The document provides a daily stock market report and trading recommendations. Key points:
- Trading volume is light due to the holiday week, exaggerating stock price movements. The bias is to the upside.
- Economic data releases on Thursday and Friday this week will influence market movement.
- Long positions are recommended over shorts given the expected upward bias.
- Specific stock recommendations are given for intraday scalps, swing trades, and longer-term positions.
Each and every day Stock Report Friday Morning, July 6, 2012James Stewart
The document provides a daily stock report and trading recommendations. It summarizes that trading volume is light due to the holiday week, so stock prices tend to be exaggerated. However, the bias is to the upside this week and long positions should outperform shorts. Several specific stock tips are also provided for scalp, swing, and intermediate trades.
Daily Stock Report Monday Morning, July 9, 2012James Stewart
The document provides commentary and stock ideas from a live trading room, including stocks being watched for potential bottoms or tops such as MTH, CAT, GMCR, ADSK, XRTX, PLCM, RVBD, VMW, WYNN, MCP, WLT, VFC, TDC, WDC, LRCX, CRM, CTXS, BIIB, WAT, USG, as well as notes on specific stocks like a call on INFA and NFLX continuing to rise. Users in the chat discuss topics like the upcoming weeks being interesting and NFLX being crazy as it rises
Daily Stock Report Tuesday Morning, July 10, 2012James Stewart
The document provides a daily stock report with the following key points:
1. US stocks had a slight follow through decline on Monday after Friday's big drop in response to lower than expected job growth.
2. Short positions are expected to outperform long positions through the summer with intermittent bull runs within the downtrend since April.
3. Several concerns are listed that could continue affecting market worries, including the European debt crisis, slowing growth in China, and the US presidential election and budget negotiations.
Everyday Stock Report Friday Morning, June 15, 2012James Stewart
The document provides stock market commentary and trading recommendations. It discusses political and economic factors impacting markets, including the upcoming Greek election. It recommends reducing short positions on Friday in anticipation that stocks may rebound on Monday if Greece votes against Syriza. The document also provides several intraday and swing trade stock ideas and their rationale.
This document provides information about a presentation on disciplined trading given by Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub (VDTH). The presentation introduces VDTH, discusses what disciplined trading means, and covers non-directional and directional trades. It also lists upcoming content for traders and holds a round table discussion. The document notes that VDTH is for educational purposes only and does not provide individualized recommendations or advice.
This slide analyses various money investment instruments through which 1 crore INR rupees can be earned over 25 years. It also suggests a sample portfolio for monthly investment plan.
Everyday Stock Report Tuesday Morning, July 3, 2012James Stewart
The Trading Room provides stock trading ideas and commentary in real-time. On July 2nd, moderator Ed and user Mitch K discussed several stocks they were watching for potential day trading opportunities, including LQDT, FRAN, UA, BBY, FAST, WWW, MCK, NAV, WTW, MOS, WYNN, SXCI, APOL, VHC, PPO and CNX. Users in the chat room exchanged greetings and discussed upcoming economic reports. The Trading Room allows traders to receive intraday trading ideas and analysis to potentially profit from short-term stock price movements.
Every day Stock Report Thursday Morning, June 28, 2012James Stewart
The document provides stock market commentary and trading ideas from a live online trading room, including both short-term intraday scalping ideas and longer-term swing trade positions. Traders are advised to practice trading strategies in a virtual account before using real money and to keep position sizes lower than normal given current market uncertainty related to events in Europe. A variety of stocks are mentioned as potential long or short trade opportunities across different industry sectors.
Each and every day Stock Report Friday Morning, July 6, 2012James Stewart
The document provides a daily stock report and trading recommendations. It summarizes that trading volume is light due to the holiday week, so stock prices tend to be exaggerated. However, the bias is to the upside this week and long positions should outperform shorts. Several specific stock tips are also provided for scalp, swing, and intermediate trades.
Daily Stock Report Monday Morning, July 9, 2012James Stewart
The document provides commentary and stock ideas from a live trading room, including stocks being watched for potential bottoms or tops such as MTH, CAT, GMCR, ADSK, XRTX, PLCM, RVBD, VMW, WYNN, MCP, WLT, VFC, TDC, WDC, LRCX, CRM, CTXS, BIIB, WAT, USG, as well as notes on specific stocks like a call on INFA and NFLX continuing to rise. Users in the chat discuss topics like the upcoming weeks being interesting and NFLX being crazy as it rises
Daily Stock Report Tuesday Morning, July 10, 2012James Stewart
The document provides a daily stock report with the following key points:
1. US stocks had a slight follow through decline on Monday after Friday's big drop in response to lower than expected job growth.
2. Short positions are expected to outperform long positions through the summer with intermittent bull runs within the downtrend since April.
3. Several concerns are listed that could continue affecting market worries, including the European debt crisis, slowing growth in China, and the US presidential election and budget negotiations.
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The document provides stock market commentary and trading recommendations. It discusses political and economic factors impacting markets, including the upcoming Greek election. It recommends reducing short positions on Friday in anticipation that stocks may rebound on Monday if Greece votes against Syriza. The document also provides several intraday and swing trade stock ideas and their rationale.
This document provides information about a presentation on disciplined trading given by Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub (VDTH). The presentation introduces VDTH, discusses what disciplined trading means, and covers non-directional and directional trades. It also lists upcoming content for traders and holds a round table discussion. The document notes that VDTH is for educational purposes only and does not provide individualized recommendations or advice.
This slide analyses various money investment instruments through which 1 crore INR rupees can be earned over 25 years. It also suggests a sample portfolio for monthly investment plan.
Everyday Stock Report Tuesday Morning, July 3, 2012James Stewart
The Trading Room provides stock trading ideas and commentary in real-time. On July 2nd, moderator Ed and user Mitch K discussed several stocks they were watching for potential day trading opportunities, including LQDT, FRAN, UA, BBY, FAST, WWW, MCK, NAV, WTW, MOS, WYNN, SXCI, APOL, VHC, PPO and CNX. Users in the chat room exchanged greetings and discussed upcoming economic reports. The Trading Room allows traders to receive intraday trading ideas and analysis to potentially profit from short-term stock price movements.
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The document provides stock market commentary and trading ideas from a live online trading room, including both short-term intraday scalping ideas and longer-term swing trade positions. Traders are advised to practice trading strategies in a virtual account before using real money and to keep position sizes lower than normal given current market uncertainty related to events in Europe. A variety of stocks are mentioned as potential long or short trade opportunities across different industry sectors.
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1. The document provides a daily stock report and trading ideas from a real-time trading room forum focused on intraday scalping trades.
2. It discusses factors contributing to declines in US stocks and provides commentary on market worries and upcoming economic data events.
3. It provides a list of short-term, intermediate, and aggressive stock trading ideas along with notes on opening, holding, and closing various positions.
Every day Stock Report Friday Morning, June 22, 2012James Stewart
The US stock market declined sharply on downgrades to major investment banks and signs of slowing economic growth. Several short-term stock trading ideas are provided from an online trading room, including short positions in SHFL, IDCC, and FNGN expected to outperform over the next two weeks. Longer-term trade ideas include potential long positions in SNI, SHW, and ORLY once the market rebounds.
Every day Stock Report Wednesday Morning, June 20, 2012James Stewart
The US stock market is rallying this week on hopes that the Federal Reserve will announce a stimulus plan at its rate decision meeting on Wednesday. However, the market may sell off late Wednesday or Thursday if no stimulus is mentioned. Traders are monitoring several stocks for potential short-term trades, with a focus on covering shorts before any market decline. The Trading Room provides intraday commentary and stock ideas, mostly for scalping trades aiming for 1-3% profits. A $1 trial is offered to participate.
Every day Stock Report Monday Morning, May 21, 2012James Stewart
The daily stock report provides an overview of the negative market conditions, with 12 of the last 13 days seeing declines across indexes. It recommends monitoring the market for a tradable bottom that could provide opportunities to buy long positions. The report discusses specific stocks that could be considered for long or short swing trade positions once the market selling subsides and stocks bottom out, but cautions patience is needed before entering new long positions.
Active Trading Plan: Insights & Opportunities 09 & 10 August 2021Unum Capital
The document provides an active trading plan and analysis for the week ahead, covering various global markets, sectors, and stocks. It identifies technical setups and trading opportunities based on chart patterns and recent price action. Key areas discussed include the strong US jobs report supporting the US dollar, weakness in gold and other commodities, mixed opportunities across South African sectors, and long and short setups developing on individual stocks based on technical indicators.
The investment duo of Mark and Michele bravely tackle the popular Investment Myths head on.
Need to know if a trading myth is true or false? Call the Investment Mythbusters! Inspired by the popular TV series with a surprisingly similar name, Vunani Private Clients' Investment Managers Mark Weetman and Michele Santangelo have devoted themselves to combining elements of science, statistics, investment theory and some good old-fashioned luck to determine if popular investment beliefs are true or false.
The document summarizes several common investment myths, including that the performance of January predicts the performance of the full year, that the "Santa Claus rally" in December reliably occurs, that the S&P 500 performs best on Tuesdays, that copper prices can predict the economy, and that markets should be sold in May and avoided over the summer. For each myth, the document analyzes historical data and finds little statistical evidence to reliably support the strategies predicted by the myths.
The document discusses pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It answers questions about the hours for pre-market and post-market trading, whether trades in these times count as day trades, and liquidity in the extended trading periods. The questions and answers provide information for individual and institutional investors about trading outside of regular market hours on Nasdaq.
The document discusses questions and answers related to pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It explains that Nasdaq pre-market hours are from 8:00AM to 9:30AM ET and after-hours are from 4:00PM to 6:30PM ET. Day trades that occur during these periods still count toward the pattern day trading rules. Liquidity is also very thin during pre-market and after-hours.
This document contains questions and answers about pre-market and after-hours trading on NASDAQ. Pre-market hours are from 8:00-9:30 AM and after-hours are from 4:00-6:30 PM. Trades made during these times are counted for the following trading day. Day traders must be careful, as trades in pre-market and after-hours could count towards pattern day trading limits. Liquidity is also very thin during these times. ECNs have longer hours than exchanges, typically starting at 4:15 AM and ending at 7:00 PM.
The document discusses pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It answers questions about the hours for pre-market trading (8:00AM-9:30AM) and after-hours trading (4:00PM-6:30PM). It also notes that liquidity is lower during these times and that most trading is done on the most liquid stocks. Day trades are counted the same during pre-market and after-hours trading. Electronic Communication Networks may not operate 24/7 and also have set pre-market and after-hours windows.
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed recession fears. Major news and data reports caused investors to worry the economy could be headed for a recession.
AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss due to huge writedowns from bad mortgage investments. Their shares dropped 7%. Dell also missed earnings targets and warned of weak customer spending, dropping their stock 1.5%. Reports said a bailout of bond insurer Ambac was facing problems, sending their stock down 7.5%.
Economic data also fueled recession concerns. A report on Midwest manufacturing fell more than expected to a six-year low, indicating weakness in that sector. Consumer sentiment declined to its lowest
Dow Jones Outlook, David Jones Takeover & Technical Outlook on the Japanese D...Invast Financial Services
1. This weekly report provides an overview and analysis of topics including the Dow Jones monthly outlook, a valuation summary of the David Jones takeover offer, a technical outlook on the Japanese Yen crosses, upcoming client webinars, and Invast's new daily Forex podcast.
2. The chief market analyst believes the US stock market may be due for a small correction as part of an ongoing upward trend, and outlines a strategy to short the Dow Jones over the next 4-6 weeks for a potential 8-10% fall with a stop loss of 2% above current levels.
3. A valuation summary shows the David Jones takeover offer of $4.90 per share represents a reasonable premium that is
Behavioral Finance Jay R. Ritter Cordell Professor .docxAASTHA76
Behavioral Finance
Jay R. Ritter
Cordell Professor of Finance
University of Florida
P.O. Box 117168
Gainesville FL 32611-7168
http://bear.cba.ufl.edu/ritter
[email protected]
(352) 846-2837
Published, with minor modifications, in the
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal Vol. 11, No. 4, (September 2003) pp. 429-437.
Abstract
This article provides a brief introduction to behavioral finance. Behavioral finance encompasses
research that drops the traditional assumptions of expected utility maximization with rational
investors in efficient markets. The two building blocks of behavioral finance are cognitive
psychology (how people think) and the limits to arbitrage (when markets will be inefficient).
The growth of behavioral finance research has been fueled by the inability of the traditional
framework to explain many empirical patterns, including stock market bubbles in Japan, Taiwan,
and the U.S.
JEL classification: G14; D81
Keywords: Behavioral finance; arbitrage; psychology; market efficiency
A modified version of this paper was given as a keynote address at the July, 2002
APFA/PACAP/FMA meetings in Tokyo. I would like to thank Ken Froot and Andrei Shleifer
for sharing their data and ideas, and Rongbing Huang for research assistance.
2
Behavioral Finance
1. Introduction
Behavioral finance is the paradigm where financial markets are studied using models that
are less narrow than those based on Von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theory and
arbitrage assumptions. Specifically, behavioral finance has two building blocks: cognitive
psychology and the limits to arbitrage. Cognitive refers to how people think. There is a huge
psychology literature documenting that people make systematic errors in the way that they think:
they are overconfident, they put too much weight on recent experience, etc. Their preferences
may also create distortions. Behavioral finance uses this body of knowledge, rather than taking
the arrogant approach that it should be ignored. Limits to arbitrage refers to predicting in what
circumstances arbitrage forces will be effective, and when they won't be.
Behavioral finance uses models in which some agents are not fully rational, either
because of preferences or because of mistaken beliefs. An example of an assumption about
preferences is that people are loss averse - a $2 gain might make people feel better by as much as
a $1 loss makes them feel worse. Mistaken beliefs arise because people are bad Bayesians.
Modern finance has as a building block the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH). The EMH
argues that competition between investors seeking abnormal profits drives prices to their
“correct” value. The EMH does not assume that all investors are rational, but it does assume that
markets are rational. The EMH does not assume that markets can foresee the future, but it does
assume that markets make unbiased forecasts ...
The stock market fell sharply on Friday as weak economic data renewed recession fears. Manufacturing and consumer sentiment numbers came in below expectations, indicating continued weakness. AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss due to mortgage investments. The bailout of bond insurer Ambac hit obstacles, further worrying investors. Rising oil prices, a slumping dollar, and signs of inflation pressure added to the gloomy outlook. All 30 Dow stocks declined as investors fled to safer havens.
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed fears about the economy entering a recession. Several negative economic reports and events contributed to the downturn:
- Insurance giant AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss, driven by huge writedowns from bad mortgage investments. Its large loss added to concerns about the financial sector.
- The Chicago PMI index, a gauge of Midwest manufacturing, unexpectedly plunged to a six-year low, indicating weakness in that important sector.
- Consumer sentiment was revised up slightly but remained near its lowest level since the early 1990s, showing consumers remain worried.
- While personal income and spending rose more than expected, inflation
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed fears about the economy slipping into recession. Several negative economic reports and events contributed to the downbeat sentiment:
- Insurance giant AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss, driven by huge writedowns on mortgage-related investments. This renewed worries about losses spreading from the housing sector.
- The Chicago PMI index, a gauge of Midwest manufacturing, unexpectedly plunged to its lowest level in over 6 years, indicating the manufacturing sector is weakening.
- Consumer sentiment also fell to its lowest level since the early 1990s, showing consumers are increasingly pessimistic.
- Personal spending and income rose more than
Yesterday's still relevant market briefPinchas Cohen
All the man events, what reactions they affect and their trajectories, with detailed trading strategies. Good for experienced traders as well as for novices, who want to actually learn, as they trade.
This document discusses risk and investing strategies. It emphasizes the importance of portfolio diversification, dividing assets across income stocks, risk stocks, momentum stocks, and cash. It also stresses accepting that markets cannot be perfectly timed but risk allocation is important. The document then analyzes various risks in the current market environment, such as issues in Europe and interest rate changes. It provides sector and stock recommendations, examining performance of sectors over different time periods.
SchoolofTrade day trading newsletter 05 06 14Joseph James
“You cannot change your destination overnight, but with the right plan of action, you can change your direction right NOW.”
Today’s Newsletter:
• Markets Today: Gold asleep, Crude Oil goes sideways, Mini-Russell drops
• News Today: Strong news from Europe Manufacturing, US Trade Balance
• News for Tomorrow: Janet Yellen & Crude Oil Inventories
• Trading Opportunities: Selling opportunities on Gold, Crude Oil and Mini-Russell
[To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
This presentation is a curated compilation of PowerPoint diagrams and templates designed to illustrate 20 different digital transformation frameworks and models. These frameworks are based on recent industry trends and best practices, ensuring that the content remains relevant and up-to-date.
Key highlights include Microsoft's Digital Transformation Framework, which focuses on driving innovation and efficiency, and McKinsey's Ten Guiding Principles, which provide strategic insights for successful digital transformation. Additionally, Forrester's framework emphasizes enhancing customer experiences and modernizing IT infrastructure, while IDC's MaturityScape helps assess and develop organizational digital maturity. MIT's framework explores cutting-edge strategies for achieving digital success.
These materials are perfect for enhancing your business or classroom presentations, offering visual aids to supplement your insights. Please note that while comprehensive, these slides are intended as supplementary resources and may not be complete for standalone instructional purposes.
Frameworks/Models included:
Microsoft’s Digital Transformation Framework
McKinsey’s Ten Guiding Principles of Digital Transformation
Forrester’s Digital Transformation Framework
IDC’s Digital Transformation MaturityScape
MIT’s Digital Transformation Framework
Gartner’s Digital Transformation Framework
Accenture’s Digital Strategy & Enterprise Frameworks
Deloitte’s Digital Industrial Transformation Framework
Capgemini’s Digital Transformation Framework
PwC’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cisco’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cognizant’s Digital Transformation Framework
DXC Technology’s Digital Transformation Framework
The BCG Strategy Palette
McKinsey’s Digital Transformation Framework
Digital Transformation Compass
Four Levels of Digital Maturity
Design Thinking Framework
Business Model Canvas
Customer Journey Map
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1. The document provides a daily stock report and trading ideas from a real-time trading room forum focused on intraday scalping trades.
2. It discusses factors contributing to declines in US stocks and provides commentary on market worries and upcoming economic data events.
3. It provides a list of short-term, intermediate, and aggressive stock trading ideas along with notes on opening, holding, and closing various positions.
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The US stock market declined sharply on downgrades to major investment banks and signs of slowing economic growth. Several short-term stock trading ideas are provided from an online trading room, including short positions in SHFL, IDCC, and FNGN expected to outperform over the next two weeks. Longer-term trade ideas include potential long positions in SNI, SHW, and ORLY once the market rebounds.
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The document provides an active trading plan and analysis for the week ahead, covering various global markets, sectors, and stocks. It identifies technical setups and trading opportunities based on chart patterns and recent price action. Key areas discussed include the strong US jobs report supporting the US dollar, weakness in gold and other commodities, mixed opportunities across South African sectors, and long and short setups developing on individual stocks based on technical indicators.
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Need to know if a trading myth is true or false? Call the Investment Mythbusters! Inspired by the popular TV series with a surprisingly similar name, Vunani Private Clients' Investment Managers Mark Weetman and Michele Santangelo have devoted themselves to combining elements of science, statistics, investment theory and some good old-fashioned luck to determine if popular investment beliefs are true or false.
The document summarizes several common investment myths, including that the performance of January predicts the performance of the full year, that the "Santa Claus rally" in December reliably occurs, that the S&P 500 performs best on Tuesdays, that copper prices can predict the economy, and that markets should be sold in May and avoided over the summer. For each myth, the document analyzes historical data and finds little statistical evidence to reliably support the strategies predicted by the myths.
The document discusses pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It answers questions about the hours for pre-market and post-market trading, whether trades in these times count as day trades, and liquidity in the extended trading periods. The questions and answers provide information for individual and institutional investors about trading outside of regular market hours on Nasdaq.
The document discusses questions and answers related to pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It explains that Nasdaq pre-market hours are from 8:00AM to 9:30AM ET and after-hours are from 4:00PM to 6:30PM ET. Day trades that occur during these periods still count toward the pattern day trading rules. Liquidity is also very thin during pre-market and after-hours.
This document contains questions and answers about pre-market and after-hours trading on NASDAQ. Pre-market hours are from 8:00-9:30 AM and after-hours are from 4:00-6:30 PM. Trades made during these times are counted for the following trading day. Day traders must be careful, as trades in pre-market and after-hours could count towards pattern day trading limits. Liquidity is also very thin during these times. ECNs have longer hours than exchanges, typically starting at 4:15 AM and ending at 7:00 PM.
The document discusses pre-market and after-hours trading on Nasdaq. It answers questions about the hours for pre-market trading (8:00AM-9:30AM) and after-hours trading (4:00PM-6:30PM). It also notes that liquidity is lower during these times and that most trading is done on the most liquid stocks. Day trades are counted the same during pre-market and after-hours trading. Electronic Communication Networks may not operate 24/7 and also have set pre-market and after-hours windows.
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed recession fears. Major news and data reports caused investors to worry the economy could be headed for a recession.
AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss due to huge writedowns from bad mortgage investments. Their shares dropped 7%. Dell also missed earnings targets and warned of weak customer spending, dropping their stock 1.5%. Reports said a bailout of bond insurer Ambac was facing problems, sending their stock down 7.5%.
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1. This weekly report provides an overview and analysis of topics including the Dow Jones monthly outlook, a valuation summary of the David Jones takeover offer, a technical outlook on the Japanese Yen crosses, upcoming client webinars, and Invast's new daily Forex podcast.
2. The chief market analyst believes the US stock market may be due for a small correction as part of an ongoing upward trend, and outlines a strategy to short the Dow Jones over the next 4-6 weeks for a potential 8-10% fall with a stop loss of 2% above current levels.
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Behavioral Finance Jay R. Ritter Cordell Professor .docxAASTHA76
Behavioral Finance
Jay R. Ritter
Cordell Professor of Finance
University of Florida
P.O. Box 117168
Gainesville FL 32611-7168
http://bear.cba.ufl.edu/ritter
[email protected]
(352) 846-2837
Published, with minor modifications, in the
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal Vol. 11, No. 4, (September 2003) pp. 429-437.
Abstract
This article provides a brief introduction to behavioral finance. Behavioral finance encompasses
research that drops the traditional assumptions of expected utility maximization with rational
investors in efficient markets. The two building blocks of behavioral finance are cognitive
psychology (how people think) and the limits to arbitrage (when markets will be inefficient).
The growth of behavioral finance research has been fueled by the inability of the traditional
framework to explain many empirical patterns, including stock market bubbles in Japan, Taiwan,
and the U.S.
JEL classification: G14; D81
Keywords: Behavioral finance; arbitrage; psychology; market efficiency
A modified version of this paper was given as a keynote address at the July, 2002
APFA/PACAP/FMA meetings in Tokyo. I would like to thank Ken Froot and Andrei Shleifer
for sharing their data and ideas, and Rongbing Huang for research assistance.
2
Behavioral Finance
1. Introduction
Behavioral finance is the paradigm where financial markets are studied using models that
are less narrow than those based on Von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theory and
arbitrage assumptions. Specifically, behavioral finance has two building blocks: cognitive
psychology and the limits to arbitrage. Cognitive refers to how people think. There is a huge
psychology literature documenting that people make systematic errors in the way that they think:
they are overconfident, they put too much weight on recent experience, etc. Their preferences
may also create distortions. Behavioral finance uses this body of knowledge, rather than taking
the arrogant approach that it should be ignored. Limits to arbitrage refers to predicting in what
circumstances arbitrage forces will be effective, and when they won't be.
Behavioral finance uses models in which some agents are not fully rational, either
because of preferences or because of mistaken beliefs. An example of an assumption about
preferences is that people are loss averse - a $2 gain might make people feel better by as much as
a $1 loss makes them feel worse. Mistaken beliefs arise because people are bad Bayesians.
Modern finance has as a building block the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH). The EMH
argues that competition between investors seeking abnormal profits drives prices to their
“correct” value. The EMH does not assume that all investors are rational, but it does assume that
markets are rational. The EMH does not assume that markets can foresee the future, but it does
assume that markets make unbiased forecasts ...
The stock market fell sharply on Friday as weak economic data renewed recession fears. Manufacturing and consumer sentiment numbers came in below expectations, indicating continued weakness. AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss due to mortgage investments. The bailout of bond insurer Ambac hit obstacles, further worrying investors. Rising oil prices, a slumping dollar, and signs of inflation pressure added to the gloomy outlook. All 30 Dow stocks declined as investors fled to safer havens.
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed fears about the economy entering a recession. Several negative economic reports and events contributed to the downturn:
- Insurance giant AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss, driven by huge writedowns from bad mortgage investments. Its large loss added to concerns about the financial sector.
- The Chicago PMI index, a gauge of Midwest manufacturing, unexpectedly plunged to a six-year low, indicating weakness in that important sector.
- Consumer sentiment was revised up slightly but remained near its lowest level since the early 1990s, showing consumers remain worried.
- While personal income and spending rose more than expected, inflation
Here is a long but understandable explanation:
The stock market fell sharply on Friday due to renewed fears about the economy slipping into recession. Several negative economic reports and events contributed to the downbeat sentiment:
- Insurance giant AIG reported a record $5.3 billion loss, driven by huge writedowns on mortgage-related investments. This renewed worries about losses spreading from the housing sector.
- The Chicago PMI index, a gauge of Midwest manufacturing, unexpectedly plunged to its lowest level in over 6 years, indicating the manufacturing sector is weakening.
- Consumer sentiment also fell to its lowest level since the early 1990s, showing consumers are increasingly pessimistic.
- Personal spending and income rose more than
Yesterday's still relevant market briefPinchas Cohen
All the man events, what reactions they affect and their trajectories, with detailed trading strategies. Good for experienced traders as well as for novices, who want to actually learn, as they trade.
This document discusses risk and investing strategies. It emphasizes the importance of portfolio diversification, dividing assets across income stocks, risk stocks, momentum stocks, and cash. It also stresses accepting that markets cannot be perfectly timed but risk allocation is important. The document then analyzes various risks in the current market environment, such as issues in Europe and interest rate changes. It provides sector and stock recommendations, examining performance of sectors over different time periods.
SchoolofTrade day trading newsletter 05 06 14Joseph James
“You cannot change your destination overnight, but with the right plan of action, you can change your direction right NOW.”
Today’s Newsletter:
• Markets Today: Gold asleep, Crude Oil goes sideways, Mini-Russell drops
• News Today: Strong news from Europe Manufacturing, US Trade Balance
• News for Tomorrow: Janet Yellen & Crude Oil Inventories
• Trading Opportunities: Selling opportunities on Gold, Crude Oil and Mini-Russell
Similar to Each day Stock Report Thursday Morning, July 5, 2012 (20)
[To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
This presentation is a curated compilation of PowerPoint diagrams and templates designed to illustrate 20 different digital transformation frameworks and models. These frameworks are based on recent industry trends and best practices, ensuring that the content remains relevant and up-to-date.
Key highlights include Microsoft's Digital Transformation Framework, which focuses on driving innovation and efficiency, and McKinsey's Ten Guiding Principles, which provide strategic insights for successful digital transformation. Additionally, Forrester's framework emphasizes enhancing customer experiences and modernizing IT infrastructure, while IDC's MaturityScape helps assess and develop organizational digital maturity. MIT's framework explores cutting-edge strategies for achieving digital success.
These materials are perfect for enhancing your business or classroom presentations, offering visual aids to supplement your insights. Please note that while comprehensive, these slides are intended as supplementary resources and may not be complete for standalone instructional purposes.
Frameworks/Models included:
Microsoft’s Digital Transformation Framework
McKinsey’s Ten Guiding Principles of Digital Transformation
Forrester’s Digital Transformation Framework
IDC’s Digital Transformation MaturityScape
MIT’s Digital Transformation Framework
Gartner’s Digital Transformation Framework
Accenture’s Digital Strategy & Enterprise Frameworks
Deloitte’s Digital Industrial Transformation Framework
Capgemini’s Digital Transformation Framework
PwC’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cisco’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cognizant’s Digital Transformation Framework
DXC Technology’s Digital Transformation Framework
The BCG Strategy Palette
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Each day Stock Report Thursday Morning, July 5, 2012
1. Daily Stock Report Thursday Morning, July 5, 2012
Announcement: The Trading Room is a LIVE real-time forum where you get excellent stock ideas for mostly intraday scalping trades where our goal is to make 1-3% profit
per transaction. Go to www.TradeStocksAmerica.com and click on the Trading Room tab for instructions to receive a $1 trial for a week. Not only will you receive excellent
stock trading ideas, mostly focused on intraday scalps, you will get commentary about the timing, trading action, and market behavior during the day and how it affects any
stock ideas posted in the Trading Room. Plus, you will interact with other traders as well. It is highly recommended to study the trading strategies and chart setup before
you use your actual hard earned money and practice in a virtual account for 30-90 days before in order to get a high winning rate while practice. This will dramatically
increase your chances of being profitable from the beginning of using your own money. See you in the Trading Room!
US stocks ended up today with some follow through
momentum from Friday’s huge move up. We also are Summary Opinion
probably seeing some short covering going into the With this holiday week, the trading volume is light so stock prices
holiday as stocks tend to be bullish after the 4th. tend to be exaggerated. The bias is to the upside this week and
Markets are anxiously waiting to see the economic long positions should perform better than shorts.
data this Thursday and Friday. If we see a meaningful
jobs improvement on Friday the market should Calendar (All Eastern times)
Monday, 1000am, ISM Index, 52.2 (>50 is expansion)
continue to have upside momentum. Monday, 1000am, Construction spending, 0.2%
Tuesday, 1000am, Factory Orders, 0.4%
At the moment, the markets are waiting for direction Tuesday, 200pm, Auto and Truck Sales, 4.7M & 5.9M
Thursday, 700am, MBA Mortgage Index, -7.1%
either triggered by Europe news, US economic news Thursday, 730am, Challenger Job Cuts, 66.7%
and the Presidential election momentum. Thursday, 815am, ADP Employment Change, 105K
Thursday, 830am, Continuing Unemployment Claims, 3.283K
Thursday, 1000am, ISM Services, 53.0
Trading volume was light as expected and stocks did Thursday, 1100am, Crude Inventories, -0.133M
move further without the opposite side of the trade. Friday, 830am, Nonfarm Payrolls, 100K
Friday, 830am, Unemployment Rate, 8.2%
This will be more pronounced on Thursday and Friday, 830am, Hourly Earnings, 0.2%
Friday. Friday, 830am, Average Workweek, 34.4
Follow-up notes:
We are looking to reduce the long positions in ROST, Ross Stores is selling off the last two days on the publicity of
discount stores are over-priced.
selected stocks as prices rise and expect the existing ORLY, O’Reilly Auto Parts. If you are long this stock after the big haircut
short positions to come back down in price. If markets on their earnings warning, try to get higher prices to sell next 1-2 days.
continue to move up, consider closing or reducing MNST, Monster Beverage is breaking down. Consider selling on a little
rebound. Usually this means the momentum will start to come out of this
shorts. Thursday is likely to be bullish. and direction change to downtrend.
REPEAT: With this holiday week, the trading volume is light so
stock prices tend to be exaggerated. The bias is to the upside this week and long positions should perform better than shorts.
Most recent list of “Market worries”:
1. Greece bailout and possible exit; Greece complains they want Spain’s deal; Greece vote this weekend.
2. Spain bailout proposal being criticized as creating more problems in future; Spain asking IMF for money now.
3. Next news bomb: Italy likely going to need help but not in news lately
4. Germany is Europe’s financial leader; says they pay biggest percentage of bailouts; must be weighing options.
5. European recession very likely to start
6. China's softening of economy or hard landing?
7. US economic data choppy; jobs market weak.
8. US Presidential election, momentum shifting toward Romney = Bullish
9. Apathy in retail investors
10. US Housing recovery not strong yet
11. Brazil economy stalling
12. Money is flowing into US dollar, US Treasuries and German government securities.
13. US economic policy not repairing economy.
14. Current US president not strong leader; creating more debt
15. India economy sharply pulling back now; just starting to hit news.
16. No serious discussion on US budget among politicians; Bernanke warns this as biggest fiscal cliff.
17. French President Hollande leaning heavily to the left toward spending and increasing taxes; not working well with Germany’s Merkel.
18. Healthcare costs and tax structure for US companies unclear; US Supreme Court decision due week as late as Thursday 6-28-2012.
19. France being suggested as next European country to have financial problems.
20. Low volume summer trading.
1
2. Scalp of the day from Trading Room: (all eastern times)
FIRE, Sourcefire had a nice long scalp of over 6% today.
These scalps posted here are best ones we find in real-time each day and will do our
best to present these as timely as possible to the Trading Room and give
commentary and suggestions as how to profit from them. Normally a 2-3% profit is
very good per scalp. The Trading Room is now open! Start your $1 trial here:
www.tradestocksamerica.com/trading-room-new.php
Swing Trade Ideas: (Usually hold time is days)
MRX, Medicis Pharmaceutical. Consider small long position.
BK, The Bank of New York Mellon. Consider small long position.
ECL, Ecolab. Consider small long position.
GWRE, Guidewire. Consider small short Friday.
RNF, Rentech Nitrogen. Monitoring for potential short next 1-3 days.
Intermediate Trade Ideas: (weeks to months)
PEP, Pepsico. Consider small long position.
HIG, Hartford Financial. Consider small long position.
ICON, Iconix Brand. Consider small long position.
GRMN, Garmin. Consider small long position.
PPO, Polypore. Consider small long position.
EXR, Extra Space Storage. Consider small long position.
NXTM, NxStage Medical. Consider small long position.
LEAP, Leap Wireless. Consider small long position.
LXK, Lexmark. Consider small long position.
TLM, Talisman. Consider small long position.
WFM, Whole Foods. Consider small long position.
Aggressive Investors-Traders (Higher risk, higher reward)
SUPN, Supreme Pharmaceuticals. Bullshort. Consider small short, start in small
increments. Study Bullshort chapter in Wizard Training course.
HNR, Harvest Natural Resources. Watching for potential short, for aggressive
Focus Chart: (Worden Telechart 2007-Download FREE on home page investors.
of www.TradeStocksAmerica.com.) Don’t get leveraged on any of these aggressive ideas. Study Bullshorts in the Wizard
Training Course before attempting this high risk high reward strategy. It is best to let
SUPN, Supernus Pharmaceuticals moved from $5.85 to these peak in price and turn down before opening short.
$15.09 in one day last week and has substantial downside
profits on the short side if you are able to find shares to short. This hit $8.70 on Monday’s low; looking for below $8 but be flexible.
2
3. Stock List Type Notes Open Price Close
Price
CMG,
CMG Chipotle Mex LONG-INT Closed all long position at 405, 236% avg. profit 163.49 367.18
MNST, Monster Bev. LONG-SWI +5% on Monday; giving it another 1-2 days 42.69
MO, Altria LONG-INT Up elevator. 31.82
FNGN,
FNGN Financial Eng SHORT-SWI Re-entered short Thursday 20.50
CHMT, Chemtra SHORT-SWI Expecting to resume downtrend. 14.82 14.31
VCI, Volassis SHORT-SWI Stopped Friday for 5% loss. 20.50 21.50
SHFL, Shuffle Mast AGGSHORT stop
Set stop at breakeven. 14.25
NBL, Nobile Energy LONG-SWI Gained 4.73% Tuesday, hold during momentum 78.75
HUM, Human Health LONG-SWI Often a volatile healthcare stock. 78.81
TARO, Taro Pharm SHORT-SWI Lower low Monday, looking for lows under $35 37.35
CNK, Cinemark SHORT-SWI Stopped Wednesday for 3.6% loss 21.69 22.50
RHT, Redhat SHORT-SWI Covered short Friday with 2.2% loss. 53.41 54.34
BEAV, BE Aerospace SHORT-SWI Covered Tuesday for 5.5% profit. 43.42 41.00
SNI, Scripps Netw LONG-INT Approaching new highs 57.31
SHW, Sherwin Will LONG-INT Approaching new highs 133.10
ASIA,
ASIA AsiaInfo SHORT-SWI Breaking down last two days. 11.94 12.05
WAG, Walgreens LONG-INT Starting to move up. 29.33
HXL, Hexcel
HXL SHORT-INT Covered Tuesday for breakeven.
. 24.36 24.35
IAG,
IAG IamGold SHORT-INT Small short position. 11.89
LAZ,
LAZ Lazard SHORT-SWI Covered Tuesday for 3.3% profit. 25.39 24.57
IMAX,
IMAX Imax SHORT-SWI Covered Friday for 6.6% loss; consider covering 22.72 24.25
JAZZ, Jazz Pharma SHORT-SWI Looking for another 2-3 down days but reduce? 45.25
NSC,
NSC Norfolk South SHORT-SWI Stop above 72.50 69.25
RBC, Regal-Beloit SHORT-SWI Covered Thursday for 3% profit. 61.48 59.77
DY,
DY Dycom SHORT-INT Stopped Friday for 8.2% loss 17.18 18.60
QSII, Quality Systems SHORT-INT Stopped Friday for breakeven; watch for short
; 26.54 26.54
COF,
COF Capital One SHORT-INT covering.
Covered for 6.6% loss. Consider covering. 51.74 55.00
RBS, Royal Bank SHORT-INT Covered Thursday for 15.5% profit. 7.43 6.44
HNR,
HNR Havest Natural AGGRESSIVE Small short position. 8.91
SHOO,
SHOO Steven Madd SHORT-INT Consider covering short next 1-2 days. 34.97 32.80
TIF,
TIF Tiffany SHORT-INT Downtrend firmly in place last 2 months 51.64
LVLT, Level 3 Comm. SHORT-SWI Should turn over. 21.65
NFX,
NFX Newfield Expl LONG-INT Covered Monday for 12.3% profit. 25.96 29.15
CLB,
CLB Core Labs SHORT-INT DANGER;
DANGER; consider covering short. 113.50
FFIV, F5 SHORT-INT Looking too strong for short. 96.63
RHT, Redhat SHORT-INT Looking for pullback after small rebound. 54.15
SUPN,
SUPN Supernus Phar BULLSHORT Monday’s low was $8.70; watch for cover price. 11.00
TLM, Talisman Enrgy LONG-INT Gained 4.79% Tuesday; more upside 11.54
LXK,
LXK Lexmark LONG-INT Gained 4.8% Tuesday; should see more upside 26.47
ICON, Iconix LONG-INT Upside momentum gaining. 17.60
PEP
PEP, Pepsico. LONG-INT Approaching high. 70.34
3
4. HIG,
HIG Hartford Life LONG-INT Higher high Tuesday. 17.45
Here are some highlights of comments and stock ideas from the LIVE Trading Room. Try a $1 trial for 1 week using this
link: http://www.tradestocksamerica.com/trading-room.php
July 3, 2012 July 3, 2012
TSA Moderator Chat TSA Chat
[06:54 am] Mitch K: i think i missed July 4th Ed, did I? still [06:25 am] khall : :-) much easier to type
sitting at my desk computer [06:25 am] lisas : gm all
[07:04 am] Ed : monitor TEVA for potential short in 41.01 area [06:25 am] gregsemple2003 : haha, agree on the name g3 not bad
[07:38 am] Ed : looking for 55.4 on UNH short but be flexible [06:25 am] apple : hey lisa, gm
[07:15 am] Ed : watch the 56.01 area on this boune in UNH [06:26 am] cdougan : Nice to meet Greg. I'm over on the west
[07:21 am] Ed : iniitiating small short in UNH with stop 56.01 coast. Vancouver
[07:39 am] Ed : covering 1/2 UNH short [06:26 am] lisas : gm apple!
[07:40 am] Ed : placing stop on other 1/2 at breakeven [06:26 am] doji : Crude oil up 4%
[08:29 am] Ed : covering 1/4 UNH short [06:26 am] gregsemple2003 : oh vancouver, i've only been once but
[06:06 am] Ed : good morning traders its gorgeous there
[06:08 am] Ed : Stock Market Closes at 1 est today [06:26 am] eddy : watchin OPK today
[06:18 am] Ed : For anyone who trade bond futures, its normal [06:27 am] khall : hi lisa!
hours [06:27 am] apple : loved vancouver and esp. victoria
[06:28 am] Ed : today will be thin, I would use smaller position [06:27 am] khall : thanks eddy - up over 6% already
size on trades today [06:28 am] cdougan : it rains.
[06:34 am] Mitch K: watching GDI for top to short [06:28 am] joeytsa : i dont see any volume on that one
[06:34 am] Mitch K: watching FFIV for quick short [06:28 am] gregsemple2003 : but hardly ever snows right? being
[06:34 am] Mitch K: watching TRIP for bottom to buy, bouncy an island an all
already [06:28 am] jsn13 : good morning all.....I'm currently studying in
[06:35 am] Mitch K: watching JWN for bottom to buy vancouver....
[06:35 am] Mitch K: watching NAV for top to short [06:29 am] cdougan : really jsn? UBC/SFU?
[06:35 am] Mitch K: oh man, it is really slow, i mean vol just [06:29 am] jsn13 : UBC
gone, they went camping [06:29 am] apple : gm jsn
[06:38 am] Mitch K: monitoring PDCO for top to short, not big [06:29 am] cdougan : small world
range of price though [06:29 am] cdougan : nice
[06:39 am] Mitch K: watching VHC for top, best one so far [06:29 am] khall : thanks Ed for the tip
[06:39 am] Mitch K: these are not great ideas yet, [06:29 am] joeytsa : agreed Ed
[06:39 am] Mitch K: watching ANR for top to short, take your [06:29 am] apple : thx E
time [06:29 am] jsn13 : cdougan, which part of vancouver are u at?
[06:40 am] Mitch K: watching SLW for top to short [06:31 am] cdougan : GMCR
[06:40 am] Mitch K: watching FIRE for bottom, here is a good [06:31 am] scalpman : SAM didn't open
one to watch [06:32 am] khall : I noticed that
[06:41 am] Mitch K: monitoring COG, not developed yet [06:32 am] apple : gm scalp
[06:41 am] Mitch K: watching COH for bottom to buy [06:32 am] joeytsa : yeah, they had gapped
[06:41 am] Mitch K: watching JCP for bottom to buy [06:33 am] skydiver : watching FIRE
[06:42 am] Mitch K: crude oil on fire again [06:33 am] apple : gm sky
[06:42 am] Mitch K: watching RIG for top [06:33 am] skydiver : gm apple
[06:43 am] Mitch K: watching YUM for bottom [06:33 am] skydiver : CRM dropped fast
[06:43 am] Mitch K: watching BTU for top to short [06:34 am] Ed : esignal charts not working
[06:43 am] Mitch K: watching NOG for top to short [06:34 am] Ed : have to reboot charts
[06:44 am] Mitch K: watching POT for top to shor [06:35 am] scalpman : LQDT L @ 39.90
[06:44 am] Mitch K: watching VRX for top [06:35 am] joeytsa : probably wont come back until monday Mitch
[06:45 am] Mitch K: watching TMO for top to short [06:37 am] Ed : anyone having issues with esignal
[06:46 am] Mitch K: watching AMRN for bottom to buy [06:37 am] scalpman : Out 1/2 LQDT L
[06:47 am] Mitch K: watching WLT for top to short [06:37 am] eddy : no application on screen now?
[06:47 am] Mitch K: consider selling most of FIRE long [06:38 am] apple : eddy - E uses esignal and has a problem
[06:48 am] Mitch K: watchign AEM for top to short [06:38 am] joeytsa : ES still using 1360 as res..keep eye on that
[06:48 am] Mitch K: watching ESV for top to short area
4
5. [06:49 am] Mitch K: watching CLR for top to short [06:38 am] apple : i am joey, thx
[06:50 am] Mitch K: watching CCJ for top to short [06:39 am] joeytsa : :)
[06:50 am] Mitch K: watching CNQ for top to short [06:39 am] scalpman : higher hi LQDT
[06:50 am] Mitch K: watching MCP for top to short [06:39 am] joeytsa : yeah scalp, testing prev hi here
[06:52 am] Mitch K: area [06:39 am] scalpman : not quite yet almost
[06:52 am] Mitch K: worth watching a low priced stock, NSPH [06:40 am] joeytsa : nice bounce on CRM
today for long entry, waiting for pullback to 3 [06:40 am] skydiver : :)
[06:52 am] Mitch K: MCP toppy [06:41 am] joeytsa : oil is running
[06:53 am] Ed : missed the breakout [06:41 am] mikewd2 -: yeah!
[06:53 am] Mitch K: watching GRPN for bottom [06:42 am] skydiver : nice mike :)
[06:53 am] Ed : not sure will get, but monitor LNKD for pullback [06:42 am] joeytsa : probably more due to ME fears than global
into 107.89 area to hold and take long upturn
[06:53 am] Mitch K: watching PCYC for bottom [06:42 am] scalpman : OUt another 1/4 LQDT L
[06:54 am] Mitch K: consider covering GDI short [06:43 am] joeytsa : crude hit res @ $88..watching here
[06:54 am] Ed : you did [06:44 am] Ed : test
[06:55 am] Mitch K: monitoring NAV for 2nd helping short [06:44 am] Ed : test
[06:55 am] Mitch K: still watching ANR [06:44 am] apple : he's back...
[06:56 am] Mitch K: watching CNSL for bottom [06:44 am] joeytsa : we see you
[06:58 am] Mitch K: still little more upside on FIRE long [06:44 am] joeytsa : you look younger now :)
[07:01 am] Mitch K: other ag chemical stocks like AGU are IPI, [06:45 am] joeytsa : ES quick move up and over 1360
MOS, POT [06:45 am] mikewd2 -: materials strong today
[07:01 am] Mitch K: watching AGU for top to short [06:45 am] Ed : thx
[07:04 am] Mitch K: watching FOSL for bottom [06:45 am] joeytsa : nice on FIRE Mitch
[07:05 am] Mitch K: consider selling TRIP [06:45 am] scalpman : all out LQDT L...mismanaged that last
[07:05 am] Mitch K: watching MPC for bottom stop...oh well... my first gapper Ed
[07:06 am] Ed : LNKD is consolidating and has base on base on [06:46 am] joeytsa : way to go scalp !!!
1min [06:46 am] scalpman : Thanks for the gapper Joey...
[07:06 am] Mitch K: watching NAV for 2nd helping short [06:46 am] Ed : nice scalp
[07:07 am] Mitch K: watching NFLX for top to short [06:46 am] joeytsa : i have a doc in the facebook group...check it
[07:10 am] Mitch K: another run on FIRE not done yet out sometime
[07:10 am] Mitch K: watching EL for top, everything taking [06:47 am] scalpman : MDVN was good too
longer [06:47 am] scalpman : and ROSE...
[07:11 am] Ed : getting pullback in SPY [06:48 am] joeytsa : hardest thing with gaps is choosing your
[07:13 am] Mitch K: IPI toppy play...fade,follow,wait for pullback then go
[07:14 am] Mitch K: turned over actually [06:49 am] joeytsa : get your plan set, then you wont ever have to
[07:14 am] Mitch K: POT toppy 2nd guess yourself
[07:14 am] Ed : monitoring UNH for short, [06:49 am] doji : ?
[07:15 am] Mitch K: watching NKE for short on top of this [06:50 am] skydiver : out 3/4 of FIRE L - 48.05 - 49.16
bounce [06:50 am] khall : great trade sky
[07:21 am] Mitch K: looking for $45.50 area on WLT short [06:50 am] skydiver : been watching it since 6:30am :) thnx khall
[07:22 am] Mitch K: startring to monitor FIRE for short on top of [06:50 am] joeytsa : FIRE was nice, good job sky
this bounce [06:51 am] apple : excellent job sky
[07:22 am] Ed : this is ADVANCED TRADE [06:51 am] skydiver : :)
[07:22 am] Ed : will add if get break below 55.62 with vol [06:52 am] joeytsa : BIDU near hod, might be tired, but still
[07:24 am] Mitch K: little more upside on MPC bounce, dont buy watching to see if it busts above 115 at some point
new position long, just if you have it already [06:54 am] mikewd2 -: WFT needs to push thru 13
[07:26 am] Mitch K: MPC toppy here, consider selling [06:57 am] joeytsa : PXD, nice move, pullback to suppor, might
[07:27 am] Ed : nice turn over in AG chemicals tryfor highs
[07:35 am] Ed : I will not add to short if it breaks below 55.62, [06:58 am] skydiver : thnx Mitch on FIRE - still have last 1/4 in fire
due to thin trading day with trailing stop
[07:38 am] Mitch K: watching FOSL for bottom [06:59 am] apple : great call on FIRE
[07:56 am] Ed : getting slight pullback in SPY [07:00 am] doji : Hey Mike, are you already positive on your WFT
[08:09 am] Mitch K: watching VHC position?
[08:33 am] Mitch K: watching GM [07:00 am] joeytsa : factory orders coming out
[08:50 am] Ed : out all UNH short [07:00 am] mikewd2 -: up 0.7
[09:13 am] Ed : getting little selling in markets [07:00 am] mikewd2 -: yes doji on WFT
[09:20 am] Mitch K: watching TSCO [07:00 am] doji : Greta! Oil over 5% today
[09:35 am] Mitch K: watching PMTC [07:01 am] joeytsa : watching SSYS
[09:41 am] Mitch K: watching CHKP [07:01 am] mikewd2 -: took some profit on FST this morning also
[09:42 am] Mitch K: watching CIE [07:01 am] eyes : SU
[10:00 am] Ed : have an awesome day, see you on thursday [07:01 am] joeytsa : scratch that..too low vol
[10:01 am] Mitch K: Happy 4th traders [07:01 am] apple : ES over 1363 and moving, SPY hod
[07:02 am] mikewd2 -: UVXY below 8
[07:02 am] mikewd2 -: VIX 16.34
[07:02 am] joeytsa : just looked at that mike..was arond 20 not long
ago
5
6. [07:03 am] skydiver : GM reports sales up in U.S. sales by 15.5%
[07:04 am] eyes : Any Thoughts on SU
[07:05 am] doji : I'll wait until oil stocks report in the next week, until
then only day trading
[07:05 am] doji : CLR
[07:05 am] joeytsa : NFLX testing $70, GS testing $98
[07:05 am] mikewd2 -: I've also sold off some WFT calls that i
bought
[07:06 am] cowboyh : watching DV
[07:06 am] doji : YEs Mike, better to take profits, don;t expect a
spectacular report on oil stocks
[07:07 am] doji : Breakout LNKD?
[07:07 am] doji : HZNP
[07:07 am] joeytsa : trail if long NFLX on break ofer $70
[07:07 am] doji : Nice bullshprt
[07:07 am] mikewd2 -: improved economy, europe settling - oil will
go back to 100
[07:07 am] mikewd2 -: but .... - haha
[07:08 am] joeytsa : yeah but first the economy has to improve
[07:08 am] joeytsa : but copper has moved up..good sign
[07:08 am] doji : hahaha... oil just move on speculation
[07:09 am] joeytsa : oil pulled back about 70cents from high
[07:09 am] mikewd2 -: I'm speculating higher oil - lol
[07:10 am] mikewd2 -: GMCR nice move today
[07:10 am] mikewd2 -: HLF finally pushed up to 50
[07:10 am] doji : UVXY down anothet 6% today.... will start taking
small positions here
[07:10 am] doji : share by share
[07:11 am] mikewd2 -: i bought some doji 7.96
[07:11 am] apple : 1 by 1
[07:11 am] doji : Nice Mike
[07:12 am] skydiver : FIRE is treating my nice today
[07:12 am] skydiver : me
[07:12 am] joeytsa : AMZN in a 1pt range
[07:12 am] doji : Did you post it Sky?
[07:13 am] skydiver : yes -- 6:33
[07:13 am] mikewd2 -: nice SKY, didn't move on it
[07:14 am] mikewd2 -: Toyota june sales up 60.3%
[07:14 am] apple : thx mike
[07:14 am] doji : below 55.35?
[07:15 am] joeytsa : mike, is that TM # up from last month or last
june?
[07:15 am] mikewd2 -: versus estimtate
[07:16 am] mikewd2 -: not sure compared to what
[07:16 am] doji : up 60.3%?
[07:16 am] mikewd2 -: sorry
[07:16 am] joeytsa : just wondered, im guessing from last june
[07:17 am] apple : probably because comparisons are usually
comparing same qtr yr to yr
[07:17 am] joeytsa : werent their sales down spring/summer from
the earthquake
[07:17 am] joeytsa : right apple
[07:17 am] eyes : Ed what a day to start the new rule dont you think
[07:18 am] Ed : today is as good as any
[07:18 am] doji : What rule?
[07:18 am] apple : what new rule?
[07:18 am] joeytsa : rule 1 : dont lose money :)
[07:18 am] doji : I must be drunk today... missing all the calls here
[07:19 am] eyes : My new rule to stay in longer
[07:19 am] joeytsa : rule #2 : never forget rule #1
[07:19 am] apple : what do you need doji?
[07:19 am] doji : Need waht?
[07:19 am] mikewd2 -: or rule #2
[07:19 am] apple : you're missing all the calls, what do you need
[07:19 am] khall : maybe it's just an off day doji
[07:19 am] apple : good one joey and mike
6
7. [07:20 am] doji : Lees work and another monitor.... hahaha
[07:20 am] joeytsa : off topic ; Andy Griffith died
[07:20 am] mikewd2 -: out AMRN second long today - thanks Mitch
[07:20 am] mikewd2 -: no way, bummer
[07:20 am] apple : too bad, thx joey
[07:20 am] apple : good job mike
[07:21 am] eyes : I have 100 shares left on NOG any thoughts
[07:22 am] mikewd2 -: short or long eyes
[07:22 am] joeytsa : good stop point Ed, thats the prev lo
[07:23 am] skydiver : all out of FIRE L
[07:23 am] joeytsa : nice one sky
[07:23 am] skydiver : :)
[07:23 am] apple : great job sky
[07:23 am] joeytsa : FFIV moving a bit
[07:24 am] skydiver : yeah - one a day like FIRE keeps the poverty
away! :)
[07:25 am] joeytsa : FIRE paused at each pp and kept moving
[07:25 am] doji : pp?
[07:25 am] joeytsa : pivot point
[07:25 am] apple : pivot point
[07:25 am] doji : Thanks Joey
[07:25 am] apple : maybe FIRE will fill the gap
[07:26 am] joeytsa : never lost the 15ma, basically rode the 5ma up
[07:27 am] scalpman : GOLD another good gapper about 6 minutes
from open...was monitoring Joey's gap up list
[07:27 am] doji : same as CLR Joey
[07:27 am] joeytsa : look like they had slight pullbacks then
followthru
[07:28 am] eyes : SU was Nice
[07:28 am] scalpman : yes...and they had closes very close (but
above) the open...
[07:28 am] cdougan : GRPN appreaching all time lows
[07:29 am] mikewd2 -: watching AMRN for 3rd long entr
[07:29 am] mikewd2 -: entry
[07:29 am] joeytsa : yeah scalp, GOLD pulled back but held above
the prev hi also
[07:30 am] scalpman : MDVN actually started at yesterdays
close...but it appears in pre-market as GAP down...interesting
[07:30 am] joeytsa : yeah i listed that as a gap down
[07:30 am] scalpman : I am attracted to this kind of trade often yield
point or more over a longer time from (an hour or more).
[07:31 am] scalpman : frame
[07:31 am] rusty : F hod
[07:31 am] Ed : sounds like someone about to tee off on golf course,
complete silence
[07:31 am] scalpman : sorry ...back to work
[07:31 am] joeytsa : usually much quicker, but you can get
whipsawed easily
[07:31 am] apple : gm rusty
[07:32 am] Ed : good afternoon rusty
[07:32 am] rusty : gm
[07:32 am] joeytsa : FFIV breaking out with some vol
[07:33 am] apple : nice move on F from yesterday
[07:33 am] scalpman : SAM eventually opened near previous close
[07:34 am] scalpman : CAB was gapp down then rebounded above
the open.
[07:35 am] apple : BUD had a nice move from lod
[07:35 am] joeytsa : no vol on CAB
[07:35 am] joeytsa : same with SAM
[07:35 am] doji : Watching LEN
[07:35 am] rusty : GRPN lows
[07:36 am] apple : MLNX took off
[07:36 am] apple : watching LEN before doji, now it took off
[07:37 am] mikewd2 -: stopped on SU long, 1% gain
[07:37 am] apple : watching FOSL
[07:37 am] joeytsa : nice mike
7
8. [07:37 am] eyes : 2 BE 1 Win 1 Small loss up +17 i am on a roll
[07:38 am] mikewd2 -: lunch money!
[07:38 am] apple : good job mke
[07:38 am] skydiver : very good mike
[07:38 am] joeytsa : as long as you are up eyes
[07:38 am] eyes : yup
[07:40 am] apple : thx E
[07:42 am] rusty : HZNP doji
[07:42 am] rusty : PCYC lod
[07:42 am] apple : ES over 1365
[07:43 am] rusty : AUXL radar quite the daily chart
[07:44 am] apple : watching MNST
[07:45 am] eyes : Watching BTU
[07:50 am] scalpman : support at 70 on new low
[07:52 am] sakii : Watching SXCI
[07:52 am] eddy : Watching OREX
[07:52 am] eyes : BAss Might be something to look at
[07:52 am] eyes : BAS
[07:53 am] mikewd2 -: missed the 3rd AMRN long
[07:54 am] apple : EEP
[07:56 am] doji : Pullback?
[07:57 am] Ed : yes we got slight pullback. from highs
[07:57 am] doji : H=1366, now=1365.5
[07:57 am] Ed : hence slight
[07:58 am] doji : hahahaha...
[07:58 am] Ed : slight= small, thin trading day. :)
[07:58 am] eyes : ANF 3 Min chart any thoughts
[07:58 am] apple : lol doji, a pullback is a pullback
[07:58 am] Ed : ur funny man doji-man
[07:58 am] doji : You are3 absolutely right...
[07:59 am] doji : You are the mad Ed... you know I appreciate you
[07:59 am] doji : man
[07:59 am] Ed : mad ed, LOL
[07:59 am] doji : Ed
[07:59 am] doji : Ed "El Loco"... hahaha
[07:59 am] apple : now, that is funny
[07:59 am] apple : lol
[07:59 am] Ed : lol
[07:59 am] apple : ed loco
[08:00 am] skydiver : well - time is up for me - and too many phone
calls this morning I had to take. But . . FIRE was nice. Happy 4th of
July all :)
[08:00 am] Ed : see sky
[08:00 am] apple : same to you sky, have a safe fun holiday
[08:00 am] Ed : see u later sky
[08:00 am] eyes : FOSL wanting to break con
[08:00 am] doji : Bye Sky and thanks for posting FIRE even though I
missed it
[08:00 am] cdougan : take care sky
[08:00 am] khall : see you Thurs sky
[08:00 am] apple : today is too funny
[08:00 am] skydiver : :)
[08:01 am] doji : Skidiver = El Escalador
[08:01 am] apple : look at ARBA
[08:01 am] doji : Apple = Manzana
[08:01 am] doji : Ed = El Loco
[08:01 am] doji : Joey = El Mafioso
[08:01 am] Ed : scaling is off some
[08:01 am] doji : hahahah
[08:01 am] apple : doji is now on a roll...
[08:01 am] doji : wowo ARBA
[08:02 am] eyes : there is just no volume whatsoever
[08:02 am] doji : only 30 cents drop.. scale misleading
[08:02 am] Ed : yep
[08:02 am] apple : el doji
[08:02 am] mikewd2 -: yes doji
8
9. [08:02 am] mikewd2 -: big vol spikes
[08:03 am] doji : No translation for Doji... mi wife call me "pocas
pulgas"... which mean something like "I have little patient for
msitakes"....
[08:03 am] doji : hahaha
[08:04 am] Ed : good one
[08:04 am] eyes : They call me motorcity en la cola
[08:05 am] Ed : lol
[08:05 am] eyes : that means i cant sit still
[08:05 am] doji : ?
[08:05 am] doji : hahahaha
[08:05 am] mikewd2 -: taking profit on UVXY in 7.96 out 8.20
[08:06 am] doji : No way Mike... are you leaving me alone?
[08:06 am] eyes : fosl moving up slow
[08:06 am] mikewd2 -: yeah, will reload if it drops back to 8'ish
[08:06 am] doji : I now for sure Gary has 1M shares on UVXY....
that is why he is so quiet these days...
[08:06 am] mikewd2 -: yep
[08:06 am] joeytsa : just as long as he doesnt have them from 19
[08:06 am] mikewd2 -: he has to be hurting
[08:07 am] doji : HE is the way he is.... "un loco"
[08:08 am] doji : LEN trying to breakout
[08:08 am] mikewd2 -: this is short trading day, correct?
[08:08 am] joeytsa : yeah mike
[08:08 am] Ed : yes
[08:08 am] apple : yes mike until 1 EST
[08:08 am] qwert : bye everybody in kona cant really post to easy
on the ipad gonna go to sleep have a great holiday thx for some
great calls
[08:08 am] mikewd2 -: ty
[08:08 am] doji : WFT, SLB moving Mike
[08:08 am] eyes : ANF getting close to hod
[08:08 am] Ed : c ya qwert
[08:08 am] lisas : bye qwert
[08:08 am] mikewd2 -: WFT finally broke 13
[08:08 am] eyes : Have fun QWERT
[08:08 am] cdougan : later qwert
[08:08 am] mikewd2 -: nice
[08:08 am] joeytsa : Ed posted a 1pm EDT close today
[08:08 am] khall : bye qwert
[08:09 am] doji : Bye QWERTYyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnm
[08:09 am] apple : qwert have a safe fun holiday
[08:09 am] doji : Send me a e-mail if I missed a letter
[08:09 am] apple : el qwert
[08:09 am] doji : El Teclado
[08:09 am] apple : haha doji
[08:09 am] apple : the el family
[08:10 am] doji : By the way, Doji's family just landed in Houston
right on time to celebrate July 4th during vacation time
[08:10 am] apple : doji, where is shark since you last saw him in
peru
[08:10 am] joeytsa : very nice
[08:10 am] doji : Doji staying alone in Rio.... on the beach with a
cooler full of beer
[08:10 am] doji : Shark?
[08:10 am] apple : looking at chicks
[08:10 am] apple : yes, shark
[08:10 am] doji : Ed.... do you want to kne what happened with
Shark afetr our last party in the disco?
[08:11 am] doji : IS Lisas here?
[08:11 am] Ed : please tell
[08:11 am] apple : yes
[08:11 am] apple : lisa was here earlier
[08:11 am] doji : hahaha... No, I don't want to cause a future
wedding
[08:11 am] doji : what happens with Doji stay with Doji
9
10. [08:11 am] apple : ok
[08:11 am] Ed : lisa has company
[08:12 am] Ed : she is busy entertaining
[08:12 am] doji : so Ed, better you ask your wife for more than a
week in Rio... one week to stay with Doji and the other two weeks...
lost like Shark!
[08:12 am] eddy : will go toss some frisbee
[08:12 am] eddy : see you in 2 hrs
[08:12 am] Ed : lol
[08:12 am] apple : haha
[08:13 am] apple : eddy, the market closes in 1:45 min...
[08:13 am] joeytsa : im trying to confirm some #'s on france, but
check these.
[08:13 am] apple : doji, at least it's not a future divorce
[08:13 am] joeytsa : new tax rate of 45% for the wealthy..
[08:13 am] Ed : ouch
[08:13 am] joeytsa : incomeover 1M euro 75%
[08:14 am] apple : why not half?
[08:14 am] mikewd2 -: good thing we are not wealthy
[08:14 am] doji : Better I stay in Rio.... no taxes!
[08:14 am] apple : haha
[08:14 am] doji : well no taxes on my trades
[08:14 am] khall : wow - that's one crazy tax rate
[08:14 am] joeytsa : capital income at same level as wages..
[08:14 am] apple : we'll all move to rio
[08:14 am] joeytsa : raise taxes for large companies,banks and oil
firms
[08:14 am] mikewd2 -: sounds good apple
[08:14 am] doji : Nope... the connectivity sucks!...
[08:14 am] mikewd2 -: have a little trading group on the beach
[08:15 am] apple : sounds delightful
[08:15 am] joeytsa : has anyone seen that about france?
[08:15 am] mikewd2 -: FST, WFT, SLB hod
[08:15 am] cdougan : JSN you around?
[08:15 am] apple : no joey have not, thx
[08:15 am] apple : jsn was here earlier
[08:16 am] jsn13 : yup im here....
[08:16 am] jsn13 : anything cdougan?
[08:16 am] joeytsa : jsn too busy on facebook haha
[08:16 am] jsn13 : oooppppssss got caught....
[08:16 am] jsn13 : haha....
[08:16 am] joeytsa : i see all hahaha
[08:17 am] apple : joey and his crystal ball... -- market closing up
today?
[08:17 am] doji : I am taking profits all SLB abd WFT Mike, they
have moved a lot from the bottom....
[08:18 am] cdougan : yeah I didn't awnser you question. I live in the
lower mainland. Port Moody
[08:18 am] joeytsa : crystal ball says....
[08:18 am] joeytsa : 50/50 chance of up or down close ;)
[08:18 am] apple : haha, you are too good!
[08:18 am] mikewd2 -: nice job doji
[08:18 am] doji : I'll re-enter in a pullback
[08:18 am] joeytsa : nicejob doji
[08:18 am] doji : Thanks Apple, Joey
[08:18 am] mikewd2 -: watching UVXY to reenter
[08:19 am] joeytsa : interview with lagarde on cnbc
[08:19 am] scalpman : VRTX, AREX watching
[08:19 am] scalpman : EC
[08:19 am] doji : Mitch "El Rey"
[08:20 am] cdougan : yeah man, Connor Dougan
[08:20 am] lisas : jsn13, you are in Richmond VA?
[08:21 am] doji : The SPY in a very steady uptrend....
[08:21 am] jsn13 : as in Richmond, BC, Canada....
[08:21 am] lisas : oh, ok.
[08:22 am] apple : there's lisa
10
11. [08:22 am] jsn13 : cdougan, are u the one with son as ur cover
photo?
[08:22 am] cdougan : yep
[08:23 am] jsn13 : ok nice juz added u....
[08:23 am] joeytsa : cdoug...you are on facebook?
[08:23 am] cdougan : yep add me. I need smart trader freinds. I
have none. Connor Dougan
[08:24 am] jsn13 : joey, add him to our group....
[08:24 am] joeytsa : no prob
[08:24 am] scalpman : missed EC
[08:24 am] joeytsa : friend req sent cdoug
[08:24 am] doji : Joey, be nice and allow cdougan to get the annual
membership please
[08:24 am] joeytsa : :)
[08:25 am] cdougan : got em. Thanks!
[08:25 am] doji : We are collecting money for Ed's lippo and plastci
cirgury in Rio de Janeiro...
[08:26 am] cdougan : They do good work down there
[08:26 am] scalpman : EC had increasing vol. will watch for bounce.
[08:26 am] doji : Yes, not even his grandma will recognize Ed when
he is back from Rio... 100% garatee
[08:28 am] apple : almost 10 pts on ES since open
[08:28 am] joeytsa : yeah, do you have a volume read on teh ES
apple?
[08:28 am] doji : Crazy prices during hollidays always
[08:29 am] apple : 693,849
[08:29 am] doji : 750K
[08:29 am] doji : ES Joey volume
[08:30 am] joeytsa : thanks, idont have vol on my charts
[08:30 am] doji : 697,856 Joey
[08:30 am] mikewd2 -: UVXY L 8.00
[08:30 am] joeytsa : i know the SPY vol is very thin....
[08:30 am] apple : 700,450
[08:30 am] joeytsa : its so thin that my ethiopian landscaper even
mentioned how thin it was :)
[08:31 am] apple : now that is funny
[08:31 am] doji : 704,267
[08:31 am] apple : 706,452
[08:32 am] doji : Open interest although is flat for the past two
weeks
[08:32 am] doji : on the ES
[08:33 am] gregsemple2003 : sitting on hands
[08:34 am] apple : NFLX nice move today
[08:35 am] doji : GM hitting the 30D MA
[08:35 am] doji : 20dMA sorry
[08:37 am] apple : thx doji
[08:38 am] mikewd2 -: wonder if we close over 13000?
[08:40 am] apple : joey, what do you think?
[08:40 am] doji : GM shrt 21.08... tichght stop
[08:41 am] joeytsa : not sure
[08:41 am] doji : Today Mike?
[08:42 am] doji : Crude moved on Iran Jitters
[08:42 am] apple : 50/50?
[08:42 am] joeytsa : stop reading my crystal ball hhaha
[08:42 am] doji : Die GM die
[08:43 am] gregsemple2003 : lol
[08:43 am] gregsemple2003 : are you short already?
[08:44 am] apple : excellent entry doji
[08:45 am] gregsemple2003 : nice, was waiting for second wave
down
[08:46 am] doji : It retracted from the 20dMA... fade breakout
[08:46 am] eyes : Well See you on thursday to slow for me
[08:47 am] Ed : c ya eyes
[08:47 am] joeytsa : same here eyes..think im done in a few
[08:47 am] doji : Bye "Ojitos"
[08:47 am] scalpman : Out 1/2 GM S 1%
11
12. [08:47 am] lisas : same here, have a great 4th all!
[08:47 am] Ed : c ya lisa
[08:47 am] joeytsa : market closes in an hour or so anyways
[08:47 am] khall : have a great 4th you guys
[08:47 am] cdougan : have a great holiday.
[08:48 am] eyes : 2 green days in a row small burt green
[08:48 am] joeytsa : Hope everyone has a great day tomorrow...not
expecting much vol thurs/fri either
[08:48 am] doji : Nice "Ojitos"
[08:48 am] scalpman : next target GM S .68
[08:48 am] joeytsa : Thanks Mitch,Ed, everyone
[08:49 am] Ed : take care joey
[08:49 am] doji : Bye Joey
[08:49 am] apple : have a safe and fun 4th, joey
[08:49 am] joeytsa : i will, thanks
[08:49 am] cdougan : c ya Joey
[08:50 am] doji : out 1/2 GM, trailing 2nd half
[08:51 am] scalpman : out another 1/4 GM S
[08:51 am] scalpman : Holding final piece at b.e.
[08:52 am] doji : NFLX
[08:52 am] apple : nice on UNH E
[08:52 am] mikewd2 -: out hlf UVXY 8.22
[08:52 am] Ed : thx
[08:53 am] doji : S SLB...
[08:54 am] scalpman : trailing down stop on GM S
[08:55 am] scalpman : GM testing support here...
[08:57 am] scalpman : pusher 'er down, boys....no more cars (for
now)
[08:57 am] scalpman : stochs crossing over...on 1 minute chart
(GM(
[08:57 am] doji : It will drop Scalpy... I jus saw it on Joey's cristal
ball
[08:58 am] apple : just read france is requiring all drivers to equip
their cars with 2 breath test kits
[08:59 am] doji : Bad... now you cannot drive and drink wine.... very
sad
[08:59 am] scalpman : stop now .81 GM S
[09:00 am] apple : designated drivers doji
[09:00 am] scalpman : All out at .79 good call Mitch, Thanks
[09:01 am] doji : I was referrring to the designated driver Apple...
hahaha
[09:01 am] cdougan : That's all for me. Habe a great holiday and
see you Thursday. Thanks for the calls.
[09:01 am] scalpman : All done for today....tiny red...because I
messed up on FOSL...
[09:01 am] apple : haha
[09:02 am] apple : bye cd have fun
[09:02 am] doji : Time to go also...have a nice July 4th fellas!
[09:02 am] apple : bye scalp have a fun and safe 4th
[09:02 am] apple : bye doji, fun on the beach
[09:02 am] Ed : c ya cdougan,doji,scalp
[09:02 am] scalpman : I kept futzing with my stop on FOSL and
misread thinking more of short.
[09:03 am] scalpman : Dumb mistakes...I have to leave the stop
alone....
[09:03 am] apple : now you got it!
[09:04 am] scalpman : See you all thursday...I'm working on those
Gappers ED....
[09:05 am] scalpman : Scalpman has left the building
[09:05 am] khall : bye scalp
[09:05 am] Ed : good deal
[09:09 am] doji : CLosing all LEN short
[09:09 am] doji : Sorry guys, forgot that!.... hahahaha
[09:10 am] gregsemple2003 : hm, KEG going down but with 4th
coming shouldn't it be going up?
[09:10 am] doji : My alarm jus trigerred!
12
13. [09:10 am] doji : Now, see ya on Thusday...
[09:10 am] apple : right, greg, but BUD is still going up
[09:10 am] gregsemple2003 : that makes my canadian heart sad
[09:10 am] gregsemple2003 : MLSN long
[09:13 am] jsn13 : greg r u from canada?
[09:14 am] gregsemple2003 : yes, originally from toronto area
[09:14 am] mikewd2 -: out other half UVXY 8.30
[09:14 am] gregsemple2003 : how bout you jsn?
[09:14 am] jsn13 : studying in UBC, Vancouver, BC...
[09:14 am] gregsemple2003 : oh nice, vancouver is one of my
favorite cities
[09:15 am] gregsemple2003 : i live in austin now, my job is video
games
[09:16 am] jsn13 : haha ya nice city to live.....oh nice....so u r
trading part time?
[09:17 am] gregsemple2003 : i like it... a bit hot but fun city... yeah i
trade in the first hour in the morning, and watch the room while at
work
[09:17 am] gregsemple2003 : how long you been doing this?
[09:19 am] jsn13 : a year and a half or so....trade in the 1st 3 hours
and attend class after that.....now im taking summer course....
[09:19 am] jsn13 : graduating next year....bachelor of commerce...
[09:21 am] gregsemple2003 : nice, yeah about six months for me
trading... still on paper but starting to feel comfortable
[09:21 am] gregsemple2003 : like i might not lose my shirt
[09:22 am] gregsemple2003 : can i add you on FB?
[09:22 am] jsn13 : great to start with that, but have to really feel
dealing with real cash...
[09:22 am] jsn13 : sure...
[09:22 am] jsn13 : Jason Nieo
[09:24 am] gregsemple2003 : added, hope that was you
[09:25 am] mikewd2 -: shutten her down: 8/8 today, have a great 4th
everyone.
[09:25 am] Ed : nice going mike
[09:25 am] khall : I'm out as well - stay safe everyone - thanks so
much for the great calls and company today
[09:25 am] apple : excellent job mike, something to celebrate. have
a safe and fun 4th
[09:26 am] Ed : c ya khall
[09:26 am] jsn13 : have not seen the request yet....or can u give me
your fb name?
[09:26 am] apple : bye khall have a happy and safe 4th
[09:26 am] gregsemple2003 : sure, Greg Semple
[09:26 am] apple : haha, greg, what else would it be?
[09:26 am] khall : thanks apple
[09:27 am] gregsemple2003 : lol John Smith
[09:28 am] apple : haha, right
[09:29 am] jsn13 : hey greg juz accepted ur request...the request
juz appeared....
[09:29 am] gregsemple2003 : cool, yep i sent a request to Connor
too
[09:29 am] gregsemple2003 : the Canadian Alliance, eh?
[09:31 am] jsn13 : https://www.facebook.com/connor.dougan.3
[09:31 am] apple : lol
[09:31 am] gregsemple2003 : ni shi zhong guo lai de ma
[09:32 am] jsn13 : haha Malaysia....
[09:32 am] gregsemple2003 : ah nice
[09:32 am] jsn13 : but we learned CHinese, English and Malaysia
since primary school...
[09:34 am] jsn13 : seems like cdougan is working in the gaming
industry....
[09:34 am] gregsemple2003 : no way
[09:36 am] jsn13 : u can talk to him on fb once he is online....
[09:38 am] gregsemple2003 : definitely will
[09:41 am] murano : CHKP
[09:41 am] apple : hey murano, thx
13
14. [09:55 am] rusty : Meredith Whitney downgrading JPM
[09:56 am] apple : thx rusty
[09:56 am] rusty : GS got stopped out of their market short
yesterday
[09:56 am] rusty : GS gives out two calls to mom and pop recently
and both wrng
[09:58 am] apple : hah
[10:01 am] rusty : Have a good holiday everyone
[10:01 am] rusty : Rip Andy Griffith
[10:02 am] apple : thx MK, E and everyone. all have a happy and
safe 4th.
[10:04 am] gregsemple2003 : thanks mitch you too
SWI (SWING): 2-7 days INT: Intermediate term position 8 days to several months. Open Price: price paid on opening
long position or price sold on short position. Bold notes on table above represent changes from previous day.
Current positions are highlighted in yellow. Green colored lines are next probable positions to consider. Red, take action
or watch closely, no color usually were stocks just finished trading or are watching. Realize that opinions about stock
ideas can be changed at a moment’s notice during any trading day without any warning!
IMPORTANT: The notes in this stock list is how I have been writing notes to myself about stocks for 17 years. They are general
guidelines as to how I am approaching a particular stock and conditions may change during the next trading day that ay cause a
change in opinion before the next evening report is written.
Remember not to get too heavy in one sector and gradually move in because it is unrealistic to think we get the exact bottom. We want
to gradually move into this sector and eventually build full size long positions in them that may be swing trades lasting for days or
intermediate trades lasting weeks.
If you spend too much money too quickly, you will run out of ammunition, then get emotionally stressed when stocks are going against
you. If you get too leveraged you may be forced to sell at a loss because you are racking up losses at twice as fast if you are margined
2 to 1and then miss the big move up we are looking for in oil and gas stocks.
Advice: Don’t get leveraged in any one position long or short. Spread your money out between a variety of stocks and the higher
amount of money you are working with, the smaller percentage of money you can afford to trade in one stock position. The main
reasons why people fail to make money in stocks consistently (according to Mitch King):
1. They are too emotional, controlled by greed and fear.
2. Not using a high probability technique to buy and sell (or no technique at all!)
3. Position size is too big in one stock relative to total account value (which is related to #1 above).Not patient or willing to spend enough time to
learn a good trading technique.
4. Expectations are unrealistic to make large amounts of money in a short time period and at the same time violating #1, 2, 3 or 4 above.
Thoughts: Best odds only, be decisive, aggressive, mentally flexible, stay in position size, don’t overtrade and wait a little longer to buy
and wait a little longer to sell. You will find that will make you more money on your trades. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
Intermediate and swing trades are really important to have trailing stop losses set.
Don’t trade unless the setup is there for you, then use the charts to tell you when the odds are heavily in your favor. Don’t force
anything to work for you, let the setups develop and then take advantage of that. Be patient. Stay in position sizes without letting any
intraday trade represent no more than 10-15% of your total account value. As you build your account, your position size percentage
should get smaller and smaller to lower your risk.
Stop losses: Many people ask about stop losses on intraday trading and my response is that the stops should be wider because they
are stops “just in case” a disaster news event hits the stock. When you follow the technical indicators as I show you on the intraday
scalping tutorials, rarely will a stop loss be hit. The indicators can be used with uncanny accuracy as a forecasting tool so don’t set
your stop losses on the intraday scalping too tight.
Anyone setting tight stops while scalping will consistently lose money on scalping because stocks move around a lot even though they
follow the technical indicators.
Stop losses on swing and intermediate term trades can be sent anywhere from 5-7-10% and trailing stop losses are best.
More thoughts: Keep steady, calm, decisive, aggressive. Have no fear and no greed. Keep looking at what to be doing next in a calm
manner. Don’t focus on the past or beat yourself up what you did or didn’t do or what you should have done. Just keep playing the
next shot, which in this business your next shot could be just sitting on the sideline.
If you have been uncomfortable shorting stocks, which most people are, try to learn this technique, it will be a useful tool in the coming
years.
When several stocks from the same sector are listed, like from the housing industry or steel industry for example, don’t short all of them
unless you are well diversified and it represents a small percentage of your total stock account (in that same account).
14
15. Also note that we are in what Martin Pring, PhD explains in his book The All-Season Investor, the business cycles and which one is
good for various financial investments. He would describe that we are in Stage II of the business cycle which is positive for bonds and
stocks but negative for commodities. Sometime in late 2011, we probably approach Stage 3 business cycle with rising inflation and
interest rates, which are usually bad for stocks and bonds.
A couple of technical analysis books you should consider:
Technical Analysis Explained, Martin Pring.
Technical Analysis from A to Z, Achelis
Technical Analysis for the Financial Markets, John Murphy.
Put the odds in your favor and have a great day!
Mitch King and staff
TradeStocksAmerica.com.
Contents: online stock trading, trading strategies, stock picks, stock market education, stock market investing course, educational stock
trading videos, stock trading newsletter, stock market newsletter,
Mitch King is the founder of TradeStocksAmerica.com. All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to
its accuracy. All material represents the opinions of Mitch King. Investment recommendations may change without notice and readers
are urged to check with their investment counselors before making any investment decisions. Opinions expressed in these reports may
change without prior notice. Mitch King and/or the staff at TradeStocksAmerica.com may or may not have investments in any stocks
cited above before or after this newsletter is prepared. Use the stock table above as a model portfolio of ideas that look attractive at the
time of the writing. Comments can be hypothetical in nature. Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice.
Disclaimer - Stock investing or stock trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. There is risk of loss as well as the
opportunity for gain when buying or selling stocks, bonds, option contracts or engaging in any strategy listed in the Daily Stock Report,
The Wizard Training Course, The Trading Room and our seminar or workshops. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to
accept the risks when investing or trading in any financial markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is
neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell stocks. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits
or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily
indicative of future results.
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