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Forecast Techniques 
By Hataikan N.
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
1.1 Jury of Opinion 
1.2 Sales Force Composition 
1.1 Customer Evaluation 
More Opinion 
!!
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
1.1 Jury of Opinion 
1.2 Sales Force Composition 
1.1 Customer Evaluation 
Head 
Quarter 
North Stock 
South Stock 
East Stock 
West Stock
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
1.1 Jury of Opinion 
1.2 Sales Force Composition 
1.1 Customer Evaluation
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast 
2.1 Time Series Analysis 
2.2 Regression Models 
2.3 Econometrics Model 
2.4 Economic Indicator 
2.5 Substitution Effort 
Forecast Sale at 420,000 at 40% Growth
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast 
2.1 Time Series Analysis 
2.2 Regression Models 
2.3 Econometrics Model 
2.4 Economic Indicator 
2.5 Substitution Effort 
500000 income , To forecast 325,43 as Cashflow 
Regression : 0.751X-50501
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast 
2.1 Time Series Analysis 
2.2 Regression Models 
2.3 Econometrics Model 
2.4 Economic Indicator 
2.5 Substitution Effort 
Finished Goods : Japan > America > Europe 
Material : America > Europe > Japan 
Bath = Yen
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
Economic Indicator : 
10 Y rate >= Fund , Stock > Tax Refund > Inflation > Saving 
2.Quantitative Forecast 
2.1 Time Series Analysis 
2.2 Regression Models 
2.3 Econometrics Model 
2.4 Economic Indicator 
2.5 Substitution Effort 
Fund / Stock 
Consumption 
Saving
Forecasting Technique 
1.Qualitative Forecast 
2.Quantitative Forecast 
2.1 Time Series Analysis 
2.2 Regression Models 
2.3 Econometrics Model 
2.4 Economic Indicator 
2.5 Substitution Effort 
7-11 Max Value 
Big C 
70,000 75,000 
Department 
Store 80,000 100,000 
Grocery Choices

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Forecasting As Expected Outcome

  • 2. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast
  • 3. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 1.1 Jury of Opinion 1.2 Sales Force Composition 1.1 Customer Evaluation More Opinion !!
  • 4. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 1.1 Jury of Opinion 1.2 Sales Force Composition 1.1 Customer Evaluation Head Quarter North Stock South Stock East Stock West Stock
  • 5. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 1.1 Jury of Opinion 1.2 Sales Force Composition 1.1 Customer Evaluation
  • 6. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast
  • 7. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast 2.1 Time Series Analysis 2.2 Regression Models 2.3 Econometrics Model 2.4 Economic Indicator 2.5 Substitution Effort Forecast Sale at 420,000 at 40% Growth
  • 8. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast 2.1 Time Series Analysis 2.2 Regression Models 2.3 Econometrics Model 2.4 Economic Indicator 2.5 Substitution Effort 500000 income , To forecast 325,43 as Cashflow Regression : 0.751X-50501
  • 9. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast 2.1 Time Series Analysis 2.2 Regression Models 2.3 Econometrics Model 2.4 Economic Indicator 2.5 Substitution Effort Finished Goods : Japan > America > Europe Material : America > Europe > Japan Bath = Yen
  • 10. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast Economic Indicator : 10 Y rate >= Fund , Stock > Tax Refund > Inflation > Saving 2.Quantitative Forecast 2.1 Time Series Analysis 2.2 Regression Models 2.3 Econometrics Model 2.4 Economic Indicator 2.5 Substitution Effort Fund / Stock Consumption Saving
  • 11. Forecasting Technique 1.Qualitative Forecast 2.Quantitative Forecast 2.1 Time Series Analysis 2.2 Regression Models 2.3 Econometrics Model 2.4 Economic Indicator 2.5 Substitution Effort 7-11 Max Value Big C 70,000 75,000 Department Store 80,000 100,000 Grocery Choices