MM: Evolution
of world population
0 AD	 200 million
1000 AD	 265 million
1804		 1 billion
1999		 6 billion
2050 (estimate)	 9 billion
conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt 1/5
The 1 billion
units increase
Post war rule:
1 billion every 12 years
year				population				urbanized				pooor
1960			3 billion			—					—
1974			4 billion			—					—
1987			5 billion			1.0 billion			100 million
1999			6 billion			2.0 billion			500 million
2011			7 billion			3.5 billion			1 billion
conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt 2/5MM: Evolution of world population
12 years = 624 weeks
MMM Math
1,000,000,000 persons
624 weeks
= 1.6 million every week
2015: 	 projected increase of urbanized population
		 in the next 12 years = 750,000,000 new ‘citizens’
MMM Urban Math
750,000,000 citizens
624 weeks
= 1.2 million every week
Number of states with land mass of 10,000 square km or more = 165
750,000,000 people
165 countries
= 1 new Milan per country every 12 years
MMM Urban Problem
Lebanon land mass = 10,000 square km
Milan urbanized area = 4.5 million people
The MMM has begun.
Two man-made crusts cover the natural crust of the earth.
The road is paved for the Urban Meltdown.
MMM Three Crusts
EARTH: the first crust of the earth
conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population
CONCRETE: the first crust of the earth
conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population
WILD URBANIZATION: the third crust of the earth
conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population

Dörfer-Großstadt

  • 1.
    MM: Evolution of worldpopulation 0 AD 200 million 1000 AD 265 million 1804 1 billion 1999 6 billion 2050 (estimate) 9 billion conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt 1/5
  • 2.
    The 1 billion unitsincrease Post war rule: 1 billion every 12 years year population urbanized pooor 1960 3 billion — — 1974 4 billion — — 1987 5 billion 1.0 billion 100 million 1999 6 billion 2.0 billion 500 million 2011 7 billion 3.5 billion 1 billion conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt 2/5MM: Evolution of world population
  • 3.
    12 years =624 weeks MMM Math 1,000,000,000 persons 624 weeks = 1.6 million every week
  • 4.
    2015: projectedincrease of urbanized population in the next 12 years = 750,000,000 new ‘citizens’ MMM Urban Math 750,000,000 citizens 624 weeks = 1.2 million every week
  • 5.
    Number of stateswith land mass of 10,000 square km or more = 165 750,000,000 people 165 countries = 1 new Milan per country every 12 years MMM Urban Problem Lebanon land mass = 10,000 square km Milan urbanized area = 4.5 million people
  • 6.
    The MMM hasbegun. Two man-made crusts cover the natural crust of the earth. The road is paved for the Urban Meltdown. MMM Three Crusts
  • 7.
    EARTH: the firstcrust of the earth conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population
  • 8.
    CONCRETE: the firstcrust of the earth conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population
  • 9.
    WILD URBANIZATION: thethird crust of the earth conrad-bercahDörfer-Großstadt MM: Evolution of world population