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EY wealth
management
outlook —
2018
Anticipating and seizing
global growth potential in a
challenging environment
Executive summary
The global volume of net investable assets of high-net-worth individuals
(HNWI+) will increase by around 25% to almost US$70 trillion by 2021.
Holistic wealth management will emerge as a new kind of digitalized
business model. Holistic wealth managers are expected to gain a market
share of 30% by 2025.
Wealth managers with traditional business models will largely disappear
from the market as a result.
Traditional wealth managers located in or operating out of the United
States are likely to survive in the international offshore business thanks to
increasingly favorable conditions.
The service offering of wealth managers with an offshore business model
will increasingly mirror that of onshore wealth managers.
1
2
3
4
5
Editorial
Global wealth management is undergoing unprecedented
transformation
The years following the financial crisis have seen significant developments in the financial
services sector. Global wealth managers now face the challenge of adapting to a market
environment that is evolving quickly, if not revolutionizing. Client needs, shareholder
expectations, stricter new regulations and milestone developments in technology are
driving future business models and shaping their requirements. While we must wait to
see the full impact of these changes, it is already clear that new industry structures
will emerge in the coming years. Adapting early to the new reality will open the door to
profitable future growth opportunities.
This report discusses global opportunities and challenges, examines the drivers of
structural change and explores the business model options available to wealth managers
wishing to seize the global potential and survive in the business long term.
I hope you enjoy reading this report and find our insights into the wealth management
market thought-provoking.
Serkan Mirza
Executive Director, Wealth & Asset Management Strategy Consulting, Switzerland
Ernst & Young AG
1. Wealth management 6
2.
Multidimensional challenges defining the playing field
of wealth managers
12
2.1 Complex client needs 13
2.2 Digitalization enables a more accurate needs fulfillment 14
2.3 Regulation means transparency 15
2.4 Shareholders seek profitable growth 15
3. Old business models need to be rethought to capture the potential 16
4. The struggle between onshore and offshore 20
5. Let the games begin 22
Contents
Wealth management — a market
worth over US$55,000 billion
7EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Its size and growth make the HNWI+1
segment of the global wealth management market particularly attractive.
Today’s market for net investable assets (NIA)2
already exceeds US$55,000 billion. According to our EY Global
Wealth Model, global NIA will reach US$69,607 billion by 2021, increasing by almost one-quarter of the current
volume, or at an annual growth rate of 4.7% through 2021. Wealth managers should be anticipating and seizing
this market potential and enormous growth now.
1
HNWI+: NIA > US$1 million
2
Net investable assets (NIA) defined as financial assets, collectibles and precious metals held by HNWI+, less financial liabilities, main residence, durables and
consumables.
3
EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”)
4
Ibid.
Total net investable assets
of HNWI+3
[US$ in trillions;
absolute growth 2016-21]
Regional distribution of growth in
NIA of HNWI+4
[US$ in trillions;
absolute growth 2016-21]
Absolute growth2016 2021
55.4
69.6
14.2
Others
Top 6-20
India
Brazil Russia
China
USA
2.30
5.25
1.31
0.50
0.44
0.43
4.01
8 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
A look at individual markets reveals that more than half of global NIA growth through 2021 stems from the top
five ranking countries. The US and China alone account for over 45%. Another 10% of the increase is attributable
to Russia, Brazil and India, which rank three to five. It is worth noting that the next 15 countries are not far behind
India, however, meaning that the 18 countries ranking below the US and China (including Russia, Brazil and India)
make up around 38% of global growth.
From a regional perspective, we expect North America to see the largest growth in NIA. Although this region
can be seen as a mature and well-established market, with growth of around 4.4% compared with global growth
of 4.7%, its integrated market and common language make it extremely attractive nevertheless. The pursuit of
personal success and a healthy risk appetite are embedded in a corporate culture that drives innovation and
contributes to private wealth accumulation.
NIA of HNWI+ in top 20 countries5
[US$in trillions; absolute growth 2016-21]
USA
5.25
Saudi
Arabia
0.26
Canada
0.29
Mexico
0.27
Brazil
0.44
United Arab
Emirates
0.28
India
0.43
Turkey
0.20
UK
0.34
Norway
0.23
China
1.31
South Korea
0.32
Australia
0.33
Indonesia
0.22
Germany
0.35
Netherlands
0.25
France
0.26
Sweden
0.20
Russia
0.50
Italy
0.21
5
EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”)
9EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
With expected above-average growth of 5.9% and a high increase in NIA, nations in Asia-Pacific can be viewed as
rapidly developing and weighty co-players, adding to the region’s appeal. Entrepreneurship is blooming, nourished
by access to financing options, an educated workforce and an outstanding work ethic. The development is creating
regional investment opportunities for HNWI+ and driving growth. Centers of innovation, such as Singapore, are
viewed as appealing for companies because of their effective infrastructure and state support. Moreover, double-
taxation treaties, free-trade agreements and investment treaties are making foreign trade easier. One exception
here is Japan, which is expected to see minimal annual growth of 0.4%. Nevertheless, the country remains an
interesting market with absolute NIA growth of more than US$140 billion.
Total NIA of HNWI+6
[US$ in trillions; annual growth rates; 2016–21]
North America
Asia-Pacific
Western Europe Eastern Europe
Africa
Latin America
+4.7%
+4.5%
+4.4% +4.5%
+4.8%
+7.2%
+6.3%
+5.9%
54.4
2.6
23.3 10.8
0.9
2.7
2.1
9.4
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
63.1
2.8
26.6
12.8
0.9
3.3
2.5
10.6
2019
2019
2019
2019
2019
2019
2019
2019
69.6
3.3
28.8
13.4
1.2
3.8
2.9
12.6
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
2021
Global
Middle East
6
EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”); Japan is not included in the analysis of Asia-Pacific, such that the sum of all
regions presented is somewhat lower than the global total. Latin America includes the Caribbean.
10 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
We see Africa and the Middle East in particular as markets that will return above-average growth in the future.
Apart from petroleum and natural gas, large areas are geared toward the export of precious metals and diamonds.
Private companies and financial institutions in the Middle East benefit on account of their geographical location
from the flourishing trading business and trade finance. A high global influx of capital in the form of development
aid from supranationals, together with free trade agreements directly promoting foreign private investment,
culminate in the expansion and improvement of infrastructure and sustainable economic growth. In 2014 and
2015 alone, foreign private investors injected capital investments of over US$200 billion7
into large-scale projects
on the African continent.
Besides Saudi Arabia, the largest economy in the Middle East, Iran is set to drive private wealth accumulation
in the region following the lifting of economic and financial sanctions related to the country’s nuclear power
activities. However, market fragmentation due to the large number of countries, the cultural diversity and unstable
political conditions in various states creates an ambivalent and challenging environment in which developments
are often difficult to predict.
Accounting between them for an increase in NIA of US$700 billion, Brazil and Mexico are the driving forces
behind growth in Latin America. Brazil faces the challenge of weakening factors it relied on for growth in the
past, such as rising employment or flourishing commodity trading. To counteract this trend, future growth should
increasingly be generated through higher investment and productivity. This would create interesting opportunities
for wealthy private investors. Mexico pursues a sustainable economic growth strategy with political reform,
including deregulation of energy and telecommunications markets, coupled with international trade agreements.
Similar to North America, Latin America has the advantage of a relatively integrated market and a largely uniform
language base. However, in view of the most recent political and social tension, we expect below-average rates of
private wealth accumulation.
With the United Kingdom and Germany, Western Europe is home to two of the major growth engines for global
NIA, although Brexit is currently hindering economic activity to a certain extent. Despite economic sanctions
and geopolitical tensions, Russia remains an interesting market. Boasting an above-average number of HNWI+,
the country is the main contributor to the increase in NIA in Eastern Europe. With a total of 8 of the top 20 NIA
growth nations, Europe will contribute over 20% to global NIA growth.
For Western Europe, we expect an annual growth rate of 4.5%, more or less in line with the global growth
trajectory, and a somewhat higher rate of 6.3% for Eastern Europe. In view of regulatory standardization and
interesting onshore markets like the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands, as well as
Sweden and Norway, Europe retains its status as an attractive wealth management market.
7
EY’s Attractiveness Survey — Africa 2016
11EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Drivers of wealth growth
For example, family offices have expanded their direct and co-investment departments, which systematically seek
out access to the best alternative investment opportunities. Expertise and understanding of wealth preservation
and development are passed on from generation to generation, and cultivated and improved through long-
standing relationships with banks and wealth managers. High investment and private wealth volumes create
options for more unusual and complex investments, and endow a certain amount of power when negotiating
conditions. Through diverse involvement in business, politics and society, HNWI+ are well connected and play a key
role in shaping the political and market-economy conditions to fit their specific wealth preservation goals.
Expertise Market access Negotiation power
Involvement in shaping framework conditions
The large increase in private wealth is due to the higher returns on asset classes compared with average growth
in gross domestic product (GDP). Four key mechanisms amplify the accumulation of assets by HNWI+: market
access, expertise, scale-based negotiation power and involvement in shaping framework conditions.
Multidimensional challenges
defining the playing field of
wealth managers
13EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Forces acting on wealth managers
Direct/indirect driver
Digitalization
Transparency
ShareholderCustomer
2.1 Complex client needs
The demands of HNWI+ are changing beyond recognition. Demographics, including one of the biggest
generational shifts in the history of humankind, along with technological factors like smartphone penetration
and increased app usage, are placing higher expectations on wealth managers. Today’s clients want their private
wealth to be viewed and managed holistically. The impact does not stop at financial asset allocation, but spans
all assets, liabilities and life plans with the aim of delivering better approaches for after-tax wealth preservation
and performance. Moreover, the ultra-low interest rate environment has made clients more price-sensitive and
they expect a new breed of support, which is advisory rather than product-driven.
Regarding demand for investment products, the combination of low interest rates, high volatility and a loss of
trust since the 2008 financial crisis has meant that conventional asset classes such as shares, bonds or money
market investments are progressively giving way to alternative investments. In addition, investments in hedge
funds or private equity funds are increasingly also being supplemented by direct real asset investments in
real estate, infrastructure, loans, agriculture or co-investments with alternative funds. Another trend, as yet
numerically less pronounced, is evident in the demand for “passion-based” investments, such as cars, artwork,
wines, coins or ethically motivated investments in sustainability and social entrepreneurship.
14 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
HNWI+ are finding themselves confronted by an array of social and political problems that infringe on their private
wealth or lifestyles. Central concerns include succession issues (family/business), potential rises in wealth taxes or
growing state supervision and control.
That is why billionaires in particular are continuing to establish their own family offices or increasingly joining
multi-family offices. These offices are able to capture complex constellations individually and distill them into
decision-relevant information that suits the need at hand. However, this group of wealth managers is not without
its own problems, especially on the cost and regulatory side; these challenges demand a higher scale than today’s
family offices typically have (on average, between US$0.5 billion and US$1 billion in assets under management).8
2.2 Digitalization enables a more
accurate needs fulfillment
Today, we communicate with the latest apps around the globe or buy online based on the artificial intelligence (AI)
recommendations of digital providers. Wealth management clients are demanding what is already a matter of fact
in the retail industry: full use of digital infrastructure capabilities. Although some aspects of interaction with
clients will remain at a personal level and within the traditional advisory process, clients and their advisors should
be able to opt for smart and purposeful technology-driven support.
Software-based tools enable big data to be collected from a variety of information sources and different providers,
(e.g., social media platforms or credit card firms.) Sophisticated applications assess and analyze the risk
preference and investor profile of clients. Algorithms that draw on current market data optimize the structure of
portfolios, allowing them to be continually and automatically rebalanced based on real-time information. The focus
throughout the investment process is on user-friendliness and a positive client experience. It is also possible for
clients and their advisors to interact via digital communication functions, such as video chat.
Advisors will thus have new options for meeting wide-ranging and complex requirements. The role of the
advisor will most likely shift toward the profile of a requirements engineer and client supporter serving as a
contact, backed by digital tools. The future business model focuses on the wealth manager’s technology and
digital infrastructure, and is increasingly independent of the advisor. Added value is generated by technology
infrastructure, which enables a holistic perspective on the client’s private wealth situation and advice.
Consequently, infrastructure and technology-driven capabilities will be fundamental to a wealth manager’s activity
in the future.
Wealth management in this segment will remain a people business; however, digitally enabled production and
advice will have a major impact on the business models of wealth managers.
8
EY Family Office Guide, EY, 2016; The Global Family Office Report, UBS & Campden Wealth, 2016; and EY analysis
Digital disruption in wealth management: Our latest research into the state of technology in wealth
management identifies the capabilities that firms need to build, and by when; how they can transform their
organizations for the digital age; and where they should place their digital bets. To learn more, please visit
ey.com/wealthITsurvey.
15EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
2.3 Regulation means transparency
Financial markets are increasingly subject to stringent regulatory requirements. Common Reporting Standard
(CRS)9
and the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) add another level of operational complexity and are
turning the screws on offshore banking from long-established locations like Switzerland, the United Kingdom,
the Channel Islands and the Caribbean. First adopters of CRS are scheduled to start exchanging data already in
2018 (e.g., India, South Africa, Argentina and most of Europe). Later participants, such as Switzerland, Canada,
Russia and a large part of the Asia-Pacific region, will start implementation as of 2018. FATCA came into effect in
2010 and has been binding for all partner countries since then.
Special requirements on funds and their management companies Undertakings for the Collective Investment of
Transferable Securities (UCITS), as well as product and client adequacy Markets in Financial Instruments Directive
II (MiFID II) are adding layers of complexity in offshore and onshore banking alike. Detailed tax and regulatory
requirements in different jurisdictions are creating complex and resource-intensive processes, including in the
fields of onboarding and reporting. The effort involved is only of limited relevance for strategy and does not always
translate into direct added value for clients.
The expansion of the regulatory realm and concerns about retrospective legal uncertainty loom large for wealth
managers. The natural consequence is caution and more careful consideration of how to allocate resources.
Ultimately, it also creates market entry barriers for aspiring participants.
2.4 Shareholders seek profitable growth
Wealth managers are increasingly faced with the challenge of generating added economic value for their
shareholders in the sense of profitable growth that exceeds their cost of capital. On the income side, this
trend reflects fee erosion. On the cost side, rapidly growing cost centers, like legal counsel, compliance, risk
governance and management, are squeezing margins due to legal issues.
As a result of various recent legal disputes, some banks have had to pay huge fines, with the 25 biggest US and
European banks paying penalties of around US$260 billion9
in the period from 2009 to 2015. Besides the direct
litigation cost, the reputational costs have been enormous. As a result, wealth managers’ executives are feeling
the pressure from shareholders.
9
Morgan Stanley Research, 2015
Old business models need to be
rethought to capture the potential
17EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Today, five distinct business models can be observed in the wealth management industry. Their size and
dominance can vary by region and market. A sixth model is set to emerge in the not-too-distant future with the
potential to affect all markets and create a lasting and deep impact.
The models differ in terms of market segment as well as offering and service orientation. In order to tap into
the immense NIA potential of US$69.6 trillion by 2021, many players will have to rethink their current business
model now, even if the circumstances make it difficult. Holistic wealth managers, in particular, are set to become
significantly more important in the next 10 years. We estimate that their share of the global market will increase
from practically zero to between 20% and 30%.
Business models in global wealth management
Diversified product specialists
Family offices
Independent wealth advisors
Boutique finance houses
Traditional wealth managers
Holistic wealth managers
Existing business models
New business model
18 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
Most under pressure is the model of the traditional wealth manager, whose business is product-based. Largely
geared toward the management of financial assets, this model lacks the efficiency and the broad product offering
of a clear product specialist. We see the long-term prospects of this model as being very limited.
A switch to a truly client-centric advisory-oriented approach is more feasible than a diversification strategy.
Alternatively, the traditional offshore business could be stepped up in locations that favor the current business
model. Very few places – Miami is one – might be suitable for this approach, albeit to a somewhat restricted extent.
Such a step would have to be considered very carefully, given the huge leap that would presumably be needed to
subsequently catch up with those providers who have already undergone transformation as required.
Business models (BM), their positioning and amount of assets under management (AuM)10
Businesssegment
Diversified
Focuson
wealthmanagement
Legend:
Global AuM =
US$5
Global AuM =
US$10
Likely
repositioning
Current size
of existing BM
Future size of
existing BM in
2025
Future size
of new BM/
positioning in
2025
Product-driven
Diversified
product specialists
-40%
-75%
-10%
Holistic wealth managersIndependent wealth
advisors
Traditional
wealth
managers
Boutique
finance
houses
Family offices
Offering and service
Advice-oriented
-20%
10
Assets under management (AuM) are based on annual reports for 2016 and EY analysis.
19EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Independent wealth advisors with substantial market shares in their respective home markets are already
operating advisory-oriented business models to some extent. However, they are confronted by high fixed costs,
particularly involving rising regulatory and technology (client) requirements. They also lack critical mass in
some markets. We see mergers as one alternative in order to survive in the future. This would facilitate the
high-investment migration process of becoming a holistic wealth manager. More likely and easier to implement
successfully, however, is a focus on clearly defined target client segments once the initial consolidation period has
passed.
Only very few banks (mainly universal banks operating along the whole value chain) backed by a truly global
footprint, cheap funding, low capital costs and equipped with a highly efficient, scalable platform will be able to
prevail with the diversified product specialist model. Such a venture would be exceedingly difficult in a greenfield
approach, limiting the list of potential candidates to a handful of players in the global business. Other universal
banks will have to consider in which direction they want to migrate if they wish to retain their position among
the leading institutions. These universal banks would have to say farewell to their diversified and product-driven
approach and move toward the holistic wealth manager model.
Niche players, such as boutique finance houses that have specialized in client-segment-oriented advisory services
in investment banking, asset management and wealth management, can also remain diversified in the long term.
Nevertheless, boutique finance houses will have to make targeted adjustments to their advisors’ technological
support and in the way they serve their wealthy clients.
Owing to their lack of scale, smaller family offices11
, whose core business is serving a small number of
extraordinarily wealthy families, are particularly likely to encounter profitability problems. That would suggest a
need for a scale strategy, which could be achieved through mergers into multi-family offices. In extreme cases, it
could also involve transformation into wealth managers and advisors that hold a banking license to offer services
to third parties.
Overall, based on the drivers mentioned in this report, coupled with the enormous potential NIA worldwide,
we believe that the wealth management industry will largely see a trend toward focused and advisory-oriented
business models. Holistic wealth managers, in particular, take a digital advisory approach driven by life events
to deliver genuine added value for wealthy clients. New technologies and client affinity for digital frameworks
are smoothing the way for profitable business model design. There are already some examples that hint at this
development. FinTechs operating in this field find capital relatively quickly and can demonstrate initial success
stories.
11
Average AuM < US$1 billion; EY analysis; EY Family Office Guide, EY, 2016; The Global Family Office Report, UBS & Campden Wealth, 2016
The struggle between onshore
and offshore
21EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Wealth managers with established or aspiring international operations face the eternal question of whether to
operationalize their business onshore and/or offshore. To a certain extent, developments in the global wealth
management market favor onshore business models. Two perspectives should be taken when approaching this
question: the needs of HNWI+ and the core competencies of the specific wealth manager. These perspectives
also help define the onshore and offshore presence.
The HNWI+ need for offshore approaches can be driven, in part, by highly systemic elements like political stability,
property rights and offerings of high-quality, reliable financial services. But they can also be driven by idiosyncratic
aspects like tax neutrality, personal preference and the development of a personal banking relationship over time.
If these factors are only relevant to a limited extent, an HNWI+ will focus much more on a holistic understanding of
their own total wealth situation in the local national context.
Wealth managers seeking to prevail in the onshore market should serve the latter group. However, this
presupposes a profound understanding of local legal, economic and, in particular, cultural conditions, including
outstanding access to or good connections with third-party providers of advisory services, but also a certain
minimum business size. Being rooted locally can prove a decisive differentiator in the fight against global offshore
wealth managers, given that the onshore market generally has a distinct information asymmetry and local players
have a natural advantage.
Offshore players are able to draw on economies of scale to develop a cheaper and more sophisticated digital
offering that uses big and smart data to understand the client better. This could help them overcome some of their
disadvantage from information asymmetry and deliver a new value proposition to HNWI+ beyond the traditional
reasons for choosing an offshore provider. Given that market-entry barriers have increased considerably for
offshore players, however, successful contenders will need to have digital industrialization across the end-to-end
value chain. One strategic element will be focusing onshore presence purposefully on a small number of markets,
as substantial investments with longer payoff periods need to be contended with here too.
Let the games begin
23EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
So far, there is no clearly defined business model for the digital
holistic wealth manager. It’s up to wealth managers to anticipate the
industry’s ongoing evolution and position themselves in the market
segment they define. A variety of factors, such as cost structures,
client requirements, growth rates in individual markets, HNWI+
density and regulatory requirements, will impact the business model
and each individual player’s alignment. The rules of the game are
changing: it is now up to wealth managers to adapt in a way that
allows them to win in this rapidly transforming market.
24 | EY Wealth Management Outlook - 2018
EY Global Wealth Model methodology
The EY Global Wealth Model, which was also used in this report, is a proprietary model developed by EY. It spans
149 countries and covers over 97% of estimated global wealth. Total private wealth per market is calculated based
on the nominal GDP (in US$) and its capitalization. Private wealth per household is then determined using country-
specific Gini coefficients.
Net investable assets (NIA) per household are broken down based on segment-specific factors for each country.
These factors take into account the different asset allocations.
NIA is defined as financial assets, collectibles and precious metals held by high-net-worth individuals (HNWI+), less
financial liabilities, main residence, durables and consumables.
The figures in this report relate exclusively to the HNWI+ segment, i.e., the segment of relevance for the wealth
management market. HNWI+ is defined as households with NIA of US$1 million and above.
The data used is based on official macroeconomic information provided by the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development (OECD), World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Oxford Economics,
Bloomberg and Forbes, as well as statistics published by central banks. Data includes GDP, GDP growth, GDP
multipliers, Gini coefficients, household data, exchange rates and lists of wealthy individuals in the respective
markets.
Owing to deficits in data transparency and a lack of uniform reporting standards, NIA figures in developing markets
can have a lower statistical significance level. In addition, some markets have been excluded from the model due to
unavailability of data or political unrest (e.g., Syria).
25EY Wealth Management Outlook - 2018 |
Markets
Africa
Algeria
Angola
Botswana
Cameroon
Central African
Republic
Chad
D.R. of the Congo
Republic of Congo
Côte d’Ivoire
Egypt
Equatorial Guinea
Ethiopia
Gabon
The Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Morocco
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Rwanda
Senegal
Sierra Leone
South Africa
Sudan
Swaziland
Tanzania
Togo
Tunisia
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
Asia-Pacific
Armenia
Australia
Azerbaijan
Bangladesh
Brunei Darussalam
Cambodia
China mainland
Fiji
Georgia
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Kazakhstan
South Korea
Kyrgyz Republic
Lao P.D.R.
Maldives
Malaysia
Mongolia
Myanmar
Nepal
New Zealand
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Singapore
Sri Lanka
Taiwan
Thailand
Vietnam
Eastern
Europe
Albania
Belarus
Bosnia and
Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Croatia
Czech Republic
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Macedonia FYR
Moldova
Poland
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Ukraine
Latin
America
Argentina
The Bahamas
Barbados
Bolivia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guyana
Haiti
Jamaica
Mexico
Nicaragua
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Trinidad and
Tobago
Uruguay
Venezuela
Middle East
Bahrain
Iran
Israel
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United Arab
Emirates
Yemen
North America
Canada
United States
Western
Europe
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Single country
Japan
26 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
27EY wealth management outlook — 2018 |
Contacts
Serkan Mirza
Executive Director,
Ernst & Young AG
Swiss Wealth & Asset Management
Strategy Consulting
+41 58 286 3914
serkan.mirza@ch.ey.com
Nico Trigili
Analyst, Ernst & Young AG
Advisory Financial Services
+41 58 286 4354
nico.trigili@ch.ey.com
Mike Lee
Partner, Ernst & Young LLP
Global Leader Wealth &
Asset Management
+1 212 773 8940
michael.lee@ey.com
Nalika C. Nanayakkara
Partner, Ernst & Young LLP
US Leader Customer &
Growth Practice
+1 212 773 1097
nalika.nanayakkara@ey.com
Dr. Peppi Schnieper
Partner, Ernst & Young AG
Swiss Leader Strategy Consulting
Financial Services
+41 58 286 3703
peppi.schnieper@ch.ey.com
Olaf Toepfer
Partner
Ernst & Young AG
Swiss Leader Banking
+41 58 286 4471
olaf.toepfer@ch.ey.com
Alex Birkin
Partner, Ernst & Young LLP
Global Advisory Leader Wealth &
Asset Management
+44 7976 898 980
abirkin@uk.ey.com
Elliott Shadforth
Partner, Ernst & Young LLP
Asia Pacific Wealth &
Asset Management Leader
+852 2846 9083
elliott.shadforth@hk.ey.com
Bruno Patusi
Partner, Ernst & Young AG
Swiss Leader Wealth &
Asset Management
+41 58 286 4690
bruno.patusi@ch.ey.com
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EY Wealth-Management-Outlook-2018

  • 1. EY wealth management outlook — 2018 Anticipating and seizing global growth potential in a challenging environment
  • 2.
  • 3. Executive summary The global volume of net investable assets of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI+) will increase by around 25% to almost US$70 trillion by 2021. Holistic wealth management will emerge as a new kind of digitalized business model. Holistic wealth managers are expected to gain a market share of 30% by 2025. Wealth managers with traditional business models will largely disappear from the market as a result. Traditional wealth managers located in or operating out of the United States are likely to survive in the international offshore business thanks to increasingly favorable conditions. The service offering of wealth managers with an offshore business model will increasingly mirror that of onshore wealth managers. 1 2 3 4 5
  • 4. Editorial Global wealth management is undergoing unprecedented transformation The years following the financial crisis have seen significant developments in the financial services sector. Global wealth managers now face the challenge of adapting to a market environment that is evolving quickly, if not revolutionizing. Client needs, shareholder expectations, stricter new regulations and milestone developments in technology are driving future business models and shaping their requirements. While we must wait to see the full impact of these changes, it is already clear that new industry structures will emerge in the coming years. Adapting early to the new reality will open the door to profitable future growth opportunities. This report discusses global opportunities and challenges, examines the drivers of structural change and explores the business model options available to wealth managers wishing to seize the global potential and survive in the business long term. I hope you enjoy reading this report and find our insights into the wealth management market thought-provoking. Serkan Mirza Executive Director, Wealth & Asset Management Strategy Consulting, Switzerland Ernst & Young AG
  • 5. 1. Wealth management 6 2. Multidimensional challenges defining the playing field of wealth managers 12 2.1 Complex client needs 13 2.2 Digitalization enables a more accurate needs fulfillment 14 2.3 Regulation means transparency 15 2.4 Shareholders seek profitable growth 15 3. Old business models need to be rethought to capture the potential 16 4. The struggle between onshore and offshore 20 5. Let the games begin 22 Contents
  • 6. Wealth management — a market worth over US$55,000 billion
  • 7. 7EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Its size and growth make the HNWI+1 segment of the global wealth management market particularly attractive. Today’s market for net investable assets (NIA)2 already exceeds US$55,000 billion. According to our EY Global Wealth Model, global NIA will reach US$69,607 billion by 2021, increasing by almost one-quarter of the current volume, or at an annual growth rate of 4.7% through 2021. Wealth managers should be anticipating and seizing this market potential and enormous growth now. 1 HNWI+: NIA > US$1 million 2 Net investable assets (NIA) defined as financial assets, collectibles and precious metals held by HNWI+, less financial liabilities, main residence, durables and consumables. 3 EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”) 4 Ibid. Total net investable assets of HNWI+3 [US$ in trillions; absolute growth 2016-21] Regional distribution of growth in NIA of HNWI+4 [US$ in trillions; absolute growth 2016-21] Absolute growth2016 2021 55.4 69.6 14.2 Others Top 6-20 India Brazil Russia China USA 2.30 5.25 1.31 0.50 0.44 0.43 4.01
  • 8. 8 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018 A look at individual markets reveals that more than half of global NIA growth through 2021 stems from the top five ranking countries. The US and China alone account for over 45%. Another 10% of the increase is attributable to Russia, Brazil and India, which rank three to five. It is worth noting that the next 15 countries are not far behind India, however, meaning that the 18 countries ranking below the US and China (including Russia, Brazil and India) make up around 38% of global growth. From a regional perspective, we expect North America to see the largest growth in NIA. Although this region can be seen as a mature and well-established market, with growth of around 4.4% compared with global growth of 4.7%, its integrated market and common language make it extremely attractive nevertheless. The pursuit of personal success and a healthy risk appetite are embedded in a corporate culture that drives innovation and contributes to private wealth accumulation. NIA of HNWI+ in top 20 countries5 [US$in trillions; absolute growth 2016-21] USA 5.25 Saudi Arabia 0.26 Canada 0.29 Mexico 0.27 Brazil 0.44 United Arab Emirates 0.28 India 0.43 Turkey 0.20 UK 0.34 Norway 0.23 China 1.31 South Korea 0.32 Australia 0.33 Indonesia 0.22 Germany 0.35 Netherlands 0.25 France 0.26 Sweden 0.20 Russia 0.50 Italy 0.21 5 EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”)
  • 9. 9EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | With expected above-average growth of 5.9% and a high increase in NIA, nations in Asia-Pacific can be viewed as rapidly developing and weighty co-players, adding to the region’s appeal. Entrepreneurship is blooming, nourished by access to financing options, an educated workforce and an outstanding work ethic. The development is creating regional investment opportunities for HNWI+ and driving growth. Centers of innovation, such as Singapore, are viewed as appealing for companies because of their effective infrastructure and state support. Moreover, double- taxation treaties, free-trade agreements and investment treaties are making foreign trade easier. One exception here is Japan, which is expected to see minimal annual growth of 0.4%. Nevertheless, the country remains an interesting market with absolute NIA growth of more than US$140 billion. Total NIA of HNWI+6 [US$ in trillions; annual growth rates; 2016–21] North America Asia-Pacific Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Latin America +4.7% +4.5% +4.4% +4.5% +4.8% +7.2% +6.3% +5.9% 54.4 2.6 23.3 10.8 0.9 2.7 2.1 9.4 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 63.1 2.8 26.6 12.8 0.9 3.3 2.5 10.6 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 69.6 3.3 28.8 13.4 1.2 3.8 2.9 12.6 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 Global Middle East 6 EY Global Wealth Model 2018 (see page 24, “EY Global Wealth Model methodology”); Japan is not included in the analysis of Asia-Pacific, such that the sum of all regions presented is somewhat lower than the global total. Latin America includes the Caribbean.
  • 10. 10 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018 We see Africa and the Middle East in particular as markets that will return above-average growth in the future. Apart from petroleum and natural gas, large areas are geared toward the export of precious metals and diamonds. Private companies and financial institutions in the Middle East benefit on account of their geographical location from the flourishing trading business and trade finance. A high global influx of capital in the form of development aid from supranationals, together with free trade agreements directly promoting foreign private investment, culminate in the expansion and improvement of infrastructure and sustainable economic growth. In 2014 and 2015 alone, foreign private investors injected capital investments of over US$200 billion7 into large-scale projects on the African continent. Besides Saudi Arabia, the largest economy in the Middle East, Iran is set to drive private wealth accumulation in the region following the lifting of economic and financial sanctions related to the country’s nuclear power activities. However, market fragmentation due to the large number of countries, the cultural diversity and unstable political conditions in various states creates an ambivalent and challenging environment in which developments are often difficult to predict. Accounting between them for an increase in NIA of US$700 billion, Brazil and Mexico are the driving forces behind growth in Latin America. Brazil faces the challenge of weakening factors it relied on for growth in the past, such as rising employment or flourishing commodity trading. To counteract this trend, future growth should increasingly be generated through higher investment and productivity. This would create interesting opportunities for wealthy private investors. Mexico pursues a sustainable economic growth strategy with political reform, including deregulation of energy and telecommunications markets, coupled with international trade agreements. Similar to North America, Latin America has the advantage of a relatively integrated market and a largely uniform language base. However, in view of the most recent political and social tension, we expect below-average rates of private wealth accumulation. With the United Kingdom and Germany, Western Europe is home to two of the major growth engines for global NIA, although Brexit is currently hindering economic activity to a certain extent. Despite economic sanctions and geopolitical tensions, Russia remains an interesting market. Boasting an above-average number of HNWI+, the country is the main contributor to the increase in NIA in Eastern Europe. With a total of 8 of the top 20 NIA growth nations, Europe will contribute over 20% to global NIA growth. For Western Europe, we expect an annual growth rate of 4.5%, more or less in line with the global growth trajectory, and a somewhat higher rate of 6.3% for Eastern Europe. In view of regulatory standardization and interesting onshore markets like the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands, as well as Sweden and Norway, Europe retains its status as an attractive wealth management market. 7 EY’s Attractiveness Survey — Africa 2016
  • 11. 11EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Drivers of wealth growth For example, family offices have expanded their direct and co-investment departments, which systematically seek out access to the best alternative investment opportunities. Expertise and understanding of wealth preservation and development are passed on from generation to generation, and cultivated and improved through long- standing relationships with banks and wealth managers. High investment and private wealth volumes create options for more unusual and complex investments, and endow a certain amount of power when negotiating conditions. Through diverse involvement in business, politics and society, HNWI+ are well connected and play a key role in shaping the political and market-economy conditions to fit their specific wealth preservation goals. Expertise Market access Negotiation power Involvement in shaping framework conditions The large increase in private wealth is due to the higher returns on asset classes compared with average growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Four key mechanisms amplify the accumulation of assets by HNWI+: market access, expertise, scale-based negotiation power and involvement in shaping framework conditions.
  • 12. Multidimensional challenges defining the playing field of wealth managers
  • 13. 13EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Forces acting on wealth managers Direct/indirect driver Digitalization Transparency ShareholderCustomer 2.1 Complex client needs The demands of HNWI+ are changing beyond recognition. Demographics, including one of the biggest generational shifts in the history of humankind, along with technological factors like smartphone penetration and increased app usage, are placing higher expectations on wealth managers. Today’s clients want their private wealth to be viewed and managed holistically. The impact does not stop at financial asset allocation, but spans all assets, liabilities and life plans with the aim of delivering better approaches for after-tax wealth preservation and performance. Moreover, the ultra-low interest rate environment has made clients more price-sensitive and they expect a new breed of support, which is advisory rather than product-driven. Regarding demand for investment products, the combination of low interest rates, high volatility and a loss of trust since the 2008 financial crisis has meant that conventional asset classes such as shares, bonds or money market investments are progressively giving way to alternative investments. In addition, investments in hedge funds or private equity funds are increasingly also being supplemented by direct real asset investments in real estate, infrastructure, loans, agriculture or co-investments with alternative funds. Another trend, as yet numerically less pronounced, is evident in the demand for “passion-based” investments, such as cars, artwork, wines, coins or ethically motivated investments in sustainability and social entrepreneurship.
  • 14. 14 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018 HNWI+ are finding themselves confronted by an array of social and political problems that infringe on their private wealth or lifestyles. Central concerns include succession issues (family/business), potential rises in wealth taxes or growing state supervision and control. That is why billionaires in particular are continuing to establish their own family offices or increasingly joining multi-family offices. These offices are able to capture complex constellations individually and distill them into decision-relevant information that suits the need at hand. However, this group of wealth managers is not without its own problems, especially on the cost and regulatory side; these challenges demand a higher scale than today’s family offices typically have (on average, between US$0.5 billion and US$1 billion in assets under management).8 2.2 Digitalization enables a more accurate needs fulfillment Today, we communicate with the latest apps around the globe or buy online based on the artificial intelligence (AI) recommendations of digital providers. Wealth management clients are demanding what is already a matter of fact in the retail industry: full use of digital infrastructure capabilities. Although some aspects of interaction with clients will remain at a personal level and within the traditional advisory process, clients and their advisors should be able to opt for smart and purposeful technology-driven support. Software-based tools enable big data to be collected from a variety of information sources and different providers, (e.g., social media platforms or credit card firms.) Sophisticated applications assess and analyze the risk preference and investor profile of clients. Algorithms that draw on current market data optimize the structure of portfolios, allowing them to be continually and automatically rebalanced based on real-time information. The focus throughout the investment process is on user-friendliness and a positive client experience. It is also possible for clients and their advisors to interact via digital communication functions, such as video chat. Advisors will thus have new options for meeting wide-ranging and complex requirements. The role of the advisor will most likely shift toward the profile of a requirements engineer and client supporter serving as a contact, backed by digital tools. The future business model focuses on the wealth manager’s technology and digital infrastructure, and is increasingly independent of the advisor. Added value is generated by technology infrastructure, which enables a holistic perspective on the client’s private wealth situation and advice. Consequently, infrastructure and technology-driven capabilities will be fundamental to a wealth manager’s activity in the future. Wealth management in this segment will remain a people business; however, digitally enabled production and advice will have a major impact on the business models of wealth managers. 8 EY Family Office Guide, EY, 2016; The Global Family Office Report, UBS & Campden Wealth, 2016; and EY analysis Digital disruption in wealth management: Our latest research into the state of technology in wealth management identifies the capabilities that firms need to build, and by when; how they can transform their organizations for the digital age; and where they should place their digital bets. To learn more, please visit ey.com/wealthITsurvey.
  • 15. 15EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | 2.3 Regulation means transparency Financial markets are increasingly subject to stringent regulatory requirements. Common Reporting Standard (CRS)9 and the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) add another level of operational complexity and are turning the screws on offshore banking from long-established locations like Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the Channel Islands and the Caribbean. First adopters of CRS are scheduled to start exchanging data already in 2018 (e.g., India, South Africa, Argentina and most of Europe). Later participants, such as Switzerland, Canada, Russia and a large part of the Asia-Pacific region, will start implementation as of 2018. FATCA came into effect in 2010 and has been binding for all partner countries since then. Special requirements on funds and their management companies Undertakings for the Collective Investment of Transferable Securities (UCITS), as well as product and client adequacy Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II) are adding layers of complexity in offshore and onshore banking alike. Detailed tax and regulatory requirements in different jurisdictions are creating complex and resource-intensive processes, including in the fields of onboarding and reporting. The effort involved is only of limited relevance for strategy and does not always translate into direct added value for clients. The expansion of the regulatory realm and concerns about retrospective legal uncertainty loom large for wealth managers. The natural consequence is caution and more careful consideration of how to allocate resources. Ultimately, it also creates market entry barriers for aspiring participants. 2.4 Shareholders seek profitable growth Wealth managers are increasingly faced with the challenge of generating added economic value for their shareholders in the sense of profitable growth that exceeds their cost of capital. On the income side, this trend reflects fee erosion. On the cost side, rapidly growing cost centers, like legal counsel, compliance, risk governance and management, are squeezing margins due to legal issues. As a result of various recent legal disputes, some banks have had to pay huge fines, with the 25 biggest US and European banks paying penalties of around US$260 billion9 in the period from 2009 to 2015. Besides the direct litigation cost, the reputational costs have been enormous. As a result, wealth managers’ executives are feeling the pressure from shareholders. 9 Morgan Stanley Research, 2015
  • 16. Old business models need to be rethought to capture the potential
  • 17. 17EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Today, five distinct business models can be observed in the wealth management industry. Their size and dominance can vary by region and market. A sixth model is set to emerge in the not-too-distant future with the potential to affect all markets and create a lasting and deep impact. The models differ in terms of market segment as well as offering and service orientation. In order to tap into the immense NIA potential of US$69.6 trillion by 2021, many players will have to rethink their current business model now, even if the circumstances make it difficult. Holistic wealth managers, in particular, are set to become significantly more important in the next 10 years. We estimate that their share of the global market will increase from practically zero to between 20% and 30%. Business models in global wealth management Diversified product specialists Family offices Independent wealth advisors Boutique finance houses Traditional wealth managers Holistic wealth managers Existing business models New business model
  • 18. 18 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018 Most under pressure is the model of the traditional wealth manager, whose business is product-based. Largely geared toward the management of financial assets, this model lacks the efficiency and the broad product offering of a clear product specialist. We see the long-term prospects of this model as being very limited. A switch to a truly client-centric advisory-oriented approach is more feasible than a diversification strategy. Alternatively, the traditional offshore business could be stepped up in locations that favor the current business model. Very few places – Miami is one – might be suitable for this approach, albeit to a somewhat restricted extent. Such a step would have to be considered very carefully, given the huge leap that would presumably be needed to subsequently catch up with those providers who have already undergone transformation as required. Business models (BM), their positioning and amount of assets under management (AuM)10 Businesssegment Diversified Focuson wealthmanagement Legend: Global AuM = US$5 Global AuM = US$10 Likely repositioning Current size of existing BM Future size of existing BM in 2025 Future size of new BM/ positioning in 2025 Product-driven Diversified product specialists -40% -75% -10% Holistic wealth managersIndependent wealth advisors Traditional wealth managers Boutique finance houses Family offices Offering and service Advice-oriented -20% 10 Assets under management (AuM) are based on annual reports for 2016 and EY analysis.
  • 19. 19EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Independent wealth advisors with substantial market shares in their respective home markets are already operating advisory-oriented business models to some extent. However, they are confronted by high fixed costs, particularly involving rising regulatory and technology (client) requirements. They also lack critical mass in some markets. We see mergers as one alternative in order to survive in the future. This would facilitate the high-investment migration process of becoming a holistic wealth manager. More likely and easier to implement successfully, however, is a focus on clearly defined target client segments once the initial consolidation period has passed. Only very few banks (mainly universal banks operating along the whole value chain) backed by a truly global footprint, cheap funding, low capital costs and equipped with a highly efficient, scalable platform will be able to prevail with the diversified product specialist model. Such a venture would be exceedingly difficult in a greenfield approach, limiting the list of potential candidates to a handful of players in the global business. Other universal banks will have to consider in which direction they want to migrate if they wish to retain their position among the leading institutions. These universal banks would have to say farewell to their diversified and product-driven approach and move toward the holistic wealth manager model. Niche players, such as boutique finance houses that have specialized in client-segment-oriented advisory services in investment banking, asset management and wealth management, can also remain diversified in the long term. Nevertheless, boutique finance houses will have to make targeted adjustments to their advisors’ technological support and in the way they serve their wealthy clients. Owing to their lack of scale, smaller family offices11 , whose core business is serving a small number of extraordinarily wealthy families, are particularly likely to encounter profitability problems. That would suggest a need for a scale strategy, which could be achieved through mergers into multi-family offices. In extreme cases, it could also involve transformation into wealth managers and advisors that hold a banking license to offer services to third parties. Overall, based on the drivers mentioned in this report, coupled with the enormous potential NIA worldwide, we believe that the wealth management industry will largely see a trend toward focused and advisory-oriented business models. Holistic wealth managers, in particular, take a digital advisory approach driven by life events to deliver genuine added value for wealthy clients. New technologies and client affinity for digital frameworks are smoothing the way for profitable business model design. There are already some examples that hint at this development. FinTechs operating in this field find capital relatively quickly and can demonstrate initial success stories. 11 Average AuM < US$1 billion; EY analysis; EY Family Office Guide, EY, 2016; The Global Family Office Report, UBS & Campden Wealth, 2016
  • 20. The struggle between onshore and offshore
  • 21. 21EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Wealth managers with established or aspiring international operations face the eternal question of whether to operationalize their business onshore and/or offshore. To a certain extent, developments in the global wealth management market favor onshore business models. Two perspectives should be taken when approaching this question: the needs of HNWI+ and the core competencies of the specific wealth manager. These perspectives also help define the onshore and offshore presence. The HNWI+ need for offshore approaches can be driven, in part, by highly systemic elements like political stability, property rights and offerings of high-quality, reliable financial services. But they can also be driven by idiosyncratic aspects like tax neutrality, personal preference and the development of a personal banking relationship over time. If these factors are only relevant to a limited extent, an HNWI+ will focus much more on a holistic understanding of their own total wealth situation in the local national context. Wealth managers seeking to prevail in the onshore market should serve the latter group. However, this presupposes a profound understanding of local legal, economic and, in particular, cultural conditions, including outstanding access to or good connections with third-party providers of advisory services, but also a certain minimum business size. Being rooted locally can prove a decisive differentiator in the fight against global offshore wealth managers, given that the onshore market generally has a distinct information asymmetry and local players have a natural advantage. Offshore players are able to draw on economies of scale to develop a cheaper and more sophisticated digital offering that uses big and smart data to understand the client better. This could help them overcome some of their disadvantage from information asymmetry and deliver a new value proposition to HNWI+ beyond the traditional reasons for choosing an offshore provider. Given that market-entry barriers have increased considerably for offshore players, however, successful contenders will need to have digital industrialization across the end-to-end value chain. One strategic element will be focusing onshore presence purposefully on a small number of markets, as substantial investments with longer payoff periods need to be contended with here too.
  • 22. Let the games begin
  • 23. 23EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | So far, there is no clearly defined business model for the digital holistic wealth manager. It’s up to wealth managers to anticipate the industry’s ongoing evolution and position themselves in the market segment they define. A variety of factors, such as cost structures, client requirements, growth rates in individual markets, HNWI+ density and regulatory requirements, will impact the business model and each individual player’s alignment. The rules of the game are changing: it is now up to wealth managers to adapt in a way that allows them to win in this rapidly transforming market.
  • 24. 24 | EY Wealth Management Outlook - 2018 EY Global Wealth Model methodology The EY Global Wealth Model, which was also used in this report, is a proprietary model developed by EY. It spans 149 countries and covers over 97% of estimated global wealth. Total private wealth per market is calculated based on the nominal GDP (in US$) and its capitalization. Private wealth per household is then determined using country- specific Gini coefficients. Net investable assets (NIA) per household are broken down based on segment-specific factors for each country. These factors take into account the different asset allocations. NIA is defined as financial assets, collectibles and precious metals held by high-net-worth individuals (HNWI+), less financial liabilities, main residence, durables and consumables. The figures in this report relate exclusively to the HNWI+ segment, i.e., the segment of relevance for the wealth management market. HNWI+ is defined as households with NIA of US$1 million and above. The data used is based on official macroeconomic information provided by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Oxford Economics, Bloomberg and Forbes, as well as statistics published by central banks. Data includes GDP, GDP growth, GDP multipliers, Gini coefficients, household data, exchange rates and lists of wealthy individuals in the respective markets. Owing to deficits in data transparency and a lack of uniform reporting standards, NIA figures in developing markets can have a lower statistical significance level. In addition, some markets have been excluded from the model due to unavailability of data or political unrest (e.g., Syria).
  • 25. 25EY Wealth Management Outlook - 2018 | Markets Africa Algeria Angola Botswana Cameroon Central African Republic Chad D.R. of the Congo Republic of Congo Côte d’Ivoire Egypt Equatorial Guinea Ethiopia Gabon The Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Kenya Lesotho Liberia Libya Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania Togo Tunisia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe Asia-Pacific Armenia Australia Azerbaijan Bangladesh Brunei Darussalam Cambodia China mainland Fiji Georgia Hong Kong India Indonesia Kazakhstan South Korea Kyrgyz Republic Lao P.D.R. Maldives Malaysia Mongolia Myanmar Nepal New Zealand Pakistan Papua New Guinea Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam Eastern Europe Albania Belarus Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Cyprus Croatia Czech Republic Estonia Hungary Latvia Lithuania Macedonia FYR Moldova Poland Romania Russia Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Ukraine Latin America Argentina The Bahamas Barbados Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador El Salvador Guyana Haiti Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua Panama Paraguay Peru Trinidad and Tobago Uruguay Venezuela Middle East Bahrain Iran Israel Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Turkey United Arab Emirates Yemen North America Canada United States Western Europe Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Iceland Ireland Italy Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Single country Japan
  • 26. 26 | EY wealth management outlook — 2018
  • 27. 27EY wealth management outlook — 2018 | Contacts Serkan Mirza Executive Director, Ernst & Young AG Swiss Wealth & Asset Management Strategy Consulting +41 58 286 3914 serkan.mirza@ch.ey.com Nico Trigili Analyst, Ernst & Young AG Advisory Financial Services +41 58 286 4354 nico.trigili@ch.ey.com Mike Lee Partner, Ernst & Young LLP Global Leader Wealth & Asset Management +1 212 773 8940 michael.lee@ey.com Nalika C. Nanayakkara Partner, Ernst & Young LLP US Leader Customer & Growth Practice +1 212 773 1097 nalika.nanayakkara@ey.com Dr. Peppi Schnieper Partner, Ernst & Young AG Swiss Leader Strategy Consulting Financial Services +41 58 286 3703 peppi.schnieper@ch.ey.com Olaf Toepfer Partner Ernst & Young AG Swiss Leader Banking +41 58 286 4471 olaf.toepfer@ch.ey.com Alex Birkin Partner, Ernst & Young LLP Global Advisory Leader Wealth & Asset Management +44 7976 898 980 abirkin@uk.ey.com Elliott Shadforth Partner, Ernst & Young LLP Asia Pacific Wealth & Asset Management Leader +852 2846 9083 elliott.shadforth@hk.ey.com Bruno Patusi Partner, Ernst & Young AG Swiss Leader Wealth & Asset Management +41 58 286 4690 bruno.patusi@ch.ey.com
  • 28. EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory About EY EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. About EY’s Global Wealth & Asset Management Sector Digital innovation, new market entrants, intense cost pressures and shifting customer expectations are drastically changing how wealth and asset management firms strategize, operate and serve their clients. To succeed in this new age, firms must commit to radical change – transforming their business models, engaging clients in new ways and deploying technology more strategically. EY helps lead wealth and asset management firms to bolder strategies, simplified operations, and sustainable growth. We support clients to improve the effectiveness of their operating models, build a robust and resilient industry ecosystem and provide greater financial wellbeing for investors now and in the future. © 2017 Ernst & Young AG. All Rights Reserved. EYG No: 00105-184GBL 1711-2486107 ED None This publication contains information in summary form and is therefore intended for general guidance only. Although prepared with utmost care this publication is not intended to be a substitute for detailed research or professional advice. Therefore, by reading this publication, you agree that no liability for correctness, completeness and/or currentness will be assumed. It is solely the responsibility of the readers to decide whether and in what form the information made available is relevant for their purposes. Neither Ernst & Young Ltd nor any other member of the global EY organization accepts any responsibility. On any specific matter, reference should be made to the appropriate advisor. ey.com/wealtham