The document discusses next steps for creating a European banking union after the agreement to form a Single Supervisory Mechanism. It makes three key points:
1. The European Council has outlined plans for a Single Resolution Mechanism but many details are still preliminary and depend on other initiatives like the involvement of the European Stability Mechanism in bank recapitalizations.
2. Both the upcoming Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive and the Single Resolution Mechanism should enable substantial participation of existing creditors in future bank restructurings.
3. Efforts to establish a legislative framework should not delay decisive action on managing current banking fragility in Europe, which is hindering economic growth and employment.
CIDSE paper on financial regulation nov 2012 finalManfredNolte
This document discusses CIDSE's role in advocating for value-based international financial regulation. It outlines four guidelines that regulation should follow according to Catholic Social Teaching principles: 1) Place the financial sector at the service of a real economy focused on human well-being and sustainability, 2) Prevent financial crises to the greatest extent possible and mitigate their impacts, 3) Promote a just distribution of wealth and income, and 4) Be the result of transparent and accountable processes that involve all actors in society. The document then examines specific issues like too big to fail institutions, bank capital requirements, derivatives, credit rating agencies, and shadow banking, providing analysis and recommendations.
Cidse paper on financial regulation nov 2012 final copiaManfredNolte
This document provides an overview of CIDSE's role in advocating for international financial regulation based on Catholic Social Teaching. It discusses four principles that should guide financial sector regulation: 1) ensuring the financial sector supports a real economy focused on human well-being and sustainable development, 2) preventing financial crises and mitigating their impacts, 3) promoting a just distribution of wealth and income, and 4) ensuring regulatory processes are transparent and accountable. The document then examines specific issues in financial regulation, including too big to fail institutions, bank capital requirements, derivatives, hedge funds, credit rating agencies, financial sector taxation, and shadow banking. It provides CIDSE's perspective on these issues and concludes with recommendations.
Market Outlook - Financial Crisis & PolicyJayson Kim
1) A fundamental cause of the current financial crisis was a change in the banking business model that mixed credit and equity cultures. When this new model was combined with complex interactions from macro policies, regulations, taxation, and corporate governance changes, it resulted in the crisis.
2) Four key events in 2004 contributed to banks accelerating off-balance sheet mortgage securitization: 1) new US mortgage proposals, 2) increased regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, 3) publication of the Basel II accord, and 4) changes to SEC regulation of investment banks.
3) One bank, Citi, is used as an example of how the transition from Basel I to Basel II created an arbitrage opportunity for
The AMBCC Financial Service Committee is comprised of financial service professionals representing credit unions, banks, lending institutions, insurance companies, financial planning, private equity, and venture capitalist firms.
The FSC works to represent, educate, and promote its members and ensure them economic opportunities and market presence.
Bank of England - International Monetary Systemsmontgold
This document summarizes a paper that examines reforms to the international monetary and financial system (IMFS). It begins with an overview of different IMFS regimes throughout history, including the Gold Standard and Bretton Woods System, noting they placed different emphasis on objectives like internal balance, allocative efficiency, and financial stability. The paper then assesses today's IMFS, finding it has performed poorly against these objectives. It identifies key frictions in the global economy that allow imbalances to build, such as nominal rigidities, missing markets, imperfect information. The paper proposes reforms countries can implement independently as well as initiatives requiring international cooperation to address these frictions.
STOCKTAKING OF THE G-20 RESPONSES TO THE GLOBAL BANKING CRISISPeter Ho
The document provides a preliminary assessment of policy responses by G-20 countries to address the global banking crisis from September 2008 to February 2009. It finds that initial responses were reactive and aimed at containment through measures like debt guarantees and liquidity support. Key limitations identified include inadequate creditor protection if economic conditions worsen, ad hoc capital injections, and a lack of frameworks for asset management. Going forward, the document recommends a more comprehensive and coordinated international strategy across four elements: coordination of restructuring policies, cooperation on toxic asset valuation and disposal, financial institution inspections, and frameworks for public ownership of banks.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
CIDSE paper on financial regulation nov 2012 finalManfredNolte
This document discusses CIDSE's role in advocating for value-based international financial regulation. It outlines four guidelines that regulation should follow according to Catholic Social Teaching principles: 1) Place the financial sector at the service of a real economy focused on human well-being and sustainability, 2) Prevent financial crises to the greatest extent possible and mitigate their impacts, 3) Promote a just distribution of wealth and income, and 4) Be the result of transparent and accountable processes that involve all actors in society. The document then examines specific issues like too big to fail institutions, bank capital requirements, derivatives, credit rating agencies, and shadow banking, providing analysis and recommendations.
Cidse paper on financial regulation nov 2012 final copiaManfredNolte
This document provides an overview of CIDSE's role in advocating for international financial regulation based on Catholic Social Teaching. It discusses four principles that should guide financial sector regulation: 1) ensuring the financial sector supports a real economy focused on human well-being and sustainable development, 2) preventing financial crises and mitigating their impacts, 3) promoting a just distribution of wealth and income, and 4) ensuring regulatory processes are transparent and accountable. The document then examines specific issues in financial regulation, including too big to fail institutions, bank capital requirements, derivatives, hedge funds, credit rating agencies, financial sector taxation, and shadow banking. It provides CIDSE's perspective on these issues and concludes with recommendations.
Market Outlook - Financial Crisis & PolicyJayson Kim
1) A fundamental cause of the current financial crisis was a change in the banking business model that mixed credit and equity cultures. When this new model was combined with complex interactions from macro policies, regulations, taxation, and corporate governance changes, it resulted in the crisis.
2) Four key events in 2004 contributed to banks accelerating off-balance sheet mortgage securitization: 1) new US mortgage proposals, 2) increased regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, 3) publication of the Basel II accord, and 4) changes to SEC regulation of investment banks.
3) One bank, Citi, is used as an example of how the transition from Basel I to Basel II created an arbitrage opportunity for
The AMBCC Financial Service Committee is comprised of financial service professionals representing credit unions, banks, lending institutions, insurance companies, financial planning, private equity, and venture capitalist firms.
The FSC works to represent, educate, and promote its members and ensure them economic opportunities and market presence.
Bank of England - International Monetary Systemsmontgold
This document summarizes a paper that examines reforms to the international monetary and financial system (IMFS). It begins with an overview of different IMFS regimes throughout history, including the Gold Standard and Bretton Woods System, noting they placed different emphasis on objectives like internal balance, allocative efficiency, and financial stability. The paper then assesses today's IMFS, finding it has performed poorly against these objectives. It identifies key frictions in the global economy that allow imbalances to build, such as nominal rigidities, missing markets, imperfect information. The paper proposes reforms countries can implement independently as well as initiatives requiring international cooperation to address these frictions.
STOCKTAKING OF THE G-20 RESPONSES TO THE GLOBAL BANKING CRISISPeter Ho
The document provides a preliminary assessment of policy responses by G-20 countries to address the global banking crisis from September 2008 to February 2009. It finds that initial responses were reactive and aimed at containment through measures like debt guarantees and liquidity support. Key limitations identified include inadequate creditor protection if economic conditions worsen, ad hoc capital injections, and a lack of frameworks for asset management. Going forward, the document recommends a more comprehensive and coordinated international strategy across four elements: coordination of restructuring policies, cooperation on toxic asset valuation and disposal, financial institution inspections, and frameworks for public ownership of banks.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
The document summarizes the UBUNTU Forum's participation in the Rio+20 UN Conference on Sustainable Development and parallel People's Summit in June 2012 in Rio de Janeiro. At the official conference, UBUNTU organized a side event on food issues and participated in an event on innovative financing. At the People's Summit, they co-organized two activities and participated in a demonstration for a Robin Hood Tax. UBUNTU also engaged in meetings on sustainability, governance, and a new vision for the future. The document concludes with details on UBUNTU's support for a financial transaction tax to fund development.
This document provides information on how to connect an ASP.NET application to a database. It explains that the connection string is stored in the web.config file and describes the main attributes of the connection string. It also demonstrates how to retrieve the connection string from within the application using ConfigurationManager, and how to use SqlConnection, SqlCommand, and SqlDataAdapter objects to connect to the database, execute queries, and retrieve data for the application.
This document provides a summary of the European Economic Forecast for Autumn 2012 published by the European Commission. It finds that:
1) The EU economy is expected to see mild recovery amid continued structural adjustment, with external factors like global growth posing risks.
2) Financial markets in Europe have stabilized but uncertainty remains around issues like fiscal consolidation and bank balance sheets.
3) Growth is projected to gradually pick up in the EU, though significant risks around sovereign debt and the external environment remain.
4) Individual country forecasts within the EU vary, with some economies like Germany seeing continued resilience while others like Greece, Italy and Cyprus face ongoing challenges.
Evaluacion de la campaña de oxfam sobre la ttfManfredNolte
This document provides an evaluation report of Oxfam's Financial Transaction Tax campaign. Some key points:
1) The campaign aimed to introduce a small tax on financial transactions to raise funds for development and social issues. National strategies varied based on context.
2) The campaign increased public awareness of the tax, though underlying interest in financial sector reform also drove the policy agenda. Officials credit the campaign with progress in France.
3) Reach was average to strong, with some materials like a viral video performing above expectations. Germany secured the most petition signatures.
4) Oxfam provided expertise in mobilization, media/social media, and political dynamics that partners found valuable. Affiliates
Robin hood tax political update june 2012ManfredNolte
Germany signals it will abandon an EU-wide FTT and support a smaller coalition of willing countries instead. France and new President Hollande continue pushing heavily for a European FTT. The European Parliament voted in favor of an FTT. Germany and France remain key drivers for an FTT deal within the EU by the end of June between finance ministers and leaders. Civil society is pushing for revenues from any FTT to fund development and climate programs, not just deficit reduction.
Propuesta decisión Consejo europeo sobre EspañaManfredNolte
This document is a proposal for a Council Decision addressed to Spain on specific measures to reinforce financial stability. It outlines the context of Spain's request for financial assistance to recapitalize its banking sector due to problems from a real estate bubble bursting. It proposes that Spain develop a strategy to restructure its banking system, including identifying capital needs through asset quality reviews and stress tests, recapitalizing or resolving weak banks, and segregating impaired assets to an asset management company. It also proposes strengthening regulatory and supervisory frameworks for Spanish banks. The proposal aims to overhaul weak segments of the banking sector and reinforce stability in Spain.
La ue estudia la ttf para financiar la supervisión.ManfredNolte
The European Commission is considering funding the European Union's financial industry watchdogs (ESMA, EBA, and EIOPA) through a levy on the financial institutions they oversee, rather than through EU and national budget contributions. Currently the watchdogs receive 60% of their funding from national supervisors and 40% from the EU budget. The Commission believes this funding model should be revised given budget constraints. A tax on banks and insurers could replace the current funding, though details like the tax rate are unclear. National governments may support the shift to an industry-funded model, but some financial industry groups oppose offloading costs onto firms. The report also examines expanding the watchdogs' powers and roles.
The EC has approved restructuring plans for four nationalized Spanish banks including a €18 billion recapitalization for BFA-Bankia. BFA-Bankia unveiled an updated strategic plan aiming for profitability by 2013 and transferring most real estate loans to a bad bank. The restructuring could provide an exit option for BFA-Bankia's subordinated bondholders through an exchange of debt for shares.
Understanding Risk Management and Compliance, May 2012Compliance LLC
The document discusses several topics related to banking regulation:
1) It discusses the EBA's work over the past year to strengthen bank capital positions in response to the financial crisis, including stress tests and recommendations to raise over €115 billion in capital.
2) It outlines the EBA's goal of establishing a Single Rulebook to harmonize banking rules across the EU and prevent a relaxation of standards.
3) It focuses on the EBA's work developing regulatory technical standards for defining bank capital and ensuring high quality capital instruments are used across all member states.
1) The document discusses financial crime and regulatory responses after the 2008 financial crisis in the UK. It examines proposed measures by bodies like the Basel Committee and the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive.
2) It also discusses criticisms of these regulatory responses for not fully addressing the problems and for exacerbating the crisis through increased costs for banks. Loopholes still allow some financial crime to thrive.
3) The document also analyzes international coordination challenges between countries and how austerity measures disproportionately affected some countries that bailed out foreign banks. Overall, the regulatory responses were criticized as not doing enough to curb criminal and harmful non-criminal behaviors in the financial industry.
The Cyprus crisis is one of the most complex in the Eurozone -although in absolute terms it is a minor crisis. An analysis of the ongoing developments from different perspectives leads to the conclusion that we are witnessing a «perfect crisis» at the confluence of sovereign debt and banking crisis together with debt overhang of business and households and a severe decline of competitiveness. As a result CY has amassed a large external debt that can not be repaid, no matter what fraction of the country’s real domestic economic output is appropriated through austerity measures. Hence, fiscal austerity leads to deflationary stagnation and alone does not work. We advocate a policy response that addresses multiple dimensions of the problem with policy options of (1) austerity deleveraging, (2) structural reforms, (3) financial innovations, (4) partial privatizations and (5) debt restructuring. These options are drawn from lessons of what worked well, and what not, in crises of other countries and these lessons are summarized in lieu of conclusions
Long-term Sustainability of a monetary and fiscal union. ADEMU_Project
This document summarizes Work Package 1 of the ADEMU research project, which aims to conduct analysis and develop proposals to ensure the long-term sustainability of the European Monetary and Fiscal Union. It discusses three components of the analysis: understanding sovereign debt crises, ensuring debt sustainability, and improving fiscal risk-sharing. It also summarizes several research papers that will contribute to each component and their key topics, such as minimizing future sovereign risks and designing a financial stability fund as a component of fiscal union.
Shadow Banking and the Global Financial Crisis: The Regulatory Response (Oxfo...J.P. Reimann
This paper studies the shadow banking system and its regulation since the global financial crisis of 2008. The shadow banking system is a newly coined term, that is not yet (or only very scarcely) regulated or defined. It has been remarked that the shadow banking sector played a major part in the leading up to the crisis. While regulators have been quick to introduce stricter rules for banks and insurance companies, the shadow banks have been left largely untouched by new regulations.
Regulation aims to remedy market failures in banking like systemic risk and information asymmetry. However, current regulations focus on shareholder value banks and fail to consider diverse bank models like cooperative banks. Regulations also generally fail to recognize the benefits of diversification in banking. This paper analyzes the impact of regulations like Basel III on cooperative banks and whether regulations appropriately account for different bank business models.
This document provides a roadmap towards establishing a genuine Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in the euro area. It proposes a three stage process:
1) Ensuring fiscal sustainability and breaking the bank-sovereign link by 2013.
2) Completing an integrated financial framework and promoting structural reforms by 2014 through a common resolution authority and contractual reform agreements.
3) Improving EMU resilience after 2014 by establishing a fiscal capacity to absorb economic shocks, coupled with incentives for sound fiscal policies and deeper integration of budgets and policies.
The document argues this process is urgently needed to strengthen EMU mechanisms and ensure stability in response to challenges from within and outside the euro area.
L'objectif du "bail-in" est de forcer, en l'espace d'un week-end, les créanciers et actionnaires de l'établissement financier défaillant à absorber les pertes, ce avant toute intervention publique. Ce rapport donne un compte-rendu critique de l'avancée de l'Union Bancaire Européenne (tant sur le volet supervision, que sur le volet résolution) en prenant comme point de comparaison la réglementation américaine (Partie 1). Ce compte-rendu est ensuite complété par des études de cas (Partie 2) et une série de recommandations (Partie 3). L’application du pouvoir de bail-in en matière de résolution bancaire est particulièrement d’actualité depuis le début de la crise des banques italiennes en 2017. En juin 2017, le pouvoir de bail-in a été appliqué à Banco Popular et a conduit à l’éviction des actionnaires et des créanciers juniors, dans le cadre de l’application de la nouvelle directive européenne relative à la résolution bancaire. En revanche, l’Etat italien a engagé 17 milliards d’euros pour sauver deux banques régionales vénitiennes, Veneto Banca et Banco populare di Vicenza fin juin 2017, ce pour des considérations d’ordre essentiellement politique. Un tel sauvetage, qui représente une exception notable à l’application du pouvoir de bail-in, a été rendu possible par l’interprétation large du mécanisme d’aide d’Etat prévu par la directive et constitue une remise en cause de la crédibilité du volet résolution de l’Union Bancaire Européenne sur le plan international.
Vgis macro the pigs and the emu lost decadeFahd Rachidy
The document discusses the sovereign debt crisis in Greece and its potential impact on the European Monetary Union (EMU). It notes that Greece is facing severe budget deficits and debt levels that threaten its long-term fiscal stability. There is a risk that the crisis could spread to other weaker Eurozone economies like Portugal, Spain, and Italy. Immediate intervention is needed to prevent Greece's problems from worsening and sparking a wider crisis across Europe. However, options are limited given rules prohibiting bailouts between Eurozone members. In the longer run, the crisis has revealed structural weaknesses in the EMU and calls its sustainability into question.
Breaking the common fate of banks and governments by Daniel Gros and Cinzia A...Círculo de Empresarios
The document discusses the eurozone debt crisis and proposals for addressing it. It argues that while policymakers have focused on fiscal discipline, the crisis has deeper roots in inconsistencies in the eurozone's financial market regulation. The fiscal compact will not solve the crisis on its own because it fails to address the tight linkage between governments and banks, which is at the core of their common fate. Breaking this linkage is key to overcoming the crisis.
CH&Cie Risk Regulation and Strategy Occasional Papers Number 1 - vfinale - 15...Alexandre Kateb
This document provides an overview of post-financial crisis regulatory reforms and their impact on banking business models and strategies. It begins with an introduction discussing the market failures and incentives that triggered the crisis. It then outlines the global regulatory reform agenda agreed to at G20 summits, including microprudential Basel III regulations, systemic risk measures, and OTC derivatives reforms. The document analyzes the implementation of reforms in the US and EU, and the resulting banking union. It concludes by discussing the reforms' impacts on banking strategies and business models, including funding and liquidity risk management, capital markets restructuring, and the rebirth of securitization.
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more. The financial crisis caused a further deterioration of government accounts as a result of ill-tailored countercyclical fiscal response and, in some cases, a costly financial sector rescue. All excessively indebted countries must conduct fiscal adjustment, even if this involves economic and political costs in terms of lower output and higher unemployment. Central banks can reduce these costs through accommodative monetary policies but without compromising their anti-inflationary missions and institutional independence. The ECB is additionally constrained by its institutional status which is based on a delicate cross-country political consensus. Excessive ECB involvement in quasi-fiscal rescue operations can undermine this consensus and lead to a disintegration of the Eurozone. There are also strong arguments in favor of strengthening fiscal and banking integration within the EU, especially the fiscal discipline mechanism at national levels, and building the EU rescue capacity in respect to sovereigns and banks based on strong policy conditionality.
Authored by: Marek Dabrowski
Published in 2012
The document summarizes the UBUNTU Forum's participation in the Rio+20 UN Conference on Sustainable Development and parallel People's Summit in June 2012 in Rio de Janeiro. At the official conference, UBUNTU organized a side event on food issues and participated in an event on innovative financing. At the People's Summit, they co-organized two activities and participated in a demonstration for a Robin Hood Tax. UBUNTU also engaged in meetings on sustainability, governance, and a new vision for the future. The document concludes with details on UBUNTU's support for a financial transaction tax to fund development.
This document provides information on how to connect an ASP.NET application to a database. It explains that the connection string is stored in the web.config file and describes the main attributes of the connection string. It also demonstrates how to retrieve the connection string from within the application using ConfigurationManager, and how to use SqlConnection, SqlCommand, and SqlDataAdapter objects to connect to the database, execute queries, and retrieve data for the application.
This document provides a summary of the European Economic Forecast for Autumn 2012 published by the European Commission. It finds that:
1) The EU economy is expected to see mild recovery amid continued structural adjustment, with external factors like global growth posing risks.
2) Financial markets in Europe have stabilized but uncertainty remains around issues like fiscal consolidation and bank balance sheets.
3) Growth is projected to gradually pick up in the EU, though significant risks around sovereign debt and the external environment remain.
4) Individual country forecasts within the EU vary, with some economies like Germany seeing continued resilience while others like Greece, Italy and Cyprus face ongoing challenges.
Evaluacion de la campaña de oxfam sobre la ttfManfredNolte
This document provides an evaluation report of Oxfam's Financial Transaction Tax campaign. Some key points:
1) The campaign aimed to introduce a small tax on financial transactions to raise funds for development and social issues. National strategies varied based on context.
2) The campaign increased public awareness of the tax, though underlying interest in financial sector reform also drove the policy agenda. Officials credit the campaign with progress in France.
3) Reach was average to strong, with some materials like a viral video performing above expectations. Germany secured the most petition signatures.
4) Oxfam provided expertise in mobilization, media/social media, and political dynamics that partners found valuable. Affiliates
Robin hood tax political update june 2012ManfredNolte
Germany signals it will abandon an EU-wide FTT and support a smaller coalition of willing countries instead. France and new President Hollande continue pushing heavily for a European FTT. The European Parliament voted in favor of an FTT. Germany and France remain key drivers for an FTT deal within the EU by the end of June between finance ministers and leaders. Civil society is pushing for revenues from any FTT to fund development and climate programs, not just deficit reduction.
Propuesta decisión Consejo europeo sobre EspañaManfredNolte
This document is a proposal for a Council Decision addressed to Spain on specific measures to reinforce financial stability. It outlines the context of Spain's request for financial assistance to recapitalize its banking sector due to problems from a real estate bubble bursting. It proposes that Spain develop a strategy to restructure its banking system, including identifying capital needs through asset quality reviews and stress tests, recapitalizing or resolving weak banks, and segregating impaired assets to an asset management company. It also proposes strengthening regulatory and supervisory frameworks for Spanish banks. The proposal aims to overhaul weak segments of the banking sector and reinforce stability in Spain.
La ue estudia la ttf para financiar la supervisión.ManfredNolte
The European Commission is considering funding the European Union's financial industry watchdogs (ESMA, EBA, and EIOPA) through a levy on the financial institutions they oversee, rather than through EU and national budget contributions. Currently the watchdogs receive 60% of their funding from national supervisors and 40% from the EU budget. The Commission believes this funding model should be revised given budget constraints. A tax on banks and insurers could replace the current funding, though details like the tax rate are unclear. National governments may support the shift to an industry-funded model, but some financial industry groups oppose offloading costs onto firms. The report also examines expanding the watchdogs' powers and roles.
The EC has approved restructuring plans for four nationalized Spanish banks including a €18 billion recapitalization for BFA-Bankia. BFA-Bankia unveiled an updated strategic plan aiming for profitability by 2013 and transferring most real estate loans to a bad bank. The restructuring could provide an exit option for BFA-Bankia's subordinated bondholders through an exchange of debt for shares.
Understanding Risk Management and Compliance, May 2012Compliance LLC
The document discusses several topics related to banking regulation:
1) It discusses the EBA's work over the past year to strengthen bank capital positions in response to the financial crisis, including stress tests and recommendations to raise over €115 billion in capital.
2) It outlines the EBA's goal of establishing a Single Rulebook to harmonize banking rules across the EU and prevent a relaxation of standards.
3) It focuses on the EBA's work developing regulatory technical standards for defining bank capital and ensuring high quality capital instruments are used across all member states.
1) The document discusses financial crime and regulatory responses after the 2008 financial crisis in the UK. It examines proposed measures by bodies like the Basel Committee and the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive.
2) It also discusses criticisms of these regulatory responses for not fully addressing the problems and for exacerbating the crisis through increased costs for banks. Loopholes still allow some financial crime to thrive.
3) The document also analyzes international coordination challenges between countries and how austerity measures disproportionately affected some countries that bailed out foreign banks. Overall, the regulatory responses were criticized as not doing enough to curb criminal and harmful non-criminal behaviors in the financial industry.
The Cyprus crisis is one of the most complex in the Eurozone -although in absolute terms it is a minor crisis. An analysis of the ongoing developments from different perspectives leads to the conclusion that we are witnessing a «perfect crisis» at the confluence of sovereign debt and banking crisis together with debt overhang of business and households and a severe decline of competitiveness. As a result CY has amassed a large external debt that can not be repaid, no matter what fraction of the country’s real domestic economic output is appropriated through austerity measures. Hence, fiscal austerity leads to deflationary stagnation and alone does not work. We advocate a policy response that addresses multiple dimensions of the problem with policy options of (1) austerity deleveraging, (2) structural reforms, (3) financial innovations, (4) partial privatizations and (5) debt restructuring. These options are drawn from lessons of what worked well, and what not, in crises of other countries and these lessons are summarized in lieu of conclusions
Long-term Sustainability of a monetary and fiscal union. ADEMU_Project
This document summarizes Work Package 1 of the ADEMU research project, which aims to conduct analysis and develop proposals to ensure the long-term sustainability of the European Monetary and Fiscal Union. It discusses three components of the analysis: understanding sovereign debt crises, ensuring debt sustainability, and improving fiscal risk-sharing. It also summarizes several research papers that will contribute to each component and their key topics, such as minimizing future sovereign risks and designing a financial stability fund as a component of fiscal union.
Shadow Banking and the Global Financial Crisis: The Regulatory Response (Oxfo...J.P. Reimann
This paper studies the shadow banking system and its regulation since the global financial crisis of 2008. The shadow banking system is a newly coined term, that is not yet (or only very scarcely) regulated or defined. It has been remarked that the shadow banking sector played a major part in the leading up to the crisis. While regulators have been quick to introduce stricter rules for banks and insurance companies, the shadow banks have been left largely untouched by new regulations.
Regulation aims to remedy market failures in banking like systemic risk and information asymmetry. However, current regulations focus on shareholder value banks and fail to consider diverse bank models like cooperative banks. Regulations also generally fail to recognize the benefits of diversification in banking. This paper analyzes the impact of regulations like Basel III on cooperative banks and whether regulations appropriately account for different bank business models.
This document provides a roadmap towards establishing a genuine Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in the euro area. It proposes a three stage process:
1) Ensuring fiscal sustainability and breaking the bank-sovereign link by 2013.
2) Completing an integrated financial framework and promoting structural reforms by 2014 through a common resolution authority and contractual reform agreements.
3) Improving EMU resilience after 2014 by establishing a fiscal capacity to absorb economic shocks, coupled with incentives for sound fiscal policies and deeper integration of budgets and policies.
The document argues this process is urgently needed to strengthen EMU mechanisms and ensure stability in response to challenges from within and outside the euro area.
L'objectif du "bail-in" est de forcer, en l'espace d'un week-end, les créanciers et actionnaires de l'établissement financier défaillant à absorber les pertes, ce avant toute intervention publique. Ce rapport donne un compte-rendu critique de l'avancée de l'Union Bancaire Européenne (tant sur le volet supervision, que sur le volet résolution) en prenant comme point de comparaison la réglementation américaine (Partie 1). Ce compte-rendu est ensuite complété par des études de cas (Partie 2) et une série de recommandations (Partie 3). L’application du pouvoir de bail-in en matière de résolution bancaire est particulièrement d’actualité depuis le début de la crise des banques italiennes en 2017. En juin 2017, le pouvoir de bail-in a été appliqué à Banco Popular et a conduit à l’éviction des actionnaires et des créanciers juniors, dans le cadre de l’application de la nouvelle directive européenne relative à la résolution bancaire. En revanche, l’Etat italien a engagé 17 milliards d’euros pour sauver deux banques régionales vénitiennes, Veneto Banca et Banco populare di Vicenza fin juin 2017, ce pour des considérations d’ordre essentiellement politique. Un tel sauvetage, qui représente une exception notable à l’application du pouvoir de bail-in, a été rendu possible par l’interprétation large du mécanisme d’aide d’Etat prévu par la directive et constitue une remise en cause de la crédibilité du volet résolution de l’Union Bancaire Européenne sur le plan international.
Vgis macro the pigs and the emu lost decadeFahd Rachidy
The document discusses the sovereign debt crisis in Greece and its potential impact on the European Monetary Union (EMU). It notes that Greece is facing severe budget deficits and debt levels that threaten its long-term fiscal stability. There is a risk that the crisis could spread to other weaker Eurozone economies like Portugal, Spain, and Italy. Immediate intervention is needed to prevent Greece's problems from worsening and sparking a wider crisis across Europe. However, options are limited given rules prohibiting bailouts between Eurozone members. In the longer run, the crisis has revealed structural weaknesses in the EMU and calls its sustainability into question.
Breaking the common fate of banks and governments by Daniel Gros and Cinzia A...Círculo de Empresarios
The document discusses the eurozone debt crisis and proposals for addressing it. It argues that while policymakers have focused on fiscal discipline, the crisis has deeper roots in inconsistencies in the eurozone's financial market regulation. The fiscal compact will not solve the crisis on its own because it fails to address the tight linkage between governments and banks, which is at the core of their common fate. Breaking this linkage is key to overcoming the crisis.
CH&Cie Risk Regulation and Strategy Occasional Papers Number 1 - vfinale - 15...Alexandre Kateb
This document provides an overview of post-financial crisis regulatory reforms and their impact on banking business models and strategies. It begins with an introduction discussing the market failures and incentives that triggered the crisis. It then outlines the global regulatory reform agenda agreed to at G20 summits, including microprudential Basel III regulations, systemic risk measures, and OTC derivatives reforms. The document analyzes the implementation of reforms in the US and EU, and the resulting banking union. It concludes by discussing the reforms' impacts on banking strategies and business models, including funding and liquidity risk management, capital markets restructuring, and the rebirth of securitization.
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more. The financial crisis caused a further deterioration of government accounts as a result of ill-tailored countercyclical fiscal response and, in some cases, a costly financial sector rescue. All excessively indebted countries must conduct fiscal adjustment, even if this involves economic and political costs in terms of lower output and higher unemployment. Central banks can reduce these costs through accommodative monetary policies but without compromising their anti-inflationary missions and institutional independence. The ECB is additionally constrained by its institutional status which is based on a delicate cross-country political consensus. Excessive ECB involvement in quasi-fiscal rescue operations can undermine this consensus and lead to a disintegration of the Eurozone. There are also strong arguments in favor of strengthening fiscal and banking integration within the EU, especially the fiscal discipline mechanism at national levels, and building the EU rescue capacity in respect to sovereigns and banks based on strong policy conditionality.
Authored by: Marek Dabrowski
Published in 2012
Ron nechemia attends un meeting on economic crisisEurOrientF
The United Nations is convening a three-day summit from June 24-26 to address the global economic crisis and its impact. Ron Nechemia, Chairman of EurOrient Financial Group and a UN representative, will attend and deliver a policy statement. Nechemia will offer his perspective as a global development financier on the issues that caused the financial collapse and recommendations to improve regulation and oversight. He will stress the need for strengthened international cooperation and harmonized financial rules across borders. Nechemia brings experience from participating in previous UN conferences on financing development.
This document provides an overview and analysis of non-performing loans (NPLs) in Europe and offers guidance on resolving NPLs. Some key points:
- The stock of NPLs in EU banking sectors totals around €1 trillion, with 10 countries having average ratios over 10%. NPL resolution has been slow.
- High NPL levels pose macroprudential and financial stability risks by consuming bank resources and increasing funding costs. They also reflect broader corporate solvency issues that hamper economic growth.
- Impediments to NPL resolution include weak bank incentives, asymmetric information deterring investors, and inefficient debt recovery processes.
- A comprehensive response is needed to swiftly but
The document summarizes the recommendations of six Shadow Financial Regulatory Committees on addressing the Eurozone crisis. It recommends a four-stage plan: 1) restructuring Greek debt to a sustainable level while protecting other countries, 2) ensuring banks are adequately capitalized, 3) providing sufficient funding from coordinated international sources to eliminate sovereign debt uncertainty, and 4) addressing long-term competitiveness issues between northern and southern Eurozone countries. It also calls for fundamental changes to international bank regulation standards.
This document is a green paper from the European Commission on shadow banking. It provides context on shadow banking and outlines some of the key risks and challenges related to its oversight and regulation. Some of the main points include:
- Defining shadow banking as credit intermediation involving entities and activities outside the regular banking system.
- Identifying potential shadow banking entities like special investment vehicles and money market funds.
- Noting the growth of shadow banking and estimating its global size at €46 trillion in 2010.
- Describing some of the risks shadow banking can pose like runs, leverage, and circumventing rules.
- Highlighting challenges for authorities in monitoring shadow banking given its complexity and lack of data.
Emilio Botin's speech at the 4th International Banking ConferenceBANCO SANTANDER
The document summarizes a speech given by Emilio Botín, Chairman of Banco Santander, at the 4th International Banking Conference. Botín discusses:
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2) Challenges in implementing reforms without fragmenting the financial system, harming economic growth, or strengthening supervision.
3) The need to take a "brake" on additional regulation in order to properly implement current reforms and assess their impact before introducing new measures.
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The document provides an analysis of the constraints of the Bretton Woods system and lessons that can be learned from it. It discusses how the system was set up for failure because it paid little attention to governance issues and failed to instill collective action among members. While the Bretton Woods system delivered low inflation and growth during its existence, it ultimately collapsed due to internal imbalances and a lack of accountability. The document examines what aspects of Bretton Woods still resonate today and implications for designing future international financial systems.
odd-Frank and Basel III Post-Financial Crisis Developments and New Expectations in Regulatory Capital. Following the recent global financial crisis of 2009, financial regulators have responded with arrays of proposals to revise existing risk frameworks for financial institutions with the objective to further strengthen and improve upon bank models. In this meeting, Dr. Michael Jacobs will discuss new developments and expectations in regulatory capital with particular reference to the definition of the capital base, counterparty credit risk, procyclicality of capital, liquidity risk management, and sound compensation practices. He will also explain the implications of the Frank-Dodd rule for financial institutions and will conclude by presenting the implementation schedule for Basel III.
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From supervision to resolution next steps on the road to european banking union (english)
1. BRUEGEL
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION
ISSUE 2013/04
FEBRUARY 2013 FROM SUPERVISION TO
RESOLUTION: NEXT STEPS
ON THE ROAD TO
EUROPEAN BANKING UNION
NICOLAS VÉRON AND GUNTRAM B. WOLFF
Highlights
• The European Council has outlined the creation of a Single Resolution Mechanism
(SRM), complementing the Single Supervisory Mechanism. The thinking on the
SRM’s legal basis, design and mission is still preliminary and depends on other
major initiatives, including the European Stability Mechanism’s involvement in bank
recapitalisations and the Bank Recovery and Resolution (BRR) Directive. The SRM
should also not be seen as the final step creating Europe’s future banking union.
• Both the BRR Directive and the SRM should be designed to enable the substantial
financial participation of existing creditors in future bank restructurings. To be effec-
tive, the SRM should empower a central body. However, in the absence of Treaty
change and of further fiscal integration, SRM decisions will need to be implemen-
ted through national resolution regimes. The central body of the SRM should be
either the European Commission, or a new authority.
• This legislative effort should not be taken as an excuse to delay decisive action on
Telephone the management and resolution of the current European banking fragility, which
+32 2 227 4210 imposes a major drag on Europe’s growth and employment.
info@bruegel.org
www.bruegel.org
This Policy Contribution is based on a paper requested by the European Parliament’s
Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs. Copyright remains with the European
Parliament at all times. Nicolas Véron (nicolas.veron@bruegel.org) is a Senior Fellow
at Bruegel and Visiting Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics
(Washington DC). Guntram B. Wolff (guntram.wolff@bruegel.org) is Deputy Director
of Bruegel. The authors are grateful to colleagues both inside and outside Bruegel,
and thank Francesca Barbiero for diligent research assistance.
2. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
02
FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION: NEXT STEPS
ON THE ROAD TO EUROPEAN BANKING UNION
NICOLAS VÉRON AND GUNTRAM B. WOLFF, FEBRUARY 2013
1 INTRODUCTION demonstrated both the unsuitability of insolvency
processes for such financial institutions, at least
European Banking Union in some situations and given the delays and
uncertainties associated with insolvency courts,
The European Council meeting of 28-29 June and the ability of well-designed special resolution
2012 marked the starting point of an ambitious regimes for banks to enable an orderly process
project to create a European banking union as part that safeguards the interests of the public.
of a collective European effort to resolve the cur-
rent crisis and build a more resilient policy infra- Much of this experience comes from the United
structure for Europe’s financial system (European States, where a special resolution regime for
Council, 2012a). The first step will be the creation banks was introduced decades ago and was
of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), now reformed following the 1980s Savings and Loan
being finalised following an agreement at the Eco- (S&L) crisis. In contrast, most EU countries did not
nomic and Financial Affairs Council meeting of 13 introduce special resolution legislation until the
December 2012 (ECOFIN, 2012). In its subse- current crisis1. The US resolution regime for banks
quent meeting on 14 December 2012, the Euro- is administered by the Federal Deposit Insurance
pean Council outlined a tentative vision for the Corporation (FDIC), a federal agency created in
next steps towards the aim of creating a banking 1933 and headquartered in Washington DC. In the
union, which will involve significant legislative recent crisis it has operated reasonably well, and
work alongside other policy initiatives (European has overseen the resolution of close to 500 banks,
Council, 2012b). including very large ones such as Washington
Mutual (which had more than US$ 300 billion in
The aim of this Policy Contribution is to help clarify assets) in late September 2008, without large-
key policy options for these next steps, including scale disruption in spite of significant losses
the possible objectives and timetable for the cre- imposed on creditors including senior unsecured
ation of a Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM). At ones. The Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 extended the
this early stage, the SRM agenda cannot be con- resolution authority of the FDIC to systemically
sidered in isolation from other pieces of the leg- important non-bank financial institutions, a cate-
islative jigsaw. Therefore we place particular gory that would have included firms that were
emphasis on the challenges of sequencing, coor- judged ‘too-big-to-fail’ and were bailed out in 2008
dination and identification of respective responsi- (Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, AIG and
bilities among different processes and parties. GMAC) as well as Lehman Brothers. In April 2011,
the FDIC published an analysis that suggests that,
Bank resolution had the Dodd-Frank Act been in place in Septem-
ber 2008, it would have been possible to resolve
‘Bank resolution’ refers to specific legal regimes Lehman Brothers in an orderly manner, as was the
for the orderly restructuring and/or liquidation of case for depositary banks (FDIC, 2011).
1. The Winding-up Directive certain financial institutions. For such institutions,
(2001/24/EC) is about the general-purpose insolvency process can be A bank resolution regime should not be seen as a
cross-border coordination unsuited, given their importance for the economy, magic bullet that would by itself put an end to
of insolvency processes, the existence of systemic risk and the possibility moral hazard and systemic risk. There are cases
but does not introduce spe-
cial resolution regimes as
of contagion that is specific to financial activities of fairly effective resolution of a systemic banking
alternatives to insolvency. including banking. Past crises convincingly crisis without a prior resolution regime in place,
3. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
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such as in Sweden in the early 1990s. Conversely, vided by the ‘doom loop’ that has developed in the
a country might introduce a special resolution euro area between credit conditions that apply to
regime in its legislation but fail to use it when vulnerable countries as sovereign issuers on the
appropriate, or use it in a manner that does not one hand, and to these countries’ banks on the
avoid systemic contagion. Even with well- other hand. The reality of this ‘doom loop’ or
designed processes for imposing losses on cred- vicious circle is illustrated by the high correlation
itors, a resolution regime cannot guarantee that between credit ratings and credit market indica-
no use of public money will ever be necessary, tors between these sovereigns and banks
especially in very severe crisis scenarios. A (Angeloni and Wolff, 2012), and its acknowledge-
number of EU member states have passed legis- ment has driven policy initiatives since at least
lation since 2007 that creates special bank reso- early 2012. Well-designed resolution regimes
lution regimes, but most of these remain promise to both limit banking sector instability,
essentially untested. International coordination is and to minimise the fiscal cost of bank failures.
recent in this area of banking policy, and has
achieved a significant milestone with the first-time 2 THE COUNCIL DECISIONS OF MID-DECEMBER
publication by the Financial Stability Board of “key 2012: A FOUR STEP APPROACH
attributes of effective resolution regimes for finan-
cial institutions” (FSB, 2011). Crucial factors of The European Council Conclusions of 14 Decem-
effectiveness include the speed of the process, ber 2012 include dense and somewhat complex
which requires carefully designed decision- content which justifies a detailed analysis. In our
making processes and very professional man- analysis, the European Council has defined an
agement, and its ability to intervene early. As approach to the build-up of a European banking
noted by an experienced observer, “Whatever the union that includes four successive steps, the first
mechanism for resolving a bank, the sooner that three of which are explicitly framed in the Euro-
is done, the less the likely burden that will have to pean Council Conclusions, and the fourth kept
be subsequently met” (Goodhart, 2012). deliberately implicit.
In Europe, the difficulty of introducing an effective 2.1 Step 1: integrated supervision
framework for bank resolution is compounded by
a number of specific factors: the EU is in a state of This first step, which the European Council con-
systemic banking fragility and of unusual institu- clusions imply should be completed by March
tional uncertainty; its financial system is domi- 2013, is centred on the Single Supervisory Mech-
nated by banks, with a high degree of banking anism. In addition to the adoption of the Council
sector concentration in many of its member regulation establishing the SSM (SSM Regulation;
states; its insolvency framework is fragmented Council, 2012), this includes the adoption of the
along national lines, and so is its fiscal framework regulation reforming the European Banking
for most purposes in spite of recent tentative Authority (EBA Regulation)2 to adapt it to the new
steps towards fiscal integration in the euro area; situation created by the advent of the SSM, as well
its policymakers and investors have almost no as the adoption of the Capital Requirements Reg-
experience of orderly bank resolution, as most ulation (CRR)3 and its complement the fourth Cap-
past cases of bank failures have been handled ital Requirements Directive (CRD4)4, so that the
through public bail-outs and/or nationalisation SSM can implement a harmonised supervisory
(Goldstein and Véron, 2011). ‘rulebook’ based on the Basel III accord, instead of
the currently applicable (and often divergent)
Conversely, a powerful motivate to create or national regulations. The operational build-up of
strengthen resolution regimes in Europe is pro- the SSM will follow; actually its initial phase has
‘In Europe, the difficulty of introducing an effective bank resolution framework is compounded
2. COM (2012) 512.
by the systemic banking fragility; the high degree of banking sector concentration in many 3. COM (2011) 452.
countries; its fragmented insolvency framework; and the lack of bank resolution experience.’ 4. COM (2011) 453.
4. BRU EGE L
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CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
04
already started at the ECB with the cooperation of 2.3 Step 3: Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM)
national supervisors.
The December 2012 European Council Conclu-
One important parameter in this build-up phase is sions state that “the [European] Commission will
the question of which non-euro area member submit in the course of 2013 a proposal for a
states will enter “close cooperation arrangements” single resolution mechanism for Member States
that would make them participating members of participating in the SSM, to be examined by the co-
the SSM. While Sweden and the United Kingdom legislators as a matter of priority with the inten-
have indicated they will not consider entering tion of adopting it during the current
such arrangements in the foreseeable future, parliamentary cycle”. The SRM should “safeguard
other non-euro area member states still have to financial stability and ensure an effective frame-
decide. Another significant operational question work for resolving financial institutions while pro-
is the pace of expansion of the ECB’s supervisory tecting taxpayers in the context of banking
staff and the specific arrangements it will estab- crises”, and should be based on “contributions by
lish with national supervisors. the financial sector itself and include appropriate
and effective backstop arrangements”. The Com-
2.2 Step 2: Coordinated framework for bank mission has announced it will publish a proposal
resolution “before the summer” of 2013 (Barroso, 2013), and
the adoption of the final text is desired in advance
Beyond supervision, the Council identified two ini- of the European elections scheduled in June
tiatives that it wants completed before the end of 2014. Other documents from the Commission and
June 2013: the Council suggest that the SRM proposal will be
published only after the adoption of the BRR and
• First, an “operational framework” for the direct DGS Directives (eg Van Rompuy, 2012b). The ref-
recapitalisation of banks by the ESM, the euro erence to ‘co-legislators’ in the European Council
area crisis-management fund created in 2012, conclusions is a hint that the SRM may take the
which is mentioned in connection with the form of a directive and/or regulation of the Euro-
“imperative to break the vicious circle between pean Parliament and the Council, but with no indi-
banks and sovereigns”. In the language of the cation of the underlying Treaty base.
Council conclusions, this document, which is
currently under negotiation between member 2.4 Step 4: Completion of the banking union
states, should “include the definition of legacy beyond the SRM
assets” and “be agreed as soon as possible in
the first semester 2013”; The December 2012 European Council Conclu-
• Second, the adoption of two pieces of legisla- sions leave implicit the need for any further initia-
tion that were proposed before the June 2012 tives beyond the SRM. However, the banking union
Council decision to create a banking union: the would remain incomplete and arguably unstable
proposed Bank Recovery and Resolution (BRR) without further integration, particularly in the
Directive5, adopted by the European Commis- areas of insolvency, resolution and deposit insur-
sion in early June 2012, which would create or ance (Pisani-Ferry et al, 2012). The need for steps
reform national bank resolution regimes in a beyond the SRM has been obliquely acknowl-
harmonised way in compliance with the Finan- edged by European policymakers, including the
cial Stability Board’s recommendations (FSB, acknowledgement by ECB executive board mem-
2011), including a provision for the ‘bail-in’ of bers that further integration of deposit guarantee
unsecured bank debt; and the proposed recast schemes beyond the DGS Directive will be needed
of the Deposit Guarantee Schemes (DGS) Direc- but is not urgent (eg Constancio, 2012 and 2013).
tive6, adopted by the Commission in July 2010, The European Commission has also referred to the
which would further harmonise national desirability of future Treaty changes to perfect the
deposit guarantee systems. The Council “urges design of the SSM (European Commission, 2012,
5. COM (2012) 280/3. the co-legislators to agree” on these proposals 4.3). For the sake of simplicity we bundle all these
6. COM (2010) 369. “before June 2013”. post-SRM steps into a single fourth step, even
5. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
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05
though a longer and more complex sequence disruption. Conversely, excessive focus on the
might also happen, and we discuss their possible long-term challenges carries the risk of ignoring
objectives and content in the next sections. the urgency of the situation at hand, and the usu-
ally high cost of delaying decisive action.
2.5 Banking structure
3.1 Short-term objective: addressing Europe’s
The reform of banking structures has been given banking system fragility
high political prominence in Europe as well as in
the US, where the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 intro- Europe’s banking problem is an essential element
duced the ‘Volcker Rule’ of separation of propri- of the ‘doom loop’ but is also harmful in its own
etary trading, though the implementing right, in a way that predates the sovereign debt
regulations are still being discussed by federal crisis (Posen and Véron, 2009). Unaddressed
agencies. At the level of individual EU member banking system fragility, often the result of the
states, there have been legislative initiatives in the bias of many policymakers towards supervisory
UK, France and Germany. At the EU level, the Euro- forbearance, results in a vicious cycle of its own
pean Commissioner for the Internal Market and in which banks keep extending credit to insolvent
Services has commissioned a report that also rec- borrowers to avoid the pain of recognising losses
ommends a form of structural separation (Liika- on non-performing loans (ESRB, 2012). The banks’
nen, 2012). The December 2012 European lending is increasingly absorbed by borrowers
Council Conclusions include the sentence “The who will not repay, while creditworthy new bor-
European Council looks forward to the Commis- rowers are starved of credit: while aggregate credit
sion’s rapid follow up to the proposals of the high figures may show no evidence of credit contrac-
level expert group on the structure of the EU bank- tion, in reality the allocation of credit is increas-
ing sector”, but do not set a deadline. As a conse- ingly dysfunctional and results in an increasingly
quence, this issue is on the agenda and may severe drag on economic growth, and on employ-
interact with the previously outlined four steps, ment as a consequence. This perverse spiral has
but when and at what stage exactly remains been vividly described as “zombie banks lending
unspecified. to zombie borrowers”, a metaphor coined in the US
S&L crisis (Kane, 1987) and often applied to the
3 POLICY OBJECTIVES AND SEQUENCING Japanese crisis of the 1990s (eg Caballero et al,
2008). Sadly, the same pattern is increasingly
The complexity of the agenda outlined in the pre- recognisable throughout Europe.
vious section justifies a focus on the timeline and
sequencing, and how it responds to the objectives The European banking system has required
that policymakers should set themselves, before increasing life support from the ECB and national
we move in the next section to specific (and non- central banks, including Longer-Term Refinancing
exhaustive) policy recommendations for the pre- Operations (LTROs) programmes with maturities
viously identified three steps. increased from an initial three months to six
months (March 2008), one year (June 2009) and
The EU bank resolution agenda combines simul- eventually three years (December 2011), with the
taneous short-term and long-term challenges: in banking fragility then sharply made worse by
a nutshell, resolve the current banking crisis doubts about the risks of euro exits or breakup,
(which includes the objective of breaking the and national supervisory actions that curtailed
‘doom loop’, accepted by the European Council as cross-border financial flows. Several coordinated
a short-term “imperative”) in the short-term; and initiatives, such as Europe-wide stress tests in
build a sustainable EU banking policy framework, September 2009, July 2010 and July 2011, and a
or banking union, in the longer term. The combi- recapitalisation effort coordinated by the EBA in
nation of short- and long-term aims is both 2011-12, may have brought marginal improve-
unavoidable and exceedingly difficult in a context ment but have generally failed to restore normal
of systemic financial crisis. Too much focus on the conditions in the European interbank market fol-
short-term challenges can sow the seeds of future lowing the initial shock of 2007-08. The European
6. BRU EGE L
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CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
06
Commission’s control of state aid has enabled it to The creation of the SSM holds the promise of a
act to some degree as an EU-wide coordinator of genuinely consistent triage process, something
member states’ responses to banking crises, but that the EBA could not achieve as it lacked direct
the Commission has been generally able to inter- access to bank-level information and supervisory
vene only at a late stage and in a reactive manner. authority of its own. The newfound emphasis on
burden-sharing with bank creditors holds the
Europe’s banking problem has been further com- promise of keeping the collective public cost of
pounded by the general willingness of policy- restructuring at a politically manageable (though
makers, particularly in the early years of the crisis, probably still high) level, while the prospect of
to guarantee all bank creditors and avoid impos- banking union should increase the stability of the
ing losses on any of them or at least to senior system as a whole, thereby reducing the financial
unsecured creditors (Goldstein and Véron, 2011). stability risk emanating from the imposition of
However, European policymakers have gradually losses on senior unsecured bondholders. Finally,
woken up to the political and practical unsustain- the proclaimed aim to break the ‘doom loop’
ability of this approach as it entails spiralling risk- makes it possible to envisage some sharing of
taking by governments and exacerbates the residual public financial burden between national
‘doom loop’ for those countries whose fiscal sus- budgets and the European level (Pisani-Ferry and
tainability is called into question. This realisation Wolff 2012), with a possible role for the ESM as an
has led an increasing number of EU member instrument of financial risk-sharing.
states (including in chronological order, Ireland,
the UK, Denmark, Spain, and most recently the For all these reasons, the prospects for address-
Netherlands with SNS Reaal) to force subordi- ing banking crisis fragility are now better than at
nated creditors of failing banks to incur losses. For any time at least since the start of the euro-area
now, however, almost all member states have sovereign debt crisis in early 2010. The early
stopped short of imposing losses on banks’ senior steps of implementation of the Spanish pro-
unsecured creditors7. This can be attributed partly gramme are encouraging in this respect. It
to general concerns about systemic contagion in involved an initial system-wide stress test fol-
the event of ‘haircuts’, especially given the promi- lowed by speedy triage and restructuring/resolu-
nent role played by unsecured senior debt in the tion of banks found to be undercapitalised,
financing of European banks, and partly to each including the imposition of losses on subordi-
country’s fear of putting ‘their’ banks at a financial nated creditors. This appears to have eased the
disadvantage in a context of pan-European market pressure on the Spanish sovereign, and suggests
integration and competition. But the sheer size of some broader lessons on how to deal with failing
the potential contingent cost is increasingly banks, even though it is too early to consider the
prompting European policy leaders, including at restructuring of the Spanish banking system as
the ECB8, to envisage the financial participation of complete.
senior unsecured bondholders in future restruc-
7. The only relevant turings, in spite of the potential destabilising 3.2 Long-term: complete banking union within
exceptions appear to have effects this may entail. Europe’s ‘fourfold union’
been Denmark for a brief
time in 2011, and Ireland to
a limited extent in the recent The experience of earlier crises in Europe and else- The long-term aim, which gained remarkable
case of Anglo Irish bank, where suggests that the objective of addressing acceptance in Europe’s policy community during
according to Mary Watkins systemic banking fragility and restoring trust can 2012, is to complete Europe’s banking union as
and Matt Steinglass, ‘Burden
of banking losses poses
only be achieved through a hands-on, centralised part of a broader agenda deemed necessary to
threat to bondholders’, approach of system-wide balance sheet assess- ensure the integrity of the single financial market
Financial Times, 8 February ment (triage), recapitalisation and restructuring. and the sustainability of the euro. A seminal
2013.
8. Sakari
Suoninen, ‘ECB's Draghi: ‘Europe’s banking problem has been compounded by the willingness of policymakers to
senior debt burden sharing guarantee all bank creditors and avoid imposing losses on them. However, European
evolving’, Reuters, 17 July
2012. policymakers have woken up to the political and practical unsustainability of this approach.’
7. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
CONTRIBUTION
07
moment in this process was the release of the • Banking union/political union: bank crisis man-
European Council President’s report Towards a agement and resolution can have widespread
Genuine Economic and Monetary Union on 26 economic and social consequences and there-
June 2012 (Van Rompuy, 2012a), which envis- fore must be subjected to appropriate mecha-
aged four ‘building blocks’ of eventual crisis reso- nisms of political accountability (Véron, 2012).
lution, now commonly referred to as banking
union, fiscal union, economic union, and political We view further and significant progress on fiscal
union (eg Draghi, 2012). The multiple interdepen- union, economic union and political union as a
dencies among the ‘fourfold union’ building blocks necessary condition for Europe to eventually
are a helpful way to analyse the unique complex- resolve its current crisis and find a sustainable
ity of Europe’s crisis and to understand why it may footing.
take so long to be eventually resolved (Véron,
2012). 3.3 Likely sequence of implementation of the
December 2012 conclusions of the European
Among the four, there is greatest consensus on Council
banking union in terms of definition (Pisani-Ferry
et al, 2012; Goyal et al, 2013). By contrast, fiscal A literal reading of the December 2012 Council
union, economic union and political union mean conclusions would suggest that all the initiatives
very different things to different people, resulting outlined, while negotiated in a clear chronological
in a lack of consensus about how far away they sequence, could actually become effective at
are (Vaisse et al, 2013). around the same time in the first half of 2014. As
for Step 1, the Council’s communication of its posi-
An additional source of complexity is the long- tion on bank supervision (13 December 2012)
term uncertainty about the geographical perime- states that “The ECB will assume its supervisory
ter of the EU, reinforced by the possibility of an tasks within the SSM on 1 March 2014 or 12
in-or-out referendum in the UK by 2017 (Cameron, months after the entry into force of the legislation
2013), and about whether the boundaries of the [SSM Regulation], whichever is later, subject to
four ‘unions’ will ultimately coincide with those of operational arrangements” As for Step 2, the Euro-
the EU, the euro area, or somewhere in between, pean Council conclusions state that the BRR Direc-
as is likely for the SSM at its launch. tive and DGS Directive “should be implemented by
the Member States as a matter of priority”, which,
Considered in this light, the eventual completion assuming enactment in June 2013 and a six-to-
of banking union is affected by multiple linkages nine-month national transposition lag, implies
with the other components of the fourfold agenda, effectiveness in the early spring 2014; moreover,
among others: the ability of the ESM to recapitalise banks directly
is delayed until “an effective single supervisory
• Banking union/fiscal union: even assuming mechanism is established”, ie at the same time as
extensive burden-sharing by creditors, there the entry into force of Step 1. As for Step 3, the
will always remain scenarios in which systemic “intention” is to adopt the legislation creating the
crisis resolution requires extended access to SRM “during the current [European] parliamentary
public money, and the aim to break the ‘doom cycle”, ie during the spring of 2014 at the latest. If
loop’ means that at least some money must these intentions are all fulfilled, and assuming that
come from the European level (Pisani-Ferry and the legislation creating the SRM (unlike the SSM
Wolff, 2012; Wolff, 2012); Regulation) is immediately applicable, then Steps
• Banking union/economic union: certain eco- 1, 2 and 3 would all become operational between
nomic policies, including housing policy, March and June 2014, amounting to a ‘big bang’
aspects of tax policy, and personal and corpo- transformation of the European policy framework.
rate insolvency legislation, can have significant
impact on the accumulation and distribution of However, in the real world the implementation of
risk in the banking system and justify adequate the three steps is likely to be phased and to give
‘macro-prudential’ oversight (Wolff, 2011); rise to significant transition issues.
8. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
08
• The EBA Regulation, CRR and CRD4 are all in tri- challenging as there is no direct precedent or
logue phase, and the SSM Regulation is likely working model of a supranational banking policy
to be enacted together with the EBA Regulation. framework. The smooth introduction of the euro in
A realistic timeframe for their final adoption is 1999-2002 attests that large-scale unprece-
March or April 2013, but it cannot be ruled out dented policy projects can be successfully intro-
that part of this package may be delayed to duced if carefully designed and planned, but the
May or even June 2013. necessities of the crisis impose a compression of
• The proposed DGS and especially the BRR the planning and preparation phases, which cre-
Directives raise very complex legal and finan- ates substantial risks for both design and execu-
cial issues, partly but not exclusively linked to tion. Among the concerns:
the untested nature of the proposed bail-in
mechanism. Combined with the possible delay • The credibility of the ECB during the likely
in adopting the Step 1 legislation, this would phase when the SSM is up and running and has
suggest that their final version is more likely to to operate without the SRM may be endan-
happen in the third or even the fourth quarter gered, if a situation arises in which the ECB has
of 2013 than in the second quarter as called for to delay supervisory decisions because of the
by the European Council. unwillingness or inadequacy of the national
• Conversely, the wording on the possibility for resolution system to take appropriate actions.
the ESM to recapitalise banks directly makes it • Another risk is related to the possibility of major
conceivable that this instrument might be cross-country differences in resolution prac-
mobilised earlier than the assumption by the tices. Following an ECB supervisory decision
ECB of its full supervisory authority in 2014, if and in the absence of a clear SRM framework,
the euro-area leaders so decide. This is unlikely the concern is that national resolution authori-
to happen before the German general election ties might undertake resolution action in a way
of September 2013, but may be implemented that is harmful to the single financial market.
in the last quarter of 2013, especially if justi-
fied by an emergency situation. 3.4 Implications for the timing of proactive
• The above-mentioned idea that the legislative banking crisis management
work on the SRM should only start after the BRR
Directive has been adopted appears logical Given Europe’s worrying current growth prospects,
from a political standpoint and, if confirmed, the above observations lead us to conclude that
would introduce a clear sequence between Europe’s policymakers should not wait until the
Step 2 and Step 3. The SRM itself is likely to give creation of the SRM before decisively tackling
rise to unprecedented legal, financial and polit- Europe’s banking system fragility. This fragility
ical questions that may lengthen the time has been with us since 2007, and each month that
needed for its legislative discussion. The Euro- passes increases the economic, social and politi-
pean Council’s objective of having the SRM cal cost of its implications in terms of credit
adopted “during the current parliamentary scarcity and misallocation, ultimately becoming a
cycle” therefore appears ambitious to say the drag on growth. Even assuming that an operational
least. The European Parliament ECON Commit- framework for the ESM to recapitalise banks
tee Chair was recently reported as commenting directly would be in place by mid-2013, the risk is
that “It’s unrealistic to expect that we will have that bank restructuring would happen only in a
9. John O’Donnell and Eva a resolution authority or resolution fund [under reactive fire-fighting mode, as has been the case
Kuehnen, ‘Cracks appear in
European banking union
the SRM] in time for the new ECB bank supervi- so far in most member states since 2007.
scheme’, Reuters, 8 sion in March 2014”9.
February 2013. As mentioned above, the entry into operation of
10. Goyal et al (2013), Transitional considerations will be crucial in this the SSM, combined with harmonised bank resolu-
which was published just as context10. Given the sensitivity of banking issues tion regimes and a growing acceptance of the
this Policy Contribution was to matters of trust, reputations and expectations, need of burden-sharing with senior unsecured
being finalised, presents a
similar analysis of the
all new arrangements must be fully effective from creditors, can mark a significant improvement in
transition risks. their very first day of operation. This is inevitably the quality of Europe’s banking policy framework.
9. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
CONTRIBUTION
09
Thus, a more proactive approach to Europe’s bank- sion is that, in spite of the relatively precise lan-
ing problem could be adopted without waiting for guage of some sentences of the European Coun-
the eventual implementation of the SRM. It will cil’s Conclusions in December 2012, a number of
require, however, a more centralised process for key questions remain undecided and even par-
steering a system-wide process of triage, recapi- tially unexplored, even at the level of general prin-
talisation and restructuring (Posen and Véron, ciples. Our expectation is thus that some aspects
2009). It appears logical in this context to rely on of the December Conclusions will require adjust-
the legal tools as well as the experience accumu- ments or modifications as their implications grad-
lated by the European Commission, particularly ually become clearer, and we have
its Directorate-General for Competition (DG COMP), correspondingly assumed a degree of flexibility in
in the assessment of state aid cases11. Here again, our analysis. Specifically, we are unsure if a com-
the Spanish programme, in which the disburse- prehensive legal analysis has been undertaken
ment of ESM funds was made contingent on the and always supports the chosen wording. We
Commission’s approval of bank restructuring expect more clarity on some of these aspects,
plans, appears relevant and offers lessons for legal, financial and political, to emerge in the
Europe as a whole. A revision and tightening of course of the next weeks and months.
state aid rules (see Appendix) including the sys-
tematic ex-ante involvement of DG COMP in cases 4.1 Step 1: EBA and SSM Regulations, CRR and
of individual banking fragility, could significantly CRD4
improve the EU’s crisis management in this
respect. As previously mentioned this step is now close to
completion.
The phase that will immediately precede the
assumption of direct supervisory authority by the The EBA and SSM Regulations form a single
ECB could foster such a proactive approach. Article package in practice, even though in principle the
27(4) of the proposal for the SSM Regulation, as European Parliament only has a consultative voice
amended by the Council in December 2012, in the adoption of the latter. In our opinion, the
states that the ECB “shall carry out” “a compre- Parliament should not seek to disrupt the general
hensive assessment, including a balance-sheet balance of the compromise found by the Council
assessment” of all the banks that will be brought on 13 December 2012. In particular, significant
under its direct supervisory authority “in view of amendments to the EBA Regulation may endanger
the assumption of its tasks” (Council, 2012). This the whole outcome of the successful
assessment could be complemented by a stress intergovernmental negotiation in 2012, and would
test, possibly involving the EBA and the ECB. Pre- risk compromising the significant success that the
sumably, those banks that would be found to be timely implementation of the SSM would 11. An early analysis of the
under-capitalised following this system-wide represent for the entire EU. Thus, it is important to articulation between state
assessment process would be asked to improve avoid a significant delay, and to aim to enact both aid control and resolution
processes is developed in
their balance sheets and, if unable to do so, would regulations in March 2013. Moreover there will be Dewatripont et al (2010).
be restructured in a process that might involve an opportunity to review EBA arrangements soon
12. It also includes the
national authorities and possibly the ESM in accor- anyway, as its review is planned for 2014, Operational Framework for
dance with its Operational Framework for direct alongside those of the other European ESM direct recapitalisation,
recapitalisations. This sequence, if properly Supervisory Authorities and the European which will not be a
planned and executed, could contribute deci- Systemic Risk Board. legislative text.
sively to the restoration of trust in Europe’s banks. 13. This agenda is rein-
However, in our view the Parliament should seek to forced by the recent frus-
trating episode of Executive
4 OPTIONS FOR THE FORTHCOMING LEGISLATIVE make the SSM and specifically its Supervisory Board appointment at the
AGENDA Board more accountable13. We believe there is a ECB, see eg John O’Donnell
strong case for granting the European Parliament and Robin Emmott, ‘Mersch
This section is specifically about the legislative a right of consent (or veto) over the appointment takes ECB executive board
job despite gender row’,
agenda at the EU level12 and options that need to of the Chair and Vice Chair of the Supervisory Reuters, 23 November
be considered in this context. Our strong impres- Board, and of two of the four members appointed 2012.
10. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
10
by the ECB (as a compromise between the con- only way to chart a path towards crisis resolution
cern to preserve a degree of discretion for the ECB and the eventual restoration of trust in the Euro-
while enhancing accountability). This would fur- pean banking system. As the overall stability of
ther strengthen the alignment of the SSM with the the euro-area financial system will be strength-
European public interest. ened by the introduction of the SSM, the adverse
impact on banks’ perceived creditworthiness
The CRR and CRD4 have proven more difficult to would be partly mitigated. This suggests two
finalise than was initially anticipated. Among other changes from the original Directive proposal. First,
issues, we are concerned by the material non- depositors should be granted clear preference
compliance of the CRR with the international Basel over senior unsecured bondholders in the hierar-
III Accord on the definition of capital, in particular chy of banking liabilities: the US experience in par-
because the CRR waters down the requirements ticular suggests that depositor preference creates
for banking groups with insurance operations and a favourable framework for adequate burden-shar-
allows the counting of so-called ‘silent ing by senior creditors in bank resolutions.
participations’ as common equity (BCBS, 2012). Second, the main emphasis should be on mecha-
Even at the current late stage of negotiation, it nisms that enable the imposition of losses on
would be worth considering corresponding existing senior creditors to be in place immedi-
changes that would apply at least to large ately upon transposition of the directive, while the
internationally active banks, so that the ‘single current text puts much focus on ‘bail-in’ provisions
rulebook’ that the SSM will start applying in 2014 that are delayed until 201815. The empowerment
is in line with an international standard-setting of authorities to impose losses on holders of exist-
process that the EU has long endeavoured to ing debt should be as robust as possible16.
promote and strengthen14. We also believe that
the finalisation of the CRR and CRD4 in the early The proposed recast of the DGS Directive should
spring of 2013 is highly desirable. be examined in a joined-up manner with the BRR
Directive. Linkages between the two include the
4.2 Step 2: BRR and DGS Directives, Operational question of depositor preference; the possible
Framework for ESM Direct Recapitalisations participation of deposit guarantee funds in bank
resolution; and the quantitative calibration of
The adoption of the proposed Bank Recovery and these funds. However, we are sceptical about the
Resolution Directive is an important and logical practicality and current relevance of the idea,
prior step to the establishment of the SRM. This is present in both texts’ initial versions, of national
because the SRM will have to work at least partly (deposit and/or resolution) funds lending to each
14. Especially as our through national special resolution regimes, as we other. Now that Europe has decisively started to
assessment is that, discuss in the next subsection. Thus, priority create a banking union, any funding for deposit
contrary to the perception of attention should be devoted to the adoption of the guarantee and crisis resolution that does not
many European observers, BRR Directive as soon as Step 1 is completed. come from national funds in their respective terri-
the United States is on track
tories should be drawn from pooled European
to implement Basel III in a
largely compliant manner in While the detailed discussion of this complex text funding sources, including possibly the ESM, but
the course of 2013. exceeds the scope of this Policy Contribution, we not permanently limited to it.
15. See in this context Jim believe that the BRR Directive should mark a clear
Brunsden and Rebecca step towards a much greater ability and readiness We see the preparation of the operational frame-
Christie, ‘German Push to to impose losses on banks’ creditors, including work for direct bank recapitalisations by the ESM
Accelerate Bank Bail-Ins
Joined by Dutch, Finns’,
senior unsecured creditors. Unless the economic as a potentially useful complement to the involve-
Bloomberg, 4 February environment dramatically improves and reduces ment of the ESM in national assistance pro-
2013. credit risk across the board, this appears to be the grammes, as currently in place. In our
16. This arguably calls for
basing them to the greatest
extent possible on tried- ‘The Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive should mark a clear step towards much greater
and-tested processes such readiness to impose losses on banks’ creditors. Unless the economic environment dramatically
as those administered by
the US FDIC. improves and reduces credit risk, this appears to be the path towards crisis resolution.’
11. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
CONTRIBUTION
11
assessment, the discussion of this framework 4.3 Step 3: the Single Resolution Mechanism
among euro-area members has already been
useful as a collective learning process, as we Ideally, the resolution framework for Europe’s
understand a lot of technical work is happening banking union should involve a centralised and
under this heading. We would propose however exclusive decision-making authority for all banks
that the operational framework should leave con- covered by the SSM. Achieving a high degree of
siderable flexibility for possible future interven- centralisation is desirable for a number of reasons.
tion by the ESM, both in terms of recapitalisation
instruments (which may include voting common • Bank resolution crucially requires the ability to
equity, hybrid securities such as preferred stock, take high-risk decisions very quickly and under
and various forms of debt) and in terms of the intense pressure. The decisions may in partic-
respective modalities and shares of financial ular include the liquidation of a bank, the
intervention by the ESM on the one hand, and assumption of risky assets on a public-sector
national authorities on the other. This is because balance sheet, and mandating the immediate
the exact features of future crisis situations may sale of assets or activities to third parties. This
be difficult to predict with accuracy, and in such requirement, experience has shown, implies a
future situations of emergency, constraints on the high degree of centralisation of authority. In the
ability of the ESM to act may result in a higher col- case of large banks operating across borders
lective cost for Europeans. within Europe, the current distribution of deci-
sion-making power in bank restructuring
Much attention has been devoted to so-called between the national and supranational levels
‘legacy assets’. In September 2012, the finance has sometimes led to considerable delays. In
ministers of Germany, the Netherlands and Finland some instances (eg Fortis and Dexia) the
stated that “the ESM can take direct responsibility break-up of multinational banks according to
of problems that occur under the new supervision national borders could not be avoided, harming
[under the SSM from 2014], but legacy assets the single market.
should be under the responsibility of national • A system in which supervision is centralised
authorities”17. Taken literally this implies that but resolution is not may harm the effective-
assets that were brought onto the bank’s balance ness and credibility of the supervisor. While the
sheet before the cut-off date cannot be kept in the new SSM could in principle force a resolution by
entity in which the ESM would invest, which means withdrawing a banking license, national reso-
the ESM is in practice prevented from recapitalising lution authorities may refuse to act. This knowl-
the bank. This stance would render meaningless edge could lead the ECB to delay the
successive Council Conclusions that refer to ESM supervisory decision in order to avoid a disor-
direct recapitalisations. derly scenario. In principle, Article 13(2a) of the
SSM Regulation as amended by the Council
However, we believe the ESM should be an instru- (Council, 2012) is designed to prevent a dead-
ment for risk-sharing, not loss-sharing. In other lock in such circumstances, but how it will func-
words, if the ESM recapitalises a bank that until tion in practice remains to be seen. Through its
then has been under the exclusive control of current liquidity policy the ECB may lend to
national authorities, such direct recapitalisation banks that could be insolvent, but it does not
should be structured as arm’s-length transactions have the institutional responsibility for this
in which the ESM does not assume assets at a assessment. Such liquidity provisioning forms
price that it deems below their economic value. part of monetary policy and the supervisory 17. Press release
responsibility lies squarely with the national 175/2012, Joint Statement
This requires that the ESM should have access to of the Ministers of Finance
adequate financial assessment and evaluation authorities. Once the ECB has supervisory of Germany, the
resources as a prerequisite to any recapitalisation, responsibility, it would breach its mandate by Netherlands and Finland,
and that any concessional financial intervention providing liquidity to banks it deems insolvent. 25 September 2012,
A decentralised resolution system’s incentive http://www.vm.fi/vm/en/03_
in such circumstances should be performed by
press_releases_and_speech
the member state itself under the European Com- structure cannot be easily aligned with a es/01_press_releases/2012
mission’s state aid control. system that involves burden-sharing among 0925JointS/name.jsp.
12. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
12
member states. If resolution remains primarily An increased willingness to impose losses on
a member-state responsibility, while the fiscal bank creditors can help reduce the public cost of
cost of resolution is already partially mutu- future bank resolution, but not to the extent that
alised, national resolution authorities will not this cost could be assumed away entirely.
have the appropriate incentives to minimise
the overall public costs of bank resolution. The SRM should be able to draw on ESM resources
in future SRM-conducted resolutions. However, the
However, a fully centralised system cannot be ESM should not necessarily finance all the public
reached in Step 3, assuming, as we do, the cost and/or assume all the public risk of resolution
absence of significant revision of the European processes in the context of the present crisis, and
Treaties, and the absence of a dramatically more a strong reliance on national funding mechanisms
integrated fiscal framework. Under these assump- and institutions will remain necessary, at least for
tions, the SRM cannot be strictly parallel to the a transitional period. Because of its size limit and
SSM in its design and establishment, for at least governance, the ESM is not suited as an instru-
two major reasons. ment to provide the kind of fiscal guarantees that
may become necessary to address a systemic
First, special bank resolution regimes are estab- crisis (Pisani-Ferry and Wolff, 2012). Furthermore,
lished in parallel and as an alternative to insol- the involvement of national resources may remain
vency regimes18. Our assessment is that a necessary at least in some cases, for example to
European bank insolvency regime is out of reach mitigate the possibility of moral hazard arising
in Step 3 – even though it should be considered from national economic policy decisions that
as part of what we called Step 4 in the first section shape banks’ risk but are not part of the European
of this Policy Contribution. We cannot identify in banking policy framework, eg housing policy.
the current treaties an adequate and sufficiently
robust legal basis for a European insolvency One option would be to create an industry-funded
regime. Even assuming the existence of such a European resolution fund alongside the estab-
basis, the creation of an effective supranational lishment of the SRM. However, a European fund
insolvency regime is bound to require a long plan- would take time to build up and would be unlikely
ning and preparation period. For example, the cre- to gather significant financial firepower for a
ation of a European insolvency court should not number of years, well beyond the SRM’s start of
be a rushed process. We have not analysed in operations. Moreover such a fund could raise
depth the option of establishing a supranational moral hazards of its own. The upshot is that the
insolvency regime by a specific, ad hoc treaty (as SRM will have to operate in relationship with both
was done with the ESM) within the timeframe national and European counterparties for any
envisaged for the creation of the SRM, but we are public funding of resolution processes.
sceptical about its feasibility. Even a harmonisa-
tion of national bank insolvency regimes would The core challenge of designing the SRM is how to
take more time than is available for the creation of combine the lingering relevance of national struc-
the SRM. Our conclusion is that national bank res- tures for insolvency processes and resolution
olution regimes must remain and continue to play funding, with the need for quick and effective deci-
a core role in the operation of the SRM. sion-making on a system-wide basis. Because
resolution decisions are high-risk, the bar must be
Second, bank resolution regimes are linked to set high in terms of accountability, which in the
fiscal or quasi-fiscal resources. Unlike insolvency SRM’s case must prominently involve accounta-
processes, they can result in the public assump- bility at the European level. Thus, the SRM should
18. Even though we have
not explored this issue in tion of significant financial risk and liabilities. be based neither on a broad committee structure
depth, we understand that Experience suggests that some bank resolution with weak decision-making structures preventing
this is even more the case in processes eventually result in a financial gain to quick and effective decision-making, nor on the
the EU than in the US, given public authorities, but others result in a financial delegation of authority to the home-country reso-
the content of the Charter of
Fundamental Rights of the
loss and it is often impossible to predict the even- lution authority alone, which would not provide
European Union. tual financial outcome at the start of the process. European-level accountability.
13. BRU EGE L
Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION POLICY
CONTRIBUTION
13
We believe that the SRM can meet the objectives could be created, on either a temporary or perma-
set out by the European Council only if it has at its nent basis. Doing so within the framework of EU
core a central body with a significant degree of institutions raises questions about the treaty
binding decision-making authority. Whether this basis and the decision-making autonomy that
would work by some direct empowerment of the such a new body would have (Meroni jurispru-
central body by the relevant member states’ dence). If it were established by a specific treaty,
national legislation, or through a form of injunction as was done with the ESM, the relationship with
authority (possibly with some safeguards) over the existing European institutions is likely to raise
national resolution authorities, remains to be even more difficult questions than was the case
explored. with the ESM, including over accountability and
judicial review.
Predictably, a lot of the early debate about the
future SRM has centred on what this central body To fulfil its aim of contributing to the breaking of
could be. Proceeding by elimination, we believe it the ‘doom loop’, the SRM should have immediate
can be neither the ECB nor the ESM. authority over all euro-area member states and
not only those that have requested an assistance
• The ECB’s mandate is defined in the European programme. The December 2012 European Coun-
Treaties and does not include bank resolution. cil Conclusions state that its authority should be
Furthermore, the politically charged nature of extended to all non-euro area countries partici-
bank resolution strikes us as difficult to square pating in the SSM, but how this is articulated con-
with the ECB’s independence. We also do not sidering that the ESM currently does not cover
believe that the current political institutions of those countries remains to be debated19. As for
the EU are compatible with the concentration of which banks should be subject to the SRM’s
powers within the ECB that such a choice would authority among those headquartered within its
entail. Additional incompatibilities may arise geographical perimeter, there are three broad pos-
from the fact that the geographical perimeter of sible options: (a) only those banks with significant
the SRM is likely to include some member cross-border presence or systemic significance at
states outside of the euro area (see below). European level; (b) all banks directly supervised
• The ESM’s decision-making framework makes by the SSM; or (c) all banks, including smaller
it unsuitable for the rapid-action requirement ones that escape direct SSM supervision. We have
that applies to a resolution authority. The fact not yet carried out a detailed analysis of the
that the ESM exists outside the EU treaty respective merits and flaws of these options.
framework would raise major questions about
judicial review. Furthermore, granting the ESM Among other operational concerns, the SRM’s cen-
direct resolution powers would give it tral body should be able to recruit specialist staff
conflicting incentives for the use of public with the financial restructuring experience needed
money in case of banking and/or sovereign to steer complex bank resolution processes. It
crisis emergencies. should have the financial flexibility to build up its
operations quickly, as its first few years of opera-
In our current (and tentative) understanding, this tion are likely to be uniquely busy given the cur-
leaves two practical possibilities, each of which rent condition of the European banking system.
merits further study. First, the European Commis- Over the longer-term (Step 4), the same body
sion would host the central body of the SRM, for could also be considered for a role in a future Euro-
which adequate relationships should be defined pean deposit insurance system, not unlike the
both with the College of Commissioners (perhaps structure in place in the US, where the Federal
using as a partial template the existing arrange- Deposit Insurance Corporation acts as the bank
ments for competition policy) and with DG COMP resolution authority.
(which could provide expertise and support based 19. In any case, it appears
on its track record of state aid control). Crucially, a The creation of the SRM should also include a con- logical to assume that the
SRM will not have authority
sufficient degree of independence in the resolu- sideration of the role that the European Banking beyond the geographical
tion task should be ensured. Second, a new body Authority and European Systemic Risk Board may scope of the SSM.
14. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
14
play in future resolution processes. This should be 5 CONCLUSION
on the agenda with the planned review of both of
these institutions in 2014, in application of the The work programme outlined in the December
European legislation that created them. 2012 European Council conclusions, even with a
limitation to the first three steps, entails a large
4.4 Banking structure number of policy questions of considerable com-
plexity. It will be a challenge for European policy-
In spite of its political prominence, we believe the makers to explore all these questions in due time
discussion on regulating banks’ structures would and in a reasonable sequence. As the recent expe-
be best delayed until the features of Europe’s rience with systemic banking crisis resolution is
single resolution mechanism and banking union limited in most of Europe, it will also be advisable
have been more precisely shaped. There is no to have an in-depth look at past crisis experiences,
one-size-fits-all response to the challenges posed in the US, Japan and other countries, to better
by banking structures, which should be different understand the nature and magnitude of the chal-
in different financial systems. Thus, we feel that lenges ahead. The legislative steps needed to
the EU and individual member states should achieve the timely creation of the Single Resolu-
refrain from introducing significant new legislation tion Mechanism represent a marathon in which
in this area until the completion of Step 3 and the Europe cannot afford to fail.
establishment of the SRM.
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16. BRU EGE L
POLICY
CONTRIBUTION FROM SUPERVISION TO RESOLUTION Nicolas Véron and Guntram B. Wolff
16
20. European Commission
APPENDIX: RULES FOR STATE AID TO THE FINANCIAL SECTOR
memo: State aid: recapitali-
sation of Spanish banks – Since the start of the financial crisis, EU member states have provided significant support to financial
the Commission's role under institutions. Most of this support qualifies as state aid as defined in Art. 107 of the Treaty on the Func-
EU State aid control, 28 tioning of the European Union, and therefore has required the approval of the European Commission.
November 20.
21. Communica-
tion from the Commission –
As of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Commission has issued several Communications to guide
Community guidelines on EU member states in their support of the financial sector and to coordinate their action, providing
State aid for rescuing and member states first with more precise guidance on specific instruments such as public guarantees,
restructuring firms in diffi- recapitalisations and impaired asset relief, and then on bank restructuring (see below). The European
culty, Official Journal C 244,
Commission has invoked four main principles to guide its state aid policy during the financial crisis:
1.10.2004, pp. 2-17.
22. Communica-
tion from the Commission –
• The granting of state aid has been subject to a principle of remuneration that reduces the cost for the
The application of State aid taxpayer; The Commission has requested that banks draw up restructuring plans with a view to
rules to measures taken in returning to viability. Where the prospects of a return to viability were not credible, the Commission
relation to financial institu- asked for the orderly resolution of the bank; The Commission has requested that the aid be min-
tions in the context of the
imised and the burden of the rescue be as much as possible fairly shared between the government
current global financial
crisis, OJ C 270, and the bank and its main stakeholders, thereby reducing the risk of moral hazard; The Commis-
25.10.2008, p. 8. sion has sought solutions that minimised the distortions of competition between banks and across
23. Communica- member states, with the overall objective of preserving the single market.
tion from the Commission –
The recapitalisation of finan- Based on this framework, the Commission has already taken more than 60 decisions on bank restruc-
cial institutions in the cur-
turing and resolution, both in the context of programmes and outside of a programme context20.
rent financial crisis:
limitation of the aid to the
minimum necessary and Summary of the European Commission's state aid rules for the crisis
safeguards against undue
distortions of competition. The Commission's ‘crisis communications’ are rooted in its rescue and restructuring (R&R) guidelines21,
Adopted on 5 December
2008, OJ C 10, 15.1.2009, p.
introduced in 2004 and applied to all sectors. However, the R&R guidelines proved in some aspects to
2-10. be inadequate for the financial sector, as they were not designed to take into account a systemic crisis
24. The Commu- and a persistent threat to financial stability. As mentioned above, the European Commission therefore
nication makes reference to introduced a temporary set of guidelines for state aid granted to financial institutions, consisting of six
the methodology proposed Communications based on Art. 107(3)(b) which it published from 2008 onwards.
by the Recommendations of
the Governing Council of the
ECB of 20 November 2008 The first three Communications provided precise guidance for specific aid instruments, recalled some
25. Communication from the
of the basic principles outlined in the R&R guidelines and set out the Commission's general approach
Commission on the treat- to how it would reflect the financial stability objective in its assessment.
ment of impaired assets in
the Community banking The Banking Communication22 reiterates general criteria for the design of state aid measures which
sector, OJ C 72, 26.3.2009, “have to be well-targeted, proportionate and designed in such a way as to minimise negative spill-over
p. 1.
effects on competitors, other sectors or Member States”, as well as provisions for guarantees on liabil-
26. Principles to
design asset relief meas-
ities, recapitalisation and controlled winding-up. Moreover, the Communication introduced a distinc-
ures contained in the Com- tion between fundamentally-sound financial institutions and other financial institutions characterised
munication are: (i) ex ante by endogenous problems. The distinction was relevant as fundamentally-sound institutions granted
transparency and disclo- state aid were required to submit a viability plan, while institutions with endogenous problems needed
sure requirements; (ii) to present a – comparatively further reaching – restructuring plan.
burden-sharing of the costs
related to impaired assets
between the State, share- The Recapitalisation Communication23 provided further guidance on the pricing of state recapitalisation
holders and creditors; (iii) measures24.
aligning incentives for
banks to participate in asset
relief with public policy
The Impaired Assets Communication25 provides guidance on the design and implementation of asset
objectives; (iv) eligibility, relief measures26.