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Quantitative Information
     Architecture
      Don Turnbull, Ph.D.


        twitter.com/donturn   
             #quantia
        donturn@gmail.com
        http://donturn.com
whois?
                  

•  Software Developer
•  M.S. @ Georgia Tech
•  Software Design & Management
•  Ph.D. @ U Toronto
•  Principal @ Startup (Google)
•  Faculty @ U Texas (Austin)
•  Consultant & Entrepreneur
Ways of Knowing & Doing

  The fox knows many things, but the
  hedgehog knows one big thing. Archilochus
 •  Quantitative IA is one big thing: a
    specialty, a mindset
  •  Designing appropriate experiments
  •  Leveraging existing quantitative data
  •  Conducting rigorous analysis
What does the world look
 like to a Quantitative
       Researcher?
Quantitative Methods
•  What’s Quantitative good for?
 •  Understanding what users actually do
    instead of what they said they do.
 •  Making comparisons over time
 •  Generalizable and extensible
 •  Useful for interpreting and analyzing
    others results
Why you should go Quant
•  It is a discipline
  •  Hypothesis-based
  •  More applicable to (peer) review
•  It requires a set of skills that have a (much)
   higher market value
•  It examines characteristics that are constants
  •  Behavior
  •  Physical traits & abilities
The Power of Quant
•  Fight fire with Fire
 •  Numbers speak the language of business
    & technology (C-level execs)

•  (Almost) infallible results
•  Qualitative decisions for Quantitative
   measurement
Predict everything?
What about Qualitative?

•  Anyone can do qualitative research…
      •  …and anyone does
  •  Hard to replicate, hard to validate, easier
     to do
•  Domain of study (who) is main focus
•  Variability is often wide
•  Technique is critical
Quantitative & Qualitative should
    complement each other
Because if they don’t
Things go wrong - fast
Why Quant, Why Now?
•  Computational power & networked systems
•  We need new modeling techniques, even
   new metaphors to examine the complex
   systems we interact with
•  Finance, Psychology, Physics & Computer
   Science
•  Verifiable or provable by means of
   observation or experiment: empirical laws.
The Network Effect(s)

•  Understanding how people interact
  •  Metcalfe
  •  Milgram
  •  Wellman, Watts & others
A (new) Era of
       Instrumentation
•  We are undoubtedly in a new era of
   reasoning
•  Scientific Engineering enabled the
   original Age of Reason
•  Now to understand intent & interactions
Statistics
Statistics & every day life
 •  Weather
 •  Stock Market
   •  Whole channels on TV devoted to
      both
 •  Sports…. All the time…. Everywhere
•  Your Net Worth, IQ, Postal Code, SAT
   score, GPA...
Data Science
A New Kind of (Empirical)
        Science
What’s next ?
Analytics
HCIR (IRUX)
Atomic Information
Architecture (a marketplace)
Pervasive, Emotive &
     Suggestive
Summary
              
  New Age of (Empirical) Reason
                              

Quant at scale = new Qual insights
                                 

Data Science (& its affect on IA/UX)
                                   

What’s next isn’t that far ahead…
Thanks
       

donturn@gmail.com

http://donturn.com

twitter.com/donturn
Quantitative Information Architecture
Quantitative Information Architecture

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Quantitative Information Architecture

  • 1. Quantitative Information Architecture Don Turnbull, Ph.D. twitter.com/donturn #quantia donturn@gmail.com http://donturn.com
  • 2. whois? •  Software Developer •  M.S. @ Georgia Tech •  Software Design & Management •  Ph.D. @ U Toronto •  Principal @ Startup (Google) •  Faculty @ U Texas (Austin) •  Consultant & Entrepreneur
  • 3. Ways of Knowing & Doing The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing. Archilochus •  Quantitative IA is one big thing: a specialty, a mindset •  Designing appropriate experiments •  Leveraging existing quantitative data •  Conducting rigorous analysis
  • 4. What does the world look like to a Quantitative Researcher?
  • 5.
  • 6. Quantitative Methods •  What’s Quantitative good for? •  Understanding what users actually do instead of what they said they do. •  Making comparisons over time •  Generalizable and extensible •  Useful for interpreting and analyzing others results
  • 7. Why you should go Quant •  It is a discipline •  Hypothesis-based •  More applicable to (peer) review •  It requires a set of skills that have a (much) higher market value •  It examines characteristics that are constants •  Behavior •  Physical traits & abilities
  • 8. The Power of Quant •  Fight fire with Fire •  Numbers speak the language of business & technology (C-level execs) •  (Almost) infallible results •  Qualitative decisions for Quantitative measurement
  • 10. What about Qualitative? •  Anyone can do qualitative research… •  …and anyone does •  Hard to replicate, hard to validate, easier to do •  Domain of study (who) is main focus •  Variability is often wide •  Technique is critical
  • 11. Quantitative & Qualitative should complement each other
  • 12. Because if they don’t
  • 13. Things go wrong - fast
  • 14. Why Quant, Why Now? •  Computational power & networked systems •  We need new modeling techniques, even new metaphors to examine the complex systems we interact with •  Finance, Psychology, Physics & Computer Science •  Verifiable or provable by means of observation or experiment: empirical laws.
  • 15. The Network Effect(s) •  Understanding how people interact •  Metcalfe •  Milgram •  Wellman, Watts & others
  • 16. A (new) Era of Instrumentation •  We are undoubtedly in a new era of reasoning •  Scientific Engineering enabled the original Age of Reason •  Now to understand intent & interactions
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Statistics & every day life •  Weather •  Stock Market •  Whole channels on TV devoted to both •  Sports…. All the time…. Everywhere •  Your Net Worth, IQ, Postal Code, SAT score, GPA...
  • 22.
  • 23. A New Kind of (Empirical) Science
  • 28. Pervasive, Emotive & Suggestive
  • 29. Summary New Age of (Empirical) Reason Quant at scale = new Qual insights Data Science (& its affect on IA/UX) What’s next isn’t that far ahead…
  • 30. Thanks donturn@gmail.com http://donturn.com twitter.com/donturn