The document discusses how the world of connected devices is becoming increasingly complex, with new challenges replacing the old rules. It argues that the clean, simple digital world defined by Moore's Law, Nielsen's Law, Metcalfe's Law, and Godwin's Law is being disrupted by a "Dirty New World" characterized by unreliable mobile networks, complicated IoT implementations, concerns over privacy from pervasive computing, and unintended consequences from emergent behaviors in connected systems. It emphasizes that success in this new environment will require fortitude, a willingness to disrupt existing approaches, participatory design, early customer testing, and the ability to demonstrate demand, viability, and potential for scale.
my talk to 2/12/09 O'Reilly IgniteBoston, emphasizing that passage of economic stimulus package, combined with current economy, is perfect time to introduce data-centric "democratizing data" approach, giving workers, regulators, public, watchdogs real-time access to critical information! Video version: http://tinyurl.com/c9vkjy
My speech to the Hong Kong IoT Association about how instantly shared real-time IoT data can transform companies and allow highly efficient and creative circular organizations
Blockchain. What is it & why is it importantGerrie Smits
Why non-techies need to get up to speed with Blockchain. Because Blockchain is more than Bitcoin. It can have an impact on transactions, value systems and organisational structures.
This talk was given at Zeronaut meet-up.
The document discusses how connectivity and mobile devices are changing communities and businesses. It notes that 1/5 of the world owns a smartphone and over 10 billion devices are generating data. It argues that companies must adapt to connected customers who have greater access to information and can collaborate online. Challenges mentioned include ensuring security of personal data and building trust as connections increase.
Worldwide IT spending is expected to decline 0.3% in 2016 according to Gartner forecasts. This decline can be partially attributed to the strengthening US dollar and declining device sales, which are predicted to fall by 7.5%. However, Gartner predicts that IT spending will return to more normal replacement cycles by 2018. Looking ahead, IT spending is expected to grow 2.9% in 2017, driven primarily by software and IT services spending. Long-term, Gartner believes IT will help create a new "civilization infrastructure" through technologies like the Internet of Things.
The document discusses creating digital jobs and opportunities through increased use of technology and social media. It proposes using public funds to create online tools and services that connect people and provide help whenever needed. Specific ideas mentioned include citizen dashboards that integrate services, live video help as a safety net, and digital jobs in multimedia production, independent contracting, and tech support. The goal is to make all future jobs require technology skills and be project-based rather than full-time.
This document discusses Bantotal, a GeneXus success story, and TechPG and its EnABLE product. It includes:
- Bantotal is a Uruguayan bank that uses GeneXus for its core banking, treasury, and other systems.
- TechPG is a consulting company that builds web-based applications using GeneXus. It created EnABLE, a system for managing government contracts.
- The CTO discusses his experience with GeneXus and why he believes it is well-suited for building new systems and applications.
Open & Private Blockchains at CSCMP Benelux Supply Chain EventSam Wouters
On the 4th of November I gave the introduction presentation on the Blockchain at CSCMP Benelux Supply Chain Event.
As usual, I expected people to be very much in favour of private blockchains, so I made my presentation about a comparison between open and private blockchains, using Bitcoin for the open side.
Interested in learning more? Check out my website or book me as a speaker: http://samwouters.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SDWouters
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samwouters
my talk to 2/12/09 O'Reilly IgniteBoston, emphasizing that passage of economic stimulus package, combined with current economy, is perfect time to introduce data-centric "democratizing data" approach, giving workers, regulators, public, watchdogs real-time access to critical information! Video version: http://tinyurl.com/c9vkjy
My speech to the Hong Kong IoT Association about how instantly shared real-time IoT data can transform companies and allow highly efficient and creative circular organizations
Blockchain. What is it & why is it importantGerrie Smits
Why non-techies need to get up to speed with Blockchain. Because Blockchain is more than Bitcoin. It can have an impact on transactions, value systems and organisational structures.
This talk was given at Zeronaut meet-up.
The document discusses how connectivity and mobile devices are changing communities and businesses. It notes that 1/5 of the world owns a smartphone and over 10 billion devices are generating data. It argues that companies must adapt to connected customers who have greater access to information and can collaborate online. Challenges mentioned include ensuring security of personal data and building trust as connections increase.
Worldwide IT spending is expected to decline 0.3% in 2016 according to Gartner forecasts. This decline can be partially attributed to the strengthening US dollar and declining device sales, which are predicted to fall by 7.5%. However, Gartner predicts that IT spending will return to more normal replacement cycles by 2018. Looking ahead, IT spending is expected to grow 2.9% in 2017, driven primarily by software and IT services spending. Long-term, Gartner believes IT will help create a new "civilization infrastructure" through technologies like the Internet of Things.
The document discusses creating digital jobs and opportunities through increased use of technology and social media. It proposes using public funds to create online tools and services that connect people and provide help whenever needed. Specific ideas mentioned include citizen dashboards that integrate services, live video help as a safety net, and digital jobs in multimedia production, independent contracting, and tech support. The goal is to make all future jobs require technology skills and be project-based rather than full-time.
This document discusses Bantotal, a GeneXus success story, and TechPG and its EnABLE product. It includes:
- Bantotal is a Uruguayan bank that uses GeneXus for its core banking, treasury, and other systems.
- TechPG is a consulting company that builds web-based applications using GeneXus. It created EnABLE, a system for managing government contracts.
- The CTO discusses his experience with GeneXus and why he believes it is well-suited for building new systems and applications.
Open & Private Blockchains at CSCMP Benelux Supply Chain EventSam Wouters
On the 4th of November I gave the introduction presentation on the Blockchain at CSCMP Benelux Supply Chain Event.
As usual, I expected people to be very much in favour of private blockchains, so I made my presentation about a comparison between open and private blockchains, using Bitcoin for the open side.
Interested in learning more? Check out my website or book me as a speaker: http://samwouters.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SDWouters
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samwouters
Future technology is a big topic in business these days, and that’s no surprise. If you’re a business manager or an entrepreneur, you’ll probably be responsible for managing the project that will make or break your company.
We’re all pretty excited about the future, but what if we told you that there are some cool things you can do with technology today? It’s not as complicated as it may seem, but it the Important to know how to use technology to your advantage.
Top 10 Future Technology in 2022 is a weekly series of industry analysts and members at the World Economic Forum discussing trends that are the future of technology.
https://advancetech.info/top-10-technology-in-the-finance-industry-in-2022/
Economist and futurist Rebecca Ryan presents insights about the future workforce, next-gen technologies, new social norms, customer expectations, and more to help YOU build (or rebuild) a company that's future-ready. Presented at the Halifax State of the Economy Conference on May 22, 2013.
The document discusses the opportunities and challenges presented by the Internet of Things (IoT). It describes how IoT allows devices and sensors to connect and share data, enabling new applications and services. The IoT market is estimated to be worth $1.9 trillion by 2020. While IoT presents opportunities, effectively managing the vast amounts of diverse data from numerous connected devices is challenging. A proven platform is needed to securely acquire, integrate, analyze and act on IoT data to create business value from this technology.
Beth Noveck; New York University and MIT; founder of the White House Open Government Initiative and former United States Deputy Chief Technology Officer for Open Government
“Crowdsourcing Wisely Not Widely: The Next Generation of Citizen Engagement”
Brace Yourselves Because The Internet of Things Is ComingCherwell Software
The document discusses the emerging trend of connecting physical objects and infrastructure to computing systems through sensors, networks and analytics (Internet of Things/IoT). This brings opportunities to optimize asset usage, differentiate products/services, and transform customer relationships. However, IT must address issues like security, integration, and data management to enable widespread IoT deployment. The document outlines momentum for IoT across industries, example applications, and considerations for IT leaders preparing for this new connected world, including evaluating big data solutions, strengthening security/authentication, and expanding asset management beyond traditional IT.
Digital transformation review no 5 dtr - capgemini consulting - digitaltran...Rick Bouter
This document discusses how most organizations have focused their digital transformation efforts on customer-facing areas rather than operations. It highlights emerging technologies like big data, machine learning, robotics, and 3D printing that can automate and improve operational processes. The document features interviews with thought leaders from companies like ABB, UPS, HMRC, edX, and Stratasys discussing how they are leveraging these technologies to digitize their operations and drive efficiencies. It also examines the underutilization of big data analytics and lack of skills in this area among many organizations.
This document provides an overview of 5 technology trends to watch in 2015 according to the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA). It summarizes each trend in 1-2 sentences:
1. Big Data Analytics - With the rise of sensors, devices and digital connectivity, massive amounts of data are being collected and analyzed to provide predictive insights.
2. Digital Health and the Quantified Self - Technologies like wearables, apps and remote monitoring devices allow people to quantify biological metrics to track health and fitness.
3. Entertainment and Immersive Content - Advances in displays, processing power and connectivity enable new immersive entertainment experiences through virtual and augmented reality.
4. The Rise of the Machines - Robot
The document is a presentation about personal clouds given on October 21, 2013 in Mountain View, CA. It begins by comparing old mainframe computers from the 1980s to modern smartphones to illustrate how personal computing has evolved. It then discusses how current business software models treat user data as belonging to businesses rather than individuals. The presentation argues that personal clouds, which give individuals control over their own data, could transform how business is done by putting users first. Finally, it defines what a personal cloud is and provides examples of how individuals could use personal clouds.
The white paper discusses big data in the context of machine-to-machine communications and the internet of things. It introduces the concepts of "subnets of things," which are islands of interconnected devices within a common domain, and "tipping points," which are points at which the network effects of a data community drive further development. The paper examines opportunities for big data analytics within emerging subnets of things and identifies six key themes: the emergence of subnets, tipping points, the business case, qualities of big data, opportunities for operators, and challenges. Subnets are seen as stepping stones toward a full internet of things.
This document discusses the paradigm shift in data integration due to growing amounts of data from various sources. It outlines 5 principles and 5 capabilities of modern data integration, which takes processing to where the data lives, leverages multiple platforms, moves data point-to-point, manages rules centrally, and allows changes using existing logic. A case study shows how a bank migrated data to Hadoop in 3 weeks using these principles, lowering costs by 50% compared to traditional ETL. Looking ahead, real-time data access will become more important for businesses.
The document summarizes a TH_NK TANK event about emerging digital technologies. It discusses applications like Shazam and Blippar that bring extra content to TV ads through second screens. It also covers topics like the cloud and how it allows for easier experimentation but also mistakes. The Internet of Things was discussed as a potentially disruptive technology that connects physical things to the web. Security and privacy were mentioned as challenges that may change what is seen as an acceptable level of data collection from connected devices.
Consumidores Digitais: The Executive's Guide to the Internet of Things (ZD Net)Consumidores Digitais
A Internet das Coisas, ou Machine-to-Machine (M2M), é um dos temas mais atuais na tecnologia. Neste guia está o que os líderes empresariais precisam saber para potencializar seus benefícios.
The document discusses 5 global marketing trends: 1) Digital intelligence which analyzes behavior through connected devices and automates processes, 2) Companies operating without borders through mobile workforces and cloud services, 3) Treating data like a supply chain by opening information circulation between organizations, 4) Leveraging hyperscale hardware for bigger, faster data storage solutions, 5) Creating always-on solutions that can withstand cyber attacks, natural disasters, and system updates.
Capgemini Consulting Digital Transformation Review No. 5Capgemini
Capgemini Consulting's digital transformation business journal looks at the digitization of operations, taking in robotics, 3D printing, and the second machine age, as well as opinion and insight from guest contributors including Neelie Kroes, Vice President of the European Commission. Read the full review to find out more or join the conversation on twitter #DTR5
The Second Machine Age is upon us, according to Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee of MIT. This era is defined by machines that can perform cognitive tasks previously only done by humans. Two defining digital technologies are big data and machine intelligence/robotics. Brynjolfsson and McAfee believe this machine age will have a greater impact than the first industrial revolution due to exponential improvements in computing and the combinatorial nature of digital innovation. However, most organizations have focused digital transformations on the customer experience while neglecting opportunities in automating operational processes using these technologies.
BIG DATA: hacking complexity - Digital for BusinessCultura Digitale
La globalizzazione, lo sviluppo delle tecnologie ed il moltiplicarsi delle interazioni sociali virtuali stanno delineando, in maniera sempre più chiara, i tratti di quella che è definita “l’era della complessità”. In tale contesto il volume di dati prodotti dai social networks, dalle reti di sensori intelligenti e dai log dei sistemi informativi aziendali (a cui deve essere aggiunto l'output del processo costante di digitalizzazione della conoscenza) si configura come asset imprescindibile per tutti i settori di attività (i.e. pubblica amministrazione, industria, etc.). D'altra parte un anno di "hype mediatico" attorno al tema ha efficacemente dimostrato come la disponibilità dei dati grezzi non sia fonte diretta di valore: "data don't speak from themselves"! L'intervento mira a sensibilizzare i partecipanti sul tema, sottolineando la necessità immediata di "use cases" e definendo una catena del valore per i (BIG) DATA. In chiusura sarà presentata l'esperienza di Big Dive: corso di formazione per data scientist organizzato a Torino, giunto quest'anno alla sua seconda edizione.
Discover Blockchain - “what it is” and how Everything could be different
Opening Keynote for the Washington State Department of Commerce and Perkins Coie Blockchain event, (Seattle, August 2016)
Connecting innovation leaders: At a time when companies face new challenges in data management and security, Blockchain is emerging as a way to let companies make and verify transactions on a network instantaneously without a central authority. Today, more than 40 top financial institutions and a growing number of government institutions and firms across industries are experimenting with distributed ledger technology as a secure and transparent way to digitally track the ownership of assets and manage records, a move that could speed up transactions and cut costs while lowering the risk of fraud.
The Internet of Things (IoT) is generating profound changes across many industries and business models. With the proliferation of connected devices and sensors, and the massive amounts of data being generated, traditional boundaries between sectors are blurring and new ecosystems are emerging. Some companies have already adapted to their new roles, while others risk losing value if they do not define IoT strategies. To stay competitive, firms urgently need to anticipate how customer experiences and relationships may change with new IoT-enabled products and services.
The simplest definition of Big Data is large and complex unstructured data (images posted on Facebook, email, text messages, GPS signals from mobile phones, tweets, and other social media updates…etc.) that cannot be processed by traditional database tools.
Future technology is a big topic in business these days, and that’s no surprise. If you’re a business manager or an entrepreneur, you’ll probably be responsible for managing the project that will make or break your company.
We’re all pretty excited about the future, but what if we told you that there are some cool things you can do with technology today? It’s not as complicated as it may seem, but it the Important to know how to use technology to your advantage.
Top 10 Future Technology in 2022 is a weekly series of industry analysts and members at the World Economic Forum discussing trends that are the future of technology.
https://advancetech.info/top-10-technology-in-the-finance-industry-in-2022/
Economist and futurist Rebecca Ryan presents insights about the future workforce, next-gen technologies, new social norms, customer expectations, and more to help YOU build (or rebuild) a company that's future-ready. Presented at the Halifax State of the Economy Conference on May 22, 2013.
The document discusses the opportunities and challenges presented by the Internet of Things (IoT). It describes how IoT allows devices and sensors to connect and share data, enabling new applications and services. The IoT market is estimated to be worth $1.9 trillion by 2020. While IoT presents opportunities, effectively managing the vast amounts of diverse data from numerous connected devices is challenging. A proven platform is needed to securely acquire, integrate, analyze and act on IoT data to create business value from this technology.
Beth Noveck; New York University and MIT; founder of the White House Open Government Initiative and former United States Deputy Chief Technology Officer for Open Government
“Crowdsourcing Wisely Not Widely: The Next Generation of Citizen Engagement”
Brace Yourselves Because The Internet of Things Is ComingCherwell Software
The document discusses the emerging trend of connecting physical objects and infrastructure to computing systems through sensors, networks and analytics (Internet of Things/IoT). This brings opportunities to optimize asset usage, differentiate products/services, and transform customer relationships. However, IT must address issues like security, integration, and data management to enable widespread IoT deployment. The document outlines momentum for IoT across industries, example applications, and considerations for IT leaders preparing for this new connected world, including evaluating big data solutions, strengthening security/authentication, and expanding asset management beyond traditional IT.
Digital transformation review no 5 dtr - capgemini consulting - digitaltran...Rick Bouter
This document discusses how most organizations have focused their digital transformation efforts on customer-facing areas rather than operations. It highlights emerging technologies like big data, machine learning, robotics, and 3D printing that can automate and improve operational processes. The document features interviews with thought leaders from companies like ABB, UPS, HMRC, edX, and Stratasys discussing how they are leveraging these technologies to digitize their operations and drive efficiencies. It also examines the underutilization of big data analytics and lack of skills in this area among many organizations.
This document provides an overview of 5 technology trends to watch in 2015 according to the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA). It summarizes each trend in 1-2 sentences:
1. Big Data Analytics - With the rise of sensors, devices and digital connectivity, massive amounts of data are being collected and analyzed to provide predictive insights.
2. Digital Health and the Quantified Self - Technologies like wearables, apps and remote monitoring devices allow people to quantify biological metrics to track health and fitness.
3. Entertainment and Immersive Content - Advances in displays, processing power and connectivity enable new immersive entertainment experiences through virtual and augmented reality.
4. The Rise of the Machines - Robot
The document is a presentation about personal clouds given on October 21, 2013 in Mountain View, CA. It begins by comparing old mainframe computers from the 1980s to modern smartphones to illustrate how personal computing has evolved. It then discusses how current business software models treat user data as belonging to businesses rather than individuals. The presentation argues that personal clouds, which give individuals control over their own data, could transform how business is done by putting users first. Finally, it defines what a personal cloud is and provides examples of how individuals could use personal clouds.
The white paper discusses big data in the context of machine-to-machine communications and the internet of things. It introduces the concepts of "subnets of things," which are islands of interconnected devices within a common domain, and "tipping points," which are points at which the network effects of a data community drive further development. The paper examines opportunities for big data analytics within emerging subnets of things and identifies six key themes: the emergence of subnets, tipping points, the business case, qualities of big data, opportunities for operators, and challenges. Subnets are seen as stepping stones toward a full internet of things.
This document discusses the paradigm shift in data integration due to growing amounts of data from various sources. It outlines 5 principles and 5 capabilities of modern data integration, which takes processing to where the data lives, leverages multiple platforms, moves data point-to-point, manages rules centrally, and allows changes using existing logic. A case study shows how a bank migrated data to Hadoop in 3 weeks using these principles, lowering costs by 50% compared to traditional ETL. Looking ahead, real-time data access will become more important for businesses.
The document summarizes a TH_NK TANK event about emerging digital technologies. It discusses applications like Shazam and Blippar that bring extra content to TV ads through second screens. It also covers topics like the cloud and how it allows for easier experimentation but also mistakes. The Internet of Things was discussed as a potentially disruptive technology that connects physical things to the web. Security and privacy were mentioned as challenges that may change what is seen as an acceptable level of data collection from connected devices.
Consumidores Digitais: The Executive's Guide to the Internet of Things (ZD Net)Consumidores Digitais
A Internet das Coisas, ou Machine-to-Machine (M2M), é um dos temas mais atuais na tecnologia. Neste guia está o que os líderes empresariais precisam saber para potencializar seus benefícios.
The document discusses 5 global marketing trends: 1) Digital intelligence which analyzes behavior through connected devices and automates processes, 2) Companies operating without borders through mobile workforces and cloud services, 3) Treating data like a supply chain by opening information circulation between organizations, 4) Leveraging hyperscale hardware for bigger, faster data storage solutions, 5) Creating always-on solutions that can withstand cyber attacks, natural disasters, and system updates.
Capgemini Consulting Digital Transformation Review No. 5Capgemini
Capgemini Consulting's digital transformation business journal looks at the digitization of operations, taking in robotics, 3D printing, and the second machine age, as well as opinion and insight from guest contributors including Neelie Kroes, Vice President of the European Commission. Read the full review to find out more or join the conversation on twitter #DTR5
The Second Machine Age is upon us, according to Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee of MIT. This era is defined by machines that can perform cognitive tasks previously only done by humans. Two defining digital technologies are big data and machine intelligence/robotics. Brynjolfsson and McAfee believe this machine age will have a greater impact than the first industrial revolution due to exponential improvements in computing and the combinatorial nature of digital innovation. However, most organizations have focused digital transformations on the customer experience while neglecting opportunities in automating operational processes using these technologies.
BIG DATA: hacking complexity - Digital for BusinessCultura Digitale
La globalizzazione, lo sviluppo delle tecnologie ed il moltiplicarsi delle interazioni sociali virtuali stanno delineando, in maniera sempre più chiara, i tratti di quella che è definita “l’era della complessità”. In tale contesto il volume di dati prodotti dai social networks, dalle reti di sensori intelligenti e dai log dei sistemi informativi aziendali (a cui deve essere aggiunto l'output del processo costante di digitalizzazione della conoscenza) si configura come asset imprescindibile per tutti i settori di attività (i.e. pubblica amministrazione, industria, etc.). D'altra parte un anno di "hype mediatico" attorno al tema ha efficacemente dimostrato come la disponibilità dei dati grezzi non sia fonte diretta di valore: "data don't speak from themselves"! L'intervento mira a sensibilizzare i partecipanti sul tema, sottolineando la necessità immediata di "use cases" e definendo una catena del valore per i (BIG) DATA. In chiusura sarà presentata l'esperienza di Big Dive: corso di formazione per data scientist organizzato a Torino, giunto quest'anno alla sua seconda edizione.
Discover Blockchain - “what it is” and how Everything could be different
Opening Keynote for the Washington State Department of Commerce and Perkins Coie Blockchain event, (Seattle, August 2016)
Connecting innovation leaders: At a time when companies face new challenges in data management and security, Blockchain is emerging as a way to let companies make and verify transactions on a network instantaneously without a central authority. Today, more than 40 top financial institutions and a growing number of government institutions and firms across industries are experimenting with distributed ledger technology as a secure and transparent way to digitally track the ownership of assets and manage records, a move that could speed up transactions and cut costs while lowering the risk of fraud.
The Internet of Things (IoT) is generating profound changes across many industries and business models. With the proliferation of connected devices and sensors, and the massive amounts of data being generated, traditional boundaries between sectors are blurring and new ecosystems are emerging. Some companies have already adapted to their new roles, while others risk losing value if they do not define IoT strategies. To stay competitive, firms urgently need to anticipate how customer experiences and relationships may change with new IoT-enabled products and services.
The simplest definition of Big Data is large and complex unstructured data (images posted on Facebook, email, text messages, GPS signals from mobile phones, tweets, and other social media updates…etc.) that cannot be processed by traditional database tools.
Similar to The Dirty New World (Summer 2013 version) (20)
Maximize Your Content with Beautiful Assets : Content & Asset for Landing Page pmgdscunsri
Figma is a cloud-based design tool widely used by designers for prototyping, UI/UX design, and real-time collaboration. With features such as precision pen tools, grid system, and reusable components, Figma makes it easy for teams to work together on design projects. Its flexibility and accessibility make Figma a top choice in the digital age.
Discovering the Best Indian Architects A Spotlight on Design Forum Internatio...Designforuminternational
India’s architectural landscape is a vibrant tapestry that weaves together the country's rich cultural heritage and its modern aspirations. From majestic historical structures to cutting-edge contemporary designs, the work of Indian architects is celebrated worldwide. Among the many firms shaping this dynamic field, Design Forum International stands out as a leader in innovative and sustainable architecture. This blog explores some of the best Indian architects, highlighting their contributions and showcasing the most famous architects in India.
Explore the essential graphic design tools and software that can elevate your creative projects. Discover industry favorites and innovative solutions for stunning design results.
ARENA - Young adults in the workplace (Knight Moves).pdfKnight Moves
Presentations of Bavo Raeymaekers (Project lead youth unemployment at the City of Antwerp), Suzan Martens (Service designer at Knight Moves) and Adriaan De Keersmaeker (Community manager at Talk to C)
during the 'Arena • Young adults in the workplace' conference hosted by Knight Moves.
International Upcycling Research Network advisory board meeting 4Kyungeun Sung
Slides used for the International Upcycling Research Network advisory board 4 (last one). The project is based at De Montfort University in Leicester, UK, and funded by the Arts and Humanities Research Council.
International Upcycling Research Network advisory board meeting 4
The Dirty New World (Summer 2013 version)
1. It’s a Dirty New World
Branching out from the digital domain
Patrick Kalaher, Chief Architect
MARCH 2013
Thursday, March 21, 13
2. A provocation on what needs to happen
next in connected devices and
technologies
Thursday, March 21, 13
3. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Since the mid-90s, we’ve been
living in a clean, relatively simple
digital world
3
Thursday, March 21, 13
4. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
I’m going to argue that this is all
abruptly changing
4
Thursday, March 21, 13
5. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
And what got us here won’t get us
where we want to go now
5
Thursday, March 21, 13
6. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Four laws we’ve been obeying:
Moore’s Law
Nielson’s Law
Metcalfe’s Law
Godwin’s Law
6
Thursday, March 21, 13
7. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Moore’s Law
7
Thursday, March 21, 13
8. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
8
Foreshadowing
Thursday, March 21, 13
9. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Nielsen’s Law
9
http://www.js1.ca/
Thursday, March 21, 13
10. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Metcalfe’s Law
Value of a telecom network is
proportional to the square of the
number of connected users.
10
Thursday, March 21, 13
11. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Metcalfe’s Law
We intuit this when
we think of
Network Effects
11
Thursday, March 21, 13
12. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Godwin’s Law
"As an online
discussion grows
longer,
the probability of a
comparison
involving Nazis or
Hitler approaches 1."
12
Thursday, March 21, 13
13. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
Godwin’s Law
First we made net culture, then it
re-made us.
For Lulz.
13
Thursday, March 21, 13
14. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
The Onion Reports: 90% Of Waking Hours Spent Staring
At Glowing Rectangles
14
Thursday, March 21, 13
16. March 19, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
These laws are still out there, but
they aren’t the dominant factors,
because we are now headed to...
16
Thursday, March 21, 13
17. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The Old Rules
17
The Dirty New World
Thursday, March 21, 13
18. What is the Dirty New World?
Thursday, March 21, 13
19. A place with new rules and limitations and
ways to succeed
Thursday, March 21, 13
20. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
It’s dirty out there
Device design is breaking long-held rules
Mobile networks are glitchy
The IoT (and the II) is messy and complicated, and failure can be expensive
Pervasive computing is starting to offend people
Connected device scenarios are hard work
Emergent behavior has real-world consequences
20
Thursday, March 21, 13
21. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Mobile compute isn’t scarce anymore,
mobile energy efficiency is
Do you even know the processor speed
on your device? Do you even care?
21
Thursday, March 21, 13
22. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
22
“Koomey’s
Law”
Recent
research
led
by
Jonathan
Koomey
of
Stanford
University
has
found
that
energy
efficiency
of
compu<ng
doubles
every
18
months,
enabling
energy
constrained
devices
to
become
“smarter”.
How?
Con<nually
improving
baDery
technology
+
custom
ASICS,
Cores
and
SOCs
on
smartphones,
tablets
and
other
Internet
of
Things
devices,
along
with
“Strategic
Rulebreaking”
and
differen<ated
manufacturing
Impact
There
is
no
standard
“Smartphone”
or
tablet
architecture
Lots
of
Fragmenta<on
Commodity
doesn’t
cut
it
“Nimitz
class”
Manufacturing Ouroboros
Value
Chain Playing
catch
up
Thursday, March 21, 13
23. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Takeaway:
Engineering what’s inside the box is
more important than ever
23
Thursday, March 21, 13
24. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
We mostly have plenty of bandwidth,
but the reliability, availability, and
throughput of mobile and IoT systems
are still unsolved problems
24
Thursday, March 21, 13
25. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Dropped calls are here to stay
25
(In 2008 = 5.6%
reported at least one
dropped call per day)
Thursday, March 21, 13
26. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
26
http://worstphoneever.com/
Thursday, March 21, 13
27. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Takeaway:
Some solvable problems don’t get
solved
27
Thursday, March 21, 13
28. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Case in point:
Home Energy Management
28
Thursday, March 21, 13
29. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
The Personal Area Network is not really
taking off
29
(Wifi
in
Healthcare:
$4.9B,
iTunes:
$17B)
Thursday, March 21, 13
30. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
30
Sensors still too expensive
and scarce
The utilities’ hearts are really
not in it
The cost savings carrot is not
there for customers
There’s a limit to how much
this can cost
SHN ZBHT-1
Retails for 69.99
“Smart Grid Woes Move to Illinois, ComEd”
“All told, ComEd may have to pay back $48 million to its 3.8 million
customers (about $12 per customer), and the decision could cost
parent company Exelon about $77 million per year in revenue
losses, not to mention $85 million in its current rate increase
request.” -Reuters, Oct 2010
15% of 5% =
0.75%
$940
Thursday, March 21, 13
31. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
31
“The number of
PhDs required to
install a WSN rounds
off to a non-zero
integer”
--Mary Murphy-
Hoye, Intel
Zigbee Smart
Energy 2.0 has been
in development
since before the
iPhone.
Thursday, March 21, 13
32. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Takeaway:
Home Energy Management is a great
object lesson for the Industrial Internet
32
Thursday, March 21, 13
33. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Pervasive systems
33
Thursday, March 21, 13
34. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Pervasive systems creep people out,
because they are... pervasive
34
Thursday, March 21, 13
35. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Stopthecyborgs.com
“Spying is not a business model”
35
Not wearing
Google Glass
but still
pretty upset
about it
Thursday, March 21, 13
36. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
36
“Class,
please
Turn off
your pens”
Thursday, March 21, 13
37. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Takeaway:
Customer demand for Industrial
Internet and pervasive computing data
sharing is not the whole story
37
Thursday, March 21, 13
38. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
The most interesting connected device
scenarios require a lot of business
diligence and new skills
38
Thursday, March 21, 13
39. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
39
Connected device implementations can’t do
everything on day one
Big Data can only drive use
cases that a set of connected
devices are ready to handle
As systems grow and mature,
the data they create and
consume changes and
becomes richer
frog’s Connected Device Maturity Model
Source: frog
Unconnected
Legacy
Connected
Adapt
Connect
Maintain Understand Optimize Innovate
• Report
• Analyze
• Enterprise
Connect
• Cloud
Connect
• Aggregate
• Understand
Context
• Connect
• Identify
• Secure
• Meter
• Audit
• Inspect
• Diagnose
• Repair
• Upgrade
• Safe Share
• Longitudinal
Analysis
• Simulate
• Improve
Processes
• Closed Loop
Re-configure
• Dynamically
Adapt
• Predict
Capabilities
Time
Maturity / Complexity
Thursday, March 21, 13
40. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
40
Big Data for connected devices doesn’t just
happen; it has to evolve
CONNECTED REACTIVE PREDICTIVE
Connecting disparate
technologies
Contextualizing awareness
through sensor networks
Predicting behavior and
leveraging awareness
Value
Number of Devices
Metcalfe?
Thursday, March 21, 13
41. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
Lots of things might not be worth it
41
Market'Sizing'
Combining'the'ATM,'digital'signage'and'POS'system'management'solu<on'markets'will'
only'sum'to'an'es<mated'half'a'billion'USD'in'2011'
ATM,'4.0'
POS,'321.9'
Digital'Signage,'
2.7'
US#Simple#Systems#Management#So1ware#
Market#in#2011#(USD#Millions)#
Upshot:'the'embedded'systems'management'tool'market'place'is'not'compelling'
in'and'of'itself.''It'needs'“revenue'drag”'or'“aPach'revenue”'opportuni<es,'or'for'
the'major'management'tool'providers,'it'provides'a'defense'against'losing'
contracts'on'wider'IT'management'
Thursday, March 21, 13
42. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
Doing M2M right requires fortitude
42
Agheera Pulse
http://vimeo.com/41481380
High Value Items
Embracing
disruption of
systems and
methods
Willingness to be
transparent
Much more than
Software
Thursday, March 21, 13
43. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
Oops
43
“We are extremely sorry
for the frustration this
has caused our
customers and we are
doing everything we can
to make Maps better.”
-Tim
Thursday, March 21, 13
44. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
Driving every street is a big bet
44
But you might
just have to do
it.
Thursday, March 21, 13
45. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
Takeaway:
Some things that seem like good ideas
aren’t worth pursuing, and others
require novel efforts
(You must disrupt)
45
Thursday, March 21, 13
46. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
The New Rules
Emergent behaviors have unintended
real-world consequences
46
Thursday, March 21, 13
47. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
47
You have to “think outside the kitchen”
“Brad the Toaster” is design
fiction that outlines a scenario
where a self-directed
appliance is able to find
places and owners that will
best use him, and then ship
himself there.
The story of Brad the Toaster,
by frog’s Simone
Rebaudengo:
<http://vimeo.com/
41363473
Thursday, March 21, 13
48. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
New Rules
48
New kinds of stories will be told
“The Brave Little Toaster” is a
short story about a renegade
pack of energy drink, and
havoc it wreaks before the
Brave Toaster is able to, um,
deal with it.
Source: Cory Doctorow
<http://craphound.com/?
p=3704>
From: The Brave Little Toaster by Cory Doctorow
One day, Mister Toussaint came home to find an extra 300 euros' worth of groceries on his
doorstep. So he called up Miz Rousseau, the grocer, and said, "Why have you sent me all this
food? My fridge is already full of delicious things. I don't need this stuff and besides, I can't pay
for it."
But Miz Rousseau told him that he had ordered the food. His refrigerator had sent in the list,
and she had the signed order to prove it.
Furious, Mister Toussaint confronted his refrigerator. It was mysteriously empty, even though it
had been full that morning. Or rather, it was *almost* empty: there was a single pouch of energy
drink sitting on a shelf in the back. He'd gotten it from an enthusiastically smiling young
woman on the metro platform the day before. She'd been giving them to everyone.
"Why did you throw away all my food?" he demanded. The refrigerator hummed smugly at him.
"It was spoiled," it said.
Thursday, March 21, 13
49. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
It’s Dirty
It’s dirty out there.
Device design is breaking long-held rules
Mobile networks are glitchy
The IoT is messy and complicated,
and failure can be expensive
Pervasive computing is starting
to offend people
Connected device scenarios are
hard work
Emergent behavior has unintended real-world
consequences
49
Thursday, March 21, 13
51. March 20, 2013Dirty New World
It’s Dirty
In the Dirty New World, design thinking
is more important than ever
Conduct participatory design
Prototype!
Test early and often with customers
Show some demand and viability
Demonstrate ability to scale
51
Thursday, March 21, 13