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PRESENTED BY:-
        Rishi Chaudhary
         Sakshi Narayan
                          1
What is crisis..???
• An unstable and dangerous situation affecting
  an individual, group, community or whole
  society.
• Negative changes in the security, economic,
  political, societal or environmental affairs,
  especially when they occur abruptly, with little
  or no warning.
• 'A testing time' or an 'emergency event'.

                                                 2
3
Poverty
                  Related
                   Crisis




International     Types       Economic
    Crisis       Of Crisis      Crisis




                Environment
                  al Crisis
                                         4
Debt crisis
• A debt crisis deals with countries and their ability to repay
  borrowed funds.
• It would be continuous deficit spending that keeps adding
  to the national debt. Eventually, we reach the point where
  servicing the debt can not be maintained leading to a
  default on the obligation. i.e. Greece.
• From late 2009, fears of a sovereign debt crisis developed
  among investors as a result of the rising private and
  government debt levels around the world together with a
  wave of downgrading of government debt in some
  European states.



                                                                  5
• In Greece, unsustainable public sector wage and pension
  commitments drove the debt increase.
• The European Central Bank has taken measures to maintain
  money flows between European banks by lowering interest
  rates and providing weaker banks (mostly from crisis
  countries) with cheap loans of more than one trillion Euros.
• Three countries significantly affected, Greece, Ireland and
  Portugal, collectively accounted for 6% of the euro zone's
  gross domestic product (GDP). In June 2012, also Spain
  became a matter of concern, when rising interest rates
  began to affect its ability to access capital markets, leading
  to a bailout of its banks and other measures.


                                                               6
• To address the deeper roots of economic
  imbalances most EU countries agreed on
  adopting the Euro Plus Pact, consisting of
  political reforms to improve fiscal strength and
  competitiveness.




                                                 7
Causes of debt crises
•   Rising households & government debt crisis
•   Trade imbalance
•   Structural problem of euro zone system
•   Monetary policy inflexibility
•   Loss of confidence




                                                 8
Financial crises
• Stock market crashes and the bursting of other
  financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign
  defaults. Financial crises directly result in a loss of
  paper wealth
• A financial crisis would be the failure of the
  banking system resulting in a severe restriction
  on the availability of credit. If businesses are
  unable to secure credit to maintain or expand
  business activity it would lead to a contraction of
  the economy. i.e. U.S. banking crisis.

                                                        9
Financial crisis

A Situation in which the value of the financial institutions or assets
drops rapidly



 Reasons for Financial crisis

   •Global Imbalance
   •Housing bubble
   •Imprudent mortgage lending
   • Withdraw money from financial institutions




                                                                         10
The sharpest global decline since 1970

                                             GDP Growth
                     10
    Percent change




                      8

                      6

                      4

                      2

                      0
                      70

                            73

                                  76

                                        79

                                              82

                                                    85

                                                          88

                                                                  91

                                                                        94

                                                                              97

                                                                                    00

                                                                                          03

                                                                                                  06

                                                                                                        09
                      -2
                     19

                           19

                                 19

                                       19

                                             19

                                                   19

                                                         19

                                                                19

                                                                       19

                                                                             19

                                                                                   20

                                                                                         20

                                                                                               20

                                                                                                       20
                      -4

                                 Advanced economies           Emerging and developing economies        World




                                                                                                               11
Economic crisis


Economic crisis is the situation when any economy face the problem of the
balance of the payment and start the defaulting in the central bank installment




 Reasons for the Economic crisis


  •Current account deficit
  •Currency overvaluation
  •Fiscal deficit
  •Balance of payment




                                                                                  12
Factors that contributed to
            the financial crisis
Surplus balance of payment and increase in                     Growth in foreign capital
savings                                                    1
Low long term interest rates to stimulate                      Low interest rates
investment                                                 2
Homeownership - investment, source of
                                                               Promotion of homeownership by the
property tax and stability
                                                           3   federal government

Placed some derivatives and firms beyond                       Deregulatory measures taken by
effective regulation                                       4   Congress and SEC

Securitization provided capital for on                         Growth of securitization and subprime
lending and “reduced risks”                                5   mortgages


Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program
Impact on World




Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program impact of the financial crisis
      October 2010                                     The                                Slide 14
How financial crisis is
                       affecting developing
                             countries
   Financial crisis is more global than any other period of financial
  turmoil in the past 60 years.
  Extent and severity of the crisis began with the bursting of the
  housing bubble in the United States in August 2007
  In line with previous crisis, the pre crisis period was characterized
  by:
  • Surging asset prices, that proved unsustainable
  • Prolonged credit expansion leading to debt accumulation
  • Emergence of financial instruments
  • Inability of regulators to keep up
  • New – rapid expansion of securitization

Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program impact of the financial crisis
      October 2010                                     The                                Slide 15
Impact on Indian economy
• A prolonged and widespread debt crisis in Europe
  could have a sustainable negative impact on
  Indian Economy.
• If the solution of Greece crisis takes longer than
  anticipated or if the confidence crisis in Europe
  would become more wide spread, there could be
  a substantial negative impact on India.
• If the debt crisis would spread to other nations in
  Europe & their banking system, european entities
  could start Repatriation of funds to Indian Stock
  markets.

                                                  Slide 16
• This could negatively impact the Indian stock
  market and lead to lower foreign currency
  reserves.
• Severe macro - economic impact due to
  turmoil.
• At least 27% of India’s trade is with Europe
  and crisis will impact the India’s export to the
  region.

                                                     17
Conclusions
• Cautious Eurozone response to Financial Crisis
   – Interest rate policy reaction delayed: concentration on
     inflation target
   – Fiscal policy reaction muted: Stability & Growth Pact
• Common currency members avoided large
  devaluations and foreign currency debt.
• European governments have tried to act together, not
  always successfully.
• Limited impact of falling exports due to extensive
  internal trade relationships.
• Greece facing difficult adjustment problems, European
  banks avoiding losses on Greek bonds.

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Crises

  • 1. PRESENTED BY:- Rishi Chaudhary Sakshi Narayan 1
  • 2. What is crisis..??? • An unstable and dangerous situation affecting an individual, group, community or whole society. • Negative changes in the security, economic, political, societal or environmental affairs, especially when they occur abruptly, with little or no warning. • 'A testing time' or an 'emergency event'. 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. Poverty Related Crisis International Types Economic Crisis Of Crisis Crisis Environment al Crisis 4
  • 5. Debt crisis • A debt crisis deals with countries and their ability to repay borrowed funds. • It would be continuous deficit spending that keeps adding to the national debt. Eventually, we reach the point where servicing the debt can not be maintained leading to a default on the obligation. i.e. Greece. • From late 2009, fears of a sovereign debt crisis developed among investors as a result of the rising private and government debt levels around the world together with a wave of downgrading of government debt in some European states. 5
  • 6. • In Greece, unsustainable public sector wage and pension commitments drove the debt increase. • The European Central Bank has taken measures to maintain money flows between European banks by lowering interest rates and providing weaker banks (mostly from crisis countries) with cheap loans of more than one trillion Euros. • Three countries significantly affected, Greece, Ireland and Portugal, collectively accounted for 6% of the euro zone's gross domestic product (GDP). In June 2012, also Spain became a matter of concern, when rising interest rates began to affect its ability to access capital markets, leading to a bailout of its banks and other measures. 6
  • 7. • To address the deeper roots of economic imbalances most EU countries agreed on adopting the Euro Plus Pact, consisting of political reforms to improve fiscal strength and competitiveness. 7
  • 8. Causes of debt crises • Rising households & government debt crisis • Trade imbalance • Structural problem of euro zone system • Monetary policy inflexibility • Loss of confidence 8
  • 9. Financial crises • Stock market crashes and the bursting of other financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign defaults. Financial crises directly result in a loss of paper wealth • A financial crisis would be the failure of the banking system resulting in a severe restriction on the availability of credit. If businesses are unable to secure credit to maintain or expand business activity it would lead to a contraction of the economy. i.e. U.S. banking crisis. 9
  • 10. Financial crisis A Situation in which the value of the financial institutions or assets drops rapidly Reasons for Financial crisis •Global Imbalance •Housing bubble •Imprudent mortgage lending • Withdraw money from financial institutions 10
  • 11. The sharpest global decline since 1970 GDP Growth 10 Percent change 8 6 4 2 0 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 -2 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 -4 Advanced economies Emerging and developing economies World 11
  • 12. Economic crisis Economic crisis is the situation when any economy face the problem of the balance of the payment and start the defaulting in the central bank installment Reasons for the Economic crisis •Current account deficit •Currency overvaluation •Fiscal deficit •Balance of payment 12
  • 13. Factors that contributed to the financial crisis Surplus balance of payment and increase in Growth in foreign capital savings 1 Low long term interest rates to stimulate Low interest rates investment 2 Homeownership - investment, source of Promotion of homeownership by the property tax and stability 3 federal government Placed some derivatives and firms beyond Deregulatory measures taken by effective regulation 4 Congress and SEC Securitization provided capital for on Growth of securitization and subprime lending and “reduced risks” 5 mortgages Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program
  • 14. Impact on World Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program impact of the financial crisis October 2010 The Slide 14
  • 15. How financial crisis is affecting developing countries Financial crisis is more global than any other period of financial turmoil in the past 60 years. Extent and severity of the crisis began with the bursting of the housing bubble in the United States in August 2007 In line with previous crisis, the pre crisis period was characterized by: • Surging asset prices, that proved unsustainable • Prolonged credit expansion leading to debt accumulation • Emergence of financial instruments • Inability of regulators to keep up • New – rapid expansion of securitization Eisenhower Fellowships – 2010 Women’s Leadership Program impact of the financial crisis October 2010 The Slide 15
  • 16. Impact on Indian economy • A prolonged and widespread debt crisis in Europe could have a sustainable negative impact on Indian Economy. • If the solution of Greece crisis takes longer than anticipated or if the confidence crisis in Europe would become more wide spread, there could be a substantial negative impact on India. • If the debt crisis would spread to other nations in Europe & their banking system, european entities could start Repatriation of funds to Indian Stock markets. Slide 16
  • 17. • This could negatively impact the Indian stock market and lead to lower foreign currency reserves. • Severe macro - economic impact due to turmoil. • At least 27% of India’s trade is with Europe and crisis will impact the India’s export to the region. 17
  • 18. Conclusions • Cautious Eurozone response to Financial Crisis – Interest rate policy reaction delayed: concentration on inflation target – Fiscal policy reaction muted: Stability & Growth Pact • Common currency members avoided large devaluations and foreign currency debt. • European governments have tried to act together, not always successfully. • Limited impact of falling exports due to extensive internal trade relationships. • Greece facing difficult adjustment problems, European banks avoiding losses on Greek bonds.