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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Tuesday, 26 January 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
QIBK 82.50 80.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 8,848.86 -1.48 7.8
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 9,000 9,150 9,400
Support 8,500 8,300 8,200
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index tried to break above the
9,000 level but failed to sustain that break
for a second day. In addition, it created a
large bearish candle which engulfed the
one before and closed the day
significantly down. As a result, we see that
the bounce might not survive unless a
clear above 9,000 is seen. It is also vital to
stay above 8,700 points.
Expected Resistance Level: 9,000
Expected Support Level: 8,500
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 25 Jan 24 Jan %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 237.8 277.4 -14.3
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 471.9 477.4 -1.2
Volume (mn) 6.8 10.3 -33.9
Number of Trans. 3,810 4,986 -23.6
Companies Traded 40 41 -2.4
Market Breadth 7:32 38:2 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 13,754.28 -1.5 36.4
All Share Index 2,352.21 -1.5 35.5
Banks and Financials 2,408.91 -0.5 36.7
Industrials 2,662.28 -0.7 36.6
Transportation 2,129.85 -2.9 38.1
Real Estate 1,856.71 -3.1 34.6
Insurance 3,612.93 -4.0 37.5
Telecoms 925.26 -3.1 48.5
Consumer 4,870.31 -1.8 33.8
Al Rayan Islamic 3,149.55 -1.9 34.6
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
DBIS 12.99 -0.1 16.8
MCGS 78.00 -2.5 22.5
QGMD 9.86 -3.0 24.3
QIGD 25.00 -7.4 27.8
QCFS 28.30 -9.7 28.1
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5
QIBK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 82.50 -2.37 103,984
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 84.50 86.00 88.50
Support 81.00 80.00 79.40
Commentary
Overview:
QIBK bounced off the QR75.00 support
and now above the QR80.00. We can see
from the charts that the price could not
sustain its gains and created 4 bearish
candles on the daily chart. This is a
reflection of volatility and possible loss of
momentum.
Expected Price Retreat: QR80.00 –
QR79.40
A price breach below QR81.00 triggers
the sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 8,848.86 8,668.76 8,764.63 8,823.85 8,919.72 9,015.59 9,074.81 9,170.68 9,997.86 10,754.78 11,352.89
Total Return 13,754.28 13,474.33 13,623.35 13,715.41 13,864.42 14,013.44 14,105.50 14,254.51 15,540.25 16,716.76 17,645.29
All Share 2,352.21 2,306.42 2,331.08 2,346.32 2,370.97 2,395.63 2,410.87 2,435.52 2,665.32 2,863.64 3,028.64
Al Rayan Islamic 3,149.55 3,069.53 3,110.29 3,135.46 3,176.22 3,216.98 3,242.15 3,282.91 3,689.97 4,026.94 4,314.32
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 32.50 31.83 32.14 32.33 32.63 32.94 33.13 33.43 35.95 39.44 42.66
CBQK 40.20 38.60 39.19 39.56 40.15 40.74 41.11 41.70 44.71 49.81 52.82
DHBK 36.35 34.72 35.56 36.08 36.92 37.76 38.28 39.12 43.02 46.49 49.91
QIBK 82.50 79.50 81.10 82.10 83.70 85.30 86.30 87.90 105.14 110.95 108.72
QIIK 62.00 60.07 60.79 61.24 61.97 62.69 63.14 63.87 64.39 69.62 74.35
Insurance
QATI 74.00 72.93 73.24 73.43 73.73 74.04 74.23 74.53 81.93 88.12 90.80
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 78.00 75.53 76.79 77.57 78.83 80.09 80.87 82.13 116.82 140.74 158.09
Industrials
IQCD 95.00 92.00 93.15 93.85 95.00 96.15 96.85 98.00 103.60 113.67 125.98
QEWS 184.90 181.70 182.66 183.25 184.20 185.16 185.75 186.70 204.55 208.39 211.63
GISS 41.50 38.60 39.88 40.67 41.95 43.23 44.02 45.30 49.20 56.12 66.76
QIGD 25.00 23.50 24.36 24.89 25.75 26.61 27.14 28.00 35.51 40.69 45.54
Real Estate
BRES 31.60 30.07 30.87 31.36 32.17 32.97 33.46 34.27 38.42 41.12 45.39
UDCD 18.00 17.32 17.61 17.80 18.09 18.38 18.57 18.86 20.23 22.02 22.92
ERES 12.45 12.06 12.26 12.39 12.60 12.80 12.93 13.14 15.41 17.16 17.49
MRDS 11.91 11.50 11.64 11.73 11.87 12.01 12.10 12.24 13.93 15.05 16.71
Telecommunication
ORDS 73.60 71.80 72.83 73.47 74.50 75.53 76.17 77.20 72.12 73.52 80.90
VFQS 10.42 10.13 10.30 10.40 10.56 10.73 10.83 10.99 11.71 12.85 14.61
Transportation
QGTS 19.76 19.21 19.51 19.70 20.01 20.31 20.50 20.81 22.82 23.11 22.71
QNNS 88.20 88.07 88.10 88.13 88.17 88.20 88.23 88.27 93.99 95.85 96.95
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar January 26

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 5 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Tuesday, 26 January 2016 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target QIBK 82.50 80.00 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 8,848.86 -1.48 7.8 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 9,000 9,150 9,400 Support 8,500 8,300 8,200 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index tried to break above the 9,000 level but failed to sustain that break for a second day. In addition, it created a large bearish candle which engulfed the one before and closed the day significantly down. As a result, we see that the bounce might not survive unless a clear above 9,000 is seen. It is also vital to stay above 8,700 points. Expected Resistance Level: 9,000 Expected Support Level: 8,500 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 25 Jan 24 Jan %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 237.8 277.4 -14.3 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 471.9 477.4 -1.2 Volume (mn) 6.8 10.3 -33.9 Number of Trans. 3,810 4,986 -23.6 Companies Traded 40 41 -2.4 Market Breadth 7:32 38:2 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 13,754.28 -1.5 36.4 All Share Index 2,352.21 -1.5 35.5 Banks and Financials 2,408.91 -0.5 36.7 Industrials 2,662.28 -0.7 36.6 Transportation 2,129.85 -2.9 38.1 Real Estate 1,856.71 -3.1 34.6 Insurance 3,612.93 -4.0 37.5 Telecoms 925.26 -3.1 48.5 Consumer 4,870.31 -1.8 33.8 Al Rayan Islamic 3,149.55 -1.9 34.6 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI DBIS 12.99 -0.1 16.8 MCGS 78.00 -2.5 22.5 QGMD 9.86 -3.0 24.3 QIGD 25.00 -7.4 27.8 QCFS 28.30 -9.7 28.1 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5 QIBK Price % Ch. Volume Last 82.50 -2.37 103,984 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 84.50 86.00 88.50 Support 81.00 80.00 79.40 Commentary Overview: QIBK bounced off the QR75.00 support and now above the QR80.00. We can see from the charts that the price could not sustain its gains and created 4 bearish candles on the daily chart. This is a reflection of volatility and possible loss of momentum. Expected Price Retreat: QR80.00 – QR79.40 A price breach below QR81.00 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 8,848.86 8,668.76 8,764.63 8,823.85 8,919.72 9,015.59 9,074.81 9,170.68 9,997.86 10,754.78 11,352.89 Total Return 13,754.28 13,474.33 13,623.35 13,715.41 13,864.42 14,013.44 14,105.50 14,254.51 15,540.25 16,716.76 17,645.29 All Share 2,352.21 2,306.42 2,331.08 2,346.32 2,370.97 2,395.63 2,410.87 2,435.52 2,665.32 2,863.64 3,028.64 Al Rayan Islamic 3,149.55 3,069.53 3,110.29 3,135.46 3,176.22 3,216.98 3,242.15 3,282.91 3,689.97 4,026.94 4,314.32 Banks & Financials Services MARK 32.50 31.83 32.14 32.33 32.63 32.94 33.13 33.43 35.95 39.44 42.66 CBQK 40.20 38.60 39.19 39.56 40.15 40.74 41.11 41.70 44.71 49.81 52.82 DHBK 36.35 34.72 35.56 36.08 36.92 37.76 38.28 39.12 43.02 46.49 49.91 QIBK 82.50 79.50 81.10 82.10 83.70 85.30 86.30 87.90 105.14 110.95 108.72 QIIK 62.00 60.07 60.79 61.24 61.97 62.69 63.14 63.87 64.39 69.62 74.35 Insurance QATI 74.00 72.93 73.24 73.43 73.73 74.04 74.23 74.53 81.93 88.12 90.80 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 78.00 75.53 76.79 77.57 78.83 80.09 80.87 82.13 116.82 140.74 158.09 Industrials IQCD 95.00 92.00 93.15 93.85 95.00 96.15 96.85 98.00 103.60 113.67 125.98 QEWS 184.90 181.70 182.66 183.25 184.20 185.16 185.75 186.70 204.55 208.39 211.63 GISS 41.50 38.60 39.88 40.67 41.95 43.23 44.02 45.30 49.20 56.12 66.76 QIGD 25.00 23.50 24.36 24.89 25.75 26.61 27.14 28.00 35.51 40.69 45.54 Real Estate BRES 31.60 30.07 30.87 31.36 32.17 32.97 33.46 34.27 38.42 41.12 45.39 UDCD 18.00 17.32 17.61 17.80 18.09 18.38 18.57 18.86 20.23 22.02 22.92 ERES 12.45 12.06 12.26 12.39 12.60 12.80 12.93 13.14 15.41 17.16 17.49 MRDS 11.91 11.50 11.64 11.73 11.87 12.01 12.10 12.24 13.93 15.05 16.71 Telecommunication ORDS 73.60 71.80 72.83 73.47 74.50 75.53 76.17 77.20 72.12 73.52 80.90 VFQS 10.42 10.13 10.30 10.40 10.56 10.73 10.83 10.99 11.71 12.85 14.61 Transportation QGTS 19.76 19.21 19.51 19.70 20.01 20.31 20.50 20.81 22.82 23.11 22.71 QNNS 88.20 88.07 88.10 88.13 88.17 88.20 88.23 88.27 93.99 95.85 96.95 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.