The global economy is slowing in 2012, with growth expected to be slower than 2011 in many leading markets. In Europe, governments are cutting spending and raising taxes to address fiscal issues, weakening economies and undermining confidence. While recent actions have stabilized the situation temporarily, the long-term future of the Eurozone remains uncertain and could involve either greater integration or failure of the currency union. Consumer products companies may find opportunities in slower commodity prices and inflation in some markets.
This document provides a summary of the global economic outlook and trends for retailers to consider. It discusses slowing economic growth in many leading markets in 2012. In Europe, government spending cuts and debt issues are weakening economies and confidence. In the US, uncertainty around fiscal policy is hurting markets. China is also slowing after monetary tightening. Some positives for retailers include potential margin improvements from lower commodity prices and inflation in some countries. Long term global growth prospects remain strong, especially in emerging markets.
The document provides an overview and analysis of recent economic events and the ongoing debt crisis. It summarizes that a last-minute deal avoided a US debt default, but S&P downgraded the US credit rating due to high debt levels. Global markets declined sharply on contagion fears in Europe and recession concerns. The document then analyzes how decades of accumulating consumer and government debt across developed nations has now come to a head, though the economy may stabilize over the long run.
Mid year outlook market perspectives july 2012 finalRankia
The document provides an outlook for the second half of 2012. It discusses that the global economy remains in a slow recovery threatened by the ongoing European crisis. The US economy is expected to continue modest growth of around 2% for the rest of the year. However, risks include the potential "fiscal cliff" facing the US and uncertainty around resolving Europe's banking and debt issues, which could trigger a global recession if not addressed. The outlook remains cautious given these geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
Global Powers of Consumer Products 2013Melih ÖZCANLI
Global Powers of Consumer Products 2013
Engaging the connected customer
by Deloitte, 2013
The opportunity for consumer products companies to manage their brands online, engage with consumers at an individual level, and drive sales through digital channels is significant. The question is how to do it well. Take a look at this year's report to see which consumer goods companies are on the Top 250 list. Then keep reading to see what approaches the industry is likely to take to engage this new, digitally empowered consumer.
Find out which companies are where on this year's Top 250 list by downloading the complete report.
The document discusses recent market trends and the relationship between two opposing forces - the "Bubble Chain" and the "Deleveraging Chain".
The Bubble Chain refers to rising asset prices driven by central bank liquidity, moving from government bonds to corporate credit to equities. However, a Deleveraging Chain is also occurring, shown through weakness in commodities, emerging markets, and gold. These two chains send inconsistent signals about the economy.
The document argues one chain will have to give way at some point, allowing for a realignment. It also analyzes gold's recent sharp decline, putting forward several hypotheses for what triggered it and what implications it could have. The author remains uncertain about which
recent world trade crisis eurozone-debt-crisis Shashank Singh
The document provides an overview of the Eurozone debt crisis, including its causes, key events, and affected countries. In 3 sentences:
The Eurozone debt crisis began in 2008 with Greece facing unsustainable debt levels due to overspending and borrowing despite insufficient income growth. It spread to other European nations like Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain as their debt levels rose. The crisis involved emergency bailouts for affected countries by stronger EU nations and international organizations as well as austerity measures to reduce debt and deficits.
- The document discusses the outlook for 2012 following a volatile 2011 marked by events like the Japanese earthquake, Arab Spring, US credit downgrade, and ongoing European debt crisis.
- It summarizes the views of Horacio Valeiras, CIO of Allianz Global Investors Capital, on risks and opportunities in 2012, including expectations for slow growth in Europe, political gridlock in the US, and stronger growth in emerging markets compared to developed nations.
- Valeiras expects global monetary policy alignment to continue in 2012, with risks of higher long-term inflation, and sees China avoiding a hard landing despite property market risks.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the global economic outlook and its implications for retailers. It discusses how the ongoing crisis in the Eurozone has caused economic slowdowns around the world, including in the US, China, and other large economies. If the issues in Europe are not resolved, there is a risk of sovereign defaults that could lead to a collapse of the Eurozone with severe global economic consequences. The outlook suggests a modest acceleration in the US economy but continued structural changes, while China appears to be avoiding a hard landing through stimulus measures.
This document provides a summary of the global economic outlook and trends for retailers to consider. It discusses slowing economic growth in many leading markets in 2012. In Europe, government spending cuts and debt issues are weakening economies and confidence. In the US, uncertainty around fiscal policy is hurting markets. China is also slowing after monetary tightening. Some positives for retailers include potential margin improvements from lower commodity prices and inflation in some countries. Long term global growth prospects remain strong, especially in emerging markets.
The document provides an overview and analysis of recent economic events and the ongoing debt crisis. It summarizes that a last-minute deal avoided a US debt default, but S&P downgraded the US credit rating due to high debt levels. Global markets declined sharply on contagion fears in Europe and recession concerns. The document then analyzes how decades of accumulating consumer and government debt across developed nations has now come to a head, though the economy may stabilize over the long run.
Mid year outlook market perspectives july 2012 finalRankia
The document provides an outlook for the second half of 2012. It discusses that the global economy remains in a slow recovery threatened by the ongoing European crisis. The US economy is expected to continue modest growth of around 2% for the rest of the year. However, risks include the potential "fiscal cliff" facing the US and uncertainty around resolving Europe's banking and debt issues, which could trigger a global recession if not addressed. The outlook remains cautious given these geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
Global Powers of Consumer Products 2013Melih ÖZCANLI
Global Powers of Consumer Products 2013
Engaging the connected customer
by Deloitte, 2013
The opportunity for consumer products companies to manage their brands online, engage with consumers at an individual level, and drive sales through digital channels is significant. The question is how to do it well. Take a look at this year's report to see which consumer goods companies are on the Top 250 list. Then keep reading to see what approaches the industry is likely to take to engage this new, digitally empowered consumer.
Find out which companies are where on this year's Top 250 list by downloading the complete report.
The document discusses recent market trends and the relationship between two opposing forces - the "Bubble Chain" and the "Deleveraging Chain".
The Bubble Chain refers to rising asset prices driven by central bank liquidity, moving from government bonds to corporate credit to equities. However, a Deleveraging Chain is also occurring, shown through weakness in commodities, emerging markets, and gold. These two chains send inconsistent signals about the economy.
The document argues one chain will have to give way at some point, allowing for a realignment. It also analyzes gold's recent sharp decline, putting forward several hypotheses for what triggered it and what implications it could have. The author remains uncertain about which
recent world trade crisis eurozone-debt-crisis Shashank Singh
The document provides an overview of the Eurozone debt crisis, including its causes, key events, and affected countries. In 3 sentences:
The Eurozone debt crisis began in 2008 with Greece facing unsustainable debt levels due to overspending and borrowing despite insufficient income growth. It spread to other European nations like Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain as their debt levels rose. The crisis involved emergency bailouts for affected countries by stronger EU nations and international organizations as well as austerity measures to reduce debt and deficits.
- The document discusses the outlook for 2012 following a volatile 2011 marked by events like the Japanese earthquake, Arab Spring, US credit downgrade, and ongoing European debt crisis.
- It summarizes the views of Horacio Valeiras, CIO of Allianz Global Investors Capital, on risks and opportunities in 2012, including expectations for slow growth in Europe, political gridlock in the US, and stronger growth in emerging markets compared to developed nations.
- Valeiras expects global monetary policy alignment to continue in 2012, with risks of higher long-term inflation, and sees China avoiding a hard landing despite property market risks.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the global economic outlook and its implications for retailers. It discusses how the ongoing crisis in the Eurozone has caused economic slowdowns around the world, including in the US, China, and other large economies. If the issues in Europe are not resolved, there is a risk of sovereign defaults that could lead to a collapse of the Eurozone with severe global economic consequences. The outlook suggests a modest acceleration in the US economy but continued structural changes, while China appears to be avoiding a hard landing through stimulus measures.
I. A crisis of liquidity emerged in global financial markets as major banks like HSBC and Bear Stearns announced losses from US subprime mortgage loans, spreading the crisis to other financial institutions by August 2008.
II. The crisis was caused by expanded lending by US financial institutions to homeowners with low credit, resulting in many defaulting on loan repayments, weakening financial institutions.
III. The crisis impacted developing countries through reduced demand for exports from industrial country slowdowns and a reduction in capital inflows as investors became more risk averse, shifting funds from emerging markets to safer assets.
To
help senior executives weather this economic storm, the Economist Intelligence Unit has updated its
answers to some of the questions most frequently asked by clients, following the publication of the
four previous editions of Global crisis monitor. In answering each question, we outline our current
forecast, explain our thinking, and highlight any key risks or alternative scenarios.
Eurozone Crisis and Financial ContagionAnurag Verma
The document provides information on the Eurozone crisis and its impacts. It discusses the main causes of the Eurozone crisis as profligate government spending and weak economic growth in countries like Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. It then outlines several impacts of the crisis on India, including depreciation of the rupee, lower exports, market volatility, and slowing manufacturing and services sectors. The document also defines financial contagion as the spread of financial crisis across markets, and explains how it can reduce business confidence by prompting investors to rearrange portfolios and calling in loans.
The Global Economy No. 9 - December 20, 2011Swedbank
The Global Economy No. 9 - December 20, 2011: Although 2011 was the year of the debt crisis, challenges still remain in 2012 – not least for the euro zone
The document provides an outlook on the global economy and investment markets for 2012. It notes that bond yields in major markets are at historic lows due to actions by central banks and weak economic growth. However, it warns that bond markets face potential risks in 2012. Specifically, large government debt maturing in 2012 could put pressure on yields if economies do not improve. Additionally, an unexpected rise in inflation could cause bond prices to drop sharply from current low levels. Overall the outlook suggests continued uncertainty around the Eurozone crisis and slowing global growth may lead to further volatility in financial markets in the coming year.
The document discusses the outlook for fixed income investments following the 2008 financial crisis. It notes that government bonds performed well in 2008 due to falling interest rates and a flight to quality. However, government bonds are now expensive. There is a risk of deflation in 2009 as domestic demand falls and commodity prices decline. Central banks will need stimulus to avoid deflation. After the recession, policymakers will try to boost demand to spur inflation and prevent liquidity traps. The document recommends hedging against reflation by investing in inflation-linked bonds and bonds of countries with higher yields within the eurozone.
2012 global credit outlook sovereign debt problems weigh on a mostly tepid fo...Pim Piepers
The document summarizes Standard & Poor's outlook for global credit markets in 2012. Key points include:
- Sovereign debt problems in Europe and potential fiscal tightening in the US increase uncertainty and risk of recession.
- The US recovery is expected to continue but unemployment will likely remain above 8%. Growth in emerging markets should be solid.
- European economies will likely see continued recession in the first half of 2012 driven by weak demand, tight credit conditions, and high unemployment. Housing markets will remain weak except in the UK.
1) The global economy will see continued strong growth in emerging markets like China and India, driving demand for commodities, while developed economies struggle with high unemployment and fiscal austerity.
2) Commodity prices are expected to rise further in 2011, fueled by emerging market demand and supply shocks, generating inflationary pressures.
3) Developed economies will continue deleveraging, with subdued lending, while emerging markets increase leverage to support growth, potentially leading to future shocks.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
The document summarizes bond market activity in the second quarter of 2015. It notes that while headlines proclaimed a "bond crash" and "bond rout", bond losses were still small at around 3% given the total size of global bond markets. It discusses factors that pushed some European bond yields negative, including quantitative easing by the ECB. It also notes increased volatility in markets due to events like Greece's debt crisis and a stock market drop in China, but concludes that bonds are not "dead" and various central banks will continue supporting low rates.
The document discusses the recent turmoil in global financial markets and argues that governments have failed to address the root causes of the economic crisis. It makes three key points:
1) Stock market declines show that the recovery is fragile and a double-dip recession may be on the horizon.
2) Governments have kicked the can down the road rather than fixing underlying problems, and the global economic landscape now has additional constraints making responses more difficult.
3) The US economy in particular remains weak with high unemployment, stagnant GDP, and a large budget deficit, showing similarities to Japan's "lost decade" raising the risk of prolonged low growth in the US.
For some time we have been forecasting a “lost decade” of growth for the Eurozone. However, the risk of an imminent Eurozone breakup, which weighed heavily on business and consumer confidence for much of 2012, has been averted. The economy is expected to start growing again from mid-2013, but overall a decline of 0.5% is still forecast for 2013, followed by very sluggish growth of only 1.4% a year in 2014-17.
Improving competitiveness and strengthening demand from the US and emerging markets will start to boost Eurozone exports over the coming year. Please also see www.ey.com/eef for further information and access to the forecasting data.
FX month(s) in review: Wild transition to the New Year.
Themes for 2011
Carry Trade Model – coming unhinged
Central Bank Watch: Expectations shifting higher
Saxo Bank G-10 FX Outlook
This presentation considers the possibility of a second recession in the face of the ongoing European Debt Crisis, misguided attempts to address the crisis through austerity and struggling world economies. It also reflects on the impact of the probable break-up of EU’s currency union, measures to avert the scenario and vulnerable positions of the economies of the USA, China and India to more trouble in the Euro-zone.
The doomsday scenario has been summarized by Martin Wolf of Financial Times (May 17, 2012):
“The mechanisms at work would be powerful: bank runs; the imposition of (illegal) exchange controls; legal uncertainties; asset price collapses; unpredictable shifts in balance sheets; freezing of the financial system; disruption of central banking; collapse in spending and trade; and enormous shifts in the exchange rates of new currencies.
.
Eastern European states are becoming more attractive to Western investors concerned by the financial crisis in the eurozone and US. Countries in Central and Eastern Europe implemented reforms and have lower debt and budget deficits than Western nations, making them safer investments. However, the region remains exposed to fluctuations in trade with Western Europe, and currencies are beginning to feel tensions in the eurozone as the crisis intensifies.
1) Rating agencies and financial markets have little confidence in Italy's ability to stabilize its public debt due to high debt levels, weak growth, and structural economic problems.
2) Eurozone policymakers are increasing pressure on Berlusconi to deliver budget reforms and balance the budget sooner.
3) At a recent bond auction, Italy had to pay 6.06% interest for 10-year bonds, highlighting investors' rising concerns about the country's debt situation.
This document discusses the fluctuations of the US dollar and its effects on the global economy. It identifies several key factors that influence the US dollar, such as trade deficits, housing markets, interest rates, and inflation. The author then examines how fluctuations in the dollar impact the economies of other countries and cause currency values to rise or fall. Several nations are discussed as being particularly affected by changes in the dollar. Finally, the document reviews some policies the US government has implemented to address fluctuations, such as monetary and fiscal policies.
The document discusses the financial crisis and its impact on the European Union. It provides an overview of the EU and describes how the crisis started with uncertainty among banks. The crisis led to negative GDP growth, rising unemployment, widening fiscal deficits, and increasing public debt and sovereign risk spreads across EU countries. In response, the EU implemented short-term recovery plans like the EFSF and EFSM as well as ECB interventions. Long-term solutions proposed include a common fiscal policy, European Stability Mechanism, and addressing slow economic growth.
2009. Jürgen Pfister. The global and European environment for CEE economies. ...Forum Velden
- The presentation discusses the impact of the global financial crisis on Central and Eastern European economies.
- CEE economies experienced a dramatic fall in foreign direct investment inflows and a reversal of private capital flows as a result of the crisis.
- Recovery from the recession will be slow, with an outright upswing not expected until 2011 due to weaknesses in the banking sector and rising unemployment in Europe.
- Medium-term growth prospects for CEE economies remain positive as the process of economic convergence with Western Europe continues, but growth will be dampened in the short-term by slow growth among EU trading partners.
Investment Opportunity In Indonesia 12 November 2011Adrian Teja
This document discusses several global and Indonesian economic issues:
1) It analyzes balance sheet recessions, quantitative easing, China's role, and the risk of a US Treasury bond bubble bursting.
2) It provides an overview of Indonesia's strong GDP growth drivers like demographics and domestic demand, noting Indonesia may become a safe haven.
3) It outlines Indonesia's "hot issues" for 2012 like demographic bonuses and efficiency-driven growth supporting continued strong capital inflows.
This document provides an overview of a 12-lesson course on keeping healthy. The lessons will cover topics like what causes disease, microbe attacks, vaccines, antibiotic resistance, and health studies. It previews the objectives and activities for the first lesson on microbes and disease, including understanding how microbes can cause illness and how the body prevents microbes from entering.
This document discusses the need for societies and economies to embrace environmental ethics as a driver for stable, just, and self-sustaining communities worldwide. It notes that current societies face challenges like climate change and ecosystem degradation. The paper recommends adopting ethical duties and virtues focused on positive environmental outcomes. Embracing environmental ethics could help address issues and create more humane and sustainable living conditions for future generations.
I. A crisis of liquidity emerged in global financial markets as major banks like HSBC and Bear Stearns announced losses from US subprime mortgage loans, spreading the crisis to other financial institutions by August 2008.
II. The crisis was caused by expanded lending by US financial institutions to homeowners with low credit, resulting in many defaulting on loan repayments, weakening financial institutions.
III. The crisis impacted developing countries through reduced demand for exports from industrial country slowdowns and a reduction in capital inflows as investors became more risk averse, shifting funds from emerging markets to safer assets.
To
help senior executives weather this economic storm, the Economist Intelligence Unit has updated its
answers to some of the questions most frequently asked by clients, following the publication of the
four previous editions of Global crisis monitor. In answering each question, we outline our current
forecast, explain our thinking, and highlight any key risks or alternative scenarios.
Eurozone Crisis and Financial ContagionAnurag Verma
The document provides information on the Eurozone crisis and its impacts. It discusses the main causes of the Eurozone crisis as profligate government spending and weak economic growth in countries like Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. It then outlines several impacts of the crisis on India, including depreciation of the rupee, lower exports, market volatility, and slowing manufacturing and services sectors. The document also defines financial contagion as the spread of financial crisis across markets, and explains how it can reduce business confidence by prompting investors to rearrange portfolios and calling in loans.
The Global Economy No. 9 - December 20, 2011Swedbank
The Global Economy No. 9 - December 20, 2011: Although 2011 was the year of the debt crisis, challenges still remain in 2012 – not least for the euro zone
The document provides an outlook on the global economy and investment markets for 2012. It notes that bond yields in major markets are at historic lows due to actions by central banks and weak economic growth. However, it warns that bond markets face potential risks in 2012. Specifically, large government debt maturing in 2012 could put pressure on yields if economies do not improve. Additionally, an unexpected rise in inflation could cause bond prices to drop sharply from current low levels. Overall the outlook suggests continued uncertainty around the Eurozone crisis and slowing global growth may lead to further volatility in financial markets in the coming year.
The document discusses the outlook for fixed income investments following the 2008 financial crisis. It notes that government bonds performed well in 2008 due to falling interest rates and a flight to quality. However, government bonds are now expensive. There is a risk of deflation in 2009 as domestic demand falls and commodity prices decline. Central banks will need stimulus to avoid deflation. After the recession, policymakers will try to boost demand to spur inflation and prevent liquidity traps. The document recommends hedging against reflation by investing in inflation-linked bonds and bonds of countries with higher yields within the eurozone.
2012 global credit outlook sovereign debt problems weigh on a mostly tepid fo...Pim Piepers
The document summarizes Standard & Poor's outlook for global credit markets in 2012. Key points include:
- Sovereign debt problems in Europe and potential fiscal tightening in the US increase uncertainty and risk of recession.
- The US recovery is expected to continue but unemployment will likely remain above 8%. Growth in emerging markets should be solid.
- European economies will likely see continued recession in the first half of 2012 driven by weak demand, tight credit conditions, and high unemployment. Housing markets will remain weak except in the UK.
1) The global economy will see continued strong growth in emerging markets like China and India, driving demand for commodities, while developed economies struggle with high unemployment and fiscal austerity.
2) Commodity prices are expected to rise further in 2011, fueled by emerging market demand and supply shocks, generating inflationary pressures.
3) Developed economies will continue deleveraging, with subdued lending, while emerging markets increase leverage to support growth, potentially leading to future shocks.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
The document summarizes bond market activity in the second quarter of 2015. It notes that while headlines proclaimed a "bond crash" and "bond rout", bond losses were still small at around 3% given the total size of global bond markets. It discusses factors that pushed some European bond yields negative, including quantitative easing by the ECB. It also notes increased volatility in markets due to events like Greece's debt crisis and a stock market drop in China, but concludes that bonds are not "dead" and various central banks will continue supporting low rates.
The document discusses the recent turmoil in global financial markets and argues that governments have failed to address the root causes of the economic crisis. It makes three key points:
1) Stock market declines show that the recovery is fragile and a double-dip recession may be on the horizon.
2) Governments have kicked the can down the road rather than fixing underlying problems, and the global economic landscape now has additional constraints making responses more difficult.
3) The US economy in particular remains weak with high unemployment, stagnant GDP, and a large budget deficit, showing similarities to Japan's "lost decade" raising the risk of prolonged low growth in the US.
For some time we have been forecasting a “lost decade” of growth for the Eurozone. However, the risk of an imminent Eurozone breakup, which weighed heavily on business and consumer confidence for much of 2012, has been averted. The economy is expected to start growing again from mid-2013, but overall a decline of 0.5% is still forecast for 2013, followed by very sluggish growth of only 1.4% a year in 2014-17.
Improving competitiveness and strengthening demand from the US and emerging markets will start to boost Eurozone exports over the coming year. Please also see www.ey.com/eef for further information and access to the forecasting data.
FX month(s) in review: Wild transition to the New Year.
Themes for 2011
Carry Trade Model – coming unhinged
Central Bank Watch: Expectations shifting higher
Saxo Bank G-10 FX Outlook
This presentation considers the possibility of a second recession in the face of the ongoing European Debt Crisis, misguided attempts to address the crisis through austerity and struggling world economies. It also reflects on the impact of the probable break-up of EU’s currency union, measures to avert the scenario and vulnerable positions of the economies of the USA, China and India to more trouble in the Euro-zone.
The doomsday scenario has been summarized by Martin Wolf of Financial Times (May 17, 2012):
“The mechanisms at work would be powerful: bank runs; the imposition of (illegal) exchange controls; legal uncertainties; asset price collapses; unpredictable shifts in balance sheets; freezing of the financial system; disruption of central banking; collapse in spending and trade; and enormous shifts in the exchange rates of new currencies.
.
Eastern European states are becoming more attractive to Western investors concerned by the financial crisis in the eurozone and US. Countries in Central and Eastern Europe implemented reforms and have lower debt and budget deficits than Western nations, making them safer investments. However, the region remains exposed to fluctuations in trade with Western Europe, and currencies are beginning to feel tensions in the eurozone as the crisis intensifies.
1) Rating agencies and financial markets have little confidence in Italy's ability to stabilize its public debt due to high debt levels, weak growth, and structural economic problems.
2) Eurozone policymakers are increasing pressure on Berlusconi to deliver budget reforms and balance the budget sooner.
3) At a recent bond auction, Italy had to pay 6.06% interest for 10-year bonds, highlighting investors' rising concerns about the country's debt situation.
This document discusses the fluctuations of the US dollar and its effects on the global economy. It identifies several key factors that influence the US dollar, such as trade deficits, housing markets, interest rates, and inflation. The author then examines how fluctuations in the dollar impact the economies of other countries and cause currency values to rise or fall. Several nations are discussed as being particularly affected by changes in the dollar. Finally, the document reviews some policies the US government has implemented to address fluctuations, such as monetary and fiscal policies.
The document discusses the financial crisis and its impact on the European Union. It provides an overview of the EU and describes how the crisis started with uncertainty among banks. The crisis led to negative GDP growth, rising unemployment, widening fiscal deficits, and increasing public debt and sovereign risk spreads across EU countries. In response, the EU implemented short-term recovery plans like the EFSF and EFSM as well as ECB interventions. Long-term solutions proposed include a common fiscal policy, European Stability Mechanism, and addressing slow economic growth.
2009. Jürgen Pfister. The global and European environment for CEE economies. ...Forum Velden
- The presentation discusses the impact of the global financial crisis on Central and Eastern European economies.
- CEE economies experienced a dramatic fall in foreign direct investment inflows and a reversal of private capital flows as a result of the crisis.
- Recovery from the recession will be slow, with an outright upswing not expected until 2011 due to weaknesses in the banking sector and rising unemployment in Europe.
- Medium-term growth prospects for CEE economies remain positive as the process of economic convergence with Western Europe continues, but growth will be dampened in the short-term by slow growth among EU trading partners.
Investment Opportunity In Indonesia 12 November 2011Adrian Teja
This document discusses several global and Indonesian economic issues:
1) It analyzes balance sheet recessions, quantitative easing, China's role, and the risk of a US Treasury bond bubble bursting.
2) It provides an overview of Indonesia's strong GDP growth drivers like demographics and domestic demand, noting Indonesia may become a safe haven.
3) It outlines Indonesia's "hot issues" for 2012 like demographic bonuses and efficiency-driven growth supporting continued strong capital inflows.
This document provides an overview of a 12-lesson course on keeping healthy. The lessons will cover topics like what causes disease, microbe attacks, vaccines, antibiotic resistance, and health studies. It previews the objectives and activities for the first lesson on microbes and disease, including understanding how microbes can cause illness and how the body prevents microbes from entering.
This document discusses the need for societies and economies to embrace environmental ethics as a driver for stable, just, and self-sustaining communities worldwide. It notes that current societies face challenges like climate change and ecosystem degradation. The paper recommends adopting ethical duties and virtues focused on positive environmental outcomes. Embracing environmental ethics could help address issues and create more humane and sustainable living conditions for future generations.
Este documento estabelece requisitos mínimos de segurança para prevenção de acidentes e doenças do trabalho relacionados a máquinas e equipamentos, cobrindo tópicos como arranjo físico e instalações, instalações elétricas, dispositivos de partida e parada. A norma define referências técnicas e medidas de proteção coletiva, administrativas e individuais para garantir a saúde e integridade dos trabalhadores no projeto, fabricação e utilização de máquinas e equipamentos.
Este documento describe el origen y características de la Guerra Fría entre Estados Unidos y la Unión Soviética desde finales de la Segunda Guerra Mundial hasta la década de 1980. Tras la victoria aliada sobre el Eje, la desconfianza mutua entre los dos países llevó a una hostilidad abierta conocida como la Guerra Fría. El mundo se dividió en dos bloques antagónicos, con cada potencia tratando de ampliar su influencia. Esta rivalidad dio lugar a una carrera armamentística sin precedentes y varias crisis
Chapter 17.1 - By the Pricking of My Thumbs...DireWidget
Dorfl is worried about his teenage daughter Esmerelda acting differently since puberty. She has become obsessed with researching the supernatural. After being abducted by aliens, she now locks herself in her room and they rarely see her. Dorfl's sim friend agrees to investigate what Esmerelda may be getting involved in. Meanwhile, Dorfl and Roxy's other children Edward, Errol, Evadne, Eric and Eskarina are growing up.
EndNote is an online search tool
You can search online bibliographic resources and retrieve references directly into your EndNote library. You can also export references to EndNote from your favorite online resource
This document provides an overview and analysis of the global economic outlook for retailers in 2012. It discusses slower anticipated growth in Europe, the United States, China, and other BRIC countries. The three possible scenarios for the Eurozone are integration with fiscal union, failure of the Eurozone, or continued "muddling along" with slow growth and uncertainty. The outlook for China includes an economic deceleration and concerns about rising debt levels. Retailers may face challenges like weak consumer spending but also opportunities for global expansion.
The document provides an economic outlook for retailers globally. It discusses the slowdown in major economies due to the European debt crisis dragging down demand. While the US economy is expected to accelerate in 2013 if fiscal issues are resolved, growth remains tied to uncertainties in Europe. China has slowed but avoided a hard landing through stimulus. Long-term, China faces challenges of rebalancing its economy away from investment and managing demographic shifts. The outlook for retailers will be influenced by continued consumer spending in the US but greater dependence on exports and emerging markets globally going forward.
Getting back to growth: Global powers of the consumer products industry 2011Alfred_angst
The document provides an economic outlook for 2011 for major global consumer markets and issues affecting the consumer products industry. It predicts strong overall global growth led by emerging markets. The US economy is expected to improve in 2011 due to tax cuts and monetary stimulus, but consumer spending will likely remain cautious. Growth in Western Europe will be slow due to fiscal austerity. China is expected to have a soft economic landing with steady consumer spending growth. Commodity prices and currency volatility pose challenges for global consumer companies.
The document provides an economic outlook for 2011 and discusses challenges facing the consumer products industry. It predicts stronger global growth led by emerging markets. The US economy is expected to improve due to tax cuts and monetary stimulus, but housing and debt deleveraging may constrain growth. European growth will be slow and uneven across northern and southern countries dealing with austerity measures. The consumer products industry faces a frugal "new normal" consumer and changing spending patterns across markets.
The document provides an economic outlook and risk analysis for various regions globally. Some key points:
- Global economic growth is expected to remain slow at just over 2% in 2012-2013 due to headwinds from high OECD debt levels, China's economic slowdown, and ongoing issues in the eurozone.
- The outlook is most negative for Europe, where recessions are widespread and bank deleveraging is reducing lending. Payments performance and credit risk are expected to deteriorate significantly across the region.
- Growth is also slowing in emerging markets as exports to Europe and China decline. Exchange rate volatility from the eurozone crisis poses risks, and commodity producers are concerned about falling oil prices.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the global economic outlook and key trends affecting consumer products companies in 2014. It summarizes the economic situations and forecasts for major countries and regions including the Eurozone, Japan, China, United States, United Kingdom, and emerging markets like Brazil. Political uncertainties could impact economic predictions, but modest growth is expected in the Eurozone while Japan and the US are recovering nicely and the UK is seeing a rebound in growth. China is slowing and implementing reforms to transition to a more sustainable economy.
Deloitte global powers of consumer products 2014vishalsingh660
To start a new section, hold down the apple+shift keys and click
to release this object and type the section title in the box below.
Global Powers of Consumer Products 2014
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited (DTTL) is
pleased to present the 7th annual
Global Powers of
Consumer Products
. This report identifies the 250 largest
consumer products companies around the world based
on publicly available data for the fiscal year 2012
(encompassing companies’ fiscal years ended through
June 2013).
The report also provides an outlook for the global
economy, an analysis of market capitalization in the
industry, a look at M&A activity in the consumer
products sector, and a discussion of major trends
affecting consumer products companies.
The World Economic Situation and Prospects 2012 Global economic outlook was pre-released on 1 December at UN Headquarters in New York. The report estimates growth of world gross product (WGP) at 2.8 per cent in 2011, and its baseline forecast projects growth of 2.6 per cent for 2012 and 3.2 per cent for 2013, well below pre-crisis pace of global growth. Risks for a double-dip recession have heightened, however.
Shippers Warehouse, Inc. is a provider of supply chain services (3rd party logistics or 3PL). The Company operates over 4.5 million square feet in 8 facilities in the Dallas/Ft. Worth area and 500,000 square feet in Atlanta, Georgia.
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February 2012 "State of the Debt Capital Markets"Brian Schofield
The document summarizes recent economic trends in the United States. It notes that while uncertainties remain regarding fiscal policy and the European debt crisis, the Federal Reserve has provided stability by communicating its plans to keep interest rates low until 2014. The U.S. economy showed signs of strength in 2011, with improving consumer spending and sentiment as well as job growth. Barring major setbacks, the outlook for continued growth in the U.S. economy remains positive in 2012.
1. The document discusses the impact of the debt crisis in European countries that use the euro. It led to higher growth initially but also rising current account imbalances.
2. Two potential solutions are discussed: further integrating policies and governments in the EU, and reducing peripheral debt through tools like Eurobonds or other mechanisms.
3. The methodology section outlines that the research will use both primary and secondary data sources to examine the issues and develop understanding of the impacts in different eurozone countries. A deductive or inductive approach may be taken.
1) The document discusses the clash between short-term and long-term solutions to the euro area crisis. While urgent action is needed to reduce borrowing costs in Italy and Spain, without long-term reforms like fiscal and banking unions, Germany's willingness to provide funds may decline and the risk of a euro breakup will rise.
2) The euro area crisis stems from economic divergence pre-euro and an institutional deficit without a common fiscal policy. Crisis countries benefited from low rates but did not reform, while northern Europe performed better. The ECB cannot directly intervene due to treaty limits.
3) Deeper integration like banking stress tests and allowing the ECB to directly buy sovereign debt are urgently needed to
My outlook for the year, written in December last year. Overly pessimistic unfortunately but with Spanish yields now over 6%, we\'re not out of the woods yet! (Pls note I did not write the China stocks or currency section.)
The global economy continues its recovery but remains fragile with several challenges. While inflation is rising in emerging markets, developed countries still face low underlying inflation and structural problems requiring reforms. Interest rate increases in Europe and the US could jeopardize the recovery if done too soon. Demands for political reforms in the Middle East add uncertainty. Both the US and Europe must address high debt and weak growth through budget consolidation and reforms. The eurozone needs stronger institutions to improve collaboration between countries.
Vietnam's Recent Economic Development 2013Quynh LE
This report provides an update on Vietnam's recent economic developments. It summarizes that global growth is stabilizing at a moderate pace, though recovery in industrial production has been uneven across countries. Financial market conditions have improved due to monetary easing, but capital costs for developing countries are rising as risks in high-income countries recede. Inflation remains benign in most countries, prompting further monetary policy easing. Trade growth has slowed after a cyclical rebound, while most commodity prices have weakened in response to increased supply and substitution.
The Greek economic crisis began in 2001 when Greece manipulated its financial accounts to join the Eurozone. Once in the Eurozone, Greece began irresponsible fiscal policies like increasing government spending and pensions. This exacerbated Greece's existing problems like high debt levels, tax evasion, and an uncompetitive economy. The crisis has negatively impacted neighboring Southeast European countries through trade and financial links. While direct exposure is small, a prolonged Greek crisis could slow the broader European economy and thereby impact the US and India through weaker exports. The EU and IMF have approved bailouts for Greece totaling $110 billion so far, but imposed strict austerity measures and reforms in exchange.
The document summarizes economic concerns from a single day in May 2012. It discusses Greece potentially leaving the eurozone and going into economic collapse. It also mentions the weakening European economy, troubles in the European commercial real estate market, and issues with J.P. Morgan that were hurting market sentiment. However, the document expresses that diversification may help investors weather volatility and that the outlook is better than 2008-2009 despite some challenges still existing.
For the last 6 years, Greece has been a country burdened with bad debt and the threat of default on loans that will take more than a few generations to pay back. During that time, the economy has failed to improve, and again Greece is potentially on the verge of defaulting on its loan obligations, and leaving the European Union.
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2. Contents
Global economic outlook 2
Industry trends 8
Top 250 highlights 15
M&A activities and trends 38
Q ratio analysis 43
Consumer Business contacts 45
3. Global Powers of the Consumer Products
Industry 2012
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited (DTTL) is
pleased to present the 5th annual Global Powers
of the Consumer Products Industry. This report identifies
the 250 largest consumer products companies
around the world based on publicly available data
for the companies’ fiscal year 2010 (encompassing
companies’ fiscal years ended through June 2011).
The report also provides an outlook for the global
economy, an analysis of market capitalization in the
industry, and a discussion of major trends affecting
consumer products companies.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 1
4. Global economic outlook
The economic situation for consumer products companies
The global economy is decelerating, with growth in However, consumer products suppliers may
2012 likely to be slower than in 2011 in many of the find some silver linings in this otherwise cloudy
world’s leading markets. environment. One positive effect of slower global
growth will be continued dampening of commodity
In Europe, the crisis of the euro has led to the seizing prices. Meanwhile, a number of countries are seeing
up of credit markets. In an effort to rebuild investor higher retail price inflation. These include several in
confidence, governments across the continent are Western Europe, the U.S., Japan, and many leading
cutting spending and raising taxes, the net effect of emerging markets.
which is to weaken economies and, in the process,
undermine confidence even further. While the Combined with stagnant input prices, this suggests
European Central Bank has helped the situation by the possibility of improved profit margins, even in the
massively lending to commercial banks, the risk of context of slow top line growth.
failure by Greece continues to dog financial markets
despite a recent agreement on a second bailout. Another silver lining is that, in many of the slowing
While there is little short-term risk that the Eurozone markets, a disproportionate share of the growth
will fail, the situation is having a negative impact on of consumer income is accruing to the relatively
growth. affluent. This is especially true in the United States
and China. Hence, for those companies targeting
The United States shows signs of accelerating upscale consumers, the environment might not be so
economic activity. Yet trouble in the housing market bad. As for those targeting everyone else, the ability
and its impact on credit markets continues to restrain to offer low prices to uncertain consumers will be a
economic growth. While the U.S. economy may clear competitive advantage.
accelerate in 2012, it will probably not lead to a rapid
drop in unemployment. Finally, the most significant silver lining is the long
term. Even though the economic environment in
The world’s second-largest economy, China, is 2012 will be difficult, the long-term outlook for the
slowing following a tightening of monetary policy global economy remains good. Global growth in
combined with the negative effects of slow growth the coming decade is expected to be strong, with
in Europe and the United States. While monetary particular strength coming from leading emerging
policy has been reversed, 2012 will likely see the markets other than China. Of course China will grow,
slowest growth in China in a decade. In addition, the but as discussed later, it faces some headwinds, both
remaining BRICs face slower growth resulting from demographic and structural. Yet other emerging
the lagged effects of tight monetary policy and weak markets such as India, Brazil, Turkey, Indonesia, the
global growth. Andean region of South America, and much of sub-
Saharan Africa offer new the possibility of stronger
Only in Japan is economic growth in 2012 widely growth and new opportunities.
expected to exceed that of 2011. The reason is
that 2011 was so awful following the devastating
earthquake and tsunami. Plus, reconstruction
expenditures are likely to provide a temporary jolt to
the Japanese economy.
In an effort to rebuild investor confidence, governments across the
continent are cutting spending and raising taxes, the net effect
of which is to weaken economies and, in the process, undermine
confidence even further.
2
5. Let us now consider the outlook for the world’s Following the summer of 2011, Europe’s governments
leading markets: agreed on various measures to calm markets, but to
no avail. However, late in 2011 the European Central
Western Europe Bank engaged in massive lending to commercial
Given that this publication will be distributed through banks. This improved bank liquidity, removed the
calendar year 2012, it is difficult to provide a helpful threat of bank failure, and drove down sovereign
roadmap to a situation that, as of this writing, is bond yields – thereby helping troubled governments
changing daily. So perhaps it is best to look back at to improve their finances. Yet commercial banks
how it came to this. mostly hoarded the cash they borrowed and,
therefore, did not improve credit market activity. By
The Eurozone project was intended to bind the early 2012, European governments agreed on a new
economic and political fortunes of Europe’s bailout package for Greece that entailed banks taking
economies in perpetuity. Yet the architecture of this a haircut on Greek debt. While this removes the
union was always lacking. Countries were required immediate danger of default, the situation in Greece
to maintain fiscal discipline, but there was never a remains troubling. In addition, commercial banks
credible vehicle for ensuring this. The first countries were required to raise capital, most likely by reducing
to violate the rules were Germany and France and it lending and selling assets. This will have the effect
is not surprising that others soon violated the rules. of damaging credit market activity. Thus, as of this
writing, the situation in Europe has been temporarily
Indeed, the existence of the euro enabled the calmed but is by no means settled.
countries of Southern Europe to borrow with
abandon. Investors were happy to extend credit There are three possible scenarios as to what might
at low interest rates in the expectation that bonds happen next. In the first, Europe agrees to engage in
denominated in euros were a safe asset. greater integration in order to avoid disintegration.
This could entail using the European Central Bank
Yet an absence of fiscal rectitude alone was not (ECB) to backstop sovereign debtors and create a
the biggest problem. The biggest problem was fiscal union with large transfers of resources from
that several Mediterranean economies lost their richer to poorer nations within the union. This would
competitiveness. Over the past decade, their enable the Eurozone to succeed and ultimately
wages rose far faster than their productivity, with prosper. The problem with this scenario is that it
the result that it became less feasible for them to requires individual countries to give up sovereignty
generate the strong export revenues needed to and to abide by conditions set by the richer countries
service their external debts. Normally, a country in the EU.
with a competitiveness problem will devalue its
currency. However, because these countries no
longer have their own currencies they cannot restore
competitiveness unless they dramatically accelerate Investors were happy to extend credit at low interest
productivity growth and/or cut wages – both a tall
order.
rates in the expectation that bonds denominated in
euros were a safe asset.
When Greece was unable to roll over its considerable
debts and the EU bailout was deemed insufficient to
The second scenario is that the Eurozone fails.
correct Europe’s ailments, investors became fearful.
While this could happen, the short-term costs of
Governments faced difficulty in rolling over debts,
disintegration would be catastrophic. It can be
and banks that held such debts faced problems
argued that, in the long run, some of the troubled
raising funds. Risk spreads increased, credit market
countries would be better off outside the Eurozone,
activity declined, and Europe faced a new recession.
but much of Europe would suffer grievously during
the transition.
The Mediterranean countries would face problems
in gaining access to global credit markets, while the
northern economies would see their currencies rise
rapidly, thereby hurting exports. Hence, this scenario
is politically problematic as well.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 3
6. The $1.7 trillion in debts issued by local governments
China’s economy is decelerating, the result of to fund infrastructure has been a concern for some
time, but officials have downplayed the danger until
tighter monetary policy in 2011 and declining now. The fear is that multiple defaults without a
export growth. bailout from the central government, could damage
the health of China’s banks. How did this come
The third scenario, then, seems to be the most likely: about?
Europe manages to hold the Eurozone together but
fails to take action that would guarantee its success. When the global economic crisis began in 2008, and
This could be called the “muddling along scenario” China’s exports suddenly dropped, the government
and would likely involve a prolonged period of slow implemented a vast stimulus program to boost
economic growth, political turmoil, and periodic domestic demand and offset the drop in exports.
crises. Part of this involved extending credit to provincial
and local governments to engage in infrastructure
What does this scenario mean for consumer products development. In the short run, this policy was
companies? It means continued fiscal contraction successful in boosting growth and preventing a
across Europe, in part through higher taxes, and tight general recession. The problem, however, is that
credit market conditions. Consumer spending would many such investments have failed to generate
grow slowly, if at all. Consumers would be highly adequate returns. The Chinese government estimates
price sensitive and uncertain about the future. that little more than one quarter of local government
investment has produced a return adequate to
China service the debts.
China’s economy is decelerating, the result of
tighter monetary policy in 2011 and declining Local government borrowing is not the entire
export growth. In response, China’s central bank problem. During the global crisis, the government
has stopped tightening policy. Therefore, although injected capital into state-run banks so that they
China’s economy will slow in 2012, it will not could lend to state-run companies. The result was
necessarily slow dramatically. On the other hand, an investment boom. Yet this too involved many
it is notable that a senior Chinese official recently investments that are not producing an adequate
predicted that growth in 2012 would be below nine return. As a result, investment in fixed assets
percent. If so, it would be the first year since 2001 surged, reaching almost 50 percent of GDP last year.
that growth falls below nine percent. Interestingly, Meanwhile, consumer spending declined to about
there is evidence that the economic slowdown is 35 percent of GDP. Now that the Chinese economy is
being experienced principally by small to medium slowing, the risk exists that China’s debtors will soon
sized private businesses (especially those that export) face greater difficulties in servicing their debts.
and not by the large state-run enterprises that retain
favorable access to credit. As such, recent efforts to So is China at risk of having a financial crisis? The
provide more credit to small business may be helpful answer is yes and no. Yes, there is a danger that a
in stabilizing the economy. new round of defaults will damage the solvency of
China’s state-run banking system. Yet it is likely that
China’s officials have complained about the rapid the government would bail out such banks and,
expansion of U.S. government debt. This reflects thereby, prevent a larger financial crisis. Indeed the
fear that the massive stock of foreign currency Chinese government recently instructed banks to
reserves held by China’s government could lose simply roll over loans to local governments.
value. Less attention, however, has been paid to the
big increase in overall debt in China itself. Yet that China does, however, face a risk. Specifically, if the
is likely to change soon given the fact that overall government were compelled to bail out troubled
debt has nearly tripled in the past five years. Notably, financial institutions, it would probably not support
a top Chinese official recently said that the debt of continued lending for the purpose of poorly
China’s local governments is “our version of the U.S. conceived investments. Consequently, investment
subprime crisis.” would likely fall considerably. Given that investment
is now close to 50 percent of GDP, such a fall could
have serious consequences for GDP absent an
offsetting increase in something else. What could
that something else be?
4
7. Exports are not likely to take up the slack. Instead, United States
China will look toward a boost in consumer spending As of this writing, the U.S. economy is showing signs
to offset a decline in investment. Yet given that of modest strength. There is growth, but not the
consumer spending is now only kind that has followed past recessions when housing
35 percent of GDP, it would have to grow very made a sizable contribution to the recovery. Instead,
rapidly to make a difference and avoid a significant growth has been relatively anemic and the housing
economic slowdown. market remains troubled. Partly as a consequence of
this, credit markets have not been strong and bank
There are, however, some positive signs concerning lending has only begun to recover following a long
the prospect for consumer spending. First, wages slide. Moreover, the troubles in Europe could have
have been rising, adding to real disposable incomes. a negative impact on credit activity in the United
This reflects a shortage of labor, as demographic States.
trends limit labor force growth and as internal
migration slows. In addition, provincial and local Despite these headwinds, U.S. consumers continue
governments have been increasing their minimum to spend. This is a bit surprising given the various
wage. Second, the government intends to have state- negative influences they have faced. Unemployment
run companies pay higher dividends to shareholders is uncomfortably high at above 8 percent, real
(mainly the government). This money could be used disposable incomes have been declining over the past
to boost overall spending. Third, high inflation might year, and various measures of consumer confidence
spur more spending by consumers. Fourth, the have only recently recovered from historic lows. Yet
currency is gradually being allowed to rise in value. consumer spending has been rising. There are various
This reduces import prices and helps to stimulate explanations. First, consumers have substantially
consumer spending. paid down debts. Today, debt service payments
as a share of income are at the lowest level since
On the other hand, the biggest negative for 1993. Thus, consumer cash flow has improved. In
consumer spending is simple demographics. Due to addition, the increase in spending lately has been at
the lagged effect of the one child policy, the labor the expense of saving. The saving rate has declined,
force is expected to grow much more slowly in the suggesting a higher degree of confidence on the part
coming decade than it did during the past ten years. of consumers – despite what they tell survey takers.
As such, the prime consuming age cohort will barely Finally, it is likely that there is considerable pent-up
grow while the elderly population will grow rapidly. demand following a long dry period.
Finally, one side effect of China’s unbalanced Consumers may feel a bit more confident because
economy is a sharp increase in income inequality. the overall economy is showing signs of renewed
While incomes have increased overall, lower income strength – albeit modest strength. In the first half of
cohorts have not seen significant increases in 2011, economic growth was so anemic that many
purchasing power, especially as home prices have pundits worried that the United States was heading
increased dramatically. into a new recession. Today, fears of a double dip
have abated somewhat as growth has accelerated.
There are reasons to expect that in the coming Industrial activity has been rising moderately, with
decade China’s economy will grow more slowly than particular focus on production of capital goods.
in the past. Although consumer spending is likely to
increase as a share of GDP, it is not clear that it will In addition, exports have been strong. Although
be sufficient to create a consumer spending boom. export growth has decelerated somewhat as the
global economy has slowed, it remains strong and
contributes substantially to overall GDP growth. This
reflects the effects of a relatively weak dollar and the
There are reasons to expect that impact of a decade of sizable productivity gains for
in the coming decade China’s the manufacturing sector.
economy will grow more slowly
than in the past.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 5
8. Finally, recent growth has been almost entirely For consumer products companies, the U.S.
due to increased demand for goods and services. economic environment is lukewarm. A reasonable
There has been little inventory accumulation and expectation for the coming year is that consumer
inventories remain historically lean. This is good news spending growth will be positive but modest, that
as it means that the increased output was mostly inflation will be low, that consumers will remain
due to increased demand. It also bodes well for the relatively price sensitive, and that commodity prices
future, as further increases in demand will require will be soft. It is also a reasonable assumption that, to
more production rather than dipping into existing the extent there are income gains, a disproportionate
inventories. share will accrue to upper income households. Thus,
spending growth will be bifurcated.
The impact of economic policy has been mixed. On
the one hand, monetary policy remains supportive of Japan
growth. Although the Federal Reserve is no longer Japan suffered grievously in 2011 due to the terrible
engaged in “quantitative easing,” it is engaged in a earthquake and tsunami. Aside from the unspeakable
policy designed to reduce long-term interest rates human cost, there was a big economic cost as
and, therefore, stimulate more credit demand. well. The sharp drop in electricity production and
While it is too early to say whether this has been the damage to transport infrastructure led to a big
effective, the decline in bank lending has reversed decline in industrial output. Not only did this lead to
and consumer willingness to take on new debt has a drop in Japan’s GDP, it had a global impact as well
increased substantially. The Fed has indicated that as much of the global automotive and electronics
it is open to another round of quantitative easing industry supply chains are dependent on Japan’s
should the economy generate disappointing growth. participation.
Fiscal policy is a different story. During 2011, the While growth in the third quarter of 2011 was very
President and the Congress failed to reach an strong, the economy slid again in the fourth quarter
agreement on dealing with long-term budgetary – partly because of the impact of Thailand’s floods
issues. This resulted in the first ever downgrade of on industrial supply chains. Going forward, the
the U.S. government. Although the bond market Parliament has allocated the equivalent of US$240
yawned at this news, it probably had a negative billion on reconstruction, most of which will be spent
impact on business confidence. However, if the in the coming year and-a-half. This should have a
Congress does absolutely nothing, the budget deficit positive impact on growth in 2012.
will decline considerably. That is because, under
current law, taxes are scheduled to rise considerably Still, Japan faces some challenges. First, it is likely
at the end of 2012 yielding nearly $3 trillion over that the reconstruction spending will be financed
ten years. In addition, there have already been $2.2 in part by higher taxes on consumers, and this will
trillion in spending cuts built into future budgets. probably have a negative impact on the consumer.
Thus, the real issue facing the Congress is how to Second, Japan remains highly dependent on exports.
eliminate those tax increases and find offsetting Yet the value of the yen is at an historic high and is
reductions in future budget deficits. not expected to come down. Moreover, as the global
economy slows, export growth is likely to decelerate.
In addition, because the earthquake damaged
nuclear generating capacity, Japan has had to import
A reasonable expectation for the coming year is that oil and gas to close the gap. This has resulted in a
large trade deficit, hurting economic growth.
consumer spending growth will be positive but
modest, that inflation will be low, that consumers Finally, although Japan’s central bank has engaged
will remain relatively price sensitive, and that in a more aggressive monetary policy, this alone
commodity prices will be soft. may not be sufficient. The goal of such a policy is
to increase inflation, reduce real interest rates, and
stimulate more spending and credit market activity.
Yet as of this writing, inflation remains very low,
consumer spending is anemic, and credit market
activity is poor. Absent a more aggressive policy,
it is likely that Japan’s economy will grow slowly
following the end of reconstruction spending.
6
9. India Brazil
Indian distribution briefly made global headlines As in much of the emerging world, Brazil’s
when the government announced it had changed policymakers have quickly shifted from a focus on
the rules regarding foreign investment in retailing. excessive inflation toward a focus on growth. In
Multi-brand foreign retailers would be permitted to the first half of 2011, Brazil was growing rapidly
own up to 51 percent of an Indian retail enterprise. In and experiencing uncomfortably high inflation. The
the long-term, this would have a positive impact on central bank raised interest rates, which resulted in
economic growth and could lead to a rationalization a sharp rise in the value of the currency and harmed
of the supply chain, greater supply chain efficiency, export competitiveness. Yet by the second half of
and greater effective spending power for consumers. the year, with domestic demand decelerating and
It would also be beneficial to the world’s leading exports being harmed by slower global growth, the
retailers as they continue to seek global opportunities central bank shifted and cut interest rates.
beyond the Chinese market. However, facing serious
opposition, the government backed down and Going forward, Brazil is likely to have modest
withdrew the planned liberalization. At this writing, growth in 2012 and declining inflation. Interestingly,
it is not clear whether and when this proposal will be consumer spending has held up well despite the
offered again. economic slowdown. This was due in part to
continuing growth of consumer credit. While positive
The short-term outlook for India is a bit cloudy. The for spending, this credit expansion does pose a risk to
country’s economy is clearly slowing following a the economy and especially to the banking system.
period in which monetary policy was tightened in
order to fight inflation. The problem is that although Longer term, the prospects for Brazil’s economy
the monetary tightening resulted in slower economic and consumer sector are very good. With a youthful
growth, it did not bring inflation down. Now population, favorable economic policies, and sizable
policymakers are faced with the conundrum of slow foreign direct investment, growth should be strong.
growth with persistent inflation. In addition, roughly half of Brazil’s exports are now
manufactured goods. This is a big change from the
That said, India is relatively immune to the problems past when Brazil was largely a commodity exporter
in the global economy. That is because trade is a and it suggests a less volatile future. Improving
modest share of GDP in India. In addition, India’s income distribution and the rapid rise of the middle
financial sector is not highly exposed to the troubles class also bode well for continued growth of modern
in European credit markets. Thus, even a worsening retailing.
of the situation in Europe is not likely to have a big
negative impact on India. Russia
Russia’s growth has been moderately strong lately
Longer term, India’s prospects are good. The country owing to the strength of commodity prices. In
has a youthful population, which bodes well for addition, there are indications of greater openness to
growth and consumer spending. Economic policy has foreign investment in the commodity sector, which
been supportive of growth through deregulation. In would offer the possibility of increased commodity
addition, India’s capital markets have funneled credit production. Yet Russia’s continued dependence on
to entrepreneurs, contributing to growth. However, commodities makes it vulnerable to volatile prices.
India has obstacles. These include a high degree Russia is also highly dependent on Western Europe,
of trade protection, continuing regulation of labor and a deepening crisis there would have a strong
markets, and uncertainty regarding the future of negative impact on Russia.
policy.
As long as the economy grows, Russian consumer
spending has good prospects, at least in the largest
cities where a disproportionate share of spending
power exists. On the other hand, a declining and
aging population means that longer-term prospects
are not great. And a failure to diversify away from
commodities puts the consumer sector at the mercy
of forces beyond the control of Russia’s authorities.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 7
10. Global trends and issues affecting the consumer
products industry in 2012
In 2012, most of the consumer products companies Over the past few years, consumer products
on the top 250 list will continue to seek global companies have learned some valuable lessons
growth opportunities, pursue business model about global expansion and growth. While
innovations to win with consumers and customers, emerging markets will continue to be the engine
and establish more effective ways to manage of growth thanks to an increasing middle class
uncertainty. With the economic crisis in Europe, and domestic consumer demand, capturing this
increasing social unrest in various regions and growth comes with significant challenges. Firstly,
elections in several developed markets, 2012 will understanding the consumer in each of these markets
present an unstable environment for consumer (and in some cases in each region within a market)
products companies. Leaders will, however, continue is a task that cannot be underestimated. Local
to pursue both top-line and margin growth. tastes, preferences, and affordable price points have
According to a recent report from Forbes Insights1, huge implications for how products are developed,
38 percent of senior executives view “improving manufactured, and promoted. With increasing
top- and bottom-line performance” as their top advertising costs in many emerging markets,
strategic priority, followed by “expanding into global consumer products companies will also continue to
and new markets” at 33 percent. Key emerging seek optimal ways of allocating marketing investment
markets will continue to present the highest growth across multiple channels. For example, word of
opportunities for consumer products companies, mouth campaigns seem to generate the highest ROI
with countries such as Brazil, China, and India driving in Asian markets, but they are extremely difficult to
global GDP growth. This global growth agenda will execute successfully without local market knowledge.
result in strong corporate M&A activity, proactive Secondly, intense price competition, wage inflation
management of category and brand portfolios, and and the cost of real estate in emerging markets put
significant investments outside the core developed great pressure on margins and profitability. Consumer
markets that are home to most of the world’s leading products companies will continue to evolve their
consumer products companies. business and commercial operating models in order
to be successful and profitable. Product innovation,
combined with effective pricing strategies, will be key
areas of focus for the companies that will succeed
in 2012 and beyond. Finally, managing global talent
In 2012, most of the consumer products companies is becoming a key priority for consumer products
on the top 250 list will continue to seek global companies and will be a prerequisite for achieving
growth opportunities, pursue business model successful global growth. Recent research from the
Deloitte member firm in the United States found that
innovations to win with consumers and customers, nearly one in four executives (23 percent) surveyed
and establish more effective ways to manage cited competing for talent globally and in emerging
uncertainty. markets as a top talent concern2. When asked to
look forward three years from now, the global talent
search rises even higher on the agenda to 27 percent.
Global mobility initiatives, training and competency
development programs, and cross-border canters
1 Forbes Insights’ Survey
‘ of excellence will continue to dominate the talent
of 376 senior executives
and talent managers at agenda for consumer products companies in 2012.
large companies (annual
sales of +$500 million)
worldwide; Forbes,
October 2011
2 Talent Edge 2020:
‘
Redrafting talent
strategies for the uneven
recovery’; Deloitte
Development LLC,
January 2012
8
11. Consumer products companies will continue to evolve, and in some
cases rethink their operating models in order to be competitive in the
global marketplace.
Consumer products companies will continue to Use analytics to inform where to play and how
evolve, and in some cases rethink their operating to win
models in order to be competitive in the global One of the biggest challenges that consumer
marketplace. Changes in governance models, products companies will face in 2012 will be the
including corporate structures and decision-making growing need to strengthen the skill-sets, tools, and
hierarchies, will continue to evolve to meet the processes that enable them to convert data into real
need for de-centralized and real-time decisions insights in an effective and timely manner – and
aligned with wider business and brand strategies. to use those insights to inform business decisions.
Functional processes and procedures will also Depending on geography, consumer products
need to evolve. Marketing and sales investment companies are faced with either a plethora or a
allocation rigor, proactive financial stewardship, and lack of data. Countries with concentrated modern
sustainable practices throughout the value chain will trade usually have an abundance of consumer,
increasingly become business as usual. Commercial shopper, and customer data. By contrast, in most
transformation will become a higher priority in the emerging markets dominated by a traditional retail
consumer products sector as businesses grapple with trade this data either does not exist or is at best far
the need to rethink traditional marketing and sales from complete. Consumer products companies will
models to meet the needs of a radically different continue to invest time and effort in analyzing ‘data’
business and consumer environment. to track changing value and profit pools in and across
markets and to understand trends, behaviors, and
The companies that get it right will rise to the patterns of activity that provide the insights needed
top and become global leaders in the increasingly to achieve and sustain competitive advantage.
interconnected consumer business landscape. More than ever, consumer products companies
The magnitude of the untapped opportunity goes that best integrate and use consumer, shopper,
beyond much-discussed general trends such as the and customer insights to drive strategic and tactical
rising middle classes in emerging markets and innovation and optimize engagement with individuals
the increasing importance of social media. throughout the journey to the point of purchase will
The true opportunity lies in connecting the dots in ultimately win at the shelf.
an increasingly complex consumer and customer
ecosystem and winning over the ever-changing Winning at the shelf – physical or virtual – also
hearts and minds of consumers and shoppers with requires constructive collaboration with the retailer.
products and value propositions relevant to their Consumer products companies will continue to
individual situations. seek strategic alliances with retailers based both on
quantitative factors such as current and projected
These themes, and how consumer products profitability, as well as qualitative factors such as
companies can respond to them, are explored in alignment of strategic objectives, compatibility of
more detail in the paragraphs that follow. supporting tools and processes, and cultural fit.
While often fraught with tension, such relationships
will be crucially important.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 9
12. At the corporate level, consumer products companies As shoppers make the switch from branded to
will continue to leverage scenario planning and private label products, the study also found that
econometric modeling to better manage macro- about 93 percent of them expect to continue
economic and political uncertainty. Indeed, leading ‘spending cautiously’ on private label products,
consumer products companies are becoming more even after the economy improves. Unlike previous
sophisticated in establishing global Enterprise Risk economic recessions that caused temporary changes
Management governance, processes, and systems. in shopping habits, this prolonged recession may be
Businesses are beginning to quantify drivers of value turning frugal shopping habits into more permanent
at risk that have previously not been quantified, consumer behavior.
such as the impact of increasingly stringent product
regulation. Not surprisingly, many leading consumer More consumer products companies are taking
product companies are evaluating the impact the view that part of the answer to the margin
of structural changes in the Eurozone and their challenge lies in revisiting product portfolios within
potential impact on areas such as pricing and supply the category. This process typically involves altering
chain management. consumer unit size and packaging types (pack type
is an important part of the consumer/shopper value
Use pricing as a strategic lever to win with equation), and developing a ranked good/better/
consumers, shoppers, and retailers globally best product portfolio, while also considering
Pricing has always been an area of focus for potential variants for specific consumer needs.
consumer products companies. However, the Changed category propositions of this sort are then
accessibility and transparency of pricing information tested with consumers and shoppers through a
to consumers and shoppers, as well as the global combination of qualitative and quantitative research
scale and power of major retailers, pose significant into what drives perception of value, typically using
challenges in the way consumer products companies analytics and modeling techniques to establish the
think about their pricing strategy. To manage pack/price/preference parameters that describe the
the increased complexity and margin pressures, determinants of consumer choice. The results of this
consumer products companies will increasingly use type of research and insight are then used to develop
the latest technological advances such as analytics a win-win category proposition for each retailer.
and pricing management tools to optimize consumer At the core of such a strengthened category
pricing and trade pricing, as well as to maximize the proposition is alignment of category strategy,
returns on investment from marketing and trade brand architecture, and pricing architecture – such
spend. alignment is critical in creating a stronger proposition
for the retailer and the consumer that offers real
Private label products will continue to be a significant up-side in category margin.
and growing competitor to branded consumer
products companies in 2012 and beyond. In many Use digital media as a key strategy to ‘own the
major markets around the world, private label consumer’ throughout their journey with your
penetration has increased as the global economic brand
recession continues to burden the world’s largest There is no doubt the rapid pace of digital media
markets. Since mid-2008, private label’s U.S. market growth has transformed the way consumers think,
share of total consumer products unit-volume has behave and interact with each other and with
grown by more than 16 percent from about businesses. However, most consumer products
18 percent in mid-2008 to over 21 percent in companies struggle with adapting their strategies,
January 2011. With private label in European grocery capabilities and internal processes to meet these new
representing more than a 45 percent share this may consumer needs. Consumers utilize digital and social
still have some way to go. Furthermore, a recent media throughout their purchasing journey – from
study demonstrated that roughly 85 percent of browsing, to product identification and comparison,
shoppers in the U.S. currently rate store brands as to purchasing, and post-purchase customer service.
3 The 2010 American
‘
Pantry Study’, Deloitte
equal in quality to national brands3.
Development LLC and
Harrison Group, 2010
10
13. The implications for consumer products companies
are huge – as is the opportunity to engage with
customers in an effective and timely manner to build
In 2012 and beyond, consumer products companies
long-term brand loyalty. More and more businesses will increasingly integrate sustainable practices into
are moving beyond thinking about digital media their core operating models throughout the value
as an additional and, perhaps, more effective, chain.
communication channel that allows for highly
personalized and targeted engagement. Increasingly,
companies are moving to to a more structured way of
In 2012 and beyond, consumer products companies
integrating digital media into their broader marketing
will continue to move away from Corporate
and corporate strategies. What’s clear is that the
Social Responsibility (CSR) and a separate set of
world’s leading consumer products companies are
sustainability initiatives. Instead, they will increasingly
embracing digital media as a platform for large-scale
integrate sustainable practices into their core
direct consumer engagement. Such engagement will
operating models throughout the value chain – from
serve many purposes – to inform innovation, test
sourcing and waste management to consumer
new products, nurture and support brands, sell direct
engagement with the brand. Increasing numbers of
and provide after sales service. Most importantly, it
companies are recognizing that sustainability can be
will help enable consumer products companies to
a primary driver for strategic product and business
understand their consumers better as individuals and
model innovation that makes them more relevant to
target them accordingly. Again, the use of data and
consumers, captures market share, and helps them
analytics will be key to this.
continue to operate effectively in a changing world.
Building teams that focus exclusively on digital
One of the key drivers of the need for change is
channels, developing talent that understands
consumer expectations. Yes, consumers will continue
and anticipates future digital trends, and shifting
to place strong emphasis on price, convenience and
investments from traditional to digital marketing
quality in making their decisions about where to
are only a few of the initiatives that consumer
shop and what to buy. However, increasing numbers
products companies are likely to pursue as they
of them will want explicit reassurance that what they
re-think their digital media strategies. While the
buy will be ‘good for the planet’, and most will likely
specific optimal digital media strategy will vary by
expect that businesses are already operating to the
company, geography, and product category, there
highest possible standards in this respect. Business
is one constant denominator for consumer products
leaders are increasingly recognizing that they have
executives – the need to meaningfully engage
the responsibility, capability, and self-interest to
with consumers throughout their journey with
achieve real beneficial change in consumer behaviors
their brands and convert them from merely loyal
through the way their products and marketing
customers into active brand advocates.
messages touch people’s lives every day.
Use sustainable practices as a key component
of the growth agenda
Consumer products companies will increasingly
operate in a resource-constrained, climate-impacted
world that requires businesses to place sustainability
at the center of what they do and how they do it. It’s
not a nice to have; it’s about the very sustainability of
the business model.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 11
14. It is also likely that more consumer products • ider business model optimization: to better
W
companies will collaborate with government, civil align global, regional, and in-market decision-
society, and even competitors to tackle massive rights with the category and brand portfolio
societal problems such as water scarcity and of the business and to extend the adoption of
deforestation. Increasing regulation and taxation, structures that reduce effective tax rates and free
as well as highly volatile commodity costs, will up additional resources to invest in growth.
increasingly result in true resource costs being
reflected in the price of products for the consumer, Commercial Transformation: The consumer in
which will change behaviors based on affordability 2012 is very different from the consumer of just a
and the perception of value versus personal values. few years ago. What is even more astonishing is
This, in turn, will provide new incentives for RD and the pace at which consumer behavior is changing.
product innovation. Practices such as closed loop Today’s consumer is able to access and share real-
and localized supply chains, water management and time information and has a radically different way of
carbon labeling will help enable organizations to making purchasing decisions. For example, point-
create both value and competitive differentiators. of-purchase activities are more important than ever,
Businesses that successfully take their consumers with coordination of messages along the entire
on this journey are likeliest to remain relevant in the purchasing funnel becoming increasingly critical to
long term. maximizing conversion rates. Integrating consumer,
shopper, and customer/ outlet-based insights will
Review the operating model of the business therefore be essential in shaping optimal strategies
to ensure it delivers the capabilities needed to and tactics to win at the point of purchase. This has
win in markets around the world profound implications for organizations in which
There is increasing focus on strengthening marketing and sales still operate largely within
capabilities and adapting operating models to traditional silo-based structures. Going forward,
underpin strategies to enhance organic growth. marketing strategies have to be integrated “through
Three facets of the business operating model are the line” in strategy, planning, and execution.
top priority for most leading consumer products
companies: Moreover, understanding and meeting the needs
of each consumer segment with the right general
• ommercial transformation: to create new
C value propositions will be necessary but not sufficient
capabilities and underpin effective through-the-line to win with this consumer. Personalization and
integration of marketing spend. relevance to individual needs are becoming ever
more critical to being noticed, ensuring relevance
• Finance transformation: to bring new levels of to the individual and, while that lasts, achieving a
financial literacy to commercial and operational degree of loyalty.
decision making.
In order to successfully execute this consumer-centric
strategy, consumer products companies will continue
to innovate across multiple areas of their value chain
There is increasing focus on strengthening – from introducing new marketing and distribution
channels, to acquiring new skills and, finally, to
capabilities and adapting operating models to establishing new multi-channel business models.
underpin strategies to enhance organic growth. Given the way that global brand portfolios evolve,
finding the right governance and operating models
to prioritize investment behind global, regional, and
local brands becomes ever more important.
12
15. Although there is no one-size-fits-all solution for
all companies, most will continue to evolve their Technological advancements will continue to change the way that consumer
products companies think about every aspect of their business – from product
commercial operating models to embrace digital,
innovation to supply chain management
support new channels, and integrate every point of
engagement on the path to purchase. Ever since the invention of newsprint, then radio and then television consumer
products companies have made use of the latest available technologies to win the
hearts and minds of consumers and shoppers. In some ways therefore nothing has
Finance transformation: The changing role of changed. However, what has changed is the pace of change and the power of the
finance within the business is a key area of focus new communications technologies that have recently emerged to connect people
and provide complete transparency of information. Consumer products companies
for virtually every CFO in the consumer products
need to embrace these new technologies and recognize how they impact
sector. Today’s finance organizations must execute different aspects of the business such as innovation, brand development, revenue
on a much broader range of responsibilities management, and demand planning.
than existed in their traditional role as stewards
Full pricing transparency, access to real-time product availability at the store level,
of the finances of the business. The traditional and technology-enabled consumer-to-consumer influencing are just a few examples
responsibilities for information quality and of the way the consumer’s ‘path to purchase’ is being reshaped. As a result,
consumer products companies are increasingly looking to new ways of gathering
consistency, finance talent management, internal
and using consumer and shopper insights to design, develop, and test products;
controls and corporate governance, and overall to communicate the brand value proposition; and to ensure efficient distribution
finance function effectiveness remain. However, throughout the traditional and new channels in which they operate. Recognizing
the inevitable challenges in retail-supplier relationships, the need to align every
there is more emphasis on business partnering and
touch-point on the path to purchase requires close collaboration with retailers, who
business performance management, as well as on still dominate the consumers’ attention in-store. This will continue to be critical to
finance professionals acting as coaches to functional ensuring that the product is placed, priced, and promoted at the right level. In 2012,
it is expected that innovative technologies, such as self-service checkout via mobile
roles across the business. This is part of a broader
phone apps and personalized digital coupons – promoted by the retailers, or even
change in which the role of finance is evolving from by the consumer products companies themselves– will increasingly be tested with
“decision support” into an integral part of decision consumer and shoppers globally.
processes at every level of the business.
In a volatile global environment, the ability to
respond quickly to changes in the market based Wider business model optimization: For many
on accurate facts and forecasts will be increasingly consumer products companies, the combination of
important to a company’s ability to avoid organic and inorganic growth over many years has
unwarranted costs and to get the best return on resulted in complex portfolios of global, regional,
every dollar, Euro, or Yuan spent. Most consumer and local brands. While a rich portfolio of brands
products companies have already established new is a huge asset, in increasingly competitive markets
finance operating models underpinned by integrated around the world it is critically important that
ERP systems and characterized by shared services in-market investment decisions reflect both local
for transaction processing, centers of excellence for market realities and above-market category and
specialist skills areas such as treasury and tax, and brand strategies. Most global consumer products
refocused in-market finance functions. Businesses companies have matrix operating models that
that build on this by developing the right finance reflect the need to manage the business from
competencies and skills supported by the right both a category and geography perspective.
information strategies and business analytics tools Optimizing how this matrix works is therefore
will acquire capabilities that make a real difference important, and companies across the industry are
to succeeding in the market and delivering optimal increasingly focused on achieving this in several
shareholder returns. ways: improvement of top-down and bottom-up
strategy and planning processes to ensure top-to-
bottom alignment behind investment priorities and
plans; removal of ambiguities in decision rights and
accountabilities between in-market and above-
market roles; and increasing focus on above-market
leadership from a like-market archetype perspective
rather than geography.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 13
16. A look into the ‘virtual store’
Consumer products companies and retailers are seeking new and innovative ways of engaging with consumers and shoppers like never before.
Virtual stores provide one way to stimulate impulse purchases and capture pent-up demand from mobile consumers. The concept, which has been
successfully executed by Tesco in South Korea and is being piloted by Procter Gamble in Prague’s subway stations,7 is likely to become much more
widespread. It plays to the growing demand for convenience while providing a powerful marketing opportunity. For consumer products companies
that seek new channels to reach consumers, utilizing mobility is a new cost-effective way of increasing sales without having to invest in real estate.
For time-constrained and technologically savvy consumers it is a convenient on-the-go shopping experience, as simple as capturing the quick-
response (QR) codes alongside the brand images with a hand-held device. It is not surprising that companies such as Tesco, Procter Gamble, and
others are already experimenting with the concept.
An additional operating model concern for many In the context of an IT strategy for a consumer
companies is ensuring that the business is structured products company, this means that the focus needs
efficiently from a tax perspective. For example, most to be outward, not inward.
leading consumer products companies with pan-
European businesses have already established central In 2012, consumer products companies will have
entrepreneur/low-risk distributor structures in the no shortage of technological capabilities at their
region. The success of these structures in reducing fingertips; nor will they lack available data, with data
effective tax rates has prompted many to explore volumes doubling every 14 months6. However, the
their application in regions such as Asia Pacific increasing complexity of global business and the
where, in spite of slightly different tax regimes, proliferation of media (and, as a result, consumer
similar opportunities exist. touch points) make uncovering hidden insights a
challenging task. It is no surprise that more and
Recognize that the IT strategy of the business more consumer products companies are integrating
has to change business performance improvement, information
Most leading consumer products companies have management, and advanced analytics initiatives to
invested heavily in their core ERP systems over the meet the needs of their businesses. In many cases,
4 Additional information past decade and many have a reasonably complete consumer products executives will seek to deploy
is available in Deloitte
Consulting LLP (2011), operational ERP infrastructure. Nearly half of all existing and new technologies in a disruptive way, to
“Tech Trends 2011: The organizations with ERP implementations plan to make further engage with consumers and customers and
natural convergence investments to expand their capabilities in the next to provide the analytics and insights that can ensure
of business and IT”,
Chapter 7 year4. Most of these consumer product companies that such engagement is relevant and successful.
are making a clear distinction between the “need to
5 he Power of Pull: How
T play” vs. “play to win” processes, and will continue to
Small Moves, Smartly
Made, Can Set Big Things establish a clearly defined corporate strategy for how
in Motion, by John Hagel each process will be enabled for the business.
III, John Seely Brown,
and Lang Davison,
Deloitte Development However, given the digitally-enabled world that is
LLC, 2010 becoming the new reality, the leading consumer
products companies are undergoing a profound
6 Additional information
is available in Deloitte rethink of their IT strategy. According to a recent
Consulting LLP (2010), publication by the ‘Deloitte Centre for the Edge’5, “to
“Depth Perception: A get better faster at whatever it is you do, you’ve got
dozen technology trends
shaping business and IT to be supported by a broad array of complementary
in 2010”, Chapter 10 people and resources from which you can pull
what you need to raise your rate of performance
7 rocter Gamble
P
website (link: http:// improvement”.
news.pg.com/blog/
innovation/pg-and-
mallcz-introduced-first-
virtual-drugstore-czech-
republic
14
17. Top 250 highlights
Consumer products industry rebounds in 2010 despite
continuing economic malaise Top 250 quick stats, 2010
The consumer products industry ended 2009, one of the toughest
years in the world’s economic history, poised for a rebound. And • $2.82 trillion – aggregate sales of Top 250 in US$
in 2010, robust sales growth and profitability prevailed, despite a
persistent feeling of unease about where the global economy was • $11.3 billion – average size of Top 250 consumer products
headed. companies
Although a durable economic recovery still appears distant, • $2.5 billion – minimum sales required to be on Top 250 list
composite, currency-adjusted sales grew 8.4 percent in 2010 for the
250 largest consumer products companies, nearly a 10 percentage • 8.4 percent – composite year-over-year sales growth
point turnaround from the prior year’s 1.2 percent decline in sales.
Unlike 2009, when 60 percent of Top 250 companies experienced • 8.5 percent – composite net profit margin
negative sales growth, more than three-quarters of Top 250
companies reported a sales increase in 2010. • 0.9x – composite asset turnover
The vast majority of the companies that disclosed their bottom- • 7.5 percent – composite return on assets
line results also were profitable in 2010 (201 of 216 companies).
The composite net profit margin for the 216 reporting companies • 27.8 percent – economic concentration of top 10
was 8.5 percent, an increase of more than two percentage points
over 2009’s 6.4 percent result. While the group’s composite asset
turnover remained the same in 2010 at 0.9 times, better profitability
led to higher return on assets: 7.5 percent compared with 5.6
percent in 2009.
The 250 largest consumer products companies generated combined
sales of more than $2.82 trillion in 2010. This is a significant
increase over 2009, when sales for the Top 250 totaled
$2.57 trillion. Average sales volume for the Top 250 companies
was $11.3 billion in 2010. To rank among the global powers of the
consumer products industry required net sales of at least $2.5 billion,
up from $2.3 billion in 2009.
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 15
18. Top 250 consumer products companies
Sales FY10 FY10 FY10
rank net sales net sales net profit
FY10 Company name Country of origin Region Product sector (US$mil) growth margin
1 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. South Korea Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 134,528 11.2% 10.4%
2 Nestlé S.A. Switzerland Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 105,492 2.0% 32.2%
3 Panasonic Corporation Japan Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 101,704 17.2% 1.0%
4 The Procter Gamble Company United States North Personal Household 82,559 4.6% 14.3%
America Products
5 Sony Corporation Japan Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 73,761 0.2% -3.1%
6 Apple Inc. United States North Electronic Products 65,225 52.0% 21.5%
America
7 Unilever Group Netherlands and Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 58,775 11.1% 10.4%
United Kingdom
8 PepsiCo, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 57,838 33.8% 11.0%
America
9 Nokia Corporation Finland Europe Electronic Products 56,364 3.6% 3.2%
10 Kraft Foods Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 49,207 21.8% 8.4%
America
11 LG Electronics Inc. South Korea Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 48,506 -23.6% 2.3%
12 Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV Belgium Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 36,297 -1.3% 15.9%
13 Sharp Corporation Japan Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 35,357 9.7% 0.7%
14 The Coca-Cola Company United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 35,119 13.3% 33.8%
America
15 Koninklijke Philips Electronics N.V. Netherlands Europe Personal Household 33,754 9.6% 5.7%
Products
16 Bridgestone Corporation Japan Asia/Pacific Tires 32,680 10.2% 3.7%
17 JBS S.A. Brazil Latin Food, Drink Tobacco 31,426 60.5% -0.5%
America
18 Mars, Incorporated United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 30,000 e 7.1% n/a
America
19 Japan Tobacco Inc. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 29,088 -1.1% 6.0%
20 Tyson Foods, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 28,430 6.5% 2.7%
America
21 Philip Morris International Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 27,208 8.7% 27.6%
America
22 L’Oreal SA France Europe Personal Household 25,888 11.6% 11.5%
Products
23 Compagnie Générale des France Europe Tires 23,757 20.8% 5.9%
Établissements Michelin S.C.A.
24 Imperial Tobacco Group PLC United Kingdom Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 23,415 1.8% 10.1%
25 British American Tobacco plc United Kingdom Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 23,014 4.8% 21.1%
26 Danone France Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 22,587 13.5% 12.0%
27 Lenovo Group Limited Hong Kong Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 21,594 30.0% 1.3%
28 Heineken N.V. Netherlands Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 21,423 9.7% 9.6%
29 Kirin Holdings Company, Limited Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 20,959 -4.3% 1.2%
30 NIKE, Inc. United States North Fashion Goods 20,862 9.7% 10.2%
America
31 Haier Group China Asia/Pacific Home Furnishings 20,075 9.2% n/a
Equipment
32 Henkel AG Co. KGaA Germany Europe Personal Household 20,041 11.2% 7.6%
Products
33 Acer Incorporated Taiwan Asia/Pacific Electronic Products 19,973 9.6% 2.4%
34 Research In Motion Limited Canada North Electronic Products 19,907 33.1% 17.1%
America
35 Suntory Holdings Limited Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 19,898* 12.4% 2.7%
36 Kimberly-Clark Corporation United States North Personal Household 19,746 3.3% 9.8%
America Products
37 The Goodyear Tire Rubber United States North Tires 18,832 15.5% -0.9%
Company America
38 Whirlpool Corporation United States North Home Furnishings 18,366 7.4% 3.5%
America Equipment
n/a = not available * Unable to determine if company’s reported sales exclude excise taxes
ne = not in existence (created by merger or divestiture) ** Company’s reported sales include unspecified excise taxes
e = estimate
16
19. Top 250 consumer products companies
Sales FY10 FY10 FY10
rank net sales net sales net profit
FY10 Company name Country of origin Region Product sector (US$mil) growth margin
39 Altria Group, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 16,892 0.4% 23.1%
America
40 adidas AG Germany Europe Fashion Goods 15,921 15.5% 4.7%
41 Diageo plc United Kingdom Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 15,808 1.6% 20.3%
42 Colgate-Palmolive Company United States North Personal Household 15,564 1.5% 14.9%
America Products
43 Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA Sweden Europe Personal Household 15,195 -1.5% 5.1%
Products
44 SABMiller plc United Kingdom Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 15,145 6.7% 16.9%
45 Cargill Meat Solutions Corporation United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 15,000 e 0.0% n/a
America
46 General Mills, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 14,880 0.6% 12.1%
America
47 AB Electrolux Sweden Europe Home Furnishings 14,803 -2.6% 3.8%
Equipment
48 Ajinomoto Co., Inc. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 14,130 3.1% 3.0%
49 Kao Corporation Japan Asia/Pacific Personal Household 13,886 0.2% 4.0%
Products
50 Groupe Lactalis France Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 13,810 22.4% 3.0%
51 Fomento Económico Mexicano, Mexico Latin Food, Drink Tobacco 13,342 -14.1% 26.7%
S.A.B. de C.V. (FEMSA) America
52 Reckitt Benckiser Group plc United Kingdom Europe Personal Household 13,071 9.0% 18.6%
Products
53 Meiji Holdings Co., Ltd. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 13,035 0.7% 0.9%
54 BRF – Brasil Foods S.A. Brazil Latin Food, Drink Tobacco 12,947 42.6% 3.5%
America
55 Maxingvest AG Germany Europe Personal Household 12,741 7.7% 5.8%
Products
56 Dr. August Oetker KG Germany Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 12,558 18.9% n/a
57 Kellogg Company United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 12,397 -1.4% 10.0%
America
58 ConAgra Foods, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 12,303 1.9% 6.7%
America
59 Smithfield Foods, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 12,203 8.9% 4.3%
America
60 Dean Foods Company United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 12,123 8.6% 0.7%
America
61 Asahi Breweries, Ltd. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 12,054 3.2% 4.9%
62 BSH Bosch und Siemens Hausgeräte Germany Europe Home Furnishings 12,048 7.9% 5.1%
GmbH Equipment
63 Royal FrieslandCampina N.V. Netherlands Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 11,914 10.0% 3.2%
64 Nintendo Co., Ltd. Japan Asia/Pacific Leisure Goods 11,868 -29.3% 7.7%
65 Vion N.V. Netherlands Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 11,644 -2.4% 0.9%
66 Nippon Meat Packers, Inc. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 11,575 3.7% 1.7%
67 Motorola Mobility Holdings, Inc. United States North Electronic Products 11,460 3.7% -0.7%
America
68 Land O’Lakes, Inc. United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 11,146 7.1% 1.6%
America
69 GD Midea Holding Co., Ltd. China Asia/Pacific Home Furnishings 11,030 57.7% 5.4%
Equipment
70 Avon Products, Inc. United States North Personal Household 10,731 4.3% 5.6%
America Products
71 H. J. Heinz Company United States North Food, Drink Tobacco 10,707 2.0% 9.4%
America
72 Carlsberg A/S Denmark Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 10,706 1.1% 9.9%
73 Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. Japan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 10,601 4.8% 1.4%
74 Uni-President Enterprises Corp. Taiwan Asia/Pacific Food, Drink Tobacco 10,586 18.0% 4.9%
75 Pernod Ricard S.A. France Europe Food, Drink Tobacco 10,424 7.9% 14.1%
n/a = not available * Unable to determine if company’s reported sales exclude excise taxes
ne = not in existence (created by merger or divestiture) ** Company’s reported sales include unspecified excise taxes
e = estimate
Global Powers of the Consumer Products Industry 2012 17