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Eurostat
Filling the
'migration gaps'
Can research
outcomes help
us improve
migration
statistics?
Giampaolo Lanzieri
Eurostat
Eurostat
The mirror reflects biased images…
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 2
using immigration data… …and emigration data
Major migration flows in 2012 between
selected EU Member States.
Source: Eurostat
Eurostat
2003-2013: a 'golden decade' in
migration (statistics) research
• Large research projects on migration (mostly with
EU support):
• COMPSTAT, THESIM, MIMOSA, PROMINSTAT,
CLANDESTINO, IMEM,…
• Several methods for consistent migration estimates
proposed in international scientific literature
• Intensification of activities at international level:
• UNECE guidelines on data exchange, Eurostat WG
technical discussions,…
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 3
Eurostat
Formal endorsement of estimation
methods in migration statistics
• Excerpt from Art.9 EU law 862/2007 on migration
statistics:
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 4
Eurostat
Formal endorsement of estimation
methods in demographic statistics
• Excerpt from EU law 1260/2013 on demographic
statistics:
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 5
Eurostat
From theory to practice…
• Potential limiting factors:
• limited awareness of available solutions
• required technical skills (and tools)
• (perception of) not yet mature method(s)
• …
• Risk of mismatching between migration estimates
across countries
• who is best placed to run the exercise?
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 6
Eurostat
What to do then with those estimates?
• Should be used only for validation?
• Should be uses only for analytical purposes?
(distinction between statistics and estimates?)
• Should national official migration statistics be
adjusted accordingly?
• Should national official population statistics be
adjusted accordingly?
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 7
Eurostat
Estimation: to use it or not to use it?
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 8
NO YES
Eurostat
The need for progress
• Not negligible contribution to population dynamic
• High policy relevance
• Inherent difficulty to measure migration
• 4-decade efforts on data sources not yet/always
conclusive (but don't stop!)
Filling the gap by bridging the gap
between statistics and research!
10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 9

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Filling the 'migration gaps' - Can research outcomes help us improve migration statistics?

  • 1. Eurostat Filling the 'migration gaps' Can research outcomes help us improve migration statistics? Giampaolo Lanzieri Eurostat
  • 2. Eurostat The mirror reflects biased images… 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 2 using immigration data… …and emigration data Major migration flows in 2012 between selected EU Member States. Source: Eurostat
  • 3. Eurostat 2003-2013: a 'golden decade' in migration (statistics) research • Large research projects on migration (mostly with EU support): • COMPSTAT, THESIM, MIMOSA, PROMINSTAT, CLANDESTINO, IMEM,… • Several methods for consistent migration estimates proposed in international scientific literature • Intensification of activities at international level: • UNECE guidelines on data exchange, Eurostat WG technical discussions,… 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 3
  • 4. Eurostat Formal endorsement of estimation methods in migration statistics • Excerpt from Art.9 EU law 862/2007 on migration statistics: 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 4
  • 5. Eurostat Formal endorsement of estimation methods in demographic statistics • Excerpt from EU law 1260/2013 on demographic statistics: 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 5
  • 6. Eurostat From theory to practice… • Potential limiting factors: • limited awareness of available solutions • required technical skills (and tools) • (perception of) not yet mature method(s) • … • Risk of mismatching between migration estimates across countries • who is best placed to run the exercise? 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 6
  • 7. Eurostat What to do then with those estimates? • Should be used only for validation? • Should be uses only for analytical purposes? (distinction between statistics and estimates?) • Should national official migration statistics be adjusted accordingly? • Should national official population statistics be adjusted accordingly? 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 7
  • 8. Eurostat Estimation: to use it or not to use it? 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 8 NO YES
  • 9. Eurostat The need for progress • Not negligible contribution to population dynamic • High policy relevance • Inherent difficulty to measure migration • 4-decade efforts on data sources not yet/always conclusive (but don't stop!) Filling the gap by bridging the gap between statistics and research! 10 April 2014 CES - Migration Statistics 9