This document summarizes an investment newsletter from Financial Synergies. It discusses a presentation by behavioral scientist Ken Haman on how the emotional and rational parts of the brain can impact investment decisions. Haman notes that when markets decline, the emotional "fight or flight" part of the brain can take over and prompt impulsive actions, even if the long-term strategic plan is sound. The newsletter advises preparing for downturns emotionally so investors are not surprised by inevitable volatility and do not abandon their plans. It suggests contacting advisors when panic sets in so the rational brain can prevail over emotional impulses.
Overconfidence and optimism can lead strategists to back flawed strategies. Behavioral economics has identified biases that cause people to be overconfident in their abilities and estimates, which often results in strategies based on unrealistic assumptions. For example, many financial institutions believed their brands had above-average value and were overconfident in forecasts during the dot-com era. While overconfidence can drive success, it also increases the risk of betting on bad strategies. Strategists can counter this by testing strategies under a much wider range of scenarios rather than narrow ones.
This document discusses 401(k) retirement plans and whether they have fallen short. It provides context on the origins of 401(k) plans and how they have become the most common retirement vehicle in the US. However, 401(k)s are fundamentally different than pensions in that they offer more flexibility but also put more responsibility on individuals for funding, investing, and managing their retirement savings. Some argue 401(k)s have fallen short because many Americans do not have enough savings and lack the financial expertise to manage their retirement funds successfully. The document examines some of the misunderstandings around 401(k)s and debates whether they or the individuals using them are truly at fault for any perceived shortcomings.
Ryan Finnell • Retirement Tax Advisory Group
- A "living in the moment" guide to investing by Jerry Wagner
- Sell in June and go away?
- Market “truths” subject to change by Rob Hanna
- Client appreciation: A sound investment (Jim Bowen, LPL Financial)
This document provides tips and strategies for saving money and achieving financial goals. It recommends paying yourself first by automatically saving a portion of income, adopting a positive attitude about money, evaluating spending needs versus wants, engaging a financial coach, maintaining a budget, understanding how time impacts investment returns, taking full advantage of employer retirement plans, avoiding financing depreciating purchases, understanding risk tolerance, diversifying investments, automating finances, and knowing the difference between risk appetite, target, tolerance and capacity.
The document discusses behavioural economics and how it differs from traditional economics. Traditional economics assumes people act rationally to maximize wealth and income. Behavioural economics recognizes people do not always make rational decisions due to things like biases, limited willpower, and outside influences. It provides examples of how heuristics and irrational behaviors can influence decisions. The document advocates applying insights from behavioural economics, such as understanding decision-making processes and identifying bottlenecks, to help address irrational behaviors and encourage positive outcomes through "nudges" like simplifying choices and using social influences. It categorizes approaches as mindful or mindless, and externally imposed or self-imposed. The goal is to harness behavioral economics to help achieve strategic objectives.
This document discusses a presentation on neuroeconomics and behavioral finance. It covers topics like framing, availability and anchoring heuristics, optimism and overconfidence, risk and greed from behavioral finance. From neuroeconomics, it discusses neurolinguistic programming, somatic markers, what is written, case studies, and short term neural changes. It provides examples and suggestions for how financial advisors can implement concepts from neuroeconomics and behavioral finance when working with clients to help overcome cognitive biases and make better financial decisions.
For many, the investment world can be a confusing place. Banks, mutual finds, stocks, bonds, currencies, insurance, inflation, taxes, economies - it's no wonder the majority have glossed eyes.
And sitting on top of this confusion pie are central banks.
Each country has its own central bank which is responsible for setting overnight interest rates and the amount of money in that country's financial system.
Yet, there is one central bank that is the most important, sits on top of the world, and all of its actions impact not only their local country, but also every other country in the world.
This central bank is the US Federal Reserve.
In this latest IceCap Global Outlook we share how actions by the US Federal Reserve are always reactive to a crisis which, ironically, it helped create in the first place.
Today's central banks are once again, trying to thread the financial needle, and rescue us from the crisis that was born from the depths of the 2008-09 Great Financial Crisis.
The crisis is happening, yet there is good news - the crisis is creating opportunities to not only preserve your hard earned savings, but to capitalize too.
Jason Zweig - Your Money and Your Brain_200620133033.pdfSumni Uchiha
This document provides an introduction and overview of the book "Your Money and Your Brain" by Jason Zweig. The book examines how the new field of neuroeconomics can help explain irrational behaviors common in investing, such as buying high and selling low. Neuroeconomics studies investing behaviors through the lens of neuroscience, economics, and psychology. Examples are given of experienced investors who failed to follow their own advice and theories when managing their own money due to emotional factors. The book aims to help investors better understand the emotional side of decision making and optimize their investing by learning about how the brain works in this context.
Overconfidence and optimism can lead strategists to back flawed strategies. Behavioral economics has identified biases that cause people to be overconfident in their abilities and estimates, which often results in strategies based on unrealistic assumptions. For example, many financial institutions believed their brands had above-average value and were overconfident in forecasts during the dot-com era. While overconfidence can drive success, it also increases the risk of betting on bad strategies. Strategists can counter this by testing strategies under a much wider range of scenarios rather than narrow ones.
This document discusses 401(k) retirement plans and whether they have fallen short. It provides context on the origins of 401(k) plans and how they have become the most common retirement vehicle in the US. However, 401(k)s are fundamentally different than pensions in that they offer more flexibility but also put more responsibility on individuals for funding, investing, and managing their retirement savings. Some argue 401(k)s have fallen short because many Americans do not have enough savings and lack the financial expertise to manage their retirement funds successfully. The document examines some of the misunderstandings around 401(k)s and debates whether they or the individuals using them are truly at fault for any perceived shortcomings.
Ryan Finnell • Retirement Tax Advisory Group
- A "living in the moment" guide to investing by Jerry Wagner
- Sell in June and go away?
- Market “truths” subject to change by Rob Hanna
- Client appreciation: A sound investment (Jim Bowen, LPL Financial)
This document provides tips and strategies for saving money and achieving financial goals. It recommends paying yourself first by automatically saving a portion of income, adopting a positive attitude about money, evaluating spending needs versus wants, engaging a financial coach, maintaining a budget, understanding how time impacts investment returns, taking full advantage of employer retirement plans, avoiding financing depreciating purchases, understanding risk tolerance, diversifying investments, automating finances, and knowing the difference between risk appetite, target, tolerance and capacity.
The document discusses behavioural economics and how it differs from traditional economics. Traditional economics assumes people act rationally to maximize wealth and income. Behavioural economics recognizes people do not always make rational decisions due to things like biases, limited willpower, and outside influences. It provides examples of how heuristics and irrational behaviors can influence decisions. The document advocates applying insights from behavioural economics, such as understanding decision-making processes and identifying bottlenecks, to help address irrational behaviors and encourage positive outcomes through "nudges" like simplifying choices and using social influences. It categorizes approaches as mindful or mindless, and externally imposed or self-imposed. The goal is to harness behavioral economics to help achieve strategic objectives.
This document discusses a presentation on neuroeconomics and behavioral finance. It covers topics like framing, availability and anchoring heuristics, optimism and overconfidence, risk and greed from behavioral finance. From neuroeconomics, it discusses neurolinguistic programming, somatic markers, what is written, case studies, and short term neural changes. It provides examples and suggestions for how financial advisors can implement concepts from neuroeconomics and behavioral finance when working with clients to help overcome cognitive biases and make better financial decisions.
For many, the investment world can be a confusing place. Banks, mutual finds, stocks, bonds, currencies, insurance, inflation, taxes, economies - it's no wonder the majority have glossed eyes.
And sitting on top of this confusion pie are central banks.
Each country has its own central bank which is responsible for setting overnight interest rates and the amount of money in that country's financial system.
Yet, there is one central bank that is the most important, sits on top of the world, and all of its actions impact not only their local country, but also every other country in the world.
This central bank is the US Federal Reserve.
In this latest IceCap Global Outlook we share how actions by the US Federal Reserve are always reactive to a crisis which, ironically, it helped create in the first place.
Today's central banks are once again, trying to thread the financial needle, and rescue us from the crisis that was born from the depths of the 2008-09 Great Financial Crisis.
The crisis is happening, yet there is good news - the crisis is creating opportunities to not only preserve your hard earned savings, but to capitalize too.
Jason Zweig - Your Money and Your Brain_200620133033.pdfSumni Uchiha
This document provides an introduction and overview of the book "Your Money and Your Brain" by Jason Zweig. The book examines how the new field of neuroeconomics can help explain irrational behaviors common in investing, such as buying high and selling low. Neuroeconomics studies investing behaviors through the lens of neuroscience, economics, and psychology. Examples are given of experienced investors who failed to follow their own advice and theories when managing their own money due to emotional factors. The book aims to help investors better understand the emotional side of decision making and optimize their investing by learning about how the brain works in this context.
The document discusses how the reflexive brain reacts intuitively to information quickly, sometimes overriding rational thinking. It introduces two cognitive biases - heuristics and overconfidence - that can cause illogical financial decisions. Heuristics involve mental shortcuts like the 1/N rule for allocating investments that overgeneralize. Overconfidence causes people to overestimate their abilities and take unnecessary risks. The document argues it is important for financial advisors to be aware of these biases to avoid mistakes and properly manage client expectations.
This paper examines professional investors can apply the principles within and around Behavioural Finance to maximise investment skill and minimise any negative impact of behavioural bias.
Investing Public Funds: PFI Strategies is in the business of “finding money” in an institution’s operational and reserve funds. We also help public fund investors avoid the heartache of poor investment decisions, which everyone makes from time to time
The document summarizes the strong performance of stock markets in Q1 2013, with the S&P 500 returning 10.61% and Nasdaq returning 8.52%. It notes that while client portfolios are not 100% in stocks, the stock holdings have contributed significantly to returns. It asks whether the positive momentum can continue and directs the reader to page 2 for more details on the statistics.
How to Prepare for a Possible Collapse of the US Dollar and Economy.pdfDanwil Janz Reyes
How to Prepare for a Possible Collapse of the U.S. Dollar and Economy is an article that teaches and explains how to prepare for a possible collapse of the U.S. dollar and economy from the author's perspective.
Prudent Capital Allocation - My Investment ThesisHely Chavan
The document provides advice for long-term investors on how to deploy capital rationally and avoid common behavioral biases. It argues that most money managers will fail to beat the market average due to mathematical laws. It also contends that hyperactive markets primarily benefit financial intermediaries, not investors. The document recommends index funds for average investors seeking market returns, but also notes that patience and rationality can allow some investors to take advantage of market inefficiencies and outperform indexes over the long run.
* Fear is the foundation of your limiting beliefs.
*Wether it’s fear of failure or fear of success.
* There are 7 Common FEARS that prevent us from living our best lives.
* Discover what they are and how you can overcome them with this step by step blueprint that will help you “Unleash Your unlimited POWER!”
Student Essay - 9+ Examples, Format, Pdf | Examples. student sample essay. How To Write An Academic Essay (+ Review Checklist) | Oxford Learning. High School Essay - 10+ Examples, Format, Pdf | Examples. School essay: Sample essay writing for kids. Essay for education - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. 24 Greatest College Essay Examples – RedlineSP. College Sample Scholarship Essays | Master of Template Document. CavsConnect : Writing Your College Essay & More!. 002 Essay Example My School ~ Thatsnotus. 022 Community Essay Sample Service Learning Example Ta Student Essays .... Academic Essay Structure Tips [Writing Guide] | Pro Essay Help. 009 Essay On Being Good Student Example Qualities Of How To ~ Thatsnotus. Calaméo - A Student Needs Essay Writing Help. Business paper: Essay writing for highschool students. 400 Topics for Writing Essays and Speeches. Essays Written By Students. 9+ High School Essay Examples & Samples - PDF | Examples - 5 Ways .... Sample College Essays. Free Download. Easy to Edit and Print. Scholarship Essay Examples - 10+ in PDF | Examples. 012 Essay Example High School Student 245100 ~ Thatsnotus. How To Format An Essay For College - unugtp. History Essay: Short essays for students. Analysis Of Argument Example: Student Essay Analysis - LeaveAdvice.com. College Essay Examples - 9+ in PDF | Examples. 9+ College Essay Examples - Free PDF Format Download | Examples .... Working Students Essay Example - PHDessay.com. Check My Essay: Essay writing for high school students. 018 Essay Example Student ~ Thatsnotus Student Essay
The document discusses branding strategies for financial firms during market downturns. It outlines three rules: 1) Acknowledge the reality of the economic situation, 2) Share wisdom with clients and investors, and 3) Stay true to your brand identity. It then provides examples of how various financial firms applied these rules successfully, such as by educating clients, emphasizing their expertise and processes, and addressing the downturn directly with humor.
This memo discusses the author's views on risk in investing. Some key points:
1) The future is unpredictable and risk cannot be precisely quantified, but should be viewed as a range of possible outcomes. Experts can provide subjective estimates of probabilities.
2) While many outcomes are possible, only one will occur. Superior investors have insight into assessing the likelihood of various outcomes and whether potential returns compensate for risks.
3) Risky investments must appear likely to provide higher returns to attract investors, but higher perceived risk does not guarantee higher actual returns. The relationship between risk and return is based on opinions, not facts.
The document provides an overview of key lessons for investing and building wealth. It recommends starting to invest as early as possible to benefit from the power of compound interest over long periods. It also suggests saving over 20% of income and looking for ways to reduce expenses. For investing, it recommends initially putting money in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, and later diversifying across asset classes to increase returns while managing risk. The goal is to build a portfolio of assets that generate income over time.
The document discusses strategies for wealth creation and financial success. It makes three key points:
1) Take responsibility for your own financial situation rather than blaming external factors. Successful people achieve wealth through their own choices and actions.
2) Spend less than you earn by limiting discretionary spending and saving the difference. Small amounts of savings add up over time.
3) Understand the difference between assets, which generate money, and liabilities ("flossets"), which reduce money. Focus on accumulating assets rather than possessions to achieve true wealth.
The document discusses how investors delude themselves in several common ways such as believing they can predict market crashes, thinking they understand industries, and being reluctant to sell losing investments. It describes psychological biases like confirmation bias and hindsight bias that lead people to ignore facts incompatible with their beliefs. The article provides seven specific examples of how investors fool themselves and advocates recognizing one's emotional biases to make rational long-term investment decisions with the help of advisors.
This document provides tips and guidance for beginner stock market investors. It discusses establishing long-term goals, understanding your risk tolerance, controlling your emotions, and handling the basics of investing before making your first purchase. The key tips are to set long-term goals for your investing, understand your personal risk tolerance, avoid making emotional decisions, and learn basic financial concepts and terms before investing. Diversifying your investments and starting early are also emphasized as important strategies.
Essay Self Confidence. ESSAY ON SELF CONFIDENCE - YouTubeDanielle Torres
Self Confidence Essay | Essay on Self Confidence for Students and .... Confidence Essay | Essay on Confidence for Students and Children in .... Self Confidence Essay Example (600 Words) - PHDessay.com. Self confidence is the key to success essay sample - 278 Words - NerdySeal. Essay On Self Confidence for Students and Children | 500 Words Essay. Confidence Essay Examp
The author recalls an experience from his youth where an impoverished street cleaner gave him money for phone calls despite the cleaner's own struggles. This act of generosity shaped the author's career path to help others manage their finances. The document provides advice on researching financial advisors and investment options to make sound decisions and protect one's nest egg for retirement. It warns that overspending, lack of savings, and poor planning are some of the biggest threats to financial security.
Investing Public Funds: PFI Strategies is in the business of “finding money” in an institution’s operational and reserve funds. We also help public fund investors avoid the heartache of poor investment decisions, which everyone makes from time to time
The document describes a personal experience where the author's 4-month-old daughter Caitlin developed a fever. In a panic, the author and his wife took Caitlin to the emergency room. The ER doctor recognized they were panicked new parents and calmed them down, explaining that fevers are common in children and not always serious. The parents were embarrassed to learn Caitlin's fever was actually low-grade. They realized they overreacted and caused unnecessary stress. The author says this taught them not to panic over temporary situations and that downturns in the stock market, like fevers, are normal and temporary.
This document is the table of contents and introduction for the book "The Little Book of Common Sense Investing" by John C. Bogle. The introduction makes the case that successful long-term investing is achieved through owning the entire stock market at low cost via index funds. It notes that index funds eliminate many risks and ensure investors capture almost the entire return of the market. The power of compounding returns over decades can lead to outsized gains. However, most individual investors underperform the market, receiving less than their fair share of returns. The book aims to change how readers think about investing by focusing on low-cost index funds.
The document discusses having an edge over situations and dealing with uncertainty in the market. It provides several perspectives:
1. Human minds can develop an ability to have an edge over some situations some of the time, but never all situations all the time. Eventually what matters is when we do not have an edge.
2. The current market meltdown shows nearly 50% of decision makers still have doubts about proposals and solutions. Transformative thinking is needed to move beyond the current circumstances.
3. Achieving mastery over complex market forces requires believing one can do it through rediscovering one's true self and embracing an expanded approach that draws on awareness, conscience, and imagination.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses how the reflexive brain reacts intuitively to information quickly, sometimes overriding rational thinking. It introduces two cognitive biases - heuristics and overconfidence - that can cause illogical financial decisions. Heuristics involve mental shortcuts like the 1/N rule for allocating investments that overgeneralize. Overconfidence causes people to overestimate their abilities and take unnecessary risks. The document argues it is important for financial advisors to be aware of these biases to avoid mistakes and properly manage client expectations.
This paper examines professional investors can apply the principles within and around Behavioural Finance to maximise investment skill and minimise any negative impact of behavioural bias.
Investing Public Funds: PFI Strategies is in the business of “finding money” in an institution’s operational and reserve funds. We also help public fund investors avoid the heartache of poor investment decisions, which everyone makes from time to time
The document summarizes the strong performance of stock markets in Q1 2013, with the S&P 500 returning 10.61% and Nasdaq returning 8.52%. It notes that while client portfolios are not 100% in stocks, the stock holdings have contributed significantly to returns. It asks whether the positive momentum can continue and directs the reader to page 2 for more details on the statistics.
How to Prepare for a Possible Collapse of the US Dollar and Economy.pdfDanwil Janz Reyes
How to Prepare for a Possible Collapse of the U.S. Dollar and Economy is an article that teaches and explains how to prepare for a possible collapse of the U.S. dollar and economy from the author's perspective.
Prudent Capital Allocation - My Investment ThesisHely Chavan
The document provides advice for long-term investors on how to deploy capital rationally and avoid common behavioral biases. It argues that most money managers will fail to beat the market average due to mathematical laws. It also contends that hyperactive markets primarily benefit financial intermediaries, not investors. The document recommends index funds for average investors seeking market returns, but also notes that patience and rationality can allow some investors to take advantage of market inefficiencies and outperform indexes over the long run.
* Fear is the foundation of your limiting beliefs.
*Wether it’s fear of failure or fear of success.
* There are 7 Common FEARS that prevent us from living our best lives.
* Discover what they are and how you can overcome them with this step by step blueprint that will help you “Unleash Your unlimited POWER!”
Student Essay - 9+ Examples, Format, Pdf | Examples. student sample essay. How To Write An Academic Essay (+ Review Checklist) | Oxford Learning. High School Essay - 10+ Examples, Format, Pdf | Examples. School essay: Sample essay writing for kids. Essay for education - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. 24 Greatest College Essay Examples – RedlineSP. College Sample Scholarship Essays | Master of Template Document. CavsConnect : Writing Your College Essay & More!. 002 Essay Example My School ~ Thatsnotus. 022 Community Essay Sample Service Learning Example Ta Student Essays .... Academic Essay Structure Tips [Writing Guide] | Pro Essay Help. 009 Essay On Being Good Student Example Qualities Of How To ~ Thatsnotus. Calaméo - A Student Needs Essay Writing Help. Business paper: Essay writing for highschool students. 400 Topics for Writing Essays and Speeches. Essays Written By Students. 9+ High School Essay Examples & Samples - PDF | Examples - 5 Ways .... Sample College Essays. Free Download. Easy to Edit and Print. Scholarship Essay Examples - 10+ in PDF | Examples. 012 Essay Example High School Student 245100 ~ Thatsnotus. How To Format An Essay For College - unugtp. History Essay: Short essays for students. Analysis Of Argument Example: Student Essay Analysis - LeaveAdvice.com. College Essay Examples - 9+ in PDF | Examples. 9+ College Essay Examples - Free PDF Format Download | Examples .... Working Students Essay Example - PHDessay.com. Check My Essay: Essay writing for high school students. 018 Essay Example Student ~ Thatsnotus Student Essay
The document discusses branding strategies for financial firms during market downturns. It outlines three rules: 1) Acknowledge the reality of the economic situation, 2) Share wisdom with clients and investors, and 3) Stay true to your brand identity. It then provides examples of how various financial firms applied these rules successfully, such as by educating clients, emphasizing their expertise and processes, and addressing the downturn directly with humor.
This memo discusses the author's views on risk in investing. Some key points:
1) The future is unpredictable and risk cannot be precisely quantified, but should be viewed as a range of possible outcomes. Experts can provide subjective estimates of probabilities.
2) While many outcomes are possible, only one will occur. Superior investors have insight into assessing the likelihood of various outcomes and whether potential returns compensate for risks.
3) Risky investments must appear likely to provide higher returns to attract investors, but higher perceived risk does not guarantee higher actual returns. The relationship between risk and return is based on opinions, not facts.
The document provides an overview of key lessons for investing and building wealth. It recommends starting to invest as early as possible to benefit from the power of compound interest over long periods. It also suggests saving over 20% of income and looking for ways to reduce expenses. For investing, it recommends initially putting money in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, and later diversifying across asset classes to increase returns while managing risk. The goal is to build a portfolio of assets that generate income over time.
The document discusses strategies for wealth creation and financial success. It makes three key points:
1) Take responsibility for your own financial situation rather than blaming external factors. Successful people achieve wealth through their own choices and actions.
2) Spend less than you earn by limiting discretionary spending and saving the difference. Small amounts of savings add up over time.
3) Understand the difference between assets, which generate money, and liabilities ("flossets"), which reduce money. Focus on accumulating assets rather than possessions to achieve true wealth.
The document discusses how investors delude themselves in several common ways such as believing they can predict market crashes, thinking they understand industries, and being reluctant to sell losing investments. It describes psychological biases like confirmation bias and hindsight bias that lead people to ignore facts incompatible with their beliefs. The article provides seven specific examples of how investors fool themselves and advocates recognizing one's emotional biases to make rational long-term investment decisions with the help of advisors.
This document provides tips and guidance for beginner stock market investors. It discusses establishing long-term goals, understanding your risk tolerance, controlling your emotions, and handling the basics of investing before making your first purchase. The key tips are to set long-term goals for your investing, understand your personal risk tolerance, avoid making emotional decisions, and learn basic financial concepts and terms before investing. Diversifying your investments and starting early are also emphasized as important strategies.
Essay Self Confidence. ESSAY ON SELF CONFIDENCE - YouTubeDanielle Torres
Self Confidence Essay | Essay on Self Confidence for Students and .... Confidence Essay | Essay on Confidence for Students and Children in .... Self Confidence Essay Example (600 Words) - PHDessay.com. Self confidence is the key to success essay sample - 278 Words - NerdySeal. Essay On Self Confidence for Students and Children | 500 Words Essay. Confidence Essay Examp
The author recalls an experience from his youth where an impoverished street cleaner gave him money for phone calls despite the cleaner's own struggles. This act of generosity shaped the author's career path to help others manage their finances. The document provides advice on researching financial advisors and investment options to make sound decisions and protect one's nest egg for retirement. It warns that overspending, lack of savings, and poor planning are some of the biggest threats to financial security.
Investing Public Funds: PFI Strategies is in the business of “finding money” in an institution’s operational and reserve funds. We also help public fund investors avoid the heartache of poor investment decisions, which everyone makes from time to time
The document describes a personal experience where the author's 4-month-old daughter Caitlin developed a fever. In a panic, the author and his wife took Caitlin to the emergency room. The ER doctor recognized they were panicked new parents and calmed them down, explaining that fevers are common in children and not always serious. The parents were embarrassed to learn Caitlin's fever was actually low-grade. They realized they overreacted and caused unnecessary stress. The author says this taught them not to panic over temporary situations and that downturns in the stock market, like fevers, are normal and temporary.
This document is the table of contents and introduction for the book "The Little Book of Common Sense Investing" by John C. Bogle. The introduction makes the case that successful long-term investing is achieved through owning the entire stock market at low cost via index funds. It notes that index funds eliminate many risks and ensure investors capture almost the entire return of the market. The power of compounding returns over decades can lead to outsized gains. However, most individual investors underperform the market, receiving less than their fair share of returns. The book aims to change how readers think about investing by focusing on low-cost index funds.
The document discusses having an edge over situations and dealing with uncertainty in the market. It provides several perspectives:
1. Human minds can develop an ability to have an edge over some situations some of the time, but never all situations all the time. Eventually what matters is when we do not have an edge.
2. The current market meltdown shows nearly 50% of decision makers still have doubts about proposals and solutions. Transformative thinking is needed to move beyond the current circumstances.
3. Achieving mastery over complex market forces requires believing one can do it through rediscovering one's true self and embracing an expanded approach that draws on awareness, conscience, and imagination.
Similar to Financial Synergies | Q1 2017 Newsletter (20)
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses challenges facing Social Security and potential reforms. By 2034, Social Security's trust fund is projected to become depleted, requiring an automatic 20% benefits cut or 25% payroll tax increase. Several reform options are outlined, including gradually increasing taxes or reducing benefits, but none fully address the shortfall. The document emphasizes that earlier Congressional action allows for more gradual changes and planning. It also reviews the economy and financial markets in 2023, noting strong returns despite challenges. Five insights for 2024 markets are provided, including the potential for further gains if inflation stabilizes and rates are cut. The importance of staying invested through changing conditions is stressed.
The document provides information on three key topics:
1. The three pillars of retirement - how much one saves, withdraws, and how well their portfolio performs. Saving adequately and avoiding excessive withdrawals are emphasized.
2. Harry Markowitz and his pioneering work developing Modern Portfolio Theory in the 1950s, which revolutionized investing through diversification and analyzing risk and return.
3. How artificial intelligence and new technologies can boost productivity and economic growth over the long run, though their impacts are often overestimated in the short term. Maintaining a level-headed perspective on new technologies is advised for investors.
The document provides a summary of global market performance in 2020. The US stock market outperformed other major markets, returning 20.89%. International developed markets returned 7.59% while emerging markets returned 18.31%. Within international stocks, Denmark and Sweden saw the best returns among developed markets, while Korea and Taiwan led emerging markets. Bond markets also posted gains, with the US bond market returning 7.51%.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The document provides information about the next six months from the perspective of a financial advisor. It discusses the turbulent past six months due to the COVID-19 pandemic and hopes the next six months will be better. It then analyzes the impact past US presidents have had on markets and the economy during their terms, noting both positive and negative impacts. It concludes that a Biden or Trump presidency will likely have a mixed impact, and that investors should stay the course and focus on long-term investing rather than trying to time markets based on who is president.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
- US stocks outperformed international developed and emerging markets in Q3 2019, with value outperforming growth. Small caps underperformed large caps in the US.
- International developed markets underperformed the US but outperformed emerging markets in Q3. Small caps outperformed large caps internationally.
- Emerging markets significantly underperformed both the US and international developed markets in Q3. Value underperformed growth in emerging markets.
This report features world capital market performance and a
timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global
overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset
classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified
portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
More from Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors, Inc. (20)
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KYC Compliance: A Cornerstone of Global Crypto Regulatory FrameworksAny kyc Account
This presentation explores the pivotal role of KYC compliance in shaping and enforcing global regulations within the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrencies. Dive into the intricate connection between KYC practices and the evolving legal frameworks governing the crypto industry.
Discovering Delhi - India's Cultural Capital.pptxcosmo-soil
Delhi, the heartbeat of India, offers a rich blend of history, culture, and modernity. From iconic landmarks like the Red Fort to bustling commercial hubs and vibrant culinary scenes, Delhi's real estate landscape is dynamic and diverse. Discover the essence of India's capital, where tradition meets innovation.
South Dakota State University degree offer diploma Transcriptynfqplhm
办理美国SDSU毕业证书制作南达科他州立大学假文凭定制Q微168899991做SDSU留信网教留服认证海牙认证改SDSU成绩单GPA做SDSU假学位证假文凭高仿毕业证GRE代考如何申请南达科他州立大学South Dakota State University degree offer diploma Transcript
In World Expo 2010 Shanghai – the most visited Expo in the World History
https://www.britannica.com/event/Expo-Shanghai-2010
China’s official organizer of the Expo, CCPIT (China Council for the Promotion of International Trade https://en.ccpit.org/) has chosen Dr. Alyce Su as the Cover Person with Cover Story, in the Expo’s official magazine distributed throughout the Expo, showcasing China’s New Generation of Leaders to the World.
University of North Carolina at Charlotte degree offer diploma Transcripttscdzuip
办理美国UNCC毕业证书制作北卡大学夏洛特分校假文凭定制Q微168899991做UNCC留信网教留服认证海牙认证改UNCC成绩单GPA做UNCC假学位证假文凭高仿毕业证GRE代考如何申请北卡罗莱纳大学夏洛特分校University of North Carolina at Charlotte degree offer diploma Transcript
Fabular Frames and the Four Ratio ProblemMajid Iqbal
Digital, interactive art showing the struggle of a society in providing for its present population while also saving planetary resources for future generations. Spread across several frames, the art is actually the rendering of real and speculative data. The stereographic projections change shape in response to prompts and provocations. Visitors interact with the model through speculative statements about how to increase savings across communities, regions, ecosystems and environments. Their fabulations combined with random noise, i.e. factors beyond control, have a dramatic effect on the societal transition. Things get better. Things get worse. The aim is to give visitors a new grasp and feel of the ongoing struggles in democracies around the world.
Stunning art in the small multiples format brings out the spatiotemporal nature of societal transitions, against backdrop issues such as energy, housing, waste, farmland and forest. In each frame we see hopeful and frightful interplays between spending and saving. Problems emerge when one of the two parts of the existential anaglyph rapidly shrinks like Arctic ice, as factors cross thresholds. Ecological wealth and intergenerational equity areFour at stake. Not enough spending could mean economic stress, social unrest and political conflict. Not enough saving and there will be climate breakdown and ‘bankruptcy’. So where does speculative design start and the gambling and betting end? Behind each fabular frame is a four ratio problem. Each ratio reflects the level of sacrifice and self-restraint a society is willing to accept, against promises of prosperity and freedom. Some values seem to stabilise a frame while others cause collapse. Get the ratios right and we can have it all. Get them wrong and things get more desperate.
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Budgeting as a Control Tool in Government Accounting in Nigeria
Being a Paper Presented at the Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA) Budget Office Staff at Sojourner Hotel, GRA, Ikeja Lagos on Saturday 8th June, 2024.
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Financial Synergies | Q1 2017 Newsletter
1. 4265 San Felipe, Suite 1450, Houston, TX 77027 | 713-623-6600 | info@finsyn.com | finsyn.com
Two Brains Are
Not Better
Than One
MIKE BOOKER, CFP®, CHFC®, CFS®
SHAREHOLDER, FINANCIAL ADVISOR
I recently attended an investment seminar
hosted by Ken Haman, noted behavioral
scientist. He has spent many years studying
the two sides of the brain and has concluded
that, as far as investing acumen is
concerned, two brains are not better than
one.
One side of the brain, the neo-cortex, is the part that
controls speaking and mathematics. It is the rational,
analytical part of the brain. It is located behind the forehead,
is very deliberate and capable of contemplating future
INSIDE THIS ISSUE
1. Two Brains Are Not
Better Than One
2. Going Global is
Essential
3. A Cross-Atlantic
Voyage
4. Be Prepared
5. When Should You
Invest?
Q1 2017
Newsletter
Quarterly
...Continued on next page
2. 2„„
consequences of actions taken. As Mr. Haman says, “a person uses their neo-cortex when they decide to start a new
diet."
A large cluster of more primitive structures sits below and behind the neo-cortex. This primitive brain controls the fight-
or-flight response to threats. It operates instinctively, and generates strong emotions when presented with an imminent
threat. Haman is quick to point out, “This is the part of the brain that sees a delicious piece of cake and quickly grabs a
fork, ignoring the plans for the new diet."
Thousands of years ago, human survival was moment-by-moment with the environment full of dangerous animals or
situations that could harm or even kill. A person either reacted correctly and survived or reacted incorrectly and
perished. Early humans also faced challenges that required longer-term planning – like where was the next meal coming
from. Careful thinking and planning was the key to survival.
Today, our survival instinct is still alive and well and it completely overwhelms the rational brain in response to a threat.
Mr. Haman states, “The human brain has not changed in any meaningful way over the last 50,000 years – we still have
the same hair trigger fight-or-flight mechanism. However, today’s threats are different and our bears show up in our
portfolio rather than our cave."
Applying this concept to investors, it is the neo-cortex alone that makes thoughtful, deliberate investment decisions
involving the balance of risk and reward and considers probabilities of success or failure (all very scientific and lucid).
But, as we all know, there are times when markets trend downward, and when this happens, “The directionality of the
markets seems to profoundly affect investor’s future security and even their immediate well-being. Once investors feel
threatened, the fight-or-flight instinct takes over. This fast-thinking, instinctual part of the brain takes charge and is eager
to act. To do something," says Haman.
In my experience as an investment advisor, telling a client to think “long-term” during times that their emotional side of
the brain is in charge is largely ineffective. Haman agrees, “Such advice is like telling a person who is terrified of snakes
not to worry about the snake in front of him because it is harmless. Fear always overwhelms logic; non-logical reactions
are built into the human central nervous system."
What are investors to do? More importantly for us, how can we best serve you, our clients, when the volatility of markets
has initiated the fight-or-flight response? While there is no obvious answer, I think the solution may lie in preparation.
While I hate getting shots from the doctor, I appreciate the iconic warning just prior, “You are going to feel a little prick.”
This helps me prepare for what’s coming. It doesn’t mean I enjoy it, but I am ready. Competitive golf teaches me that
disaster lurks around every corner and that I should expect bad bounces and lipped out putts from time to time – they
are such an inherent part of the game. I know they are coming, I just don’t know when.
Down markets are inherent to investing, too. We know they are coming, we just don’t know when. In the last 90 years,
markets have posted year-end losses 24 times, with just 11 of those losses greater than 10%. So, let’s prepare ahead of
time. Close your eyes, take a deep breath and imagine for a moment that the Dow Jones just dropped 1,000 points. A
little scary, right? Good! Even though that’s less than a 5% loss, that scare could trigger your fight-or-flight response. This
natural, emotional reaction might get triggered for real when the Dow really does shed those 1,000 points (or more) at
some point in the future.
When that panic sets in, the emotional side of your brain will want you to do something. That’s fine, but I want that
something to be this: Call us. Maybe my fight-or-flight response may be trying to surface, too, so let’s talk each other
through it. Remember, our firm is monitoring the markets, we know your goals, your objectives and, most importantly,
we know you. And you know us. Together, I bet we can stop the emotional side of our brains from bullying the rational
side into making an impulsive decision that we end up regretting. You are not alone.
______________________________________________________
Welcome Susie and Kevin!
Kevin joined our team in March as Financial Advisor, with 11 years of advisor experience. He will be
assisting the advisory team with client meetings, on-boarding, and financial planning. Kevin lives in
Meyerland with his wife Georgia and two children, Abigail and Elizabeth.
We would like to welcome our newest team members, Susie Miller and Kevin Nelson.
Susie joined our team back in December as receptionist, coming to us with many years
of administrative experience. She'll be the one greeting you at the door when you
come to the office or calling you to schedule meetings. Susie lives in Cypress and
enjoys spending time with her children and grandchildren.
3. 3
In the past two decades, there has been a decline in the number of US-listed, publicly traded
companies. A case in point: How many stocks make up the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index? While
the logical guess might be 5,000, as of December 31, 2016, the index contained just 3,600 names. In
fact, the last time this index contained 5,000 or more companies was at the end of 2005.
Should investors be worried about this change? Does this mean there is a risk of being unable to
Going Global is Essential
MIKE MINTER, CFP®, CFS® | SHAREHOLDER, PORTFOLIO MANAGER
Source: Bloomberg.
achieve an adequate level of diversification in your portfolio? I believe the answer to both is no. When viewed through
a global lens, a different story begins to emerge – one with important implications for how to structure a well-
diversified investment portfolio.
When looked at globally, the number of publicly listed companies has not declined. In fact, the number of firms listed
on US, non-US developed, and emerging markets exchanges has increased from about 23,000 in 1995 to 33,000 at
the end of 2016.
...Continued on next page
4. 4
While it is true that in the US there are fewer publicly listed firms today than there were in the mid-1990s, it’s clear
that the increase in listings both in developed markets outside the US and in emerging markets has more than
offset the decline in US listings.
A GLOBAL APPROACH
In the US, with thousands of stocks available for investment today, it is unlikely that this change will meaningfully
impact an investor’s ability to efficiently pursue equity market returns in broadly diversified portfolios. It is also
important to note that a significant portion of the publicly available global market cap remains listed on US
exchanges.
Source: Bloomberg.
As noted in Exhibit 2, the weight of the US in the global market is approximately 50–55%. For comparison, it was
approximately 40% in 1995.
The global equity market is large and represents a world of investment opportunities, nearly half of which are
outside of the US. While diversifying globally implies an investor’s portfolio is unlikely to be the best performing
relative to any one domestic stock market, it also means it is unlikely to be the worst performing.
Diversification provides the means to achieve a more consistent outcome and can help reduce the risks associated
with over-concentration in any one country. By having a truly global investment approach, investors can capture
returns wherever they occur.
CONCLUSION
While there has been a decline in the number of US-listed, publicly traded companies, this decline has been more
than offset by an increase in listings in non-US markets. The implications for investors today are clear – to build a
well-diversified portfolio, an investor must look beyond any single country’s stock market and take a global
approach.
Sources: Bloomberg, Dimensional Fund Advisors.
5. 5
I want to share a recent story about one
of our Pathway clients that can only be
described as amazing.
Michael Matson and his wife, Sami,
became clients under our Pathway
program last summer. In our first meeting, Michael
mentioned that he had a “unique” hobby – ocean rowing.
My first thought was, “OK, this guy likes kayaking off the
surf in Galveston.” It turns out, Michael was one of the
instructors for the Rice University rowing team. Not only
that, he and two friends had entered the Talisker Whisky
Challenge, a 3,000-mile rowboat race across the
Atlantic Ocean.
Yes, that Atlantic Ocean!
Michael embarked on the voyage in mid-December 2016.
The race started in the Canary Islands off the western
coast of Africa. Their destination was Antigua, over
3,000 miles away.
Michael decided to name their vessel “Anne” after Anne
McCormick Sullivan, a deceased Houston firefighter.
Michael and Anne were friends and served as volunteers
with the Stafford, TX Fire Department. After joining the
Houston Fire Department, Anne tragically lost her life in
a massive hotel fire in southwest Houston in May 2013.
Michael and his crew felt naming their boat Anne was a
great way to honor his friend and local hero.
During their trans-Atlantic crossing, they encountered
storms, whales twice the size of their boat, and even a
700-pound sea turtle. After 49 days, 14 hours, 4 minutes,
and 20 seconds at sea, Michael and his crew touched
down on the shores of Antigua. They were the first crew
from Texas to complete the Talisker Whisky Challenge.
They also set two Guinness Book of World Records as
the only 3-man boat crew to row across the Atlantic and
to do it in the fastest time.
Michael and Sami shared the experience with me after
he returned to Houston. He lost over 30 pounds along
the way and came back with a beard fit for the movie
Cast Away. It is an unbelievable story and an experience
Michael will never forget. When asked about his future
rowing excursions, Michael said he plans to stick to
smaller rivers and lakes for the time being. No more
oceans, for now.
A Cross-Atlantic Voyage
WILL GOODSON, CFP® | FINANCIAL ADVISOR
Michael and his crew arrive in Antigua at the end of the journey.
6. 6
This year, I’ve had the pleasure of introducing my eldest son to Cub Scouting. He and ten other 7-year-
old boys make up our Tiger Den, and as their Den leader, I’m always on my toes. I’m also constantly
reminded of lessons I learned during my own Scouting experience.
When I was 10 or 11, my dad and I decided at the last minute to attend a regional Scouting Jamboree.
Financial Synergies Quarterly Newsletter | Q1 2017
It is easy to forget how frequently these declines have occurred and just how nasty some of them were: -16.0% in 2010,
-19.4% in 2011, -12.4% in 2015, and -13.3% just last year, to name a few.
The past year has been terrific for the broad stock market, with only minor downturns since early 2016. But if history is
any guide, it is only reasonable to expect a decline to occur sometime in the future.
...Continued on next page
Be Prepared
BRYAN ZSCHIESCHE, CFP®, MS, MBA
SHAREHOLDER, FINANCIAL ADVISOR
Because it was a mild East Texas fall, I headed out of the house in my uniform and a light jacket. About
an hour after we arrived at the campsite, a cold front blew through bringing strong winds and a near-freezing rain.
My uniform and light jacket were woefully incapable of shielding me from the cold and rain. Our only saving graces
were the heater in our Ford station wagon and the hand dryer in the campsite’s small bathroom facility. I don’t think
either one of us has been as cold before or since that night. And thus, I learned the lesson of the Scout motto: “Be
Prepared!”
Robert Baden-Powell, the founder of Scouting, said this of the Scout motto: “The meaning of the motto is that a Scout
must prepare himself by previous thinking out and practicing how to act on any accident or emergency so that he is
never taken by surprise.” (emphasis added)
How can this lesson learned in Scouting help us as we turn to investing?
To start, let’s look at the current market environment. We are experiencing a bull market that started at end of the
financial collapse in ’08 – ’09. However, along the way this run-up has been interrupted by a number of market
pullbacks as you can see in the graph below.1
7. 1. Remember that market declines cannot be timed. Don’t abandon a thoughtful investment plan in an attempt to
time a peak.
2. Remember that markets go up and markets go down. Everyone knows this, but we all seem to be surprised when
downturns occur. As Mike Booker advised in his opening article, prepare yourself for those downturns emotionally,
and acknowledge that they are a normal part of investing.
3. Remember that market downturns are temporary. Even if a decline is prolonged, it isn’t permanent.
4. Remember that market downturns create opportunities for long-term investors. Through additional investments
and careful rebalancing, investors can exploit downturns by purchasing additional stock shares at lower prices.
5. Remember to stay focused on your long-term game plan. Since we know that markets experience declines, we
build our portfolios using a diversified mix of investments. Some of those investments, such as bonds, have a good
chance to make money when stocks decline.
6. Remember to avoid the noise. As Carl Richards put it, “Building long-term wealth is probably inversely related to
knowing what the market did today.”
Jason Zweig, editorial writer for the Wall Street Journal, said this in a speech given in 2001: “The only universal truth that
the past offers about the markets is that they will surprise us in the future. And the corollary to that law is that the
markets will most brutally surprise those who are most certain what the future holds.”2
We have no idea what direction the markets will take over the next weeks, months or quarters. The most dangerous
investment approach is one that presumes to know such things. But we can follow the Scout motto and be prepared
emotionally so that when the market experiences its inevitable pullbacks, we aren’t taken by surprise.
So how should you “be prepared” to deal with market pullbacks when they occur?
1 Source: JPMorgan Guide to the Markets. March 31, 2017. p. 14
2 Source: http://jasonzweig.com/fat-tails-thin-ice-2/
7Financial Synergies Quarterly Newsletter | Q1 2017
8. 8
The decision of “when” to invest in the market can be overwhelming. After all, it’s hard to invest in the
market when it’s going down, and it’s equally as hard to invest in the market when it’s at an all-time
high like it is today. Some investors rely on their own ability to outguess the market, but for many
others, the fear of entering the market can be paralyzing. Unfortunately, doing nothing can be the
worst decision of all.
Last month I met with a potential client who was struggling with this very decision. He’s hesitant to
invest his money because the market has been up and he feels that it will inevitably come back down. His account has
been in cash for over 15 months, and he's missed out on the entire 2016/2017 bull market.
We decided to meet in a Charles Schwab branch near his home, and while I waited in the lobby I stumbled across this
chart, which was very helpful in our conversation.
When Should You Invest?
HEATH HIGHTOWER, CFP® | SHAREHOLDER, FINANCIAL ADVISOR
The chart is a little complex, but its
message is simple: Whether you
invest at the top or the bottom, in the
long run getting into the market has
historically beaten sitting on the
sidelines. The chart compares how
$10,000 invested in the S&P 500
would have grown if invested at five
market peaks (bad timing) and five
market troughs (perfect timing) vs. a
cash equivalent through the year
2015.
As you may have expected, the
portfolio that did the best was the
one that was invested at the exact
“perfect time”. But it may surprise
you to know that the portfolio that
was invested at market peaks (bad
timing) performed much better (381%
better) than the cash equivalent. I
also find it particularly interesting
that the “bad timing” portfolio didn’t
do much worse than the “perfect
timing” portfolio over the long-term.
As the old saying goes, it’s about
time in the market, not timing the
market. If you’re struggling to decide
when to put your money into the
market, consider whether the money
is intended for a short-term purpose
versus a longer-term purpose. Cash
that is intended to be used or spent
over the next 1-2 years should never
be invested in the stock market. But
if you have more time to let the
money grow, the time to invest is
right now.
Financial Synergies Quarterly Newsletter | Q1 2017
Source: http://www.schwab.com/insights/stocks/is-there-ever-bad-time-to-invest