DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT FEBRUARY 15 2022

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15 February 2022
Daily Analysis Report

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie remains almost unchanged a er RBA’s Monetary Policy Mee ng Minutes, Asian stock markets in green, gold hits fresh 8 – month high at $1,879 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan Prelim GDP price index stands at -1.3 pct vs -1.2 pct previous release.
• Japan Prelim GDP q/q stands at 1.3 pct vs -0.9 pct previous release.
• Reserve Bank Of Australia Minutes - Board Is Prepared To Be Pa ent As It Monitors How The Various Factors Affec ng Infla on In Australia Evolve.
• RBA Minutes - Members Observed That Infla on Had Picked Up More Quickly Than The Bank Had Expected.
• BoJ's Governor Kuroda - The BOJ must consider its exit plan when infla on reaches 2%; doing so before that would risk misleading markets.
• BOJ's Governor Kuroda - what the fed is doing now will provide hints for when the BoJ debates the specifics of the exit strategy.
• BoJ’s governor Kuroda - It's appropriate for BoJ to keep easing.
• BoJ’s governor Kuroda - Japan's economy and price situa on jus fy loose monetary policy.
• Novavax Inc said on Monday it had received interim authoriza on from the Singapore Health Sciences Authority (HSA) for its COVID-19 vaccine in adults – Reuters.
• Italy reported 28,630 COVID-19 related cases on Monday, against 51,959 the day before, the health ministry said, while the number of deaths rose to 281 from 191 – Reuters.
• A commercial chicken flock in Kentucky tested posi ve for a highly lethal form of bird flu, officials said on Monday, widening an outbreak that threatens the U.S. poultry industry –
Reuters.
• Britain on Monday reported 41,648 new cases of COVID-19 and 35 deaths further deaths within 28 days of a posi ve test, government sta s cs showed – Reuters.
• Kuwait's cabinet has li ed many COVID-19 restric ons including a ban on foreign travel, a move that will also apply to those who are not vaccinated, Prime Minister Sheikh Sabah al-
Khalid al-Sabah said on Monday – Reuters.
• Novavax Inc has submi ed an applica on to Switzerland's drugs regulator for the authoriza on of its COVID-19 vaccine in adults, the U.S. vaccine maker said on Monday – Reuters.
• Compounding factors are influencing a decrease in house prices and sales ac vity in New Zealand, the Real Estate Ins tute of New Zealand (REINZ) said on Tuesday – Reuters.
• Worries over a poten al Russian invasion into Ukraine could fuel stock weakness over the short-term, but most U.S. market fallout related to geopoli cs is likely to be short-lived, if
history is any guide – Reuters.
• U.S. short-term interest rate futures on Monday reflected a reduced chance of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve before its two-day March policy mee ng – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Claimant Count Change, previous -43.3K, expected -36.2K.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. unemployment Rate, previous 4.1, expected 4.1.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 49.4, expected 54.4.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) German ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 51.7, expected 55.1.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Flash GDP q/q, previous 0.3, expected 0.3.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Trade Balance, previous -1.3B, expected -4.7B.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. PPI, previous 0.2, expected 0.5.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Core PPI, previous 0.5, expected 0.5.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index, previous -0.7, expected 11.9.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.18% to 96.20 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7140
R2 S2
0.7172
R3 S3
0.7199
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7222
Buy Above 0.7140
0.7172
0.7120
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7115
0.7090
0.7137
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie remains almost unchanged after RBA’s Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and
stabilizes below $0.7150 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7140 and low at $0.7121 mark.A
day chart and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggest down trend for the time being.Asustained close above
$0.7140 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7110 will
check further supports.
0.7110
0.7090
0.7065
0.7030
FEBRUARY,
2022

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1338
R2 S2
1.1362
R3 S3
1.1384
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1405
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades in narrow range ahead of German ZEW Economic Sentiment and Euro
Flash GDP results. The pair made intraday high at $1.1322 and low at $1.1296 mark. Today triple
EMA on a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being. A consistent close
above $1.1338 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below
$1.1294 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1301
1.1280
1.1265
1.1250
Buy Above 1.1330
1.1357
1.1304
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1301
1.1278
1.1320
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3552
R2 S2
1.3570
R3 S3
1.3586
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3615
Buy Above 1.3550
1.3576
1.3526
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3520
1.3498
1.3537
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling exhibits range bound movement ahead of U.K.’s Claimant Count Change
results and consolidates around $1.3550 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3546 and low at
$1.3518 mark.Aday chart is up and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests down trend for the time being.
A sustained close above $1.3541 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1.3498 will check further supports.
USD
1.3520
1.3498
1.3465
1.3450
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2750
R2 S2
1.2772
R3 S3
1.2799
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2815
Buy Above 1.2750
1.2770
1.2720
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2717
1.2691
1.2740
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD enjoys roller coaster movement and remains well supported above 1.2700
mark. Pair made intraday high at 1.2740 and low at 1.2722 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2750 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2720 on H1 chart will check key
supports too. Canada’s Housing start data is in focus.
USD /CAD
1.2720
1.2701
1.2690
1.2672
FEBRUARY,
2022

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
115.55
R2 S2
115.70
R3 S3
115.91
R4
Commentary
S4
116.18
Buy Above 115.55
115.80
115.30
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 115.25
115.00
115.48
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades slightly marginally higher despite lower than expected Prelim
GDP results and Comments from BoJ Gov Kuroda. The pair made intraday high at 115.55 and low at
115.30 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time
being. A sustained close above 115.55 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
consistent close below 115.25 on H1 chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
115.25
114.90
114.65
114.50
FEBRUARY,
2022

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1884
R2 S2
1889
R3 S3
1894
R4
Commentary
S4
1899
Buy Above 1881
1886
1875
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1874
1868
1879
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold strengthens sharply on Tuesday and hits highest level since June 11,
2021. Today pair made intraday high at $1,879 and low at $1,870 mark. A triple EMA on a day chart
and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,878 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,868 will check further supports.
U.S. PPI, Core PPI data will remain in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1868
1862
1857
1852
FEBRUARY,
2022

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
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