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First Quarter 2009
Earnings Conference Call
February 3, 2009
Safe Harbor Statement
Our commentary and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements,
including our outlook for the remainder of the year, and Emerson undertakes no obligation to update
any such statements to reflect later developments. Information on factors that could cause actual
results to vary materially from those discussed today is available in our most recent Annual Report
on Form 10-K as filed with the SEC.
Non-GAAP Measures
In this call we will discuss some non-GAAP measures
(denoted with *) in talking about our company’s
performance, and the reconciliation of those measures to
the most comparable GAAP measures is contained within
this presentation or available at our website
www.emerson.com under Investor Relations.
First Quarter 2009 Highlights
         First quarter sales down 2% to $5.4 billion
    

              Underlying sales* flat, with strong international and emerging market
          –

              growth
         Operating profit margin* contracted 20 basis points to 14.8%
    

         Earnings Per Share from continuing operations of $0.60, down 8%
    

         compared to $0.65 in the prior year quarter
         Operating cash flow of $319 million and free cash flow* of $187 million
    

         Restructuring costs in the quarter of $43 million, constant and
    

         continuous repositioning efforts
         Balance sheet remains strong and flexible
    

              Net Debt to Net Capital ratio at 30%
          –

              Operating Cash Flow to Total Debt solid at 60%
          –



        2009 Will Be Tough – But Emerson Is Well-Positioned
                and Our Financial Position is Strong
2
Emerson
    First Quarter Results
                              2008      2009
    ($Mil excl. EPS)
                                                   Down 2%
                                               
    Sales                   $5,520    $5,415
                                                        Underlying* flat; FX -4 pts; Acq. +2 pts;
                                                    •
                                                        Process Mgmt. +8%; Network Power +2%

                                                   Down 3%
    Operating Profit*         $826     $803    
                                                        Cost reductions and restructuring benefits
                                                    •
        OP%*                 15.0%     14.8%
                                                        help offset volume deleverage and price/cost
                                                        pressure
                                                        Lower incentive compensation and
                                                    •
                                                        commodity mark-to-market
                                                   Down 12%
                                               
    Earnings - Continuing Ops. $519    $458
        Earnings%             9.4%      8.5%
                                                   Repurchased 12.8M shares for $431M in the qtr.
                                               
    Dil. Avg. Shares          796.5    767.9
                                                   Down 8%
    EPS – Continuing Ops.                      
                             $0.65     $0.60
                                                               restructuring in FY09 and lower gains
                                                    Higher
                                                        versus prior year negatively impact EPS
    Discontinued Ops.        $0.06         -            comparisons by $0.08
    EPS                      $0.71     $0.60

      Near-Term Economic Environment Challenging
3
Underlying Sales Analysis
    First Quarter Results
         United States                  (7%)
          Europe                         4%
          Asia                           8%
          Latin America                 16%
          Canada                        16%
          Middle East/Africa             4%
         Total International             7%

         Underlying Sales*               0%
          Currency                      (4) pts
         Acquisitions                    2 pts
         Consolidated Sales             (2%)


       A Very Good Quarter Internationally – Especially
       in the Emerging Markets Which Increased 10%
4
Emerson
    First Quarter Detail
    ($Mil)                       2008     2009
                                                      Down 1%
                                                  
    Gross Profit                $2,010   $1,996
                                                          Cost reduction benefits drive
                                                      •
      GP%                       36.4%     36.9%
                                                          gross margin improvements
      SG&A%                     21.4%     22.1%

                                                      Down 3%
    Operating Profit*            $826     $803    

      OP%*                      15.0%     14.8%
                                                          (in $M)         Q108    Q109   Delta
      - Other Deductions, Net       $3      $91   
                                                          Gains           ($64)   ($4)   $60
      - Interest Expense, Net      $50      $43           Restructuring    $9     $43    $34




    Pretax Earnings              $773     $669        Down 14%
                                                  

      Earnings%                 14.0%     12.3%
      - Taxes                    $254      $211
                                                      Expect full year rate of
                                                  
      - Tax Rate                32.8%     31.5%
                                                      approx. 31.5%

5
First Quarter Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
    ($Mil)                   2008      2009
                                                   Down 25% in 1st Qtr
                                               
    Operating Cash Flow      $423      $319
                                                        First quarter cash flow tends to
                                                    •
                                                        be lowest of year
    Capital Expenditures    ($127)   ($132)             $81M margin deposit for
                                                    •
                                                        commodity futures contracts.
    Free Cash Flow*           $296     $187             This negative impact will be gone
                                                        by end of year
                                                   Balance sheet remains
    Cash Flow/Total Debt    63.6%     60.4%    
                                                   strong and flexible
    Inventories              $2,480 $2,470
                                                   Continued focus on working
                                               
    Receivables              $4,296 $4,007         capital initiatives
    Payables               ($2,329) ($2,171)
                                                   Will be challenging until
                                               
    Trade WC                 $4,447 $4,306         April / May as we reduce
                                                   capacity to real underlying
     TWC % to sales          19.7%    19.9%
                                                   demand

       In January 2009, Issued $500M in 10-Year Term
                      Debt at 4.875%
6
Business Segment Earnings
    First Quarter Results
    ($Mil)                        2008    2009
                                                      Down 13%
                                                  
    Business Segment EBIT*        $843    $736             Volume deleverage and price/cost
                                                       •
    Margin                        14.9%   13.3%            pressures
                                                           Dilution from acquisitions
                                                       •

                                                           Benefits from cost reductions and
                                                       •
                                                           price initiatives
                                                      Down $3 million
                                                  
    Diff. In Accounting Methods    $53     $50


                                                      FY09 lower incentive comp.
    Corporate & Other             ($73)   ($74)   
                                                      and mark-to-market offset by
                                                      one-time gains in FY08
                                                      Down $7 million, lower rates &
    Interest Expense, Net         ($50)   ($43)   

                                                      cash generation

                                                      Down 14%
    Pretax Earnings               $773    $669    




7
Process Management
    First Quarter Results
     ($Mil)                2008     2009
                                                 Up 8%
                                             
     Sales               $1,436    $1,553
                                                     Underlying* up 14%; FX -6 pts;
                                                 –
                                                           U.S. up 10%, Asia up 23%, Europe up 12%,
                                                       •

                                                           Latin America up 29%
                                                     Continued strength in the worldwide oil and
                                                 –
                                                     gas and power markets—but will weaken as
                                                     year progresses
                                                 Up 17%
     EBIT                 $258      $302     

     Margin              18.0%      19.4%            Margin increase driven by leverage on higher
                                                 –

                                                     sales and cost reduction programs which offset
     Restructuring            $1        $2           inflationary pressures, and strong new product
     EBIT Excl. Rest.*     $259      $304            sales mix
     Margin*              18.1%     19.5%            Continued investments in next generation
                                                 –

                                                     technologies will position us for 2011 and 2012
    Opened state-of-the-art Asia Flow Technology Center in Nanjing, China
    Industry leadership continues – 25 first-place awards in Control magazine’s
     Readers’ Choice awards, including first place in Wireless Infrastructure

              Long-term Market Fundamentals are Strong
8
Industrial Automation
    First Quarter Results
    ($Mil)                2008    2009
                                              Down 2%
                                          
    Sales               $1,125   $1,103
                                                  Underlying* up 2%; FX -5 pts; Acq. +1 pt.
                                              –

                                                  U.S. up 1%, Asia up 7%, Europe flat --
                                              –

                                                  but orders show weaker rest of 2009

                                              Down 10%
    EBIT                 $171     $153    
    Margin              15.2%     13.9%           Price increases did not offset volatile
                                              –

                                                  material costs and other inflation
    Restructuring           $3       $3
                                                  Negative mix impact
                                              –
    EBIT Excl. Rest.*     $174     $156
    Margin*              15.4%    14.2%


    Global capital goods markets slowing
    Participation in energy saving products and solutions provides
     good business growth opportunities

    System Plast Acquisition Strengthens Position in Global
                  Material Handling Market
9
Network Power
     First Quarter Results
     ($Mil)                2008     2009
                                                Up 2%
     Sales               $1,406    $1,435   

                                                    Underlying* flat; FX -4 pts; Acq +6 pts
                                                –
                                                         U.S. down 9%, Asia up 9%, Europe down 6%
                                                     •

                                                    Slowdown in capital spending patterns,
                                                –

                                                    especially in Embedded Power and
                                                    Computing customer base.
                                                –




     EBIT                 $180      $149        Down 17%
                                            
     Margin              12.8%      10.4%           Unfavorable mix and dilution from
                                                –

                                                    acquisitions of 200 basis points, including
     Restructuring            $3      $20
                                                    related restructuring.
     EBIT Excl. Rest.*     $183      $169
     Margin*              13.0%     11.8%

     China Power Systems business remains strong
     Significantly lowered the fixed cost base of this business versus prior
      downturn—we are taking necessary actions to stay ahead of economic
      downdraft
              Restructuring Efforts Will Position Business for
                             Strong Recovery
10
Climate Technologies
     First Quarter Results
     ($Mil)              2008     2009
                                             Down 10%
                                         
     Sales               $766     $692           Underlying* down 7%; FX -3 pts
                                             –
                                                        U.S. down 13%, Asia down 21%, Europe up 30%
                                                    •

                                                 U.S. and Asian residential air-conditioning
                                             –
                                                 and refrigeration businesses slowed
                                                 Higher heat pump compressor sales in
                                             –
                                                 Europe, from low levels in prior year
                                             Down 48%
     EBIT                $102      $53   
     Margin              13.4%    7.7%           Volume deleverage, volatile commodity
                                             –
                                                 inflation, increased restructuring and
     Restructuring           $1    $14
                                                 negative fx transactions due to the stronger
     EBIT Excl. Rest.*    $103     $67           U.S. dollar
     Margin*             13.5%    9.7%

     European Union qualifies heat pumps as renewable energy
     Demand for energy responsible solutions will continue to benefit
      Climate Technologies -- the U.S. R410A refrigerant transition is a benefit
      later in 2009
              Penetration Gains Achieved in the Global
                  Refrigeration Transport Market
11
Appliance and Tools
     First Quarter Results
     ($Mil)              2008     2009
                                               Down 17%
                                           
     Sales               $932     $771
                                                   Underlying* down 16%; FX -1 pt
                                               –

                                                   U.S. down 19%, Europe down 18%,
                                               –
                                                   Asia up 15%



     EBIT                $132      $79         Down 40%
                                           
     Margin              14.1%    10.2%            Deleverage on lower sales volume
                                               –

                                                   Pricing actions substantially offset by
                                               –
     Restructuring           $1       $4
                                                   material and other inflation
     EBIT Excl. Rest.*    $133      $83
     Margin*             14.3%    10.7%


      Customers facility shutdowns and inventory reduction programs
       negatively impacting segment

         U.S. Residential and Consumer Markets Continue
          to be Highly Stressed – But Will Turn Fast Off a
                         Much Lower Base
12
Summary and Outlook
         Emerson is well positioned as we move through a tough 2009
     

              Strong Global Footprint
          –

                   – International sales 54% of total business

                   – Emerging markets 30% of total business

              Good Mix of Businesses – we have continued to actively manage the
          –
              portfolio
              We are stepping up Global Best Cost Repositioning and increasing
          –
              strategic technology and breakthrough Next Generation New Products for
              strong breakout growth when the global economy recovers.
              Financial Strength to invest internally and do acquisitions where
          –
              appropriate


         Will Review 2009 Expectations and Long-Term Initiatives at
     
         Emerson’s Annual Investor Conference on February 6th




13

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emerson electricl Q1 2009 Earnings Presentation

  • 1. First Quarter 2009 Earnings Conference Call February 3, 2009 Safe Harbor Statement Our commentary and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements, including our outlook for the remainder of the year, and Emerson undertakes no obligation to update any such statements to reflect later developments. Information on factors that could cause actual results to vary materially from those discussed today is available in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K as filed with the SEC. Non-GAAP Measures In this call we will discuss some non-GAAP measures (denoted with *) in talking about our company’s performance, and the reconciliation of those measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is contained within this presentation or available at our website www.emerson.com under Investor Relations.
  • 2. First Quarter 2009 Highlights First quarter sales down 2% to $5.4 billion  Underlying sales* flat, with strong international and emerging market – growth Operating profit margin* contracted 20 basis points to 14.8%  Earnings Per Share from continuing operations of $0.60, down 8%  compared to $0.65 in the prior year quarter Operating cash flow of $319 million and free cash flow* of $187 million  Restructuring costs in the quarter of $43 million, constant and  continuous repositioning efforts Balance sheet remains strong and flexible  Net Debt to Net Capital ratio at 30% – Operating Cash Flow to Total Debt solid at 60% – 2009 Will Be Tough – But Emerson Is Well-Positioned and Our Financial Position is Strong 2
  • 3. Emerson First Quarter Results 2008 2009 ($Mil excl. EPS) Down 2%  Sales $5,520 $5,415 Underlying* flat; FX -4 pts; Acq. +2 pts; • Process Mgmt. +8%; Network Power +2% Down 3% Operating Profit* $826 $803  Cost reductions and restructuring benefits • OP%* 15.0% 14.8% help offset volume deleverage and price/cost pressure Lower incentive compensation and • commodity mark-to-market Down 12%  Earnings - Continuing Ops. $519 $458 Earnings% 9.4% 8.5% Repurchased 12.8M shares for $431M in the qtr.  Dil. Avg. Shares 796.5 767.9 Down 8% EPS – Continuing Ops.  $0.65 $0.60 restructuring in FY09 and lower gains Higher versus prior year negatively impact EPS Discontinued Ops. $0.06 - comparisons by $0.08 EPS $0.71 $0.60 Near-Term Economic Environment Challenging 3
  • 4. Underlying Sales Analysis First Quarter Results United States (7%) Europe 4% Asia 8% Latin America 16% Canada 16% Middle East/Africa 4% Total International 7% Underlying Sales* 0% Currency (4) pts Acquisitions 2 pts Consolidated Sales (2%) A Very Good Quarter Internationally – Especially in the Emerging Markets Which Increased 10% 4
  • 5. Emerson First Quarter Detail ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 1%  Gross Profit $2,010 $1,996 Cost reduction benefits drive • GP% 36.4% 36.9% gross margin improvements SG&A% 21.4% 22.1% Down 3% Operating Profit* $826 $803  OP%* 15.0% 14.8% (in $M) Q108 Q109 Delta - Other Deductions, Net $3 $91  Gains ($64) ($4) $60 - Interest Expense, Net $50 $43 Restructuring $9 $43 $34 Pretax Earnings $773 $669 Down 14%  Earnings% 14.0% 12.3% - Taxes $254 $211 Expect full year rate of  - Tax Rate 32.8% 31.5% approx. 31.5% 5
  • 6. First Quarter Cash Flow & Balance Sheet ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 25% in 1st Qtr  Operating Cash Flow $423 $319 First quarter cash flow tends to • be lowest of year Capital Expenditures ($127) ($132) $81M margin deposit for • commodity futures contracts. Free Cash Flow* $296 $187 This negative impact will be gone by end of year Balance sheet remains Cash Flow/Total Debt 63.6% 60.4%  strong and flexible Inventories $2,480 $2,470 Continued focus on working  Receivables $4,296 $4,007 capital initiatives Payables ($2,329) ($2,171) Will be challenging until  Trade WC $4,447 $4,306 April / May as we reduce capacity to real underlying TWC % to sales 19.7% 19.9% demand In January 2009, Issued $500M in 10-Year Term Debt at 4.875% 6
  • 7. Business Segment Earnings First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 13%  Business Segment EBIT* $843 $736 Volume deleverage and price/cost • Margin 14.9% 13.3% pressures Dilution from acquisitions • Benefits from cost reductions and • price initiatives Down $3 million  Diff. In Accounting Methods $53 $50 FY09 lower incentive comp. Corporate & Other ($73) ($74)  and mark-to-market offset by one-time gains in FY08 Down $7 million, lower rates & Interest Expense, Net ($50) ($43)  cash generation Down 14% Pretax Earnings $773 $669  7
  • 8. Process Management First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Up 8%  Sales $1,436 $1,553 Underlying* up 14%; FX -6 pts; – U.S. up 10%, Asia up 23%, Europe up 12%, • Latin America up 29% Continued strength in the worldwide oil and – gas and power markets—but will weaken as year progresses Up 17% EBIT $258 $302  Margin 18.0% 19.4% Margin increase driven by leverage on higher – sales and cost reduction programs which offset Restructuring $1 $2 inflationary pressures, and strong new product EBIT Excl. Rest.* $259 $304 sales mix Margin* 18.1% 19.5% Continued investments in next generation – technologies will position us for 2011 and 2012 Opened state-of-the-art Asia Flow Technology Center in Nanjing, China Industry leadership continues – 25 first-place awards in Control magazine’s Readers’ Choice awards, including first place in Wireless Infrastructure Long-term Market Fundamentals are Strong 8
  • 9. Industrial Automation First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 2%  Sales $1,125 $1,103 Underlying* up 2%; FX -5 pts; Acq. +1 pt. – U.S. up 1%, Asia up 7%, Europe flat -- – but orders show weaker rest of 2009 Down 10% EBIT $171 $153  Margin 15.2% 13.9% Price increases did not offset volatile – material costs and other inflation Restructuring $3 $3 Negative mix impact – EBIT Excl. Rest.* $174 $156 Margin* 15.4% 14.2% Global capital goods markets slowing Participation in energy saving products and solutions provides good business growth opportunities System Plast Acquisition Strengthens Position in Global Material Handling Market 9
  • 10. Network Power First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Up 2% Sales $1,406 $1,435  Underlying* flat; FX -4 pts; Acq +6 pts – U.S. down 9%, Asia up 9%, Europe down 6% • Slowdown in capital spending patterns, – especially in Embedded Power and Computing customer base. – EBIT $180 $149 Down 17%  Margin 12.8% 10.4% Unfavorable mix and dilution from – acquisitions of 200 basis points, including Restructuring $3 $20 related restructuring. EBIT Excl. Rest.* $183 $169 Margin* 13.0% 11.8% China Power Systems business remains strong Significantly lowered the fixed cost base of this business versus prior downturn—we are taking necessary actions to stay ahead of economic downdraft Restructuring Efforts Will Position Business for Strong Recovery 10
  • 11. Climate Technologies First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 10%  Sales $766 $692 Underlying* down 7%; FX -3 pts – U.S. down 13%, Asia down 21%, Europe up 30% • U.S. and Asian residential air-conditioning – and refrigeration businesses slowed Higher heat pump compressor sales in – Europe, from low levels in prior year Down 48% EBIT $102 $53  Margin 13.4% 7.7% Volume deleverage, volatile commodity – inflation, increased restructuring and Restructuring $1 $14 negative fx transactions due to the stronger EBIT Excl. Rest.* $103 $67 U.S. dollar Margin* 13.5% 9.7% European Union qualifies heat pumps as renewable energy Demand for energy responsible solutions will continue to benefit Climate Technologies -- the U.S. R410A refrigerant transition is a benefit later in 2009 Penetration Gains Achieved in the Global Refrigeration Transport Market 11
  • 12. Appliance and Tools First Quarter Results ($Mil) 2008 2009 Down 17%  Sales $932 $771 Underlying* down 16%; FX -1 pt – U.S. down 19%, Europe down 18%, – Asia up 15% EBIT $132 $79 Down 40%  Margin 14.1% 10.2% Deleverage on lower sales volume – Pricing actions substantially offset by – Restructuring $1 $4 material and other inflation EBIT Excl. Rest.* $133 $83 Margin* 14.3% 10.7% Customers facility shutdowns and inventory reduction programs negatively impacting segment U.S. Residential and Consumer Markets Continue to be Highly Stressed – But Will Turn Fast Off a Much Lower Base 12
  • 13. Summary and Outlook Emerson is well positioned as we move through a tough 2009  Strong Global Footprint – – International sales 54% of total business – Emerging markets 30% of total business Good Mix of Businesses – we have continued to actively manage the – portfolio We are stepping up Global Best Cost Repositioning and increasing – strategic technology and breakthrough Next Generation New Products for strong breakout growth when the global economy recovers. Financial Strength to invest internally and do acquisitions where – appropriate Will Review 2009 Expectations and Long-Term Initiatives at  Emerson’s Annual Investor Conference on February 6th 13