countries, and across the three fields considered? What is the scope of these entities across levels of government, and particularly, how common and how useful are subnational entities? And finally, are these institutions, typically oriented towards more evidence-based policy-making, an attempt to replace democracy with technocracy? The following sections describe the evolution and main features of IFIs, IPCs and ROBs with examples from various countries. The last section concludes by drawing lessons, offering some avenues for further research, and providing comments on the ongoing trends towards technocratic approaches to government policy.
  • 4. Independent fiscal institutions IFIs are mandated to provide non-partisan analysis of fiscal policy and performance. Drawing on the experience of early IFIs, the idea to adapt some of the positive experiences of independent central banking to the fiscal sphere gathered impetus with the surge of government deficits and debts brought on by the 2008/09 financial crisis. However, while IFIs may constrain policy discretion, unlike central banks, they do not control any policy levers. Within the OECD, the number of IFIs has more than tripled, with the largest growth in Europe, as shown in Figure 1. Today, IFIs are considered part of good-practice fiscal frameworks. Figure 1: Growth of IFIs in the OECD Source: OECD (2019) While fiscal decision-making is ultimately the responsibility of democratically elected officials, IFIs serve – often in combination with credible fiscal rules – to promote sound fiscal policy and
  • 5. sustainable public finances. Most institutions perform specific forms of ex ante analysis, such as checking the consistency of proposed fiscal measures with more general policy objectives, as well as providing forecast assessments (Beetsma and Debrun 2018). Core IFI functions make it harder for governments to fool the public with optimistic forecasts or biased estimates of the cyclical position, helping to address biases towards spending and deficits. Analysis by IFIs fosters greater transparency and accountability and enriches the public debate. The work of IFIs can empower legislatures in their debates on the performance of the economy and on the impact of the budget and in holding government to account. IFIs can also help the public to make more informed electoral choices, raising reputational and electoral costs for governments that choose to pursue imprudent fiscal policies or break key commitments (von Trapp and Nicol 2017). In the longer term, the check provided by an IFI incentivises the executive’s budget office to continually improve the quality of their work and may help protect technical staff in that office from pressures to produce politically motivated numbers. IFIs within the OECD are an extremely diverse set of bodies, with great variation in terms of their institutional models, mandates, tasks, governance arrangements and resources. Their characteristics are informed by country-specific circumstances and, in the case of European IFIs, by supra-national commitments. Despite their differences, there is broad agreement on critical factors to ensure independence and good functioning of IFIs, as outlined in the OECD Recommendation of the Council on Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions (2014a), and in literature concerning independence for other independent bodies (OECD 2017). One of the lessons that newer institutions have taken on board, deriving particularly from the experience of the US Congressional Budget Office, is that independence and non-partisanship – real and perceived – are essential to an IFI’s success. Independence should be underpinned by a clear legal framework which puts the IFI on a statutory footing. Legislation gives the institution legal separation from the executive or Parliament (and other public institutions) and typically contains provisions relating to the leadership appointment and dismissal process, the institution’s resources, and rights to access information, among other things (von Trapp 2018).
  • 6. However, that de jure independence does not always translate into de facto independence and may not capture the relationship culture of the IFI, government and other public institutions. Most IFIs work to gain de facto independence over time through their actions and analysis. To gain respectability and protection from threats to its existence, the institution’s non-partisanship may need to be tested over two or more electoral cycles, ideally covering governments of different political orientation (Kopits 2011). The OECD IFI Database (OECD 2019) collects information on the key characteristics of IFIs within the OECD. Over 40 variables provide information on their context for establishment, legal basis, institutional model, relationship with the legislature, independence, leadership, resources, mandate and functions, publications, access to information, transparency, advisory support and evaluation arrangements. These data have allowed the OECD to build a fairly comprehensive first measure of IFI independence, as illustrated in Figure 2. Figure 2: Index of IFI independence Source: von Trapp and Nicol (2018) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Independence score Access to information and transparency Operational independence Legal and financial independence Leadership independence
  • 7. The index of IFI independence shows that the majority of OECD IFIs have been designed to be highly independent and that most score particularly well on variables related to leadership independence and transparency (von Trapp and Nicol 2018). However, local context remains an important factor when discussing IFI independence. Even where they have been well designed from a legal standpoint, IFIs may lack the necessary information and resources they need to carry out their functions freely. Indeed, institutions tended to score less well on variables related to access to information, financial independence and operational independence. Work to demonstrate the impact of IFIs is still in its early stages. As a largely young group of institutions, with a small absolute number and considerable heterogeneity, any empirical assessment is complicated. Nevertheless, research indicates several key features of effective fiscal councils, including strict operational independence, a strong presence in the public debate, and a role in fiscal rule monitoring and production or assessment of forecasts (e.g. Debrun and Kinda 2014; IMF 2013; OECD 2012). The principle of local ownership was also identified as a potentially important factor in explaining the extent to which EU IFIs have sufficient resources to deliver effective oversight (Horvath 2017). Beetsma and Debrun (2018) find suggestive evidence that the presence of fiscal councils seems to eliminate optimistic biases in budgetary forecasts and to improve their accuracy. All else being equal, IFIs also appear to foster compliance with budget-balance and expenditure rules, in part through their influence on the accuracy of budget plans. Independent productivity commissions Despite being widely acknowledged as an intermediate, rather than final, goal of economic policy, productivity is considered as a key driver of long-run economic prosperity. Against this background, economic data since the mid-1990s, and particularly since the Great Recession, show a slowdown in productivity growth that reflects a mix of cyclical and structural factors, which prevent rapid technological change from propelling aggregate productivity growth as it has done in the past (OECD 2016b). Dougherty and Renda (2017) analyse ten emerging
  • 8. institutions, including six productivity commissions established in Australia, Chile, Denmark, Mexico, New Zealand and Norway. Table 1 summarises some of the key features of the selected institutions. As shown, the degree of diversity is remarkable. However, these institutions all strive to place productivity at the centre of the debate, with different resources, strategies, tools and instruments. A review of what has proven to work and what might have been done differently could prove useful for all those countries wishing to set up similar institutions in the future. Table 1: Comparison of selected productivity commissions Institution Type of institution Date create d Staff Mission Location Australian Productivity Commission Standing inquiry body 1998 163 + 12 commissioners Promoting productivity- enhancing reforms Independent, reports to executive and Parliament Chilean Productivity Commission Standing inquiry body 2015 7 + board of 8 Increase productivity to improve long-term well- being Independent, reports to the prime minister Danish Productivity Commission Ad hoc task force 2012 9 members 14 secretariat Issue recommendations on how to improve productivity in the private and public sectors Independent, reports to the prime minister Mexican Productivity Committee Government advisory council 2013 21 members 3 secretariat Propose reforms and public policies that improve productivity Government body, chaired by the head of government New Zealand Productivity Commission Standing inquiry body 2010 15 researchers 5 admin Improved well-being, improved productivity Independent, reports to Parliament Norwegian Productivity Commission Ad hoc task force 2014 10 members 5 secretariat Enhancing productivity and improving resource utilisation Independent, reports to the prime minister Source: Dougherty and Renda (2017) Our research revealed the growing importance and perceived usefulness of productivity commissions. This is due to their ability to incorporate inputs and evidence from various sectors of the economy, and from a variety of sources including civil society, business, academia and other institutions. At the same time, these institutions feature a growing need to communicate effectively the institution’s findings to the general public, which poses different challenges depending on whether the body in charge is a standing inquiry body, fully independent of government, or a functionally autonomous body located within the centre of government. Communicating the expected impacts of proposed reforms is essential for stakeholders to understand the relevance of recommendations issued by the institution. This
  • 9. led several institutions to enter the evaluation space and also to become more visible in the media.1 Periodic reporting on productivity, and the creation of one or more landmark reports, can also help keep proposed reforms under the spotlight. Finally, a strong political commitment to follow up on the recommendations issued by the institution is essential, and can take various forms: providing a strong legal basis and both de jure and de facto independence to the institution;2 chairing a multi-stakeholder body at the highest political level (Mexico3 ); appointing highly reputed academics to be in charge of or lead standing inquiry bodies or advisory councils at the centre of government (Chile, Denmark); mandating research on specific pressing policy issues, to be analysed by the institution in a transparent and in-depth manner (Australia, New Zealand); committing to explicitly discuss or even to formally adopt and implement the institution’s recommendations (Mexico4 ); involving the institution in the design and/or evaluation of policies (Chile); and providing the institution with capacity to start its own research projects, in addition to responding to government requests (Australia, New Zealand). In terms of institutional design, there seems to be no one-size-fits-all solution: institutions that can be considered as ‘success stories’, such as the APC, are not easy to transplant from one legal system to another (Banks 2015). There is a strong need to adapt institutional and governance arrangements to national legal and political culture, as well as available resources. There also seems to be a strong link between the effectiveness of productivity commissions and the extent to which good governance and better regulation principles are embedded in the legal system. In this respect, IPCs and ROBs (discussed below) are to be considered as complementary and mutually reinforcing. A well-designed IPC surrounded by government administrations that lack transparency and accountability arrangements, good public management practices, and skills, may remain a ‘preacher in the desert’, and not offer good value for money. Depending on the design of the pro-productivity institution, the legal arrangements that can promote further involvement in the policy process may vary. For example, IPCs can help governments by coupling policy recommendations with a preliminary impact analysis which incorporates an assessment of the distributional impacts of proposed
  • 10. reforms; they can carry out early stakeholder consultation on proposed reforms; assist ROBs in validating the quality of economic analysis of proposed new regulations; assist government departments and ministries in the retrospective review of existing rules, or clusters of rules; or evaluate the functioning of the whole regulatory system. Pro-productivity institutions can play a valuable role in securing what the OECD (2015) recently defined as the objective of ‘aligning policies’ for the long term. On the one hand, the link between daily policy-making and long-term goals is increasingly felt, especially with respect to the sustainable development goals and the need to restore productivity growth through ambitious socioeconomic transformations. On the other hand, in many countries better regulation is limited to public sector activities, and the evaluation function is located inside of government, which makes it difficult to evaluate the impact of structural reforms on long-term well-being. The need for autonomy and independence is also reflected in the need for sufficient budget and resources to organise the institution’s research work, as well as to adequately engage with stakeholders, for example through extensive public consultation. One aspect relates to whether budgets are determined annually or on a multi-year basis, which can help to shield the institutions from undue influence (OECD 2014b). While certain institutions only led to the compilation of relevant research with little ambition to produce new findings based on original data or inquiries (e.g. in Denmark and Norway, where the productivity commissions were more academic in orientation), most other institutions have the ambition to be active in research and in the production of new findings, whether through inquiries or empirical research. However, the budgetary and human resources these institutions are endowed with are not always compatible with this ambition.5 As a consequence, it is important to point out that, if the role of a pro-productivity institution is to be taken seriously, not only the work of the institution has to be performed independently, but the resources made available should also be sufficient to attract a good number of high-quality researchers, as well as to allow for peer review, public consultation, and quality control of research methodologies and results.6 For example, the
  • 11. Norwegian Commission was supported by competent staff from the relevant economic ministries and also drew on analytical work by Norwegian academic experts and consultants. The Danish Commission had a relatively small secretariat (considering its very broad mandate) and could have benefited from having more resources, although its members tried to draw as much as possible on outside expertise and relevant academic research. Regulatory oversight bodies Over the past two decades, many countries have emphasised the importance of regulatory policy and governance as means to achieve high-quality regulation, and better outcomes in terms of economic growth and well-being. The OECD (2014b) was among the first to recognise the importance of the so-called ‘regulatory governance cycle’ whereby governments exercise control over the design, implementation, delivery and evaluation of regulations over time, managing at once the flow and the stock of regulation to the benefit of society as a whole. Within the regulatory governance cycle, one of the key functions is regulatory oversight and coordination. The need to carry out this key function (and others that cannot be qualified per se as coordination and oversight) has, in many countries, also led to the belief that at least one dedicated body would be needed. Since the late 1990s, the OECD has repeatedly stated the importance of linking impact assessment to an oversight body as a key enabler of the success of regulatory impact analysis (RIA) models, and of regulatory reform more generally.7 The growing trend in setting up ROBs is confirmed by the recent OECD survey on regulatory policy (see OECD 2018). The OECD Secretariat proposes that ‘regulatory oversight’ be defined along the broad lines of the 2012 Recommendation as the variety of functions and tasks carried out by bodies/entities in the executive or at arm’s length from the government in order to promote high-quality evidence-based regulatory decision-making. These functions have been categorised in five areas, which can be addressed by a single institution/body, or by a plurality of institutions/bodies (Table 2).
  • 12. Table 2: Areas and key tasks of regulatory oversight Areas of regulatory oversight Key tasks (core versus non-core) Quality control (scrutiny of the flow of new regulations) Core functions Scrutinise ex ante impact assessments and/or ex post evaluations of legislation Scrutinise the use of regulatory management tools (including stakeholder consultation) and challenge if deemed unsatisfactory Monitor compliance with better regulation guidelines Non-core functions Carry out ex ante impact assessments and/or ex post evaluations Advise on specific tests (e.g. competition test) Scrutinise the quality of the legal drafting Advocate the adoption of specific new regulatory interventions (e.g. prompt letters) Scrutinise and coordinate international regulatory cooperation Identifying areas of policy where regulation can be made more effective (scrutiny of the stock of existing regulations) Core functions Coordinate the programming and execution of reviews of entire policy areas across government Oversee the introduction and application of review and sunset clauses Coordinate baseline measurements of administrative burdens Coordinate and evaluate the application of stock-flow linkage rules Monitor and enforce cost reduction targets (regulatory budgeting) Non-core functions Gather opinions from stakeholders on areas in which regulatory costs are excessive and/or regulations fail to achieve their objectives Carry out reviews of regulations and regulatory stock Advocate for particular areas of reform Systematic improvement of regulatory policy (scrutiny of the system) Core functions Monitoring and reporting, including reporting progress to Parliament/government to help track success of implementation of regulatory policy/governance Coordinate with other oversight bodies (if any) Non-core functions Evaluate the regulatory governance framework and propose changes Institutional relations, e.g. cooperation with international fora Coordination (coherence of the approach in the administration) Core functions Promote a whole-of-government, coordinated approach to regulatory quality Coordinate specific aspects of the regulatory governance cycle (e.g. ‘delivery’, implementation/enforcement) Encourage the smooth adoption of the different aspects of regulatory policy at every stage of the policy cycle Facilitate and ensure internal coordination across ministries/departments in the application of regulatory management tools Non-core functions Engage in regulatory planning Coordinate the work of institutions in charge of providing advice or otherwise intervene in the policy cycle Promote international regulatory cooperation across the whole of government, and coordinate formal regulatory cooperation agreements and arrangements Guidance, advice and support (capacity-building in the administration) Core functions Issue guidelines and guidance Non-core functions Provide assistance and training to regulators/administrations for managing regulatory policy tools (i.e. impacts assessments and stakeholder engagement) Source: Castro and Renda (2019) Castro and Renda (2019) reveal a fragmented landscape for regulatory oversight and coordination across selected OECD countries. They find that most jurisdictions have decided to appoint dedicated bodies in charge of regulatory oversight and coordination. Even when this has not led to the creation of separate institutions, the units in charge of regulatory
  • 13. oversight are clearly identified within the administration. Moreover, most countries locate the bodies at or close to the centre of government, with some exceptions, such as jurisdictions that locate their ROBs in economic departments to ensure stronger cooperation with businesses (e.g. Mexico, UK); jurisdictions that rely mostly on independent ROBs in charge of scrutinising regulation mostly to ensure the achievement of burden reduction targets (France, Germany and the Netherlands); and one jurisdiction in which the Ministry of Justice, not without major problems, is coordinating the use of smart regulation tools (Estonia). In terms of functions, in many countries there is a clear tendency towards closing the regulatory policy cycle through systematic ex post evaluation. Many jurisdictions have introduced an obligation to perform ex post evaluations (often coordinated by a ROB) in the past three to four years. However, in some jurisdictions, it is still too early to judge the quality of such evaluations. There is also a clear tendency towards following and assessing rules in their implementation phase, in order to track the regulatory costs generated by the ineffective implementation and enforcement of legal rules. However, few jurisdictions have an explicit mechanism for the evaluation of the performance of ROBs. In most jurisdictions, ROBs are evaluated as part of the whole regulatory policy (or RIA) system; in most cases, they self- evaluate with the publication of periodic reports, or by commissioning occasional, voluntary third-party evaluations. Past research allows us to draw some lessons from the existing experience with ROBs. In order for a ROB to fully achieve its mission, it needs to be given a consistent mandate, which entails a full range of powers to control, supervise and influence the activity of the administrations in charge of policy portfolios. A ROB’s mandate must also be accompanied by suitable instruments, including the power to scrutinise and oversee ex ante RIAs and ex post evaluations, and the power to request the opinion of other institutions (e.g. competition authorities, anti-corruption and tax authorities). Different roles, mandates and instruments call for different degrees of independence of the ROB. The more regulatory reform is aimed at regulatory coherence and the realisation of the government’s agenda for the electoral period,
  • 14. the more likely and appropriate it will be that the oversight body is located inside government. Finally, the role, mandate, degree of independence and location of a ROB determine its accountability and the mode of evaluation of its performance. ROBs located at the centre of government and in charge of overseeing full-fledged RIA systems would normally be accountable to the prime minister (or equivalent) and can be subject to ex post evaluation by audit offices (government or judiciary). Ad hoc external bodies that represent specific stakeholders would normally be accountable to their specific constituencies. Following an OECD conference in Sydney (OECD 2016a), the merits of different approaches to oversight were synthesised (Table 3). Overall, the recent discussion seems to favour a comprehensive, integrated approach to evaluation across the administration that feeds into political decision-making, while at the same time ensuring independence from political pressures. Table 3: Merits and challenges of different oversight models for ex ante and ex post evaluation Body in charge of regulatory oversight Merits Challenges Line ministry • performs RIA for a particular type of impact • no integrated approach to regulatory oversight • may lack authority/credibility Central government • can take on a bird’s-eye view • access to information from different parts of government • may face more pressure for exemptions Independent body • provides an independent view to Parliament and the general public • may be too far from decision-making processes Parliament • independent from government • actor that is involved in the development of regulations at a late stage • not all regulations pass through Parliament Source: OECD (2016a) Conclusions and main lessons learnt Our brief description of the main findings from research on three main types of independent institutions shows the difficulty and importance of this type of institutional reform and design. Getting governance and institutional design right is essential to avoid the creation of technocratic structures that end up clashing with the legitimate stances of those that would
  • 15. want to see a more shared, bottom-up definition of priorities and actions of governments. The main lessons that can be drawn from the previous sections are summarised below. First, for concerns about their scope of activity, independent bodies with a broad mandate can benefit from a whole-of-government approach in formulating recommendations and interacting with other institutions. Productivity institutions typically prefer to adopt a broad approach to productivity, focused on the improvement of living standards over time and even bordering on sustainable development, rather that sticking to the textbook, supply-side definition of productivity (Dougherty and Renda 2017). And ROBs are expanding their remit to cover the stock of regulation in several sectors, and increasingly provide recommendations for reform (e.g. so-called ‘prompt letters’). When they manage cost reduction agendas or regulatory budgets, they also increasingly adopt a whole-of-government approach, which is considered as the most effective to trigger a change of mindset in the administration (Renda 2017). The scope of these institutions has already created inevitable overlaps between them, both with fiscal and productivity (e.g. the Danish Economic Council) and with productivity institutions becoming active in regulatory oversight (e.g. France Stratégie; the Chilean Productivity Commission; the Australian and New Zealand productivity commissions). In terms of governance, a common trait is the functional autonomy of the surveyed institutions, with varying degrees of institutional independence. In the case of IFIs, independence is typically stronger, as these institutions are set up also with the aim to monitor government activity and its impact on budgets and fiscal policy. Productivity institutions are independent, but sometimes nested in government (France and Mexico). ROBs are internal whenever they play a role of coordination of the regulatory agenda, and become more external, independent watchdogs when they focus on specific government impacts (such as the reduction of administrative burdens). Overall, guaranteeing at least functional independence seems to be important to secure the effectiveness of these institutions. The ability to abstract from the day- to-day constraints that many governments face allows these institutions to more freely observe the medium to long-term consequences of government action, as well as structural problems
  • 16. in the functioning of the government ‘machine’. Another emerging trend is the multi- stakeholder nature of these bodies. In particular, productivity commissions and ROBs are increasingly composed of a mix of public officials and private sector representatives. On the other hand, this would be seen as undermining the independence of IFIs, which nevertheless interact with a range of stakeholders. While a handful of IFIs have conducted external evaluations, more needs to be done in terms of evaluation of the performance of independent bodies, once there is a sufficient track record. Distance from civil society seems to be one of the most problematic aspects of these institutions. Another important trend, fuelled also by the intense scepticism voiced by many political movements on the emergence of technocratic structures, is the need for effective outreach and communication. This was recognised in the OECD Council Recommendation on Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions (OECD 2014). Even internal bodies such as the US Council of Economic Advisers reported the need to communicate in more innovative ways, explaining to the general public why, and how, they conducted their analyses and reached their findings. Productivity commissions in Australia and New Zealand meticulously consult stakeholders during their inquiries, and widely disseminate their findings. ROBs still struggle, due to their very technical nature, and in some cases suffer from an ‘invisibility syndrome’ that limits the legitimacy, authoritativeness and effectiveness of their activity (e.g. the EU Regulatory Scrutiny Board). In terms of skills and budget, many of the surveyed bodies seem to have insufficient resources and budgets to fully carry out their functions. This may be due to tight budgetary constraints, but also to the fact that the creation of these authorities was de facto recommended (if not imposed) from the outside, so that governments have an intention to moderate their scale to avoid them becoming too powerful a voice. In Australia, the Productivity Commission counts on more than 160 researchers and is so well established that its staff, salary levels and reputation among civil servants rival that of the central bank. In Chile, the Productivity
  • 17. Commission lives with no more than six researchers. It is very important to ensure that in terms of budget and skills, these bodies are adequately endowed. Otherwise, the quality of their work and recommendations will only fuel the protest of those that see in their creation a move away from democracy. Finally, these bodies seem to be increasingly active in multi-level cooperation, by liaising with their international counterparts (in a structured way for IFIs, in a more informal way for oversight bodies and productivity commissions, such as through OECD networks). In the EU, both fiscal councils and productivity boards are now coordinated (to some extent) at the EU level, but no coordination exists for ROBs (if not through informal networks, such as the Directors and Experts of Better Regulation, and bottom-up initiatives such as RegWatch, which only group a subset of member states). In countries like Australia and Canada, and partly in Germany, coordination between the national and subnational ROBs is officially in place (e.g. via COAG). Against this background, our overall conclusion is that the jury is still out on the effectiveness and efficiency of creating technocratic structures in key, horizontal areas such as fiscal policy, productivity-oriented reforms and regulatory oversight and coordination. While future research should shed light on the actual impact of these institutions on the economic performance of these countries, our preliminary findings point at positive impacts whenever the institutions at hand are provided with adequate staff and budget; they have a sufficient degree of independence; they are plugged into the policy process; and reach out and communicate well to stakeholders and the general public to motivate, credibly, the process and result of their activities. This due process requirement seems to be the only solution to the growing divide between the need to strengthen the technical dimension of policy advice and implementation, and the need to reach out to the general public to show that experts, most often, are not the enemy of ordinary people.
  • 18. References Banks, G. (2015) Institutions to promote pro-productivity policies: Logic and lessons. OECD Productivity Working Papers, No. 1. Beetsma, R. and Debrun, X. (eds.) (2018) Independent fiscal councils: Watchdogs or lapdogs? VoxEU and CEPR. https://voxeu.org/content/independent-fiscal-councils-watchdogs-or- lapdogs (accessed 2 August 2020). Castro, R. and Renda, A. (2019), Defining and contextualising regulatory oversight and co- ordination. Paper for the OECD Regulatory Policy Committee, forthcoming. Debrun, X. and Kinda, T. (2014) Strengthening post-crisis fiscal credibility: Fiscal councils on the rise – a new dataset. IMF Working Papers, No. WP/14/58. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1458.pdf (accessed 2 August 2020). Dougherty, S. and Renda, A. (2017) Pro-productivity institutions: Learning from national experience. International Productivity Monitor 32: 196–217. Horvath, M. (2017) European fiscal compact in action: Can independent fiscal institutions deliver effective oversight? Council for Budget Responsibility Discussion Papers, No. 1/2017. IMF (International Monetary Fund). (2013) The functions and impact of fiscal councils. www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2013/071613.pdf (accessed 2 August 2020). Kopits, G. (2011) Independent fiscal institutions: Developing good practices. OECD Journal on Budgeting 11(3): 1–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/budget-11-5kg3pdgcpn42 (accessed 2 August 2020). Mounk, Y. (2018) The people vs. democracy. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development). (2005) OECD guiding principles for regulatory quality and performance. Paris: OECD Publishing. www.oecd.org/fr/reformereg/34976533.pdf (accessed 2 August 2020). OECD (2012) Recommendation of the Council on Regulatory Policy and Governance. www.oecd.org/gov/regulatory-policy/49990817.pdf (accessed 2 August 2020). OECD (2014a) Recommendation of the Council on Principles for Independent Fiscal Institutions. https://legalinstruments.oecd.org/en/instruments/OECD-LEGAL-0401 (accessed 2 August 2020). OECD (2014b) OECD best practice principles on the governance of regulators. Paris: OECD Publishing. www.oecd.org/gov/regulatory-policy/governance-regulators.htm (accessed 2 August 2020). OECD (2015) The future of productivity. Paris: OECD Publishing. OECD (2016a) The governance of regulators: Being an independent regulator. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://www.gov.br/casacivil/pt- br/assuntos/governanca/regulacao/documentos/biblioteca-internacional/2016/being- an-indepedent-regulator-ocde-2016.pdf (accessed 2 August 2020). OECD (2016b) The productivity-inclusiveness nexus. Meeting of the OECD Council at Ministerial Level, Paris, 1–2 June. http://www.oecd.org/global-forum- productivity/library/The-Productivity-Inclusiveness-Nexus-Preliminary.pdf (accessed 29 July 2020) OECD (2017) Policy advisory systems: Supporting good governance and sound public decision making. Paris: OECD Publishing. www.oecd.org/publications/policy-advisory- systems-9789264283664-en.htm (accessed 2 August 2020).
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