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Senior Analyst
Tomás Valladares
Analysts
Dylan Melton
Hayden Dunning
Thanh Cong
Table of Contents
I. Investment Thesis
II. Company Overview
III. Industry Overview
IV. Valuation
V. Appendix
Investment Thesis: MKS Instruments (NASDAQ/MKSI)
MKS Instruments, Inc. provides instruments, systems, subsystems, and process
control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power, and control critical
parameters of manufacturing processes worldwide.
Recommendation: Buy Current Price: $156.87 Target Price: $188.77
Investment Thesis
● MKS Instruments is focused on
growth in their industry by
performing successful acquisitions
to reach new markets
● Promising end market opportunities
in industrial semiconductors
● Have been experiencing stable
demand that is expected to increase
Merits
● Niche market leader
● Diversified product line
● Promising acquisition of Atotech
Risks
● Future results are subject to fluctuations
● Global business regulations
● Top 10 customers make up 44% of revenue
Company Overview
● Founded in 1961
● Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 1999
● Market cap of $8.5B
Headquarters in Andover, MA
● 5,800 employees
● 9 domestic locations
● 5 international locations
Business Model
● MKSI is a global provider of instruments, systems, subsystems and process
control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power and control
critical parameters of advanced manufacturing processes to improve process
performance and productivity. Products are used for tech, health sciences,
industrials, and research and defense.
Top 5 Customers
Customers % revenue
Lam Research Corp 12.40%
Applied Metals 10.90%
Tokyo Electron Ltd 5.89%
ASML Holding NV 5.69%
Samsung 2.91%
Top 5 Suppliers
Suppliers Rev. Involvement
Gooch & Housego PLC 2.41%
nLight Inc 0.72%
Lumentum Holdings Inc 0.11%
Brooks Automation Inc 0.09%
Berkshire Hathaway <0.01%
Revenue Breakdown
Segment Revenue (millions) Revenue %
Vacuum and Analysis 1405.9 60.34%
Light and Motion 689.6 29.60%
Equipment and Solutions 234.5 10.06%
Industry Outlook
● Demand for Semiconductor Manufacturing is
expected to expand over the five years
● Industry exports are expected to increase at an
annualized rate of 4.4% to $22.3 billion over the
next five years.
Average Chip Revenue ($B)
Competitor Comparison
Gross
margin
Operating margin
(EBIT)
Net profit
margin
Return on assets
(ROA)
MKSI 47.37% 20.09% 15.03% 9.57%
Brooks 45.79% 8.99% 7.23% 4.22%
Ultra Clean 19.39% 9.68% 5.55% 7.31%
Advantest 56.37% 21.83% 22.31% 17.93%
Average 42.23% 15.15% 12.53% 9.76%
Profitability
Inventory
Turnover
Asset
Turnover
A/R
Turnover
MKSI 2.86 0.69 6.63
Brooks 4.41 0.67 5.26
Ultra Clean 5.35 1.12 9.54
Advantest 2.28 0.87 7.01
Average 3.725 0.8375 7.11
Efficiency
Revenue 5
yr CAGR
Gross Profit
5 yr CAGR
Operating
Income
(EBIT) 5yr
CAGR Diluted EPS Dvd P/O
MKSI 12.34% 13.02% 57.56% 8.57 8.32%
Brooks 12.22% 17.34% 42.68% 1.59 18.97%
Ultra Clean 21.68% 26.77% 53.70% 2.13 0%
Advantest 18.48% 16.81% 35.41% 3.73 0%
Average 12.94% 14.79% 47.34% 4.01 5.46%
Growth
P/E EV/EBITDA EV/Revenue
MKSI 15.57 10.97 10.66
Brooks 54.58 32.56 22.88
Ultra Clean 18.48 10.26 4.12
Advantest 21.87 33.47 1.83
Average 27.625 21.815 21.815
Price Multiples
Current
Ratio Debt/Equity
Total
Debt/Total
Assets
MKSI 5.05 39.19% 26.45%
Brooks 2.31 7.86% 5.82%
Ultra Clean 2.81 84.32% 28.28%
Advantest 3.16 4.03% 2.80%
Average 2.666 27.08% 15.84%
Financial Health
SWOT Analysis
● Strengths
○ High and increasing barriers to entry
○ Well diversified
○ Mature, low debt, stable EBIT
● Opportunities
○ High performance drivers
○ Revenue forecasted to increase at an
annualized rate of $2.4 billion over the
next five years
● Threats
○ Industry and customer concentration
○ Integration of acquired businesses
○ High revenue concentration
● Weaknesses
○ Low profit vs sector average (rank 60th)
○ Subject to unforeseen risks in the global
supply chain and consumer demand
○ Revenue is limited by supply challenges
Comp Sheet
Porter’s Five Forces
● Potential Entrants - Low
○ High barriers to entry decreases the risk along with high startup costs
○ Barriers to entry are set to increase
● Suppliers - Medium
○ MKSI is largest company focused on gas for semiconductors
● Buyers - Low
○ High startup costs means it is unlikely that buyers will produce on site
○ MSKI does not face many direct competitors
● Threat of Substitutes - Very low
○ Industry products have high complexity
● Competitive Rivalry - Low
○ Many players in this sector do business together and benefit each other
● Broad end market possibilities. E.g. Increase use of semiconductors in industrial applications.
This increase was seen in the Q3 earnings call.
● Atotech acquisition lets them expand customer market by reaching the growing demand
● Atotech has 65% of revenue from electronics, they will strengthen the electronics supply chain
● MKSI, along with competitors, is experiencing stable demand
● Semiconductor downstream market growth
Revenue Drivers
Comp Sheet
Growth Expectations
● Advanced electronics manufacturing segment double digit CAGR growth 2020-2025
● 4.2% annualized revenue growth in the Semiconductor Machinery Manufacturing Industry
expectations 2021-2026
● Downstream market growth is expected to increase MKSI industry revenue
● Analyst projections and target price are consistent with our findings from relative valuation
Valuation
Comp Sheet
Firms Revenue (M) EBITDA (M)
EV /
Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E P/B
5yr Average FCF
Yield
MKSI $2,693.80 $765.60 2.99 10.97 16.953 3.07 6.07%
Brooks $1,097.60 $243.30 6.96 32.56 66.151 5.88 2.51%
Ultra Clean $1,665.70 $214.80 1.36 10.26 21.174 2.6 4.61%
Advantest $3,223.30 $900.70 4.65 33.47 21.724 6.3 7.56%
Industry Avg
(Damodaran) $1,404.45 $383.24 5.14 18.69 24.83 3.24 3.80%
Sources: Bloomberg Terminal and Damoradan Online (10/21/2021)
Comp Sheet
Market Approach
Firm
MSKI EPS * Comp
P/E
MKSI BVPS *
Comp P/B
MKSI Competitors: MKSI Equity Value Per Share
Brooks Automation $566.91 $277.54
Ultra Clean Holdings. $181.46 $122.72
Advantest $186.17 $297.36
Industry Median (Bloomberg) $212.79 $152.93
Market Approach
Free Cash Flow Approach
Firm
((MKSI FCF / comp 5yr fcf yd) -
net debt)/diluted shares
outstanding
MKSI Competitors
MKSI Equity Value Per
Share
Brooks Automation $ 340.63
Ultra Clean Holdings. $ 185.76
Advantest $ 113.36
Industry Average (Bloomberg) $ 225.42
Free Cash Flow Yield Approach
Industry Range
Industry Range
Comp Sheet
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Historical Metrics
Revenue
Historical Metrics
Profit Margins
Historical Metrics
Share Price
Investment Thesis: MKS Instruments (NASDAQ/MKSI)
MKS Instruments, Inc. provides instruments, systems, subsystems, and process
control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power, and control critical
parameters of manufacturing processes worldwide.
Recommendation: Buy Current Price: $156.87 Target Price: $188.77
Investment Thesis
● MKS Instruments is focused on
growth in their industry by
performing successful acquisitions
to reach new markets
● Promising end market opportunities
in industrial semiconductors
● Have been experiencing stable
demand that is expected to increase
Merits
● Niche market leader
● Diversified product line
● Promising acquisition of Atotech
Risks
● Future results are subject to fluctuations
● Global business regulations
● Top 10 customers make up 44% of revenue
Appendix
Income Statement
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Assets
Balance Sheet
Liabilities & Shareholders Equity
Statement of Cash Flows
Statement of Cash Flows
Statement of Cash Flows
DCF
Select Operating Data
DCF
Balance Sheet & Other Data
DCF
Free Cash Flow Buildup
DCF
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
DCF
Equity Valuation Range
Questions?

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Final MKSI Presentation

  • 1. Senior Analyst Tomás Valladares Analysts Dylan Melton Hayden Dunning Thanh Cong
  • 2. Table of Contents I. Investment Thesis II. Company Overview III. Industry Overview IV. Valuation V. Appendix
  • 3. Investment Thesis: MKS Instruments (NASDAQ/MKSI) MKS Instruments, Inc. provides instruments, systems, subsystems, and process control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power, and control critical parameters of manufacturing processes worldwide. Recommendation: Buy Current Price: $156.87 Target Price: $188.77 Investment Thesis ● MKS Instruments is focused on growth in their industry by performing successful acquisitions to reach new markets ● Promising end market opportunities in industrial semiconductors ● Have been experiencing stable demand that is expected to increase Merits ● Niche market leader ● Diversified product line ● Promising acquisition of Atotech Risks ● Future results are subject to fluctuations ● Global business regulations ● Top 10 customers make up 44% of revenue
  • 4. Company Overview ● Founded in 1961 ● Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 1999 ● Market cap of $8.5B Headquarters in Andover, MA ● 5,800 employees ● 9 domestic locations ● 5 international locations
  • 5. Business Model ● MKSI is a global provider of instruments, systems, subsystems and process control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power and control critical parameters of advanced manufacturing processes to improve process performance and productivity. Products are used for tech, health sciences, industrials, and research and defense. Top 5 Customers Customers % revenue Lam Research Corp 12.40% Applied Metals 10.90% Tokyo Electron Ltd 5.89% ASML Holding NV 5.69% Samsung 2.91% Top 5 Suppliers Suppliers Rev. Involvement Gooch & Housego PLC 2.41% nLight Inc 0.72% Lumentum Holdings Inc 0.11% Brooks Automation Inc 0.09% Berkshire Hathaway <0.01%
  • 6. Revenue Breakdown Segment Revenue (millions) Revenue % Vacuum and Analysis 1405.9 60.34% Light and Motion 689.6 29.60% Equipment and Solutions 234.5 10.06%
  • 7. Industry Outlook ● Demand for Semiconductor Manufacturing is expected to expand over the five years ● Industry exports are expected to increase at an annualized rate of 4.4% to $22.3 billion over the next five years. Average Chip Revenue ($B)
  • 9. Gross margin Operating margin (EBIT) Net profit margin Return on assets (ROA) MKSI 47.37% 20.09% 15.03% 9.57% Brooks 45.79% 8.99% 7.23% 4.22% Ultra Clean 19.39% 9.68% 5.55% 7.31% Advantest 56.37% 21.83% 22.31% 17.93% Average 42.23% 15.15% 12.53% 9.76% Profitability
  • 10. Inventory Turnover Asset Turnover A/R Turnover MKSI 2.86 0.69 6.63 Brooks 4.41 0.67 5.26 Ultra Clean 5.35 1.12 9.54 Advantest 2.28 0.87 7.01 Average 3.725 0.8375 7.11 Efficiency
  • 11. Revenue 5 yr CAGR Gross Profit 5 yr CAGR Operating Income (EBIT) 5yr CAGR Diluted EPS Dvd P/O MKSI 12.34% 13.02% 57.56% 8.57 8.32% Brooks 12.22% 17.34% 42.68% 1.59 18.97% Ultra Clean 21.68% 26.77% 53.70% 2.13 0% Advantest 18.48% 16.81% 35.41% 3.73 0% Average 12.94% 14.79% 47.34% 4.01 5.46% Growth
  • 12. P/E EV/EBITDA EV/Revenue MKSI 15.57 10.97 10.66 Brooks 54.58 32.56 22.88 Ultra Clean 18.48 10.26 4.12 Advantest 21.87 33.47 1.83 Average 27.625 21.815 21.815 Price Multiples
  • 13. Current Ratio Debt/Equity Total Debt/Total Assets MKSI 5.05 39.19% 26.45% Brooks 2.31 7.86% 5.82% Ultra Clean 2.81 84.32% 28.28% Advantest 3.16 4.03% 2.80% Average 2.666 27.08% 15.84% Financial Health
  • 14. SWOT Analysis ● Strengths ○ High and increasing barriers to entry ○ Well diversified ○ Mature, low debt, stable EBIT ● Opportunities ○ High performance drivers ○ Revenue forecasted to increase at an annualized rate of $2.4 billion over the next five years ● Threats ○ Industry and customer concentration ○ Integration of acquired businesses ○ High revenue concentration ● Weaknesses ○ Low profit vs sector average (rank 60th) ○ Subject to unforeseen risks in the global supply chain and consumer demand ○ Revenue is limited by supply challenges
  • 15. Comp Sheet Porter’s Five Forces ● Potential Entrants - Low ○ High barriers to entry decreases the risk along with high startup costs ○ Barriers to entry are set to increase ● Suppliers - Medium ○ MKSI is largest company focused on gas for semiconductors ● Buyers - Low ○ High startup costs means it is unlikely that buyers will produce on site ○ MSKI does not face many direct competitors ● Threat of Substitutes - Very low ○ Industry products have high complexity ● Competitive Rivalry - Low ○ Many players in this sector do business together and benefit each other
  • 16. ● Broad end market possibilities. E.g. Increase use of semiconductors in industrial applications. This increase was seen in the Q3 earnings call. ● Atotech acquisition lets them expand customer market by reaching the growing demand ● Atotech has 65% of revenue from electronics, they will strengthen the electronics supply chain ● MKSI, along with competitors, is experiencing stable demand ● Semiconductor downstream market growth Revenue Drivers
  • 17. Comp Sheet Growth Expectations ● Advanced electronics manufacturing segment double digit CAGR growth 2020-2025 ● 4.2% annualized revenue growth in the Semiconductor Machinery Manufacturing Industry expectations 2021-2026 ● Downstream market growth is expected to increase MKSI industry revenue ● Analyst projections and target price are consistent with our findings from relative valuation
  • 19. Comp Sheet Firms Revenue (M) EBITDA (M) EV / Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E P/B 5yr Average FCF Yield MKSI $2,693.80 $765.60 2.99 10.97 16.953 3.07 6.07% Brooks $1,097.60 $243.30 6.96 32.56 66.151 5.88 2.51% Ultra Clean $1,665.70 $214.80 1.36 10.26 21.174 2.6 4.61% Advantest $3,223.30 $900.70 4.65 33.47 21.724 6.3 7.56% Industry Avg (Damodaran) $1,404.45 $383.24 5.14 18.69 24.83 3.24 3.80% Sources: Bloomberg Terminal and Damoradan Online (10/21/2021) Comp Sheet
  • 20. Market Approach Firm MSKI EPS * Comp P/E MKSI BVPS * Comp P/B MKSI Competitors: MKSI Equity Value Per Share Brooks Automation $566.91 $277.54 Ultra Clean Holdings. $181.46 $122.72 Advantest $186.17 $297.36 Industry Median (Bloomberg) $212.79 $152.93 Market Approach
  • 21. Free Cash Flow Approach Firm ((MKSI FCF / comp 5yr fcf yd) - net debt)/diluted shares outstanding MKSI Competitors MKSI Equity Value Per Share Brooks Automation $ 340.63 Ultra Clean Holdings. $ 185.76 Advantest $ 113.36 Industry Average (Bloomberg) $ 225.42 Free Cash Flow Yield Approach
  • 23. Comp Sheet Weighted Average Cost of Capital
  • 27. Investment Thesis: MKS Instruments (NASDAQ/MKSI) MKS Instruments, Inc. provides instruments, systems, subsystems, and process control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power, and control critical parameters of manufacturing processes worldwide. Recommendation: Buy Current Price: $156.87 Target Price: $188.77 Investment Thesis ● MKS Instruments is focused on growth in their industry by performing successful acquisitions to reach new markets ● Promising end market opportunities in industrial semiconductors ● Have been experiencing stable demand that is expected to increase Merits ● Niche market leader ● Diversified product line ● Promising acquisition of Atotech Risks ● Future results are subject to fluctuations ● Global business regulations ● Top 10 customers make up 44% of revenue
  • 32. Balance Sheet Liabilities & Shareholders Equity
  • 37. DCF Balance Sheet & Other Data