COVID-19 Analysis for March 30, 2020

1. USA
544,817
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's USA Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.12 days (now: 3.31 days)
1

2. New York City
15,617
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's New York City Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 1.67 days (now: 4.57 days)
2

3. Santa Clara and San Mateo
2,271
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Santa Clara and San Mateo Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 3.45 days (now: 5.31 days)
3

4. Santa Francisco
942
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Santa Francisco Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 4.16 days
4

5. King County (Seattle)
5,204
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's King County (Seattle) Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.12 days (now: 5.44 days)
5

6. Multnomah County (Portland)
719
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Multnomah County (Portland) Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 1.84 days (now: 2.27 days)
6

7. Westchester County
27,755
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Westchester County Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.04 days (now: 3.97 days)
7

8. Alameda County
1,238
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Alameda County Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.58 days (now: 3.12 days)
8

9. Orleans Parish
4,809
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Orleans Parish Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.45 days (now: 3.87 days)
9

10. Bay Area
4,553
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's Bay Area Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.62 days (now: 4.41 days)
10

11. California
22,626
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Date
Actual
(points)
/
Predicted
(line)
Type
Pre
Log Linear
Post
Steve's California Projection as of 2020-03-29
Doubling Time: 2.41 days (now: 3.59 days)
11

12. Doubling Time
Overall US: 3.2 days
0
2
4
State
Doubling
Time
Steve's 7 day estimation of doubling time 2020-03-29
12

13. Doubling Time
3.0
4.0
5.0
Doubling Time
Steve's 7 day estimation of doubling time 2020-03-29
13

14. All states in 1 week
Overall US: 19.5 cases
0
30
60
90
120
State
Cases
per
10,000
in
1
week
Steve's projection for 2020-04-04
14

15. Projected Cases per 10,000
30
60
90
Cases Per 10000
Steve's projection for 2020-04-04
15