SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Forest Loss by Community Type in Great Smoky
Mountains National Park
Tanner Jessel
School of Information Sciences
Ephraim Love
Department of Geology
The University of Tennessee
Hemlock Forest Change in GSMNP
Source: Global Biodiversity Information Facility
Where is Forest Decline Occurring?
LANDSAT data characterizing forest change
Where is Hemlock Decline
Occurring?
Hemlock Wooly Adelgid
Adelgid Impact to Landscape
Source: LANDSAT program
Where Does Hemlock Occur?
Satellite image of Great Smoky Mountains
Source: GRSM Overstory Vegetation Map
Remote Sensing
Polygons depicting Hemlock Distribution
Source: ATBI Database
Physical Inventory
Visualization of 1,017 Hemlock occurrences
Source: Maxent output
Predictive Modeling
Predictive model of Hemlock
Source: Maxent output
Predictive Modeling
Predictive model of Hemlock
Environmental Variables
• Continuous
– Digital Elevation
Model
– Solar radiation
– Topographic
convergence index
• Categorical
– Bedrock geology
– Soil organic type
– Slope in degrees
– Terrain shape index
– Leaf on canopy cover
– Understory density
– Vegetation classes
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Digital Elevation Model
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Solar input
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Slope in degrees
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Bedrock Geology
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Soil organic type
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Topographic convergence index
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Terrain shape index
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Vegetation class
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Understory density
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Leaf-on canopy cover
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Contribution
Contributions of environmental layers to model
Source: ATBI database
Occurrence Records
Point Data
Source: ATBI Database, GRSM Hemlock Forest Polygon
Accuracy?
Physical inventory vs. remote-sensing
Source: Maxent output, ATBI occurrence records, GRSM polygons
Accuracy?
Prediction model versus remote sensing
Research Question
Can forest loss be quantified in context of
community structure?
• Mesic (Cove Hardwood)
• Xeric (Pine)
Forest Communities
• Cove Hardwood
– Sugar maple
– Yellow buckeye
– American beech
– Fraser magnolia
– Silverbell
– American basswood
– Tulip tree
– Birch
– Ash
• Pine
– Shortleaf pine
– Table Mountain pine
– Pitch pine
– Eastern white pine
– Virginia Pine
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Sugar Maple
Acer saccharum records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Yellow Buckeye
Aesculus flava specimens
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
American Beech
Fagus grandiflora, specimens
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Fraser Magnolia
Magnolia tripetala records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Silverbell
Halesia carolina records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
American Basswood
Tilia americana records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Tulip Tree
Liriodendron chinense records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
Ash
Fraxinus americana spp.
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
All Birch Species
Betula spp. records
Source: ATBI database, maxent output
All Pine Species
Pinus spp. records
Source: Maxent output processed in Modelbuilder
Threshold
Boundary of likely present / likely absent
Source: All birch trees SDM from maxent, processed by modelbuilder
All Birch Map
All birch trees
Source: Model Builder Output
Combined Birch-Hemlock Map
Birch and Hemlock Together
Source: Raw data, unpublished model output
Pine-Hemlock v. Birch-Hemlock
All pine with hemlock, all birch with hemlock
Source: Maxent output, processed by modelbuilder
Forest Loss by Community
Forest loss in Mesic vs. Xeric
Source: Modelbuilder
Modelbuilder
Model overview
Source: Modelbuilder
Modelbuilder
Model overview
Source: Modelbuilder
Modelbuilder
Model overview
Questions?
• Slides Available
Online

More Related Content

Similar to Hemlock Forest Change in Great Smoky Mountains National Park

Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guardingProfessor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
LandscapeInstituteScotland
 
Forest Habitats and Climate Change
Forest Habitats and Climate ChangeForest Habitats and Climate Change
Forest Habitats and Climate Change
Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science
 
Lightning Round: Species Diversity
Lightning Round: Species DiversityLightning Round: Species Diversity
Lightning Round: Species Diversity
ColleenSchoch
 
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
Jaime Jones
 
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 CompressedUnri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
Gary Johnson
 
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
GIS in the Rockies
 
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
GIS in the Rockies
 

Similar to Hemlock Forest Change in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (7)

Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guardingProfessor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
Professor Alison Hester, head of safe guarding
 
Forest Habitats and Climate Change
Forest Habitats and Climate ChangeForest Habitats and Climate Change
Forest Habitats and Climate Change
 
Lightning Round: Species Diversity
Lightning Round: Species DiversityLightning Round: Species Diversity
Lightning Round: Species Diversity
 
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
Thesis Capstone: Plant Assemblages in Constructed and Natural Vernal Pools in...
 
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 CompressedUnri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
Unri Deep Roots Webcast 08 Compressed
 
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
2012 ASPRS Track, Using GIS to Assess the Introduction and Establishment Pote...
 
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
2018 GIS in the Rockies: Riparian Shrub Assessment of the Mancos River Canyon...
 

Recently uploaded

Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service PlaybookQ&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
World Resources Institute (WRI)
 
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for..."Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
MMariSelvam4
 
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business VenturesWillie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
greendigital
 
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of deathBhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
upasana742003
 
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation StrategyNRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
Robin Grant
 
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian AmazonAlert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
CIFOR-ICRAF
 
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptxAGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
BanitaDsouza
 
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdfPresentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
Innovation and Technology for Development Centre
 
Celebrating World-environment-day-2024.pdf
Celebrating  World-environment-day-2024.pdfCelebrating  World-environment-day-2024.pdf
Celebrating World-environment-day-2024.pdf
rohankumarsinghrore1
 
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. SinghEnvironmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
AhmadKhan917612
 
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patientsPrevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
Open Access Research Paper
 
Sustainable farming practices in India .pptx
Sustainable farming  practices in India .pptxSustainable farming  practices in India .pptx
Sustainable farming practices in India .pptx
chaitaliambole
 
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdfUNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
JulietMogola
 
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving togetherDRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
Robin Grant
 
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdfgrowbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
yadavakashagra
 
ppt on beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
ppt on  beauty of the nature by Palak.pptxppt on  beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
ppt on beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
RaniJaiswal16
 
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
Open Access Research Paper
 
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shopInternational+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
laozhuseo02
 
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
Open Access Research Paper
 
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governance
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governanceNavigating the complex landscape of AI governance
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governance
Piermenotti Mauro
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service PlaybookQ&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
Q&A with the Experts: The Food Service Playbook
 
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for..."Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
"Understanding the Carbon Cycle: Processes, Human Impacts, and Strategies for...
 
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business VenturesWillie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Ventures
 
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of deathBhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
Bhopal Gas Leak Tragedy - A Night of death
 
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation StrategyNRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
NRW Board Paper - DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy
 
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian AmazonAlert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
Alert-driven Community-based Forest monitoring: A case of the Peruvian Amazon
 
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptxAGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
AGRICULTURE Hydrophonic FERTILISER PPT.pptx
 
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdfPresentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
Presentación Giulio Quaggiotto-Diálogo improbable .pptx.pdf
 
Celebrating World-environment-day-2024.pdf
Celebrating  World-environment-day-2024.pdfCelebrating  World-environment-day-2024.pdf
Celebrating World-environment-day-2024.pdf
 
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. SinghEnvironmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
Environmental Science Book By Dr. Y.K. Singh
 
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patientsPrevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
Prevalence, biochemical and hematological study of diabetic patients
 
Sustainable farming practices in India .pptx
Sustainable farming  practices in India .pptxSustainable farming  practices in India .pptx
Sustainable farming practices in India .pptx
 
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdfUNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdf
 
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving togetherDRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
DRAFT NRW Recreation Strategy - People and Nature thriving together
 
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdfgrowbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
growbilliontrees.com-Trees for Granddaughter (1).pdf
 
ppt on beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
ppt on  beauty of the nature by Palak.pptxppt on  beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
ppt on beauty of the nature by Palak.pptx
 
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...
 
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shopInternational+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
International+e-Commerce+Platform-www.cfye-commerce.shop
 
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
Characterization and the Kinetics of drying at the drying oven and with micro...
 
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governance
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governanceNavigating the complex landscape of AI governance
Navigating the complex landscape of AI governance
 

Hemlock Forest Change in Great Smoky Mountains National Park

Editor's Notes

  1. Results from time-series analysis of 654,178 Landsat images in characterizing forest extent and change, 2000–2012.
  2. What comes to mind when you think of Fraser fir? What’s your “mental model” of where it lives?
  3. A hemlock woolly adegid infestation has killed many hemlock trees in the Linville Gorge area of Pisgah National Forest, North Carolina.
  4. This geospatial dataset contains location polygons for all forest types with Eastern Hemlock as a component in Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Derived from the GRSM Overstory Vegetation Map
  5. 274,120 results
  6. Eastern hemlock trees dominate stream sides and moist, shady slopes up to 4,000 feet in elevation to form almost pure stands of the Hemlock Forest. The hemlock woolly adelgid, a tiny non-native insect, threatens hemlock forests in the park and in the eastern United States.
  7. 274,120 results
  8. That’s rad.
  9. Steep, vertical drops
  10. Bedrock geology
  11. soils
  12. Essentially, streams
  13. Effect of landforms on tree height
  14. Vegetation class.
  15. Where’s the rhododendron?
  16. Leaf on, leaf off.
  17. 274,120 results
  18. Based on literature. Pine-and-Oak Forests are dominant on relatively dry, exposed slopes and ridges, especially on the west side of the park. Despite plentiful amounts of rain, these excessively drained slopes dry out quickly and fire is a regular part of these forest communities. he Cove Hardwood Forest is the most botanically diverse of these forests. Between 40 to 60 tree and shrub species grow in coves, which are sheltered valleys with deep rich soils. Common species include Carolina silverbell, basswood, dogwood, and magnolia.
  19. Based on literature. Pine-and-Oak Forests are dominant on relatively dry, exposed slopes and ridges, especially on the west side of the park. Despite plentiful amounts of rain, these excessively drained slopes dry out quickly and fire is a regular part of these forest communities. he Cove Hardwood Forest is the most botanically diverse of these forests. Between 40 to 60 tree and shrub species grow in coves, which are sheltered valleys with deep rich soils. Common species include Carolina silverbell, basswood, dogwood, and magnolia.
  20. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  21. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  22. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  23. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  24. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  25. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  26. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  27. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  28. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  29. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  30. Red Oak
  31. Red Oak
  32. Note pine is confined to lower elevations. Birch-Hemlock finds suitable habitat in a larger area.