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The top issues facing Britain today according to the 2012 Captains of Industry study conducted by Ipsos MORI are the Government deficit (mentioned by 23%), Lack of economic growth (22%) and the Eurozone (20%). This is marked change from 2011 when the Eurozone was the most frequently mentioned issue, identified by 43%.Over half the Captains interviewed (57%) feel the general economic condition of the country over the next 12 months will remain the same, with a further third (31%) expecting economic conditions to improve. Just (12%) think the economy will get worse. This represents a considerable improvement from last year when 56% of Captains felt the economy would get worse. See http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3107/Britains-bosses-share-concerns-of-the-public-over-deficit.aspx
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2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
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2.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
3.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
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4.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
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5.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
6.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
7.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
8.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
9.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
10.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
11.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
12.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2001 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
13.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
14.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
15.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
16.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
17.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
18.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
19.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
20.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
21.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
22.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
23.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
24.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2002 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
25.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
26.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
27.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
28.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
29.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
30.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
31.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
32.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
33.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
34.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
35.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
36.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2003 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
37.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
38.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
39.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
40.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
41.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
42.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
43.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
44.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
45.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
46.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
47.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
48.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2004 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
49.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
50.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
51.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
52.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
53.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
54.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
55.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
56.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
57.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
58.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
59.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
60.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2005 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
61.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
62.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
63.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
64.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
65.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
66.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
67.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
68.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
69.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
70.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
71.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
72.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2006 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
73.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
74.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
75.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
76.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
77.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
78.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
79.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
80.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
81.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
82.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
83.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
84.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2007 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
85.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
86.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
87.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
88.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
89.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
90.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
91.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
92.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
93.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
94.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
95.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
96.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2008 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
97.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
98.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
99.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
100.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
101.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
102.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
103.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
104.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
105.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
106.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
107.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
108.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2009 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
109.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
110.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
111.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
112.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
113.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
114.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
115.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
116.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
117.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
118.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
119.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
120.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2010 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
121.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
122.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
123.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
124.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
125.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
126.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
127.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
128.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
129.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
130.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
131.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
132.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2011 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
133.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
134.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
135.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
136.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
137.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
138.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
139.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
140.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
141.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
142.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
143.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
144.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2012 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
145.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
146.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
147.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
148.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
149.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
150.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
151.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
152.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield August 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
153.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield September 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
154.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield October 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
155.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield November 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
156.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield December 2013 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
157.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield January 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
158.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield February 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
159.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield March 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
160.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield April 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
161.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield May 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
162.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield June 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
163.
2-Year Forecast S&P500 Price
and 30 Yr T-Bond Yield 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0%700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 InvertedScaleTreasuryBondYield July 2014 S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond -35% -25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Actual Annualized Return Over Next Two Years S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Low Risk High Risk Estimated Probability of a Two Year Loss S&P 500 30 Yr T-Bond
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