HOW TO VALUEBONDSAND STOCKS
TOPICS:
Bond Characteristics
Bond Prices and Yields
Yield to Maturity versus Current Yield
Valuing Common Stocks
The dividend discount model
APRIL, 2022
2.
UsingthePresentValueFormulatoValueBonds
Firms issuebonds to meet their needs for funds (long term bonds) – fixed income
securities (they involve relatively constant distributions of interest or dividend
payments over time to their holders)
Bond is a long-term debt instrument that promises to pay the lender a series of
periodic interest payments in addition to returning the principal at maturity
Par value (bond) represents the amount of principal borrowed and due at maturity. The
payment at maturity is termed the bond’s face or par value
Example: STAR company issued 100000 bonds for 1000 lei each, where the bonds
have a coupon rate of 5 percent and a maturity of two years. Interest on the bonds is
to be paid yearly:
Solution: 100000 x 1000 lei = 100 million lei has been borrowed by the company. The
company must pay interest of 5 million lei (0.05 x 100 million lei) at the end of one year. The
company must pay both 5 million lei of interest and 100 million lei of principal at the end of
two years.
3.
CONCEPTS ABOUTFIXEDINCOMESECURITIES
TAX
The interest paid to bond holders is a tax-deductible expense for the borrowing company, whereas
dividends paid to preferred stockholders are not
Ownership - bondholders and stockholders have a different position in the company
Long-term debt holders are considered creditors
Stockholders are considered owners
Maturity – the maturity date is the date on which the bond issuer will pay the bondholder the
face value of the bond
Long-term debt normally has a specific maturity. Bonds that have a very long maturity date
usually pay a higher interest rate
Stockholders often is perpetual
Financial markets
Money markets – financial markets in which short-term
securities are bought and sold (usually less than one year)
Capital markets – a company issues long-term debt
securities to investors (with the maturity of over one year)
Companies offer two basic types of securities (financial instruments used to raise capital):
Debt securities – contractual obligations to repay corporate borrowing (debt – loans repaid with
periodic payments)
Equity securities – are shares of common stock and preferred stock that represent non contractual
claims to the residual cash flow of the company (equity - provides ownership rights to holders)
4.
HOWTOVALUEBONDS
A BONDis a loan the investor gives the company – a promise by the issuing company to
repay a certain amount of money on a particular date (the maturity date) and to pay a
specified amount of interest at fixed intervals
Governments and corporations borrow money by selling bonds to investors
The company
(Bond issuer)
The investor
(Bond holder)
[lenders]
Money
Repay interest and principal
The lender/investor will receive a fixed interest payment each year - the bond
matures – coupon (coupon rate)
At maturity, the debt is repaid – the borrower pays the bound holder the face
value / par value (maturity value)
COUPON RATE - Annual interest payment as a percentage of par value (maturity value)
5.
WhatIsaPremiumBond?
How muchwould you be willing to pay for the bond (this stream of cash flows)?
Example: Each bond has a face value of 1000 lei. The coupon rate is 6 percent. The borrower
makes coupon payments of 6 percent, or 60 lei each year. Suppose that an investor want to buy
a bond with maturity over 3 years. When the bond is matures (after 3 years), the borrower must
pay the face value (par value) of the bond, 1000 lei, in addition to the final coupon payment.
Solution: The initial cash flow is negative and equal to the price you have to pay for the bond. The cash flows
equal the annual coupon payment, until the maturity date, when the investor receive the face value of the
bond 1000 lei
year
-Price
60 60
1060
60
1000
2022 2023 2024 2025
I. Cash flows to an investor is the 6% coupon bond
maturing in the year 2025 and the interest rate is 5 percent
PV0=60/(1+0.05) + 60/(1+0.05)2 + 1060/(1+0.05)3 = 1029.5 RON
What is the
present value of
these payments?
6.
WhatIsaBondDiscount?
year
-Price
60
60
1060
60
1000
2022 2023 20242025
II. Cash flows to an investor is the 6% coupon bond with the maturity in the year 2025,
and the interest rate is 7 percent
PV0=60/(1+0.07) + 60/(1+0.07)2 + 1060/(1+0.07)3 = 998.8 RON
Conclusion: The required rate of return was greater than the coupon rate. The bond has
a present value less than its par value. Investors would be willing to buy the bond only if it
sold at a discount from par value
Bond discount is the amount by which the market price of a bond is lower than its
principal amount (face value) due at maturity (market price below the face value)
7.
Zero-CouponBonds
Final Conclusions:We conclude that when the market interest rate exceeds the coupon rate, bonds sell for
less than face value. When the market interest rate is below the coupon rate, bonds sell for more than face
value. If the required rate of return equals the coupon rate, the bond has a present value equal to its par value
Zero-Coupon Bonds - makes no periodic interest payments but instead is sold at a deep discount
from its face value. The difference between the purchase price and the par value represents the
investor’s return. The payment receive by the investor is equal to the principal invested plus the
interest earned
The buyer of such a bond receives a return. This return consists of the gradual increase (or appreciation) in
the value of the security from its original, below-face-value purchase price until it is redeemed at face value
on its maturity date
Example: Suppose that STAR Inc. issues a zero-coupon bond having a 10-year maturity
and a 1,000 lei face value. If your required rate of return is 12 percent, then PV
=1000/(1.12)10 = 322 lei
What is the significance of this result?
If you could purchase this bond for 322 lei and redeem it 10 years later for 1000 lei,
thus your initial investment would provide you a 12 percent compound annual rate of
return. If the asking price is higher than the present value the decision to buy is not
good. Otherwise, if the asking price is lower than the present value than the
decision to buy is good
8.
YieldtoMaturity (YTM)
Yieldto Maturity – is defined as the discounted rate that makes the present value of the
bond’s payments equal to its price (if the bond is held until maturity, with all payments made
as scheduled and reinvested at the same rate)
A bond prices below face value sells at a discount – Investors in discount bonds face a capital
gain over the life of the bond. The return on these bonds is greater than the current yield
The discount rate at which the bond’s present value is equal to the actual market price – the
yield to maturity
PV = 100/(1+YTM) + 100/(1+YTM)2 + 100/(1+YTM)3 + 1000/(1+YTM)3 = 1000 RON
Example. An investor buy the 3-year bond at face value, the yield to maturity is the coupon
rate, 10 percent. The present value of the bond is equal to its 1000 RON face value: PV =
100/(1.1) + 100/(1.1)2 + 100/(1.1)3 + 1000/(1.1)3 = 1000 RON
Example: the currently price = 95.92 lei;; the face value is 100 lei; matures in 30 months, and
pay semi-annual coupon of 5%, the coupon payment is 2.5 lei (100 x 5%/2)
95.92 = 2.5/(1+YTM) + …+ (2.5 +100)/(1+YTM)5 YTM = 6.8%
9.
Advantagesanddisadvantagesofthelong-termdebt
financing
Most establishedcompanies attempt to maintain reasonably constant proportions of
long-term debt and common equity in their capital structures
To maintain a desirable capital structure a company have to raise long-term debt
capital periodically
Long-term debt financing (fixed income - bonds) (matures is more than one year)
Advantages:
Its relatively low after-tax cost due to the tax deductibility of interest
The increased earnings per share possible through financial leverage
The ability of the firm’s owners to maintain greater control over the firm
Disadvantages:
The increased financial risk of the firm resulting form the use of debt
The restrictions placed on the firm by the lenders
By collateral to the lender, some business assets could put at potential risk
The capital structure of a company refers to the combination of equity and debt used by the
company to finance its assets
10.
TheValueofCommonStocks
Stocks andthe Stock Market: Instead of borrowing cash to pay for its investments, a firm
can sell new shares of common stock to investors when it need to raise money. Shares are
units of equity ownership in a corporation
Bond issues commit the firm to make a series of specified interest payments to the
lenders, stock issues are more like taking on new partners
A shareholder is a part-owner of the firm. When a firm issues new shares to the public,
the previous owners share their ownership of the company with additional shareholders.
Thus, issuing new shares is like having new partners buy into the firm
COMMON STOCK - Ownership shares in a publicly held corporation (it is a residual form of
ownership). It is considered a permanent form of long-term financing because it has no maturity
date (it represents part ownership of a company)
• PRIMARY MARKET - Market for newly-issued securities, sold by the company to raise
cash. Sales of new stock by the firm are said to occur in the primary market
• SECONDARY MARKET - Market in which already issued securities are traded among
investors
11.
Themainfeaturesofthestocks
A stock providestwo
kinds of cash flows
Stocks often pay dividends on a regular basis – a
dividend is a payment made by corporation to its
shareholders as a distribution of profits
The stockholders receives the sale price when
selling the stock
Stockholders rights:
Dividend rights – stockholders have the right to share equally on a per-share basis
in any distribution of corporate earnings in the form of dividends. The stockholder
receives the sale price when selling the stock
Voting rights – stockholders have the right to vote, such as the selection of the
board of directors
Asset rights – in the event of a liquidation, stockholders have the right to assets
that remain after the obligations to the government (taxes), employees, and debt
holders have been satisfied
12.
Advantagesanddisadvantagesofcommonstock
financing
Advantages anddisadvantages of common stock financing:
From management’ perspective:
1. Common stock financing is that no fixed-dividend obligation exists
2. Common stock financing does firms a greater degree of flexibility in their financing
plans than fixed-income securities (bonds) – common stock is less risky to the firm
than fixed-income securities
3. Common stock financing can lower the firm’s weighted cost of capital (if capital
structure contains an optimal amount of debt)
From the investors’ perspective:
1. Common stock is a riskier investment than debt securities (bonds). Thus, investors
in common stock require relatively high rates of return, and this means the firm’s
cost for common stock financing is high compared with fixed-income securities
2. The additional issue of common shares can dilute the original owners’ claims on
the firm’s earnings
13.
Thevaluationofcommonstock
The valuationof common stock involves capitalizing (discounting) the expected stream of cash flows to
be received from holding the common stock
The expected cash flows from holding a common stock take two forms:
1. The cash dividend payments made during the holding period
2. The cash generated by changes in the price of the stock (capital gains or losses)
One-period dividend valuation model
Assume that an investor plans to purchase a common stock and hold it for one period, At the end
of that period, the investor expects to receive a cash dividend, D1, and sell the stock for a price,
P1. What is the value of this stock to the investor today, given a required rate of return on the
investment, k?
In the capitalization of cash flow valuation method, the discounted present value of the expected
cash flows from the stock is calculated as follows: P0 = D1/(1+k) + P1/(1+k)
Example: Common stock is expected to pay a 1 RON dividend and sell for 27.5 RON at the end of
one period, what is the value of this stock to an investor who requires a 14 percent rate of return
(k=14%)?
Solution: P0 = 1/(1+0.14) + 27.5/(1+0.14)= 24.99 RON
Interpretation: The investor who purchases the stock for 25 RON, collects the 1 RON dividend,
and sells the stock for 27.5 RON at the end of one period will earn the 14 percent required rate of
return (k=14%)
14.
VALUATIONOFDIFFERENTTYPESOF STOCKS
Two-perioddividend valuation model
Assume that an investor plans to purchase a common stock and hold it for two
periods. The investor consist of cash dividends – D1 at the end of the first period and
D2 at the end of the second period, and an amount, P2, from the sale of the stock at
the end of the second period.
Capitalizing the cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return, k, gives the
following valuation equation: P0 = D1/(1+k) + D2/(1+k)2 + P2/(1+k)2
Example: Company is expected to pay common stock dividends of 1leu at the end of next year
and 1 leu at the end of the second year and that the market price of the stock is expected to be
30.35 lei two years from now. What is the current value of the stock if the investor requires a 14
percent rate of return (k=14%)?
Solution: P0 = 1/(1+0.14) + 1/ (1+0.14)2 + 30.35/(1+0.14)2= 24.98 RON
Interpretation: The investor who purchases the stock for 25 lei, collects the 2 lei
dividends, and sells the stock for 30.35 lei at the end of one period will earn the 14
percent required rate of return (k=14%)
15.
VALUATIONOFDIFFERENTTYPESOFSTOCKS
Constant growthdividend valuation model
Dividends grow at rate g, as follows:
End of year dividend:
1 D1
2 D1 (1+g)
3 D1(1+g)2
……..…………………
If a firm’s future dividend payments per share are expected to grow at a constant rate,
g, then the dividend at any future time period t can be forecasted as follows:
Dt=D1(1+g)t
The value of a common stock with dividends growing at a constant rate is:
P0 = D1/(1+k) + D1(1+g)/(1+k)2 + D1(1+g)2 /(1+k)3 + …= D1/(K-g)
The value of a firm’s common stock to the investors equal: P0=D1/(k-g)
16.
QUESTIONSANDTOPICSDISCUSSION
Why doesthe value of a share of stock depend on dividends?
Why is it not necessarily bad for the operating cash flow to be negative for a particular
period?
Could a company’s change in net working capital be negative in a given year? Explain
how this might come about.
Suppose a company has a preferred stock issue and a common stock issue. Both have
just paid a 2 RON dividend. Which do you think will have a higher price, a share of the
preferred or a share of the common?
What is the price of a 10-years, zero coupon bond paying 1000 RON at maturity if the
YTM (yield at maturity) is 10 percent
Cristal Star Corporation just paid a dividend of 3 RON per share on its stock. The
dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 6 percent per year indefinitely. If
investors require a 15 percent rate of return, what is the current price ? What will the
price be in three years?