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THE FUTURE
OF RETAIL
05
BECOMING
OMNICHANNEL
08
SAFETY IN
NUMBERS
10
GLOBAL
REACH
WELCOME
£
02
FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT
02
OPEN
Hilary Ross
Head of Retail, Food
and Hospitality, DWF
E: hilary.ross@dwf.law
T: +44 (0)3333 20 32 10
Alan Owens
Head of Technology and
Communications, DWF
E: alan.owens@dwf.law
T: +44 (0)20 7645 4139
03
In a rapidly changing market,
retailers are focusing on
delivering value and quality in
an omnichannel world, while
trying to navigate the complex
political landscape of the living
wage and a potential exit from
the European Union. The top
five growth areas identified
by the retailers in our survey
gives an insight into the long-
term strategy for investment
in bridging the gap between
offline and digital channels.
1. Multichannel
Omnichannel is still king.
Retailers need to make sure
that their propositions are
consistent across all channels.
Click and collect may seem an
old idea, but it is at the sharp
end of many omnichannel
experiences and continues
to grow as it drives increased
customer spending in-store.
E-commerce retailers are
looking to set up shop on
the high street. The majority
of retail sales are still taking
place offline and, although
the retailers that participated
in this survey predict this will
change to a 70/30 split in
favour of online in as little as
five years’ time, e-commerce
retailers are recognising
the need to set up physical
shops if they want to gain
significant market share.
2. Technology systems
Traditional bricks-and-mortar
retailers will need to invest to
win against companies for
whom data optimisation, data
security and customer fulfilment
are in their DNA. Mobile
will continue to grow until it
matches bricks-and-mortar.
Yet it will also be a key driver
in bricks-and-mortar sales, as
customers use their mobiles
in-store, and integrated digital
touchpoints will be critical
investments for many.
3. International expansion
Overseas expansion
continues to drive
opportunities for growth
and increased profits. As
the UK market edges ever
closer to saturation, retailers
are looking to mature in
emerging economies, with
omnichannel and supply
chain technology as their
passport to successful
international expansion.
However, expansion is
not for the faint hearted,
with cultural differences,
mercurial regulatory regimes
and differing customer
expectations all presenting
significant challenges.
4. Big data
Making data work harder
is key. Bricks-and-mortar
retailers know they have a
lot of work to do if they are
to catch up with their online
competitors. Retailers are
examining how they can
better mine their data to get to
know their customers, while
optimising and personalising
the shopping experiences
across the omnichannel.
Finding better ways to
protect customers’ privacy
and data is also important.
Every month brings reports
of another retailer facing the
reputational nightmare of a
major data breach. Motivated
by customers’ expectations,
brand reputation,
shareholders and the costs
of dealing with a significant
incident, retailers are on
a path of investment and
improvement in this area.
5. Warehouse efficiency
Investment will improve
fulfilment. With online native
retailers setting the bar for speed
and convenience, traditional
retailers recognise the need to
invest in robust order fulfilment,
stock awareness and lightning-
speed deliveries.
Then, now and in the future,
value and quality will remain
the bywords of any successful
retail proposition, but the
challenge will be how to align
these traditional values for a
modern age of retail, where
an integrated, accessible and
secure customer experience
is the norm rather than the
exception. That will take
clear strategic thinking
and balanced investments
that UK retailers are well
placed to make.�
£
£
FIGURE 1 TOP 5 AREAS WHERE RETAILERS ARE FOCUSING
TO DRIVE GROWTH IN THE NEXT 3 YEARS
DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED FACTOR TO BE IN TOP 3
51%
35%
22%
43%
51%
MULTICHANNEL TECHNOLOGY
SYSTEMS
INTERNATIONAL
EXPANSION
BIG DATA
WAREHOUSE
EFFICIENCY
15%
9%
13%
15%
17%
17%
5%
3%
4%
PERSONALISATION OF ADVERTISING
SOCIAL MEDIA AS A RETAIL PLATFORM
SOURCING
FULFILLMENT SOLUTIONS
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY (CSR)
LOGISTICS
LOCALISATION
SUNDAY TRADING
TRANSATLANTIC TRADE AND
INVESTMENT PARTNERSHIP
04
DEMOGRAPHIC
This report has been compiled through telephone interviews with
150 C-suite executives from leading retail organisations in the UK
RETAILER TARGET DEMOGRAPHIC
JOB ROLE
2%
CEO
39%
CFO
3%
CIO
7%
CRO
39%
HEAD OF SUPPLY CHAIN
9%
HEAD OF TREASURY
SIZE
AGE
SOCIO-ECONOMIC GROUP
RETAIL SECTOR
9%DEPARTMENT STORES
DIY, HOME & GARDEN
ELECTRICALS & TECHNOLOGY
ENTERTAINMENT
FASHION
FOOD & BEVERAGES
GENERAL MERCHANDISE
HEALTH & BEAUTY
LUXURY
PERSONAL FINANCE &
BANKING
SPORTS & LEISURE
5%UTILITIES
1%
63%
36%
0%
81%
10%
70+
18-34
55-69
AB
C1
C2 8%
DE 1%
35-54
TURNOVER
EMPLOYEES
63%
18%
27%
29%
26%
4% 7%
GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE
67%
650-1,500 1,501-5,000EMPLOYEES
1,501-25,000 25,001+
$50-100m $100-250mTURNOVER
$250m-1bn 1bn+
59%
10%
23%
8%
REGIONAL NATIONAL GLOBALEUROPEAN
22%
04
All percentages rounded to nearest whole number
05
BECOMINGOMNICHANNELDespite retailers seeing online channels as a growing sector,
few believe they have yet embraced a comprehensive strategy
retailers believe that value will
remain a key demand from
shoppers in the future.
Retailers are fully embracing
the value and opportunities
presented by online channels,
with 49 per cent reporting that
they are planning to give it the
most investment over the next
three years – retailers with
limited or no e-commerce
offering are now rare. Fashion
retailers (77 per cent) in
particular are showing signs of
embracing this wholeheartedly
and they already generate
65 per cent of their sales
online. Consumers no longer
feel they need to “try before
they buy” as they can do it
in the comfort of their own
home following delivery. This
is due to retailers such as
ASOS and Marks & Spencer
making delivery quick
and inexpensive, with the
opportunity to return items
being equally simple.
Despite the widespread
recognition by retailers that
online and omnichannel
represent the future, 85
per cent admit that their
omnichannel strategy is only
at a basic or intermediate
There is no escaping
omnichannel. It is at the
forefront of retailers’ minds as it
continues to drive the majority
of sales growth. Retailers
are predicting that 42 per
cent of sales will be through
e-commerce in five to ten
years. Critically, however, they
expect m-commerce sales to
grow substantially to 29 per
cent, equalling sales through
physical stores. This shows, for
the first time, a more balanced
omnichannel experience.
A major reason for an
omnichannel future are the
digital natives who have
grown up buying across
channels and will, over the
next five to ten years, move
into the 18 to 34-year-old
grouping when they will
develop greater buying power.
With mobile technology
now augmenting the physical
shopping experience, and
shopping destinations and
stores increasingly offering
complimentary wi-fi, it is
surprising that only 17 per
cent of retailers regard
omnichannel as a key
driver for customers. Most
retailers now believe that
this experience has already
ceased to be a differentiator,
at least as far as product
purchasing decisions are
concerned, as consumers
increasingly expect it as
standard.
By contrast, the proliferation
of price promotions and claims
of “everyday low prices”
underlines why 61 per cent of
FIGURE 2 CHANNEL MIX:
2015 COMPARED WITH 2020-25
ONLINE E-COMMERCE
M-COMMERCE BRICKS & MORTAR
44%
56%
2015
42%
29%
29%
2020/25
65% of fashion
retailers’ sales
are already online
>
06
8%
23%
31%
38%
FIGURE 3 WHICH STATEMENT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR COMPANY’S PROGRESS IN
IMPLEMENTING/EXECUTING AN OMNICHANNEL STRATEGY?
TOTAL
64% 21% 6% 1%8%
OPPOSED: A decision has been made to pursue a multichannel strategy as opposed to omnichannel
UNDEVELOPED: We are scoping out our omnichannel options but are yet to set our long-term strategy	
BASIC: We are defining our strategy and beginning to execute the plan
INTERMEDIATE: We have identified our strategy and are executing on it		
ADVANCED: We have made greater progress than most of our peers and have executed most of our strategy
GENERAL
MERCHANDISE
31%
54%
15%
ELECTRICALS
& TECHNOLOGY
38%
31%
8%
23%
FOOD &
BEVERAGES
69%
31%
SPORTS &
LEISURE
69%
8%
23%
FASHION
£
31%
69%
ENTERTAINMENTLUXURY
8%
15%
77%
15%
85%
PERSONAL
FINANCE &
BANKING
DIY, HOME
& GARDEN
8%
92%
85%
8%
8%
HEALTH &
BEAUTY
UTILITIES
57%
43%
DEPARTMENT
STORES
92%
8%
07
FIGURE 4 WHAT ARE RETAILERS’ CUSTOMERS TOP 2 DEMANDS
DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO
CONSIDERED DEMANDS TO BE IN TOP 2
61%
9%
PRODUCT
PROVENANCE
17%
OMNICHANNEL
OFFER
22%
DEMONSTRABLE
CSR
GREATER VALUE/
PRICING
31%
IMPROVED
IN-STORE
EXPERIENCE
11%
LOCALISED
PRODUCT MIX
32%
LOYALTY
PROGRAMMES
17%
MORE
FLEXIBLE
FULFILMENT
61% of retailers believe that
value will remain a key demand
from shoppers in the future
The “store within store”
concept, linking major
brands, means that the way
those brands are marketed
will be diverse - co-branding
agreements and revenue sharing
will be central.
Increased reliance on mobile
marketing means that logistics
agreements and tie-ups will need
to be regularly reviewed.
KPIs and service-level credits
will be more important,
as recent case law on
penalties shows.
Selective distribution channels
are often in the competition
regulators’ line of sight. The
criteria for maintaining channels
needs to be rethought where
digital purchases become
the norm.
KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
level. Just 8 per cent believe it
is advanced, which suggests
a competitive advantage can
be achieved by those retailers
that knit together a seamless
cross-channel experience for
their customers.
The value in pursuing
omnichannel strategies is
obvious, as the belief from
retailers is that growth will be
derived from across a variety of
channels. Retailers estimated
that in five to ten years’ time,
the split between e-commerce,
m-commerce and bricks-and-
mortar will will start to even
out (see figure 2).�
08
Data is now the lifeblood of
retail. Online marketplaces
have created mountains
of information, which have
provided significant insights into
customer behaviour. This data
has also created opportunities
for vast improvements in the
management of stock with
a level of precision never
previously possible.
One third (32 per cent)
of retailers identified loyalty
programmes as a key
development that customers
will demand in the future.
Despite the value of Tesco’s
Clubcard being questioned
recently, it appears there
may be a renaissance in
such tools, with Lidl trialling a
scheme and Morrisons having
launched its Match & More
loyalty card in 2014.
An electrical retailer
summarises the value of
these schemes, indicating it
“planned to collect customer
data and customise offers to
meet their needs through data
and analytics investments”.
Could this collation of
customer data lead to a
heightened fear of data
breaches? Certainly a
sizeable 32 per cent of
retailers cite cyber/data
breaches as one of the
biggest threats to their
businesses over the next
SAFETY IN NUMBERS
The savvy retailer will use customer data to their
advantage, but businesses are increasingly
wary of the dangers of data breaches
FIGURE 5 TOP 10 FACTORS THAT WILL THREATEN
GROWTH IN THE NEXT THREE YEARS
of retailers agree
that data security
is imperative to
brand reputation
99%
three years. Data security is
undoubtedly a serious matter
as a massive 99 per cent of
retailers agree it is imperative
for their brand reputations
that they do not suffer such
online security failures.
Despite the potential risks,
the use of data to personalise
services for customers is
a major way for retailers to
differentiate in a market where
as many as 61 per cent of
companies regard value/
pricing as a key demand from
customers. One area where
this use of data appears is
through tailored marketing
and advertising, with 17 per
cent of merchants believing it
DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED FACTOR TO BE IN TOP 3
SUPPLY CHAIN SECURITY15%
LACK OF MARGIN15%
NEW PAYMENT SYSTEMS17%
REGULATION FROM THE UK/EU40%
BUSINESS RATES17%
BREXIT21%
CURRENCY FLUCTUATIONS25%
NATIONAL LIVING WAGE27%
CYBER/DATA BREACHES32%
IT SYSTEMS38%
09
will drive future growth.
One luxury goods
retailer says: “Customer
engagement and continuous
communication can help in
identifying the need to add,
change or improve product
lines, offers and prices.”
Mobile devices are
increasingly involved, and
retailers like House of
Fraser and John Lewis are
investigating using in-
store “beacons” to identify
shoppers when they enter
a store and then deliver
personalised offers to their
phones, as well as indicating
when any click-and-collect
items are ready for collection.
Despite the potential for the
use of data analytics and the
growing amount of trials taking
place, the consensus among
retailers is that the effectiveness
of their investments in this area
is very poor. Few retailers score
themselves above two out of
five, which is a concern as the
FIGURE 6 ESTIMATED INVESTMENT LEVEL IN DATA ANALYTICS BY BUSINESS AREA
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
value of data will become
evermore important
to them in developing
successful multichannel
models.�
Tighter Europe-wide regulation of data
security is coming in 2016.
Best practice and mitigation of problems
caused by cyber breaches dictates
clear-headed decisions about when not
to collect data, move to anonymous
aggregation and when to delete data.
Use of beacons and other technologies
means retailers need to ensure
consent is clearly obtained,
particularly from children and teens.
The collection of data also
demands ongoing investments
in security, regular review of
retention policies and crisis-
response plans. Legal teams
need to play a central role in
incident responses to maintain
privilege in crisis communications.
KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
STRATEGIC PLANNING SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT LOGISTICS INVENTORY MANAGEMENT MARKETING/SALES CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
65%
9%
19%
51%
14%
46%
23%
45%
37%
49%
33%
56%
11%15%33%40%29%25%
10
geographical boundaries
of the internet to test
international strategies in a
quick, cheap and often
lower-risk way.
It is therefore not surprising
that 49 per cent of retailers
say e-commerce is the
format that will receive the
most focus for investment.
While international
expansion offers great
opportunities for growth,
especially online, it is also
where the biggest competition
comes from, with 47 per cent
of retailers saying global online
represents the most significant
threat to their future growth.
It is clear that international,
and in particular the use of
online across borders, are key
battlegrounds.
Expansion plans are
predominantly focused on
the EU and Asia, with 47 per
cent of retailers looking
at Europe, while 32 per cent
are targeting Asia.
Department stores and
general merchandise retailers
have a particularly strong
bias to EU expansion, with
77 per cent of companies
prioritising this region.
In contrast, only 2 per
cent are focusing on North
America, which may explain
why some retailers are less
interested in the potential
impact of the Transatlantic
Trade and Investment
Partnership negotiations. It
is a similar story with Africa,
where virtually no interest is
being shown in expansion
into the territory.
There are many models
available to launch
internationally, from using
third parties under licence
or as commercial agents
or franchise, through to the
business taking the plunge
itself, or benefiting from the
local experience of a joint
GLOBAL REACH
International expansion is central to many retailers’
futures, with a focus on a low-cost,
low-risk e-commerce strategy
see
international
expansion as
a top three
factor that
will drive
growth in
the next
three years
43%
49%
4%
17%
9%
7%
5%
7%
2%
FIGURE 7 WHICH RETAIL FORMAT WILL RECEIVE
THE MOST FOCUS AND INVESTMENT OVER THE
NEXT THREE YEARS?
E-COMMERCE
FACTORY OUTLETS
FRANCHISE
VENDING
BOUTIQUE
CLICK & COLLECT
CONCESSIONS
DISCOUNTER
0%
POP-UP
CONVENIENCE
Tesco might be retreating
from its international
operations – as recently
demonstrated by the sale
of its South Korea business
- but overseas expansion
remains a major area of
growth for UK retailers. As
many as 43 per cent regard it
as one of the top three areas
they intend to focus on over
the next three years.
Many retailers, including the
likes of N Brown, Superdry
and Marks & Spencer,
have used the unlimited
11
FIGURE 8 WHICH GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS WILL YOUR COMPANY LOOK TO TARGET FOR EXPANSION?
FIGURE 9 WHERE IS YOUR GREATEST COMPETITION
GOING TO COME FROM OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS?
venture. What is clear is that
retailers are less keen on local
market M&A, as just 5 per
cent saw this as the route to
market entry, clearly favouring
the increased control the other
routes provide.
This focus on international
development perhaps
explains why 31 per cent
of retailers regard BREXIT
(Britain leaving the EU) as a
serious threat to their future
UTILITIES
SPORTS &
LEISURE
FASHION
ENTERTAINMENT
DEPARTMENT
STORES
M&A DIRECT
INVESTMENT
JOINT
VENTURES
STRATEGIC
ALLIANCES
FRANCHISE/
LICENCE
DIRECT
EXPORT
INDIRECT
EXPORT
OFFICE
LOCATION
5% 21% 8% 26% 18% 16% 6%1%
40-50%
30-39%
20-29%
10-19%
0-9%
HOW WILL GROWTH BE ACHIEVED?
£
43% 57%
31% 38% 31%
92% 8%
31% 38% 31%
46% 23% 31%
DISCOUNTERS GLOBAL OFFLINE GLOBAL ONLINE UK OFFLINE UK ONLINE
TOTAL 17% 9% 47% 9% 18%
growth and the 60 per cent
who viewed EU regulation as
a key challenge. Inevitably,
even in times of increasingly
harmonised EU laws, the
local interpretations and
practical difficulties arising
out of dealing in many
languages across the EU
gives rise to many practical
challenges that retailers
typically use technology
to overcome.�
Thinking about relationships
across borders is crucial. Too
often, arrangements are entered
into without thought as to
the legal consequences in the
partner’s country of origin.
Be aware of key differences,
such as negotiations, that
may become binding before
signature, overriding “good
faith” requirements, and the
inability to summarily terminate
distribution or supplier
contracts. Think also about
commercial agents’ rights
to compensation upon lawful
termination – still catching out
companies a decade after the EU
regulations became effective.
KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
12
Competition from online rivals
is regarded as a major threat
to traditional retailers’ futures;
the omnichannel revolution
gives them an opportunity to
compete, but a robust and
flexible online order-fulfilment
proposition covering both
web and mobile sales is now
critical to success.
Amazon and Argos are
among the retailers fighting it
out to offer quicker delivery
times in tighter delivery-slot
windows – 57 per cent of
retailers are considering
free delivery, 54 per cent
click and collect, and 47 per
cent looking to offer precise
delivery times as part of their
fulfilment strategy.
In contrast, while there has
been considerable hype, it
appears in reality there is little
interest in same-day delivery
or drones – not withstanding
that Amazon announced it
was trialling both.
Free delivery is most relevant
to the food and beverage
category, with 85 per cent
considering such a strategy,
which definitely puts margins
under pressure. Further
stress on the major grocers
is coming from AmazonFresh
and PrimeNow, with a further
convergence of the big online
retailers expected into more
traditional markets.
DELIVERING THE GOODS
Maintaining a cost-effective delivery and returns
service is a challenge facing all retailers
battling to win consumer loyalty
The emergence of new
delivery models from
technology-led newcomers,
such as Uber, are also
shaking up the market.
Denmark-based Dansk
Supermarked has admitted
finding it tough to make food
delivery profitable and is
therefore considering using
new logistics solutions from
the likes of Uber.
In our Supply Chain
Report last year, we
saw how it is no longer
acceptable to only focus
on getting goods to
consumers. Another
fulfilment pressure point for
retailers is returns. Dealing
with unwanted goods is a
costly and time-consuming
activity that again eats into
online margins. But a failure
to offer a comprehensive
returns policy would be
detrimental to any retailer.
Charging customers for any
part of the in-store delivery-
and-returns element of online
ordering had been avoided by
all retailers, until John Lewis
recently began charging £2
for click and collect orders
valued at less than £30. Early
evidence is that the lost sales
have been offset by some
shoppers bulking up their
orders to cross the minimum-
spend threshold.�
12
FIGURE 10 WHICH ORDER-FULFILMENT
STRATEGIES ARE YOU CONSIDERING?
DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO
CONSIDERED STRATEGY TO BE IN TOP 2
FIGURE 11 WHICH RETURNS SOLUTIONS WILL
YOUR COMPANY FOCUS ON?
75%
53% 65%
FREE RETURNS PRECISE PICK-UP TIMES IN-STORE RETURNS
DROP OFF
7%
DRONES
0%
DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO
CONSIDERED STRATEGY TO BE IN TOP 2
9% SAME-DAY
DELIVERY
47%
PRECISE
DELIVERY
TIMES
11% ON-THE-GO
RETAIL
12%
NON-TRADITIONAL
DELIVERY
MECHANISMS
57% FREE
DELIVERY
11%
CLICK AND COLLECT
(REMOTE LOCATIONS/
LOCKERS)
54%
CLICK AND
COLLECT
(IN-STORE)
13
Technology is rapidly changing
the in-store retail experience
- channels are converging
and shoppers are becoming
increasingly demanding.
One department store
retailer predicts the march
towards convergence gaining
pace, recognising the huge
value to be gained from this
experience for both retailer
and consumer: “E-commerce,
mobile applications and virtual
fitting rooms will be used to
FIGURE 12 EXCLUDING CUSTOMER SERVICE, WHAT IS YOUR KEY
MESSAGE/RETAIL NARRATIVE TO CONSUMERS?
BEACONS
OF HOPE
Many high street retailers are looking to invest in in-store
technology to improve their customers’ experience
offer exactly what the customer
wants, and the data that is
gathered will then be used
for targeted advertising
and marketing.”
Similar change is forecast
by one electricals retailer,
who suggests: “Smart
displays, wi-fi networks,
new payment systems,
beacons and sensor
technologies, which offer
the business provider more
comfort in making products
appealing, will revolutionise
stores and retail.”
To satisfy this demand,
retailers are committing 41 per
cent of their budgets to bricks-
and-mortar, with the rest going
towards online developments.
The major investments over the
next three years are going on
new stores (39 per cent), in-store
digital marketing and point-of-
sale technologies (23 per cent).
Arcadia, House of Fraser,
Burberry and Argos are among
the many high street retailers
that equip their employees with
tablets which often incorporate
payment solutions and online
ordering functionality.
Despite this focus and
investment on fulfilment, it
doesn’t appear that retailers
are focusing on this as a selling
point to their consumers – with
just 5 per cent saying promoting
the ease of this process
was to be a key message to
consumers, suggesting this is
an assumed service and not
viewed as adding value.
But despite the budgets
committed by retailers
to transforming their in-
store infrastructures and
fulfilment processes, the key
messages they are conveying
to consumers are very
traditional. As many as 41
per cent of retailers are aiming
to deliver a key message
around the offering of high-
quality products, while 21 per
cent are focused on delivering
a value-for-money narrative.�
41%
3%
5%
21%
9%
11%
3%
8%
EASE OF DELIVERY/RETURNS PROCESS
HERITAGE
HIGH-QUALITY PRODUCT
LOCALISATION OF STORES
PRODUCT PROVENANCE
REWARDING LOYALTY
SUSTAINABLE/ETHICAL PRACTICES
VALUE FOR MONEY
41%
OF INVESTMENT WILL
BE SPENT ON BRICKS-
AND-MORTAR
Convergence and sophisticated
omnichannel technology-led
experiences are everything a
retailer might want. However,
many struggle with legacy systems
and IT foundations inadequate for
current demands.
AstransformationalITinvestments
arerequiredtomeetcustomer
demand,retailersneedtobudgetfor
buildinginprivacybydesign,phasing
projectsinmanageableportions
anddealingwiththeinevitabilityof
changeastheprojectruns.
KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
14
The old adage goes that
retail is detail and people
do detail. It has never
been a more competitive
market for ensuring retailers
have the right people to
power their business, with
the living wage the latest
employment-related issue to
dominate the agenda.
While often portrayed in a
negative light and as a cost
to business, only 27 per cent
of retailers saw it as a key
threat to growth over the next
three years, viewing areas
such as regulatory change,
and IT and data security as
bigger issues.
The ability to retain and
motivate the best staff is key.
Wages are clearly crucial and
therefore it is fundamental
retailers buy into improved
remuneration.
Only 36 per cent of those
we asked thought they would
EARNING POTENTIAL
The introduction of the living wage is forcing
retailers to rethink their staffing structures, training
programmes and premium payments policies
not be affected by introducing
the living wage. Those who
thought there would be an
impact on their business
sought to offset this by passing
on the cost to consumers (23
per cent) and suppliers (18 per
cent), with very few expecting
to reduce staff numbers (3 per
cent) – see figure 13.
FIGURE 13 WHAT WILL BE THE BIGGEST EFFECT OF THE INTRODUCTION OF THE NATIONAL
LIVING WAGE ON YOUR BUSINESS?
DECREASED STAFF NUMBERS
COSTS PASSED DOWN TO SUPPLIERS
LESS INVESTMENT IN NEWS STORES
INCREASED COSTS FOR CONSUMERS
INCREASED RECRUITMENT FROM ABROAD
NO EFFECT
Larger companies feel better
able to handle the living wage,
with almost half believing it will
be immaterial to how they run
their organisation, while smaller
firms think there is a greater
likelihood of passing on costs
to the customer.
Many employers are
reviewing their pay structures
and the roles employees
undertake. A fairer pay
system will encourage and
reward employees, and
ensure greater engagement.
Staff engagement is also
maximised by investment
in skills and employees’
understanding of the business.
Training on products and ever-
changing technology is
of paramount importance.
Investment in training
and higher wages are not,
however, dampening retailers’
enthusiasm for growing
their workforces with many
employing an increasing
number of people from
outside the European Union.
As many as 79 per cent of
retailers expect to increase
recruitment of such workers
over the next three years.
No company expects a
decrease in numbers among
their non-EU workforce.�
36%4%23%15%18%3%
Review pay structures to assess
fairness, and ability to stay in
line with proposed changes to
national minimum wage, living
wage, equal pay or pensions.
Use the opportunity to
revise structures with
historical unfairness or out-
of-date premium, and make an
assessment of the financial
risks and challenges to the
organisation. It is important
to consult early on with staff/
unions on the changes proposed
and consider the job roles and
changes required as part of
the pay restructure.
KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
15
CLOSED
CONCLUSION
Capital structure:
With only 15 per
cent of retailers
looking to deleverage, 85 per
cent of retailers favour private
equity as their main source of
financing. The stock market
is reluctant to invest capital
in retailers, with many leading
names reporting falling sales
and margins. The optimal
business and assets mix
also remains unresolved,
with concerns lingering over
portfolio size, format and
location. This is, in part,
being driven by a challenge
to traditional assumptions
about freeholds underpinning
value and supporting debt.
A further challenge to
existing models is industry
consolidation, exemplified
by the Carphone Warehouse
and Dixons merger, and
prospect of Sainsbury’s
acquisition of Argos.
Private equity remains
interested in seizing
opportunity, but caution
over leveraging debt and
restricted exit routes are
inhibiting investment.
Ominichannel: This
creates significant
opportunities, but
these can become challenges
if they aren’t supported by
a strong legal platform. The
need to ensure that data
is managed effectively and
consumer information robustly
protected is paramount to
any retailer’s reputation. Do
not wait for a crisis to unfold
to test your systems – a crisis
simulation event is essential to
understanding what needs to
be done to protect your brand.
Mobile: Increased
reliance on mobile
marketing means
that logistics agreements
and tie-ups will need to be
regularly reviewed to
ensure they remain fit for
purpose for the flexible
world of mobile.
CSR: This is
firmly on retailers’
agendas, not
least as a way to increase
brand development. There
are an increasing number of
legal challenges to convert
the moral responsibilities
associated with CSR into legal
liabilities. For many retailers
this is the cost of doing
business; for others that seek
to de-risk their business these
legal developments need to
be closely analysed.
Taxes: Staff
reductions,
pensions, directors’
remuneration, international
expansion, and the increasing
onus of compliance, risk and
CSR all bring significant tax
considerations. From April
2017, HMRC will be collecting
the apprenticeship levy at 0.5
per cent of payroll cost over
£3 million. For large retailers
that will be a significant amount
of additional tax (around
£10 million for the large
supermarkets).The consultation
outcome suggests that some, if
not all the cash may be able to
be recycled to meet some
training needs. Careful
consideration needs to be
given to the combination of
tax and education.�
16

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DWF Future of Retail Report

  • 1. THE FUTURE OF RETAIL 05 BECOMING OMNICHANNEL 08 SAFETY IN NUMBERS 10 GLOBAL REACH WELCOME £
  • 2. 02 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT 02 OPEN Hilary Ross Head of Retail, Food and Hospitality, DWF E: hilary.ross@dwf.law T: +44 (0)3333 20 32 10 Alan Owens Head of Technology and Communications, DWF E: alan.owens@dwf.law T: +44 (0)20 7645 4139
  • 3. 03 In a rapidly changing market, retailers are focusing on delivering value and quality in an omnichannel world, while trying to navigate the complex political landscape of the living wage and a potential exit from the European Union. The top five growth areas identified by the retailers in our survey gives an insight into the long- term strategy for investment in bridging the gap between offline and digital channels. 1. Multichannel Omnichannel is still king. Retailers need to make sure that their propositions are consistent across all channels. Click and collect may seem an old idea, but it is at the sharp end of many omnichannel experiences and continues to grow as it drives increased customer spending in-store. E-commerce retailers are looking to set up shop on the high street. The majority of retail sales are still taking place offline and, although the retailers that participated in this survey predict this will change to a 70/30 split in favour of online in as little as five years’ time, e-commerce retailers are recognising the need to set up physical shops if they want to gain significant market share. 2. Technology systems Traditional bricks-and-mortar retailers will need to invest to win against companies for whom data optimisation, data security and customer fulfilment are in their DNA. Mobile will continue to grow until it matches bricks-and-mortar. Yet it will also be a key driver in bricks-and-mortar sales, as customers use their mobiles in-store, and integrated digital touchpoints will be critical investments for many. 3. International expansion Overseas expansion continues to drive opportunities for growth and increased profits. As the UK market edges ever closer to saturation, retailers are looking to mature in emerging economies, with omnichannel and supply chain technology as their passport to successful international expansion. However, expansion is not for the faint hearted, with cultural differences, mercurial regulatory regimes and differing customer expectations all presenting significant challenges. 4. Big data Making data work harder is key. Bricks-and-mortar retailers know they have a lot of work to do if they are to catch up with their online competitors. Retailers are examining how they can better mine their data to get to know their customers, while optimising and personalising the shopping experiences across the omnichannel. Finding better ways to protect customers’ privacy and data is also important. Every month brings reports of another retailer facing the reputational nightmare of a major data breach. Motivated by customers’ expectations, brand reputation, shareholders and the costs of dealing with a significant incident, retailers are on a path of investment and improvement in this area. 5. Warehouse efficiency Investment will improve fulfilment. With online native retailers setting the bar for speed and convenience, traditional retailers recognise the need to invest in robust order fulfilment, stock awareness and lightning- speed deliveries. Then, now and in the future, value and quality will remain the bywords of any successful retail proposition, but the challenge will be how to align these traditional values for a modern age of retail, where an integrated, accessible and secure customer experience is the norm rather than the exception. That will take clear strategic thinking and balanced investments that UK retailers are well placed to make.� £ £ FIGURE 1 TOP 5 AREAS WHERE RETAILERS ARE FOCUSING TO DRIVE GROWTH IN THE NEXT 3 YEARS DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED FACTOR TO BE IN TOP 3 51% 35% 22% 43% 51% MULTICHANNEL TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL EXPANSION BIG DATA WAREHOUSE EFFICIENCY 15% 9% 13% 15% 17% 17% 5% 3% 4% PERSONALISATION OF ADVERTISING SOCIAL MEDIA AS A RETAIL PLATFORM SOURCING FULFILLMENT SOLUTIONS CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY (CSR) LOGISTICS LOCALISATION SUNDAY TRADING TRANSATLANTIC TRADE AND INVESTMENT PARTNERSHIP
  • 4. 04 DEMOGRAPHIC This report has been compiled through telephone interviews with 150 C-suite executives from leading retail organisations in the UK RETAILER TARGET DEMOGRAPHIC JOB ROLE 2% CEO 39% CFO 3% CIO 7% CRO 39% HEAD OF SUPPLY CHAIN 9% HEAD OF TREASURY SIZE AGE SOCIO-ECONOMIC GROUP RETAIL SECTOR 9%DEPARTMENT STORES DIY, HOME & GARDEN ELECTRICALS & TECHNOLOGY ENTERTAINMENT FASHION FOOD & BEVERAGES GENERAL MERCHANDISE HEALTH & BEAUTY LUXURY PERSONAL FINANCE & BANKING SPORTS & LEISURE 5%UTILITIES 1% 63% 36% 0% 81% 10% 70+ 18-34 55-69 AB C1 C2 8% DE 1% 35-54 TURNOVER EMPLOYEES 63% 18% 27% 29% 26% 4% 7% GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE 67% 650-1,500 1,501-5,000EMPLOYEES 1,501-25,000 25,001+ $50-100m $100-250mTURNOVER $250m-1bn 1bn+ 59% 10% 23% 8% REGIONAL NATIONAL GLOBALEUROPEAN 22% 04 All percentages rounded to nearest whole number
  • 5. 05 BECOMINGOMNICHANNELDespite retailers seeing online channels as a growing sector, few believe they have yet embraced a comprehensive strategy retailers believe that value will remain a key demand from shoppers in the future. Retailers are fully embracing the value and opportunities presented by online channels, with 49 per cent reporting that they are planning to give it the most investment over the next three years – retailers with limited or no e-commerce offering are now rare. Fashion retailers (77 per cent) in particular are showing signs of embracing this wholeheartedly and they already generate 65 per cent of their sales online. Consumers no longer feel they need to “try before they buy” as they can do it in the comfort of their own home following delivery. This is due to retailers such as ASOS and Marks & Spencer making delivery quick and inexpensive, with the opportunity to return items being equally simple. Despite the widespread recognition by retailers that online and omnichannel represent the future, 85 per cent admit that their omnichannel strategy is only at a basic or intermediate There is no escaping omnichannel. It is at the forefront of retailers’ minds as it continues to drive the majority of sales growth. Retailers are predicting that 42 per cent of sales will be through e-commerce in five to ten years. Critically, however, they expect m-commerce sales to grow substantially to 29 per cent, equalling sales through physical stores. This shows, for the first time, a more balanced omnichannel experience. A major reason for an omnichannel future are the digital natives who have grown up buying across channels and will, over the next five to ten years, move into the 18 to 34-year-old grouping when they will develop greater buying power. With mobile technology now augmenting the physical shopping experience, and shopping destinations and stores increasingly offering complimentary wi-fi, it is surprising that only 17 per cent of retailers regard omnichannel as a key driver for customers. Most retailers now believe that this experience has already ceased to be a differentiator, at least as far as product purchasing decisions are concerned, as consumers increasingly expect it as standard. By contrast, the proliferation of price promotions and claims of “everyday low prices” underlines why 61 per cent of FIGURE 2 CHANNEL MIX: 2015 COMPARED WITH 2020-25 ONLINE E-COMMERCE M-COMMERCE BRICKS & MORTAR 44% 56% 2015 42% 29% 29% 2020/25 65% of fashion retailers’ sales are already online >
  • 6. 06 8% 23% 31% 38% FIGURE 3 WHICH STATEMENT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR COMPANY’S PROGRESS IN IMPLEMENTING/EXECUTING AN OMNICHANNEL STRATEGY? TOTAL 64% 21% 6% 1%8% OPPOSED: A decision has been made to pursue a multichannel strategy as opposed to omnichannel UNDEVELOPED: We are scoping out our omnichannel options but are yet to set our long-term strategy BASIC: We are defining our strategy and beginning to execute the plan INTERMEDIATE: We have identified our strategy and are executing on it ADVANCED: We have made greater progress than most of our peers and have executed most of our strategy GENERAL MERCHANDISE 31% 54% 15% ELECTRICALS & TECHNOLOGY 38% 31% 8% 23% FOOD & BEVERAGES 69% 31% SPORTS & LEISURE 69% 8% 23% FASHION £ 31% 69% ENTERTAINMENTLUXURY 8% 15% 77% 15% 85% PERSONAL FINANCE & BANKING DIY, HOME & GARDEN 8% 92% 85% 8% 8% HEALTH & BEAUTY UTILITIES 57% 43% DEPARTMENT STORES 92% 8%
  • 7. 07 FIGURE 4 WHAT ARE RETAILERS’ CUSTOMERS TOP 2 DEMANDS DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED DEMANDS TO BE IN TOP 2 61% 9% PRODUCT PROVENANCE 17% OMNICHANNEL OFFER 22% DEMONSTRABLE CSR GREATER VALUE/ PRICING 31% IMPROVED IN-STORE EXPERIENCE 11% LOCALISED PRODUCT MIX 32% LOYALTY PROGRAMMES 17% MORE FLEXIBLE FULFILMENT 61% of retailers believe that value will remain a key demand from shoppers in the future The “store within store” concept, linking major brands, means that the way those brands are marketed will be diverse - co-branding agreements and revenue sharing will be central. Increased reliance on mobile marketing means that logistics agreements and tie-ups will need to be regularly reviewed. KPIs and service-level credits will be more important, as recent case law on penalties shows. Selective distribution channels are often in the competition regulators’ line of sight. The criteria for maintaining channels needs to be rethought where digital purchases become the norm. KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS level. Just 8 per cent believe it is advanced, which suggests a competitive advantage can be achieved by those retailers that knit together a seamless cross-channel experience for their customers. The value in pursuing omnichannel strategies is obvious, as the belief from retailers is that growth will be derived from across a variety of channels. Retailers estimated that in five to ten years’ time, the split between e-commerce, m-commerce and bricks-and- mortar will will start to even out (see figure 2).�
  • 8. 08 Data is now the lifeblood of retail. Online marketplaces have created mountains of information, which have provided significant insights into customer behaviour. This data has also created opportunities for vast improvements in the management of stock with a level of precision never previously possible. One third (32 per cent) of retailers identified loyalty programmes as a key development that customers will demand in the future. Despite the value of Tesco’s Clubcard being questioned recently, it appears there may be a renaissance in such tools, with Lidl trialling a scheme and Morrisons having launched its Match & More loyalty card in 2014. An electrical retailer summarises the value of these schemes, indicating it “planned to collect customer data and customise offers to meet their needs through data and analytics investments”. Could this collation of customer data lead to a heightened fear of data breaches? Certainly a sizeable 32 per cent of retailers cite cyber/data breaches as one of the biggest threats to their businesses over the next SAFETY IN NUMBERS The savvy retailer will use customer data to their advantage, but businesses are increasingly wary of the dangers of data breaches FIGURE 5 TOP 10 FACTORS THAT WILL THREATEN GROWTH IN THE NEXT THREE YEARS of retailers agree that data security is imperative to brand reputation 99% three years. Data security is undoubtedly a serious matter as a massive 99 per cent of retailers agree it is imperative for their brand reputations that they do not suffer such online security failures. Despite the potential risks, the use of data to personalise services for customers is a major way for retailers to differentiate in a market where as many as 61 per cent of companies regard value/ pricing as a key demand from customers. One area where this use of data appears is through tailored marketing and advertising, with 17 per cent of merchants believing it DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED FACTOR TO BE IN TOP 3 SUPPLY CHAIN SECURITY15% LACK OF MARGIN15% NEW PAYMENT SYSTEMS17% REGULATION FROM THE UK/EU40% BUSINESS RATES17% BREXIT21% CURRENCY FLUCTUATIONS25% NATIONAL LIVING WAGE27% CYBER/DATA BREACHES32% IT SYSTEMS38%
  • 9. 09 will drive future growth. One luxury goods retailer says: “Customer engagement and continuous communication can help in identifying the need to add, change or improve product lines, offers and prices.” Mobile devices are increasingly involved, and retailers like House of Fraser and John Lewis are investigating using in- store “beacons” to identify shoppers when they enter a store and then deliver personalised offers to their phones, as well as indicating when any click-and-collect items are ready for collection. Despite the potential for the use of data analytics and the growing amount of trials taking place, the consensus among retailers is that the effectiveness of their investments in this area is very poor. Few retailers score themselves above two out of five, which is a concern as the FIGURE 6 ESTIMATED INVESTMENT LEVEL IN DATA ANALYTICS BY BUSINESS AREA LOW MEDIUM HIGH value of data will become evermore important to them in developing successful multichannel models.� Tighter Europe-wide regulation of data security is coming in 2016. Best practice and mitigation of problems caused by cyber breaches dictates clear-headed decisions about when not to collect data, move to anonymous aggregation and when to delete data. Use of beacons and other technologies means retailers need to ensure consent is clearly obtained, particularly from children and teens. The collection of data also demands ongoing investments in security, regular review of retention policies and crisis- response plans. Legal teams need to play a central role in incident responses to maintain privilege in crisis communications. KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS STRATEGIC PLANNING SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT LOGISTICS INVENTORY MANAGEMENT MARKETING/SALES CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE 65% 9% 19% 51% 14% 46% 23% 45% 37% 49% 33% 56% 11%15%33%40%29%25%
  • 10. 10 geographical boundaries of the internet to test international strategies in a quick, cheap and often lower-risk way. It is therefore not surprising that 49 per cent of retailers say e-commerce is the format that will receive the most focus for investment. While international expansion offers great opportunities for growth, especially online, it is also where the biggest competition comes from, with 47 per cent of retailers saying global online represents the most significant threat to their future growth. It is clear that international, and in particular the use of online across borders, are key battlegrounds. Expansion plans are predominantly focused on the EU and Asia, with 47 per cent of retailers looking at Europe, while 32 per cent are targeting Asia. Department stores and general merchandise retailers have a particularly strong bias to EU expansion, with 77 per cent of companies prioritising this region. In contrast, only 2 per cent are focusing on North America, which may explain why some retailers are less interested in the potential impact of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership negotiations. It is a similar story with Africa, where virtually no interest is being shown in expansion into the territory. There are many models available to launch internationally, from using third parties under licence or as commercial agents or franchise, through to the business taking the plunge itself, or benefiting from the local experience of a joint GLOBAL REACH International expansion is central to many retailers’ futures, with a focus on a low-cost, low-risk e-commerce strategy see international expansion as a top three factor that will drive growth in the next three years 43% 49% 4% 17% 9% 7% 5% 7% 2% FIGURE 7 WHICH RETAIL FORMAT WILL RECEIVE THE MOST FOCUS AND INVESTMENT OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS? E-COMMERCE FACTORY OUTLETS FRANCHISE VENDING BOUTIQUE CLICK & COLLECT CONCESSIONS DISCOUNTER 0% POP-UP CONVENIENCE Tesco might be retreating from its international operations – as recently demonstrated by the sale of its South Korea business - but overseas expansion remains a major area of growth for UK retailers. As many as 43 per cent regard it as one of the top three areas they intend to focus on over the next three years. Many retailers, including the likes of N Brown, Superdry and Marks & Spencer, have used the unlimited
  • 11. 11 FIGURE 8 WHICH GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS WILL YOUR COMPANY LOOK TO TARGET FOR EXPANSION? FIGURE 9 WHERE IS YOUR GREATEST COMPETITION GOING TO COME FROM OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS? venture. What is clear is that retailers are less keen on local market M&A, as just 5 per cent saw this as the route to market entry, clearly favouring the increased control the other routes provide. This focus on international development perhaps explains why 31 per cent of retailers regard BREXIT (Britain leaving the EU) as a serious threat to their future UTILITIES SPORTS & LEISURE FASHION ENTERTAINMENT DEPARTMENT STORES M&A DIRECT INVESTMENT JOINT VENTURES STRATEGIC ALLIANCES FRANCHISE/ LICENCE DIRECT EXPORT INDIRECT EXPORT OFFICE LOCATION 5% 21% 8% 26% 18% 16% 6%1% 40-50% 30-39% 20-29% 10-19% 0-9% HOW WILL GROWTH BE ACHIEVED? £ 43% 57% 31% 38% 31% 92% 8% 31% 38% 31% 46% 23% 31% DISCOUNTERS GLOBAL OFFLINE GLOBAL ONLINE UK OFFLINE UK ONLINE TOTAL 17% 9% 47% 9% 18% growth and the 60 per cent who viewed EU regulation as a key challenge. Inevitably, even in times of increasingly harmonised EU laws, the local interpretations and practical difficulties arising out of dealing in many languages across the EU gives rise to many practical challenges that retailers typically use technology to overcome.� Thinking about relationships across borders is crucial. Too often, arrangements are entered into without thought as to the legal consequences in the partner’s country of origin. Be aware of key differences, such as negotiations, that may become binding before signature, overriding “good faith” requirements, and the inability to summarily terminate distribution or supplier contracts. Think also about commercial agents’ rights to compensation upon lawful termination – still catching out companies a decade after the EU regulations became effective. KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
  • 12. 12 Competition from online rivals is regarded as a major threat to traditional retailers’ futures; the omnichannel revolution gives them an opportunity to compete, but a robust and flexible online order-fulfilment proposition covering both web and mobile sales is now critical to success. Amazon and Argos are among the retailers fighting it out to offer quicker delivery times in tighter delivery-slot windows – 57 per cent of retailers are considering free delivery, 54 per cent click and collect, and 47 per cent looking to offer precise delivery times as part of their fulfilment strategy. In contrast, while there has been considerable hype, it appears in reality there is little interest in same-day delivery or drones – not withstanding that Amazon announced it was trialling both. Free delivery is most relevant to the food and beverage category, with 85 per cent considering such a strategy, which definitely puts margins under pressure. Further stress on the major grocers is coming from AmazonFresh and PrimeNow, with a further convergence of the big online retailers expected into more traditional markets. DELIVERING THE GOODS Maintaining a cost-effective delivery and returns service is a challenge facing all retailers battling to win consumer loyalty The emergence of new delivery models from technology-led newcomers, such as Uber, are also shaking up the market. Denmark-based Dansk Supermarked has admitted finding it tough to make food delivery profitable and is therefore considering using new logistics solutions from the likes of Uber. In our Supply Chain Report last year, we saw how it is no longer acceptable to only focus on getting goods to consumers. Another fulfilment pressure point for retailers is returns. Dealing with unwanted goods is a costly and time-consuming activity that again eats into online margins. But a failure to offer a comprehensive returns policy would be detrimental to any retailer. Charging customers for any part of the in-store delivery- and-returns element of online ordering had been avoided by all retailers, until John Lewis recently began charging £2 for click and collect orders valued at less than £30. Early evidence is that the lost sales have been offset by some shoppers bulking up their orders to cross the minimum- spend threshold.� 12 FIGURE 10 WHICH ORDER-FULFILMENT STRATEGIES ARE YOU CONSIDERING? DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED STRATEGY TO BE IN TOP 2 FIGURE 11 WHICH RETURNS SOLUTIONS WILL YOUR COMPANY FOCUS ON? 75% 53% 65% FREE RETURNS PRECISE PICK-UP TIMES IN-STORE RETURNS DROP OFF 7% DRONES 0% DATA SHOWS % OF RESPONDENTS WHO CONSIDERED STRATEGY TO BE IN TOP 2 9% SAME-DAY DELIVERY 47% PRECISE DELIVERY TIMES 11% ON-THE-GO RETAIL 12% NON-TRADITIONAL DELIVERY MECHANISMS 57% FREE DELIVERY 11% CLICK AND COLLECT (REMOTE LOCATIONS/ LOCKERS) 54% CLICK AND COLLECT (IN-STORE)
  • 13. 13 Technology is rapidly changing the in-store retail experience - channels are converging and shoppers are becoming increasingly demanding. One department store retailer predicts the march towards convergence gaining pace, recognising the huge value to be gained from this experience for both retailer and consumer: “E-commerce, mobile applications and virtual fitting rooms will be used to FIGURE 12 EXCLUDING CUSTOMER SERVICE, WHAT IS YOUR KEY MESSAGE/RETAIL NARRATIVE TO CONSUMERS? BEACONS OF HOPE Many high street retailers are looking to invest in in-store technology to improve their customers’ experience offer exactly what the customer wants, and the data that is gathered will then be used for targeted advertising and marketing.” Similar change is forecast by one electricals retailer, who suggests: “Smart displays, wi-fi networks, new payment systems, beacons and sensor technologies, which offer the business provider more comfort in making products appealing, will revolutionise stores and retail.” To satisfy this demand, retailers are committing 41 per cent of their budgets to bricks- and-mortar, with the rest going towards online developments. The major investments over the next three years are going on new stores (39 per cent), in-store digital marketing and point-of- sale technologies (23 per cent). Arcadia, House of Fraser, Burberry and Argos are among the many high street retailers that equip their employees with tablets which often incorporate payment solutions and online ordering functionality. Despite this focus and investment on fulfilment, it doesn’t appear that retailers are focusing on this as a selling point to their consumers – with just 5 per cent saying promoting the ease of this process was to be a key message to consumers, suggesting this is an assumed service and not viewed as adding value. But despite the budgets committed by retailers to transforming their in- store infrastructures and fulfilment processes, the key messages they are conveying to consumers are very traditional. As many as 41 per cent of retailers are aiming to deliver a key message around the offering of high- quality products, while 21 per cent are focused on delivering a value-for-money narrative.� 41% 3% 5% 21% 9% 11% 3% 8% EASE OF DELIVERY/RETURNS PROCESS HERITAGE HIGH-QUALITY PRODUCT LOCALISATION OF STORES PRODUCT PROVENANCE REWARDING LOYALTY SUSTAINABLE/ETHICAL PRACTICES VALUE FOR MONEY 41% OF INVESTMENT WILL BE SPENT ON BRICKS- AND-MORTAR Convergence and sophisticated omnichannel technology-led experiences are everything a retailer might want. However, many struggle with legacy systems and IT foundations inadequate for current demands. AstransformationalITinvestments arerequiredtomeetcustomer demand,retailersneedtobudgetfor buildinginprivacybydesign,phasing projectsinmanageableportions anddealingwiththeinevitabilityof changeastheprojectruns. KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
  • 14. 14 The old adage goes that retail is detail and people do detail. It has never been a more competitive market for ensuring retailers have the right people to power their business, with the living wage the latest employment-related issue to dominate the agenda. While often portrayed in a negative light and as a cost to business, only 27 per cent of retailers saw it as a key threat to growth over the next three years, viewing areas such as regulatory change, and IT and data security as bigger issues. The ability to retain and motivate the best staff is key. Wages are clearly crucial and therefore it is fundamental retailers buy into improved remuneration. Only 36 per cent of those we asked thought they would EARNING POTENTIAL The introduction of the living wage is forcing retailers to rethink their staffing structures, training programmes and premium payments policies not be affected by introducing the living wage. Those who thought there would be an impact on their business sought to offset this by passing on the cost to consumers (23 per cent) and suppliers (18 per cent), with very few expecting to reduce staff numbers (3 per cent) – see figure 13. FIGURE 13 WHAT WILL BE THE BIGGEST EFFECT OF THE INTRODUCTION OF THE NATIONAL LIVING WAGE ON YOUR BUSINESS? DECREASED STAFF NUMBERS COSTS PASSED DOWN TO SUPPLIERS LESS INVESTMENT IN NEWS STORES INCREASED COSTS FOR CONSUMERS INCREASED RECRUITMENT FROM ABROAD NO EFFECT Larger companies feel better able to handle the living wage, with almost half believing it will be immaterial to how they run their organisation, while smaller firms think there is a greater likelihood of passing on costs to the customer. Many employers are reviewing their pay structures and the roles employees undertake. A fairer pay system will encourage and reward employees, and ensure greater engagement. Staff engagement is also maximised by investment in skills and employees’ understanding of the business. Training on products and ever- changing technology is of paramount importance. Investment in training and higher wages are not, however, dampening retailers’ enthusiasm for growing their workforces with many employing an increasing number of people from outside the European Union. As many as 79 per cent of retailers expect to increase recruitment of such workers over the next three years. No company expects a decrease in numbers among their non-EU workforce.� 36%4%23%15%18%3% Review pay structures to assess fairness, and ability to stay in line with proposed changes to national minimum wage, living wage, equal pay or pensions. Use the opportunity to revise structures with historical unfairness or out- of-date premium, and make an assessment of the financial risks and challenges to the organisation. It is important to consult early on with staff/ unions on the changes proposed and consider the job roles and changes required as part of the pay restructure. KEY LEGAL ACTION POINTS
  • 15. 15 CLOSED CONCLUSION Capital structure: With only 15 per cent of retailers looking to deleverage, 85 per cent of retailers favour private equity as their main source of financing. The stock market is reluctant to invest capital in retailers, with many leading names reporting falling sales and margins. The optimal business and assets mix also remains unresolved, with concerns lingering over portfolio size, format and location. This is, in part, being driven by a challenge to traditional assumptions about freeholds underpinning value and supporting debt. A further challenge to existing models is industry consolidation, exemplified by the Carphone Warehouse and Dixons merger, and prospect of Sainsbury’s acquisition of Argos. Private equity remains interested in seizing opportunity, but caution over leveraging debt and restricted exit routes are inhibiting investment. Ominichannel: This creates significant opportunities, but these can become challenges if they aren’t supported by a strong legal platform. The need to ensure that data is managed effectively and consumer information robustly protected is paramount to any retailer’s reputation. Do not wait for a crisis to unfold to test your systems – a crisis simulation event is essential to understanding what needs to be done to protect your brand. Mobile: Increased reliance on mobile marketing means that logistics agreements and tie-ups will need to be regularly reviewed to ensure they remain fit for purpose for the flexible world of mobile. CSR: This is firmly on retailers’ agendas, not least as a way to increase brand development. There are an increasing number of legal challenges to convert the moral responsibilities associated with CSR into legal liabilities. For many retailers this is the cost of doing business; for others that seek to de-risk their business these legal developments need to be closely analysed. Taxes: Staff reductions, pensions, directors’ remuneration, international expansion, and the increasing onus of compliance, risk and CSR all bring significant tax considerations. From April 2017, HMRC will be collecting the apprenticeship levy at 0.5 per cent of payroll cost over £3 million. For large retailers that will be a significant amount of additional tax (around £10 million for the large supermarkets).The consultation outcome suggests that some, if not all the cash may be able to be recycled to meet some training needs. Careful consideration needs to be given to the combination of tax and education.�
  • 16. 16