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Data equation
1.
YEAR GDP (y)
[Rupiah] Current Expenditure (x1) [billion rupiah] Development Expenditure (x2) [billion rupiah] Income Tax (x3) [billion rupiah] 2000 6720649.83 162577.1 25814.8 57073 2001 6860544.88 218923.3 41585 94576 2002 7061207.41 200382 47414.3 103313.9 2003 7287245.70 191788 65129.8 120924.8 2004 7538530.99 236014 61450 135853 2005 7847599.75 328266 32889 180253 2006 8154508.73 385080 54952 213698 2007 8541259.06 440334 64289 251748 2008 8842701.15 620583 72773 305016 2009 9190669.38 618154 73382 340209 2010 9616611.75 693445 88089 362219 2011 10102168.25 767290 140953 431977 2012 10590578.20 893484 176051 513650 Source : Statistics of Indonesia, Badan pusat Statistik (APBN), Anggaran Belanja dan Pendapatan Negara (APBN) Note: From year 2005 until 2012, Capital expenditure assume as Development expenditure Dependent Variable: Y
2.
Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/10/13 Time: 11:28 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 6273153. 78157.67 80.26279 0.0000 X1 -1.197014 1.181717 -1.012945 0.3375 X2 -2.759341 1.963265 -1.405486 0.1934 X3 11.67031 2.345353 4.975930 0.0008 R-squared 0.993840 Mean dependent var 8334944. Adjusted R-squared 0.991787 S.D. dependent var 1267889. S.E. of regression 114902.3 Akaike info criterion 26.38921 Sum squared resid 1.19E+11 Schwarz criterion 26.56304 Log likelihood -167.5299 Hannan-Quinn criter. 26.35348 F-statistic 484.0398 Durbin-Watson stat 2.125263 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Heteroskedasticity Test: White F-statistic 0.414192 Prob. F(9,3) 0.8662 Obs*R-squared 7.203092 Prob. Chi-Square(9) 0.6160 Scaled explained SS 2.150774 Prob. Chi-Square(9) 0.9889 Test Equation: Dependent Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares Date: 12/10/13 Time: 11:38 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 1.35E+10 1.21E+11 0.111710 0.9181 X1 151243.5 2881598. 0.052486 0.9614 X1^2 -5.845920 18.26811 -0.320007 0.7700 X1*X2 3.798358 62.07491 0.061190 0.9551 X1*X3 21.00124 74.62046 0.281441 0.7967 X2 399116.9 1609980. 0.247902 0.8202 X2^2 6.592707 39.26956 0.167883 0.8774 X2*X3 -11.80680 118.2617 -0.099836 0.9268 X3 -518953.7 4647282. -0.111668 0.9181 X3^2 -17.61213 76.91023 -0.228996 0.8336 R-squared 0.554084 Mean dependent var 9.14E+09 Adjusted R-squared -0.783664 S.D. dependent var 1.06E+10 S.E. of regression 1.42E+10 Akaike info criterion 49.66053 Sum squared resid 6.03E+20 Schwarz criterion 50.09511 Log likelihood -312.7934 Hannan-Quinn criter. 49.57120 F-statistic 0.414192 Durbin-Watson stat 2.912290 Prob(F-statistic) 0.866177 MULTIKOLINEARITY
3.
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares Date: 12/10/13 Time: 11:49 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 6273153. 78157.72 80.26275 0.0000 X1 -1.197012 1.181718 -1.012942 0.3375 X2 -2.759341 1.963267 -1.405485 0.1934 X3 11.67031 2.345354 4.975925 0.0008 R-squared 0.993840 Mean dependent var 8334944. Adjusted R-squared 0.991787 S.D. dependent var 1267889. S.E. of regression 114902.4 Akaike info criterion 26.38921 Sum squared resid 1.19E+11 Schwarz criterion 26.56304 Log likelihood -167.5299 Hannan-Quinn criter. 26.35348 F-statistic 484.0392 Durbin-Watson stat 2.125263 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 OUTPUT OF REGRESSION 1 Dependent Variable: X1 Method: Least Squares Date: 12/10/13 Time: 11:53 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 35280.72 17690.81 1.994297 0.0741 X2 -0.765568 0.466267 -1.641910 0.1316 X3 1.935682 0.138625 13.96344 0.0000 R-squared 0.987279 Mean dependent var 442793.9 Adjusted R-squared 0.984735 S.D. dependent var 248868.1 S.E. of regression 30747.89 Akaike info criterion 23.70420 Sum squared resid 9.45E+09 Schwarz criterion 23.83458 Log likelihood -151.0773 Hannan-Quinn criter. 23.67741 F-statistic 388.0601 Durbin-Watson stat 1.768895 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 OUTPUT OF REGRESSION 2 Dependent Variable: X2 Method: Least Squares
4.
Date: 12/10/13 Time:
11:56 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 16972.32 11387.62 1.490419 0.1670 X1 -0.277366 0.168929 -1.641910 0.1316 X3 0.746095 0.295035 2.528839 0.0299 R-squared 0.840960 Mean dependent var 72674.76 Adjusted R-squared 0.809152 S.D. dependent var 42364.92 S.E. of regression 18507.59 Akaike info criterion 22.68892 Sum squared resid 3.43E+09 Schwarz criterion 22.81930 Log likelihood -144.4780 Hannan-Quinn criter. 22.66213 F-statistic 26.43869 Durbin-Watson stat 1.018505 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000102 OUTPUT OF REGRESSION 3 Dependent Variable: X3 Method: Least Squares Date: 12/10/13 Time: 11:59 Sample: 2000 2012 Included observations: 13 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -16317.89 9188.294 -1.775944 0.1061 X1 0.491410 0.035193 13.96344 0.0000 X2 0.522800 0.206735 2.528839 0.0299 R-squared 0.990149 Mean dependent var 239270.1 Adjusted R-squared 0.988179 S.D. dependent var 142494.9 S.E. of regression 15492.47 Akaike info criterion 22.33327 Sum squared resid 2.40E+09 Schwarz criterion 22.46364 Log likelihood -142.1663 Hannan-Quinn criter. 22.30647 F-statistic 502.5847 Durbin-Watson stat 1.709123 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 OUTPUT OF REGRESSION 4 NORMALITY
5.
5 4 3
2 1 0 -50000 -25000 0 25000 50000 75000 Series: Residuals Sample 2000 2012 Observations 13 Mean 1.91e-11 Median -1280.530 Maximum 50601.12 Minimum -33033.08 Std. Dev. 28068.86 Skewness 0.469268 Kurtosis 1.876898 Jarque-Bera 1.160363 Probability 0.559797
6.
5 4 3
2 1 0 -50000 -25000 0 25000 50000 75000 Series: Residuals Sample 2000 2012 Observations 13 Mean 1.91e-11 Median -1280.530 Maximum 50601.12 Minimum -33033.08 Std. Dev. 28068.86 Skewness 0.469268 Kurtosis 1.876898 Jarque-Bera 1.160363 Probability 0.559797
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