Impact of New Voters in GE13 Number of New Voters: Nett vs Gross Increase Who registered the new voters How many of them are potentially dubious

1. GE13: Impact of New Voters
11th April 2013

2. Differentiate between Nett and Gross
Increase in the # of Voters
 Nett Increase =
 Number of Voters in GE2013 – Number of Voters in
GE2008 or
 Number of Newly Registered voters Since GE2008
minus Number of Voters who have been deleted
from the electoral roll
 Gross Increase =
 Newly Registered or First Time Voters since 2008
 Gross Increase is more important than nett
increase since these are the first time voters who
are more likely to be ‘swing’ voters in GE2013
2

3. Nett Increase from GE2008 to GE2013 is 2.4m
Gross Increase from GE2008 to GE2013 is 3.7m
14 13.3 13.3
Nett
12 2.4
Increase First Time 3.7
M 10 Voters
i
l 8
l
i 6 10.9 10.9
o 9.6
n 4
2
0
GE2008 GE2013 Nett Increase GE 2013 Gross Increase
First Time Voters constitute 28% of total voters in
3
GE2013

4. Selangor has the highest number of new voters at
0.66m, followed by Johor at 0.45m and Perak at
0.37m
PERLIS 0.11 0.03
MELAKA 0.32 0.12
NEGERI SEMBILAN 0.40 0.16
TERENGGANU 0.47 0.17
PAHANG 0.53 0.21
W.P KUALA LUMPUR 0.59 0.22
PENANG 0.63 0.22
KELANTAN 0.67 0.25
KEDAH 0.77 0.27
SARAWAK 0.81 0.28
SABAH 0.72 0.29
PERAK 1.04 0.37
JOHOR 1.16 0.45
SELANGOR 1.39 0.66
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
4 GE2008 Voters New Voters

5. Selangor has the highest number of new voters at
0.66m, followed by Johor at 0.45m and Perak at
0.37m
State New Voters Since GE2008 # Voters Q4 2012 % New Voters
SELANGOR 0.66 2.05 32%
JOHOR 0.45 1.61 28%
PERAK 0.37 1.41 27%
SABAH 0.29 1.01 29%
SARAWAK 0.28 1.09 26%
KEDAH 0.27 1.04 26%
KELANTAN 0.25 0.92 27%
PENANG 0.22 0.85 26%
W.P KUALA
LUMPUR 0.22 0.81 27%
PAHANG 0.21 0.74 28%
TERENGGANU 0.17 0.64 27%
NEGERI SEMBILAN 0.16 0.56 29%
MELAKA 0.12 0.44 27%
PERLIS 0.03 0.14 23%
5

6. Top 10 parliament seats by # of new voters
8 of them are in Selangor
PARLIAMENT PARLIAMENT TOTAL
NEGERI NewVotersSince2008 % New Voters
CODE NAME VOTERS
SELANGO
P107 SUBANG
R 128,677 54915 42.7%
SELANGO
P101 HULU LANGAT
R 127,537 47328 37.1%
SELANGO
P102 SERDANG
R 133,265 46374 34.8%
SELANGO
P109 KAPAR
R 144,369 42344 29.3%
SELANGO
P111 KOTA RAJA
R 105,995 41086 38.8%
SELANGO
P103 PUCHONG
R 107,135 39145 36.5%
JOHOR P159 PASIR GUDANG
101,121 36626 36.2%
SELANGO
P98 GOMBAK
R 123,483 36311 29.4%
JOHOR P162 GELANG PATAH
106,864 35537 33.3%
SELANGO
P97 SELAYANG
R 106,055 35340 33.3%
6

7. Top 10 parliament seats by % of new voters
PARLIAMENT PARLIAMENT TOTAL % New
NEGERI NewVotersSince2008
CODE NAME VOTERS Voters
W.P KUALA
P125 PUTRAJAYA
LUMPUR 15,798 9940 62.9%
KEDAH P4 LANGKAWI
37,605 21137 56.2%
SELANGOR P107 SUBANG 128,677
54915 42.7%
SELANGOR P111 KOTA RAJA 105,995
41086 38.8%
JOHOR P158 TEBRAU
90,601 34444 38.0%
KEDAH P8 POKOK SENA
80,916 30349 37.5%
PAHANG P85 PEKAN
80,389 30092 37.4%
SELANGOR P101 HULU LANGAT 127,537
47328 37.1%
KOTA
SARAWAK P197 38,221
SAMARAHAN 14162 37.1%
KEDAH P9 ALOR STAR
69,189 25538 36.9%
7

8. Who registered the new voters?
Starting Letter Registration Method / Agency
G Post Office Electronically
H Post Office Hard Copy
J Government Agency (JASA and KEMAS)
K Police
N Political Parties (BN and PR)
O Non-Government Organizations
P State Election Commission office
U Mobile EC unit
Z Army
I, L, M, S Unsure
8

9. Political parties registered 34%, followed post office at
29%, followed by SPR at 20% and JASA at 10%
Police+Army
State Post Office (G+H) SPR (P+U) Political Parties (N) JASA (J) (K+Z) Others
JOHOR 26.4% 19.5% 36.5% 9.9% 4.0% 3.7%
KEDAH 22.1% 15.2% 47.4% 9.6% 4.5% 1.3%
KELANTAN 18.0% 18.9% 44.7% 14.0% 2.9% 1.5%
MELAKA 21.5% 28.2% 28.1% 13.4% 7.2% 1.5%
NEGERI
SEMBILAN 23.6% 32.8% 23.6% 9.0% 9.8% 1.3%
PAHANG 27.4% 21.9% 35.0% 7.7% 6.5% 1.5%
PERAK 29.8% 18.2% 34.6% 9.4% 6.5% 1.5%
PERLIS 14.6% 33.5% 18.2% 24.5% 7.2% 2.0%
PULAU
PINANG 31.7% 13.0% 40.1% 9.8% 3.2% 2.1%
SABAH 30.5% 22.8% 22.9% 17.2% 4.8% 1.9%
SARAWAK 37.8% 21.4% 25.4% 9.3% 5.3% 0.8%
SELANGOR 33.9% 18.7% 33.8% 9.4% 2.6% 1.6%
TERENGGAN
U 36.6% 16.5% 38.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7%
W.P KUALA
LUMPUR
9 32.3% 17.7% 30.7% 5.6% 12.7% 0.9%
Grand Total 29.2% 19.8% 34.2% 10.1% 5.0% 1.7%

10. 375k voters registered by JASA since 2008GE
Police+Army
State Post Office (G+H) SPR (P+U) Political Parties (N) JASA (J) (K+Z) Others Total
JOHOR 119112 88046 164204 44442 17982 16584 450370
KEDAH 59403 40873 127562 25858 12038 3433 269167
KELANTAN 45146 47357 112234 35119 7391 3718 250965
MELAKA 25688 33694 33528 16046 8572 1832 119360
NEGERI
SEMBILAN 37913 52722 37911 14411 15696 2033 160686
PAHANG 56819 45279 72479 15983 13427 3115 207102
PERAK 111571 68073 129305 35058 24377 5791 374175
PERLIS 4578 10497 5690 7673 2266 641 31345
PULAU
PINANG 70047 28638 88486 21736 7084 4686 220677
SABAH 88366 66009 66215 49791 13804 5443 289628
SARAWAK 105231 59505 70511 25850 14748 2215 278060
SELANGOR 223046 122920 222597 62186 16932 10630 658311
TERENGGANU 61770 27884 64997 8305 4409 1201 168566
W.P KUALA
LUMPUR 70500 38646 67001 12320 27832 2028 218327
Grand Total
10 1079190 730143 1262720 374778 186558 63350 3696739

11. Why should we be fearful of JASA registrations?
Director is Dato Fuad
Hassan, former UMNO Propaganda Unit under
ADUN for Hulu the Minister of
Klang, lost to Azmin Ali Information
in 1999
11

12. JASA and KEMAS were specially rewarded in the 2012
Budget
12

13. Examples of why we should be fearful of JASA
registrations
• For example, 567 Kod 71 J Registration New Voters
in Selangor without house numbers
• All are in urban areas with a majority of voters with
house numbers and street names
• Many of the J registrations are in sequence
• Many of these voters only have one name (most
probably Indonesian origin)
• For example, 737 Kod J Registration New Voters in
Johor without house numbers including 52 in Kpg
Melayu Majidee in Johor Bahru
13

14. Sample from P99 Ampang: No Address, Kod 71
NoSir NoRum NamaParlim Nosiribora
i IC ICLama Nama ah NamaLokaliti en NamaDM ng
8303257150 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
506 24 SUKMASARY BINTI SUHERMAN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254001
7003277151 851813 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
321 96 5 RATNADEWI BINTI ZAINUDDIN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254002
8409297150 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
525 24 ASWITA BINTI SUHERMAN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254003
3808197152 851806 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
16 64 0 RAIMAH BINTI BAHARUDIN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254004
5905187151 831871 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
148 35 4 SUDAR BIN BUSAIRI - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254005
6504287152 832140 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
232 13 9 SUWARDI BIN SYAMSUDDIN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254007
6307097154 843062 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
204 73 4 ZULFADLI BIN NURDIN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254008
6204137156 844094 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
190 27 8 AKIRUDDIN BIN SAHAR - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254009
6007277155 851737 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
164 25 5 BACHTIAR EFFENDI BIN KALIMO - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254010
7008047152 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
325 02 FITRA NENGSIH BINTI ALI - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254011
6005147159 851444 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
162 35 8 RAMLAN BIN KANDIH - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254012
7008167151 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
326 97 BUDNADIR BIN HASAN BASRI - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254013
8007037150 SUPERIATNI BINTI ZAINAL JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
461 92 ABIDIN - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254014
5606307152 851237 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
111 42 5 SUARNI BINTI THAHER - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254015
7207257151 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA
14 65
360 FAISAL BIN SYAMSUAR - JAYA AMPANG UTARA J254016
7109047150 JLN 1-6 LEMBAH LEMBAH JAYA

15. Sample of One Name Kod 71 Voters Registered by JASA
with no house numbers
IC ICLama Nama NamaParlimen NamaDUN Nosiriborang
64080571517
3 8446754 SAPRI GOMBAK BATU CAVES J0373728
62090771546
7 8443078 BUANG AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192569
57042171541
3 8440625 SULAIMAN AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192661
64040871531
3 8448927 JASULI AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192586
79062671506
7 SALIS AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192644
44010471500
0 8355522 ASNIAH AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J0657676
57050471512
8 8449183 DANIYAH AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192566
64022671504 JUM'ANIYA
8 8448385 H AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192591
78061571501
1 HODRI AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J192580
72010271516
9 8334530 RAMLAN AMPANG BUKIT ANTARABANGSA J0061933
62091471509
15
4 8443967 SUNAYYAH SERDANG BALAKONG J221506
82022071501

16. Sample of Kod 71 Voters Registered by JASA with no
house numbers in Kg Melayu Majidee in Johor Bahru
NoRuma NamaParlime Nosiriboran
IC ICLama Nama h NamaLokaliti n g
65030471554 JOHOR
5 8401374 SUPNI BIN SAWAL - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746186
73041671506 JOHOR
4 8536672 MASNIYAH BINTI MUTO - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746189
66061371515 JOHOR
0 8437791 LUTFIAH BINTI PAGI - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746190
47071171506 JOHOR
9 8300382 SUDURI BIN DAMAM - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746193
58031071520 JOHOR
9 8326621 MATAN BIN EMRAN - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746194
70021471517 MHD SAUFI BIN JOHOR
3 SAMSUDDIN - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746195
72081171507 JOHOR
3 SULPA BIN HATNABI - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746196
53082171504 JOHOR
5 8478207 MUHAMMAD BIN DAHLAN - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746197
65031571500 JOHOR
6 8318724 RUHAYYAH BINTI SUPPAR - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746198
64042671509 JOHOR
3 8467112 SULMAN BIN YUSUF - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746199
70041671523 JOHOR
5 8560417 SAYADI BIN MIN'ARI - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746200
68030871519 JOHOR
5 8405063 FAHER BIN MUNIB - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746251
59070371519 JOHOR
6 8527283 SATINAH BINTI MARLIDIN - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746252
16
59051371505 JOHOR
6 8326527 RUSMAWATI BINTI ASMUI - KG MELAYU MAJIDEE BAHRU J0746253

17. What can we do???
 Urge genuine voters to turn out to vote
 Highlight areas with a large number of potentially
dubious voters
 Prepare lists of potentially dubious voters to
polling agents especially in the marginal seats
17