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1
Asphalt Pavement Cracking
Models and Calculations
A Journey through the PMED Engine
2
Pavement Behavior and Performance Factors
Subgrade
•saturation
•pumping
•freeze/thaw
Pavement Structure
•surface
•base
•subbase
Traffic Loading
•time opened to traffic
•loading rate
Climate
•temperature
•moisture
3
Nature of Performance Models
Empirical Mechanistic
More computing
power needed
Completeness of
theory?
Theory based
prediction
Less computing
power needed
Completeness of
observed data?
Observation
based prediction
4
Limitations of Early AASHTO Design Guide
Representative of
the AASHTO Road
Test
No consideration
for pavement
rehabilitation
design
No consideration
of stress within
the pavement to
design for rutting
resistance
Effects of
different climate
conditions on
performance
Using 2-year
period of AASHTO
Road Test to
design
pavements for
20 years
Only one type of
subgrade used on
the AASHTO Road
Test
Vehicle
suspension, axle
configuration,
and tire types no
longer
representative
Limited
consideration for
treated base on
asphalt
pavements
5
Evolution to AASHTO Pavement ME Design
(PMED)
AASHTO 1986 Guide
includes a section on the
state of knowledge on ME
design concepts
AASHTO Joint Technical
Committee on Pavements
recommends development
of ME design method (1996)
NCHRP 1-37A Development of the
2002 Guide for the Design of New and
Rehabilitated Pavement Structures
(1998-2004)
MEPDG v1.1
(2004)
AASHTOWare
DARWin-ME
(2011)
AASHTOWare
PMED
v2.2 – v3.0
(2015-2022)
6
PMED Version Release Notes – Asphalt
Pavements
Date Build Note
Jul 2016 2.3 • Fixed reflection cracking without base layer
Jul 2018 2.5
Aug 2018 2.5.2
• Allowable range for existing layer fatigue cracking changed from 1-80 percent to 0-80 percent
• Asphalt fatigue damage f1 updated
• Bottom-up fatigue cracking C2 calibration coefficient updated
Oct 2018 2.5.3
Apr 2019 2.5.4
Jul 2019 2.5.5 • Master transverse cracking model gives very different results in v2.5.5 vs v2.5.4
Jul 2020 2.6 • Top-down cracking added
Aug 2021 2.6.1 • Fixed top-down cracking error in the AC over JPCP
7
Inputs for a Asphalt Pavement Response
Models
Pavement
Geometry
•Layer
thicknesses
•Discontinuities
Environment
•Temperature
vs. depth
•Moisture vs.
depth
Material
Properties
•Elastic
properties
•Nonlinear
properties
Traffic
•Load spectrum
•Tire contract
pressure
distributions
and areas
8
Asphalt Pavement Response – Typical Critical
Locations
Tensile horizontal strain at
the bottom of the asphalt
layer (fatigue cracking)
Compressive vertical
stresses/strains within the
asphalt layer (rutting)
Compressive vertical
stresses/strains within the
base/subbase layers
(rutting of unbound layers)
Compressive vertical
stresses/strains at the top
of the subgrade (subgrade
rutting)
– AASHTO 2002 Design Guide
9
Example Methods for Determining
Stresses, Strains, and Deformations
 Analytical (e.g., Burmister solution)
 Multilayer elastic theory
» Rate-independent
» Viscoelastic
 Finite difference methods
 Finite element methods
» General purpose
» Pavement-specific
 Boundary element methods
 Hybrid methods
Stress
Strain
– AASHTO 2002 Design Guide
Deforming
force per
unit area
Relative change
in length due to
deforming force
Yield
Strength
Ultimate
Strength
Fracture
10
Required Capabilities of Asphalt Layer
Response Model
 Linear material model for asphalt, other bound, and unbound
layers
 Stress-dependent material model for unbound materials
 Loads from single or multiple wheel configurations
 Interface conditions (e.g., fully bonded, full slip, intermediate
condition) between layers
– AASHTO 2002 Design Guide
11
PMED Asphalt Pavement Cracking Models
 Fatigue cracking
» Bottom-up
» Top-down
 Transverse cracking
 Reflection cracking
» Fatigue
» Transverse
12
Quick Polls
Asphalt Cracking Distress Types
13
NCHRP 1-37A Fatigue Models Evaluated
Shell Oil Model
•Two separate fatigue relationships:
•Constant stress (asphalt layer > 8”)
•Constant strain (asphalt layer < 2”)
Asphalt Institute (MS-1) Model
•Found to have better trends and less
scatter in the data
•Essentially a constant stress model
•Corrections for the thinner sections
Constant strain – strain level is
maintained, and load (stress) varies; thin
pavements in the field generally perform
closer to a constant strain mode
Constant stress – load is maintained,
and strain varies; thick pavements in
the field generally perform closer to a
constant stress mode
14
NCHRP 1-37A Final Fatigue Cracking Model
 Bottom-up cracking final calibration model:
 Top-down cracking final calibration model:
D = damage (%)
Where,
C1 = 1.0
C2 = 1.0
C2 = -2.40874 – 39.748*(1+hac)-2.856
C1 = -2* C2
15
NCHRP 1-37A Final Fatigue Cracking Model
(continued…)
 Damage
» “Distress (or damage) is estimated and accumulated for each analysis
interval (NCHRP 1-37A Final Report)”
» Miner’s Law:
» Considers:
• Changes in dynamic modulus due to hardening of the asphalt binder
• Monthly variation temperature and moisture changes in pavement layers
• Loading frequency and axle configuration (singles, doubles, tridem, and quads)
𝑫 =
𝒊=𝟏
𝑻
𝒏𝒊
𝑵𝒊
Where,
D = damage
T = total number of periods
ni = actual traffic for period i
Ni = traffic allowed for period i
16
PMED Load-Related Cracking Prediction Model
 Alligator and longitudinal cracking
𝐍𝐟 = 𝐤𝐟𝟏 𝐂 𝐂𝐇 𝛃𝐟𝟏 𝛆𝐭
𝐤𝐟𝟐𝛃𝐟𝟐 𝐄𝐀𝐂 𝐤𝐟𝟑𝛃𝐟𝟑
𝑀 = 4.84
𝑉𝑏𝑒
𝑉
𝑎 + 𝑉𝑏𝑒
− 0.69
𝑉𝑏𝑒 = effective asphalt content by volume (%)
𝑉
𝑎 = air voids (%)
Where:
Nf = allowable number of axle load applications
C = 10M
CH = thickness correction term, dependent on type of cracking
εt = tensile strain at critical locations and calculated by the structural
response model (inch/inch)
EAC = AC dynamic modulus (psi)
kf1, kf2, kf3 = global laboratory-derived model coefficients for dense-graded neat asphalt mixtures
(kf1= 3.75, kf2 = 2.87, kf3 = 1.46)
βf1, βf2, βf3 = local or mixture specific field shift or adjustment constants.
if hAC less than 5 in. : βf1 = 0.02054
if hAC is 5 to 12 in. : βf1 = 5.014 hAC
−3.416
if hAC more than 12 in. : βf1 = 0.001032
, βf2 = 1.38, βf3 = 0.88
17
Thickness Correction Term (CH)
 For bottom-up or alligator cracking:
 For top-down or longitudinal cracking
» CH term was removed in the 2021 MOP Supplement and replaced
with…
𝐶𝐻 =
1
0.000398 +
0.003602
1 + 𝑒 11.02−3.49𝐻𝐴𝐶
18
MOP 2021 Supplement
Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (NCHRP
1-52)
 Fracture mechanics model based on Paris’ Law
» f(loading and temperature)
𝒅𝒄
𝒅𝑵
= 𝑨′ ×
𝟏 − 𝒗𝟐
𝑬𝑹
× 𝑲𝑰
𝟐
+ 𝑲𝑰𝑰
𝟐
+
𝟏 + 𝒗
𝑬𝑹
× 𝑲𝑰𝑰𝑰
𝟐
𝒏′
Where,
dc = change or growth in crack length
dN = increase in loading cycles during a time increment
A’, n’ = fracture properties of asphalt mixture
v = Poisson’s ratio
ER = representative elastic modulus
KI = stress intensity factor in Mode I (crack opening)
KII = stress intensity factor in Mode II (in-plane shear)
KIII = stress intensity factor in Mode III (out-of-plane shear)
J-integral
Mode I
Mode II
Mode III
19
MOP 2021 Supplement
Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)
 Fracture parameter n’
 A’ parameter
𝒏′
= −𝟗. 𝟎𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟖 + 𝟏. 𝟎𝟔𝟐𝟒 ×  +
𝟐. 𝟖𝟕𝟏𝟑
𝒎
− 𝟒𝟎. 𝟖𝟕𝟖𝟖 ×
𝟏
𝑬𝟏
𝒎
+ 𝟏𝟖. 𝟖𝟔𝟖 ×
𝑷𝒃
𝑽𝒂 + 𝑷𝒃
Where,
 = shape parameter
m, E1 = relaxation modulus parameter, aged asphalt
Pb = percent asphalt binder by weight of mix (%)
Va = air voids (%)
𝑨′ = 𝟏𝟎−𝟏× 𝟏.𝟐𝟕𝟓𝟐𝒏+𝟏.𝟕𝟏𝟑
Where,
n = asphalt mixture fracture property
20
MOP 2021 Supplement
Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)
 Time to crack initiation
Where,
t0 = time to crack initiation (days)
KL1-5 = calibration coefficients
a0/2A0 = energy parameter, f (total asphalt thickness and stiffness)
HT = annual number of days above 89.6 °F
LT = annual number of days below 32 °F
AADTT = average annual daily truck traffic (initial year)
m, E1 = relaxation modulus parameter, aged asphalt
ha = asphalt layer thickness
𝒕𝟎 =
𝑲𝑳𝟏
𝟏 + 𝒆
𝑲𝑳𝟐×𝟏𝟎𝟎×
𝒂𝟎
𝟐𝑨𝟎
+𝑲𝑳𝟑×𝑯𝑻+𝑲𝑳𝟒×𝑳𝑻+𝑲𝑳𝟓×𝒍𝒐𝒈𝟏𝟎𝑨𝑨𝑫𝑻𝑻
𝑎0
2𝐴0
= 0.1796 + 1.5 × 10−5
× 𝐸1 − 0.69𝑚 − 7.169 × 10−4
× ℎ𝑎
21
MOP 2021 Supplement
Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)
 Top-down cracking total area
Where,
L(t) = top-down cracking total lane area (%)
Lmax = maximum area of top-down cracking (%)
C1-3 = calibration coefficients
ρ = scale parameter = 1 + 2 x month
t = analysis month (days)
t0 = time to crack initiation (days)
 = shape parameter = 0.7319 x (log10month)-1.2801
𝐿 𝑡 = 𝐿𝑚𝑎𝑥 × 𝑒
−
𝐶1𝜌
𝑡−𝐶3𝑡0
Climatic Zone 1 2
Wet freeze 631.04 2269.8
Wet no freeze 631.04 2269.8
Dry freeze 1617.6 -1705.3
Dry no freeze 1617.6 -1705.3
No.
months to
failure
22
Quick Polls
Stress and Strain
23
NCHRP 1-47 Sensitivity of MEPDG
(v1.1) Inputs
 Alligator cracking
»Hypersensitive – E* Alpha, E*
Delta, hac
»Very sensitive – air voids,
surface shortwave absorptivity,
effective binder volume,
Poisson’s ratio
»Sensitive – unit weight, heat
capacity, low and high
temperature, thermal
conductivity
Longitudinal cracking
»Hypersensitive – E* Alpha, E*
Delta, hac
»Very sensitive – air voids,
surface shortwave absorptivity,
effective binder volume,
Poisson’s ratio
»Sensitive – unit weight, heat
capacity, high temperature,
thermal conductivity
24
PMED Calibration Factors
 PMED distress models calibrated using a large set of sections
from multiple experiments—primarily the LTPP database
 User has the option to adjust calibration factors based on local or
regional data sets
 Guidance for agency-specific adjustment factor in Guide for the
Local Calibration of the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design
Guide
25
Transfer Function Calibration – Factors to Adjust
Distress Eliminate Bias
Reduce Standard
Error
Total Rutting: Unbound
materials and HMA layers
kr1, s1, or r1 kr2, kr3 and r2, r3
Alligator cracking C2 or kf1 kf2, kf3, and C1
Longitudinal cracking C2 or kf1 kf2, kf3, and C1
Semi-rigid pavements C2 or c1 C1, C2, and C4
Transverse cracking t3 t3
IRI C4 C1, C2, and C3
– AASHTO 2010 Local Calibration Guide
26
QUESTIONS?

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FHWA PMEUG Webinar 4 Asphalt Cracking Models.pptx

  • 1. 1 Asphalt Pavement Cracking Models and Calculations A Journey through the PMED Engine
  • 2. 2 Pavement Behavior and Performance Factors Subgrade •saturation •pumping •freeze/thaw Pavement Structure •surface •base •subbase Traffic Loading •time opened to traffic •loading rate Climate •temperature •moisture
  • 3. 3 Nature of Performance Models Empirical Mechanistic More computing power needed Completeness of theory? Theory based prediction Less computing power needed Completeness of observed data? Observation based prediction
  • 4. 4 Limitations of Early AASHTO Design Guide Representative of the AASHTO Road Test No consideration for pavement rehabilitation design No consideration of stress within the pavement to design for rutting resistance Effects of different climate conditions on performance Using 2-year period of AASHTO Road Test to design pavements for 20 years Only one type of subgrade used on the AASHTO Road Test Vehicle suspension, axle configuration, and tire types no longer representative Limited consideration for treated base on asphalt pavements
  • 5. 5 Evolution to AASHTO Pavement ME Design (PMED) AASHTO 1986 Guide includes a section on the state of knowledge on ME design concepts AASHTO Joint Technical Committee on Pavements recommends development of ME design method (1996) NCHRP 1-37A Development of the 2002 Guide for the Design of New and Rehabilitated Pavement Structures (1998-2004) MEPDG v1.1 (2004) AASHTOWare DARWin-ME (2011) AASHTOWare PMED v2.2 – v3.0 (2015-2022)
  • 6. 6 PMED Version Release Notes – Asphalt Pavements Date Build Note Jul 2016 2.3 • Fixed reflection cracking without base layer Jul 2018 2.5 Aug 2018 2.5.2 • Allowable range for existing layer fatigue cracking changed from 1-80 percent to 0-80 percent • Asphalt fatigue damage f1 updated • Bottom-up fatigue cracking C2 calibration coefficient updated Oct 2018 2.5.3 Apr 2019 2.5.4 Jul 2019 2.5.5 • Master transverse cracking model gives very different results in v2.5.5 vs v2.5.4 Jul 2020 2.6 • Top-down cracking added Aug 2021 2.6.1 • Fixed top-down cracking error in the AC over JPCP
  • 7. 7 Inputs for a Asphalt Pavement Response Models Pavement Geometry •Layer thicknesses •Discontinuities Environment •Temperature vs. depth •Moisture vs. depth Material Properties •Elastic properties •Nonlinear properties Traffic •Load spectrum •Tire contract pressure distributions and areas
  • 8. 8 Asphalt Pavement Response – Typical Critical Locations Tensile horizontal strain at the bottom of the asphalt layer (fatigue cracking) Compressive vertical stresses/strains within the asphalt layer (rutting) Compressive vertical stresses/strains within the base/subbase layers (rutting of unbound layers) Compressive vertical stresses/strains at the top of the subgrade (subgrade rutting) – AASHTO 2002 Design Guide
  • 9. 9 Example Methods for Determining Stresses, Strains, and Deformations  Analytical (e.g., Burmister solution)  Multilayer elastic theory » Rate-independent » Viscoelastic  Finite difference methods  Finite element methods » General purpose » Pavement-specific  Boundary element methods  Hybrid methods Stress Strain – AASHTO 2002 Design Guide Deforming force per unit area Relative change in length due to deforming force Yield Strength Ultimate Strength Fracture
  • 10. 10 Required Capabilities of Asphalt Layer Response Model  Linear material model for asphalt, other bound, and unbound layers  Stress-dependent material model for unbound materials  Loads from single or multiple wheel configurations  Interface conditions (e.g., fully bonded, full slip, intermediate condition) between layers – AASHTO 2002 Design Guide
  • 11. 11 PMED Asphalt Pavement Cracking Models  Fatigue cracking » Bottom-up » Top-down  Transverse cracking  Reflection cracking » Fatigue » Transverse
  • 13. 13 NCHRP 1-37A Fatigue Models Evaluated Shell Oil Model •Two separate fatigue relationships: •Constant stress (asphalt layer > 8”) •Constant strain (asphalt layer < 2”) Asphalt Institute (MS-1) Model •Found to have better trends and less scatter in the data •Essentially a constant stress model •Corrections for the thinner sections Constant strain – strain level is maintained, and load (stress) varies; thin pavements in the field generally perform closer to a constant strain mode Constant stress – load is maintained, and strain varies; thick pavements in the field generally perform closer to a constant stress mode
  • 14. 14 NCHRP 1-37A Final Fatigue Cracking Model  Bottom-up cracking final calibration model:  Top-down cracking final calibration model: D = damage (%) Where, C1 = 1.0 C2 = 1.0 C2 = -2.40874 – 39.748*(1+hac)-2.856 C1 = -2* C2
  • 15. 15 NCHRP 1-37A Final Fatigue Cracking Model (continued…)  Damage » “Distress (or damage) is estimated and accumulated for each analysis interval (NCHRP 1-37A Final Report)” » Miner’s Law: » Considers: • Changes in dynamic modulus due to hardening of the asphalt binder • Monthly variation temperature and moisture changes in pavement layers • Loading frequency and axle configuration (singles, doubles, tridem, and quads) 𝑫 = 𝒊=𝟏 𝑻 𝒏𝒊 𝑵𝒊 Where, D = damage T = total number of periods ni = actual traffic for period i Ni = traffic allowed for period i
  • 16. 16 PMED Load-Related Cracking Prediction Model  Alligator and longitudinal cracking 𝐍𝐟 = 𝐤𝐟𝟏 𝐂 𝐂𝐇 𝛃𝐟𝟏 𝛆𝐭 𝐤𝐟𝟐𝛃𝐟𝟐 𝐄𝐀𝐂 𝐤𝐟𝟑𝛃𝐟𝟑 𝑀 = 4.84 𝑉𝑏𝑒 𝑉 𝑎 + 𝑉𝑏𝑒 − 0.69 𝑉𝑏𝑒 = effective asphalt content by volume (%) 𝑉 𝑎 = air voids (%) Where: Nf = allowable number of axle load applications C = 10M CH = thickness correction term, dependent on type of cracking εt = tensile strain at critical locations and calculated by the structural response model (inch/inch) EAC = AC dynamic modulus (psi) kf1, kf2, kf3 = global laboratory-derived model coefficients for dense-graded neat asphalt mixtures (kf1= 3.75, kf2 = 2.87, kf3 = 1.46) βf1, βf2, βf3 = local or mixture specific field shift or adjustment constants. if hAC less than 5 in. : βf1 = 0.02054 if hAC is 5 to 12 in. : βf1 = 5.014 hAC −3.416 if hAC more than 12 in. : βf1 = 0.001032 , βf2 = 1.38, βf3 = 0.88
  • 17. 17 Thickness Correction Term (CH)  For bottom-up or alligator cracking:  For top-down or longitudinal cracking » CH term was removed in the 2021 MOP Supplement and replaced with… 𝐶𝐻 = 1 0.000398 + 0.003602 1 + 𝑒 11.02−3.49𝐻𝐴𝐶
  • 18. 18 MOP 2021 Supplement Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (NCHRP 1-52)  Fracture mechanics model based on Paris’ Law » f(loading and temperature) 𝒅𝒄 𝒅𝑵 = 𝑨′ × 𝟏 − 𝒗𝟐 𝑬𝑹 × 𝑲𝑰 𝟐 + 𝑲𝑰𝑰 𝟐 + 𝟏 + 𝒗 𝑬𝑹 × 𝑲𝑰𝑰𝑰 𝟐 𝒏′ Where, dc = change or growth in crack length dN = increase in loading cycles during a time increment A’, n’ = fracture properties of asphalt mixture v = Poisson’s ratio ER = representative elastic modulus KI = stress intensity factor in Mode I (crack opening) KII = stress intensity factor in Mode II (in-plane shear) KIII = stress intensity factor in Mode III (out-of-plane shear) J-integral Mode I Mode II Mode III
  • 19. 19 MOP 2021 Supplement Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)  Fracture parameter n’  A’ parameter 𝒏′ = −𝟗. 𝟎𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟖 + 𝟏. 𝟎𝟔𝟐𝟒 ×  + 𝟐. 𝟖𝟕𝟏𝟑 𝒎 − 𝟒𝟎. 𝟖𝟕𝟖𝟖 × 𝟏 𝑬𝟏 𝒎 + 𝟏𝟖. 𝟖𝟔𝟖 × 𝑷𝒃 𝑽𝒂 + 𝑷𝒃 Where,  = shape parameter m, E1 = relaxation modulus parameter, aged asphalt Pb = percent asphalt binder by weight of mix (%) Va = air voids (%) 𝑨′ = 𝟏𝟎−𝟏× 𝟏.𝟐𝟕𝟓𝟐𝒏+𝟏.𝟕𝟏𝟑 Where, n = asphalt mixture fracture property
  • 20. 20 MOP 2021 Supplement Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)  Time to crack initiation Where, t0 = time to crack initiation (days) KL1-5 = calibration coefficients a0/2A0 = energy parameter, f (total asphalt thickness and stiffness) HT = annual number of days above 89.6 °F LT = annual number of days below 32 °F AADTT = average annual daily truck traffic (initial year) m, E1 = relaxation modulus parameter, aged asphalt ha = asphalt layer thickness 𝒕𝟎 = 𝑲𝑳𝟏 𝟏 + 𝒆 𝑲𝑳𝟐×𝟏𝟎𝟎× 𝒂𝟎 𝟐𝑨𝟎 +𝑲𝑳𝟑×𝑯𝑻+𝑲𝑳𝟒×𝑳𝑻+𝑲𝑳𝟓×𝒍𝒐𝒈𝟏𝟎𝑨𝑨𝑫𝑻𝑻 𝑎0 2𝐴0 = 0.1796 + 1.5 × 10−5 × 𝐸1 − 0.69𝑚 − 7.169 × 10−4 × ℎ𝑎
  • 21. 21 MOP 2021 Supplement Top-down Cracking Prediction Model (continued…)  Top-down cracking total area Where, L(t) = top-down cracking total lane area (%) Lmax = maximum area of top-down cracking (%) C1-3 = calibration coefficients ρ = scale parameter = 1 + 2 x month t = analysis month (days) t0 = time to crack initiation (days)  = shape parameter = 0.7319 x (log10month)-1.2801 𝐿 𝑡 = 𝐿𝑚𝑎𝑥 × 𝑒 − 𝐶1𝜌 𝑡−𝐶3𝑡0 Climatic Zone 1 2 Wet freeze 631.04 2269.8 Wet no freeze 631.04 2269.8 Dry freeze 1617.6 -1705.3 Dry no freeze 1617.6 -1705.3 No. months to failure
  • 23. 23 NCHRP 1-47 Sensitivity of MEPDG (v1.1) Inputs  Alligator cracking »Hypersensitive – E* Alpha, E* Delta, hac »Very sensitive – air voids, surface shortwave absorptivity, effective binder volume, Poisson’s ratio »Sensitive – unit weight, heat capacity, low and high temperature, thermal conductivity Longitudinal cracking »Hypersensitive – E* Alpha, E* Delta, hac »Very sensitive – air voids, surface shortwave absorptivity, effective binder volume, Poisson’s ratio »Sensitive – unit weight, heat capacity, high temperature, thermal conductivity
  • 24. 24 PMED Calibration Factors  PMED distress models calibrated using a large set of sections from multiple experiments—primarily the LTPP database  User has the option to adjust calibration factors based on local or regional data sets  Guidance for agency-specific adjustment factor in Guide for the Local Calibration of the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide
  • 25. 25 Transfer Function Calibration – Factors to Adjust Distress Eliminate Bias Reduce Standard Error Total Rutting: Unbound materials and HMA layers kr1, s1, or r1 kr2, kr3 and r2, r3 Alligator cracking C2 or kf1 kf2, kf3, and C1 Longitudinal cracking C2 or kf1 kf2, kf3, and C1 Semi-rigid pavements C2 or c1 C1, C2, and C4 Transverse cracking t3 t3 IRI C4 C1, C2, and C3 – AASHTO 2010 Local Calibration Guide

Editor's Notes

  1. NSI = normalized sensitivity index – average percent change of predicted distress relative to its design limit caused by %change in the design input