Complied by Vinay P. Shedbalkar


Do these Earthquakes have any connection?
(Data is taken from Wikipedia)

Careful analysis of the dates of occurrences of earthquakes in Iran, Pakistan, China etc.
since 2000, shows that there were subsequent earthquakes on the same range of latitude
(from 26 to 35) within six months of the date of occurrence in Iran. The earthquakes
occurred at nearly same latitudes from Iran to Taiwan. The latitudes at which these
earthquakes occurred in various countries also show some repetitive pattern. See the
plots.

Since there was a big earthquake in Iran on 16th April 2013, is there a chance of
earthquake of magnitude ~6.2 on the same latitude in India or China within next six
months.

                Table 1: Latitudes at which earthquakes occurred

 Earthquake
               Iran     Afghanistan   Pakistan   India      China    Taiwan   Magnitude
    date
   2/2/2000    35.238                                                            5.3
  7/17/2000                 36.245                                               6.3
  8/21/2000                                                 25.726               4.9
  2/17/2002    28.089                                                            5.3
   3/3/2002                 36.508                                               7.3
  3/31/2002                                                            24.3      7.1
  4/24/2002    34.602                                                            5.4
  6/22/2002    35.597                                                            6.5
  11/1/2002                            35.393                                    5.3
  11/3/2002                            35.348                                    5.3
 11/20/2002                            35.337                                    6.3
 12/14/2002                                                 39.754               5.5
  7/10/2003    28.311                                                            5.7
  7/21/2003                                                 25.958               5.9
 12/26/2003     28.95                                                            6.6
  2/14/2004                            34.751                                    5.4
  5/28/2004    36.257                                                            6.3
  7/18/2004                 33.344                                               5.2
  8/10/2004                                                 27.318               5.3
  2/22/2005    30.691                                                            6.4
   5/3/2005    33.655                                                            4.9
  10/8/2005                            34.465                                    7.6
 10/15/2005                            33.977                                    5.2
 11/27/2005    26.786                                                            5.9
  2/14/2006                                      27.382                          5.3
  3/25/2006    27.574                                                            5.9
   6/3/2006    26.759                                                            5.1
  7/22/2006                                                 27.995               4.9
  8/25/2006                                                 28.012                5
  9/10/2008    26.823                                                            6.1
  10/6/2008                                                 29.759               6.3
 10/28/2008                            30.653                                    6.4
Complied by Vinay P. Shedbalkar

Earthquake
                  Iran      Afghanistan   Pakistan   India      China    Taiwan     Magnitude
   date
12/20/2010        28.491                                                               6.5
 1/18/2011                                 28.838                                      7.2
 3/10/2011                                                       24.71                 5.4
 8/11/2012        38.322                                                               6.4
  9/7/2012                                                      27.541                 5.6
 12/5/2012         33.49                                                               5.6
  4/9/2013          28.5                                                               6.3
 4/16/2013        28.107                                                               7.8
Mean               30.90         35.37      33.60     27.38      28.53     24.30
SD                  3.85          1.76       2.47                 4.47



  Plot of latitudes where earthquakes occurred and the respective country



             40                                                          Iran
                                                                         Afghanistan
                                                                         Pakistan

             30                                                          India
                                                                         China
                                                                         Taiwan

             20
                  1   4    7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40




                  Table 2: Longitudes at which earthquakes occurred

Earthquake
                  Iran      Afghanistan   Pakistan   India      China    Taiwan     Magnitude
   date
  2/2/2000        58.213                                                               5.3
 7/17/2000                      70.943                                                 6.3
 8/21/2000                                                      102.24                 4.9
 2/17/2002        51.792                                                               5.3
  3/3/2002                      70.503                                                 7.3
 3/31/2002                                                               122.142       7.1
 4/24/2002        47.401                                                               5.4
 6/22/2002         49.02                                                               6.5
 11/1/2002                                 74.627                                      5.3
 11/3/2002                                 74.595                                      5.3
11/20/2002                                 74.556                                      6.3
12/14/2002                                                      97.391                 5.5
 7/10/2003        54.165                                                               5.7
 7/21/2003                                                      101.26                 5.9
12/26/2003        58.268                                                               6.6
Complied by Vinay P. Shedbalkar

Earthquake
                   Iran       Afghanistan   Pakistan   India      China    Taiwan     Magnitude
   date
 2/14/2004                                   73.178                                      5.4
 5/28/2004         51.565                                                                6.3
 7/18/2004                        69.479                                                 5.2
 8/10/2004                                                       103.917                 5.3
 2/22/2005         56.794                                                                6.4
  5/3/2005         48.669                                                                4.9
 10/8/2005                                   73.584                                      7.6
10/15/2005                                   73.929                                      5.2
11/27/2005         55.833                                                                5.9
 2/14/2006                                             88.388                            5.3
 3/25/2006         55.685                                                                5.9
  6/3/2006         55.843                                                                5.1
 7/22/2006                                                       104.138                 4.9
 8/25/2006                                                       104.151                  5
 9/10/2008         55.825                                                                6.1
 10/6/2008                                                        90.302                 6.3
10/28/2008                                   67.323                                      6.4
12/20/2010         59.117                                                                6.5
 1/18/2011                                   63.947                                      7.2
 3/10/2011                                                        97.994                 5.4
 8/11/2012         46.888                                                                6.4
  9/7/2012                                                       103.973                 5.6
 12/5/2012         59.554                                                                5.6
  4/9/2013         51.591                                                                6.3
 4/16/2013         62.053                                                                7.8
Mean                54.35          70.31      71.97     88.39     100.60   122.14
SD                   4.47           0.75       4.04                 4.66




 Plot of longitudes where earthquakes occurred and the respective country


             160

                                                                           Iran
             120
                                                                           Afghanistan
                                                                           Pakistan
             80
                                                                           India
                                                                           China
             40
                                                                           Taiwan

              0
                    1     4   7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40

Do these earthquakes have any connection

  • 1.
    Complied by VinayP. Shedbalkar Do these Earthquakes have any connection? (Data is taken from Wikipedia) Careful analysis of the dates of occurrences of earthquakes in Iran, Pakistan, China etc. since 2000, shows that there were subsequent earthquakes on the same range of latitude (from 26 to 35) within six months of the date of occurrence in Iran. The earthquakes occurred at nearly same latitudes from Iran to Taiwan. The latitudes at which these earthquakes occurred in various countries also show some repetitive pattern. See the plots. Since there was a big earthquake in Iran on 16th April 2013, is there a chance of earthquake of magnitude ~6.2 on the same latitude in India or China within next six months. Table 1: Latitudes at which earthquakes occurred Earthquake Iran Afghanistan Pakistan India China Taiwan Magnitude date 2/2/2000 35.238 5.3 7/17/2000 36.245 6.3 8/21/2000 25.726 4.9 2/17/2002 28.089 5.3 3/3/2002 36.508 7.3 3/31/2002 24.3 7.1 4/24/2002 34.602 5.4 6/22/2002 35.597 6.5 11/1/2002 35.393 5.3 11/3/2002 35.348 5.3 11/20/2002 35.337 6.3 12/14/2002 39.754 5.5 7/10/2003 28.311 5.7 7/21/2003 25.958 5.9 12/26/2003 28.95 6.6 2/14/2004 34.751 5.4 5/28/2004 36.257 6.3 7/18/2004 33.344 5.2 8/10/2004 27.318 5.3 2/22/2005 30.691 6.4 5/3/2005 33.655 4.9 10/8/2005 34.465 7.6 10/15/2005 33.977 5.2 11/27/2005 26.786 5.9 2/14/2006 27.382 5.3 3/25/2006 27.574 5.9 6/3/2006 26.759 5.1 7/22/2006 27.995 4.9 8/25/2006 28.012 5 9/10/2008 26.823 6.1 10/6/2008 29.759 6.3 10/28/2008 30.653 6.4
  • 2.
    Complied by VinayP. Shedbalkar Earthquake Iran Afghanistan Pakistan India China Taiwan Magnitude date 12/20/2010 28.491 6.5 1/18/2011 28.838 7.2 3/10/2011 24.71 5.4 8/11/2012 38.322 6.4 9/7/2012 27.541 5.6 12/5/2012 33.49 5.6 4/9/2013 28.5 6.3 4/16/2013 28.107 7.8 Mean 30.90 35.37 33.60 27.38 28.53 24.30 SD 3.85 1.76 2.47 4.47 Plot of latitudes where earthquakes occurred and the respective country 40 Iran Afghanistan Pakistan 30 India China Taiwan 20 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 Table 2: Longitudes at which earthquakes occurred Earthquake Iran Afghanistan Pakistan India China Taiwan Magnitude date 2/2/2000 58.213 5.3 7/17/2000 70.943 6.3 8/21/2000 102.24 4.9 2/17/2002 51.792 5.3 3/3/2002 70.503 7.3 3/31/2002 122.142 7.1 4/24/2002 47.401 5.4 6/22/2002 49.02 6.5 11/1/2002 74.627 5.3 11/3/2002 74.595 5.3 11/20/2002 74.556 6.3 12/14/2002 97.391 5.5 7/10/2003 54.165 5.7 7/21/2003 101.26 5.9 12/26/2003 58.268 6.6
  • 3.
    Complied by VinayP. Shedbalkar Earthquake Iran Afghanistan Pakistan India China Taiwan Magnitude date 2/14/2004 73.178 5.4 5/28/2004 51.565 6.3 7/18/2004 69.479 5.2 8/10/2004 103.917 5.3 2/22/2005 56.794 6.4 5/3/2005 48.669 4.9 10/8/2005 73.584 7.6 10/15/2005 73.929 5.2 11/27/2005 55.833 5.9 2/14/2006 88.388 5.3 3/25/2006 55.685 5.9 6/3/2006 55.843 5.1 7/22/2006 104.138 4.9 8/25/2006 104.151 5 9/10/2008 55.825 6.1 10/6/2008 90.302 6.3 10/28/2008 67.323 6.4 12/20/2010 59.117 6.5 1/18/2011 63.947 7.2 3/10/2011 97.994 5.4 8/11/2012 46.888 6.4 9/7/2012 103.973 5.6 12/5/2012 59.554 5.6 4/9/2013 51.591 6.3 4/16/2013 62.053 7.8 Mean 54.35 70.31 71.97 88.39 100.60 122.14 SD 4.47 0.75 4.04 4.66 Plot of longitudes where earthquakes occurred and the respective country 160 Iran 120 Afghanistan Pakistan 80 India China 40 Taiwan 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40