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Parasta olisi ollut toimia
eilen...
Tapani Frantsi
Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures (copyright © 1997)
Uotila T. 2011
Ennustaminen vs. ennakointi
!
Nostradamus 

1503-1566
Carleton T. Cockayne 

W. Tahvananainen A. 2013
Tervetuloa Mr. Chance
Teksti
Ennakoiva toimija
Yksilöt osuvat oikeaan?
Oikein

1. Digitaalinen
värikuvaus

2. Pituuskasvu

3. Matkapuhelin

4. Take a way ruoka

5. Televisio

6. Pikajunien nopeus

Väärin

1. C, X, Q häviävät 

2. USA:n väestönkasvu

3. Jenkkiväestö kävelee
10 mailia päivässä

4. Suurkaupungit ilman
autoja

5. Hyttyset, luteet ja
kärpäset häviävät

!
Nicholas
Negroponte 1984
Kosketusnäyttö

CD-ROM

web-ympäristöt
Aika ja ennakointi
Minä elän nykyisyydessä
Minä elän 

tulevaisuudessa
Minä elän 

menneisyydessä
Tietoinen aika
Tiedostamaton aika
Kuusi väärää uskomusta
ennakoinnista
Ennakointi perustuu tietoon

Ennakointi on ennustamista

Joillakin tai jollakin on itseäni parempi
ennakointitieto

Ennakointi ei ole taaksepäin katsomista

Tavis ei ole ennakoinnin kannalta kiinnostava

Ennakointi on taito
Realistinen käsitys
tiedosta
Havaintomme ovat puhtaita todellisuuden kuvia

Realistinen empirismi

se mitä havaitsee on puhdas ja todellinen
havainto

Fenomenologinen eli tulkinnallinen

ensin on ajatus siitä mitä tulee
havaitsemaan
Realismi
Sattuma auttaa 

valmistautunutta 

mieltä
Mahdollisten maailmojen

kuvittelu
Aikakäsityksiä tuulettava

ennakointi
Kronologinen 

skenariointi
Teksti
Jatulin

tarha
Otava

satunnaisuus
Ihminen vs. teknologia
Human

- tulevaisuuden
asiakas
Technology

- tulevaisuuden

teknologia
Ennakointi on inhimillistä
jatkuvaa toimintaa, joka
tapahtuu tässä ja nyt...
Ohjeet
Näe vaivaa
Ota itse vastuu
ennakoinnista
Luota aavistukseen
Havainnoi maailmaa
Uteliaana ja
tarkkaavaisena
Luo outoja yhteyksiä!
Tee päätöksiä
Luo rajat ylittäviä
yhteyksiä
Kysy kaverilta
Testaa
Ajatuksia
Ratkaisuja
Tuoteaihioita
Konsepteja
Ennusteita
Vaihtoehtoja
Anna asiakkaiden testata
Kuva Vaiska ky
Ennakointi ei siis ole...
Futuristin kutsumista strategiapalaveriin
pelkästään
Tulevaisuusselonteon 

tilaamista
Skenaarioiden rakentamista kerran 

neljässä vuodessa
Vierailua seminaareissa
Tulevaisuus on nyt!
Kiitos kavereille, joille soitin.

Kiitos ajattelijoille, joille en soittanut.

Kiitos kaikille, 

joilta tietämättäni varastin ideoita!!
Wikipedia, Wendy E. Schultz, Tuomo Uotila, Nostradamus, 

John Watkins, Jamal Malik, Leon Fuerth,

Peter Sellers, Anne Pässilä, Nicholas Negroponte,

James Canton, Tuija Oikarinen, Steve Jobs, Mari Silvennoinen

Kaarlo Nummela, Matti Järvinen,tamara

Google Clibural,Tekes, Tamara Carleton, Willian Cockanyne, 

Antti Tahvanainen

Foresight Communities - Global Foresight

!
Valtioneuvoston kanslia
Tapani Frantsi

twitter @tfrantsi

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