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cost of capital with examples -weighted average
1.
THE COST OF
CAPITAL
2.
Copyright © 2017
by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-2
3.
Cost of Capital:
A Critical Element in Business Decisions • Used to decide whether to make an investment in capital projects:Most important business decisions require capital, including decisions to develop new products, build factories and distribution centres, install information technology, expand internationally, and acquire other companies. For each of these decisions, a company must estimate the total investment required and decide whether the expected rate of return exceeds the cost of the capital. • Used in compensation plans:The cost of capital is also used in many compensation plans, with bonuses dependent on whether the company’s return on invested capital exceeds the cost of capital • Used in choosing the mixture of debt and equity to finance the firm: The cost of capital is also a key factor in choosing the mixture of debt and equity used to finance the firm and in decisions to lease rather than buy assets. • As these examples illustrate, the cost of capital is a critical element in business decisions Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-3
4.
9-1 The Weighted
Average Cost of Capital • Long-term sources of financing • Firms use three major long-term capital to support growth: – Long-term debt – Preferred stock – Common equity • These are capital components coming from investors. 9-4
5.
Long-Term Sources of
Financing Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-5
6.
Capital Components • The
returns on these capital components required by investors are costs to a firm – (capital) component costs. • Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in the calculation of the cost of capital. • We do adjust for these items when calculating the cash flows of a project but not when calculating the cost of capital. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-6
7.
Defining WACC • The
cost of capital used to analyze capital budgeting decisions should be a weighted average of the various components’ costs, called the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). • WACC is also used to discount a firm’s expected free cash flows to arrive at its value. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-7
8.
9-2 After-Tax Cost
of Debt, rd(1 – T) • Before-tax vs. after-tax capital costs • Historical (embedded) costs vs. new (marginal) costs • Estimating cost of debt • Component cost of debt, rd(1 – T) Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-8
9.
Before-Tax vs. After-Tax
Capital Costs • Tax effects associated with financing can be incorporated either in capital budgeting cash flows or in cost of capital. • Most firms incorporate tax effects in the cost of capital. Therefore, focus on after-tax costs. • Only cost of debt is affected. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-9
10.
Historical (Embedded) Costs
vs. New (Marginal) Costs • The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions that involve raising and investing new capital. So we should focus on new, or marginal, costs. • The cost of previously issued capital, the historical or embedded cost, is important for decisions such as setting rates for profit regulation, not for investment. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-10
11.
Estimating Cost of
Debt • Method 1: Ask an investment banker what the coupon rate would be on new debt. • Method 2: Find the bond rating for the company and use the yield on other bonds with a similar rating. • Method 3: Find the yield (to maturity or to call) on the company’s debt, if it has any. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-11
12.
A 22-Year, 7%
Semiannual Bond Sells for $897.26. What’s the Pre-Tax Cost of Debt rd? 35 35 + 1,000 35 0 1 2 44 i = ? –897.26 ... 44 –897.26 35 1,000 4.0%×2 = rd = 8% N I/YR PV FV PMT INPUTS OUTPUT Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-12 Cost of Debt
13.
Component Cost of
Debt • Interest is tax-deductible, so the after-tax (AT) cost of debt is: – rd AT = rd (1 – T) – rd AT = 8%(1 – 0.30) = 5.6% • Use nominal rates. • flotation costs . Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-13 (9-1)
14.
Flotation Costs and
the Cost of Debt • Alternative 1: Find the pre-tax yield based on pre-tax cash flows and then adjust it to reflect taxes and flotation costs • Alternative 2: Find the after-tax cost of debt incorporating flotation costs based on after- tax cash flows using this formula: Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-14 N 1 t N d t d )] T 1 ( r [1 M T)] 1 ( r 1 [ T) INT(1 F) M(1 (9-2)
15.
Example1 cost of
debt • Suppose a company will issue new 10-year debt with a par value of $1,000 and a coupon rate of 7.5%, paid annually. The tax rate is 30%. If the flotation cost is 2% of the issue proceeds, what is the after-tax cost of debt? Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-15
16.
Example2,3 cost of
debt • 2 Duchess Corporation, a major hardware manufacturer, is contemplating selling $10 million worth of 20-year, 9% coupon (stated annual interest rate) bonds, each with a par value of $1,000. Because bonds with similar risk earn returns greater than 9%, the firm must sell the bonds for a 2% discount to compensate for the lower coupon interest rate. The flotation costs are 2%. (rd 9.45%) • 3 Currently, Warren Industries can sell 15-year, $1,000-par-value bonds paying annual interest at a 12% coupon rate. As a result of current interest rates, the bonds can be sold for $1,010 each; flotation costs of $30 per bond will be incurred in this process. The firm is in the 40% tax bracket Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-16
17.
Cost of Preferred
Stock •rps=Div/p • Or rps=Div/p(1-F) F=floatation cost Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-17
18.
9-3 Cost of
Preferred Stock, rps=div/P0 PPS = $25, DPS = $1.75, Par = $25, F = 2.5% No maturity dates. DPS is the annual preferred dividend. rps = Pps (1 – F) Dps = $1.75 $25(1 – 0.025) = $1.75 $24.37 = 0.072 = 7.2% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-18 (9.3)
19.
Component Cost of
Preferred Stock • Flotation costs for preferred are significant, so are reflected. Use net price, i.e., PPS(1 – F). • Preferred dividends are not deductible, so no tax adjustment, just rps. • Nominal rps is used. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-19
20.
Is Preferred Stock
More or Less Risky to Investors Than Debt? • More risky; the company is not required to pay the preferred dividend. • However, firms want to pay the preferred dividend. Otherwise, (1) they cannot pay the common dividend, (2) it is difficult to raise additional funds, and (3) preferred stockholders may gain control of firm. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-20
21.
Cost of pref.stock
ex: • Long Haul Trucking can issue perpetual preferred stock at a price of $25 a share. The issue is expected to pay a constant annual dividend of $1.75 a share. Ignoring flotation costs, what is the company’s cost of preferred stock, rps? • Burnwood Tech plans to issue some $25 par preferred stock with a 6% dividend. The stock is selling on the market for $27.00, and Burnwood must pay flotation costs of 4% of the market price. What is the cost of the preferred stock? Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-21
22.
9-4 Cost of
Common Stock, rs • Two ways of raising common equity • Rationale behind assigning a cost to retained earnings • Three methods of estimating cost of equity Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-22
23.
Two Ways of
Raising Common Equity • Directly, by issuing new shares of common stock • Indirectly, by reinvesting earnings that are not paid out as cash dividends—retaining earnings Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-23
24.
Rationale behind Assigning
a Cost to Retained Earnings • Earnings can be either retained and reinvested or paid out as dividends. • Investors could use the cash paid out by the firm to buy other securities and earn a return. • Thus, an opportunity cost is incurred if earnings are retained and reinvested. • Retained earnings are not free sources of capital. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-24
25.
Cost for Reinvested
Earnings • Opportunity cost: The return stockholders could earn on alternative investments of equal risk. • They could buy similar stocks and earn rs, or the company could repurchase its own stock and earn rs. So, rs is the cost of reinvested earnings and it is the cost of equity. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-25
26.
Three Methods of
Estimating the Cost of Equity, rS 1. CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b = rRF + (RPM)b 2. DCF: rs = (D1/P0)+ g 3. Bond-Yield-Plus-Risk Premium: rs = rd + Bond RP Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-26 (9-4) (9-6) (9-8)
27.
9-5 The CAPM
Approach Four-step process: 1. Estimate the risk-free rate, rRF. 2. Estimate the current expected market risk premium, RPM. 3. Estimate the stock’s beta coefficient, b. 4. Apply the CAPM equation E(r)=rfr + beta*(Rm-Rfr) Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-27
28.
Estimating the Risk-Free
Rate, rRF Many analysts use the yield on a long-term (10 to 20 years) government bond as a proxy for rRF, because: 1. Most shareholders invest on a long-term basis. 2. Yields on T-bills are more volatile than those on long-term ones and rs. 3. Many projects have long lives. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-28
29.
Estimating RPM =
rM – rRF 1. Historical data: Difference between the historical realized return on stocks and the return for long-term federal government bonds 2. Forward-looking data: The expected market return being the sum of the current dividend yield (on some market index) and the expected growth rate in dividends rM = D1/P0 + g = D0(1 + g)/P0 + g Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-29
30.
Expected Dividend Growth
Rate, g 1. The historical dividend growth rate 2. Analysts’ forecasts for earnings growth rates There are problems with both methods; e.g., there is no reason to expect future growth to be exactly like past growth, and growth rates in earnings and in dividends are not always identical. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-30
31.
Estimating Beta Beta is
estimated as the slope efficient in a regression of a company’s stock returns against market return. The historical beta is subject to problems such as: 1. No theoretical guidance as to the correct holding period and 2. Statistical imprecision Choosing beta involves judgment. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-31
32.
An Illustration of
CAPM Given: rRF = 5%, RPM = 5.5%, bi = 1.3 = 5.0% + (5.5%)1.3 = 12.2% rS = rRF + RPM ×bi Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-32
33.
Issues in Using
CAPM • It is difficult to estimate the market risk premium. Most analysts use a rate of 3% to 6% for the market risk premium (RPM). • Estimates of beta vary, and estimates are “noisy” (they have a wide confidence interval). Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-33
34.
9-6 Dividend-Yield-Plus-Growth-Rate, or Discounted
Cash Flow (DCF), Approach • Assuming that dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate and • That markets are at equilibrium Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-34 (9-6)
35.
Estimating the Growth
Rate • Use the historical growth rate if you believe the future will be like the past. • Apply the retention growth model. • Obtain analysts’ estimates from sources such as the Bank of Canada website or the National Post. • Uncertainty in the growth estimate induces uncertainty in the DCF cost estimate. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-35
36.
Retention Growth Model Assumptions: 1.
The payout rate and the retention rate are expected to be constant. 2. ROE is expected to remain constant. 3. No new common stock is to be issued or new stock is to be sold at book value. 4. Future projects are to be of the same degree of risk as existing assets. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-36
37.
Retention Growth Model
(cont’d) NCC has had an average ROE = 14.5% over the past 15 years. The ROE has been relatively steady. NCC’s dividend payout rate has averaged 52% over the same time period. The expected future growth rate: g = (Retention rate)(ROE) g = (1 – payout rate)(ROE) g = (1 – 0.52)(14.5%) = 7% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-37 (9-7)
38.
Illustration of DCF
Approach rs = D1 P0 + g = $2.40 $32 + 0.05 = 0.075 + 0.05 = 12.5% Given: D1 = $2.40; P0 = $32; g = 5% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-38
39.
Could DCF Methodology
Be Applied If g is Not Constant? • YES; nonconstant g stocks are expected to have constant g at some point, generally in 5 to 10 years. • But calculations get complicated. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-39
40.
9-7 Bond-Yield-Plus-Risk-Premium Approach • rs
= rd + RP • Given rd = 8%, RP = 3.7%, rs = 8% + 3.7% = 11.7% • This RP RPM (CAPM). It is a subjective value between 3% to 5%. • Produces ballpark estimate of rs, giving a useful check. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-40 (9-8)
41.
9-8 Comparison of
the CAPM, DCF, and Bond-Yield-Plus-Risk-Premium Methods Method Estimate CAPM 12.2% DCF 12.5% rd + RP 11.7% Average 12.1% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-41
42.
Costs of Issuing
New Common Stock (External Equity) • When a company issues new common stock it also has to pay flotation costs to the underwriter. • Issuing new common stock may send a negative signal to the capital markets, which may depress stock price; this is another type of issuing cost. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-42
43.
9-9 Adjusting the
Cost of Stock for Flotation Costs • The cost of new common equity (re) is higher than the cost of internal equity (rS) due to the flotation costs. • Flotation costs depend on the risk of the firm and the amount being raised. • Flotation costs are highest for common equity. While firms issue equity infrequently, the per- project cost is fairly small. • We usually ignore flotation costs when calculating the WACC. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-43
44.
Cost of New
Common Equity: P0 = $32, D1 = $2.40, g = 5%, and F = 12.5% re = D1 P0(1 – F) + g = $2.40 $32(1 – 0.125) + 5.0% = $2.40 $28.00 + 5.0% = 13.6% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-44 (9-9)
45.
Cost of Equity
Including Flotation Costs • Ignoring flotation costs, NCC’s shareholders require a return of 12.5% according to DCF model. • NCC has to earn a return of 13.6% on newly issued equity capital. • Flotation costs add 13.6% – 12.5% = 1.1% to its cost of equity. • 1.1% may be added to the cost of equity numbers by using other models. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-45
46.
Copyright © 2017
by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-46
47.
9-10 Weighted Average
Cost of Capital, WACC • WACC = wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wce rs (or re) • WACC is the cost incurred to raise each new, or marginal, dollar of capital—not the average cost of dollars raised in the past. • The weights, wd, wps, and wce, should be based on target capital structure, not on the particular sources of financing in any single year. • The target weights should be on market values. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-47 (9-10)
48.
WACC Calculation WACC =
wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wcers Recall: rd = 8%, rPS = 7.2%, rS = 12.1% WACC = 0.3(8%)(0.7) + 0.1(7.2%) + 0.6(12.1%) = 1.68% + 0.72% + 7.26% = 9.7% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-48
49.
9-11 Factors That
Affect the Weighted Average Cost of Capital • Market conditions, especially interest rates, market risk premium, and tax rates, are beyond the firm’s control. • The firm’s capital structure, dividend policy, and investment policy can be controlled by a firm. • Firms with riskier projects generally have a higher WACC. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-49
50.
9-12 Adjusting the
Cost of Capital for Risk • The divisional cost of capital • Techniques for measuring divisional betas • Estimating the cost of capital for individual projects Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-50
51.
The Divisional Cost
of Capital • The cost of capital reflects the average risk and overall capital structure of the entire firm. • For a firm with multiple divisions with different degrees of risk, it does not make sense for the firm to use its overall cost of capital (WACC) to evaluate all projects regardless of risk involved. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-51
52.
Is the Firm’s
WACC Correct for Each of Its Divisions? • NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm. • Different divisions may have different risks. The division’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the division’s risk and capital structure. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-52
53.
The Risk-adjusted Divisional
Cost of Capital • Estimate the cost of capital that the division would have if it were a stand-alone firm. • This requires estimating the division’s beta, cost of debt, and capital structure. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-53
54.
Pure Play Method
for Estimating Beta for a Division or a Project • Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in the project’s business. • Use the average of their betas as proxy for the project’s beta. • It is hard to find such companies. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-54
55.
Estimating the Cost
of Capital for Individual Projects • Riskier projects have a higher cost of capital. • It is difficult to estimate project risk. • Three separate and distinct types of risk: – Stand-alone risk – Corporate, or within-firm, risk – Market, or beta, risk Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-55
56.
How Is Each
Type of Risk Used? • Stand-alone risk is easiest to calculate. • Market risk is theoretically best in most situations. • However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are more affected by corporate risk. • Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-56
57.
A Project-specific, Risk-adjusted Cost
of Capital • Start by calculating a divisional cost of capital. • Use judgment to scale up or down the cost of capital for an individual project relative to the divisional cost of capital. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-57
58.
9-13 Four Mistakes
to Avoid • Current vs. historical cost of debt • Mixing current and historical measures to estimate the market risk premium • Book weights vs. market weights • Incorrect cost of capital components Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-58
59.
Current vs. Historical
Cost of Debt • When estimating the cost of debt, don’t use the coupon rate on existing debt (historical cost of debt). • Use the current interest rate on new debt. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-59
60.
Estimating the Market
Risk Premium • When estimating the risk premium for the CAPM approach, don’t subtract the current long-term T-bond rate from the historical average return on common stocks. • For example, if the historical rM has been about 12.2% and inflation drives the current rRF up to 10%, the current market risk premium is not 12.2% – 10% = 2.2% Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-60
61.
Estimating Weights • Use
the target capital structure to determine the weights. • If you don’t know the target weights, then use the current market value of equity, and never the book value of equity. • If you don’t know the market value of debt, then the book value of debt often is a reasonable approximation, especially for short-term debt. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-61
62.
Capital Components Are
Sources of Funding That Come from Investors • Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in the calculation of the WACC. • We adjust for these items when calculating the cash flows of the project but not when calculating the WACC. Copyright © 2017 by Nelson Education Ltd. 9-62
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